June 12, 2026
Space Chronicles: Blue Origin's Boom, The Case for Primordial Black Holes
Sponsor Link: This episode of Space Nuts is brought to you by NordVPN, your reliable partner for online security. To take advantage of our exclusive offer, including four extra months for free, visit https://www.nordvpn.com/spacenuts. Space...
Sponsor Link:
This episode of Space Nuts is brought to you by NordVPN, your reliable partner for online security. To take advantage of our exclusive offer, including four extra months for free, visit www.nordvpn.com/spacenuts.
Space Exploration: Blue Origin's Explosive Test and the Mysteries of the Universe In this thrilling episode of Space Nuts, hosts Andrew Dunkley and Professor Fred Watson reunite to discuss a range of captivating topics, including the recent explosive test of Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket, primordial black holes, and the ongoing debate around dark energy. Buckle up as we delve into the cosmos and explore these fascinating themes.
Episode Highlights:
- Blue Origin's Test Launch: The episode kicks off with an analysis of the dramatic Blue Origin test that resulted in an explosive incident at Cape Canaveral, raising questions about the future of the Artemis programme and the implications for upcoming lunar missions.
- Primordial Black Holes: Andrew and Fred Watson discuss a recent microlensing event observed in the Large Magellanic Cloud, exploring the possibility that the mysterious object, dubbed Phoebe, could be a primordial black hole, a concept first proposed by Stephen Hawking.
- Gravitational Microlensing Explained: The hosts break down the phenomenon of gravitational microlensing, illustrating how invisible objects can magnify the light of distant stars and what this means for our understanding of dark matter and the universe.
- Dark Energy: A Possible Furphy? A thought-provoking discussion ensues about the nature of dark energy, with insights from a recent paper suggesting that our current model of the universe may be oversimplified, raising the possibility that dark energy may not be necessary at all.
For more Space Nuts, including our continuously updating newsfeed and to listen to all our episodes, visit our website. Follow us on social media at SpaceNutsPod on Facebook, Instagram, and more. We love engaging with our community, so be sure to drop us a message or comment on your favourite platform.
If you’d like to help support Space Nuts and join our growing family of insiders for commercial-free episodes and more, visit spacenutspodcast.com/about.
Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/space-nuts-astronomy-insights-cosmic-discoveries--2631155/support.
- Blue Origin's Explosive Test
- Understanding Primordial Black Holes
- Gravitational Microlensing Phenomenon
- The Debate Around Dark Energy
- Implications for Future Space Exploration
This episode of Space Nuts is brought to you by NordVPN, your reliable partner for online security. To take advantage of our exclusive offer, including four extra months for free, visit www.nordvpn.com/spacenuts.
Space Exploration: Blue Origin's Explosive Test and the Mysteries of the Universe In this thrilling episode of Space Nuts, hosts Andrew Dunkley and Professor Fred Watson reunite to discuss a range of captivating topics, including the recent explosive test of Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket, primordial black holes, and the ongoing debate around dark energy. Buckle up as we delve into the cosmos and explore these fascinating themes.
Episode Highlights:
- Blue Origin's Test Launch: The episode kicks off with an analysis of the dramatic Blue Origin test that resulted in an explosive incident at Cape Canaveral, raising questions about the future of the Artemis programme and the implications for upcoming lunar missions.
- Primordial Black Holes: Andrew and Fred Watson discuss a recent microlensing event observed in the Large Magellanic Cloud, exploring the possibility that the mysterious object, dubbed Phoebe, could be a primordial black hole, a concept first proposed by Stephen Hawking.
- Gravitational Microlensing Explained: The hosts break down the phenomenon of gravitational microlensing, illustrating how invisible objects can magnify the light of distant stars and what this means for our understanding of dark matter and the universe.
- Dark Energy: A Possible Furphy? A thought-provoking discussion ensues about the nature of dark energy, with insights from a recent paper suggesting that our current model of the universe may be oversimplified, raising the possibility that dark energy may not be necessary at all.
For more Space Nuts, including our continuously updating newsfeed and to listen to all our episodes, visit our website. Follow us on social media at SpaceNutsPod on Facebook, Instagram, and more. We love engaging with our community, so be sure to drop us a message or comment on your favourite platform.
If you’d like to help support Space Nuts and join our growing family of insiders for commercial-free episodes and more, visit spacenutspodcast.com/about.
Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/space-nuts-astronomy-insights-cosmic-discoveries--2631155/support.
- Blue Origin's Explosive Test
- Understanding Primordial Black Holes
- Gravitational Microlensing Phenomenon
- The Debate Around Dark Energy
- Implications for Future Space Exploration
WEBVTT
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Andrew Dunkley: Hello again. Thank you for joining us. This
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is Space Nuts where we talk astronomy and
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space science. My name is Andrew Dunkley.
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Great to have your company. Well, you've
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probably been listening to Jonty for the last
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few weeks with Fred Watson, uh, overseas
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gallivanting as he does. He loves to
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gallivant. And
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he's back. And what we're going to talk about
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today, uh, all sorts of things. A, uh, blue
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origin blowout. You've probably seen the
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footage. Wow. Uh, primordial black hole,
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gravitational micro lensing and is dark
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matter A. Ah, Furphy. We'll deal with all of
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that today on Space nuts.
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Generic: 15 seconds. Guidance is internal.
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10, 9. Ignition
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sequence start.
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Professor Fred Watson: Space nuts.
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Generic: 5, 4, 3, 2. 1. 2, 3, 4,
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5, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.
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Andrew Dunkley: Space nuts.
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Generic: Astronauts report it feels good.
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Andrew Dunkley: And he's back and he's looking well. It's
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Professor Fred Watson Watson, Astronomer at
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large. Hello, Fred Watson.
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Professor Fred Watson: Hello Andre. You're looking well too. It's
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nice to see you.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it's good to see you too. I mean uh,
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it's been a while for both of us because,
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um, we had to do a lot of catch up
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episodes but we didn't quite have enough time
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to cover everything so we brought Jonty in.
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Uh, but he and I had to do catch up episodes
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to cover an absence of mine.
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So um, I haven't actually
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recorded with you for quite a while.
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Professor Fred Watson: It's uh. Yeah, it must be a couple of months
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or so.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it would be. But it doesn't sound like
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that to the audience really.
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Professor Fred Watson: No, probably not.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yes, it's all witchery.
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Well, we. Yeah, I think so. I think so.
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Professor Fred Watson: Yeah.
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Andrew Dunkley: There's at least two or three of them.
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Professor Fred Watson: Yeah. Okay, good.
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Andrew Dunkley: So where did you go?
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Professor Fred Watson: You were all over the place. Yes. So it was
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uh, a conference in Germany that took me up
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to Europe and that, that actually was
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really interesting, um, because in
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fact I was going to Scotland before that. I
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had a week with my daughters in Scotland and
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then off to Germany. But the trip there,
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course, um, we can't fly through the Middle
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east at the moment because of the war going
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on there. And so my flight
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via Dubai, they were long cancelled, but
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Mali managed to pull me a flight up to
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Seoul in Korea and then
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on thin air from Seoul over
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the North Pole. And I've actually got a
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certificate to prove that I've been over the
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North Pole. It's over there. I can't go and
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grab it. And then into
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Helsinki and then, uh, yes, it was cold.
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Then uh, um, uh, across to
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Edinburgh. So the Polar Flight was really
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interesting because we started off in Seoul
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in Korea, uh, and then, you know,
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took off, uh, with thin air. And
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I expected us to head towards
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the, towards the west, because that's what
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you do. But no, we headed to the east.
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Wow. And we actually went up between
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Russia and America, so up the Bering
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Strait. So it went far enough
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east that you could turn north right up the
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Bering Strait. So you got Russia on one side,
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America on the other, and then over the North
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Pole, uh, with a little polar
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certificate to prove it. Nice touchdown in
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Helsinki. Yeah. Uh, an hour or so there. Then
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a nice flight over to Edinburgh. And I was
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with my daughter directly. It was great.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, fantastic. Um, I've got an Arctic
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Circle certificate, I think.
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Professor Fred Watson: Yes, you will have. Yeah, I've got one of
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those as well. I got a cape certificate in
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fact.
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Andrew Dunkley: Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
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Professor Fred Watson: Um, but the conference I went to in Germany,
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uh, was, um, it was the 60th birthday
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conference of a colleague with whom I've
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worked very closely on um, the RAVE survey
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which we've talked about before. The radial
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velocity experiment. Uh, Matthias
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Steinmetz. Herr Doctor, Professor Matthias
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Steinmetz. Uh, very senior German astronomer
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now. He, uh, led the project. I was the
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project manager. So we worked very closely
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together with a team of people, most of whom
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were at the conference to celebrate his 60th
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birthday. So I was the sole Australian
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representative. So they made a bit of a fuss
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of me, which was nice. Uh, I got the
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kickoff talk and uh, they looked after me.
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Uh, so it was very, very good. And I
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picked up a lot of what's happening currently
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in the field of science that we're doing. Or
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we might mention some of that a bit later on
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in the show.
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Andrew Dunkley: Sounds good.
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Uh, my trip, uh, was a little closer to home,
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only a nine hour flight away. We went to
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Vietnam for two and a half weeks. Uh,
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people jokingly said to me, don't mention the
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war. But don't mention the war.
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It's uh, it's still very sensitive subject
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and, and what blew my mind.
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And this will be of interest to, um, I
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suppose American listeners because of
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America's involvement in the Vietnam War. But
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um, there is still strong
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division between north and South.
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And uh, it hasn't been forgotten even 50
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years after it ended. There's still very much
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focused on the aftermath of that
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conflict. I
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suppose because it was such a defining time
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in their history. And uh, I mean the
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Vietnam War was only a part of what they
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dealt with. They'd been dealing with
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colonialism prior to that from
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France for um,
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decades and decades. Uh, so
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it's uh, quite uh, extraordinary. There was a
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great documentary, uh, series,
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I think it was on SBS in Australia called the
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Birth of a Nation. And uh, one of our
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guides actually mentioned it and said we'd
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love to see it over here but we're not
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allowed. Uh, so I
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watched it and um, I'm going to try and
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figure out how to get it to him. But I don't
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know. I don't know.
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Professor Fred Watson: We'll see. You could get, you could run afoul
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of diplomatic uh, niceties if you tried
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that. Who knows?
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Andrew Dunkley: Could do. Could do. Anyway.
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Professor Fred Watson: Especially if you talk about it on a public
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podcast. Yeah, maybe like you are doing now.
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Andrew Dunkley: They're probably not allowed to watch this
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over in Vietnam either.
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Professor Fred Watson: Maybe not. No, maybe not.
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Andrew Dunkley: It was funny though because I was pasting
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posting uh, some little videos. I like to do
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little videos while I'm away and I was
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posting them on Tick Tock. I picked up 140
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Vietnamese followers.
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Professor Fred Watson: Oh, that's fantastic. Yeah, I thought it was
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cool. There you go. At least I can watch your
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Tick Tock stuff.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, yeah. Uh, particularly the one I did at
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Harlong Bay. It's beautiful part of the world
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and I only did a 60 second sort of three
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60 degree scan of the place. But uh, for some
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reason that video has gone nuts. It's uh, at
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Last count had 14 and a half thousand views.
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Professor Fred Watson: Whoa.
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Andrew Dunkley: I don't understand it.
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Professor Fred Watson: But uh, yeah, that was nice.
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Andrew Dunkley: And we did all the other stuff. Train street,
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you know where the train runs next to the
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cafes in, in um.
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Professor Fred Watson: No, I didn't. Yeah, yeah, it's very popular
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somewhere I should go.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, up in Hanoi and many, uh, other places
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I went. I won't bore people to tears with it.
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We've got to get down to business. Uh, our
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first topic, Fred Watson, is very
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explosive.
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This is the um, Blue
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Origin Knot launch that happened the
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other day. Uh, in fact I don't even think it
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got an inch off the ground before it went up
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in a beautiful nuclear um,
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plume.
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Professor Fred Watson: It was very like a nuclear plume. And no, it
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wasn't actually meant to get off the ground.
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This was a fire test. Oh, it spied all
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right. Yeah, it did. Uh, it was
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um, um, yes,
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basically testing out the engines for a
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launch that was forthcoming. That was going
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to take a whole lot of uh,
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ah, telecommunications satellites,
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uh, up, uh, into orbit. Uh,
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they were fortunately not on the rocket.
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Uh, I think they were uh, the
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Apple Leo, uh, satellites which is
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what used to be called Kuiper, uh, and is
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perhaps the principal competitor
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potentially to Starlink.
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Um, anyway, the satellites were not
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on the booster, uh
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and uh, it basically was to
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test fire its seven engines. This is
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the new Glenn booster, which is Blue Origin's
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heavy lift booster. It's not as heavy
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lift as the SpaceX, uh,
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super heavy, uh, booster that takes the
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starship up.
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Andrew Dunkley: It's not lifting anything now, is it?
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Professor Fred Watson: It's not, no. And uh, what.
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It's got sort of serious ramifications
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because not only did they blow up the rocket,
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they also blew up the launch pad. Uh,
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effectively there's a lot of damage, uh, to
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the launch pad, which is, if I remember
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rightly, it is at Cape Canaveral.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I think so.
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Professor Fred Watson: Uh, and um,
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that explosion, uh, has caused damage that
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people are now talking about several months,
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if not a year or so to repair.
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Uh, and that's bad because that's the only
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facility in the world that can launch the new
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Glenn booster. And the new Glenn booster
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is needed for the Artemis programme.
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Uh, in particular,
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uh, later this year there was supposed to be
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a test launch of
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their Blue Moon lander. This is Blue
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Origins Lunar Lander, um, which
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is uh, um,
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basically uh, the competition, if
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I can put it that way, with the SpaceX
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Starship. So NASA contracted both SpaceX
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and Blue Origin to develop a
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lander, lunar lander for the moon. SpaceX
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has theirs based on the starship.
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Um, what is it, four to
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50 metres tall? It's colossal. Uh, to
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land that on a rough surface on the moon. I'm
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not sure I'd be that keen on that, but never
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mind. Uh, uh, the Blue Origin
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version, the uh, uh,
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Blue Moon as it's called, uh, that is only
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eight storeys high, uh, so
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it's uh, shorter. Uh, but these two
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are both in the running to land the first
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astronauts on the lunar surface in 2028.
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Uh, so, um, there was going to be a test of
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uh, the new um, Glenn
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Heavy Lifter, lifting up a
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blue moon, um, landing vehicle,
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ah, a prototype landing vehicle, uh,
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into orbit and actually to touch it down on
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the moon. And that was supposed to happen
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this year. That's clearly off the agenda now.
