April 28, 2024

Bounce Back as Fear Abates

Bounce Back as Fear Abates

Welcome to the Money Matters Show! This week Todd, Sebastian, Dean, and Dave got together to discuss the latest developments in financial markets. Dean goes through the current state of events and what to be looking out for going forward. We discussed...

Welcome to the Money Matters Show! This week Todd, Sebastian, Dean, and Dave got together to discuss the latest developments in financial markets. Dean goes through the current state of events and what to be looking out for going forward. We discussed the bounce back stocks had this week and what it tells us about the market headed into the future. We also have on our regular special guest Jon Scibilia to discuss Estate planning topics, specifically how to most efficiently pass down assets to heirs you are worried about handling large sums of money. Finally, we go through several Quarter 1 earnings reports released by companies this week and how it impacted different parts of the stock market. We hope you enjoy this information-filled show!If you would like to contact us to learn more about our firm and our process call us at 520.544.4909 or go to our website at www.Greenbergfinancial.com or email us at Contact@Greenbergfinancial.com

Transcript
WEBVTT

1
00:00:00.160 --> 00:00:03.439
Good morning, everybody. It's Sunday
morning, eight o'clock right here, seven

2
00:00:03.560 --> 00:00:08.320
ninety K and st. This is
Dean Greenberg bringing you the Money Matter Show.

3
00:00:08.720 --> 00:00:12.519
We'll all be here today to talk
to you about your money and how

4
00:00:12.519 --> 00:00:16.519
it's being affected by these markets.
You know, we've got a political thing

5
00:00:16.559 --> 00:00:20.960
going on called an election coming up, and we had all these proposals coming

6
00:00:21.000 --> 00:00:27.079
out from one side and the other. It's interesting, it's interesting how they

7
00:00:27.120 --> 00:00:31.760
want you to start seeing where they're
thinking. The one thing you can probably

8
00:00:31.839 --> 00:00:36.079
count on is that most of the
stuff they're talking about they're going to try

9
00:00:36.119 --> 00:00:39.719
to implement. But the only way
that gets done, let's face it,

10
00:00:39.759 --> 00:00:45.719
guys, is if someone controls the
White House, the Senate, and the

11
00:00:45.759 --> 00:00:52.280
House, especially if it's the Democrats, they go in lockstep. Republicans don't

12
00:00:52.320 --> 00:00:57.200
do that. We had that opportunity
once and we couldn't even get through the

13
00:00:57.240 --> 00:01:03.599
healthcare plan. We need to come
together, we need to understand what compromise

14
00:01:03.719 --> 00:01:11.439
really means, and we cannot look
so fragmented, and we got to go

15
00:01:11.640 --> 00:01:15.519
more towards the center for us to
win this election and understand what it's going

16
00:01:15.599 --> 00:01:23.560
to take. And it's very important
from an economic standpoint. What your own

17
00:01:23.640 --> 00:01:30.680
beliefs are are great, stick by
them, but understand that if there's a

18
00:01:30.680 --> 00:01:38.120
complete opposite of the other side,
if we do not compromise within ourselves to

19
00:01:38.200 --> 00:01:42.400
get our people elected and they do, then we're not gonna be able to

20
00:01:42.439 --> 00:01:48.000
do anything. And I'm very concerned
on the one thing, you know.

21
00:01:48.159 --> 00:01:51.200
I know there's a lot of social
issues, and there's abortion issues, and

22
00:01:51.239 --> 00:01:55.719
there's all that other stuff. I
care about the economics of what's going to

23
00:01:55.799 --> 00:02:01.760
happen if Biden gets in versus Trump, if they win the House and the

24
00:02:01.799 --> 00:02:09.960
Senate and the White House, you're
going to see taxes go higher. They

25
00:02:10.000 --> 00:02:14.800
always talk about they'll never raise taxes
and they won't do things like that.

26
00:02:15.639 --> 00:02:19.639
It's so obvious to me. If
they do nothing, taxes go up.

27
00:02:19.680 --> 00:02:24.400
Because the Trump tax cut expires,
and if it doesn't go ahead and get

28
00:02:24.599 --> 00:02:35.960
extended or permanentized, we see a
bump in all in our tax brackets.

29
00:02:36.560 --> 00:02:44.560
The for small businesses goes away,
the credit. We see our estate taxes

30
00:02:45.199 --> 00:02:50.400
the maximum come way down and could
even come down to a million dollars.

31
00:02:52.240 --> 00:02:55.719
We see Biden's proposals coming out here
to get rid of capital gains basically and

32
00:02:55.800 --> 00:03:02.439
makes and and you pay for it
at your tax bracket, which could be

33
00:03:02.520 --> 00:03:09.599
up to forty six percent one of
those tax when the when the Trump tax

34
00:03:10.879 --> 00:03:16.479
cuts sunset, a lot of things
we got to talk about about that.

35
00:03:19.000 --> 00:03:30.199
You know, one thing I can
tell you is that these markets are volatile

36
00:03:30.240 --> 00:03:35.240
and they will stay volatile. But
that doesn't mean you come out of it.

37
00:03:35.240 --> 00:03:38.879
That doesn't mean you take your growth
money and you just move it over

38
00:03:38.960 --> 00:03:44.560
to all annuities right now. Because
of the way they advertise and say,

39
00:03:44.599 --> 00:03:47.080
you know your markets, you can
go into annuity, they grow for your

40
00:03:47.120 --> 00:03:53.080
tax deferred, you don't have to
pay taxes on until you take the money

41
00:03:53.120 --> 00:04:00.000
out, and you can't lose anything. Any insurance company guarantees them at the

42
00:04:00.080 --> 00:04:04.479
end of the day. What you
have to look at and have common sense

43
00:04:05.439 --> 00:04:12.800
is reduce your volatility by your allocation. If you want some annuities because of

44
00:04:12.840 --> 00:04:15.639
that, that's fine, but do
it because you want down the road to

45
00:04:15.680 --> 00:04:23.800
get a guaranteed cash flow out of
that. But they're so complicated that you

