Transcript
WEBVTT
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Good morning, everybody. Is that
time Sunday morning, eight o'clock right here,
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seven ninety k AND's t is a
Tean Greenberg and we will bring you
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the Money Matter Show. We'll have
everybody here today except Todd. Todd had
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a god It was great grandmother's birthday
in California, so good for him.
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Pretty cool when you have not only
a grandmother but a great grandmother too.
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That's always a nice thing. That
family, the uniting getting together always won.
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So where are we going? What
are we doing? We have gone
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off every day and made a new
high. Pretty cool in the s and
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P five hundred. Now we're not
up huge for the year. We are
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up two and a half percent,
but every day going up a little bit,
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a little bit, a little bit, a little bit. But you
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look out there and say, what's
hiven this? Well, obviously we've got
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great economic numbers. The GDP was
good, PCE number, inflation indicators were
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good. So how the heck does
everyone think that the Fed is going to
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lower interest rates? Do they really
think they're going to lower interest rates when
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things are actually working in our favor? The economy is working very good,
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and inflation's kind of creeping down.
A little bit. Why would they lower
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rates and just put a spark into
stimulating the economy. I don't see it.
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I don't see it. These pundits
have been so wrong, These economists
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have been so wrong, These institutional
guys have been so wrong. We have
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being cautious, not bullish. But
we also know that's why you stay invested.
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That's how you invest in this.
Make sure that if you're wrong with
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your ability to think the market is
overdone and needs to pull back, and
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you scan it and all those other
things, you still need to have the
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ability to make money. And then
when the markets do pull back, and
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they always do pull back, you
have that cash, You have your hedging,
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you have whatever you did to reduce
the risk to be able to buy
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back in. And the further we
go up, the higher the risk gets.
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I would say we're about an eight
out of ten on the risk side
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right now. Anything can make the
markets go down. We have good economic
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numbers, but something just doesn't seem
right. And if you tell me just
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believe all those numbers, kind of
hard to do that, especially in the
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wake of the things we heard this
week, which I'll talk about later.
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Are these numbers being good? So
they can go out and talk about how
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great Biden economics is and the markets
are at all time highs. So he
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starts changing the tune of people still
thinking that they don't have enough money to
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live in paycheck to paycheck. Well, the markets are up, the big
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and new hires. You shouldn't worry
about money buying eggs and milk and paying
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rent. You should be doing great. You know, that's not how it
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happens. Out of tone, out
of sight, And they keep coming on
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more and more and more. And
if we keep listening to the media,
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if we keep listening to these pundits, not only will the drivers crazy,
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We're going to get false information,
but I will give kudos to the Fed.
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I think Jerome Powell's done a pretty
darn good job in the face of
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everything that he's had to deal with. He's bringing inflation down a little bit,
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not the biten economics. A Federal
Reserve chairman and the people that are
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on the board, and he's allowing
the run the markets, the markets to
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run a little bit and not saying, oh, that's inflationary, which a
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lot of them don't say that.
A lot of them looking at tomorrow,
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that's inflationary. They're gonna have too
much money, They're gonna be spending.
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It's gonna be the economy is going
to be growing. It's good for the
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economy to grow. We've been saying
that, let the economy grow. We're
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at low unemployment, but again,
if you look at the low unemployment,
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it's because a lot of people are
out of work because they don't want to
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work. They pull themselves out of
the employment pool, so they're not even
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considered unemployed. So with that,
we keep moving higher. Forty nine hundred's
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kind of like a resistance zone here. If we break through it, can
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we get to forty nine to fifty
five thousand? We can? I think
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that will be very hard to break
on this quickly, this fast as we
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moved up, unless something changes and
something good comes. And if you if
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we're betting on lower interest rates and
they do it, that could propel the
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market. I don't think they're going
to lower them, and I think that
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will be a catalyst to move us
down. Now I do I think we're
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gonna crash. No, We're in
an election year. Economy is too good.
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It's just not going to turn over
and roll over unless there's an event
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that we don't know about. And
let's face it, there's a lot of
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wars going on different places. There's
a lot of threats going on everywhere,
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from Taiwan to the Middle East to
UH to UH Eastern Europe. There's stuff
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going on. But then when I
sit back and think, it's like,
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really, if these governments will all
together and they all get together for these
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meetings, why are they allowing themselves
to be in war? Why do they
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allow themselves to be kid that the
people killing each other. They're the ones
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in charge. They can say no
more war. We're not gonna have conflict
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in China and Taiwan. We're not
gonna have conflict whether Ukraine and Russia.
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We're not gonna have conflict in the
Middle East. So how do you do
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that? You cut out the bad
apples. You don't let Iran be doing
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what they're doing. You don't let
Russia doing what they're doing. And if
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they come to these global meetings and
these global discussions, why are these leaders
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not just saying we're gonna what can
we do to stop these wars? If
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they wanted to stop the wars,
they could you know that, and I
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know that, just stop them fix
it, fix the economies, and let's
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live happily. Ever after, there's
something that goes on with the good governments,
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the bad governments, these superpowers in
order to keep themselves in power.
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We know that we got dictatorships all
over the place having bad things, and
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us, they're supposed to be a
democracy, trying to make it all work.
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I'm happy the economy is doing great. I'm happy the markets are doing
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great. I wish I felt more
that there was a substantial reason why they're
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doing so good, other than just
well, we're resilient. Well, we
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can only be resilient for so long
if inflation keeps coming down. I agree,
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we can keep going high, But
will the earnings be there? We
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saw last week companies not having good
earnings are intel missed, United Healthcare getting
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killed, Your man are getting killed. These are healthy. These are companies
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that will cast cows because they're predicting
and projecting that they will not meet their
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revenues or in their earnings going forward
over the next year. So are they
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right or the market's right? Either
way anyway doesn't matter. I can tell
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you this right now. We have
moved up very fast. I'm not just
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talking about this year. I'm talking
about late last year into the third and
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fourth quarter, and now the first
quarter pull back. You can go into
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money market funds and now and try
to get five percent, not any brokerage
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money markets. You got to go
ahead and go in the fidelities or vanguards
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of one of those within your portfolio. You don't have to take money out
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and send it to them, just
buy the symbol. They're paying you over
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five percent. It's not bad.
Now, don't go to cash with everything.
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But I started looking at trimming back. This week. We trimmed back
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some of our sp wives, we
trimmed back some of our qqqs. I
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trim back some individual stocks. Trimming
back doesn't mean you sell the entire position.
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It means you're reducing it. If
you want to be in three percent
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to four percent of five whatever it
is, and you're higher than that percentage,
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you pull back to the percentage of
your model. Yes, it's not
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fun to get out and watch a
stock go at fifteen hundred points more,
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but remember you're still having it profitable
because you still have part of your portfolio
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in there. And if it goes
not that much, what do you have
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to do again? Trim it again. But if the markets fall and your
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stock falls or your positions for all
ther index falls, that care set.
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You're now sitting in five percent,
you're able to raise. So if you
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want to be a three percent you
got to four and a half, you
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cut back by one and a half
percent. If you go down to where
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we're at one and a half percent, you increase it back to three percent.
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That's how you manage money. You
could has your portfolio does the same
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thing, so that way you don't
always have to pay taxes. There's ways
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to do things without tax implications.
It's very important to understand all of this
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because when the markets don't make sense, and believe me, when the markets
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are getting beat up, right,
and I remember after two thousand and one,
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and after two thousand and eight,
and people and either two in the
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UH in twenty twenty, when the
markets were going down, people oh,
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I can't get invested. I got
to get out. The market's going lower.
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And what they do they sold as
it was going down, and then
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they never got back in because they
didn't have trigger points. The idea is,
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if you're selling what is going down, start looking for good quality stocks,
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come out of the garbage, go
into quality. If you don't have
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any garbage, come out of some
of the quality, but don't come out
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of it all air to it.
If it comes down, air to it.
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If it goes up, you start
dollar dollar cost averaging again. But
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the idea is is you don't stop
investing. It's a different style of investing,
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that's all. You're aggressive when the
markets go down ten, fifteen,
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twenty thirty percent, and you're cautious
when the markets go up twenty thirty forty
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percent. That doesn't make sense,
Then talk to somebody. You have to
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not only in invest on your wrist
side, you have to invest on your
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fixed income side. People say,
oh, I can't get enough money out
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of my portfolio without a moment.
Well, you know what, You're in
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better shape today than you were three
years ago because fixed income wasn't paying you
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anything. Fixed income wasn't even paying
you one percent. Money markets weren't even
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paying your half a percent. Now
money markets are paying five percent. Money
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markets A bonds are paying your four
and a half to five and a half
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percent quality government bonds, good quality
corporate bonds. My gers are paying your
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five and a half sometimes six percent, And you don't and attack deferred backed
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by the insurance company. These are
good things. Here are other things that
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are out there. And when you
set up your portfolio and somebody said,
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well, you know, I want
to be more aggressive, I want to
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make those type returns. Remember when
you put your portfolio together, say you
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want thirty percent of your assets in
the risk type of stocks, like the
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S and P type stuff and things
like that. Right, So what happens
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is when the markets go up,
don't say and say, oh, they
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were up fifteen percent, and you
say, oh, I'm only up nine
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percent, But was that thirty percent
up fifteen percent or more or less.
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That's what you have to go ahead
and analyze. Is the part of your
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money that you're putting at risk.
Did it perform well? People that were
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in the Magnificent seven last you didn't
perform much higher than the NASDAC. The
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people in the S and P five
hundred, okay, did what they did
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in the spys, which was the
which was the S and P five hundred.
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But if you had an overall portfolio
obviously didn't keep up with just the
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index, but the part of it
that is matched to those areas will do
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what you want. So that's why
you diverse and allocate, and then obviously
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where we are now, why is
everyone cautious because of the geopolitical environment?
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And I don't blame them. I
don't blame them. You got two wars
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going on, you got rumblins over
in China in Taiwan, and we got
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a bubbling supposedly president that doesn't get
what's going on, can't get it done.
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It's amazing how much our foreign policy, our foreign relationships are worse today
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than they were with Trump and everybody
who's complaining about Trump. We're in two
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wars right now, and when Trump
was here, we were none. We
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were getting out of them. Our
border is a mess, and you're looking
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at it possible the start of some
type of civil war in Texas. It's
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amazing how these people in Washington sit
in their White House, perched on their
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pedestals and they just talk about,
we're not allowing you to go ahead and
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put up that Bob Wier to protect
you and your citizens of Texas. Just
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let them come across with no other
solution. Just we're gonna send people down
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there and we're gonna cut that down
and we're gonna get rid of it and
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threaten you got twenty four hours and
if you don't do it, we will
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do it. And whatever happens happened
pretty much. Well, if you think
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the people of Texas are gonna sit
there and take that, I don't think
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so. I don't think so.
The good old boys of Texas are not
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gonna sit there and accept the fact
that this federal government is going to put
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their families, their state at risk
with millions more people coming across the border
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when they're trying to protect themselves.
The economy in there is I do believe
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you've followed the law, and the
problem is is that Supreme Court ruled against
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that and that Biden they need to
follow Biden's rules. The problem is Biden's
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not following his own rules. He's
not protecting us, he's not protecting America.
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It's not I shouldn't say nobody.
There's very few people out there that
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don't think we ever bought a crisis. But yet he refuses to stop people
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from coming in. I don't know
who knows if we got fifteen to twenty
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thirty forty million illegal immigrants in the
United States right now doing nothing, but
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most of them are afraid to expose
themselves and go get a job and do
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all the things you need to do. We have shortage of label. Let's
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figure it out. Not everyone's going
to be happy, but let's figure it
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out. Let's get them speaking English, let's get them educated, Let's get
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them doing the things that we need
to do so they can get ready for
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the trade jobs that they know.
Whether it's agriculture, hospitality, accountants,
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I don't care what it is.
We need more good quality workers. And
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I'm going to say this, most
people that are going to take that track
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and move that far, people that
want to work, that want a better
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life, they will do what it
takes. But you're not going to do
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it and expose yourself if you feel
like you're always going to be arrested or
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sent back or deported or whatever.
But we got to sift through to the
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good ones versus the bad ones.
Well, it's kind of interesting what's going
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on there. It's not going to
end well if this push comes to shove,
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because I tell you right now,
it's no different than people that are
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threatening you at your house like they
did to those people in Illinois, and
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they came out to defend themselves and
they got arrested. If they don't come
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out and defend themselves. If we
don't defend ourselves in Texas and then probably
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Arizona is going to have to do
it next. The people that are going
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to be in trouble the people that
live here, and we're not going to
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back down. The Texas is not
going to back down and say, yeah,
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come on, you know you can
invade my family, my place of
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business, my place of living.
Come on in, Let me pay for
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you, Let me give your places
to live, let me give you food,
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let me give you comfort. Meanwhile, we got poor people not eating
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even close to being taken care of
like they are. It's all about common
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sense right now, and it's obvious
that Washington has no common sense as the
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behind they're fenced in properties, having
their servants make their meals and clean their
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house, driving their gasoline cars.
Well, all the regulations want to ruin
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America. I don't know where it
comes from. I don't know where it
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comes from, but I know,
after hearing what we heard this week,
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I don't trust, I don't believe, and I think it's rampant in politics.
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And you know what I'm talking about, what's going on with Kerry Lake,
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that's just a tip of the iceberg. But I cannot believe that the
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powers to be of the Republican Party
had the Republican Party chairman here go to
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her house and try to bribe her. Now, think about this. He's
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trying to lie his way out and
said he was set up. And everyone's
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heard the tape. Could you imagine
if there was no recording and she just
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says, I'm going to expose you. Which is fun going on for when
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people come out and say these unbelievable
things and they're just say, no,
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that's not true. They didn't hear
it right. They were setting me up.
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They were doing this and doing that, and that's what the media runs
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with. This is cold hard facts. You have it on tape recorded offering
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a job that will pay you money
while you sit out. The people back
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east that you need to sit out
will help support you in the next race.
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Why would she ever believe that?
Why would she ever do it when
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they didn't support it before. So
it's just not the Democrats, it's the
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these Republicans that just want the power. They can't get out of their own
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way. It is we need to
shake up the whole damn thing. I
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am so proud of Kerry Lake to
basically say on tape ten million, fifty
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million, a billion, it doesn't
matter. I cannot be bought. When
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was the last time you heard that
from somebody. We certainly didn't hear from
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a football coach here who left for
fifty six million and that was legal.
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So if they're trying to bribe her, now, how many Democrats get bribed
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all the time, How many Republicans
get bribed all the time. And if
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you think the bribing people, which
I do now for sure, to run
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the races they want, don't you
dare tell me you don't think that they
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fixed the election, that they cheated
on the election where they needed to be.
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Don't tell me that. I'm not
going to say I'm an election deny.
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I'm not even going to say I
want to go back there, but
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damn it, going forward, our
election better be clean. And the only
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way are you going to do it
with all this stuff that we're hearing,
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Arizona Republicans should vote and say,
you know what, we're going to make
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sure that our election coming up in
November is going to be one ballot,
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one person. We either match it
up as a as someone that mailed it
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in or you come down and do
it and drop it off at the place.
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None of this harvest harvesting, none
of this other stuff. We need
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to go the opposite way right now
to convince people that our elections are clean
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and legal, because right now,
I don't believe it. If they're able
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to go in and try to bribe
someone with tens of millions of dollars to
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not run for Senate, that's taking
away our freedoms to who we want to
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vote for. I want an honest
election, not just here but every single
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state in America. That's what needs
to be changed right now. These politicians
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don't trust them. And at the
end of the day, if you're bribing,
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why you're not in jail. Why
did they not just go lock him
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up? I don't care if he
resigned. You couldn't do it. I
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00:22:07.480 --> 00:22:12.799
couldn't do it. Think about it. That was what we found out and
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00:22:12.839 --> 00:22:19.000
got caught. What's really going on. Where's the exposure to all this Democrats
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and Republicans. That's why they hate
Trump so much, and that's why they're
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trying to get Trump through the courts, and that's why they're trying to stop
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people like Kerry Lake they have to
be so extreme to the other side because
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they have to fight, and they
don't want it that way. They want
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someone that's moderate, they can control. I don't want that. I want
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someone that's independent that can help us
grow this country. Stop the damn border,
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keep our economy going, make us
safe in the with foreign policy,
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that's what I want. I want
the wars to stop. College's education to
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become reasonable. I don't want to
be charging interest on college loans. If
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you give or get a loan,
you pay it back at a very low
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interest, one to two percent,
and give incentives to get it done.
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I want a whole new immigration policy
to teach each people how to go ahead
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and learn their trades and do stuff
and speak English and be able to become
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a citizen down the road ten twelve
years to become an American citizen because they
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did everything right. I want a
border that you can't get through unless we
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allow you to come through both north
and South. I want the drugs to
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stop. I want the fen and
all to stop. I want us to
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go ahead and help Mexico clean up
their entire country. I want us to
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take everything away from China and bring
it back to Mexico. We want cheap
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labor. We'll get cheap labor from
there. We'll save all the trades.
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Interpretation, this seems too much.
I'm sorry, but I believe this is
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the way America has to go.