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Uh, and so, um, it's not going to happen
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actually. It's a little bit, because I've
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just read today that that lunar lander,
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um, which of course wasn't on board the
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rocket when it exploded, has just passed with
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flying colours. It's uh, environmental
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test. There's an environmental test that
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everything goes through. It's in A huge
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vacuum chamber, um, which is, um, a
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NASA facility, uh, and
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you can change, uh, uh, the temperature
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to match those huge extremes of
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temperature that you will get on the moon.
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Uh, so their prototype lunar lander, the
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blue MO Mark 1, which is called
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Endurance, which is a great name
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because, uh, that's not what's happened to
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the booster. But Endurance has passed with
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flying colours. Sadly, at the moment there's
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nothing to take it into space, so we'll have
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to see how that evolves.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I think you and I spoke
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about NASA looking at other options other
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than SpaceX, um, not long before you, you
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went away and, um,
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now this is kind of, for want of
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a better term, blown up in Blue Origin's
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face. That takes them off the table.
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Professor Fred Watson: Doesn't, uh, seems to for a
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while, unless they can do some very
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rapid repairs to the launch
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vehicle, sorry, the launch site,
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uh, the launch facility. So, yeah, it could
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push back. So the idea was that late next
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year, uh, there would be the
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Artemis III flight, which would consist
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of these two potential lunar landing
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vehicles, um, the Starship on SpaceX's
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side, the Blue Moon on Blue Origin,
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both going to be launched into Earth orbit,
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uh, to have, um, rendezvous
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tests, uh, to demonstrate their viability,
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uh, when you link them to the space launch
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System. Basically the Orion spacecraft, which
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is what took the Artemis, uh, II
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astronauts around the moon. Ah, that will
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take Artemis iii, beg your pardon, Artemis IV
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astronauts to the moon. But to land, they've
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got to transfer into another spacecraft and
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land on the lunar surface. So all that
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I think, is being thrown into question,
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uh, with this explosion. We will wait to see.
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It's still too early. We don't even know what
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caused it yet. Uh, it was only
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less, uh, than a week ago as we speak.
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Uh, so we don't actually know
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what the consequences are likely to be, but
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they could be quite serious for the
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Artemis programme.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, Uh, I mean, uh, I
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think, uh, Elon Musk calls these things,
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um, successful failures.
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Professor Fred Watson: Uh, I don't know, a rapid
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unscheduled disintegration.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yes. I don't know what Jeff Bezos calls them,
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but, um, yeah,
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hopefully they can get down to the bottom of
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it. But, yeah, it does throw a spanner into
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the works. Maybe it was a spanner thrown into
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the works that caused the explosion. Who
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knows?
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Professor Fred Watson: The one good news storey part, ah, of the
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storey is nobody was injured. Yeah.
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Andrew Dunkley: Wow.
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Professor Fred Watson: Because as you said, it looked like a nucle
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explosion. It was incredible. Uh,
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and, um, so there was huge
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potential for injury there, but everybody was
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Accounted for.
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Andrew Dunkley: I actually read today that some people
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who watched the explosion,
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um, this sort of demonstrates how big and
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powerful it was. Took 37
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seconds to feel the shockwave. Uh,
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Professor Fred Watson: really? So they must have been a long way
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away.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, but they could see it quite clearly. It
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was such a big explosion that the shockwave
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took 37 seconds to reach there.
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That's amazing. Yeah. All
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right. Um, so, uh, yeah, it does
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sort of throw into question the future of
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Blue Origin, um, partnering with NASA
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for Artemis 3. But, uh,
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never write these people off.
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Professor Fred Watson: I've discovered we're not doing
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that. They will rise,
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Phoenix, like from the ashes. But the
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question is how soon and what it will do to
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NASA's schedule.
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Andrew Dunkley: Exactly.
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Professor Fred Watson: With Artemisia.
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Andrew Dunkley: More to come on that, and you can read about
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it, uh, at the Conversation website.
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This is Space Nuts, Andrew Dunkley with
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Professor Fred Watson Watson.
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Generic: Okay, we checked all four systems and
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Professor Fred Watson: being with a go, Space Nuts.
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Andrew Dunkley: Now, our next storey, Fred Watson,
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uh, has a lot of moving parts as well.
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Nothing explosive, but, uh, uh, we're
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talking, what, primordial black holes and
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gravitational microlensing. Is that, Is that,
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that what it's about?
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Professor Fred Watson: Yes, uh, it's certainly, uh, the
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gravitational microlensing. What, uh, it
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means for primordial black holes
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remains to be seen. But, uh, it's a good
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opportunity to talk about it and talk about
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the latest research on this. So what's the
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storey? Um, on the night of the 18th of
383
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December, 2019,
384
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uh, there was a
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microlensing event observed with
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a star in the Large Magellanic Cloud,
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the nearest of our. Our sort of large, ish
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galactic neighbours. Um,
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the satellite galaxy of our Milky Way,
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165,000 light years away, as the
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crow flies, as far as I remember.
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So, um, what's a microlensing event? Well,
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something passes in front of a star.
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Uh, you can't actually see the something
395
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because it's too faint. You can see the light
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of the star. And you might think there's
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something passing in front of a star. It
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would dim the light of the star. But
399
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actually, if the geometry is right, in other
400
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words, if there's something that passes
401
00:16:22.970 --> 00:16:25.570
between you and the star is far enough away
402
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from the star, you get the opposite effect.
403
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The, um, distortion of the space around
404
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the invisible object, uh, actually
405
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acts as a magnifying glass. And so you
406
00:16:36.170 --> 00:16:38.970
get a brightening of the light of the distant
407
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star. Uh, and this is a phenomenon known as
408
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gravitational microlensing. It's well
409
00:16:43.890 --> 00:16:46.290
established, well observed. Uh, there's a
410
00:16:46.290 --> 00:16:49.150
team in New Zealand which, um, he's Very,
411
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very adept at these microlensing
412
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observations. Uh, so
413
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what we see when that happens is a
414
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rise in the brightness of the star and then
415
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a fall in the brightness of the background
416
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star which
417
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we call a light curve. It's the way the light
418
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changes over time. You can plot it out as a
419
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graph. And it's got a very characteristic
420
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shape. It's a bit like a rather elongated
421
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volcano. It's got a steady ris,
422
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a peak and then a rapid fall, uh,
423
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that falls away very like the flanks of a
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volcano. So that's the sort of shape.
425
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So this uh, was the event that was
426
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observed on 18th December.
427
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Can't remember which telescope it was used.
428
00:17:37.500 --> 00:17:40.330
Uh, but we have a group
429
00:17:40.330 --> 00:17:41.930
of Australians who uh, are
430
00:17:42.890 --> 00:17:44.970
directly involved with this.
431
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Uh, so the, the question is
432
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what was the object that passed in front of
433
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the star?
434
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Andrew Dunkley: I'm going to guess maybe a
435
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primordial black hole.
436
00:17:57.330 --> 00:17:59.250
Professor Fred Watson: Well, that's
437
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perhaps the most, um, provocative
438
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explanation. Uh, they've given it
439
00:18:06.250 --> 00:18:07.970
a name, this thing, they've called it Phoebe,
440
00:18:07.970 --> 00:18:09.970
which is I think a lovely name actually.
441
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Um, but uh, the issue
442
00:18:13.410 --> 00:18:16.380
is it is kind
443
00:18:16.380 --> 00:18:18.660
of too small to be
444
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anything normal, if I
445
00:18:21.940 --> 00:18:24.550
put it that way. Um,
446
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so what are the possibilities? One
447
00:18:27.460 --> 00:18:30.260
is what we
448
00:18:30.260 --> 00:18:32.940
sometimes call a rogue planet or an
449
00:18:32.940 --> 00:18:35.460
orphan planet, better known perhaps as a free
450
00:18:35.460 --> 00:18:37.940
floating planet. In other words a planetary
451
00:18:37.940 --> 00:18:40.780
sized object, maybe something that's been
452
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ejected from its solar system or something
453
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that never gained enough mass to become a
454
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star and it's just sort of wandering,
455
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uh, through the galaxy. Uh, we know there are
456
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many of these things, uh, so that could be
457
00:18:56.020 --> 00:18:58.800
uh, one of the explanations for it. But
458
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uh, the issue is this thing
459
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has basically got a
460
00:19:05.480 --> 00:19:08.320
very, very small mass. Uh,
461
00:19:08.320 --> 00:19:10.520
it's only about three times the mass of the
462
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moon. Uh, and that's
463
00:19:13.650 --> 00:19:16.650
kind of small for a planet. Uh, so it
464
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suggests it's an object
465
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that is not a dwarf
466
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planet or, sorry, a rogue planet or an orphan
467
00:19:25.330 --> 00:19:28.130
planet. And it points towards this
468
00:19:28.769 --> 00:19:31.170
much more exotic notion
469
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of a primordial black hole, uh,
470
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which you've kind of, you've already flagged.
471
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And that's where it gets really exciting. So,
472
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so primordial black holes, we've
473
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talked about them before. They were predicted
474
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by Stephen Hawking. They um,
475
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were predicted by him to have been
476
00:19:52.000 --> 00:19:54.720
a byproduct of the Big Bang. In other words,
477
00:19:54.720 --> 00:19:57.640
these are things that don't form from
478
00:19:57.640 --> 00:20:00.400
collapsing stars like the stellar mass black
479
00:20:00.400 --> 00:20:03.040
holes that we see, but from,
480
00:20:03.470 --> 00:20:05.590
um, well, basically, um,
481
00:20:05.590 --> 00:20:08.160
fluctuations in the density,
482
00:20:08.830 --> 00:20:11.670
uh, in the first few
483
00:20:11.910 --> 00:20:14.870
milliseconds after The Big Bang, the density
484
00:20:14.870 --> 00:20:17.870
of that hot medium. Uh, in other words, you
485
00:20:17.870 --> 00:20:19.990
know, if you could get these little spots
486
00:20:19.990 --> 00:20:22.750
that collapse instantaneously to become a
487
00:20:22.750 --> 00:20:25.070
black hole, what you'll produce in the Big
488
00:20:25.070 --> 00:20:27.990
Bang is not just time and space, but
489
00:20:27.990 --> 00:20:30.870
you litter it with these primordial
490
00:20:30.870 --> 00:20:33.430
black holes. And I think it's
491
00:20:33.670 --> 00:20:36.590
from Hawking's work that we assume that
492
00:20:36.590 --> 00:20:39.430
they can be any size you like. Um, they
493
00:20:39.430 --> 00:20:41.750
can be, you know, perhaps,
494
00:20:42.390 --> 00:20:44.390
uh, supermassive black holes, which we know
495
00:20:44.390 --> 00:20:47.190
are the centres of galaxies or, uh,
496
00:20:47.190 --> 00:20:49.790
smaller than stellar mass black
497
00:20:49.790 --> 00:20:52.590
holes. And so by a stellar mass black hole,
498
00:20:52.590 --> 00:20:55.510
we mean one that has a mass of about not
499
00:20:55.510 --> 00:20:57.590
too different from a star. In fact, typically
500
00:20:57.590 --> 00:21:00.580
about five times the mass of the sun. Um,
501
00:21:00.790 --> 00:21:02.830
and they are, ah, thought to have been caused
502
00:21:02.830 --> 00:21:05.030
by a star exploding at the end of its life.
503
00:21:05.030 --> 00:21:07.710
The core collapses, uh, nothing will stop the
504
00:21:07.710 --> 00:21:09.470
collapse and it goes into becoming a black
505
00:21:09.470 --> 00:21:12.250
hole. And but for a star to behave like
506
00:21:12.250 --> 00:21:15.090
that, it's got to be massive, it's got to be
507
00:21:15.090 --> 00:21:17.250
at least, well, five to ten times the mass of
508
00:21:17.250 --> 00:21:20.170
the sun. Um, so that does not
509
00:21:20.170 --> 00:21:22.650
account for things that are, uh, three times
510
00:21:22.970 --> 00:21:25.690
the mass of the Moon. Uh, but,
511
00:21:27.010 --> 00:21:29.930
um, if you can have primordial
512
00:21:29.930 --> 00:21:32.250
black holes of any mass, then
513
00:21:32.730 --> 00:21:35.210
that makes Phoebe a
514
00:21:35.530 --> 00:21:37.770
very distinct candidate for
515
00:21:39.130 --> 00:21:41.960
a primordial black hole. Um, I
516
00:21:41.960 --> 00:21:44.280
might mention that the researchers who've
517
00:21:44.280 --> 00:21:47.160
done this, uh, work are at Swinburne
518
00:21:47.160 --> 00:21:49.920
University in Melbourne, Uh, uh, a university
519
00:21:50.240 --> 00:21:53.040
very active in its studies of actually
520
00:21:53.520 --> 00:21:56.240
most phenomena to do with our galaxy.
521
00:21:56.630 --> 00:21:58.720
Uh, they've got some extremely talented
522
00:21:58.720 --> 00:22:00.160
scientists there, uh, some of whom I know
523
00:22:00.160 --> 00:22:03.090
quite well. Um, so, uh,
524
00:22:03.760 --> 00:22:06.000
it's definitely a microlending event.
525
00:22:06.160 --> 00:22:08.760
Something has caused this phenomenon. Uh, the
526
00:22:08.760 --> 00:22:10.320
question is, what is it?
527
00:22:11.650 --> 00:22:13.280
So let me, um,
528
00:22:14.770 --> 00:22:17.650
segue, if I may, to one of
529
00:22:17.650 --> 00:22:20.010
the talks at, uh, the conference that I was
530
00:22:20.010 --> 00:22:22.610
at in Germany, uh, given by
531
00:22:23.250 --> 00:22:25.170
people who, uh, are. Well, in this case, it
532
00:22:25.170 --> 00:22:27.850
was a black hole specialist. And he was
533
00:22:27.850 --> 00:22:29.410
saying that
534
00:22:30.690 --> 00:22:32.050
the evidence for
535
00:22:33.010 --> 00:22:35.970
primordial black holes is
536
00:22:36.370 --> 00:22:39.250
growing. Uh, and this is just one more
537
00:22:39.250 --> 00:22:41.660
example of it, the example of Phoebe here.
538
00:22:42.450 --> 00:22:45.370
Uh, but he also said he thought this was
539
00:22:45.370 --> 00:22:48.370
the next big thing in black hole
540
00:22:48.370 --> 00:22:50.850
science, uh, to actually
541
00:22:51.410 --> 00:22:54.370
determine the reality of primordial
542
00:22:54.370 --> 00:22:56.010
black holes, whether they are there or
543
00:22:56.010 --> 00:22:58.170
whether they're just, ah, a wild prediction
544
00:22:58.170 --> 00:23:00.450
of professor, uh, Hawking.