46
00:04:23.920 --> 00:04:27.720
better understand and ask a lot of
questions because there's so many of them and

47
00:04:27.759 --> 00:04:32.879
you've got to find the right one
for you. But I see over and

48
00:04:32.959 --> 00:04:40.399
over and over and over again between
social media and commercials on people talking in

49
00:04:40.439 --> 00:04:47.160
a roundabout way, and don't never
mention the name annuities. Well, wouldn't

50
00:04:47.199 --> 00:04:53.879
you like to have a guaranteed income
payment cash flow to you same check,

51
00:04:54.040 --> 00:04:57.399
just like a pension for the rest
of your lives. Well, you do,

52
00:04:57.480 --> 00:05:02.000
but you don't know. They're always
talking about the annuities. And when

53
00:05:02.000 --> 00:05:11.240
the markets go down, you see
these commercials and their social media marketing increase

54
00:05:13.560 --> 00:05:23.560
because they want to go ahead and
feed off your fear. If you're an

55
00:05:23.600 --> 00:05:29.800
investor and been around for a long
time, you know that fear is only

56
00:05:29.839 --> 00:05:34.879
stressed when the markets go down.
But it's also on the other side when

57
00:05:34.920 --> 00:05:39.959
the markets are doing ten or fifteen
percent and you're sitting there making two or

58
00:05:39.959 --> 00:05:46.720
three percent, you're not happy.
So there has to be a compromise on

59
00:05:46.759 --> 00:05:50.480
how you do your portfolios and allocation. You need some safe money, absolutely,

60
00:05:53.000 --> 00:05:56.759
but in today's world you can get
almost five percent on two year treasuries.

61
00:05:59.360 --> 00:06:00.720
You can go out of little further
and get four and a half percent.

62
00:06:01.160 --> 00:06:08.199
That's about what you're going to get
in most of these fias with all

63
00:06:08.199 --> 00:06:11.839
the fees out of part of it
if you're not using it for going ahead

64
00:06:11.879 --> 00:06:15.800
and growing it and getting a guaranteed
income down the road five years, seven

65
00:06:15.879 --> 00:06:18.439
years, ten years, and they
will always guarantee you that payment no matter.

66
00:06:18.439 --> 00:06:21.519
Even if you run out of money
in there, then that's different.

67
00:06:23.199 --> 00:06:28.279
But you are giving up capital,
possibility to lose capital and not have that

68
00:06:28.319 --> 00:06:31.519
capital there. But if that income
stream is what you need and that's how

69
00:06:31.519 --> 00:06:38.600
you feel income gaps, it's fine. And interest rates will one day come

70
00:06:38.680 --> 00:06:44.240
down, and that affects these annuities. They don't tell you that. They

71
00:06:44.240 --> 00:06:46.720
don't tell you, oh, yeah, you're gonna get you know whatever right

72
00:06:46.759 --> 00:06:49.600
now, five percent, six percent, seven percent whatever. Then injured they

73
00:06:49.600 --> 00:07:02.920
come down whatever index you're in,
they can lower that weight arbitrarily because interest

74
00:07:03.000 --> 00:07:08.879
rates that came down, and it's
legal for them to do it, which

75
00:07:08.920 --> 00:07:13.480
is what we found. What happened
is when we bought annuities in twenty nineteen

76
00:07:13.519 --> 00:07:16.120
and interest rates came all the way
back down in twenty twenty because of the

77
00:07:16.120 --> 00:07:26.480
pandemic, all the insurance companies lowered
how much they could pay out. So

78
00:07:26.560 --> 00:07:29.519
even if you were concerned about the
markets coming down, and the markets did

79
00:07:29.639 --> 00:07:32.000
come down, you were in the
same benefit because when it turned back up,

80
00:07:32.040 --> 00:07:36.680
you didn't get the benefit of that
until maybe now when rates have gone

81
00:07:36.720 --> 00:07:41.439
higher. So remember all those things
when you get involved. And the only

82
00:07:41.480 --> 00:07:45.480
reason I bring that up is I
see more and more commercials and marketing and

83
00:07:46.120 --> 00:07:49.959
social media adds about this but not
saying annuities. They're talking about, you

84
00:07:50.000 --> 00:07:54.879
know, being able to have tax
free income and everything else. And lurps

85
00:07:54.920 --> 00:08:01.160
are a big thing. Remember always
asked the question how much is your advisor

86
00:08:01.199 --> 00:08:09.759
getting paid when they do those lurps? Annuities upfront commissions are big. If

87
00:08:09.800 --> 00:08:13.199
it's a trail, then you know
they're going to be involved with you for

88
00:08:13.240 --> 00:08:16.800
a while, not just sell you
a product and you're done. But if

89
00:08:16.839 --> 00:08:18.720
you're getting in, if they're getting
an income stream off of it, and

90
00:08:20.040 --> 00:08:22.560
they're they're the way they get paid
is like a fee base over time.

91
00:08:24.680 --> 00:08:28.160
They're on the same side as the
table as you. But if you're putting

92
00:08:28.199 --> 00:08:33.440
in five hundred thousand and they're getting
thirty thirty five thousand dollars commission, what

93
00:08:33.559 --> 00:08:39.919
incentive do they have to continue a
relationship with you, especially that's pretty much

94
00:08:39.919 --> 00:08:43.879
all investible money, which you should
never do either. These are just things

95
00:08:43.879 --> 00:08:46.840
to think about. All right,
this is the Money Might of Show and

96
00:08:46.840 --> 00:08:52.639
it's brought to you by Greenberg Financial
Group. Greenberg Financial Group is both the

97
00:08:52.679 --> 00:08:56.159
registered investment advisory and he broke a
dealer registered with the SEC, members of

98
00:08:56.200 --> 00:09:00.840
fin and members of CIPIK. On
the show, we talk about different products,

99
00:09:00.840 --> 00:09:03.519
different strategies, and we all have
different ideas. We discussed and we

100
00:09:03.600 --> 00:09:07.840
talk about them. Everything has a
risk. You understand the risk. You

101
00:09:07.919 --> 00:09:16.759
have to understand the risks of investing. Okay, you cannot be that person

102
00:09:18.159 --> 00:09:22.600
that everything goes right, something doesn't
work out and you blame somebody else.