I believe it's there. I believe we
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need to start looking at changes.
We need to start looking at five,
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ten, twenty, thirty years out, not three months out, not one
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year out, not two years out. We need a change in America,
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and not a civil war. We'll
be back. This is Dean Greenberg.
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I appreciate you listening to the money
about his show. Welcome back everybody.
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It's the money about his show.
Hope everyone's having a good weekend. Hey,
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Dave, Dylan and sebast He's filling
in for Todd today. Yes he
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is. God's over in California visitings. He great grandmother, great grandmother's ninety
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seventh birthday. That's so cool.
That is so My grandmother had one hundred
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year at birthday. You remember that
here, I do. Did you know
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your great grandmother? Yes? You
did? Wow. When I remember my
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great grandmother and she lived in brook
And I didn't really understand most of this
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untill later. She couldn't really speak
to English. She came from Russia,
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and I remember her sitting in the
kitchen all the time in this kind of
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big house. I'm like, Later
I found out that my great grandfather had
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a lot to do with building the
subways, actually building the subways in New
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York. Wow. He died and
I never knew him. He died about
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two or three years before I was
born, but in nineteen ninety, nineteen
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fifty five and stuff, he was
worth about eight and a half million dollars.
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Wow. But my grandmother, Okay, had also another nine brothers and
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sisters, so there was ten in
the family. Her and her brother were
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always honest. The other eight stole
from their mother. By the time I
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got done to get passed on to
other generations, nothing left, Oh my
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goodness, nothing left. And that's
what I remember. But I used to
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go to a She's have these.
I always thought they were like stuffed cows.
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You were like almost life sized cows
up there, and I always like
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like, like, what the hell? And I tried to play with him.
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But I was always remember seeing her
in the kitchen speaking Russian, and
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she had the stockings on that she
just kind of rolled up just below the
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knee. You know, today we
always have all athletes had those little wrap
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around things like below the knee or
the That's what she was. That's what
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she had was early and she would
always have us come in and hug us
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and bring us in so close so
I'm grass like I can't breathe, you
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know, And then there was that. But that's what I remember, my
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great grandmother. That's amazing. It's
a nice memory. I think it's amazing.
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Ninety seven years old and you live
long enough that you not only watched
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your grandchildren to grow up, get
married, have kids, but your great
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grandchildren and grow up. That's just
amazing that her great grandchildren and are in
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their twenties. That is quite a
run and that is really special. Do
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you think, Yeah? I think
I was. I was nine my great
332
00:27:00.160 --> 00:27:06.480
grammar dad. Yeah. I must
have been asked a dozen times this week,
333
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what's going on with the stock market? What's going on with the stock
334
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market? And really, if you
step back and look at it, it
335
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really is a Goldielocks type of scenario
for stocks. It's the perfect storm.
336
00:27:17.640 --> 00:27:22.480
If you will, you have a
good economy, growing economy, you have
337
00:27:22.559 --> 00:27:26.079
interest rates declining and inflation declining,
oil prices declining, and then you're throwing
338
00:27:26.119 --> 00:27:33.079
a little batch of a little dose
of AI and you've got a really perfect
339
00:27:33.160 --> 00:27:37.119
environment for stocks. So people that
are concerned anytime the market hits it an
340
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all time high, obviously you're wanting
to be a little bit more cautious.
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But there's reasons for it, yeah, exactly, And I mean it's not
342
00:27:44.680 --> 00:27:47.640
a bad idea to start being a
little cautious when the market's hitting all time
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highs. If you have a bunch
of profit, maybe take them off the
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table and just raise some cash for
we we trimmed back last week. And
345
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what I mean by that is if
you have if you want to keep a
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five percent position on just hypothetically on
video and it's just skyrocket the beginning of
347
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the year, and I have a
ten percent position, sell five percent bring
348
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it back down to where you were. Now you got five percent in profits
349
00:28:06.079 --> 00:28:07.839
that you're having cash, and you
can look for other opportunities. That's the
350
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idea behind it. You don't want
to go all in, all out.
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There's no saying, Dylan that you
never grow broke, take in the profit
352
00:28:15.119 --> 00:28:18.480
exactly and kick yourself. But you
still made the money. Right If you're
353
00:28:18.480 --> 00:28:22.079
trying to buy at the low and
sell it the high. That is never
354
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going to happen. You're gonna get
too greedy and you're gonna lose. If
355
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you bought yourself. You know,
one hundred shares that Nvidia at one hundred
356
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and it's now at six hundred,
and you haven't sold any you might want
357
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to take them off the table.
Get a little little thought to that doesn't
358
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hurt. No. Typically I do
the section out of later points in the
359
00:28:37.240 --> 00:28:40.440
show, but since we're talking about
those all time highs, I'm going to
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do it now. Okay, if
you have any questions and you want them
361
00:28:42.200 --> 00:28:45.559
answered on the show, you could
write us in and that's contact at Greenberg
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00:28:45.599 --> 00:28:49.119
Financial dot com. This question comes
in from Troy. He says, with
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00:28:49.240 --> 00:28:53.759
markets at all time highs, uncertainties
around the markets, and interest rates and
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00:28:53.920 --> 00:28:59.359
interest rates, I'm considering golden precious
metals as a safe haven. It is
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00:28:59.400 --> 00:29:03.400
now a good time to invest in
them. Commodities by their very nature are
366
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speculative. So if you're a you
know, an eighty year old with a
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00:29:07.839 --> 00:29:12.599
balanced portfolio, no, if you're
a twenty five thirty year old who wants
368
00:29:12.640 --> 00:29:15.640
to tee it up a little bit, you'll have some fun. I mean,
369
00:29:15.680 --> 00:29:19.079
gold's not too far off at the
all time high. Is that a
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00:29:19.079 --> 00:29:23.200
place to be to loading up?
You don't know. It doesn't do much.
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00:29:23.279 --> 00:29:26.480
I mean since I've been in the
business six years, it's just fluctuated
372
00:29:26.480 --> 00:29:30.319
from eighteen hundred to twenty one hundred. Yeah, it doesn't do much.
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It's thought of as an alternative.
It's like just safe money in the sense,
374
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but like you said, it's speculative. If you're looking for something more
375
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safe, look to go to treasuries, look to go to corporate grade A
376
00:29:38.839 --> 00:29:42.599
corporate bonds if you're looking to park
your money somewhere for a long time,
377
00:29:42.680 --> 00:29:48.079
or CDs. Yeah. In the
in the perfect world, a gold moves
378
00:29:48.160 --> 00:29:52.960
inversely to interest rates, which is
why it's not a good inflation head.
379
00:29:52.079 --> 00:29:56.960
If interest if you have inflation,
interest rates are rising, and because interest
380
00:29:57.200 --> 00:30:02.240
gold is priced in dollars, the
dollar also rising, gold is going to
381
00:30:02.279 --> 00:30:04.079
decline in that environment. Yeah,
well you could look at it saying,
382
00:30:04.119 --> 00:30:07.039
okay, we're thinking that interest rates
are going to drop, so maybe gold
383
00:30:07.119 --> 00:30:11.119
is going to go up. If
gold drops, then the US dollar drops,
384
00:30:11.200 --> 00:30:15.920
then gold probably will do okay.
But it's been kind of stuck in
385
00:30:15.279 --> 00:30:21.599
around that twenty eighteen hundred twenty fifty
area for a while now for a while.
386
00:30:21.720 --> 00:30:25.279
But it is it is speculative.
It's bitcoin. I mean it really
387
00:30:25.359 --> 00:30:30.240
is speculative. Commodities are are what
somebody's willing to pay you for them,
388
00:30:30.279 --> 00:30:34.599
and there is no price earnings ratio, there's no sales, there's no corporate
389
00:30:34.640 --> 00:30:40.640
governance. It is gold, yes, to mention a derivative of gold,
390
00:30:40.720 --> 00:30:42.920
but yeah, that's not saying speaking
a bitcoin. It was pretty flat for
391
00:30:42.960 --> 00:30:45.920
the week. It dropped the lot
during the middle of the week. It
392
00:30:45.920 --> 00:30:49.200
started at roughly forty one thousand and
change on Monday, and I mean it
393
00:30:49.240 --> 00:30:52.200
goes twenty four to seven all the
time. But what we look at it
394
00:30:52.319 --> 00:30:55.440
tends to be especially now that the
ETFs are out. You look for the
395
00:30:55.440 --> 00:30:59.279
five days, and it was roughly
forty one thousand change on Monday and did
396
00:30:59.319 --> 00:31:03.160
Friday one thousand change, and in
the middle it hit a two months low
397
00:31:03.759 --> 00:31:07.599
exactly. So it really just came
back to flat. But I mean that's
398
00:31:07.599 --> 00:31:10.720
why with bitcoin, like we say, it's very speculative, more so than
399
00:31:10.759 --> 00:31:12.720
gold than it moves a lot.
It's very volatile. Major change in the
400
00:31:12.759 --> 00:31:18.480
market this week, we've been talking
about the Magnificent seven, those seven stocks
401
00:31:18.480 --> 00:31:22.440
that drove the market last year.
We have now changed that. Now the
402
00:31:22.480 --> 00:31:29.079
Magnificent seven is now gone and we
have the Super six, and we have
403
00:31:29.200 --> 00:31:34.079
the Super six. Why dealing Tesla's
out of there? Tesla dammered on Thursday.
404
00:31:34.279 --> 00:31:37.119
Tesla's just getting hammered. And this
should not come as a surprise.
405
00:31:37.200 --> 00:31:44.519
We've talked about on the show.
EV's prices are dropping because of competition.
406
00:31:45.240 --> 00:31:51.240
Ev prices are dropping because of slowing
demand. That Tesla would come out and
407
00:31:51.400 --> 00:31:56.359
say that deliveries in twenty twenty four
could be noticeably lower than they were in
408
00:31:56.400 --> 00:32:01.160
twenty twenty three shouldn't have been shock
to anybody, but it dropped the stock.
409
00:32:01.400 --> 00:32:07.000
Tesla is now down I think twenty
five percent for the year, which
410
00:32:07.039 --> 00:32:09.359
makes it somewhat less than magnificent,
which means it was pretty flat because it
411
00:32:09.400 --> 00:32:15.759
was down twenty five percent on Thursday. Think you got down to on a
412
00:32:15.799 --> 00:32:17.559
Friday at Friday's close, it was
I think one eighty two or one eighty
413
00:32:17.599 --> 00:32:22.039
three, and I thought, well, that might be an attractive entry point.
414
00:32:22.279 --> 00:32:25.440
Then I'll look back a year ago
it was one on one. A
415
00:32:25.519 --> 00:32:30.359
year ago, Tesla stock was one
oh one. Yeah. And what we
416
00:32:30.400 --> 00:32:35.039
always say too is stock craters like
this, be patient. It doesn't just
417
00:32:35.079 --> 00:32:37.079
automatically the next day turn around and
go back up twenty five percent. It
418
00:32:37.160 --> 00:32:40.880
tends to stay around. This might
drop a little lower. Let it stabilize
419
00:32:40.920 --> 00:32:44.279
before you go get your feet wet
with it. Let the dust settle.
420
00:32:45.079 --> 00:32:47.839
Speaking of that magnificance Magnificent seven,
you have a bunch of key earnings coming
421
00:32:47.920 --> 00:32:51.839
up next week. You got Apple, Alphabet, Amazon AMD, which is
422
00:32:51.880 --> 00:32:54.680
not part of the Magnificent seven,
but you've kind of seen that run up
423
00:32:54.720 --> 00:32:59.519
with the latest AI craze, and
you also have Meta and Microsoft's all next
424
00:32:59.519 --> 00:33:04.039
week it's going to be a hopefully
also, how's that mags etf doing.
425
00:33:04.960 --> 00:33:07.799
Not They're gonna have to come out
with super or something on clobberard because their
426
00:33:07.839 --> 00:33:09.319
Tesla, right, I know,
but now it's not even Magnificent seven anymore.
427
00:33:09.319 --> 00:33:13.839
They're gonna have to come out the
new et. It is amazing,
428
00:33:13.839 --> 00:33:15.759
but next week is And of course, at the end of the day,
429
00:33:15.799 --> 00:33:20.480
earnings are what drives the market,
and and earnings have been good. They've
430
00:33:20.519 --> 00:33:23.960
been strong. In addition to this
growing economy and the and the droppings the
431
00:33:24.359 --> 00:33:30.680
Goldie auctioncenario I described earlier. Earnings
have been so far pretty good this quarter,
432
00:33:30.079 --> 00:33:36.400
and next week we get the biggest
week of earnings this entire quarter and
433
00:33:36.480 --> 00:33:40.400
a lot of very major, big
name stocks that will move the market one
434
00:33:40.400 --> 00:33:46.119
way or the other. I valuations
are becoming a bit of an issue,
435
00:33:47.200 --> 00:33:52.039
but I always like to say valuations
don't matter until they do. Yeah,
436
00:33:52.720 --> 00:33:54.720
you know, you start to see
the market roll over a little bit,
437
00:33:54.759 --> 00:33:59.440
then everybody starts to concentrate on valuations. Wha wait, wait a second,
438
00:33:59.599 --> 00:34:02.319
this is the evaluation is awfully high, and like MRK is almost one hundred
439
00:34:02.319 --> 00:34:07.119
times earnings, just well, Pfizer's
seventeen times earnings. And you wonder why.
440
00:34:07.159 --> 00:34:12.000
You know, Merk recently made an
acquisition of a company that specializes in
441
00:34:12.039 --> 00:34:15.320
cancer treatments. And I've got to
think that the reason that merkstock has been
442
00:34:15.360 --> 00:34:19.239
so strong is that people are thinking
they're going to come up with a cure
443
00:34:19.760 --> 00:34:22.920
for cancer. Now we know that
there are many, many different types of
444
00:34:22.960 --> 00:34:25.400
cancer. So when that happens,
though, it can be good and the
445
00:34:25.440 --> 00:34:30.000
stock will rise, but then it'll
tank. Because it happened to Gilliad years
446
00:34:30.039 --> 00:34:32.280
ago. Yes, there, I
forgot the exact disease. But they cured
447
00:34:32.280 --> 00:34:36.360
this disease. Stock shot up.
It was the greatest thing ever. But
448
00:34:36.400 --> 00:34:38.199
then investors realized, Okay, they're
going to cure the disease. Nobody's gonna
449
00:34:38.199 --> 00:34:42.920
need the medicine anymore. That all
of a sudden, their sales progestions dropped
450
00:34:42.920 --> 00:34:45.639
and drop and dropped, and now
it's it just tanked again, typical by
451
00:34:45.639 --> 00:34:49.920
the rumor sell the news kind of
like bitcoin, right exactly, It's something
452
00:34:49.920 --> 00:34:52.320
they'd be aware of, like,
Okay, they cure this disease, you're
453
00:34:52.360 --> 00:34:54.559
not gonna want to keep that stock
forever because they're gonna have to come up
454
00:34:54.559 --> 00:34:58.199
with new revenu They're gonna have to
do acquisitions. That's what Gilliad ran into.
455
00:34:58.360 --> 00:35:00.000
They had to start buying other small
companies try and cure other things,
456
00:35:00.079 --> 00:35:05.960
which is a good thing, but
from a stock perspective, it's not the
457
00:35:06.000 --> 00:35:08.119
greatest. No, that's a great
and that's great insidedylan and it's absolutely right
458
00:35:08.480 --> 00:35:13.000
new all time high in all of
the major industries this week, all time
459
00:35:13.079 --> 00:35:15.920
high, not fifty two weeks,
all time pushing five thousand on the SMP.
460
00:35:16.199 --> 00:35:20.000
Marcus never been this high. Market. It's never been above forty nine
461
00:35:20.079 --> 00:35:24.559
hundred. What was it in before
two thousand? Remember what was before the
462
00:35:24.599 --> 00:35:30.000
dot com bubble? The SMP five. I don't I'm just curious around then.
463
00:35:30.039 --> 00:35:32.599
No meanwow, but sure I was
around them. I don't know.
464
00:35:32.639 --> 00:35:35.800
Other random numbers. I don't know. Yeah, I don't know that one.
465
00:35:35.840 --> 00:35:37.440
I'm sorry, I don't know that
one. Probably in the two thousands,
466
00:35:37.480 --> 00:35:40.519
so it would be I was wondering
when when it hit the thousand.
467
00:35:42.360 --> 00:35:45.199
I remember when the Dow hit one
thousand for the first time. Okay,
468
00:35:45.239 --> 00:35:50.000
because we had Dow one thousand caps. That was way after that. Then
469
00:35:50.280 --> 00:35:54.159
nineteen three you got to coming up
on a break. So we're going to
470
00:35:54.199 --> 00:35:57.840
be back. Thanks for listening and
tuning into Money Matter Show. We'll be
471
00:35:57.880 --> 00:36:06.000
back. Welcome back to the Money
Matter Show. Money of specially board seeing
472
00:36:06.039 --> 00:36:09.599
him here with Dave Sherwood, Dylan
Greenberg, and Dean Greenberg. Here we
473
00:36:09.639 --> 00:36:15.039
are again. There are again.