545
00:23:00.940 --> 00:23:03.730
Um, but he also made the comet
546
00:23:04.290 --> 00:23:06.850
the comment. Sorry, not the comet. He made
547
00:23:06.850 --> 00:23:09.800
the comment that. But, uh, it
548
00:23:09.800 --> 00:23:12.800
was his belief that the next Nobel Prize in
549
00:23:12.800 --> 00:23:15.400
astronomy or physics is the way it goes
550
00:23:15.560 --> 00:23:18.480
would be the discovery of a
551
00:23:18.480 --> 00:23:20.920
primordial black hole. In other words,
552
00:23:21.580 --> 00:23:24.440
uh, finding absolutely rock solid evidence.
553
00:23:24.840 --> 00:23:27.120
That primordial black holes exist. Now,
554
00:23:27.120 --> 00:23:29.160
Phoebe is not that rock solid evidence.
555
00:23:29.480 --> 00:23:32.200
Because we've got multiple theories.
556
00:23:32.260 --> 00:23:34.400
Uh, yeah, multiple theories. It could even
557
00:23:34.400 --> 00:23:37.350
be, uh, you know, a
558
00:23:37.350 --> 00:23:39.590
lost satellite of a planet. That's been
559
00:23:39.590 --> 00:23:42.070
chucked out of its solar system. So it could
560
00:23:42.070 --> 00:23:44.230
be an object like the moon or Mercury or
561
00:23:44.230 --> 00:23:46.630
something like that. But that seems
562
00:23:46.630 --> 00:23:48.990
unlikely. And, in fact,
563
00:23:49.300 --> 00:23:52.190
um, the primordial
564
00:23:52.270 --> 00:23:54.790
mass black hole idea, I think, is much more
565
00:23:54.790 --> 00:23:57.670
interesting. It's one that I'm sure
566
00:23:57.670 --> 00:24:00.310
will be looked at in detail. The problem with
567
00:24:00.310 --> 00:24:02.750
these gravitational microlensing events,
568
00:24:02.750 --> 00:24:05.510
Andrew, is you only get one shot at it. You
569
00:24:05.510 --> 00:24:07.930
never see the object. So Phoebe's
570
00:24:08.170 --> 00:24:10.450
basically never going to be seen again. All
571
00:24:10.450 --> 00:24:13.090
we've seen is the effect of it passing in
572
00:24:13.090 --> 00:24:16.010
front of a star. Um, so
573
00:24:16.490 --> 00:24:19.250
what we've got to look for is other, perhaps
574
00:24:19.250 --> 00:24:22.010
other similar phenomena. Or
575
00:24:22.170 --> 00:24:25.010
something that is unequivocally a
576
00:24:25.010 --> 00:24:27.290
black hole. But has a mass less than the sun.
577
00:24:27.290 --> 00:24:29.530
And we did talk about a candidate object,
578
00:24:30.040 --> 00:24:32.730
uh, before we both went on our various
579
00:24:32.730 --> 00:24:35.570
sojourns. Uh, we did talk about an object
580
00:24:35.570 --> 00:24:37.330
like that. I'd need to look it up to find out
581
00:24:37.330 --> 00:24:40.230
what it was. And if we can nail one
582
00:24:40.230 --> 00:24:42.470
of these things and say that is definitely
583
00:24:42.630 --> 00:24:45.110
what it is. Um, in fact, the object we talked
584
00:24:45.110 --> 00:24:47.830
about was, uh, the result of, I think, a
585
00:24:47.830 --> 00:24:49.110
collision that was measured with
586
00:24:49.190 --> 00:24:51.950
gravitational waves. So all this is
587
00:24:51.950 --> 00:24:54.749
perhaps pointing to the idea of primordial
588
00:24:54.749 --> 00:24:56.470
mass black holes. Somebody will nail it
589
00:24:56.470 --> 00:24:58.110
before too long, and, uh, they'll probably
590
00:24:58.110 --> 00:24:59.190
get the Nobel Prize.
591
00:24:59.910 --> 00:25:02.710
Andrew Dunkley: Well, I suppose we shouldn't be surprised.
592
00:25:02.950 --> 00:25:05.790
Because in the past we've had theories
593
00:25:05.790 --> 00:25:08.710
about things existing, and voila, suddenly we
594
00:25:08.710 --> 00:25:11.570
find an exoplanet. And we've found thousands
595
00:25:11.570 --> 00:25:13.570
and thousands of them. So it stands to reason
596
00:25:13.570 --> 00:25:15.810
that this is just another progression in that
597
00:25:15.810 --> 00:25:18.770
regard. The evidence is
598
00:25:18.770 --> 00:25:21.210
stacking up. We haven't confirmed one yet,
599
00:25:21.210 --> 00:25:23.890
but it sounds like it's going to happen.
600
00:25:24.530 --> 00:25:27.290
Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, I think that's right. I think we're on
601
00:25:27.290 --> 00:25:30.050
the track of, uh, a whole new
602
00:25:30.530 --> 00:25:33.530
regime of physics. And,
603
00:25:33.530 --> 00:25:36.170
of course, primordial black
604
00:25:36.170 --> 00:25:38.690
holes are, uh, one potential candidate for
605
00:25:38.850 --> 00:25:41.710
dark matter. Um, which
606
00:25:41.710 --> 00:25:44.590
was ruled out in
607
00:25:44.590 --> 00:25:47.110
the 1990s, maybe
608
00:25:47.110 --> 00:25:49.510
prematurely. It was ruled out because we
609
00:25:49.510 --> 00:25:52.070
didn't see a whole lot of these
610
00:25:52.070 --> 00:25:54.350
microlensing events. Which you'd expect to
611
00:25:54.350 --> 00:25:56.709
see if there was a lot of primordial mass
612
00:25:56.709 --> 00:25:59.230
black holes. Maybe it's just that we weren't
613
00:25:59.230 --> 00:26:01.030
looking hard enough that we missed them.
614
00:26:01.270 --> 00:26:03.950
Andrew Dunkley: Maybe, um, yeah, I never look hard enough for
615
00:26:03.950 --> 00:26:04.390
anything.
616
00:26:05.030 --> 00:26:07.890
Professor Fred Watson: Well, that's because you're. You're a male.
617
00:26:07.970 --> 00:26:10.890
Yeah. You're a bloke. And we don't. We,
618
00:26:10.890 --> 00:26:13.450
we look at something and we just don't see
619
00:26:13.450 --> 00:26:13.690
it.
620
00:26:13.690 --> 00:26:15.170
Andrew Dunkley: No, no.
621
00:26:16.610 --> 00:26:19.610
Which is, you know, not real good for
622
00:26:19.610 --> 00:26:21.130
human history. Because weren't we the
623
00:26:21.130 --> 00:26:21.650
hunters?
624
00:26:21.650 --> 00:26:23.170
Professor Fred Watson: Like we were supposed to be able to see
625
00:26:23.170 --> 00:26:26.160
stuff. Quite so. Oh.
626
00:26:26.160 --> 00:26:28.970
Andrew Dunkley: Ah, dear. Uh, it's a really fascinating
627
00:26:28.970 --> 00:26:31.850
storey and I venture to say there'll be more
628
00:26:31.850 --> 00:26:33.930
on this in the not too distant future. But
629
00:26:33.930 --> 00:26:35.810
you can read about it. Great, uh, article
630
00:26:35.810 --> 00:26:37.410
about it on the Univers
631
00:26:39.310 --> 00:26:41.950
website. You're listening to and possibly
632
00:26:41.950 --> 00:26:44.910
viewing Space Nuts with Andrew Dunkley and
633
00:26:44.910 --> 00:26:46.110
Professor Fred Watson Watson.
634
00:26:48.590 --> 00:26:49.990
Generic: Roger, your lot clearer.
635
00:26:49.990 --> 00:26:52.990
Andrew Dunkley: Also Space Nuts. A Final Storey, Fred Watson
636
00:26:52.990 --> 00:26:55.990
intrigues me for one very good reason. It's
637
00:26:55.990 --> 00:26:58.230
one of the pet topics of our audience. We get
638
00:26:58.230 --> 00:27:00.670
a lot of questions about dark energy.
639
00:27:00.910 --> 00:27:03.910
But uh, this storey ponders the
640
00:27:03.910 --> 00:27:06.820
question. Did we actually invent dark
641
00:27:06.820 --> 00:27:09.580
energy for nothing? Why are they suggesting
642
00:27:09.580 --> 00:27:09.940
that?
643
00:27:11.600 --> 00:27:13.700
Professor Fred Watson: Um. Yeah,
644
00:27:14.740 --> 00:27:16.180
it's all mathematics.
645
00:27:17.140 --> 00:27:19.920
And I'd like just to refer, uh,
646
00:27:19.920 --> 00:27:22.660
listeners and viewers, uh, at the outset to a
647
00:27:22.660 --> 00:27:25.620
very nice article, uh, on this
648
00:27:25.820 --> 00:27:28.580
uh, from um, our much admired
649
00:27:28.580 --> 00:27:31.300
Universe Today uh, website that's
650
00:27:31.460 --> 00:27:34.460
kind of an old friend of um,
651
00:27:34.460 --> 00:27:36.840
of Space Nuts, an article written by Mark
652
00:27:36.840 --> 00:27:39.320
Thompson, uh, which really very
653
00:27:39.320 --> 00:27:42.320
eloquently puts this storey
654
00:27:42.400 --> 00:27:44.680
into perspective. And I'm going to quote
655
00:27:44.680 --> 00:27:47.480
Mark, I hope he won't mind me doing that. Um,
656
00:27:47.680 --> 00:27:50.560
because he introduces uh, this
657
00:27:50.560 --> 00:27:53.360
article by saying, stand a pencil on its end
658
00:27:53.600 --> 00:27:56.480
and mathematically speaking it's perfectly
659
00:27:56.480 --> 00:27:58.520
balanced. Every force is accounted for and
660
00:27:58.520 --> 00:28:00.760
the equations are satisfied. And yet you
661
00:28:00.760 --> 00:28:03.120
already know what happens next. The slightest
662
00:28:03.120 --> 00:28:06.100
disturbance and it topples a solution that
663
00:28:06.100 --> 00:28:09.020
exists on paper but can never survive
664
00:28:09.260 --> 00:28:12.060
contact with reality. In other words,
665
00:28:12.580 --> 00:28:15.580
um, something that's stable, but only
666
00:28:15.660 --> 00:28:18.580
stable. Briefly, I uh, think I'm
667
00:28:18.580 --> 00:28:21.020
paraphrasing what he's getting at with that.
668
00:28:21.480 --> 00:28:23.260
Uh, but just to read a little bit further,
669
00:28:23.480 --> 00:28:25.740
uh, from Mark's article, that's the image
670
00:28:25.740 --> 00:28:27.380
Blake Temple, a mathematician at the
671
00:28:27.380 --> 00:28:29.780
University of California Davis, uses to
672
00:28:29.780 --> 00:28:32.220
describe our um, best model of the universe.
673
00:28:32.220 --> 00:28:35.190
And it's a deeply uncomfortable. And
674
00:28:35.190 --> 00:28:37.670
so I think the way this storey evolves
675
00:28:37.910 --> 00:28:40.870
is that yes, we've uh, for
676
00:28:40.870 --> 00:28:42.590
30 years, almost 30 years. It's
677
00:28:42.590 --> 00:28:45.190
1998 when the
678
00:28:45.190 --> 00:28:47.990
accelerated expansion of the universe was
679
00:28:47.990 --> 00:28:50.790
discovered, uh, by
680
00:28:51.080 --> 00:28:53.750
uh, my colleague, um, Brian Schmidt and
681
00:28:54.520 --> 00:28:57.470
uh, uh, his actually competitors
682
00:28:57.470 --> 00:29:00.350
over the Pacific, uh, Saul Perlmutta
683
00:29:00.350 --> 00:29:03.210
and his team, uh, they jointly won the Nobel
684
00:29:03.210 --> 00:29:05.850
Prize in 2011 for that
685
00:29:05.850 --> 00:29:08.240
discovery that um,
686
00:29:09.050 --> 00:29:10.410
the expansion of the universe is
687
00:29:10.410 --> 00:29:13.210
accelerating. And so, um, the
688
00:29:13.210 --> 00:29:15.930
issue was to try and explain that.
689
00:29:15.930 --> 00:29:18.730
And that's why dark energy was
690
00:29:18.730 --> 00:29:21.370
introduced as a concept.
691
00:29:21.770 --> 00:29:24.530
Uh, an invisible, ah, outward
692
00:29:24.530 --> 00:29:27.290
pressure, um, that is part of space,
693
00:29:27.970 --> 00:29:30.480
uh, just pushes space and everything in it
694
00:29:30.480 --> 00:29:33.080
apart. Um, and so
695
00:29:33.480 --> 00:29:35.960
that's where we get our idea
696
00:29:36.360 --> 00:29:38.920
of dark energy from. But
697
00:29:39.090 --> 00:29:41.880
um, this um, mathematician,
698
00:29:42.030 --> 00:29:44.040
uh, Blake Temple has
699
00:29:44.680 --> 00:29:47.000
said, okay, maybe we're
700
00:29:47.560 --> 00:29:49.960
taking too simplistic a view
701
00:29:50.440 --> 00:29:53.000
of all this. Uh, and
702
00:29:53.270 --> 00:29:55.710
uh, I think it's a group of, uh,
703
00:29:56.120 --> 00:29:59.110
mathematicians led by Dr. Temple. Uh,
704
00:29:59.110 --> 00:30:00.860
they've got a paper in the Proceedings of the
705
00:30:00.860 --> 00:30:02.620
Royal Society. You don't get papers in there
706
00:30:02.620 --> 00:30:05.500
if they're rubbish. So, uh, there's
707
00:30:05.500 --> 00:30:07.180
something to think about there. And they've
708
00:30:07.180 --> 00:30:10.020
actually um, mathematically
709
00:30:10.020 --> 00:30:12.340
demonstrated that
710
00:30:12.820 --> 00:30:15.540
our, um, model of
711
00:30:15.780 --> 00:30:18.260
the expansion of the universe with dark
712
00:30:18.260 --> 00:30:21.220
energy in it is unstable.