103
00:09:22.720 --> 00:09:26.440
I didn't understand, I didn't do
this. Yes, that's why we're trying

104
00:09:26.480 --> 00:09:33.320
to tell you about the product upfront. When you're in a long term product,

105
00:09:33.320 --> 00:09:35.440
that's what's going to go ahead and
do it. It's there's a difference

106
00:09:35.440 --> 00:09:43.000
between managing your money and buying a
product, buying a commission product versus paying

107
00:09:43.039 --> 00:09:48.120
an advisory fee. And your advisor
is on the same side as the table

108
00:09:48.279 --> 00:09:52.720
as you. They only buy and
sell things in order to try to make

109
00:09:52.759 --> 00:09:58.559
your portfolio go up. They want
to mitigate risk for you to not lose

110
00:09:58.639 --> 00:10:01.320
too much when the market go down. And be in position to buy when

111
00:10:01.360 --> 00:10:09.919
the markets go up. Financial advisors
slash money managers. That's what we do.

112
00:10:11.200 --> 00:10:13.320
We're both. We put a financial
plan together. We get to know

113
00:10:13.399 --> 00:10:16.879
you, We talk to you.
I want to know what you want to

114
00:10:16.919 --> 00:10:18.559
do in life, What do you
want to do if you're retiring, What

115
00:10:20.279 --> 00:10:24.000
makes you happy? What makes you
put a little pep in that step.

116
00:10:24.559 --> 00:10:28.759
Okay, then we can really design
how you much money you're gonna want to

117
00:10:28.840 --> 00:10:33.240
need and spend and stuff. It's
not just a numbers game with us.

118
00:10:33.720 --> 00:10:39.519
It's a conversation. It's a relationship, and things change. Relationships change,

119
00:10:41.679 --> 00:10:48.159
and we manage the money according to
your desires, needs and goals. That

120
00:10:48.240 --> 00:10:50.960
does not mean we're perfect, does
not mean we don't lose some money at

121
00:10:50.960 --> 00:10:58.279
times. It means the portfolio is
allocated according to the risk analysis about what

122
00:10:58.360 --> 00:11:03.120
you basically can handle or not handle, and of course nobody can handle it

123
00:11:03.159 --> 00:11:07.480
when it goes down and everybody needs
more risk when the markets go up.

124
00:11:07.519 --> 00:11:13.559
I get that. We walk you
through it. This has been a good

125
00:11:13.559 --> 00:11:18.240
week. The market's bounced back nicely. The SMP was up two point seven

126
00:11:18.279 --> 00:11:22.039
percent, the Nasdaq was up four
point two percent. Now for the year,

127
00:11:22.080 --> 00:11:26.240
the Nasdaq is up six percent,
the S and P is up seven

128
00:11:26.320 --> 00:11:31.200
percent, and the Dow's up one
and a half percent. Interestingly, the

129
00:11:31.639 --> 00:11:35.840
RSP, which is the equal weighted
S and P five hundred, is only

130
00:11:35.919 --> 00:11:41.879
up two point nine percent, so
it's basically only fifty percent again because Nazak

131
00:11:41.960 --> 00:11:46.240
had such a good move back up
this week, being up over four percent.

132
00:11:48.679 --> 00:11:52.240
Those big tech stocks had good earnings
this week. It drove those prices

133
00:11:52.360 --> 00:12:01.600
up. After Meta came out with
less than static revenue guidance, which brought

134
00:12:01.600 --> 00:12:11.879
that stock down fifteen percent. The
Microsoft came out with great earnings. Google

135
00:12:13.000 --> 00:12:16.080
came out with great earnings. They
talked about the future of AI, they

136
00:12:16.080 --> 00:12:20.120
talked about the future of cloud,
and boom, those stocks took off and

137
00:12:20.159 --> 00:12:24.639
then again on Friday they all fell
behind. They all came back in the

138
00:12:24.720 --> 00:12:30.720
video obviously got a lot of attention
from falling all the way into the seven

139
00:12:31.039 --> 00:12:35.360
forty seven to fifty range, and
they rallied back almost one hundred and somewhat

140
00:12:35.399 --> 00:12:39.360
points from that point. They probably
can get back up into the nine nine

141
00:12:39.399 --> 00:12:43.559
to fifty to one thousand range again
where it was when their earnings come out.

142
00:12:43.679 --> 00:12:46.919
Na Vidia, you know you gotta, you gotta. It's a risk

143
00:12:48.000 --> 00:12:54.120
man because where it is, will
they will they look at the earnings and

144
00:12:54.360 --> 00:12:56.000
say, hey, this is great. Will the stock move up into the

145
00:12:56.039 --> 00:13:00.320
earnings and go further? Will the
stock drop back after the earth? You

146
00:13:00.360 --> 00:13:03.120
know the earnings are going to be
good, but will they be good enough

147
00:13:03.159 --> 00:13:05.279
to drive the price back through that
thousand level? I have no idea.

148
00:13:07.120 --> 00:13:11.399
I know this the stocks trading between
seven fifty and eight hundred and the upside

149
00:13:11.480 --> 00:13:16.240
nine to fifty and one thousand on
the upside. So what do you do?

150
00:13:16.279 --> 00:13:18.960
You keep your core position in your
trade around it. It gets up

151
00:13:20.080 --> 00:13:22.279
in the nines, nine to fifty
thousand, rains takes them off the table,

152
00:13:22.720 --> 00:13:26.519
he goes hire. You still have
a nice position. Then if it

153
00:13:26.559 --> 00:13:31.279
comes back down, it's a great
company around eight one hundred or lower.

154
00:13:31.799 --> 00:13:41.360
Buy back a little bit. That's
how over time you're making sure you're selling

155
00:13:41.399 --> 00:13:46.679
things as they're going higher, and
you're buying quality when it's coming back there.