We're here every Friday. It's like clockwork
474
00:36:15.079 --> 00:36:17.519
again. We were talking every Sunday, I mean every Sunday. We were
475
00:36:17.519 --> 00:36:22.800
talking about the market hitting new all
time highs and why you can actually make
476
00:36:22.840 --> 00:36:24.960
a case that the market should be
at all time highs. If it wasn't
477
00:36:25.559 --> 00:36:29.599
at all time highs, you'd have
to wonder why. And we've said on
478
00:36:29.639 --> 00:36:34.840
this show many many times that every
market decline in history has one thing in
479
00:36:34.880 --> 00:36:39.320
common. Every market decline in history
has been followed by a new all time
480
00:36:39.400 --> 00:36:42.840
high. It's crazy how fast it
went too. Because we were talking to
481
00:36:42.840 --> 00:36:46.480
clients who came in initially back in
the beginning of October open accounts and then
482
00:36:46.559 --> 00:36:50.840
wanted a fund it after the start
of the year. So we met with
483
00:36:50.920 --> 00:36:53.639
them last week and we were talking
about their account how it was like,
484
00:36:53.639 --> 00:36:55.559
Wow, it's got up a lot. They tend out to look at it,
485
00:36:55.599 --> 00:36:58.639
they only want to look at it
twice a year, but said,
486
00:36:58.760 --> 00:37:01.639
to look at them now, it's
were you were down at the beginning of
487
00:37:01.639 --> 00:37:05.719
October, and it's like you don't
even remember that because it went up so
488
00:37:05.840 --> 00:37:07.000
fast and so strong for the last
two and a half months of the year,
489
00:37:07.239 --> 00:37:12.320
including the first few weeks in January, which we always expect. But
490
00:37:12.360 --> 00:37:15.280
it's still crazy how fast that goes. Well. And the thing, the
491
00:37:15.360 --> 00:37:19.840
thing that is almost always the match
that unites a market rally like this is
492
00:37:19.880 --> 00:37:23.760
a belief that interest rates are have
peaked If interest rates are going to be
493
00:37:23.760 --> 00:37:29.880
coming down, that's good for everything. So so that that's one of the
494
00:37:30.000 --> 00:37:32.519
one of the catalysts that sent this
thing going on. That note, an
495
00:37:32.559 --> 00:37:37.920
early Friday Future Future Strading PEG chances
at ninety seven point four percent that the
496
00:37:38.000 --> 00:37:43.480
race will hold steady this January thirty
thirty thirty first out that either, oh,
497
00:37:43.559 --> 00:37:45.840
you think they're going to start lowering
the race later this year, that's
498
00:37:45.840 --> 00:37:49.320
not Why would you do that?
If you're power, you've got to you've
499
00:37:49.320 --> 00:37:52.559
got to go on exactly the way
you wanted to go. What's the point.
500
00:37:52.679 --> 00:37:57.199
Why why you you saved that AMMO
for when you need to add a
501
00:37:57.199 --> 00:38:00.519
little fuel to a week ining economy. You know what it might hit too
502
00:38:00.599 --> 00:38:06.440
big time is housing. Once they
start lolling rates the thousand prices against got
503
00:38:06.599 --> 00:38:09.519
like again somewhere they did three years
ago when they raced went zero. I
504
00:38:09.559 --> 00:38:14.079
hope not because that means that when
I own a house, Okay, I
505
00:38:14.079 --> 00:38:15.480
hope not, because that means the
interrograce is going to go right back up,
506
00:38:16.559 --> 00:38:19.800
and that's going to be the end
of that. What we'd like to
507
00:38:19.800 --> 00:38:22.800
have is some normality, right,
some come back to normals. Fives in
508
00:38:22.840 --> 00:38:27.719
the fours not go down to two
and a half percent for the right mortgage
509
00:38:27.760 --> 00:38:30.199
ring. And I mean it helps
a lot of people. But right the
510
00:38:30.239 --> 00:38:35.440
demand in the mortgage industry, it's
it's rising up three point seven percent last
511
00:38:35.440 --> 00:38:39.159
week, which pushed the NBA Mortgage
Brokers Association's purchase index to its highest level
512
00:38:39.199 --> 00:38:44.800
since April twenty twenty three. That
demand is starting an increase, hopefully Tod's
513
00:38:44.800 --> 00:38:47.760
house or sell. There's an interesting
ETF that we came across a couple of
514
00:38:47.760 --> 00:38:50.880
weeks ago to I don't know if
you guys talked about it last week when
515
00:38:50.920 --> 00:38:53.480
I wasn't here, but it was
XHB. It's the home Builders ETF.
516
00:38:53.719 --> 00:38:59.280
It's an interesting stock player ETF play
because it has it's the home Builders ETF,
517
00:39:00.119 --> 00:39:02.639
but it has dr Horden, it
has KB homes in there, but
518
00:39:02.639 --> 00:39:06.840
it's not a huge position, and
it has Pulti Homes is another big position.
519
00:39:07.039 --> 00:39:09.360
But what it also has is home
Depot, Low's, Williamson, Noma,
520
00:39:09.400 --> 00:39:14.239
everything that goes into the house along
with actual builders. So it's home
521
00:39:14.280 --> 00:39:17.199
Builders ETF, but it has what
goes into it too, so nice and
522
00:39:17.239 --> 00:39:21.960
it's on as very bullish buy right
now on this analytics that we follow.
523
00:39:22.239 --> 00:39:23.639
Yeah, it was interesting. Yeah, No, that's a nice way to
524
00:39:23.639 --> 00:39:29.400
play that. That's a good,
good catcher. Dylan just quickly. Raytheon
525
00:39:29.480 --> 00:39:32.320
had a great week. Raytheon jumped
above ninety dollars for the first time in
526
00:39:32.400 --> 00:39:38.320
several months. They came out with
better than expected revenue and better than expected
527
00:39:38.400 --> 00:39:43.079
net income. We've said on the
show here that that their business is not
528
00:39:43.119 --> 00:39:45.159
going to go away. They're going
to be just fine, you know,
529
00:39:45.679 --> 00:39:49.679
but it does take time. So
it's nice to see Raytheon pop up.
530
00:39:50.599 --> 00:39:53.320
Did you guys notice that we're in
that time of the year where you get
531
00:39:53.320 --> 00:39:57.320
a lot of people saying, come
on, make a donation to the Arizona
532
00:39:57.599 --> 00:40:00.800
tuition tax credit, which I think, which I think we're all familiar with.
533
00:40:01.360 --> 00:40:04.760
I don't know if you know this
or not. For twenty five years
534
00:40:04.800 --> 00:40:08.000
we've been able to direct money to
the school of our choice. But in
535
00:40:08.280 --> 00:40:15.280
Governor Katie hobbs twenty twenty four budget, she's following a campaign promise and proposing
536
00:40:15.320 --> 00:40:22.079
to completely eliminate the tuition tax credit. Wow, why that's thinking that this
537
00:40:22.159 --> 00:40:29.840
will take away the benefit that private
schools have and will make public schools more
538
00:40:29.920 --> 00:40:32.920
desirable. In other words, if
you can't get any kind of a benefit
539
00:40:32.960 --> 00:40:37.159
from this tuition tax payer. Again, it was a campaign promise. I
540
00:40:37.199 --> 00:40:39.559
think that odds of it happening,
the odds of it happening. You don't
541
00:40:39.559 --> 00:40:43.159
want to make public schools better.
You want to keep like You don't want
542
00:40:43.159 --> 00:40:45.320
to give public schools more funding.
No, you want to make public schools
543
00:40:45.320 --> 00:40:49.639
better, and you do that by
not allowing people to give twenty five hundred
544
00:40:49.639 --> 00:40:52.159
bucks to private schools. Gotcha.
God, So private school is going to
545
00:40:52.199 --> 00:40:57.000
struggle more. They're gonna have to
raise the tuition. That'll drive people to
546
00:40:57.039 --> 00:41:00.159
public schools, which will make public
schools stronger, leave it or not that
547
00:41:00.360 --> 00:41:05.119
strong as privatizing this public school.
Yeah, you're gonna you're gonna hear that.
548
00:41:05.320 --> 00:41:08.119
You're gonna hear that a lot.
Yeah. Mexico reported their twenty twenty
549
00:41:08.159 --> 00:41:13.679
three GDP growth. Do you understand
Mexico is booming right now? I can
550
00:41:13.719 --> 00:41:16.519
see the economy in Mexico's booming.
I don't know why everybody's leaving, It's
551
00:41:16.639 --> 00:41:22.719
uh, things are going pretty well. The GDP growth last year was three
552
00:41:22.719 --> 00:41:28.400
point two percent. The United States
was two point five percent. Mexico is
553
00:41:28.440 --> 00:41:31.360
now the twelfth largest economy in the
world. They're also one of the main
554
00:41:31.440 --> 00:41:37.920
buyers of natural gas from the United
States. Because things are cranking uh,
555
00:41:38.000 --> 00:41:40.800
A lot of people are realizing,
as we've been saying on the show for
556
00:41:40.920 --> 00:41:46.000
years, that if we can manufacture
things in Mexico cut the cost, we
557
00:41:46.039 --> 00:41:51.920
can do them cheap dramatically, dramatically
then China. And there's a lot of
558
00:41:51.960 --> 00:41:54.840
that going on. Not enough,
more and more is gonna happen, but
559
00:41:54.960 --> 00:41:59.800
Mexico could clearly turn into one of
the strongest economies around. I wonder if
560
00:41:59.840 --> 00:42:04.960
that. I mean, obviously it
plays into why China's economy is just stalling
561
00:42:05.079 --> 00:42:08.760
right now. China's economy and stock
market is it's unbelievable, and of course
562
00:42:08.760 --> 00:42:13.760
they're Their big problem has been the
real estate bubble. Almost every one of
563
00:42:13.800 --> 00:42:19.320
their private developers has now gone under. The Chinese stock market is at a
564
00:42:19.360 --> 00:42:22.440
five year low, five year low. The Hong Kong stock market, the
565
00:42:22.480 --> 00:42:28.639
Hangsing is at a fifteen year low. Oh it, it's been fifteen years.
566
00:42:29.239 --> 00:42:32.719
So when we talk about China struggling, it's a mighty struggle. What
567
00:42:32.760 --> 00:42:36.440
did they just do to their market
that they're they're coming out with like a
568
00:42:36.440 --> 00:42:39.440
stimulus package or something of this.
Right, They announced last week a two
569
00:42:39.480 --> 00:42:46.119
hundred and seventy eight billion dollar stimulus
package that's being proposed. They also cut
570
00:42:46.119 --> 00:42:52.280
bank reserve requirements. There. They're
doing everything they can do to stimulate the
571
00:42:52.320 --> 00:42:58.280
economy, but until the real estate
bubble works its way through, which can
572
00:42:58.320 --> 00:43:01.639
take years, I don't know.
Second, world's second largest economy, and
573
00:43:01.719 --> 00:43:06.679
that the United States is cranking along
without any help from the world's second largest
574
00:43:06.679 --> 00:43:09.599
economy is kind of going through what
we went through right after we lifted all
575
00:43:09.599 --> 00:43:14.440
the lockdowns or whatever. Because we
didn't go back to it. China had
576
00:43:14.440 --> 00:43:16.079
in lockdowns like another year and a
half. So now they're going through that
577
00:43:16.119 --> 00:43:22.360
issue. That was a huge mistake
to lockdown again, and nobody wanted to
578
00:43:22.480 --> 00:43:24.920
now, but you can't lock the
economy down well. In a couple of
579
00:43:24.960 --> 00:43:29.320
the universities back East decided to go
back to mask mandates a couple of months
580
00:43:29.320 --> 00:43:32.519
ago. That hospitals the just blew
up. Yeah, just don't force on
581
00:43:32.559 --> 00:43:36.559
everybody. I want to wear a
mask. You can't watch TV without seeing
582
00:43:36.599 --> 00:43:40.840
fires. Are trying to advertise the
vaccine or plaques o BID, which is
583
00:43:40.840 --> 00:43:45.280
the tree Travis Kelsey twenty million.
They paid him twenty million dollars. I
584
00:43:45.360 --> 00:43:50.280
was about to say leaving alone,
Travis Kelsey twenty million, twenty million bucks
585
00:43:50.320 --> 00:43:52.079
to get on there and say you
got two shots, right, yep,
586
00:43:52.239 --> 00:43:57.840
the flu in the in the COVID
shot. Ten year treasury and the two
587
00:43:57.880 --> 00:44:00.920
year treasury. We still have an
inverted yield. That's the one last thing
588
00:44:00.960 --> 00:44:05.159
we keep waiting for for, you
know, goldilocks to be really pretty.
589
00:44:05.199 --> 00:44:07.360
It's been like two years, not
right, yeah, yeah, very close
590
00:44:07.400 --> 00:44:10.199
to two years, Dylan. That's
a good, good catch. Ten year
591
00:44:10.239 --> 00:44:15.440
treasury four point one six, two
year treasury four point three six. That's
592
00:44:15.480 --> 00:44:19.679
backwards. We're close, and then
we're getting close again. An inverted yield
593
00:44:19.719 --> 00:44:23.320
curve points to recession. So we'd
like to see the yield curve right itself,
594
00:44:23.840 --> 00:44:28.760
which would officially delaybor. Say Oil, I've got a bid this week.
595
00:44:29.000 --> 00:44:31.559
Really three dollars again too, really
Prompts still have those problems in the
596
00:44:31.599 --> 00:44:35.639
red Sea. Yeah, but they
were there before, and it seems like
597
00:44:35.719 --> 00:44:37.239
you couldn't give it away. I
mean, oil looked like it was on
598
00:44:37.519 --> 00:44:40.840
a death spiral to fifty, you
know, but it did pick up some
599
00:44:40.880 --> 00:44:44.800
steam this week ended at seventy eight, which was up four and at four
600
00:44:44.840 --> 00:44:49.280
and three quarter dollars. Gold Down
ten Bucks finished at twenty sixteen on the
601
00:44:49.320 --> 00:44:52.920
week, So that point on oil, Dave, Yeah, we had back
602
00:44:52.920 --> 00:44:55.400
real quick. Global container shipping rates
have surge one hundred and twenty two percent
603
00:44:55.559 --> 00:45:00.320
since November of twenty three, driven
by delays and rerouting from the red See
604
00:45:00.320 --> 00:45:05.039
the composite rate for a forty foot
container increase seven hundred and five dollars a
605
00:45:05.039 --> 00:45:07.000
week over week. Boy, I'll
tell you so that we're back to that
606
00:45:07.079 --> 00:45:12.079
supply chain stuff again, and there's
the uncertainty of getting things here, and
607
00:45:12.480 --> 00:45:15.440
all the more reason to have things
made in Mexico. I agree with it,
608
00:45:15.519 --> 00:45:19.119
right, all the more reason to
think. I think the big headline
609
00:45:19.159 --> 00:45:23.760
this week was twofold. The Personal
Consumption Index, which is the Fed's favorite
610
00:45:23.760 --> 00:45:28.760
barometer of inflation, was only up
two tenths of a percent last month,
611
00:45:29.320 --> 00:45:31.719
two point nine percent year over You
remember when they started this whole thing,
612
00:45:32.079 --> 00:45:36.440
it was nine percent and their goal
was to get it down to two.
613
00:45:36.639 --> 00:45:38.960
We're pretty darn close. Indeed,
we're pretty darn close. And I think
614
00:45:39.599 --> 00:45:44.840
I got to get a shout out
to Sebastian here. Right before the Iowa
615
00:45:44.960 --> 00:45:50.760
primary, you said that if Trump
wins, it might cause a little pop
616
00:45:50.840 --> 00:45:54.400
in the Trump social media. I
have some notes on this one, so
617
00:45:54.760 --> 00:45:57.880
talk about it. Yeah, I
forgot about a man half. For people
618
00:45:57.920 --> 00:46:00.199
that don't know the digital world,
I was Usition Corp. D Whack is
619
00:46:00.199 --> 00:46:05.239
a speck, a special purpose acquisition
corporation. This is set to merge with
620
00:46:05.280 --> 00:46:08.639
Donald Trump's media and technology technology group, which is behind the truth Social app.
621
00:46:09.280 --> 00:46:13.199
True Social is kind of like a
Twitter or x if you will,
622
00:46:13.440 --> 00:46:16.320
if you don't know what that is. Stock spiked eighty eight percent to nineteen
623
00:46:16.360 --> 00:46:20.440
month highs on Monday alone. That
was eighty eight percent on Monday. This
624
00:46:20.599 --> 00:46:23.199
is that after you told us we
should buy this because if Trump wins Eyeway,
625
00:46:23.199 --> 00:46:25.679
it might jump. Well, this
was yeah. And then obviously I
626
00:46:25.719 --> 00:46:29.639
didn't know DeSantis was going to drop
out of the race, but everybody looked
627
00:46:29.639 --> 00:46:30.679
at me silly on Friday, so
I said, you know what, let
628
00:46:30.719 --> 00:46:35.000
me just put it on by that. That didn't help. Santas made it.