713
00:30:21.950 --> 00:30:23.940
Uh, it's something that can't
714
00:30:24.660 --> 00:30:27.580
survive. And
715
00:30:28.300 --> 00:30:30.220
that almost,
716
00:30:30.890 --> 00:30:33.820
uh, means that you can rule it
717
00:30:33.820 --> 00:30:36.420
out, uh, in the world of
718
00:30:36.420 --> 00:30:38.780
physics, uh, if you've got a solution that's
719
00:30:38.780 --> 00:30:41.540
unstable, uh, then it
720
00:30:41.540 --> 00:30:43.900
shouldn't happen. And so,
721
00:30:44.090 --> 00:30:46.660
um, what um, uh, Dr.
722
00:30:46.660 --> 00:30:49.580
Temple and his associates are proposing
723
00:30:49.820 --> 00:30:52.620
is that we've got it wrong. Ah, and that
724
00:30:52.910 --> 00:30:55.550
uh, the. The model of the universe
725
00:30:56.910 --> 00:30:58.750
that we have, which
726
00:30:59.470 --> 00:31:02.470
assumes that matter is basically
727
00:31:02.470 --> 00:31:04.910
spread throughout the universe, the universe
728
00:31:04.910 --> 00:31:07.550
is isotropic, it's the same in all
729
00:31:07.550 --> 00:31:10.150
directions. Uh, is
730
00:31:10.150 --> 00:31:12.910
suggesting that that is also
731
00:31:13.070 --> 00:31:15.630
unstable. Um, and
732
00:31:15.710 --> 00:31:18.630
that really we have to take into account the
733
00:31:18.630 --> 00:31:20.660
fact that the universe is, isn't the same
734
00:31:20.740 --> 00:31:23.010
everywhere. Um,
735
00:31:23.850 --> 00:31:26.500
uh. I can't really
736
00:31:26.580 --> 00:31:28.980
go in deeply to the mathematics because I
737
00:31:29.140 --> 00:31:31.980
actually looked at the original
738
00:31:31.980 --> 00:31:34.940
paper. Um, and so I haven't followed
739
00:31:34.940 --> 00:31:37.650
the mathematical um,
740
00:31:37.650 --> 00:31:40.460
steps in the process. And between you and me,
741
00:31:40.460 --> 00:31:42.420
Andrew, I probably couldn't anyway, even if I
742
00:31:42.420 --> 00:31:45.140
looked at the paper because I do
743
00:31:45.140 --> 00:31:47.140
remember what some of the equations,
744
00:31:47.810 --> 00:31:50.020
um, that govern this sort of thing look like.
745
00:31:50.100 --> 00:31:52.820
And I do remember the emotional response
746
00:31:52.820 --> 00:31:55.660
that my psyche gets to
747
00:31:55.660 --> 00:31:58.580
them. But basically what they're
748
00:31:58.580 --> 00:32:00.180
saying is that
749
00:32:00.850 --> 00:32:02.980
uh, that
750
00:32:03.060 --> 00:32:05.940
accelerated expansion, um,
751
00:32:07.060 --> 00:32:09.220
is actually part of what
752
00:32:09.380 --> 00:32:12.180
Einstein suggested in the first
753
00:32:12.180 --> 00:32:15.080
place. And um, without the need
754
00:32:15.080 --> 00:32:17.240
to invoke dark energy,
755
00:32:18.210 --> 00:32:19.400
uh, and
756
00:32:21.800 --> 00:32:24.280
I'm simplifying, I guess, what,
757
00:32:24.570 --> 00:32:27.320
um. Mark, the author of this
758
00:32:27.320 --> 00:32:29.960
article has written. But the bottom line is
759
00:32:29.960 --> 00:32:32.830
that um, our view, uh,
760
00:32:33.080 --> 00:32:35.800
of the universe on its largest scale
761
00:32:36.280 --> 00:32:39.050
is probably naive. It's probably.
762
00:32:40.400 --> 00:32:42.400
We've perhaps oversimplified it and as a
763
00:32:42.400 --> 00:32:44.840
result of that we've come out with the wrong
764
00:32:44.840 --> 00:32:47.810
answer. Um, I might just, uh.
765
00:32:47.840 --> 00:32:49.600
Andrew Dunkley: That's a really big call though, isn't it?
766
00:32:49.600 --> 00:32:52.480
Professor Fred Watson: It's a huge call. Absolutely huge call.
767
00:32:53.130 --> 00:32:53.190
Uh,
768
00:32:55.840 --> 00:32:58.480
let me just wind up with the last paragraph
769
00:32:58.480 --> 00:32:59.190
that, uh.
770
00:32:59.190 --> 00:33:00.400
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I was just looking at that
771
00:33:00.400 --> 00:33:02.880
Professor Fred Watson: myself because that's the. Yeah. That Mark
772
00:33:02.880 --> 00:33:05.080
Thompson's written. I think it really sums it
773
00:33:05.080 --> 00:33:07.720
up. Dark energy has never felt
774
00:33:07.720 --> 00:33:09.840
entirely comfortable to many scientists.
775
00:33:09.840 --> 00:33:12.420
Einstein him, introduced something very like
776
00:33:12.420 --> 00:33:13.940
it, which he called his cosmological
777
00:33:13.940 --> 00:33:16.260
constant, then subsequently called it his
778
00:33:16.260 --> 00:33:18.940
biggest blunder. It was quietly resurrected
779
00:33:18.940 --> 00:33:21.180
in the 1990s when the data demanded it.
780
00:33:21.180 --> 00:33:23.580
That's when the accelerated expansion was
781
00:33:23.580 --> 00:33:26.100
discovered. Now the mathematics might be
782
00:33:26.100 --> 00:33:27.860
telling us it was never needed in the first
783
00:33:27.860 --> 00:33:30.860
place. The universe, it turns out, may be
784
00:33:31.100 --> 00:33:33.820
stranger and simpler than we
785
00:33:33.820 --> 00:33:36.380
thought, only both at, ah, the same time.
786
00:33:36.460 --> 00:33:38.980
It's a great article. I encourage all our
787
00:33:38.980 --> 00:33:40.180
listeners to have a look at it.
788
00:33:40.180 --> 00:33:42.850
Andrew Dunkley: Yes, it's at the Universe Today dot com
789
00:33:43.400 --> 00:33:45.760
website or you can read the paper at the
790
00:33:45.760 --> 00:33:48.520
Proceedings of the Royal Society. But, uh, I
791
00:33:48.520 --> 00:33:50.520
dare say we haven't heard the last of this.
792
00:33:51.510 --> 00:33:53.400
Uh, and what if, what if we have got it
793
00:33:53.400 --> 00:33:56.110
wrong? What if dark energy is a furfy? Um,
794
00:33:57.320 --> 00:33:59.920
that's the big question. But, uh, they seem
795
00:33:59.920 --> 00:34:02.920
to be erring towards the probability
796
00:34:03.000 --> 00:34:05.720
that it is in fact a furphy.
797
00:34:05.880 --> 00:34:08.840
Professor Fred Watson: That's right. Um, you know,
798
00:34:09.020 --> 00:34:11.350
uh, I
799
00:34:11.430 --> 00:34:14.390
suspect that, um, this theory,
800
00:34:15.080 --> 00:34:17.950
uh, if you eliminate the need for
801
00:34:17.950 --> 00:34:20.110
dark energy, you might well eliminate the
802
00:34:20.110 --> 00:34:21.510
need for dark matter as well.
803
00:34:23.430 --> 00:34:25.590
Or it might turn out to be primordial black
804
00:34:25.590 --> 00:34:28.550
holes. We've covered two potential
805
00:34:29.590 --> 00:34:31.750
solutions, uh, to the dark matter problem in
806
00:34:32.230 --> 00:34:35.230
this episode. Uh, nobody can accuse us
807
00:34:35.230 --> 00:34:37.690
of not addressing the big question, Andrew.
808
00:34:37.690 --> 00:34:39.690
Andrew Dunkley: Absolutely. We just don't give them the big
809
00:34:39.690 --> 00:34:40.050
answers.
810
00:34:40.050 --> 00:34:41.930
Professor Fred Watson: We don't give them answers. No, that's right.
811
00:34:41.930 --> 00:34:44.010
Leave that to somebody else because we don't
812
00:34:44.010 --> 00:34:45.090
know. No, we don't.
813
00:34:45.090 --> 00:34:47.130
Andrew Dunkley: No, we don't. But, uh, no. Fascinating.
814
00:34:47.210 --> 00:34:49.250
Fascinating storey. A couple of fascinating
815
00:34:49.250 --> 00:34:52.010
storeys. Uh, and it all started with a big
816
00:34:52.010 --> 00:34:53.210
bang called Blue Origin.
817
00:34:54.010 --> 00:34:56.490
Professor Fred Watson: Yes, it did. That's right. It was a huge
818
00:34:56.490 --> 00:34:57.290
bang. It was.
819
00:34:58.090 --> 00:34:58.100
Generic: Um.
820
00:34:58.490 --> 00:35:00.010
Andrew Dunkley: That brings us to the end. Fred Watson, thank
821
00:35:00.010 --> 00:35:00.650
you very much.
822
00:35:01.770 --> 00:35:03.810
Professor Fred Watson: It's a pleasure, Andrew. Always good to have
823
00:35:03.810 --> 00:35:06.650
a chat and uh, bring to the forefront
824
00:35:06.650 --> 00:35:08.650
exactly what's happening in the deep depths
825
00:35:08.650 --> 00:35:08.960
of the.
826
00:35:09.510 --> 00:35:11.190
Andrew Dunkley: Indeed. And good to have you back too.
827
00:35:11.430 --> 00:35:12.070
Professor Fred Watson: Thank you.
828
00:35:12.390 --> 00:35:14.110
Andrew Dunkley: Professor Fred Watson Watson, astronomer M at
829
00:35:14.110 --> 00:35:16.670
large. Don't forget to visit us online at our
830
00:35:16.670 --> 00:35:18.510
website if you so desire. SpaceNightsPodcast.
831
00:35:18.510 --> 00:35:21.230
Uh, dot com. You can click on the
832
00:35:21.230 --> 00:35:23.990
AMA link at the top and ask us anything.
833
00:35:24.390 --> 00:35:27.350
Or ask, uh, anybody anything really. But we
834
00:35:27.350 --> 00:35:29.510
make comments. You can sign up for the
835
00:35:29.830 --> 00:35:32.390
Astronomy AstroDailyPod feed. Uh, you can
836
00:35:32.390 --> 00:35:34.190
become a supporter if you so desire. And
837
00:35:34.190 --> 00:35:36.470
don't forget to leave, uh, reviews at your
838
00:35:36.760 --> 00:35:39.040
favourite podcasting platform wherever you
839
00:35:39.040 --> 00:35:40.840
listen to us. Reviews are really useful
840
00:35:40.840 --> 00:35:43.320
unless they're bad. But then again, there are
841
00:35:43.320 --> 00:35:45.200
some people who like bad because they want to
842
00:35:45.200 --> 00:35:47.560
see what all the fuss is about. Uh, but don't
843
00:35:47.560 --> 00:35:49.560
do it unless you want to. I'm not going to
844
00:35:49.560 --> 00:35:52.040
tell you what to do. Um, but anyway, that's
845
00:35:52.040 --> 00:35:52.280
it.
846
00:35:52.599 --> 00:35:54.920
Thanks to Huw in the studio who couldn't be
847
00:35:54.920 --> 00:35:57.040
with us today because he's a furphy and from
848
00:35:57.040 --> 00:35:58.920
me, Andrew Dunkley. Thanks for your company
849
00:35:59.160 --> 00:36:01.160
on this edition. We'll catch you on the next
850
00:36:01.160 --> 00:36:03.720
episode of Space Nuts. Bye Bye.
851
00:36:04.920 --> 00:36:07.120
You've been listening to the Space Nuts
852
00:36:07.120 --> 00:36:07.720
Generic: podcast
853
00:36:09.460 --> 00:36:12.100
Andrew Dunkley: available at Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
854
00:36:12.180 --> 00:36:14.980
iHeartRadio or your favourite podcast
855
00:36:14.980 --> 00:36:17.300
player. You can also stream on demand at
856
00:36:17.300 --> 00:36:18.020
bytes.
857
00:36:18.020 --> 00:36:20.820
Professor Fred Watson: Com. This has been another quality podcast
858
00:36:20.820 --> 00:36:22.630
production from bytes. Com.
859
00:36:22.630 --> 00:36:24.490
Andrew Dunkley: Um.
0
00:00:02.960 --> 00:00:04.920
Andrew Dunkley: Hello again. Thank you for joining us. This
1
00:00:04.920 --> 00:00:07.400
is Space Nuts where we talk astronomy and
2
00:00:07.400 --> 00:00:10.240
space science. My name is Andrew Dunkley.
3
00:00:10.240 --> 00:00:12.000
Great to have your company. Well, you've
4
00:00:12.000 --> 00:00:14.640
probably been listening to Jonty for the last
5
00:00:14.720 --> 00:00:17.360
few weeks with Fred Watson, uh, overseas
6
00:00:17.360 --> 00:00:19.320
gallivanting as he does. He loves to
7
00:00:19.320 --> 00:00:21.040
gallivant. And
8
00:00:22.160 --> 00:00:24.440
he's back. And what we're going to talk about
9
00:00:24.440 --> 00:00:26.920
today, uh, all sorts of things. A, uh, blue
10
00:00:26.920 --> 00:00:29.000
origin blowout. You've probably seen the
11
00:00:29.000 --> 00:00:31.910
footage. Wow. Uh, primordial black hole,
12
00:00:32.220 --> 00:00:34.940
gravitational micro lensing and is dark
13
00:00:34.940 --> 00:00:37.780
matter A. Ah, Furphy. We'll deal with all of
14
00:00:37.780 --> 00:00:39.740
that today on Space nuts.
15
00:00:39.980 --> 00:00:42.380
Generic: 15 seconds. Guidance is internal.
16
00:00:42.620 --> 00:00:45.340
10, 9. Ignition
17
00:00:45.340 --> 00:00:46.300
sequence start.
18
00:00:46.460 --> 00:00:47.186
Professor Fred Watson: Space nuts.
19
00:00:47.258 --> 00:00:50.087
Generic: 5, 4, 3, 2. 1. 2, 3, 4,
20
00:00:50.160 --> 00:00:52.300
5, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.
21
00:00:52.380 --> 00:00:53.500
Andrew Dunkley: Space nuts.
22
00:00:53.580 --> 00:00:55.420
Generic: Astronauts report it feels good.
23
00:00:56.780 --> 00:00:59.780
Andrew Dunkley: And he's back and he's looking well. It's
24
00:00:59.780 --> 00:01:01.700
Professor Fred Watson Watson, Astronomer at
25
00:01:01.700 --> 00:01:02.780
large. Hello, Fred Watson.