156
00:13:48.679 --> 00:13:52.080
Look at the rangers. If you
don't know how to do that,

157
00:13:52.200 --> 00:13:54.600
you know how to trade, that's
fine, don't do it. Just put

158
00:13:54.639 --> 00:13:58.080
an order into to buy everyone it's
on their eight hundred and then put by

159
00:13:58.320 --> 00:14:03.799
a sell auto when it goes over
nine fifty or nine hundred, whatever,

160
00:14:05.519 --> 00:14:07.080
just put them in a hall and
don't watch it, don't worry about it,

161
00:14:07.960 --> 00:14:11.320
but get to buy first before you
get to sell. Of course,

162
00:14:13.320 --> 00:14:20.639
economic numbers this week GDP for the
first quarter one not so good, one

163
00:14:20.639 --> 00:14:24.480
point six, lowest it's been in
a couple of years. So what's going

164
00:14:24.519 --> 00:14:26.159
on? I thought we had such
a great economy. I thought Biden was

165
00:14:26.240 --> 00:14:31.200
doing so great. Biden is the
one that's making this. Let's go go

166
00:14:31.200 --> 00:14:37.759
go right. They were expecting two
and a half. What happened, Well,

167
00:14:37.759 --> 00:14:45.720
guess what happens. Everything isn't where
you think it is. We told

168
00:14:45.759 --> 00:14:52.039
you that we have inflation. It
is real. It is starting to hurt

169
00:14:52.159 --> 00:14:58.080
our economy. Sure, revenues are
more because we all have to pay for

170
00:14:58.159 --> 00:15:05.600
more, but the bottom line in
a lot of these companies are not growing

171
00:15:05.639 --> 00:15:09.399
as much. The economy is not
growing like you want it to be.

172
00:15:11.000 --> 00:15:16.159
But if you just listen to the
Biden train, they're telling you how great

173
00:15:16.200 --> 00:15:22.639
the market is, how great inflation's
coming down, how great the prices are

174
00:15:22.639 --> 00:15:26.720
coming down, How gasoline prices have
come down, how oil prices have come

175
00:15:26.759 --> 00:15:31.039
down. You know, it's amazing
that they take the American people as being

176
00:15:31.240 --> 00:15:39.360
so ill informed and they just put
stuff out there and people believe it.

177
00:15:41.399 --> 00:15:48.399
You know. They blame Trump for
the economy when we hit the pandemic,

178
00:15:50.840 --> 00:15:56.679
and they credit Biden for bringing the
economy back. A monkey sitting in the

179
00:15:56.679 --> 00:16:03.039
White House doing nothing would have been
able to bring this economy back. It

180
00:16:03.080 --> 00:16:07.000
took him so long to bring it
back. We had nothing going on,

181
00:16:08.080 --> 00:16:11.200
and everybody says, how great a
job he did. Unemployment so far,

182
00:16:11.480 --> 00:16:21.440
well, unemployment is down because those
numbers are skewed. They don't count everybody.

183
00:16:21.440 --> 00:16:23.639
They don't count people that took themselves
out of the workforce. If you

184
00:16:23.720 --> 00:16:29.360
take all that, you're up to
about eight percent. All the people not

185
00:16:29.480 --> 00:16:40.320
working that are legally able to work, you're about eight percent. The unemployment

186
00:16:40.399 --> 00:16:45.559
number they use, Yes it's not
under four percent. Jobs are filled with

187
00:16:47.679 --> 00:16:55.039
illegal immigrants. No one's doing anything
about that anymore. They want him to

188
00:16:55.080 --> 00:17:00.840
work, but they don't want to
work. Our people don't want to work.

189
00:17:02.080 --> 00:17:06.119
The work ethic has gone to hell. So what do we do.

190
00:17:06.240 --> 00:17:12.000
We just keep giving out money.
But what's amazing to me this past week

191
00:17:12.079 --> 00:17:22.960
or so is how we came up
with ninety billion dollars to give to countries

192
00:17:23.000 --> 00:17:33.599
that are at war to support them, and we can't find enough money or

193
00:17:33.720 --> 00:17:37.680
come up with an idea of how
to stop the border. We don't need

194
00:17:37.680 --> 00:17:41.799
a solution on the border right now. This is what people don't understand.

195
00:17:41.440 --> 00:17:45.440
They never get together, they never
talk about anything. Okay, so that

196
00:17:45.519 --> 00:17:49.200
will take some time. But what
you can do is shut down the border.

197
00:17:51.920 --> 00:17:55.599
Say no more until we come up
with a solution on what to do

198
00:17:55.680 --> 00:18:00.680
with the millions and tens of millions
of people that are already here. No

199
00:18:00.799 --> 00:18:07.839
more. I am not paying anymore
for people coming here illegally. You want

200
00:18:07.880 --> 00:18:12.000
to come to the United States,
come legally, Which brings me to my

201
00:18:12.119 --> 00:18:17.640
next point. And I've said this
forever. If you don't like America,

202
00:18:17.680 --> 00:18:21.240
get the heck out of here.
Get out of here, Go back to

203
00:18:21.319 --> 00:18:26.079
your so called country that you had
to escape from because it was so bad.