629
00:46:35.159 --> 00:46:37.719
No, it went up eighty eight
percent on Mondays. Yes, okay,
630
00:46:38.559 --> 00:46:42.639
when he beat Haley. It didn't
do it right, that's dropped.
631
00:46:44.119 --> 00:46:47.480
It's extremely volatile people, extremelyolatile.
And what I have there is, as
632
00:46:47.519 --> 00:46:50.920
we know, stocks don't go straight
up, and surgeon price seems to be
633
00:46:50.960 --> 00:46:55.239
purely fueled by momentum and Trump's political
success, not fundamentals. Stock came back
634
00:46:55.440 --> 00:46:59.440
down to earth following Trump's win in
New Hampshire, which put the stop to
635
00:46:59.480 --> 00:47:02.320
this trend. Uh tread carefully.
Yeah, I just wanted to give you
636
00:47:02.360 --> 00:47:06.760
a shout out. Uh. You
know in this office, we uh in
637
00:47:06.840 --> 00:47:08.679
every brokerage office. You know,
you'll you'll got well, you'll try this,
638
00:47:08.760 --> 00:47:12.440
try that. And when you came
out and said that, look and
639
00:47:12.519 --> 00:47:15.840
go god that that looks like it's
just dead money. Why would it?
640
00:47:15.840 --> 00:47:20.440
Why would anybody mess with this?
But sure enough the Sunday Dessantis came out
641
00:47:20.480 --> 00:47:22.000
and dropped out of the race,
which I think, of course makes it
642
00:47:22.039 --> 00:47:27.559
a Biden Trump uh contest. Again, that's pretty that's pretty much set now.
643
00:47:27.760 --> 00:47:30.800
And UH come in the next day
and I stock it and it nearly
644
00:47:30.840 --> 00:47:34.559
doubled the day after you hit.
It's like when it first went public.
645
00:47:34.719 --> 00:47:37.280
Oh yeah, it was amazing.
Even after it's twenty five percent drop,
646
00:47:37.320 --> 00:47:38.880
it's still up one hundred over one
hundred percent in the last month. It's
647
00:47:38.920 --> 00:47:43.719
amazing, ridiculous. It calls a
bashed in Borsini. We'll be back with
648
00:47:43.800 --> 00:47:46.119
the second half of the Money Meta
Show right after this message. Thanks again
649
00:47:46.159 --> 00:48:00.360
for joining us. It's only a
welcome back to the secon An Hour,
650
00:48:00.440 --> 00:48:04.239
The Moneymatter Show. I'm Dylan Greenberg. I'm here with Sebastian Borsini, Dean
651
00:48:04.280 --> 00:48:07.400
Greenberg, and Dave Sherwood. For
those that you just tuning in too,
652
00:48:07.440 --> 00:48:09.920
it's having fun over in California with
a great grandma, ninety seven year old
653
00:48:09.960 --> 00:48:15.239
great grandmother having her birthday. Yep. But for those of you turning it
654
00:48:15.280 --> 00:48:17.599
into the Dow was up point six
percent for the week. The SMP five
655
00:48:17.679 --> 00:48:22.400
hundred was up one point one the
NAZAC was up point nine percent. The
656
00:48:22.480 --> 00:48:25.039
Russell two thousand led the week,
which is a small cap at one point
657
00:48:25.039 --> 00:48:29.239
eight percent. It was up that
much. An RSP the equal way to
658
00:48:29.440 --> 00:48:32.840
SMP five hundred was up one point
one percent or for the week. The
659
00:48:32.880 --> 00:48:37.079
one thing I think, the one
word to describe this market is resilient.
660
00:48:38.599 --> 00:48:43.280
It tried a couple of times during
the week to shell off and they're just
661
00:48:43.599 --> 00:48:46.639
wasn't a lot of interest on the
downside, and there really wasn't even Friday
662
00:48:46.840 --> 00:48:50.519
an open mix. There's kind of
flat and then it jump and then it
663
00:48:50.559 --> 00:48:52.719
just jumped up a lot. At
one point, I think S and P.
664
00:48:52.800 --> 00:48:54.880
It was down with twelve thirteen fourteen
points at one point on Friday,
665
00:48:54.880 --> 00:49:00.280
and they came back close flat like
all was going to the week and it
666
00:49:00.679 --> 00:49:02.320
don't really care, you know,
a yeah, and those you're just tuning
667
00:49:02.360 --> 00:49:06.880
in. And all three indicies hit
all time house but Dows over thirty eight
668
00:49:06.920 --> 00:49:10.400
thousand, Nasdak's over fifteen thousand,
five hundred, SMP's almost five pounds.
669
00:49:12.000 --> 00:49:15.320
And I was a broker when they
now hit in one thousand for the first
670
00:49:15.320 --> 00:49:19.119
time. So when you whenever you
see the market drop, you want to
671
00:49:19.159 --> 00:49:22.920
look for what you should be buying. Same with real estate. When the
672
00:49:22.920 --> 00:49:24.400
real estate market tanks, what do
you do, you know, just run
673
00:49:24.440 --> 00:49:28.440
out and tell your house you go
buy another house. Yeah, And by
674
00:49:28.480 --> 00:49:30.400
doing that, take advantage of some
profits you have if you want to.
675
00:49:30.519 --> 00:49:34.280
If you have no cash right now, let me look to take some profits
676
00:49:34.320 --> 00:49:37.119
off something that's jumped up a lot
over the last few weeks, month,
677
00:49:37.239 --> 00:49:40.480
or whatever it is. If you
have a lot of you're over really overweight
678
00:49:40.880 --> 00:49:44.760
in a certain eta and a certain
stock, you know, you look to
679
00:49:44.800 --> 00:49:47.199
take some profit. We reduce to
our market exposure. I think three to
680
00:49:47.199 --> 00:49:50.840
five percent of last week. I'm
not a big deal. We're still in.
681
00:49:51.199 --> 00:49:52.480
If it keeps going, we'll be
doing just fine. Yeah. And
682
00:49:52.480 --> 00:49:55.280
if you're in an IRA really that
you don't really have to even worry about
683
00:49:55.280 --> 00:49:59.360
capital gains tax or anything like that. If you have a regular taxable broker's
684
00:49:59.360 --> 00:50:01.239
account. That is thing to keep
in mind. If you have a large
685
00:50:01.440 --> 00:50:05.719
game and you sell all of it
because you just want to take it all,
686
00:50:05.719 --> 00:50:07.159
you're gonna have to deal with the
taxes on that. We've been saying
687
00:50:07.199 --> 00:50:10.480
over the last few weeks that we
thought twenty twenty four would be more about
688
00:50:10.559 --> 00:50:15.719
value and less about the Magnificent seven
or the super six, whatever you want
689
00:50:15.719 --> 00:50:20.480
to call it now, and that
has turned out simply not to be true.
690
00:50:20.559 --> 00:50:25.039
Yet. January was a was a
carbon copy really of December, with
691
00:50:25.199 --> 00:50:31.360
the tech stocks leading the way and
the more representative equal weighted S and P
692
00:50:31.480 --> 00:50:36.880
five hundred lagging. In fact,
with the Nasdaq up three percent, the
693
00:50:36.920 --> 00:50:39.440
S and P five hundred, the
NASDAK, the Dow All setting new all
694
00:50:39.519 --> 00:50:45.840
time record highs, the equal weighted
s and P five hundred is down for
695
00:50:45.920 --> 00:50:49.679
the year, just two tenths of
a percent, but still it's down for
696
00:50:49.760 --> 00:50:53.000
the year. It just it's just
kind of one of those odd things.
697
00:50:53.519 --> 00:50:58.199
It's just nvidios. Still it's ridiculous. Yeah, no, it were six
698
00:50:58.239 --> 00:51:01.039
hundred dollars a share. It is
just a couple of deadlines for you.
699
00:51:01.159 --> 00:51:04.800
I know, this time of the
year, everybody's thinking about taxes and doing
700
00:51:04.800 --> 00:51:07.679
the taxes, and I can't wait
to get my ten ninety nine and what
701
00:51:07.800 --> 00:51:08.960
am I going to get my ten
ninety nine R? And what am I
702
00:51:09.000 --> 00:51:13.599
going to get my K one.
There's a couple of deadlines. The ten
703
00:51:13.719 --> 00:51:16.519
ninety nine R, which is from
retirement accounts, any withdrawals you made from
704
00:51:16.519 --> 00:51:22.119
retirement accounts, whether it be your
required minimum distribution or just took money out
705
00:51:22.199 --> 00:51:27.159
to do something. The deadline to
have those in the mail is January thirty
706
00:51:27.159 --> 00:51:30.719
first. Now, if you have
online access, many of the firms have
707
00:51:30.840 --> 00:51:34.800
them online right now. But if
you're going to wait for it to come
708
00:51:34.840 --> 00:51:37.800
in the mail, the deadline to
have those mail is January thirty first.
709
00:51:37.159 --> 00:51:42.079
The ten ninety nine, which is
the one that almost everybody is waiting for
710
00:51:42.960 --> 00:51:49.039
about six or seven years ago.
The brokerage industry convinced the IRS that if
711
00:51:49.079 --> 00:51:53.119
they would allow the brokerage industry to
have two more weeks, it would dramatically
712
00:51:53.159 --> 00:51:59.119
cut down on the amended ten ninety
nine. Remember the clearing firm that your
713
00:51:59.119 --> 00:52:04.840
broker works with issues the ten ninety
nine based upon information provided from outsiders,
714
00:52:05.320 --> 00:52:08.599
and that information can be adjusted actually
from up to five years. But this
715
00:52:09.079 --> 00:52:15.039
was not unusual back in the day. To the middle of February, end
716
00:52:15.079 --> 00:52:19.159
of February, get an amended ten
ninety nine and maybe you'd already filed your
717
00:52:19.159 --> 00:52:22.079
taxes. You don't know what am
I supposed to do now? And file
718
00:52:22.119 --> 00:52:25.800
amended return. So the IRS allowed
the brokerage industry to have two more weeks.
719
00:52:25.840 --> 00:52:30.840
So you're ten ninety nine from your
brokerage account. The deadline to have
720
00:52:30.960 --> 00:52:37.679
those sent out is February fifteenth.
The deadline for k once March fifteenth,
721
00:52:37.199 --> 00:52:40.639
so you've got just just be patient. You can go ahead and get your
722
00:52:40.920 --> 00:52:45.159
March appointment with your with your tax
guy, but just be patient. Also,
723
00:52:45.199 --> 00:52:49.760
if you have not filed your taxes
yet, you can still contribute to
724
00:52:49.840 --> 00:52:52.159
an IRA orth IRA for twenty twenty
three if you did not max out last
725
00:52:52.239 --> 00:52:54.039
year, but you want to try
and max out this year, or just
726
00:52:54.079 --> 00:52:59.039
put more to your accounts. You
can still contribute for twenty twenty three up
727
00:52:59.119 --> 00:53:02.880
until you fire your tax and you
can also get tax credits. That's what
728
00:53:06.400 --> 00:53:09.840
tax credits for twenty four though for
for twenty three if you get it in
729
00:53:09.880 --> 00:53:16.159
before April fifteenth. Tax credits on
public schools, private schools. We're just
730
00:53:16.199 --> 00:53:19.639
talking about that, thinks. Yeah, Katie Hobbs is going to do away
731
00:53:19.679 --> 00:53:25.960
with Yeah. Yeah, what she
wants to do is is UH is changed
732
00:53:25.960 --> 00:53:30.280
the UH not give so many vouchers
away. No, she wants you to
733
00:53:30.280 --> 00:53:35.320
eliminate the tuition tax credit period page
nine of the budget. It's not gonna
734
00:53:35.320 --> 00:53:42.039
happen, so anyway we'd would One
thing. I've been noticing the number of
735
00:53:42.119 --> 00:53:45.559
layoffs. Have you seen it?
Not a day goes by we don't hear
736
00:53:45.559 --> 00:53:49.800
about some major company laying off one
thousand, fifteen hundred two thousand people.
737
00:53:49.880 --> 00:53:52.199
Yeah. I mean the one that
made the most sense I saw last week
738
00:53:52.239 --> 00:53:55.320
was Microsoft. They laid off nineteen
hundred employees from their gaming division, which
739
00:53:55.360 --> 00:54:00.000
was about nine percent of that total
division. And that's because of that acquisition
740
00:54:00.079 --> 00:54:04.760
and from they acquired Activision Blizzard.
Yeah, and now they're bringing over Activision
741
00:54:04.760 --> 00:54:07.559
Blizzard employees, so they're going to
put them in there, which I mean,
742
00:54:07.599 --> 00:54:09.159
I think that's one of the best
acquisitions they had. Of sixty nine
743
00:54:09.199 --> 00:54:13.679
billion dollars. It was their largest
one by far, more than Double LinkedIn,
744
00:54:13.719 --> 00:54:15.920
which was their largest one previously.
You know what I mean. In
745
00:54:15.960 --> 00:54:21.280
twenty twenty three, companies laid off
a total of seven hundred thousand workers.
746
00:54:21.599 --> 00:54:25.559
That's one hundred and fifteen percent increase
over twenty twenty two and the highest since
747
00:54:25.599 --> 00:54:30.199
twenty twenty. Job openings fell to
more than two and a half year low.
748
00:54:30.320 --> 00:54:34.559
Remember how we couldn't find employees.
Not the case anymore. Job openings
749
00:54:34.599 --> 00:54:37.760
two and a half year low.
Layoff announcements have continued. In twenty twenty
750
00:54:37.760 --> 00:54:42.599
four, I pulled up a list
of the layoffs that have taken place in
751
00:54:42.599 --> 00:54:45.360
the last twelve months. It was
it was fourteen pages long. Dave,
752
00:54:45.559 --> 00:54:50.960
this is what I don't understand where
the market is. The economies could but
753
00:54:51.159 --> 00:54:57.599
jobs are starting to open, which
means people aren't working. I don't know
754
00:54:57.639 --> 00:55:00.199
what it is. I don't need
it, but you know, the job
755
00:55:00.239 --> 00:55:01.639
opening just two and a half year
low. Yeah, no, not a
756
00:55:01.719 --> 00:55:05.840
lot of people looking for people.
They just got out. I don't know
757
00:55:05.920 --> 00:55:07.639
what's going on. Yeah, no
one's looking for jobs. It's slowing down,
758
00:55:08.199 --> 00:55:10.159
but the markets keep making new home. I mean, if you're in
759
00:55:10.239 --> 00:55:13.599
these tech companies, they might give
you a good severance package. They're not
760
00:55:13.679 --> 00:55:16.119
really gonna actively look for a job
right away because I know Microsoft, those
761
00:55:16.159 --> 00:55:20.360
people that were laid off, they
give them a great severance package, so
762
00:55:20.480 --> 00:55:22.239
they might just take a few months
off, just stop looking for work.
763
00:55:22.239 --> 00:55:27.079
I don't know, well, but
I don't. I don't trust those numbers.
764
00:55:27.119 --> 00:55:30.320
They I don't trust anything anymore.
It's been showing us that, you
765
00:55:30.400 --> 00:55:32.719
know what, they can manipulate anything
and everything they want. And who cares
766
00:55:32.960 --> 00:55:36.760
because down in two months from now, they can redo the numbers the way
767
00:55:36.760 --> 00:55:39.000
they want them. It's revised,
and then nobody pays an attention to what
768
00:55:39.039 --> 00:55:43.679
the revised was. It's just so
d I'm gonna we're gonna take a trip
769
00:55:43.719 --> 00:55:46.599
to the ev Garage because I know
it's Dean's favorite segment, and h he'll
770
00:55:46.679 --> 00:55:50.960
he'll like to like to hear about
this, right, I can't wait to
771
00:55:51.679 --> 00:55:55.039
iv Oh, let's see Ford has
cut their production on it. Tesla's earnings
772
00:55:55.039 --> 00:56:00.639
weren't as good. Uh, they're
worried about the going forward and who wants
773
00:56:00.679 --> 00:56:02.719
to buy cars. Jaz Ferry never
said the ev garage is only good news.
774
00:56:04.360 --> 00:56:07.119
I started, okay, listen up. I started this segment about six
775
00:56:07.199 --> 00:56:13.960
months ago for educational purposes, right, and part of that education is talking
776
00:56:14.119 --> 00:56:16.960
about what I'm going to talk about
today, and that's problems with electric cars.
777
00:56:17.480 --> 00:56:22.440
That's what wanna talk about today.
Let's face it. We got involved
778
00:56:22.480 --> 00:56:25.280
with it because you were very interested
and you got one, so you'll put
779
00:56:25.320 --> 00:56:28.960
your money where your mouth is.
You wanted to see what it was all
780
00:56:29.000 --> 00:56:30.719
about. You wanted to see the
good and the bad. And you've been
781
00:56:30.719 --> 00:56:34.599
honest about it both times, both
plays. Thank you. So here's the
782
00:56:34.679 --> 00:56:37.760
bads right about an electric car.
First of all, is cost. The
783
00:56:37.880 --> 00:56:42.280
cost of electric cars high. That's
why there's so many haters out there when
784
00:56:42.320 --> 00:56:46.000
it comes to electric cars. They
see it as a rich person's toy range.