26
00:01:03.020 --> 00:01:04.920
Professor Fred Watson: Hello Andre. You're looking well too. It's
27
00:01:04.920 --> 00:01:05.680
nice to see you.
28
00:01:05.680 --> 00:01:08.020
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it's good to see you too. I mean uh,
29
00:01:08.020 --> 00:01:10.040
it's been a while for both of us because,
30
00:01:10.360 --> 00:01:13.240
um, we had to do a lot of catch up
31
00:01:13.240 --> 00:01:15.280
episodes but we didn't quite have enough time
32
00:01:15.280 --> 00:01:17.400
to cover everything so we brought Jonty in.
33
00:01:17.840 --> 00:01:20.440
Uh, but he and I had to do catch up episodes
34
00:01:20.440 --> 00:01:22.840
to cover an absence of mine.
35
00:01:23.160 --> 00:01:25.560
So um, I haven't actually
36
00:01:25.800 --> 00:01:27.640
recorded with you for quite a while.
37
00:01:28.200 --> 00:01:30.160
Professor Fred Watson: It's uh. Yeah, it must be a couple of months
38
00:01:30.160 --> 00:01:30.520
or so.
39
00:01:30.520 --> 00:01:32.480
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it would be. But it doesn't sound like
40
00:01:32.480 --> 00:01:33.720
that to the audience really.
41
00:01:34.690 --> 00:01:35.410
Professor Fred Watson: No, probably not.
42
00:01:35.410 --> 00:01:37.810
Andrew Dunkley: Yes, it's all witchery.
43
00:01:39.170 --> 00:01:41.330
Well, we. Yeah, I think so. I think so.
44
00:01:41.330 --> 00:01:41.610
Professor Fred Watson: Yeah.
45
00:01:41.610 --> 00:01:43.090
Andrew Dunkley: There's at least two or three of them.
46
00:01:43.490 --> 00:01:44.530
Professor Fred Watson: Yeah. Okay, good.
47
00:01:44.530 --> 00:01:46.210
Andrew Dunkley: So where did you go?
48
00:01:46.770 --> 00:01:49.410
Professor Fred Watson: You were all over the place. Yes. So it was
49
00:01:49.730 --> 00:01:52.730
uh, a conference in Germany that took me up
50
00:01:52.730 --> 00:01:55.490
to Europe and that, that actually was
51
00:01:55.890 --> 00:01:58.890
really interesting, um, because in
52
00:01:58.890 --> 00:02:00.850
fact I was going to Scotland before that. I
53
00:02:00.850 --> 00:02:03.410
had a week with my daughters in Scotland and
54
00:02:03.410 --> 00:02:05.570
then off to Germany. But the trip there,
55
00:02:06.030 --> 00:02:08.470
course, um, we can't fly through the Middle
56
00:02:08.470 --> 00:02:11.310
east at the moment because of the war going
57
00:02:11.310 --> 00:02:13.630
on there. And so my flight
58
00:02:14.990 --> 00:02:17.670
via Dubai, they were long cancelled, but
59
00:02:17.670 --> 00:02:20.270
Mali managed to pull me a flight up to
60
00:02:20.510 --> 00:02:23.270
Seoul in Korea and then
61
00:02:23.270 --> 00:02:26.150
on thin air from Seoul over
62
00:02:26.150 --> 00:02:28.350
the North Pole. And I've actually got a
63
00:02:28.350 --> 00:02:30.750
certificate to prove that I've been over the
64
00:02:30.750 --> 00:02:32.790
North Pole. It's over there. I can't go and
65
00:02:32.790 --> 00:02:34.910
grab it. And then into
66
00:02:35.230 --> 00:02:37.390
Helsinki and then, uh, yes, it was cold.
67
00:02:38.090 --> 00:02:40.730
Then uh, um, uh, across to
68
00:02:40.730 --> 00:02:42.570
Edinburgh. So the Polar Flight was really
69
00:02:42.570 --> 00:02:45.210
interesting because we started off in Seoul
70
00:02:45.210 --> 00:02:48.090
in Korea, uh, and then, you know,
71
00:02:48.090 --> 00:02:50.930
took off, uh, with thin air. And
72
00:02:50.930 --> 00:02:53.690
I expected us to head towards
73
00:02:53.769 --> 00:02:56.690
the, towards the west, because that's what
74
00:02:56.690 --> 00:02:59.450
you do. But no, we headed to the east.
75
00:02:59.530 --> 00:03:02.330
Wow. And we actually went up between
76
00:03:03.050 --> 00:03:05.850
Russia and America, so up the Bering
77
00:03:05.850 --> 00:03:08.690
Strait. So it went far enough
78
00:03:08.690 --> 00:03:10.750
east that you could turn north right up the
79
00:03:10.750 --> 00:03:13.030
Bering Strait. So you got Russia on one side,
80
00:03:13.030 --> 00:03:14.950
America on the other, and then over the North
81
00:03:14.950 --> 00:03:17.790
Pole, uh, with a little polar
82
00:03:17.790 --> 00:03:19.870
certificate to prove it. Nice touchdown in
83
00:03:19.870 --> 00:03:22.790
Helsinki. Yeah. Uh, an hour or so there. Then
84
00:03:22.790 --> 00:03:25.230
a nice flight over to Edinburgh. And I was
85
00:03:25.230 --> 00:03:28.150
with my daughter directly. It was great.
86
00:03:28.310 --> 00:03:31.030
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, fantastic. Um, I've got an Arctic
87
00:03:31.030 --> 00:03:32.870
Circle certificate, I think.
88
00:03:32.870 --> 00:03:34.710
Professor Fred Watson: Yes, you will have. Yeah, I've got one of
89
00:03:34.710 --> 00:03:36.390
those as well. I got a cape certificate in
90
00:03:36.390 --> 00:03:36.630
fact.
91
00:03:36.790 --> 00:03:38.760
Andrew Dunkley: Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
92
00:03:38.990 --> 00:03:41.400
Professor Fred Watson: Um, but the conference I went to in Germany,
93
00:03:41.630 --> 00:03:44.440
uh, was, um, it was the 60th birthday
94
00:03:44.440 --> 00:03:46.840
conference of a colleague with whom I've
95
00:03:46.840 --> 00:03:49.600
worked very closely on um, the RAVE survey
96
00:03:49.600 --> 00:03:51.200
which we've talked about before. The radial
97
00:03:51.200 --> 00:03:53.640
velocity experiment. Uh, Matthias
98
00:03:53.640 --> 00:03:55.880
Steinmetz. Herr Doctor, Professor Matthias
99
00:03:55.880 --> 00:03:58.760
Steinmetz. Uh, very senior German astronomer
100
00:03:58.760 --> 00:04:01.240
now. He, uh, led the project. I was the
101
00:04:01.240 --> 00:04:03.120
project manager. So we worked very closely
102
00:04:03.120 --> 00:04:05.880
together with a team of people, most of whom
103
00:04:05.880 --> 00:04:08.200
were at the conference to celebrate his 60th
104
00:04:08.200 --> 00:04:10.720
birthday. So I was the sole Australian
105
00:04:10.720 --> 00:04:12.520
representative. So they made a bit of a fuss
106
00:04:12.520 --> 00:04:15.200
of me, which was nice. Uh, I got the
107
00:04:15.200 --> 00:04:18.150
kickoff talk and uh, they looked after me.
108
00:04:18.150 --> 00:04:20.600
Uh, so it was very, very good. And I
109
00:04:20.760 --> 00:04:23.400
picked up a lot of what's happening currently
110
00:04:23.400 --> 00:04:25.280
in the field of science that we're doing. Or
111
00:04:25.280 --> 00:04:26.920
we might mention some of that a bit later on
112
00:04:26.920 --> 00:04:27.400
in the show.
113
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Andrew Dunkley: Sounds good.
114
00:04:28.450 --> 00:04:30.800
Uh, my trip, uh, was a little closer to home,
115
00:04:30.800 --> 00:04:33.640
only a nine hour flight away. We went to
116
00:04:34.120 --> 00:04:36.890
Vietnam for two and a half weeks. Uh,
117
00:04:36.980 --> 00:04:38.940
people jokingly said to me, don't mention the
118
00:04:38.940 --> 00:04:41.300
war. But don't mention the war.
119
00:04:42.420 --> 00:04:44.860
It's uh, it's still very sensitive subject
120
00:04:44.860 --> 00:04:47.540
and, and what blew my mind.
121
00:04:47.700 --> 00:04:50.380
And this will be of interest to, um, I
122
00:04:50.380 --> 00:04:52.260
suppose American listeners because of
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00:04:52.260 --> 00:04:54.530
America's involvement in the Vietnam War. But
124
00:04:54.530 --> 00:04:57.020
um, there is still strong
125
00:04:57.020 --> 00:04:58.740
division between north and South.
126
00:04:59.780 --> 00:05:02.700
And uh, it hasn't been forgotten even 50
127
00:05:02.700 --> 00:05:05.570
years after it ended. There's still very much
128
00:05:05.570 --> 00:05:08.290
focused on the aftermath of that
129
00:05:08.290 --> 00:05:11.250
conflict. I
130
00:05:11.250 --> 00:05:13.570
suppose because it was such a defining time
131
00:05:13.570 --> 00:05:16.210
in their history. And uh, I mean the
132
00:05:16.210 --> 00:05:18.090
Vietnam War was only a part of what they
133
00:05:18.090 --> 00:05:19.930
dealt with. They'd been dealing with
134
00:05:20.170 --> 00:05:22.810
colonialism prior to that from
135
00:05:22.810 --> 00:05:25.020
France for um,
136
00:05:25.370 --> 00:05:28.250
decades and decades. Uh, so
137
00:05:28.330 --> 00:05:30.690
it's uh, quite uh, extraordinary. There was a
138
00:05:30.690 --> 00:05:33.690
great documentary, uh, series,
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I think it was on SBS in Australia called the
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Birth of a Nation. And uh, one of our
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guides actually mentioned it and said we'd
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love to see it over here but we're not
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allowed. Uh, so I
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watched it and um, I'm going to try and
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figure out how to get it to him. But I don't
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know. I don't know.
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Professor Fred Watson: We'll see. You could get, you could run afoul
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of diplomatic uh, niceties if you tried
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that. Who knows?
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Andrew Dunkley: Could do. Could do. Anyway.
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Professor Fred Watson: Especially if you talk about it on a public
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podcast. Yeah, maybe like you are doing now.
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Andrew Dunkley: They're probably not allowed to watch this
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over in Vietnam either.
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Professor Fred Watson: Maybe not. No, maybe not.
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Andrew Dunkley: It was funny though because I was pasting
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posting uh, some little videos. I like to do
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little videos while I'm away and I was
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posting them on Tick Tock. I picked up 140
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Vietnamese followers.
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Professor Fred Watson: Oh, that's fantastic. Yeah, I thought it was
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cool. There you go. At least I can watch your
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Tick Tock stuff.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, yeah. Uh, particularly the one I did at
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Harlong Bay. It's beautiful part of the world
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and I only did a 60 second sort of three
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60 degree scan of the place. But uh, for some
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reason that video has gone nuts. It's uh, at
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Last count had 14 and a half thousand views.
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Professor Fred Watson: Whoa.
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Andrew Dunkley: I don't understand it.
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Professor Fred Watson: But uh, yeah, that was nice.
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Andrew Dunkley: And we did all the other stuff. Train street,
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you know where the train runs next to the
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cafes in, in um.
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Professor Fred Watson: No, I didn't. Yeah, yeah, it's very popular
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somewhere I should go.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, up in Hanoi and many, uh, other places
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I went. I won't bore people to tears with it.
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We've got to get down to business. Uh, our
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first topic, Fred Watson, is very
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explosive.
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This is the um, Blue
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Origin Knot launch that happened the
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other day. Uh, in fact I don't even think it
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got an inch off the ground before it went up
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in a beautiful nuclear um,
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plume.
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Professor Fred Watson: It was very like a nuclear plume. And no, it
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wasn't actually meant to get off the ground.
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This was a fire test. Oh, it spied all
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right. Yeah, it did. Uh, it was
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um, um, yes,
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basically testing out the engines for a
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launch that was forthcoming. That was going
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to take a whole lot of uh,
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ah, telecommunications satellites,
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uh, up, uh, into orbit. Uh,
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they were fortunately not on the rocket.
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Uh, I think they were uh, the
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Apple Leo, uh, satellites which is
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what used to be called Kuiper, uh, and is
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perhaps the principal competitor
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potentially to Starlink.
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Um, anyway, the satellites were not
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on the booster, uh
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and uh, it basically was to
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test fire its seven engines. This is
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the new Glenn booster, which is Blue Origin's
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heavy lift booster. It's not as heavy
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lift as the SpaceX, uh,
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super heavy, uh, booster that takes the
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starship up.
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Andrew Dunkley: It's not lifting anything now, is it?
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Professor Fred Watson: It's not, no. And uh, what.
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It's got sort of serious ramifications
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because not only did they blow up the rocket,
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they also blew up the launch pad. Uh,
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effectively there's a lot of damage, uh, to
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the launch pad, which is, if I remember
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rightly, it is at Cape Canaveral.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I think so.
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Professor Fred Watson: Uh, and um,
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that explosion, uh, has caused damage that
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people are now talking about several months,
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if not a year or so to repair.
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Uh, and that's bad because that's the only
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facility in the world that can launch the new
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Glenn booster. And the new Glenn booster
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is needed for the Artemis programme.
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Uh, in particular,
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uh, later this year there was supposed to be
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a test launch of
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their Blue Moon lander. This is Blue
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Origins Lunar Lander, um, which
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is uh, um,
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basically uh, the competition, if
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I can put it that way, with the SpaceX
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Starship. So NASA contracted both SpaceX
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and Blue Origin to develop a
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lander, lunar lander for the moon. SpaceX
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has theirs based on the starship.
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Um, what is it, four to
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50 metres tall? It's colossal. Uh, to
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land that on a rough surface on the moon. I'm
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not sure I'd be that keen on that, but never
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mind. Uh, uh, the Blue Origin
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version, the uh, uh,
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Blue Moon as it's called, uh, that is only
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eight storeys high, uh, so
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it's uh, shorter. Uh, but these two
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are both in the running to land the first
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astronauts on the lunar surface in 2028.
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Uh, so, um, there was going to be a test of
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uh, the new um, Glenn
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Heavy Lifter, lifting up a
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blue moon, um, landing vehicle,
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ah, a prototype landing vehicle, uh,
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into orbit and actually to touch it down on
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the moon. And that was supposed to happen
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this year. That's clearly off the agenda now.