204
00:18:27.400 --> 00:18:33.359
But you come here. Death to
America, genocide the Jews, and

205
00:18:33.400 --> 00:18:45.279
you protest on our campuses, many
of them that US using state taxes from

206
00:18:45.279 --> 00:18:52.720
our people to pay for those schools. Think about that, if you're a

207
00:18:52.759 --> 00:18:57.960
foreigner and you're here on a visa, going to our schools, and you're

208
00:18:57.960 --> 00:19:08.839
doing anything against America, American beliefs
and what we're doing. Take their ability

209
00:19:08.920 --> 00:19:18.720
to be here away. They're instigating
something they don't even understand. Tell them

210
00:19:18.960 --> 00:19:23.440
they are no longer welcome at our
colleges, Put them on a plane,

211
00:19:23.880 --> 00:19:30.279
and send them home. They don't
have the right to come here and talk

212
00:19:30.319 --> 00:19:36.559
about how bad America is when we're
footing the bill. I don't want them

213
00:19:36.920 --> 00:19:44.599
going ahead and talking about terrorist groups
around the world and supporting them over our

214
00:19:44.640 --> 00:19:51.480
allies. And I'm going to stand
strong on this one. And if you

215
00:19:51.519 --> 00:19:52.920
want to argue with me, I
tell people, go ahead. You tell

216
00:19:52.960 --> 00:20:00.440
me one reason it's okay for somebody, especially somebody that is here as our

217
00:20:00.559 --> 00:20:07.119
guest, to be able to talk
bad about where we are, who we

218
00:20:07.240 --> 00:20:14.799
are, and not have to go
back home. Think about this. Think

219
00:20:14.839 --> 00:20:19.920
about somebody coming to your house.
You invite them to your house, and

220
00:20:21.000 --> 00:20:26.240
all they do is talk bad about
you, your family, your friends,

221
00:20:26.359 --> 00:20:32.319
your environment. How long do you
think that they would stay in that house

222
00:20:32.519 --> 00:20:38.799
as you feed them and give them
drinks and food and dessert and conversation and

223
00:20:38.960 --> 00:20:44.680
introduce them to the people that you
love. How long would they last in

224
00:20:44.720 --> 00:20:49.519
your house. I know my house. They'd be out of there very quick

225
00:20:51.599 --> 00:20:56.799
and and and never welcome back.
Why isn't our country the same way?

226
00:20:57.759 --> 00:21:07.680
Why aren't our schools the same way? Why relating allowing people to be going

227
00:21:07.720 --> 00:21:15.880
ahead and talking about Hamas in such
a way that they value them. You

228
00:21:15.920 --> 00:21:27.240
know why we don't have a cease
fire because the hostages are probably very few

229
00:21:27.319 --> 00:21:36.119
left. Twice Hamas has turned down
to cease fire because the hostages are not

230
00:21:36.240 --> 00:21:42.039
there, they're no longer on this
earth. But the media won't do anything

231
00:21:42.079 --> 00:21:47.319
to find out more about that.
They just want to go ahead and go

232
00:21:47.359 --> 00:21:53.720
ahead and go look at that Israel
is genociding Palestinians. They are not.

233
00:21:56.720 --> 00:21:59.720
They are going after the terrorists,
which is a terrorist group of Hamas.

234
00:22:00.359 --> 00:22:06.480
And do not ever, ever,
ever tell me it's okay to support a

235
00:22:06.559 --> 00:22:14.160
terrorist group like Amas. Not in
my lifetime, none of my kids' lifetime,

236
00:22:15.319 --> 00:22:18.119
not of people I know. But
people are so uneducated to what's going

237
00:22:18.160 --> 00:22:22.799
on. They are spewing things that
are not true. And you and I

238
00:22:22.880 --> 00:22:26.640
both know that the majority of the
people that are starting to instigate are paid

239
00:22:26.759 --> 00:22:33.039
protesters from outside these way left groups
that come in the same colored tents,

240
00:22:34.119 --> 00:22:38.960
the same the same chance, the
same things, and they put it out

241
00:22:40.000 --> 00:22:45.400
to liberal media. I'm sick of
it. I'm ready. I it's time

242
00:22:45.440 --> 00:22:52.160
for us to say no more,
no more, because if we can get

243
00:22:52.240 --> 00:22:53.759
rid of it. I can't believe
this is the way we're thinking that it's

244
00:22:53.799 --> 00:22:57.160
okay to do this. If anyone
says, oh, they're only protesting gets

245
00:22:57.160 --> 00:23:03.559
free speech, it's not free speech. And how do you think the people

246
00:23:03.400 --> 00:23:08.400
of the inner cities feel that we're
paying given so much money, education,

247
00:23:08.759 --> 00:23:15.039
food, shelter to the illegal immigrants
coming to their cities, and they're living

248
00:23:15.119 --> 00:23:22.839
in poverty. Are you kidding me? They have a better chance, and

249
00:23:22.920 --> 00:23:29.319
they go ahead and fly to Mexico
and get the cartel to bring them across

250
00:23:29.359 --> 00:23:33.519
the border and figure out a way
they'll get better, better support than we're

251
00:23:33.519 --> 00:23:41.079
given to them. Now, it's
not fair. They talk about fairness,

252
00:23:41.119 --> 00:23:42.839
fairness, fairness. I want that
fair share, I want this, I

253
00:23:42.880 --> 00:23:48.480
want that. It's so so gone. It's not fair. And anyone with

254
00:23:48.559 --> 00:23:52.519
common sense knows it's not fair.
Anybody, even left and right. No,

255
00:23:52.680 --> 00:23:56.880
it's not fair. They want the
border shut down. They want these

256
00:23:56.920 --> 00:24:00.759
wards finished. They don't want to
keep giving money to these things. If

257
00:24:00.759 --> 00:24:04.839
we're not going to finish the war
and everyone's got to chip in, it

258
00:24:06.000 --> 00:24:11.240
not cannot just be the United States
of America. It's going to affect our

259
00:24:11.279 --> 00:24:15.079
economy because we cannot afford it anymore. We'll be back. It's the Money

260
00:24:15.079 --> 00:24:30.279
Matter Show. Thank you so much
for listening. Welcome back everybody. It

261
00:24:30.400 --> 00:24:33.519
is the Money Matter Show Sunday morning. Right here. We got Dave,

262
00:24:33.599 --> 00:24:38.559
we got Todd, and we got
Sebastian today. Woo. Good week.