785
00:56:46.599 --> 00:56:50.480
It's a great around town car,
but taking it on the road is
786
00:56:50.639 --> 00:56:52.559
more work than I'm willing to put
in. You have to plan, you
787
00:56:52.639 --> 00:56:55.960
have to be willing to set for
forty five minutes to an hour to charge.
788
00:56:58.199 --> 00:57:01.480
It's just too much work. Spare
tire. They don't have spare tires.
789
00:57:01.599 --> 00:57:05.920
Although this is interesting. In preparing
this piece, Dan, this is
790
00:57:06.000 --> 00:57:10.280
wild, I learned that thirty percent
of new gasoline powered cars do not have
791
00:57:10.360 --> 00:57:15.800
spare tires. Must have started something
here and I don't like it. I
792
00:57:15.800 --> 00:57:19.199
don't understand why you don't have that
in they save money thirty percent. Yeah,
793
00:57:19.480 --> 00:57:22.920
you might have Wait, it's you
can get to spare tire in most
794
00:57:23.000 --> 00:57:28.679
places as an option, as a
not on pay extra right. Reliability is
795
00:57:28.719 --> 00:57:31.880
a problem. EV's have twice as
many problems as gasoline powered cars. Full
796
00:57:31.960 --> 00:57:37.079
disclosure. Tesla is an exception.
New technology is often a work in progress.
797
00:57:37.159 --> 00:57:42.480
But Tesla's been doing this for sixteen
years. Most other guys sixteen minutes.
798
00:57:42.519 --> 00:57:45.119
You know it that you have,
that you're having problems shouldn't be a
799
00:57:45.199 --> 00:57:52.159
shock. Public charging infrastructure, far
inferior to gasoline stations, take time.
800
00:57:52.239 --> 00:57:57.480
It takes to fill up dramatically longer. You have to have a home charger.
801
00:57:57.679 --> 00:58:00.639
That's a thousand bucks roughly, But
you've got to have home charger if
802
00:58:00.679 --> 00:58:05.960
you're gonna have electric vehel learning curve
learning curves does not exist with gasoline par
803
00:58:06.079 --> 00:58:08.239
vehicles. We all know how to
operate those right. Hard to jump in
804
00:58:08.360 --> 00:58:13.480
and take off with an electric car
without some type of a tutorial. I've
805
00:58:13.519 --> 00:58:20.280
had mine for seven months and I'm
still learning. Lastly, repairs body shops
806
00:58:20.280 --> 00:58:23.679
are controlled by Tesla and they won't
give the replacement parts to just anyone.
807
00:58:24.239 --> 00:58:28.079
So that's and that's going to run
up the cost. It's gonna run the
808
00:58:28.159 --> 00:58:30.199
car. Well. That said,
my Tesla was the most fun I've ever
809
00:58:30.239 --> 00:58:32.079
had in a car, and I
may be addicted. I was going to
810
00:58:32.119 --> 00:58:36.960
say, you know what's not a
problem with Tesla's speed, you had Damn.
811
00:58:37.000 --> 00:58:39.239
Sebastian had his first ride in the
Tesla last week. They took me
812
00:58:39.280 --> 00:58:44.440
out on Tuesday and man, it
was incredible. It's it knocks you back
813
00:58:44.440 --> 00:58:52.119
in your seat when you really go
pedal to the metal Teslas. There was
814
00:58:52.159 --> 00:58:55.639
a race. There was a Tesla
Roaster versus nine to eleven Porsche, and
815
00:58:55.719 --> 00:59:00.639
the Tesla Roaster was pulled another one, another nine eleven Porsche while it beat
816
00:59:00.840 --> 00:59:05.719
the house. Yeah. I was
having this conversation with Todd Blake. If
817
00:59:05.760 --> 00:59:07.840
I'm looking for a car that I
just want pure speed, I think I
818
00:59:07.960 --> 00:59:10.679
might have to go with the Tesla. I don't what else beats it?
819
00:59:12.039 --> 00:59:15.239
No, there's nothing beats it in
I'm never I'm never challenged at a light
820
00:59:15.360 --> 00:59:19.360
anymore, whether it's a Carvette,
Maderati, whatever, they don't challenge you
821
00:59:19.760 --> 00:59:22.719
at all. Oh what were you
challenge before? Oh? I was challenged
822
00:59:22.719 --> 00:59:25.199
plenty, buddy, I was challenged
plenty of There's no way I pull up
823
00:59:25.199 --> 00:59:29.719
to light. Go Okay, this
guy wants to write some racing because you
824
00:59:29.800 --> 00:59:30.760
beat him, they might kill you. If you don't beat them, they
825
00:59:30.800 --> 00:59:34.039
might kill you. Who knows what's
going to happen. I just ignore.
826
00:59:34.599 --> 00:59:37.559
But you don't think you buy a
Maserati or a Porsche because they're fast.
827
00:59:37.880 --> 00:59:39.599
You don't think that's the part of
the part of the I buy cars that
828
00:59:39.679 --> 00:59:45.920
I can fit in. Okay,
I like them fast, all right,
829
00:59:45.280 --> 00:59:51.639
they like fast cars anyway. I
like smooth cause if you are going ninety
830
00:59:51.760 --> 00:59:53.559
or ninety five one hundred, which
you don't really should be doing, you
831
00:59:53.639 --> 00:59:57.159
don't even realize it and you have
to pull back because it's just smooth,
832
00:59:57.360 --> 01:00:00.760
can't. What's the quietest car you've
ever ridden in Sebastian? Probably the Tesla,
833
01:00:00.039 --> 01:00:04.880
Definitely the Tesla. Yeah, no, no, no engine nise no
834
01:00:05.039 --> 01:00:07.760
kidding weird, Yeah, no,
it is. Listen, I was driving
835
01:00:07.800 --> 01:00:12.239
one they gave me a many years
ago, even before it got hot on
836
01:00:12.320 --> 01:00:15.800
the CV they gave me. Uh, I had a Panama and they so
837
01:00:15.920 --> 01:00:19.039
I had mine was in so they
gave me. Said all we have was
838
01:00:19.079 --> 01:00:22.559
the electric one for you. Okay, I never knew the call was on.
839
01:00:22.320 --> 01:00:25.239
Yeah, I hated it. Well, it's not on really unless you're
840
01:00:25.320 --> 01:00:29.599
driving it. You press the thing. I had no idea. At least,
841
01:00:29.639 --> 01:00:32.119
when you turn on a car,
you get you hear it. I
842
01:00:32.320 --> 01:00:37.039
like it when you don't have it
and you go, Okay, what's going
843
01:00:37.079 --> 01:00:39.880
on here? Am my car on? Is it not on? It's definitely
844
01:00:40.000 --> 01:00:44.519
learning. Well yeah, but you
know you with the electric car, you
845
01:00:44.559 --> 01:00:46.480
put your foot on the brake and
the screen lights up and you're ready to
846
01:00:46.519 --> 01:00:50.519
go. I mean it's that simple. There's no on button or off button.
847
01:00:51.079 --> 01:00:52.960
But the funniest thing when I when
I drive my wife's car, uh,
848
01:00:53.519 --> 01:00:58.320
we take that to California because again
it's a hassle to take the electric
849
01:00:58.400 --> 01:01:00.119
out on the road. So we
take my wife's card. At California,
850
01:01:00.719 --> 01:01:05.280
we got we got to heal a
bend and stop for a bathroom break.
851
01:01:05.519 --> 01:01:07.320
I get out of the car and
go in, and she goes, are
852
01:01:07.360 --> 01:01:09.920
you gonna shut it off? I
go, oh, I forgot, because
853
01:01:09.920 --> 01:01:14.360
you don't shut off an electric car. You close the door lock and it's
854
01:01:14.400 --> 01:01:16.440
off. There's no button. No, there's no on off button. No.
855
01:01:16.639 --> 01:01:20.280
You when you get out of the
car, you put your foot on
856
01:01:20.320 --> 01:01:22.760
the brake, and then the screen
lights up and you're good to go.
857
01:01:22.960 --> 01:01:24.480
No. I think what I think
is neat is when you're driving it and
858
01:01:24.559 --> 01:01:28.079
you take your foot off the pedal, it just almost brings you. It's
859
01:01:28.119 --> 01:01:30.280
a complete stop. And we talked
about that early on the show or a
860
01:01:30.320 --> 01:01:34.360
couple of weeks back, about how
this could be a good safety feature for
861
01:01:34.440 --> 01:01:37.119
older people if somebody has a stroke
or something behind the wheel, at least
862
01:01:37.159 --> 01:01:40.920
the car will come to a stop. Yeah. The we'recoming braking is very
863
01:01:40.960 --> 01:01:45.559
cool and it takes some getting used
to again learning curve. The first couple
864
01:01:45.599 --> 01:01:47.079
of days you have an electric vehicle, it's going to be pretty jerky,
865
01:01:47.760 --> 01:01:52.360
But then once you finally figure it
out, it's really cool. On the
866
01:01:52.440 --> 01:01:55.599
brakes. Are the brakes are warranted
for life? Dan warranted for life.
867
01:01:55.679 --> 01:01:59.320
Could you don't use them? That's
cool, kind of cool. Huh.
868
01:02:00.159 --> 01:02:01.960
Let's move on. So let's talk
a little bit about buoying, because we
869
01:02:02.079 --> 01:02:05.440
talked about that on the show.
Right, we've talked about that a lot.
870
01:02:06.079 --> 01:02:08.079
We thought there might be some buying
interest under two hundred. There was,
871
01:02:08.360 --> 01:02:12.800
and it dropped a two hundred and
banged back to two fifteen. But
872
01:02:12.920 --> 01:02:15.679
we also urged caution and we said, these things do tend to take time
873
01:02:15.800 --> 01:02:20.039
to work themselves out. And what's
happening. It's taking time to work these
874
01:02:20.119 --> 01:02:22.880
out. Well, Southwest Airlines go
ahead, don't. Well what the FAA
875
01:02:22.039 --> 01:02:25.639
said, they can. They're about
to be able to resume the flying of
876
01:02:25.760 --> 01:02:30.519
the grounded current grounded Max nines,
right, but they're not letting them increase
877
01:02:30.559 --> 01:02:34.840
their production of the plane. Well, Southwest said, we're not interested in
878
01:02:34.840 --> 01:02:37.679
anymore right now. Yeah, you
know this is this is not good.
879
01:02:38.480 --> 01:02:42.280
If you're a boy, I just
don't what it's like there is again,
880
01:02:42.360 --> 01:02:45.599
it's because they knew what was going
on. They just put in production the
881
01:02:45.639 --> 01:02:47.800
first time. It's now you feel
like they know what's going on. It's
882
01:02:47.800 --> 01:02:50.639
like, yeah, I we'll just
deal with it when it happens. Because
883
01:02:50.639 --> 01:02:53.400
they'll just figure it out and pay
it off or whatever. It's just fixing
884
01:02:53.400 --> 01:02:57.719
it and taking the time to fix
it all. It's just an example of
885
01:02:58.079 --> 01:03:02.320
a of a typically dean. When
a stock drops big like that, don't
886
01:03:02.440 --> 01:03:07.639
try to catch a falling knife.
That's that's right, that's Tesla. Tesla
887
01:03:07.760 --> 01:03:09.920
is that? Yeah, Tesla right
now. I had some calls that wanted
888
01:03:09.920 --> 01:03:13.320
to buy Tesla Soul, we buy
Tesla right away, and I'm like,
889
01:03:13.480 --> 01:03:15.679
well, hold off a little bit
here, see how it all comes out.
890
01:03:15.800 --> 01:03:19.599
And I said, I'm actually looking
for places to maybe take some money
891
01:03:19.639 --> 01:03:22.880
off the table. I mentioned earlier
that in January of twenty twenty three,
892
01:03:23.239 --> 01:03:27.599
a year ago, it was one
on one. Was one on one,
893
01:03:27.679 --> 01:03:29.519
Oh, I know, and it
ran all the way up to what was
894
01:03:29.599 --> 01:03:32.039
it three hundred or something, h
four hundred? Yeah, did you get
895
01:03:32.039 --> 01:03:36.840
to four hundred? I don't know. I don't think it doesn't matter.
896
01:03:37.000 --> 01:03:39.639
I'm talking about within the last twelve
months. Oh gotcha, and it's falling
897
01:03:39.679 --> 01:03:43.320
again. But yeah, that's the
one thing we've learned in this business.
898
01:03:43.320 --> 01:03:46.239
Stocks drop, don't go in and
buy them right away. And their business
899
01:03:46.400 --> 01:03:51.920
is not good right now? Okay, their business is not good yes,
900
01:03:52.000 --> 01:03:54.400
they make the best electric car out
there. There is demand for electric cars,
901
01:03:54.440 --> 01:03:58.559
but the demand is slowing down.
Let's take it on the other side.
902
01:03:59.000 --> 01:04:00.880
Raytheon came all way down. Let's
talk about that. It came all
903
01:04:00.880 --> 01:04:05.000
the way down. Target came all
the way down. Once they settled down
904
01:04:05.039 --> 01:04:09.559
there for a while and people forget
everything the good byes. Target went from
905
01:04:09.599 --> 01:04:16.280
basically one ten to Raython was down
about seventy second six, it's back to
906
01:04:16.360 --> 01:04:19.280
eighty five. I still think it's
got more upside. It broke ninety last
907
01:04:19.360 --> 01:04:23.239
week. Yeah, it broke above
ninety. But last week briefly and uh
908
01:04:23.440 --> 01:04:28.079
and then was the other one,
Disney went all the way down to what
909
01:04:28.280 --> 01:04:30.719
was it seventy eight or something,
and it's back over ninety. All right,
910
01:04:30.840 --> 01:04:35.079
So look for opportunities. There's always
gonna be opportunities if you are patient.
911
01:04:35.840 --> 01:04:39.800
Disney seems to be getting a bid
now right now. It seems to
912
01:04:39.880 --> 01:04:45.400
be more favorable to people. It's
because there's that proxy fight going on.
913
01:04:45.559 --> 01:04:48.159
Two of them. Yeah, who
was it? I can't remember as a
914
01:04:48.199 --> 01:04:53.079
long time. Two hedge funds or
two hedge funds are involved, right,
915
01:04:53.360 --> 01:04:57.800
and that's that typically means good things
because they're there for one reason only,
916
01:04:57.840 --> 01:05:00.840
and that's to enhance yourholder value.
Right. But also with that saying that
917
01:05:00.880 --> 01:05:03.320
there's always an opportunity to buy stocks
that come down, you want to look
918
01:05:03.320 --> 01:05:05.400
for the companies that you believe in
then you think will be around for a
919
01:05:05.440 --> 01:05:09.119
long time, like a Disney,
like a Raytheon, like a Boeing.
920
01:05:09.760 --> 01:05:13.199
Not those companies that, like in
twenty twenty, just skyrocketed then they came
921
01:05:13.280 --> 01:05:15.800
back down. They're not going to
do it again necessarily like that because they're
922
01:05:15.800 --> 01:05:19.000
fundamentals suck. So what it is
is if they go back down to a
923
01:05:19.079 --> 01:05:24.360
penny stock price, is because that's
their true valuation. You know what I'm
924
01:05:24.440 --> 01:05:28.239
saying. You made a great point. I should have said quality companies exactly.
925
01:05:28.599 --> 01:05:30.679
Quality companies like a Boweling is in
that scenario it was down before and
926
01:05:30.679 --> 01:05:34.000
stall all the tech companies, Yeah, deserves to be a penny stock.
927
01:05:34.559 --> 01:05:38.519
It went to seventy one time.
Don't think it's going to do it again.
928
01:05:38.639 --> 01:05:42.480
Same thing with game Staff. Yeah, those anomalies are outly different.
929
01:05:42.599 --> 01:05:45.079
But quality companies and we say it
all the time, or quality companies you
930
01:05:45.159 --> 01:05:48.599
believe in the company, that's when
you look for the opportunity to buy good
931
01:05:48.679 --> 01:05:54.280
point. I think it's also a
good idea to buy buy companies. Shirt
932
01:05:54.519 --> 01:06:00.119
buy companies whose business is improving,
not companies whose business is deteriorating. No
933
01:06:00.280 --> 01:06:02.320
existent, right, but if they
get that, and especially if they these
934
01:06:02.400 --> 01:06:08.360
quality companies like the Boweling, the
Targets, the Raytheons and uh Disneys that
935
01:06:08.480 --> 01:06:13.079
are quality, but they get knocked
down for an outside reason. You know,
936
01:06:13.119 --> 01:06:15.639
they were losers. You know,
one was political, one was uh
937
01:06:15.840 --> 01:06:20.400
uh Athon had a problem with one
of their uh what was it their the
938
01:06:20.440 --> 01:06:27.280
engine engines. Yeah, billion dollars
blowing is having problems with some of their
939
01:06:27.320 --> 01:06:30.320
planes. Uh. Tesla not sure
what's going on. Well, Tesla's just
940
01:06:30.400 --> 01:06:34.400
their businesses, that's what's slowing.