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Uh, and so, um, it's not going to happen
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actually. It's a little bit, because I've
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just read today that that lunar lander,
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um, which of course wasn't on board the
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rocket when it exploded, has just passed with
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flying colours. It's uh, environmental
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test. There's an environmental test that
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everything goes through. It's in A huge
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vacuum chamber, um, which is, um, a
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NASA facility, uh, and
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you can change, uh, uh, the temperature
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to match those huge extremes of
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temperature that you will get on the moon.
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Uh, so their prototype lunar lander, the
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blue MO Mark 1, which is called
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Endurance, which is a great name
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because, uh, that's not what's happened to
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the booster. But Endurance has passed with
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flying colours. Sadly, at the moment there's
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nothing to take it into space, so we'll have
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to see how that evolves.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I think you and I spoke
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about NASA looking at other options other
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than SpaceX, um, not long before you, you
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went away and, um,
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now this is kind of, for want of
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a better term, blown up in Blue Origin's
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face. That takes them off the table.
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Professor Fred Watson: Doesn't, uh, seems to for a
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while, unless they can do some very
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rapid repairs to the launch
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vehicle, sorry, the launch site,
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uh, the launch facility. So, yeah, it could
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push back. So the idea was that late next
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year, uh, there would be the
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Artemis III flight, which would consist
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of these two potential lunar landing
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vehicles, um, the Starship on SpaceX's
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side, the Blue Moon on Blue Origin,
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both going to be launched into Earth orbit,
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uh, to have, um, rendezvous
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tests, uh, to demonstrate their viability,
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uh, when you link them to the space launch
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System. Basically the Orion spacecraft, which
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is what took the Artemis, uh, II
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astronauts around the moon. Ah, that will
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take Artemis iii, beg your pardon, Artemis IV
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astronauts to the moon. But to land, they've
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got to transfer into another spacecraft and
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land on the lunar surface. So all that
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I think, is being thrown into question,
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uh, with this explosion. We will wait to see.
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It's still too early. We don't even know what
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caused it yet. Uh, it was only
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less, uh, than a week ago as we speak.
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Uh, so we don't actually know
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what the consequences are likely to be, but
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they could be quite serious for the
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Artemis programme.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, Uh, I mean, uh, I
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think, uh, Elon Musk calls these things,
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um, successful failures.
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Professor Fred Watson: Uh, I don't know, a rapid
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unscheduled disintegration.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yes. I don't know what Jeff Bezos calls them,
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but, um, yeah,
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hopefully they can get down to the bottom of
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it. But, yeah, it does throw a spanner into
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the works. Maybe it was a spanner thrown into
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the works that caused the explosion. Who
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knows?
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Professor Fred Watson: The one good news storey part, ah, of the
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storey is nobody was injured. Yeah.
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Andrew Dunkley: Wow.
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Professor Fred Watson: Because as you said, it looked like a nucle
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explosion. It was incredible. Uh,
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and, um, so there was huge
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potential for injury there, but everybody was
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Accounted for.
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Andrew Dunkley: I actually read today that some people
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who watched the explosion,
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um, this sort of demonstrates how big and
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powerful it was. Took 37
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seconds to feel the shockwave. Uh,
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Professor Fred Watson: really? So they must have been a long way
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away.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, but they could see it quite clearly. It
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was such a big explosion that the shockwave
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took 37 seconds to reach there.
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That's amazing. Yeah. All
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right. Um, so, uh, yeah, it does
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sort of throw into question the future of
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Blue Origin, um, partnering with NASA
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for Artemis 3. But, uh,
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never write these people off.
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Professor Fred Watson: I've discovered we're not doing
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that. They will rise,
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Phoenix, like from the ashes. But the
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question is how soon and what it will do to
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NASA's schedule.
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Andrew Dunkley: Exactly.
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Professor Fred Watson: With Artemisia.
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Andrew Dunkley: More to come on that, and you can read about
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it, uh, at the Conversation website.
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This is Space Nuts, Andrew Dunkley with
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Professor Fred Watson Watson.
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Generic: Okay, we checked all four systems and
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Professor Fred Watson: being with a go, Space Nuts.
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Andrew Dunkley: Now, our next storey, Fred Watson,
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uh, has a lot of moving parts as well.
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Nothing explosive, but, uh, uh, we're
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talking, what, primordial black holes and
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gravitational microlensing. Is that, Is that,
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that what it's about?
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Professor Fred Watson: Yes, uh, it's certainly, uh, the
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gravitational microlensing. What, uh, it
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means for primordial black holes
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remains to be seen. But, uh, it's a good
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opportunity to talk about it and talk about
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the latest research on this. So what's the
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storey? Um, on the night of the 18th of
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December, 2019,
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uh, there was a
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microlensing event observed with
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a star in the Large Magellanic Cloud,
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the nearest of our. Our sort of large, ish
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galactic neighbours. Um,
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the satellite galaxy of our Milky Way,
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165,000 light years away, as the
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crow flies, as far as I remember.
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So, um, what's a microlensing event? Well,
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something passes in front of a star.
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Uh, you can't actually see the something
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because it's too faint. You can see the light
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of the star. And you might think there's
397
00:16:13.940 --> 00:16:15.940
something passing in front of a star. It
398
00:16:15.940 --> 00:16:18.930
would dim the light of the star. But
399
00:16:18.930 --> 00:16:20.890
actually, if the geometry is right, in other
400
00:16:20.890 --> 00:16:22.970
words, if there's something that passes
401
00:16:22.970 --> 00:16:25.570
between you and the star is far enough away
402
00:16:25.570 --> 00:16:27.250
from the star, you get the opposite effect.
403
00:16:27.650 --> 00:16:30.610
The, um, distortion of the space around
404
00:16:30.610 --> 00:16:33.170
the invisible object, uh, actually
405
00:16:33.250 --> 00:16:36.170
acts as a magnifying glass. And so you
406
00:16:36.170 --> 00:16:38.970
get a brightening of the light of the distant
407
00:16:38.970 --> 00:16:41.850
star. Uh, and this is a phenomenon known as
408
00:16:41.850 --> 00:16:43.890
gravitational microlensing. It's well
409
00:16:43.890 --> 00:16:46.290
established, well observed. Uh, there's a
410
00:16:46.290 --> 00:16:49.150
team in New Zealand which, um, he's Very,
411
00:16:49.150 --> 00:16:51.510
very adept at these microlensing
412
00:16:51.510 --> 00:16:53.950
observations. Uh, so
413
00:16:55.310 --> 00:16:58.150
what we see when that happens is a
414
00:16:58.150 --> 00:17:01.030
rise in the brightness of the star and then
415
00:17:01.030 --> 00:17:03.630
a fall in the brightness of the background
416
00:17:03.630 --> 00:17:05.070
star which
417
00:17:07.230 --> 00:17:10.150
we call a light curve. It's the way the light
418
00:17:10.150 --> 00:17:12.190
changes over time. You can plot it out as a
419
00:17:12.190 --> 00:17:14.590
graph. And it's got a very characteristic
420
00:17:14.590 --> 00:17:17.110
shape. It's a bit like a rather elongated
421
00:17:17.110 --> 00:17:19.470
volcano. It's got a steady ris,
422
00:17:20.490 --> 00:17:23.400
a peak and then a rapid fall, uh,
423
00:17:23.400 --> 00:17:25.890
that falls away very like the flanks of a
424
00:17:25.890 --> 00:17:28.330
volcano. So that's the sort of shape.
425
00:17:28.890 --> 00:17:31.690
So this uh, was the event that was
426
00:17:31.690 --> 00:17:33.930
observed on 18th December.
427
00:17:35.130 --> 00:17:36.970
Can't remember which telescope it was used.
428
00:17:37.500 --> 00:17:40.330
Uh, but we have a group
429
00:17:40.330 --> 00:17:41.930
of Australians who uh, are
430
00:17:42.890 --> 00:17:44.970
directly involved with this.
431
00:17:45.620 --> 00:17:48.370
Uh, so the, the question is
432
00:17:48.690 --> 00:17:51.610
what was the object that passed in front of
433
00:17:51.610 --> 00:17:52.050
the star?
434
00:17:52.690 --> 00:17:55.370
Andrew Dunkley: I'm going to guess maybe a
435
00:17:55.370 --> 00:17:56.690
primordial black hole.
436
00:17:57.330 --> 00:17:59.250
Professor Fred Watson: Well, that's
437
00:17:59.970 --> 00:18:02.690
perhaps the most, um, provocative
438
00:18:03.330 --> 00:18:06.250
explanation. Uh, they've given it
439
00:18:06.250 --> 00:18:07.970
a name, this thing, they've called it Phoebe,
440
00:18:07.970 --> 00:18:09.970
which is I think a lovely name actually.
441
00:18:10.780 --> 00:18:13.410
Um, but uh, the issue
442
00:18:13.410 --> 00:18:16.380
is it is kind
443
00:18:16.380 --> 00:18:18.660
of too small to be
444
00:18:19.220 --> 00:18:21.860
anything normal, if I
445
00:18:21.940 --> 00:18:24.550
put it that way. Um,
446
00:18:24.740 --> 00:18:27.380
so what are the possibilities? One
447
00:18:27.460 --> 00:18:30.260
is what we
448
00:18:30.260 --> 00:18:32.940
sometimes call a rogue planet or an
449
00:18:32.940 --> 00:18:35.460
orphan planet, better known perhaps as a free
450
00:18:35.460 --> 00:18:37.940
floating planet. In other words a planetary
451
00:18:37.940 --> 00:18:40.780
sized object, maybe something that's been
452
00:18:40.780 --> 00:18:43.500
ejected from its solar system or something
453
00:18:43.500 --> 00:18:46.060
that never gained enough mass to become a
454
00:18:46.060 --> 00:18:48.880
star and it's just sort of wandering,
455
00:18:49.350 --> 00:18:52.040
uh, through the galaxy. Uh, we know there are
456
00:18:52.040 --> 00:18:54.960
many of these things, uh, so that could be
457
00:18:56.020 --> 00:18:58.800
uh, one of the explanations for it. But
458
00:18:59.080 --> 00:19:02.000
uh, the issue is this thing
459
00:19:02.560 --> 00:19:05.480
has basically got a
460
00:19:05.480 --> 00:19:08.320
very, very small mass. Uh,
461
00:19:08.320 --> 00:19:10.520
it's only about three times the mass of the
462
00:19:10.520 --> 00:19:12.860
moon. Uh, and that's
463
00:19:13.650 --> 00:19:16.650
kind of small for a planet. Uh, so it
464
00:19:16.650 --> 00:19:19.650
suggests it's an object
465
00:19:19.890 --> 00:19:22.850
that is not a dwarf
466
00:19:22.850 --> 00:19:25.330
planet or, sorry, a rogue planet or an orphan
467
00:19:25.330 --> 00:19:28.130
planet. And it points towards this
468
00:19:28.769 --> 00:19:31.170
much more exotic notion
469
00:19:31.490 --> 00:19:34.300
of a primordial black hole, uh,
470
00:19:34.300 --> 00:19:36.770
which you've kind of, you've already flagged.
471
00:19:37.170 --> 00:19:40.010
And that's where it gets really exciting. So,
472
00:19:40.080 --> 00:19:42.960
so primordial black holes, we've
473
00:19:42.960 --> 00:19:45.480
talked about them before. They were predicted
474
00:19:45.480 --> 00:19:48.370
by Stephen Hawking. They um,
475
00:19:49.200 --> 00:19:52.000
were predicted by him to have been
476
00:19:52.000 --> 00:19:54.720
a byproduct of the Big Bang. In other words,
477
00:19:54.720 --> 00:19:57.640
these are things that don't form from
478
00:19:57.640 --> 00:20:00.400
collapsing stars like the stellar mass black
479
00:20:00.400 --> 00:20:03.040
holes that we see, but from,
480
00:20:03.470 --> 00:20:05.590
um, well, basically, um,
481
00:20:05.590 --> 00:20:08.160
fluctuations in the density,
482
00:20:08.830 --> 00:20:11.670
uh, in the first few
483
00:20:11.910 --> 00:20:14.870
milliseconds after The Big Bang, the density
484
00:20:14.870 --> 00:20:17.870
of that hot medium. Uh, in other words, you
485
00:20:17.870 --> 00:20:19.990
know, if you could get these little spots
486
00:20:19.990 --> 00:20:22.750
that collapse instantaneously to become a
487
00:20:22.750 --> 00:20:25.070
black hole, what you'll produce in the Big
488
00:20:25.070 --> 00:20:27.990
Bang is not just time and space, but
489
00:20:27.990 --> 00:20:30.870
you litter it with these primordial
490
00:20:30.870 --> 00:20:33.430
black holes. And I think it's
491
00:20:33.670 --> 00:20:36.590
from Hawking's work that we assume that
492
00:20:36.590 --> 00:20:39.430
they can be any size you like. Um, they
493
00:20:39.430 --> 00:20:41.750
can be, you know, perhaps,
494
00:20:42.390 --> 00:20:44.390
uh, supermassive black holes, which we know
495
00:20:44.390 --> 00:20:47.190
are the centres of galaxies or, uh,
496
00:20:47.190 --> 00:20:49.790
smaller than stellar mass black
497
00:20:49.790 --> 00:20:52.590
holes. And so by a stellar mass black hole,
498
00:20:52.590 --> 00:20:55.510
we mean one that has a mass of about not
499
00:20:55.510 --> 00:20:57.590
too different from a star. In fact, typically
500
00:20:57.590 --> 00:21:00.580
about five times the mass of the sun. Um,
501
00:21:00.790 --> 00:21:02.830
and they are, ah, thought to have been caused
502
00:21:02.830 --> 00:21:05.030
by a star exploding at the end of its life.
503
00:21:05.030 --> 00:21:07.710
The core collapses, uh, nothing will stop the
504
00:21:07.710 --> 00:21:09.470
collapse and it goes into becoming a black
505
00:21:09.470 --> 00:21:12.250
hole. And but for a star to behave like
506
00:21:12.250 --> 00:21:15.090
that, it's got to be massive, it's got to be
507
00:21:15.090 --> 00:21:17.250
at least, well, five to ten times the mass of
508
00:21:17.250 --> 00:21:20.170
the sun. Um, so that does not
509
00:21:20.170 --> 00:21:22.650
account for things that are, uh, three times
510
00:21:22.970 --> 00:21:25.690
the mass of the Moon. Uh, but,
511
00:21:27.010 --> 00:21:29.930
um, if you can have primordial
512
00:21:29.930 --> 00:21:32.250
black holes of any mass, then
513
00:21:32.730 --> 00:21:35.210
that makes Phoebe a
514
00:21:35.530 --> 00:21:37.770
very distinct candidate for
515
00:21:39.130 --> 00:21:41.960
a primordial black hole. Um, I
516
00:21:41.960 --> 00:21:44.280
might mention that the researchers who've
517
00:21:44.280 --> 00:21:47.160
done this, uh, work are at Swinburne
518
00:21:47.160 --> 00:21:49.920
University in Melbourne, Uh, uh, a university
519
00:21:50.240 --> 00:21:53.040
very active in its studies of actually
520
00:21:53.520 --> 00:21:56.240
most phenomena to do with our galaxy.