263
00:24:40.839 --> 00:24:45.039
What's an interesting deal? The worst
week in five months a week ago,

264
00:24:45.559 --> 00:24:48.640
and this past week the best week
in five months. And when we went

265
00:24:48.680 --> 00:24:51.440
down, we can't right back to
where we were. I got a question

266
00:24:51.480 --> 00:24:56.079
for you guys. Is the market
running n Video or is it Nvidia running

267
00:24:56.079 --> 00:25:02.240
the market? I tell you,
after the earnings I make twenty second because

268
00:25:02.279 --> 00:25:06.720
of the I mean, you know
obviously what I see in the video right

269
00:25:06.759 --> 00:25:08.400
now. When it comes to the
text stocks, it's the safe haven.

270
00:25:10.079 --> 00:25:11.480
Like people want to be in the
tex stocks. So they come out of

271
00:25:11.720 --> 00:25:15.200
probably Meta the other day when it
got killed, all right, reduce their

272
00:25:15.240 --> 00:25:18.400
positions there because they figured it's going
to take some time, and they piled

273
00:25:18.400 --> 00:25:22.119
into the video. Try to get
it all back, feeling that it's gonna

274
00:25:22.359 --> 00:25:25.440
that the video is going to run
into the into their runings. Right.

275
00:25:25.440 --> 00:25:27.599
But a safe haven that went down
one hundred points in one day, there

276
00:25:27.680 --> 00:25:32.000
is no safe haven didn't come on. They're not safe havens unless you bought

277
00:25:32.039 --> 00:25:33.640
them at fifty bucks. Hunt.
But it is interesting. If and video

278
00:25:33.720 --> 00:25:37.720
is selling off big, the market's
going to go down. Yeah. If

279
00:25:37.799 --> 00:25:41.839
N video is rallying big, the
market's going to go up. So what

280
00:25:41.839 --> 00:25:44.599
do you think DoD is in video
running the market off the market? Dame?

281
00:25:44.640 --> 00:25:47.960
I've seen the video up on days
that the market is down, not

282
00:25:48.079 --> 00:25:51.559
recently, not within the last week
or ten days. Well, yeah,

283
00:25:51.599 --> 00:25:55.839
But I think what Dean is saying
is in terms of what are you saying

284
00:25:55.839 --> 00:25:57.240
over the last week or what do
you yeah, yeah, over the yeah,

285
00:25:57.279 --> 00:26:00.720
over the last two weeks. It
seems like the market's following and video.

286
00:26:02.680 --> 00:26:04.200
Yeah. I guess you could make
a case in any short period that

287
00:26:04.240 --> 00:26:07.200
a stock could have a lot of
influence on the overall market. I could

288
00:26:07.200 --> 00:26:12.119
see that that's stocking that stock in
particular. Yeah. See, I disagree.

289
00:26:12.079 --> 00:26:15.960
I think what happens the market falls, people are panicking out. They

290
00:26:17.000 --> 00:26:18.240
have such big gains in the video. They don't want to give it back

291
00:26:18.279 --> 00:26:21.960
as it's going down, so they
get it and they say I'll get back

292
00:26:22.000 --> 00:26:25.599
in. I mean based on their
earnings and the videos should be higher,

293
00:26:25.680 --> 00:26:27.319
right, I mean, we've not
an expensive stock. We've talked about that.

294
00:26:27.440 --> 00:26:30.680
How it's not a shocking which is
shocking, right, considering how fast

295
00:26:30.720 --> 00:26:33.960
it's moved, But as fast as
the stock has moved, their earnings have

296
00:26:34.039 --> 00:26:38.599
moved even faster, right, And
so I mean we should probably be pricing

297
00:26:38.640 --> 00:26:42.200
and further growth for an video stock, but the market's not. I really

298
00:26:42.200 --> 00:26:45.039
thought it when it closed. We
talked I think last week, thought about

299
00:26:45.039 --> 00:26:49.680
that closing that gap in the chart
around seven to eighty, and there was

300
00:26:49.720 --> 00:26:53.160
another gap under seven hundred. We
thought that would be a really great place

301
00:26:53.200 --> 00:26:56.480
to be buying. Never got a
chance to do that, did we.

302
00:26:56.680 --> 00:27:00.519
There's a lot of stocks that were
we thought those gaps are going to get

303
00:27:00.519 --> 00:27:03.119
filled last this week, and they
did it because they just bounced right back

304
00:27:03.200 --> 00:27:07.079
up. So it's a weird time
now where it's it's hard to go right

305
00:27:07.119 --> 00:27:11.720
back into them because it's not that
attractive either. And the ear needs were

306
00:27:11.759 --> 00:27:15.599
forts were for the most part,
better than expected. But if they weren't,

307
00:27:15.799 --> 00:27:18.799
watch out. Okay, So here's
my question to you. On the

308
00:27:18.880 --> 00:27:22.319
average, how many times did we
go down ten percent in a year on

309
00:27:22.359 --> 00:27:26.720
a day, no, no decline
on average? How many times a year?

310
00:27:30.000 --> 00:27:33.599
Twice? Yeah, twice, that's
right, five percent, four times

311
00:27:33.640 --> 00:27:37.960
five percent would be four or five
times? Yeah, four or five times.

312
00:27:37.000 --> 00:27:40.720
Okay, so that's exactly it.
That's twice. Now we've been down

313
00:27:40.759 --> 00:27:44.359
five percent. One time, we've
been down ten percent so far. Right,

314
00:27:44.960 --> 00:27:45.960
Well, we got so used to, you know, when they were

315
00:27:47.000 --> 00:27:49.599
lowering interest rates that the markets didn't
really fall that much. Then we had

316
00:27:49.599 --> 00:27:52.920
a nice period of time that we
didn't go down more than two and a

317
00:27:52.960 --> 00:27:56.440
half percent here for like five months, right once something like that. And

318
00:27:56.480 --> 00:28:00.680
now all of a sudden we declined
and people get scared and the professional come

319
00:28:00.720 --> 00:28:03.839
in and buy, and we've had
a chance over the last few days for

320
00:28:03.920 --> 00:28:07.839
the market to sell off. We
broke below five thousand, no reason on

321
00:28:07.880 --> 00:28:11.480
Monday morning that the market had to
be up. There was no particular news,

322
00:28:12.200 --> 00:28:17.240
but it started off up and then
of course that gained momentum on Tuesday.