And it's a very expensive dock. It's
941
01:06:34.519 --> 01:06:39.320
priced for perfection, and what you
have right now is not perfection. That's
942
01:06:39.320 --> 01:06:43.320
why it is probably proved to be
cautious about in video because the video is
943
01:06:43.360 --> 01:06:45.800
run up like Tesla did a couple
of years ago, and you didn't think
944
01:06:45.840 --> 01:06:48.800
it was ever going to come back
down. But obviously TESTA except though except
945
01:06:48.920 --> 01:06:53.039
with the VIDIA and I and I
and I. We had this conversation the
946
01:06:53.079 --> 01:06:58.360
other day with the VIDIA their chip
is so far advanced, everyone's trying to
947
01:06:58.440 --> 01:07:00.960
catch up. I don't believe the
video is sitting there saying, oh,
948
01:07:01.079 --> 01:07:04.519
what's when I don't. We don't
have to worry about what's in the future.
949
01:07:04.920 --> 01:07:09.320
I believe they're always going to be
in the future, which means whatever
950
01:07:09.480 --> 01:07:13.480
people get out together, that would
be yesterday's chip, and they have the
951
01:07:13.880 --> 01:07:15.400
tomorrow's chip. Well that's what they've
shown so far, that one that was
952
01:07:15.440 --> 01:07:19.079
ten thousand dollars, a chip that
was already above and beyond what everybody else
953
01:07:19.079 --> 01:07:21.519
says. They were trying to catch
up the end video's previous chip, right,
954
01:07:21.599 --> 01:07:24.880
not even the one that was saying
kay that was sold out. So
955
01:07:25.400 --> 01:07:28.800
yes, I'm just saying valuation six
fifty seven hundred. If you don't take
956
01:07:28.840 --> 01:07:30.000
some of the money off the table
and it goes down, it's on you.
957
01:07:30.559 --> 01:07:33.039
Which I keep telling me that,
I keep telling myself that, I
958
01:07:33.159 --> 01:07:35.800
keep telling me something that I want
to bang my head against the wall and
959
01:07:35.840 --> 01:07:39.440
that will make sure. But right
now, it's been a fun ride.
960
01:07:39.559 --> 01:07:42.360
I think the other one like that
is Costco. It's just been just going
961
01:07:42.440 --> 01:07:45.840
and going and going. It's a
party. Seven hundred dollars this year Costco.
962
01:07:45.280 --> 01:07:49.519
It was hanging around three eighty for
months, not that long ago.
963
01:07:50.199 --> 01:07:54.360
I do want to bring up something
though, if you're sophisticated enough and understand,
964
01:07:54.960 --> 01:07:57.920
like with the video, because I
don't pay all those taxes until at
965
01:07:57.960 --> 01:08:00.360
least gets long term gains and stuff. Sure, some of them they have
966
01:08:00.519 --> 01:08:05.079
the inverse that you can buy as
a hedge like mvds, and I've been
967
01:08:05.119 --> 01:08:10.880
doing that on short term basises.
It's like insurance. The video goes up
968
01:08:10.920 --> 01:08:14.960
twenty okay, so you make twenty
points. The other one might go down
969
01:08:15.000 --> 01:08:18.960
a point. So you're always going
to be ahead of the game as long
970
01:08:18.960 --> 01:08:21.840
as but you have to know the
correlation with it. But it's a way
971
01:08:21.920 --> 01:08:26.319
that you don't have to go ahead
and pay taxes by taking money off the
972
01:08:26.359 --> 01:08:30.159
table, but protect yourself. It's
an ETF that goes up when in video
973
01:08:30.239 --> 01:08:32.680
goes down. Yes, and it's
a nice, a nice idea. She
974
01:08:32.800 --> 01:08:36.760
gave the Sebastian a shout out for
his d WAT call. I'll give Dean
975
01:08:36.840 --> 01:08:42.079
Greenberg a shout out. We had
an investment committee meeting on Wednesday, and
976
01:08:42.399 --> 01:08:45.840
Dino says, you know, I'm
really starting to like IBM. What happened
977
01:08:45.880 --> 01:08:50.000
the next day. D I know
it didn't go down, Dave it.
978
01:08:50.560 --> 01:08:56.479
It popped at the highest level in
eleven years on better than expected quarter.
979
01:08:56.520 --> 01:08:59.640
And I wondered if I told people
about it, they don't want to play
980
01:08:59.640 --> 01:09:01.760
IBA. It's so funny, you
know. So that's why I'm glad we
981
01:09:01.880 --> 01:09:05.000
managed the money. Yeah, he's
just sleeping. It's a sleeping giant waking
982
01:09:05.119 --> 01:09:09.039
up. But we didn't buy that
much. We didn't buy that much for
983
01:09:09.640 --> 01:09:12.560
clients. It's been there, but
it's one that we got to put on
984
01:09:12.600 --> 01:09:15.319
the radar now because it broke out
and definitely look because that before we know
985
01:09:15.399 --> 01:09:18.439
it, it could be two hundred
and fifty bucks. Maybe I'll never forget.
986
01:09:18.479 --> 01:09:23.159
I had this client in sitting in
my office. This is nineteen eighty
987
01:09:23.279 --> 01:09:27.479
three, and Apple had just recently
come out and their symbol, of course
988
01:09:27.600 --> 01:09:30.680
is the apple with a bite out
of it. And this client sitting there
989
01:09:30.680 --> 01:09:33.199
and he goes, what's gonna happen? Is IBM's gonna eat that whole damn
990
01:09:33.239 --> 01:09:39.199
Apple. That's how big IBM they
almost did. That's how big IBM w
991
01:09:40.199 --> 01:09:43.399
Apple almost folded. Brought back to
Steve Jobs Yep, yep, and the
992
01:09:43.479 --> 01:09:46.319
restless history the restless history and Tim
Cook has been just amazing. I saw
993
01:09:46.399 --> 01:09:51.479
this thing. That's in twenty eleven
when Microsoft came out with their Windows seven
994
01:09:51.560 --> 01:09:56.359
phone, they held a funeral with
some of the employees. Held the funeral
995
01:09:56.399 --> 01:09:59.760
in the streets with a big iPhone, blown up iPhone saying the iPhone is
996
01:09:59.760 --> 01:10:02.479
going to die because we came out
with this same way as talking about IBM's
997
01:10:02.479 --> 01:10:08.199
gonna eat it, and then Apple
just keys building and building and building boy.
998
01:10:08.359 --> 01:10:11.720
Three M continues to disappoint. One
of the most disappointing dive stocks over
999
01:10:11.760 --> 01:10:15.920
the last few years, continue to
disappoint, with the most recently quarter report
1000
01:10:15.000 --> 01:10:18.600
sending the stock down twelve percent at
the open on two. They don't understand
1001
01:10:18.640 --> 01:10:21.000
why three M can't get out of
their own way. Same price. It's
1002
01:10:21.039 --> 01:10:25.439
kind of like Intel, and it's
like Cisco. You know, it's like
1003
01:10:26.279 --> 01:10:29.159
Intel is going and then all of
a sudden, boom, they can't.
1004
01:10:29.199 --> 01:10:31.319
And now the backwards three M is
the same price it was in two thousand
1005
01:10:31.319 --> 01:10:35.399
and seven. Yeah, wow,
how that workout? You know, talk
1006
01:10:35.439 --> 01:10:40.960
about why you can't just sit and
hold I don't care what they tell you,
1007
01:10:41.920 --> 01:10:45.960
right, you see where Hurt's got
a downgrade by JP Morgan this past
1008
01:10:46.000 --> 01:10:50.079
week downgrade did the stock and there's
been a couple of upgrades to and downgrades
1009
01:10:51.039 --> 01:10:59.800
because of their their electric vehicle strategy. This particular downgrade by JP Morgan was
1010
01:11:00.119 --> 01:11:05.520
because they believe that the failed electric
vehicle strategy, calling it a failed electric
1011
01:11:05.600 --> 01:11:10.840
vehicle strategy. I'm not just maybe
a little strong, but it's going to
1012
01:11:10.880 --> 01:11:14.439
cost them billions of dollars. I
don't know, not everybody. You know,
1013
01:11:14.600 --> 01:11:16.520
it's hard to have a rental car
with electric because if you don't,
1014
01:11:16.520 --> 01:11:19.960
nobody wants to rent them. Well
you don't know about electric. And these
1015
01:11:20.000 --> 01:11:24.600
clients of mine that they that's the
only car they could take, and they
1016
01:11:24.640 --> 01:11:27.039
spent an hour in the parking lite. Nobody hurts knew how to turn it
1017
01:11:27.119 --> 01:11:31.199
on. Well, you know,
you get stuck someplace, who's gonna come
1018
01:11:31.359 --> 01:11:34.520
to help you? Yeah? Yeah, well I guess Hurts is going to.
1019
01:11:34.640 --> 01:11:38.399
But it's if there is a learning
curve there, and that you don't
1020
01:11:38.399 --> 01:11:41.520
want a learning curve when you're renting
a car. You want to be able
1021
01:11:41.560 --> 01:11:43.760
to get in and say I know
this car, I know how to do
1022
01:11:43.880 --> 01:11:45.720
this. I put the shifter and
gear and go all right, I know
1023
01:11:45.720 --> 01:11:50.439
where to put the gas in and
you want to hear it. I'm not
1024
01:11:50.520 --> 01:11:53.960
sure. I'm not sure i'd go
there. You know I'm going there.
1025
01:11:54.000 --> 01:11:56.439
I want to hear that car.
I want to know what's where we're going
1026
01:11:56.520 --> 01:11:59.640
to. It's an awful it's awful
nice out on the highway. I had
1027
01:11:59.640 --> 01:12:01.239
it on. I was awfully nice, very quiet, like being in a
1028
01:12:01.640 --> 01:12:04.640
like being in a glider. All
right, listen to everybody. We appreciate
1029
01:12:04.680 --> 01:12:08.520
you listening. We got a couple
more segments to go. I hope you
1030
01:12:08.720 --> 01:12:11.520
like it what we say. Give
us a call anytime, come see us.
1031
01:12:11.600 --> 01:12:13.960
Get that financial plan done. That's
the only way you're going to get
1032
01:12:14.000 --> 01:12:17.880
through the next few years. We'll
be right back. Say it's only a
1033
01:12:18.159 --> 01:12:27.279
name. Welcome back, everybody mounting
by the show. We got Dylan and
1034
01:12:27.359 --> 01:12:31.479
we got Sea Bastion. I'm doing
all right. I'm doing and so much
1035
01:12:31.520 --> 01:12:35.039
better. Yeah, definitely, I'm
not sweating through my shirt like I used.
1036
01:12:35.079 --> 01:12:38.600
Oh my god, that was horrible, and we had they show it.
1037
01:12:38.920 --> 01:12:42.119
The Sea bass is cute though.
The people, especially women, like
1038
01:12:42.239 --> 01:12:45.520
that nickname for Sebastian. Ever since
I was a little kid in Little league
1039
01:12:45.520 --> 01:12:48.079
baseball, that's what I've heard Sea
Bass, Sea Bess. That's just what
1040
01:12:48.159 --> 01:12:51.439
they call you because that one.
What's the short for Sebastian? What would
1041
01:12:51.439 --> 01:13:00.000
be some other options? Bass heard
a couple as yet accent radio Sorry,
1042
01:13:03.279 --> 01:13:08.359
Sea Bass is a cute nickname.
So earlier this last week we were talking
1043
01:13:08.439 --> 01:13:11.319
to Zach Nevloff comes on this radio
show every once in a while. He's
1044
01:13:11.720 --> 01:13:15.439
first solar. He sales solar,
and we were talking about different solar things,
1045
01:13:15.439 --> 01:13:18.760
and we're kind of figuring out y
ten tan is the ETF for solar
1046
01:13:19.439 --> 01:13:24.199
and it's down forty six percent every
holding in there because that Solar Edges just
1047
01:13:24.239 --> 01:13:27.880
got clobbered last year. Other companies
in there are just down forty percent.
1048
01:13:28.000 --> 01:13:30.279
Yeah, and Phase Energy down forty
nine percent, and you got Solar Edge
1049
01:13:30.680 --> 01:13:33.039
that was down seventy seven percent.
And then as a whole, the ETF
1050
01:13:33.159 --> 01:13:38.399
is down forty six But then out
of nowhere you have FSLR is up forty
1051
01:13:38.399 --> 01:13:41.000
six percent, right, Yeah,
I have it. I have the numbers
1052
01:13:41.000 --> 01:13:44.560
from a year, so there's down
thirteen percent, but yeah, it's outperforming
1053
01:13:44.640 --> 01:13:47.319
everything else. But FSLR was down
thirteen percent for the year. Yes,
1054
01:13:47.640 --> 01:13:54.880
while the the ETF was down for
the year and of course that's because of
1055
01:13:55.000 --> 01:13:59.079
higher interest rates, making that the
whole solar thing that worked worked out.
1056
01:13:59.279 --> 01:14:02.119
But also we were to figure out
why was First Solar or FSLR doing so
1057
01:14:02.199 --> 01:14:05.840
much better, And it turns out
it's the only solar company that makes the
1058
01:14:06.000 --> 01:14:10.319
panels in the inverters. How is
that? How weird is that? Yeah,
1059
01:14:10.359 --> 01:14:14.079
it's the only company that's vertically integrated
out there. So what does that
1060
01:14:14.199 --> 01:14:17.640
mean? It controls all aspects of
its production process, from mining raw materials
1061
01:14:17.680 --> 01:14:21.479
to manufacturing the panels to installing them
on the rooftops, on either rooftops or
1062
01:14:21.520 --> 01:14:27.239
solar firms. It gives for Solar
more control over its costs, its margins,
1063
01:14:28.000 --> 01:14:30.239
just helps out performance competitors. Now
my thing is, I want to
1064
01:14:30.279 --> 01:14:35.159
know how many Congress people own FSLR, because you can receive more tax credit
1065
01:14:35.199 --> 01:14:40.840
if you use American made panels and
inverters and you and from twenty twenty two
1066
01:14:40.880 --> 01:14:45.359
to twenty thirty two, you get
thirty percent on Inflation Reduction Act part of
1067
01:14:45.439 --> 01:14:48.439
that Solar Tax Credit step down schedule. It starts with thirty percent, then
1068
01:14:48.520 --> 01:14:53.039
after twenty three or sorry, twenty
thirty three goes to twenty six percent.
1069
01:14:53.439 --> 01:14:56.439
Then twenty two percent twenty thirty four, and then it goes to zero percent
1070
01:14:56.479 --> 01:15:00.640
in twenty thirty five. But if
you're buying American made panels, I mean,
1071
01:15:00.680 --> 01:15:02.359
that's maybe why First Solar is doing
so well. And they kind of
1072
01:15:02.359 --> 01:15:06.520
made me start thinking how many congress
people own for Solar on top of its
1073
01:15:06.640 --> 01:15:12.039
vertical integration for solars leading manufacturer of
thin film solar panels, which are more
1074
01:15:12.039 --> 01:15:19.039
efficient than traditional crystaline silicon panels that
you drive from here to either Los Angeles
1075
01:15:19.159 --> 01:15:24.000
or San Diego. But the solar
farms out there, there's some gigantic solar
1076
01:15:24.119 --> 01:15:27.760
farms out there. They're pretty cool
to look at. Last time I was
1077
01:15:27.800 --> 01:15:30.159
in Sedona, I feel like every
house that I saw had solar panels on.
1078
01:15:30.239 --> 01:15:33.960
That was really impressed. Sedona went
up for the first I could see
1079
01:15:33.960 --> 01:15:39.439
that. I see new houses all
trying to get solar. I mean,
1080
01:15:39.479 --> 01:15:42.239
because if you start from the beginning
and you put it in and you get
1081
01:15:42.239 --> 01:15:45.279
everything you need, it's gonna you
know, your electricity build that keeps going
1082
01:15:45.359 --> 01:15:48.079
high and higher is going to be
cut down. So it's part of the
1083
01:15:48.159 --> 01:15:50.880
build. If you put it in
part of the build, it's just hard
1084
01:15:50.920 --> 01:15:54.319
when you're converting because you've got to
put the years in, how old you
1085
01:15:54.399 --> 01:15:57.439
are you buy the elease it,
you know what I mean. But I
1086
01:15:57.520 --> 01:16:00.680
mean it does help. I mean, but like every thing though, it's
1087
01:16:00.760 --> 01:16:04.000
like everything can't just be one thing. And that's what I have a problem
1088
01:16:04.079 --> 01:16:09.600
with with our government pushing us all
to ev vehicles and and doing the and
1089
01:16:09.720 --> 01:16:14.720
and and doing these panels and and
the solar and and win. Let's have
1090
01:16:15.560 --> 01:16:20.600
just like a portfolio is diversified,
let's diversify our energy, right. And
1091
01:16:20.920 --> 01:16:25.279
I don't I forgot what car it
was, uh Highbred that's come out.