521
00:21:56.630 --> 00:21:58.720
Uh, they've got some extremely talented
522
00:21:58.720 --> 00:22:00.160
scientists there, uh, some of whom I know
523
00:22:00.160 --> 00:22:03.090
quite well. Um, so, uh,
524
00:22:03.760 --> 00:22:06.000
it's definitely a microlending event.
525
00:22:06.160 --> 00:22:08.760
Something has caused this phenomenon. Uh, the
526
00:22:08.760 --> 00:22:10.320
question is, what is it?
527
00:22:11.650 --> 00:22:13.280
So let me, um,
528
00:22:14.770 --> 00:22:17.650
segue, if I may, to one of
529
00:22:17.650 --> 00:22:20.010
the talks at, uh, the conference that I was
530
00:22:20.010 --> 00:22:22.610
at in Germany, uh, given by
531
00:22:23.250 --> 00:22:25.170
people who, uh, are. Well, in this case, it
532
00:22:25.170 --> 00:22:27.850
was a black hole specialist. And he was
533
00:22:27.850 --> 00:22:29.410
saying that
534
00:22:30.690 --> 00:22:32.050
the evidence for
535
00:22:33.010 --> 00:22:35.970
primordial black holes is
536
00:22:36.370 --> 00:22:39.250
growing. Uh, and this is just one more
537
00:22:39.250 --> 00:22:41.660
example of it, the example of Phoebe here.
538
00:22:42.450 --> 00:22:45.370
Uh, but he also said he thought this was
539
00:22:45.370 --> 00:22:48.370
the next big thing in black hole
540
00:22:48.370 --> 00:22:50.850
science, uh, to actually
541
00:22:51.410 --> 00:22:54.370
determine the reality of primordial
542
00:22:54.370 --> 00:22:56.010
black holes, whether they are there or
543
00:22:56.010 --> 00:22:58.170
whether they're just, ah, a wild prediction
544
00:22:58.170 --> 00:23:00.450
of professor, uh, Hawking.
545
00:23:00.940 --> 00:23:03.730
Um, but he also made the comet
546
00:23:04.290 --> 00:23:06.850
the comment. Sorry, not the comet. He made
547
00:23:06.850 --> 00:23:09.800
the comment that. But, uh, it
548
00:23:09.800 --> 00:23:12.800
was his belief that the next Nobel Prize in
549
00:23:12.800 --> 00:23:15.400
astronomy or physics is the way it goes
550
00:23:15.560 --> 00:23:18.480
would be the discovery of a
551
00:23:18.480 --> 00:23:20.920
primordial black hole. In other words,
552
00:23:21.580 --> 00:23:24.440
uh, finding absolutely rock solid evidence.
553
00:23:24.840 --> 00:23:27.120
That primordial black holes exist. Now,
554
00:23:27.120 --> 00:23:29.160
Phoebe is not that rock solid evidence.
555
00:23:29.480 --> 00:23:32.200
Because we've got multiple theories.
556
00:23:32.260 --> 00:23:34.400
Uh, yeah, multiple theories. It could even
557
00:23:34.400 --> 00:23:37.350
be, uh, you know, a
558
00:23:37.350 --> 00:23:39.590
lost satellite of a planet. That's been
559
00:23:39.590 --> 00:23:42.070
chucked out of its solar system. So it could
560
00:23:42.070 --> 00:23:44.230
be an object like the moon or Mercury or
561
00:23:44.230 --> 00:23:46.630
something like that. But that seems
562
00:23:46.630 --> 00:23:48.990
unlikely. And, in fact,
563
00:23:49.300 --> 00:23:52.190
um, the primordial
564
00:23:52.270 --> 00:23:54.790
mass black hole idea, I think, is much more
565
00:23:54.790 --> 00:23:57.670
interesting. It's one that I'm sure
566
00:23:57.670 --> 00:24:00.310
will be looked at in detail. The problem with
567
00:24:00.310 --> 00:24:02.750
these gravitational microlensing events,
568
00:24:02.750 --> 00:24:05.510
Andrew, is you only get one shot at it. You
569
00:24:05.510 --> 00:24:07.930
never see the object. So Phoebe's
570
00:24:08.170 --> 00:24:10.450
basically never going to be seen again. All
571
00:24:10.450 --> 00:24:13.090
we've seen is the effect of it passing in
572
00:24:13.090 --> 00:24:16.010
front of a star. Um, so
573
00:24:16.490 --> 00:24:19.250
what we've got to look for is other, perhaps
574
00:24:19.250 --> 00:24:22.010
other similar phenomena. Or
575
00:24:22.170 --> 00:24:25.010
something that is unequivocally a
576
00:24:25.010 --> 00:24:27.290
black hole. But has a mass less than the sun.
577
00:24:27.290 --> 00:24:29.530
And we did talk about a candidate object,
578
00:24:30.040 --> 00:24:32.730
uh, before we both went on our various
579
00:24:32.730 --> 00:24:35.570
sojourns. Uh, we did talk about an object
580
00:24:35.570 --> 00:24:37.330
like that. I'd need to look it up to find out
581
00:24:37.330 --> 00:24:40.230
what it was. And if we can nail one
582
00:24:40.230 --> 00:24:42.470
of these things and say that is definitely
583
00:24:42.630 --> 00:24:45.110
what it is. Um, in fact, the object we talked
584
00:24:45.110 --> 00:24:47.830
about was, uh, the result of, I think, a
585
00:24:47.830 --> 00:24:49.110
collision that was measured with
586
00:24:49.190 --> 00:24:51.950
gravitational waves. So all this is
587
00:24:51.950 --> 00:24:54.749
perhaps pointing to the idea of primordial
588
00:24:54.749 --> 00:24:56.470
mass black holes. Somebody will nail it
589
00:24:56.470 --> 00:24:58.110
before too long, and, uh, they'll probably
590
00:24:58.110 --> 00:24:59.190
get the Nobel Prize.
591
00:24:59.910 --> 00:25:02.710
Andrew Dunkley: Well, I suppose we shouldn't be surprised.
592
00:25:02.950 --> 00:25:05.790
Because in the past we've had theories
593
00:25:05.790 --> 00:25:08.710
about things existing, and voila, suddenly we
594
00:25:08.710 --> 00:25:11.570
find an exoplanet. And we've found thousands
595
00:25:11.570 --> 00:25:13.570
and thousands of them. So it stands to reason
596
00:25:13.570 --> 00:25:15.810
that this is just another progression in that
597
00:25:15.810 --> 00:25:18.770
regard. The evidence is
598
00:25:18.770 --> 00:25:21.210
stacking up. We haven't confirmed one yet,
599
00:25:21.210 --> 00:25:23.890
but it sounds like it's going to happen.
600
00:25:24.530 --> 00:25:27.290
Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, I think that's right. I think we're on
601
00:25:27.290 --> 00:25:30.050
the track of, uh, a whole new
602
00:25:30.530 --> 00:25:33.530
regime of physics. And,
603
00:25:33.530 --> 00:25:36.170
of course, primordial black
604
00:25:36.170 --> 00:25:38.690
holes are, uh, one potential candidate for
605
00:25:38.850 --> 00:25:41.710
dark matter. Um, which
606
00:25:41.710 --> 00:25:44.590
was ruled out in
607
00:25:44.590 --> 00:25:47.110
the 1990s, maybe
608
00:25:47.110 --> 00:25:49.510
prematurely. It was ruled out because we
609
00:25:49.510 --> 00:25:52.070
didn't see a whole lot of these
610
00:25:52.070 --> 00:25:54.350
microlensing events. Which you'd expect to
611
00:25:54.350 --> 00:25:56.709
see if there was a lot of primordial mass
612
00:25:56.709 --> 00:25:59.230
black holes. Maybe it's just that we weren't
613
00:25:59.230 --> 00:26:01.030
looking hard enough that we missed them.
614
00:26:01.270 --> 00:26:03.950
Andrew Dunkley: Maybe, um, yeah, I never look hard enough for
615
00:26:03.950 --> 00:26:04.390
anything.
616
00:26:05.030 --> 00:26:07.890
Professor Fred Watson: Well, that's because you're. You're a male.
617
00:26:07.970 --> 00:26:10.890
Yeah. You're a bloke. And we don't. We,
618
00:26:10.890 --> 00:26:13.450
we look at something and we just don't see
619
00:26:13.450 --> 00:26:13.690
it.
620
00:26:13.690 --> 00:26:15.170
Andrew Dunkley: No, no.
621
00:26:16.610 --> 00:26:19.610
Which is, you know, not real good for
622
00:26:19.610 --> 00:26:21.130
human history. Because weren't we the
623
00:26:21.130 --> 00:26:21.650
hunters?
624
00:26:21.650 --> 00:26:23.170
Professor Fred Watson: Like we were supposed to be able to see
625
00:26:23.170 --> 00:26:26.160
stuff. Quite so. Oh.
626
00:26:26.160 --> 00:26:28.970
Andrew Dunkley: Ah, dear. Uh, it's a really fascinating
627
00:26:28.970 --> 00:26:31.850
storey and I venture to say there'll be more
628
00:26:31.850 --> 00:26:33.930
on this in the not too distant future. But
629
00:26:33.930 --> 00:26:35.810
you can read about it. Great, uh, article
630
00:26:35.810 --> 00:26:37.410
about it on the Univers
631
00:26:39.310 --> 00:26:41.950
website. You're listening to and possibly
632
00:26:41.950 --> 00:26:44.910
viewing Space Nuts with Andrew Dunkley and
633
00:26:44.910 --> 00:26:46.110
Professor Fred Watson Watson.
634
00:26:48.590 --> 00:26:49.990
Generic: Roger, your lot clearer.
635
00:26:49.990 --> 00:26:52.990
Andrew Dunkley: Also Space Nuts. A Final Storey, Fred Watson
636
00:26:52.990 --> 00:26:55.990
intrigues me for one very good reason. It's
637
00:26:55.990 --> 00:26:58.230
one of the pet topics of our audience. We get
638
00:26:58.230 --> 00:27:00.670
a lot of questions about dark energy.
639
00:27:00.910 --> 00:27:03.910
But uh, this storey ponders the
640
00:27:03.910 --> 00:27:06.820
question. Did we actually invent dark
641
00:27:06.820 --> 00:27:09.580
energy for nothing? Why are they suggesting
642
00:27:09.580 --> 00:27:09.940
that?
643
00:27:11.600 --> 00:27:13.700
Professor Fred Watson: Um. Yeah,
644
00:27:14.740 --> 00:27:16.180
it's all mathematics.
645
00:27:17.140 --> 00:27:19.920
And I'd like just to refer, uh,
646
00:27:19.920 --> 00:27:22.660
listeners and viewers, uh, at the outset to a
647
00:27:22.660 --> 00:27:25.620
very nice article, uh, on this
648
00:27:25.820 --> 00:27:28.580
uh, from um, our much admired
649
00:27:28.580 --> 00:27:31.300
Universe Today uh, website that's
650
00:27:31.460 --> 00:27:34.460
kind of an old friend of um,
651
00:27:34.460 --> 00:27:36.840
of Space Nuts, an article written by Mark
652
00:27:36.840 --> 00:27:39.320
Thompson, uh, which really very
653
00:27:39.320 --> 00:27:42.320
eloquently puts this storey
654
00:27:42.400 --> 00:27:44.680
into perspective. And I'm going to quote
655
00:27:44.680 --> 00:27:47.480
Mark, I hope he won't mind me doing that. Um,
656
00:27:47.680 --> 00:27:50.560
because he introduces uh, this
657
00:27:50.560 --> 00:27:53.360
article by saying, stand a pencil on its end
658
00:27:53.600 --> 00:27:56.480
and mathematically speaking it's perfectly
659
00:27:56.480 --> 00:27:58.520
balanced. Every force is accounted for and
660
00:27:58.520 --> 00:28:00.760
the equations are satisfied. And yet you
661
00:28:00.760 --> 00:28:03.120
already know what happens next. The slightest
662
00:28:03.120 --> 00:28:06.100
disturbance and it topples a solution that
663
00:28:06.100 --> 00:28:09.020
exists on paper but can never survive
664
00:28:09.260 --> 00:28:12.060
contact with reality. In other words,
665
00:28:12.580 --> 00:28:15.580
um, something that's stable, but only
666
00:28:15.660 --> 00:28:18.580
stable. Briefly, I uh, think I'm
667
00:28:18.580 --> 00:28:21.020
paraphrasing what he's getting at with that.
668
00:28:21.480 --> 00:28:23.260
Uh, but just to read a little bit further,
669
00:28:23.480 --> 00:28:25.740
uh, from Mark's article, that's the image
670
00:28:25.740 --> 00:28:27.380
Blake Temple, a mathematician at the
671
00:28:27.380 --> 00:28:29.780
University of California Davis, uses to
672
00:28:29.780 --> 00:28:32.220
describe our um, best model of the universe.
673
00:28:32.220 --> 00:28:35.190
And it's a deeply uncomfortable. And
674
00:28:35.190 --> 00:28:37.670
so I think the way this storey evolves
675
00:28:37.910 --> 00:28:40.870
is that yes, we've uh, for
676
00:28:40.870 --> 00:28:42.590
30 years, almost 30 years. It's
677
00:28:42.590 --> 00:28:45.190
1998 when the
678
00:28:45.190 --> 00:28:47.990
accelerated expansion of the universe was
679
00:28:47.990 --> 00:28:50.790
discovered, uh, by
680
00:28:51.080 --> 00:28:53.750
uh, my colleague, um, Brian Schmidt and
681
00:28:54.520 --> 00:28:57.470
uh, uh, his actually competitors
682
00:28:57.470 --> 00:29:00.350
over the Pacific, uh, Saul Perlmutta
683
00:29:00.350 --> 00:29:03.210
and his team, uh, they jointly won the Nobel
684
00:29:03.210 --> 00:29:05.850
Prize in 2011 for that
685
00:29:05.850 --> 00:29:08.240
discovery that um,
686
00:29:09.050 --> 00:29:10.410
the expansion of the universe is
687
00:29:10.410 --> 00:29:13.210
accelerating. And so, um, the
688
00:29:13.210 --> 00:29:15.930
issue was to try and explain that.