323
00:28:17.319 --> 00:28:19.079
Yeah. And also if you look
at history, so we got crowded.

324
00:28:19.079 --> 00:28:22.400
Then we got hurt that we badly
well, not till Thursday. Though,

325
00:28:22.519 --> 00:28:25.960
not till Thursday. It was up
Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.

326
00:28:26.119 --> 00:28:30.200
Yeah, the history of the S
and p's performance in an election year is

327
00:28:30.279 --> 00:28:33.440
the first three months are skyrocketed.
Then you see this like kind of leveling

328
00:28:33.480 --> 00:28:37.920
out, plateauing through the summer months, and then it gets folatile again at

329
00:28:37.920 --> 00:28:41.839
the end of the year, the
election. It feels just based on the

330
00:28:41.880 --> 00:28:47.279
action over the last two weeks,
the market feels like it wants to go

331
00:28:47.359 --> 00:28:48.400
higher. I agree with that.
To me, I think we're going to

332
00:28:48.440 --> 00:28:53.000
get a new all time high before
too long. Here. It does seem

333
00:28:53.000 --> 00:28:57.400
like we're getting into this choppiness where
we have numbers on both sides where people

334
00:28:57.400 --> 00:29:02.319
can react to them in you know, whatever way they want to. And

335
00:29:02.359 --> 00:29:04.960
so with that, I think we
will have increased volatility and maybe not too

336
00:29:06.000 --> 00:29:10.359
much new all time highs, more
so just touching new time highs coming back

337
00:29:10.359 --> 00:29:12.880
down touch like you know, the
gyrations of it. Well, we got

338
00:29:14.000 --> 00:29:15.440
to go up three percent, right
for all time highs. Yeah, I

339
00:29:15.440 --> 00:29:18.200
think the thing is straight. Yeah, No, you're right, Dean,

340
00:29:18.240 --> 00:29:21.440
And I think I think it started
us off on Monday, and a better

341
00:29:21.519 --> 00:29:23.920
note was over the weekend, tensions
in the Middle East kind of quieted down.

342
00:29:23.960 --> 00:29:26.559
You're not hearing much out of it
right now, yeah, which goes

343
00:29:26.599 --> 00:29:30.400
back to my theory that it was
all a set up anyway. I mean,

344
00:29:30.559 --> 00:29:34.960
I don't to go get the money
to pass Congress to get to Israel

345
00:29:36.000 --> 00:29:40.240
and Ukraine. Okay, okay,
because think about it, they go ahead

346
00:29:40.279 --> 00:29:45.960
and send over these I don't know
drones, the bomb Israel that costs thousands

347
00:29:45.000 --> 00:29:49.920
of dollars. Israel spends millions of
dollars on defending themselves, which they have

348
00:29:51.000 --> 00:29:55.480
to do with their iron dome.
Sure, okay, that goes then we

349
00:29:55.640 --> 00:30:00.519
then Israel sends over missiles and stuff
that costs lots of money. Right.

350
00:30:00.599 --> 00:30:03.880
They don't hit anything, Okay,
maybe the little thing here, a little

351
00:30:03.880 --> 00:30:07.200
thing there. Nothing, nobody can't
killed, Civilians don't get killed. A

352
00:30:07.240 --> 00:30:11.000
lot of media, a lot of
talk, and all of a sudden we

353
00:30:11.000 --> 00:30:14.599
passed the bills. Yeah. Well
that was a message Israel sent to Iran

354
00:30:14.720 --> 00:30:18.119
because they set those missiles all around
their nuclear power plant and saying, if

355
00:30:18.160 --> 00:30:21.119
you want that plant to go be
gone. I get it dated up.

356
00:30:21.160 --> 00:30:26.160
But what I'm saying is it's what
side of we on are tooth? You're

357
00:30:26.160 --> 00:30:29.359
talking about the ninety billion dollars deal. Yes, and then they passed a

358
00:30:29.400 --> 00:30:32.039
bill to give VI Israel money in
Ukraine. And on top of that,

359
00:30:32.160 --> 00:30:36.359
they snuck in what other TikTok No
Taiwan? Oh, yeah, Taiwan.

360
00:30:36.880 --> 00:30:40.960
They snuck Taiwan. And so that
came kind of out of nowhere, interesting

361
00:30:41.079 --> 00:30:42.319
enough. I mean, when you
don't have any money, you might as

362
00:30:42.359 --> 00:30:45.200
well just give it to everybody.
Right, we don't have any anyway,

363
00:30:45.279 --> 00:30:48.759
so right, let's just keep keep
sending it out. But you don't find

364
00:30:48.799 --> 00:30:53.000
it's interesting that that happened like a
week before they voted on the giving more

365
00:30:53.039 --> 00:30:59.640
money. I can't, I think
differently, No, No, I can't.

366
00:30:59.759 --> 00:31:00.400
I'm arguing with you. Oh I
thought you were. No, I

367
00:31:00.400 --> 00:31:03.720
said, I can't argue that there's
a cause and effect. It is odd,

368
00:31:04.160 --> 00:31:10.359
an odd coincidence. And did Congress
then see this thing heating up and

369
00:31:10.400 --> 00:31:15.599
decide to do something about it or
was that all or did our government go

370
00:31:15.640 --> 00:31:18.440
ahead and say, we'll give you
an excuse to be able to support your

371
00:31:18.519 --> 00:31:21.359
voting for this. The only the
only, the only problem with that theory

372
00:31:21.519 --> 00:31:27.680
is that that would somehow Iran was
in cahoots with Israel by shooting No,

373
00:31:27.559 --> 00:31:30.680
no, they had to shoot theirs
first. No no, no, I

374
00:31:30.799 --> 00:31:33.759
Ran as in cahoots with the United
States. Who allows them to still have

375
00:31:33.839 --> 00:31:37.839
the billions of dollars of cash level
that the United States asks I Ran to

376
00:31:37.880 --> 00:31:42.000
send all those missiles over in a
certain region. Don't be surprised that wouldn't