1092
01:16:25.319 --> 01:16:30.640
It was I think it was the
Lexus, the Lexus Hybred and you and
1093
01:16:30.720 --> 01:16:34.119
then basically was talking about around town
you use the electric, right when you
1094
01:16:34.239 --> 01:16:41.279
go other places you use the gas. And what a small idea wouldn't that
1095
01:16:41.399 --> 01:16:44.720
I would buy that? I would
buy a Highbred that if I was going
1096
01:16:44.760 --> 01:16:46.680
to San Diego, I would turn
on the gas and boom, pay for
1097
01:16:46.720 --> 01:16:49.760
the gas and go. But if
I'm going around town, I would just
1098
01:16:49.840 --> 01:16:54.319
use the Hybred. Nice happy medium, if you will. But of course
1099
01:16:54.359 --> 01:16:57.039
if I forgot to go and get
it turned and something happens to the electric,
1100
01:16:57.079 --> 01:16:59.640
I just going it over to the
other side a peace of mind.
1101
01:16:59.680 --> 01:17:02.279
I don't get how we jump from
one to the other. Yeah, that's
1102
01:17:02.319 --> 01:17:06.520
why hybrids outsell electric one point five
to one. You know, there's more
1103
01:17:06.600 --> 01:17:10.880
hybrid. We should have made them
better from the beginning, made what better
1104
01:17:10.920 --> 01:17:15.760
than hybrids and kept increasing them instead
of all this rhetoric talk. I mean,
1105
01:17:15.319 --> 01:17:19.319
basically, Washington's making us go broke
with all the things they want us
1106
01:17:19.359 --> 01:17:23.279
to do and how to do it
with the regulations. And that's what's going
1107
01:17:23.359 --> 01:17:26.359
to change on top of it,
you know, all this new technology.
1108
01:17:26.359 --> 01:17:29.239
I feel like we're still pretty early
in ev space and solar space. So
1109
01:17:29.399 --> 01:17:32.479
what happens when this technology becomes obsolete. There's a reason that you lease your
1110
01:17:32.520 --> 01:17:35.840
Tesla rather than buy it. Oh, absolutely right. Yeah, I don't
1111
01:17:35.840 --> 01:17:39.920
know where this thing is going.
I didn't even know if I like it,
1112
01:17:40.520 --> 01:17:44.239
and where the price is coming down
like they have. I'm so thankful
1113
01:17:44.319 --> 01:17:47.239
that I did leave, because I
wouldn't be able to get fifty cents on
1114
01:17:47.359 --> 01:17:53.600
the dollar if i'd have bought it. Because the new version of the Model
1115
01:17:53.720 --> 01:17:58.439
hy the test was Model hy and
it's it's about fifteen percent cheaper now than
1116
01:17:58.479 --> 01:18:00.600
when I bought it. And I
just bought it eight to go. See
1117
01:18:00.640 --> 01:18:03.239
what happens. Guys, you little
sold the Hegos Tesla. Well, back
1118
01:18:03.279 --> 01:18:06.920
to the ev stuff. I guess. Well, it's where the world's going
1119
01:18:06.960 --> 01:18:10.920
to. You know, it's not
my world, Solar, not my world.
1120
01:18:11.039 --> 01:18:13.760
You'll be driving an electric car before
you die, I promise, No
1121
01:18:14.560 --> 01:18:16.479
around town. Yeah, I'll get
up. I'm with you one hundred percent.
1122
01:18:17.439 --> 01:18:19.800
I don't have the energy to take
it on the road yet. You
1123
01:18:19.880 --> 01:18:24.159
know, it's interesting. No,
let's go back to the markets again.
1124
01:18:24.760 --> 01:18:28.039
The S and P is up two
and a half percent and all, and
1125
01:18:28.199 --> 01:18:31.159
the equal weight is down. Yeah. Not something I would have thought it
1126
01:18:31.279 --> 01:18:35.079
was. Start switching already, but
it's it's not which is which is trying
1127
01:18:35.119 --> 01:18:40.520
to tell you a being both?
And we talked about that where we thought
1128
01:18:40.560 --> 01:18:43.840
this year would be a little bit
less growth oriented, a little more value
1129
01:18:43.920 --> 01:18:47.399
oriented. Thus far that has not
happened. This is absolutely a carbon copy
1130
01:18:47.479 --> 01:18:53.119
of December Dean. Yeah, where
the Magnificent seven or the I guess the
1131
01:18:53.279 --> 01:18:56.359
super six I have. I need
to get rid of that Magnificence seven because
1132
01:18:56.359 --> 01:19:00.600
it doesn't exist anymore. Whatever.
It's just like it's just like the indexes.
1133
01:19:01.039 --> 01:19:03.359
Oh, this suck's not performing.
Let's take it out. Put something
1134
01:19:03.399 --> 01:19:05.760
in that's performing. Oh, by
the way, that's going to be the
1135
01:19:05.800 --> 01:19:09.079
worst performer for next year, and
the one you took out it's going to
1136
01:19:09.079 --> 01:19:13.119
be great. But you know it's
everyone wants to do. Where's the marketing
1137
01:19:13.199 --> 01:19:15.600
on. I can't tell you where
the market's going. I can tell you
1138
01:19:16.319 --> 01:19:20.680
that the risk is greater. I
can tell you you have to stay invested.
1139
01:19:21.039 --> 01:19:24.800
I can tell you you have to
have some of these tech stocks in,
1140
01:19:24.880 --> 01:19:29.960
whether it's an EFD or two or
three percent positions in them. What
1141
01:19:30.119 --> 01:19:32.600
I can tell you is if you
have too much of your portfolio in just
1142
01:19:32.680 --> 01:19:39.600
the Magnificent Sex or whatever, there's
the six packed lunch super six. Okay,
1143
01:19:41.960 --> 01:19:45.199
you're gonna get hurt one day,
all right. At the end of
1144
01:19:45.279 --> 01:19:49.800
the day, it's all about allocations
and understanding it and where you are.
1145
01:19:50.279 --> 01:19:55.399
And I feel, Dave, I'm
back in the nineties, late nineties when
1146
01:19:55.520 --> 01:19:59.319
everybody thought the average return should be
twenty five to thirty percent in their mutual
1147
01:19:59.399 --> 01:20:02.560
funds. Allth dot coms. You're
going to make me thirty percent. That's
1148
01:20:02.680 --> 01:20:06.760
horrible, you know, Well,
the stuff that you had made fifty percent
1149
01:20:08.000 --> 01:20:11.239
that was invested in there your other
side, the bonds didn't make that.
1150
01:20:11.439 --> 01:20:13.760
So that's why you're not at thirty
perent. Oh, I don't want those.
1151
01:20:13.840 --> 01:20:15.399
I just want and that's where it
is. And then they all got
1152
01:20:15.479 --> 01:20:23.039
hurt and some day, somehow every
generation gets hurt. Be careful, but
1153
01:20:23.279 --> 01:20:27.560
don't be out. That's the difference. Yeah, the concern about risk right
1154
01:20:27.600 --> 01:20:30.239
now is just gone and there is
there is no concern about risk. Get
1155
01:20:30.279 --> 01:20:35.720
worried about fomo, right they want
to fear of missing out, the more
1156
01:20:35.800 --> 01:20:39.680
fear of missing out. Uh,
and let's get on, let's go,
1157
01:20:39.800 --> 01:20:44.359
go go. I will say,
fortunately, the vast majority of our clients,
1158
01:20:44.439 --> 01:20:46.920
probably up in the ninety eight percent
range, are not those people.
1159
01:20:47.640 --> 01:20:50.079
No, they don't want to They
want to be in a position that the
1160
01:20:50.399 --> 01:20:55.800
portfolios will work. But they know
they're allocated. So if it turns against
1161
01:20:55.840 --> 01:20:59.319
them, they still have bought some
bonds now that we we have maturity dates,
1162
01:21:00.119 --> 01:21:02.920
some conservative stocks paying dividends. Uh. They know we com mitigate risk
1163
01:21:03.000 --> 01:21:05.720
and head themselves, so they're happy. Well, a lot of the clients
1164
01:21:05.800 --> 01:21:10.119
we get are ones that come to
us for the financial planning aspect, the
1165
01:21:10.159 --> 01:21:15.920
first part where we yeah, we
can do it too, all of it.
1166
01:21:15.079 --> 01:21:18.479
That's the darndest commerceive for seeing that
anywhere. Yeah, most of our
1167
01:21:18.560 --> 01:21:21.800
clients come from their money managers.
When the heck else are they going to
1168
01:21:21.880 --> 01:21:27.039
come from? You know, they're
doing it themselves. They're usually not coming
1169
01:21:27.039 --> 01:21:29.800
to your Fisher. You know.
What I'm getting at is that they come
1170
01:21:29.880 --> 01:21:32.279
to us for the whole retirement planning
thing because they're mostly likely trying to figure
1171
01:21:32.279 --> 01:21:34.199
out how to get income from their
plans, so they're going to be on
1172
01:21:34.239 --> 01:21:40.399
the more conservative side. They're not
going to be all aggressive everything when they're
1173
01:21:40.399 --> 01:21:43.119
retired. That's obviously a lot of
our clients. Oh it's funny you say
1174
01:21:43.159 --> 01:21:45.800
that, Dave, you know,
and and people that are looking for advisors
1175
01:21:45.960 --> 01:21:50.399
and and talking to people, especially
when you're hearing them like Fisher that advertisers
1176
01:21:50.479 --> 01:21:55.279
and and uh some of these other
companies that all you hear them on the
1177
01:21:55.359 --> 01:21:58.840
radio and stuff and do things.
The one thing I got to say about
1178
01:21:58.920 --> 01:22:02.319
us is people, you know,
come up and talk why don't you have
1179
01:22:02.399 --> 01:22:06.199
billions of dollars onder management? You
know. I was at the conference the
1180
01:22:06.279 --> 01:22:11.000
other day and I was and I
was I was speaking, okay, talking
1181
01:22:11.000 --> 01:22:13.760
about the markets and talking about things. It's like I speak on the radio
1182
01:22:14.119 --> 01:22:16.119
and they came up, why don't
you have billions of dollars? We have
1183
01:22:16.239 --> 01:22:20.039
three billion. We have four and
a half billion. Because I want to
1184
01:22:20.079 --> 01:22:25.000
be involved. I don't want to
just be people coming in. I live
1185
01:22:25.079 --> 01:22:28.279
in Tucson. I want a quality
of life. I want people to come
1186
01:22:28.359 --> 01:22:30.960
here and build relationships. It's not
just building the company. And when people
1187
01:22:31.000 --> 01:22:34.319
don't realize you're own one hundred percent
of the company, and say you've got
1188
01:22:34.359 --> 01:22:39.520
three hundred and some odd million dollars, right, that's one hundred percent yours.
1189
01:22:40.119 --> 01:22:43.319
If you have a billion and you're
only making thirty percent off that,
1190
01:22:43.560 --> 01:22:45.359
it's the same three hundred million.
But you have to deal with so many
1191
01:22:45.439 --> 01:22:51.319
people and you're not actually doing what
you do best, which is actually giving
1192
01:22:51.399 --> 01:22:57.920
your forty years of experience to investing. So then they become cookie cutters and
1193
01:22:58.000 --> 01:23:00.680
they go, oh, we're in
models. We're in this design the models.
1194
01:23:00.720 --> 01:23:02.119
No, do you know how they
work? No? We design on
1195
01:23:02.239 --> 01:23:05.840
models. We've done on models.
We know what we got to take in,
1196
01:23:06.000 --> 01:23:09.960
we know what we have to take
out, the flexibility, the mitigating
1197
01:23:10.000 --> 01:23:14.520
a risk. We actually manage money. Our foundation is money management. The
1198
01:23:14.640 --> 01:23:18.279
financial planning is the whipped cream and
cherry on top, because it allows us
1199
01:23:18.319 --> 01:23:23.359
to really know what you want to
do from the portfolio and be able to
1200
01:23:23.399 --> 01:23:27.079
look on how long it takes.
But when it comes into managing the money,
1201
01:23:27.199 --> 01:23:29.920
we've done it. I know how
we've done it for a long time
1202
01:23:30.439 --> 01:23:33.359
and the allocations and it fits for
people. But my goal wasn't to get
1203
01:23:33.399 --> 01:23:38.079
to billions of dollars unless we grow
it organically. Sure, and that's what
1204
01:23:38.520 --> 01:23:43.119
having one team, one group to
build it from there, not having ten
1205
01:23:43.199 --> 01:23:46.319
other reps here that all have you
know, thirty million dollars, fifty million
1206
01:23:46.359 --> 01:23:48.880
dollars and everyone's get part of it, and then you have to worry about
1207
01:23:48.880 --> 01:23:51.600
everything that's going on. I tell
me the end of day, he's he's
1208
01:23:51.600 --> 01:23:56.279
working with thirty different people and he
can't remember who's who. I said,
1209
01:23:56.279 --> 01:23:58.479
we have a thousand, and I
can tell you every one of them,
1210
01:23:58.760 --> 01:24:00.239
what their kids, names are are, what they look like. You know,
1211
01:24:00.600 --> 01:24:03.600
that's being That's exactly what you're talking
about. That's how we want to
1212
01:24:03.640 --> 01:24:08.560
build a business. These are these
are our friends. There are people we're
1213
01:24:08.600 --> 01:24:12.960
working with or helping, they're helping
us. It's it's a it's a it's
1214
01:24:12.960 --> 01:24:15.920
a kind of a family situation.
And even here in the office amongst us
1215
01:24:15.960 --> 01:24:18.079
employees, it's like a family,
like a big family. Today. I
1216
01:24:18.159 --> 01:24:21.039
tell you we have a billion dollars. It's because we grew organically as much
1217
01:24:21.079 --> 01:24:26.800
as we could. Yeah, and
everyone's learning and doing the same things and
1218
01:24:26.880 --> 01:24:30.279
being taken care of. But integrity
is so important. Customer service is so
1219
01:24:30.399 --> 01:24:35.600
important. Knowledge experience is so important. But the thing I've learned, we
1220
01:24:35.800 --> 01:24:40.600
make sure our clients understand what we're
doing before we even invest for them.
1221
01:24:41.039 --> 01:24:45.000
Until they say they have questions,
we answer, we'll be back money out
1222
01:24:45.000 --> 01:24:51.640
of show. Appreciate you listening.
Thank you say it's only welcome back everybody.
1223
01:24:51.680 --> 01:24:55.319
We got one more segment. I
hope you enjoyed it all. Have
1224
01:24:55.399 --> 01:24:58.560
you done all the questions yet?
Yeah? We did, Yeah we did.
1225
01:24:58.640 --> 01:25:01.479
Did they've answering? I did right? Good? I did. It
1226
01:25:01.600 --> 01:25:04.840
was a it was a sure questions
in there, But I did the best
1227
01:25:04.880 --> 01:25:08.920
I could. I like when people
calling with questions, Yeah, well they
1228
01:25:09.000 --> 01:25:12.239
email us and stuff like that.
Nice to see the questions before the show,
1229
01:25:12.520 --> 01:25:15.760
right, No, you gotta get
toes. I tried, I tried.
1230
01:25:15.479 --> 01:25:18.319
I try to tell Dylan todd them
beforehand one time and they got mad
1231
01:25:18.359 --> 01:25:21.720
at me, so, okay,
we will do it. One of the
1232
01:25:21.880 --> 01:25:28.159
things that I missed most is when
we did everything live and we had call
1233
01:25:28.279 --> 01:25:31.880
ins. I loved having to call
in spot. Oh so what if I
1234
01:25:31.920 --> 01:25:34.279
didn't know the answer? I said, I didn't know the answer, but
1235
01:25:34.399 --> 01:25:36.560
they tried, you know, they
you know, we did. We did
1236
01:25:36.600 --> 01:25:40.680
a lot of stuff. We did. Uh. They were just calling like
1237
01:25:40.800 --> 01:25:44.880
a U with a stock and then
his opinion. So most of them I
1238
01:25:44.960 --> 01:25:47.000
knew. One of them I didn't
know. But they would answer other questions
1239
01:25:47.039 --> 01:25:50.079
and do things, and we'll get
into conversations like when I fill in for
1240
01:25:50.199 --> 01:25:54.520
Garrett in the morning, which obviously
we're not doing that anymore because he's in
1241
01:25:54.560 --> 01:26:00.159
the afternoon. I loved getting questions, whether they agreed with me but not
1242
01:26:00.239 --> 01:26:03.000
agreed with me. It was fun. That's what makes radio good in my
1243
01:26:03.119 --> 01:26:06.479
opinion. So I do miss that. But the questions that come into us
1244
01:26:06.520 --> 01:26:11.800
are great. Order. If Garrett
likes sleeping in, I don't know.