689
00:29:15.930 --> 00:29:18.730
And that's why dark energy was
690
00:29:18.730 --> 00:29:21.370
introduced as a concept.
691
00:29:21.770 --> 00:29:24.530
Uh, an invisible, ah, outward
692
00:29:24.530 --> 00:29:27.290
pressure, um, that is part of space,
693
00:29:27.970 --> 00:29:30.480
uh, just pushes space and everything in it
694
00:29:30.480 --> 00:29:33.080
apart. Um, and so
695
00:29:33.480 --> 00:29:35.960
that's where we get our idea
696
00:29:36.360 --> 00:29:38.920
of dark energy from. But
697
00:29:39.090 --> 00:29:41.880
um, this um, mathematician,
698
00:29:42.030 --> 00:29:44.040
uh, Blake Temple has
699
00:29:44.680 --> 00:29:47.000
said, okay, maybe we're
700
00:29:47.560 --> 00:29:49.960
taking too simplistic a view
701
00:29:50.440 --> 00:29:53.000
of all this. Uh, and
702
00:29:53.270 --> 00:29:55.710
uh, I think it's a group of, uh,
703
00:29:56.120 --> 00:29:59.110
mathematicians led by Dr. Temple. Uh,
704
00:29:59.110 --> 00:30:00.860
they've got a paper in the Proceedings of the
705
00:30:00.860 --> 00:30:02.620
Royal Society. You don't get papers in there
706
00:30:02.620 --> 00:30:05.500
if they're rubbish. So, uh, there's
707
00:30:05.500 --> 00:30:07.180
something to think about there. And they've
708
00:30:07.180 --> 00:30:10.020
actually um, mathematically
709
00:30:10.020 --> 00:30:12.340
demonstrated that
710
00:30:12.820 --> 00:30:15.540
our, um, model of
711
00:30:15.780 --> 00:30:18.260
the expansion of the universe with dark
712
00:30:18.260 --> 00:30:21.220
energy in it is unstable.
713
00:30:21.950 --> 00:30:23.940
Uh, it's something that can't
714
00:30:24.660 --> 00:30:27.580
survive. And
715
00:30:28.300 --> 00:30:30.220
that almost,
716
00:30:30.890 --> 00:30:33.820
uh, means that you can rule it
717
00:30:33.820 --> 00:30:36.420
out, uh, in the world of
718
00:30:36.420 --> 00:30:38.780
physics, uh, if you've got a solution that's
719
00:30:38.780 --> 00:30:41.540
unstable, uh, then it
720
00:30:41.540 --> 00:30:43.900
shouldn't happen. And so,
721
00:30:44.090 --> 00:30:46.660
um, what um, uh, Dr.
722
00:30:46.660 --> 00:30:49.580
Temple and his associates are proposing
723
00:30:49.820 --> 00:30:52.620
is that we've got it wrong. Ah, and that
724
00:30:52.910 --> 00:30:55.550
uh, the. The model of the universe
725
00:30:56.910 --> 00:30:58.750
that we have, which
726
00:30:59.470 --> 00:31:02.470
assumes that matter is basically
727
00:31:02.470 --> 00:31:04.910
spread throughout the universe, the universe
728
00:31:04.910 --> 00:31:07.550
is isotropic, it's the same in all
729
00:31:07.550 --> 00:31:10.150
directions. Uh, is
730
00:31:10.150 --> 00:31:12.910
suggesting that that is also
731
00:31:13.070 --> 00:31:15.630
unstable. Um, and
732
00:31:15.710 --> 00:31:18.630
that really we have to take into account the
733
00:31:18.630 --> 00:31:20.660
fact that the universe is, isn't the same
734
00:31:20.740 --> 00:31:23.010
everywhere. Um,
735
00:31:23.850 --> 00:31:26.500
uh. I can't really
736
00:31:26.580 --> 00:31:28.980
go in deeply to the mathematics because I
737
00:31:29.140 --> 00:31:31.980
actually looked at the original
738
00:31:31.980 --> 00:31:34.940
paper. Um, and so I haven't followed
739
00:31:34.940 --> 00:31:37.650
the mathematical um,
740
00:31:37.650 --> 00:31:40.460
steps in the process. And between you and me,
741
00:31:40.460 --> 00:31:42.420
Andrew, I probably couldn't anyway, even if I
742
00:31:42.420 --> 00:31:45.140
looked at the paper because I do
743
00:31:45.140 --> 00:31:47.140
remember what some of the equations,
744
00:31:47.810 --> 00:31:50.020
um, that govern this sort of thing look like.
745
00:31:50.100 --> 00:31:52.820
And I do remember the emotional response
746
00:31:52.820 --> 00:31:55.660
that my psyche gets to
747
00:31:55.660 --> 00:31:58.580
them. But basically what they're
748
00:31:58.580 --> 00:32:00.180
saying is that
749
00:32:00.850 --> 00:32:02.980
uh, that
750
00:32:03.060 --> 00:32:05.940
accelerated expansion, um,
751
00:32:07.060 --> 00:32:09.220
is actually part of what
752
00:32:09.380 --> 00:32:12.180
Einstein suggested in the first
753
00:32:12.180 --> 00:32:15.080
place. And um, without the need
754
00:32:15.080 --> 00:32:17.240
to invoke dark energy,
755
00:32:18.210 --> 00:32:19.400
uh, and
756
00:32:21.800 --> 00:32:24.280
I'm simplifying, I guess, what,
757
00:32:24.570 --> 00:32:27.320
um. Mark, the author of this
758
00:32:27.320 --> 00:32:29.960
article has written. But the bottom line is
759
00:32:29.960 --> 00:32:32.830
that um, our view, uh,
760
00:32:33.080 --> 00:32:35.800
of the universe on its largest scale
761
00:32:36.280 --> 00:32:39.050
is probably naive. It's probably.
762
00:32:40.400 --> 00:32:42.400
We've perhaps oversimplified it and as a
763
00:32:42.400 --> 00:32:44.840
result of that we've come out with the wrong
764
00:32:44.840 --> 00:32:47.810
answer. Um, I might just, uh.
765
00:32:47.840 --> 00:32:49.600
Andrew Dunkley: That's a really big call though, isn't it?
766
00:32:49.600 --> 00:32:52.480
Professor Fred Watson: It's a huge call. Absolutely huge call.
767
00:32:53.130 --> 00:32:53.190
Uh,
768
00:32:55.840 --> 00:32:58.480
let me just wind up with the last paragraph
769
00:32:58.480 --> 00:32:59.190
that, uh.
770
00:32:59.190 --> 00:33:00.400
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I was just looking at that
771
00:33:00.400 --> 00:33:02.880
Professor Fred Watson: myself because that's the. Yeah. That Mark
772
00:33:02.880 --> 00:33:05.080
Thompson's written. I think it really sums it
773
00:33:05.080 --> 00:33:07.720
up. Dark energy has never felt
774
00:33:07.720 --> 00:33:09.840
entirely comfortable to many scientists.
775
00:33:09.840 --> 00:33:12.420
Einstein him, introduced something very like
776
00:33:12.420 --> 00:33:13.940
it, which he called his cosmological
777
00:33:13.940 --> 00:33:16.260
constant, then subsequently called it his
778
00:33:16.260 --> 00:33:18.940
biggest blunder. It was quietly resurrected
779
00:33:18.940 --> 00:33:21.180
in the 1990s when the data demanded it.
780
00:33:21.180 --> 00:33:23.580
That's when the accelerated expansion was
781
00:33:23.580 --> 00:33:26.100
discovered. Now the mathematics might be
782
00:33:26.100 --> 00:33:27.860
telling us it was never needed in the first
783
00:33:27.860 --> 00:33:30.860
place. The universe, it turns out, may be
784
00:33:31.100 --> 00:33:33.820
stranger and simpler than we
785
00:33:33.820 --> 00:33:36.380
thought, only both at, ah, the same time.
786
00:33:36.460 --> 00:33:38.980
It's a great article. I encourage all our
787
00:33:38.980 --> 00:33:40.180
listeners to have a look at it.
788
00:33:40.180 --> 00:33:42.850
Andrew Dunkley: Yes, it's at the Universe Today dot com
789
00:33:43.400 --> 00:33:45.760
website or you can read the paper at the
790
00:33:45.760 --> 00:33:48.520
Proceedings of the Royal Society. But, uh, I
791
00:33:48.520 --> 00:33:50.520
dare say we haven't heard the last of this.
792
00:33:51.510 --> 00:33:53.400
Uh, and what if, what if we have got it
793
00:33:53.400 --> 00:33:56.110
wrong? What if dark energy is a furfy? Um,
794
00:33:57.320 --> 00:33:59.920
that's the big question. But, uh, they seem
795
00:33:59.920 --> 00:34:02.920
to be erring towards the probability
796
00:34:03.000 --> 00:34:05.720
that it is in fact a furphy.
797
00:34:05.880 --> 00:34:08.840
Professor Fred Watson: That's right. Um, you know,
798
00:34:09.020 --> 00:34:11.350
uh, I
799
00:34:11.430 --> 00:34:14.390
suspect that, um, this theory,
800
00:34:15.080 --> 00:34:17.950
uh, if you eliminate the need for
801
00:34:17.950 --> 00:34:20.110
dark energy, you might well eliminate the
802
00:34:20.110 --> 00:34:21.510
need for dark matter as well.
803
00:34:23.430 --> 00:34:25.590
Or it might turn out to be primordial black
804
00:34:25.590 --> 00:34:28.550
holes. We've covered two potential
805
00:34:29.590 --> 00:34:31.750
solutions, uh, to the dark matter problem in
806
00:34:32.230 --> 00:34:35.230
this episode. Uh, nobody can accuse us
807
00:34:35.230 --> 00:34:37.690
of not addressing the big question, Andrew.
808
00:34:37.690 --> 00:34:39.690
Andrew Dunkley: Absolutely. We just don't give them the big
809
00:34:39.690 --> 00:34:40.050
answers.
810
00:34:40.050 --> 00:34:41.930
Professor Fred Watson: We don't give them answers. No, that's right.
811
00:34:41.930 --> 00:34:44.010
Leave that to somebody else because we don't
812
00:34:44.010 --> 00:34:45.090
know. No, we don't.
813
00:34:45.090 --> 00:34:47.130
Andrew Dunkley: No, we don't. But, uh, no. Fascinating.
814
00:34:47.210 --> 00:34:49.250
Fascinating storey. A couple of fascinating
815
00:34:49.250 --> 00:34:52.010
storeys. Uh, and it all started with a big
816
00:34:52.010 --> 00:34:53.210
bang called Blue Origin.
817
00:34:54.010 --> 00:34:56.490
Professor Fred Watson: Yes, it did. That's right. It was a huge
818
00:34:56.490 --> 00:34:57.290
bang. It was.
819
00:34:58.090 --> 00:34:58.100
Generic: Um.
820
00:34:58.490 --> 00:35:00.010
Andrew Dunkley: That brings us to the end. Fred Watson, thank
821
00:35:00.010 --> 00:35:00.650
you very much.
822
00:35:01.770 --> 00:35:03.810
Professor Fred Watson: It's a pleasure, Andrew. Always good to have
823
00:35:03.810 --> 00:35:06.650
a chat and uh, bring to the forefront
824
00:35:06.650 --> 00:35:08.650
exactly what's happening in the deep depths
825
00:35:08.650 --> 00:35:08.960
of the.
826
00:35:09.510 --> 00:35:11.190
Andrew Dunkley: Indeed. And good to have you back too.
827
00:35:11.430 --> 00:35:12.070
Professor Fred Watson: Thank you.
828
00:35:12.390 --> 00:35:14.110
Andrew Dunkley: Professor Fred Watson Watson, astronomer M at
829
00:35:14.110 --> 00:35:16.670
large. Don't forget to visit us online at our
830
00:35:16.670 --> 00:35:18.510
website if you so desire. SpaceNightsPodcast.
831
00:35:18.510 --> 00:35:21.230
Uh, dot com. You can click on the
832
00:35:21.230 --> 00:35:23.990
AMA link at the top and ask us anything.
833
00:35:24.390 --> 00:35:27.350
Or ask, uh, anybody anything really. But we
834
00:35:27.350 --> 00:35:29.510
make comments. You can sign up for the
835
00:35:29.830 --> 00:35:32.390
Astronomy AstroDailyPod feed. Uh, you can
836
00:35:32.390 --> 00:35:34.190
become a supporter if you so desire. And
837
00:35:34.190 --> 00:35:36.470
don't forget to leave, uh, reviews at your
838
00:35:36.760 --> 00:35:39.040
favourite podcasting platform wherever you
839
00:35:39.040 --> 00:35:40.840
listen to us. Reviews are really useful
840
00:35:40.840 --> 00:35:43.320
unless they're bad. But then again, there are
841
00:35:43.320 --> 00:35:45.200
some people who like bad because they want to
842
00:35:45.200 --> 00:35:47.560
see what all the fuss is about. Uh, but don't
843
00:35:47.560 --> 00:35:49.560
do it unless you want to. I'm not going to
844
00:35:49.560 --> 00:35:52.040
tell you what to do. Um, but anyway, that's
845
00:35:52.040 --> 00:35:52.280
it.
846
00:35:52.599 --> 00:35:54.920
Thanks to Huw in the studio who couldn't be
847
00:35:54.920 --> 00:35:57.040
with us today because he's a furphy and from
848
00:35:57.040 --> 00:35:58.920
me, Andrew Dunkley. Thanks for your company
849
00:35:59.160 --> 00:36:01.160
on this edition. We'll catch you on the next
850
00:36:01.160 --> 00:36:03.720
episode of Space Nuts. Bye Bye.
851
00:36:04.920 --> 00:36:07.120
You've been listening to the Space Nuts
852
00:36:07.120 --> 00:36:07.720
Generic: podcast
853
00:36:09.460 --> 00:36:12.100
Andrew Dunkley: available at Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
854
00:36:12.180 --> 00:36:14.980
iHeartRadio or your favourite podcast
855
00:36:14.980 --> 00:36:17.300
player. You can also stream on demand at
856
00:36:17.300 --> 00:36:18.020
bytes.
857
00:36:18.020 --> 00:36:20.820
Professor Fred Watson: Com. This has been another quality podcast
858
00:36:20.820 --> 00:36:22.630
production from bytes. Com.
859
00:36:22.630 --> 00:36:24.490
Andrew Dunkley: Um.
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