1245
01:26:12.000 --> 01:26:14.920
Can you imagine that he had to
be on the air, miss him in
1246
01:26:15.000 --> 01:26:16.600
the morning, but on oh yeah, on the air at six, right,
1247
01:26:16.960 --> 01:26:19.439
he was on the air at six
but he did a lot of work
1248
01:26:19.479 --> 01:26:23.039
beforehand and stuff. But I mean, you still, every time he did
1249
01:26:23.079 --> 01:26:24.640
the show, I had to get
up at like, you know, four
1250
01:26:24.800 --> 01:26:28.359
thirty, and I'm thinking, and
now he can get up at ten once
1251
01:26:28.560 --> 01:26:31.039
right then the f new Yeah,
I think he probably does all his prep
1252
01:26:31.079 --> 01:26:34.399
work in the morning rather than the
previous afternoon. Who knows. Speaking of
1253
01:26:34.680 --> 01:26:39.560
we've only one month left and then
back on daily saving time. I'm excited
1254
01:26:39.640 --> 01:26:41.920
for it. It's going to stay
that way now, right. No,
1255
01:26:42.520 --> 01:26:45.039
Well, I thought they got month
just eight months. No, I thought
1256
01:26:45.119 --> 01:26:47.199
I thought that this was the last
year of it. No, no,
1257
01:26:47.359 --> 01:26:53.319
no, no, no bought it. They're trying to expand it. They
1258
01:26:53.399 --> 01:26:56.359
expanded it from six to eight months. Right, But I thought that I
1259
01:26:56.520 --> 01:26:59.680
thought, maybe obviously I could be
wrong. I've been wrong once or twice
1260
01:27:00.000 --> 01:27:03.000
that they they were trying to get
to it where we had no more daylight
1261
01:27:03.079 --> 01:27:05.560
savings time and we were just going
to stay on Pacific. I think it's
1262
01:27:05.600 --> 01:27:09.039
one of the more popular things in
the country, so I don't think that's
1263
01:27:09.079 --> 01:27:11.000
going to happen. But I don't
know. I've not heard a word about
1264
01:27:11.000 --> 01:27:13.079
it. The cool thing is we
got two young guys, right, on
1265
01:27:13.119 --> 01:27:15.079
the phone right now, and they're
going to figure out what does what the
1266
01:27:15.159 --> 01:27:18.720
truth is. They're going to figure
out whether those states adopted a legislative change
1267
01:27:18.760 --> 01:27:23.239
in twenty twenty three to get rid
of it. Americans should expect clock changes
1268
01:27:23.279 --> 01:27:27.359
to continue through twenty twenty four.
Yeah, which means what as this year?
1269
01:27:27.800 --> 01:27:30.039
We're keeping it? Well, we
are on it right now. Yeah.
1270
01:27:30.520 --> 01:27:33.079
Anyway, it was for next year, is what I'm saying. And
1271
01:27:33.840 --> 01:27:38.000
people listening. I knew next year. People are listening, going, what
1272
01:27:38.039 --> 01:27:40.720
are you talking about? We don't
have DLA savy time and ariosota I know.
1273
01:27:41.600 --> 01:27:45.079
Well for us though, the markets
opened up seven thirty or six thirty.
1274
01:27:45.239 --> 01:27:46.920
Yeah, yeah, the day I
saving time does matter. If you
1275
01:27:47.000 --> 01:27:50.920
are in this business eight months out
of the year, you you have to
1276
01:27:50.960 --> 01:27:54.279
be here ready to go at six
thirty. So summing it up, good
1277
01:27:54.359 --> 01:27:59.880
economic numbers, new highs this week
markets, uh, one of the five
1278
01:28:00.039 --> 01:28:03.319
avity basically, you know, like
I said back to the nineteen nineties,
1279
01:28:03.439 --> 01:28:08.720
I don't think these stocks are like
the dot com companies because there was really
1280
01:28:08.760 --> 01:28:12.760
some substance to these six stocks or
so that are going higher. But I
1281
01:28:12.800 --> 01:28:15.159
think there's a few more. CrowdStrike
has done really well too, And there's
1282
01:28:15.159 --> 01:28:19.520
a bunch of others, and Netflix
has done really well Netflix. So I
1283
01:28:19.600 --> 01:28:25.199
mean, at the end of the
day, if you're not in those stocks,
1284
01:28:25.239 --> 01:28:28.119
you're not making the returns that you
keep seeing on the S and P
1285
01:28:28.279 --> 01:28:30.359
and all this other stuff. But
on the same token, if you're not
1286
01:28:30.479 --> 01:28:35.239
reducing your some of your position or
hedging some of that position by using the
1287
01:28:35.319 --> 01:28:39.920
inverses, if they turn and go
down each one hundred points, you're gonna
1288
01:28:39.960 --> 01:28:42.640
lose a lot of money. I
think the only thing this has in common
1289
01:28:42.720 --> 01:28:47.159
with nineteen ninety nine is just moving
sharply higher driven by tech stocks. In
1290
01:28:47.279 --> 01:28:51.479
nineteen ninety nine, there had to
have been being at least two thirds of
1291
01:28:51.560 --> 01:28:55.479
the companies that just had no substance
too at all. They weren't even real
1292
01:28:55.920 --> 01:29:00.520
it was just pieing the sky stuff
IPOs coming out for companies they didn't have
1293
01:29:00.560 --> 01:29:05.119
any sales. It was ridiculous.
That's similar to the twenty twenty spack crazy.
1294
01:29:05.359 --> 01:29:09.520
Yes, oh yes, yeah,
I could see that. Well do
1295
01:29:09.600 --> 01:29:13.520
you think that this is that we're
seeing that with some AI stocks now?
1296
01:29:13.520 --> 01:29:15.560
I mean, I feel like if
any company just tells a word, all
1297
01:29:15.600 --> 01:29:19.199
AI stocks that really are and go, yeah they are. I'm not even
1298
01:29:19.239 --> 01:29:21.920
in that. I refuse to be
in. Those are maybe in a a
1299
01:29:23.319 --> 01:29:26.600
in a in a et F that
might have them, or small companies.
1300
01:29:26.840 --> 01:29:29.560
But are you in the AI right
now? You got to be in the
1301
01:29:29.640 --> 01:29:32.319
Googles, Microsoft's, the Apples and
then the videos. For example, you
1302
01:29:32.399 --> 01:29:35.239
had the CEO of PayPal saying that
he was going to come out and shock
1303
01:29:35.319 --> 01:29:39.279
the world this last Thursday. And
what do you say that they're going to
1304
01:29:39.279 --> 01:29:43.600
implement a little bit of AI when
within PayPal and the stock didn't react to
1305
01:29:43.680 --> 01:29:46.680
it whatsoever? Right now? Is
there a substance there? There's one thing
1306
01:29:46.760 --> 01:29:50.279
I want to put word of caution
out there right now, and that's all
1307
01:29:50.319 --> 01:29:55.399
these commercials about gold. Okay,
wait, do you want to hear the
1308
01:29:55.479 --> 01:29:59.479
question that we had? Yeah,
I want to talk about gold in you
1309
01:29:59.560 --> 01:30:03.960
I rate? Okay. I want
to talk about how it sounds so good.
1310
01:30:05.359 --> 01:30:09.479
You know, well, coming to
the end, the dollar's not going
1311
01:30:09.560 --> 01:30:13.439
to be around. Buy gold.
We can buy the physical asset in your
1312
01:30:13.520 --> 01:30:17.439
IRA. Okay. That's good because
you might be thinking that's a great place
1313
01:30:17.520 --> 01:30:21.119
to go. I want you to
stop and think before you send any money
1314
01:30:21.159 --> 01:30:26.760
to these physical gold people. Do
you know them, what is it?
1315
01:30:27.479 --> 01:30:32.800
Where they're store in it? And
if hell, if everything went to hell
1316
01:30:32.880 --> 01:30:35.840
in a handbasket, couldn't remember the
phrase it first? Yeah, okay,
1317
01:30:36.720 --> 01:30:41.640
hell in a hand basket? Right? Do you think those people that you
1318
01:30:41.800 --> 01:30:45.399
bought the gold from are going to
sit around if there's actually physical gold and
1319
01:30:45.479 --> 01:30:48.199
they're not going to take it from
you? Are you kidding me? You
1320
01:30:48.279 --> 01:30:54.399
know that IRA will be worthless.
It'll be like the bitcoin situation, all
1321
01:30:54.479 --> 01:30:58.760
right, where you like that freedman
or whatever's name was. Okay, at
1322
01:30:58.800 --> 01:31:01.720
the end of the day, if
you're buying it because everything's gonna go bad,
1323
01:31:02.479 --> 01:31:05.279
well when it goes bad, your
gold isn't gonna be there, and
1324
01:31:05.319 --> 01:31:11.359
it's gonna make things even worse.
Period. I mean, think about why
1325
01:31:11.399 --> 01:31:15.760
you're buying it and what can happen
if you have physical gold that you bought
1326
01:31:15.840 --> 01:31:19.039
outside of your IRA and it's in
your safe, Okay, you have it,
1327
01:31:19.800 --> 01:31:25.079
But if it's in somebody else's safe
and you only have paper, what
1328
01:31:25.239 --> 01:31:30.159
has that got for you? Nothing? So think about that before you start
1329
01:31:30.279 --> 01:31:34.920
sending and opening up iras with these
people that you hear on the air selling
1330
01:31:34.960 --> 01:31:41.800
commercials. And remember every single time
they've done this at sometime it tops out,
1331
01:31:41.840 --> 01:31:44.319
it doesn't go anywhere, and they
wait for it to come down,
1332
01:31:44.840 --> 01:31:46.960
and then get through that cycle,
and then goal starts up again and they
1333
01:31:47.039 --> 01:31:53.720
hit the next bunch of people.
But it sounds great, buy hard assets,
1334
01:31:54.720 --> 01:31:59.239
but it's not whose common sense tells
you the reason you're buying it.
1335
01:32:00.279 --> 01:32:03.039
It's for everything going bad. Well, if everything goes bad, you think
1336
01:32:03.079 --> 01:32:06.640
they care about you, they're gonna
steal it and run. At a client
1337
01:32:06.720 --> 01:32:11.239
call last week and he was interested
in whether or not we had a particular
1338
01:32:11.399 --> 01:32:13.720
type of investment. I said,
no, don't. We don't offer that.
1339
01:32:14.279 --> 01:32:18.359
He said, well, I'm in
touch with this company that provides iras
1340
01:32:18.439 --> 01:32:24.359
that invest in this real estate in
North Carolina, and this real estate guarantees
1341
01:32:24.479 --> 01:32:30.319
me ten percent per quarter, ten
percent per quarter, forty six percent annualized,
1342
01:32:30.359 --> 01:32:32.159
ready to return. I said,
you understand, that's just not ever
1343
01:32:32.239 --> 01:32:35.079
gonna happen, right, Oh no, no, no, it's going to
1344
01:32:35.119 --> 01:32:39.800
happen. I'm they're standing behind it. It's gonna happen. Good looks.
1345
01:32:39.880 --> 01:32:44.000
I'm sure what they said. And
he doesn't believe us. You get ten
1346
01:32:44.079 --> 01:32:47.600
percent paid quarterly, Yeah, that
would make a precent, not ten percent
1347
01:32:47.720 --> 01:32:50.920
You're not gonna get ten percent a
quarter. You're gonna get ten percent annually
1348
01:32:51.000 --> 01:32:55.560
paid quarterly, which means you get
two and a half percent a quarter right
1349
01:32:55.640 --> 01:32:57.560
now. I did go back to
him and said, because I thought that
1350
01:32:57.720 --> 01:33:00.439
was a good insight on your partner. I went back to and I said,
1351
01:33:00.439 --> 01:33:02.800
Matt, are you sure that it's
not this? You know? No,
1352
01:33:02.960 --> 01:33:05.760
no, no, it's ten percent
a quarter forty six percent annualized right
1353
01:33:05.760 --> 01:33:10.600
to return. Okay, And why
don't you sell your house, sell everything
1354
01:33:10.680 --> 01:33:13.520
you had? Wouldn't you just give
it to them? Throw it, wouldn't
1355
01:33:13.560 --> 01:33:15.600
you? Why wouldn't you get me
up? Because the case it doesn't work
1356
01:33:15.640 --> 01:33:19.600
out? Well, no kidding.
This is a young man of a forty
1357
01:33:19.640 --> 01:33:23.479
two year old guy with a quarter
of a million bucks in a retirement account
1358
01:33:23.680 --> 01:33:28.359
and he's given them the whole thing. Wow, well now that's going to
1359
01:33:28.439 --> 01:33:30.239
work out, you know. So
it's just, uh, did you guys
1360
01:33:30.239 --> 01:33:36.199
see Archer Daniel Archer Daniels Midland this
past week with a major industrial company like
1361
01:33:36.279 --> 01:33:41.720
that, you don't expect the mouthful
it is. Maybe that's the problem.
1362
01:33:42.239 --> 01:33:47.319
You don't expect there to be disaster. Right This stock plunged twenty percent on
1363
01:33:47.520 --> 01:33:51.399
Monday to a fifty two week low. Get this on news. The chief
1364
01:33:51.520 --> 01:34:00.000
financial officer was placed on administrative leave. I missed an investigation into accounting prect
1365
01:34:00.119 --> 01:34:04.720
They also issued Q four guidance that
was below expectations, which of course prompted
1366
01:34:04.760 --> 01:34:10.520
a bunch of brokers downgrades. Talking
about Archer Daniel Midland and how a stock
1367
01:34:10.600 --> 01:34:15.600
of that size can get hit twenty
percent in a day. That's unusual.
1368
01:34:15.439 --> 01:34:19.840
But if you have because if they're
doing something illegally, people want out and
1369
01:34:20.279 --> 01:34:25.720
don't will last questions, won't ask
questions until after we get out. Yeah,
1370
01:34:25.720 --> 01:34:29.000
if you have an accounting practices that
are so egregious that you put the
1371
01:34:29.399 --> 01:34:34.399
CFO on the leave of absence,
that's potentially problem pushed everything else in doubt.
1372
01:34:35.039 --> 01:34:40.000
Netflix jumped you were you were surprising
that, Dean, You're you're saying
1373
01:34:40.560 --> 01:34:43.039
you don't see anything on Netflix that
you know. My thing is, it's
1374
01:34:43.039 --> 01:34:45.119
a personal thing. They always say, buy stuff that you love. Yeah,
1375
01:34:45.600 --> 01:34:50.119
I love Netflix, except I hate
them. It's like it's like really
1376
01:34:50.199 --> 01:34:57.079
bad relationship I have with Netflix.
I cannot ever find anything that I like
1377
01:34:57.840 --> 01:35:02.800
except maybe once every few weeks.
Okay, I mean the dubbing stuff I
1378
01:35:02.920 --> 01:35:06.680
used to I can't. That drives
me crazy. Uh the what stuff?
1379
01:35:08.079 --> 01:35:13.119
When the door shows, Oh gotcha. You know it's like I try to
1380
01:35:13.159 --> 01:35:15.840
watch some shows just to relax and
do it, but if it doesn't get
1381
01:35:15.840 --> 01:35:20.520
my attention, I keep changing it
and it's just crap. When somebody says
1382
01:35:20.560 --> 01:35:24.520
you need to watch this show and
I look at where it is and it's
1383
01:35:24.560 --> 01:35:28.960
on Netflix, I'm always excited because
they really are better than everybody else.
1384
01:35:29.279 --> 01:35:32.520
They really are, And they added
thirteen point one million new subscribers in the
1385
01:35:32.600 --> 01:35:39.680
last quarter. Stock jump ten percent
on Wednesday. Pretty nice edition. Thirteen
1386
01:35:39.720 --> 01:35:43.039
millions the company. They're doing great, I mean what Also the big news
1387
01:35:43.159 --> 01:35:45.159
was that WWE they're gonna live stream, that they had a five billion dollar
1388
01:35:45.239 --> 01:35:47.399
deal, and that's why I mean
the stock went up eighteen percent last week.
1389
01:35:47.399 --> 01:35:49.800
It makes me wonder when they're going
to cut a deal with the NFL
1390
01:35:49.840 --> 01:35:54.119
and then they're going to have you
know, one of those youtub now so
1391
01:35:54.640 --> 01:35:56.880
yeah, but then they can start
with those behind the scenes, you know,
1392
01:35:57.079 --> 01:36:00.159
quarterback shows that they've had before.
I get it. There's some it's
1393
01:36:00.199 --> 01:36:02.000
gonna take a lot of it's gonna
take some time because I think Amazon has
1394
01:36:02.079 --> 01:36:04.760
that they've been doing more of that. Yep, a lot of money to
1395
01:36:04.800 --> 01:36:08.079
get into the NFL right now,
and they're going to keep paying it and
1396
01:36:08.159 --> 01:36:12.520
paying it and the streaming services.
But I tell you it's you know when
1397
01:36:12.560 --> 01:36:15.720
it's the streaming ain't work and the
game ain't that great to cost you over
1398
01:36:15.119 --> 01:36:19.800
thousand dollars without Sunday ticket to watch
NFL now through a season because of all
1399
01:36:19.840 --> 01:36:25.119
the streaming subscriptions. Wow, all
right, listen, shows almost over.
1400
01:36:25.279 --> 01:36:28.039
I want to thank you for listening. Get in touch with us. We
1401
01:36:28.239 --> 01:36:30.640
will help you. We'll be back
next week with your money matters. We
1402
01:36:30.720 --> 01:36:34.319
all want to be happy, we
all want to be healthy, and the
1403
01:36:34.560 --> 01:36:39.039
end of the day, all we're
trying to do is be profitable.