377
00:31:42.000 --> 00:31:45.279
be an issue. You know,
April is traditionally one of the better months

378
00:31:45.279 --> 00:31:49.359
of the year for the market,
and it has been a rough year so

379
00:31:49.480 --> 00:31:52.039
far. A rough month so far, Dean, it was, although the

380
00:31:52.160 --> 00:31:56.200
rebounded leave US down about two point
nine percent for the month, but still

381
00:31:56.240 --> 00:32:01.440
down in a month that is historically
higher. We'll see what happens next to

382
00:32:01.599 --> 00:32:05.599
next week. Actually, April's just
about done. We got two days next

383
00:32:05.680 --> 00:32:08.000
week. I expect them to have
an upward bias unless something happens over the

384
00:32:08.000 --> 00:32:14.480
weekend. You know, it's funny
with all this, you know, you

385
00:32:14.519 --> 00:32:19.920
see all the markets go up and
down, right, and people in four

386
00:32:19.960 --> 00:32:23.119
one k plans, it's very hard
for them to get great advice because no

387
00:32:23.160 --> 00:32:27.759
one wants to help them. So
what does the DOL do? They're coming

388
00:32:27.799 --> 00:32:31.680
out with even harder regulations for people
to get advice in this business. So

389
00:32:31.680 --> 00:32:35.880
what do they do? They get
scared, they sell it, markets goes

390
00:32:35.960 --> 00:32:39.240
up, they buy again. They
are the individuals for the most part.

391
00:32:39.319 --> 00:32:45.599
There's ones that get it, don't
understand how to invest correctly, especially in

392
00:32:45.599 --> 00:32:47.839
their four one K plans. And
all I keep seeing is more regulation,

393
00:32:49.000 --> 00:32:53.559
regulation, regulation for attorneys. I
guess that's who writes them to be able

394
00:32:53.599 --> 00:32:58.359
to go after financial advisors. And
there's retirement plans. I have no problems

395
00:32:59.279 --> 00:33:04.559
checking commission fees things like that.
That's right, do not take advantage of

396
00:33:04.599 --> 00:33:07.720
that. But the fact is that
most people, most employees, they don't

397
00:33:07.720 --> 00:33:13.759
have the ability because they don't want
to get sued with these new rules that

398
00:33:13.839 --> 00:33:17.000
come out. And all it does
is hurt the individual that's working that has

399
00:33:17.039 --> 00:33:22.519
no clue anyway about financial literacy to
how to even manage it. And the

400
00:33:22.599 --> 00:33:28.359
government, in an effort to dissuade
the bad actors in this business, end

401
00:33:28.400 --> 00:33:30.720
up hurting in the individual. Yeah, I mean the Department of Labor again,

402
00:33:31.240 --> 00:33:35.640
is this new kind of it's a
new provision they just released. The

403
00:33:35.680 --> 00:33:39.839
Department of Labor is the one that
regulates and oversees qualified accounts. These are

404
00:33:40.240 --> 00:33:45.000
four to one K buckets of things, but also not people. People normally

405
00:33:45.079 --> 00:33:50.720
realizes it's also including iras. Okay, those are individual retirement accounts. The

406
00:33:50.799 --> 00:33:53.319
dl oversees that as well. So
this new rule that they put out,

407
00:33:53.359 --> 00:33:59.519
the security rule they just released it
this week, would say that any iter

408
00:33:59.519 --> 00:34:02.640
at IRA transfer or four to one
K to IRA transfer, if there's an

409
00:34:02.680 --> 00:34:07.239
increase in fees, you have to
explain why that is beneficial to the client.

410
00:34:07.760 --> 00:34:13.480
Most four to one K plans have
very very small plan costs, right,

411
00:34:13.880 --> 00:34:16.599
but with that you have no advice
given to you, and you are

412
00:34:16.960 --> 00:34:20.639
you have to do all your own
trades, and you're limited to the trades

413
00:34:20.679 --> 00:34:24.280
you can do because you only have
a certain number of options. So us

414
00:34:24.320 --> 00:34:29.719
now the advisor has to prove on
paper why it's more beneficial for a client

415
00:34:29.760 --> 00:34:31.519
to be in an IRA vers a
four one K plan, even though that

416
00:34:31.519 --> 00:34:36.039
they're paying more at the IRA because
of the management fee. And now everyone

417
00:34:36.119 --> 00:34:39.360
in this institution has to do this
now according to this new DOL rule.

418
00:34:39.400 --> 00:34:43.320
If it has to do with iras
or four one ks, it's kind of

419
00:34:43.360 --> 00:34:47.400
assuming that everybody on the street is
speeding. So we're going to put in

420
00:34:47.440 --> 00:34:51.760
new rules. Huh yeah. I
mean it hurts the insurance companies the most

421
00:34:52.119 --> 00:34:55.039
because most of their commission products.
I don't know how they're going to be

422
00:34:55.079 --> 00:35:00.920
able to prove that it's more beneficial
for the client. Good point, that's

423
00:35:00.920 --> 00:35:02.280
a very good point. That's going
to be really. That's why the insurance

424
00:35:02.280 --> 00:35:07.719
companies and newdy companies are so out
and about against this rule. It came

425
00:35:07.719 --> 00:35:12.159
out originally in twenty sixteen, and
then it was voted down in the court,

426
00:35:12.360 --> 00:35:15.840
not voted down, but ruled against
in the courts and taken away in

427
00:35:15.920 --> 00:35:21.119
twenty eighteen. So now the DL
has listened to all the the you know,

428
00:35:21.679 --> 00:35:24.880
the industry's comments on the old rule, revised it, and came out

429
00:35:24.920 --> 00:35:30.079
with this rule, which still is
very cumbersome on the financial industry and how

430
00:35:30.320 --> 00:35:32.880
currently business is done. So if
you decide to transfer your IRA or four

431
00:35:34.000 --> 00:35:37.199
one K, you're going to run
into this more paperwork. Yep, everybody,

432
00:35:37.280 --> 00:35:40.079
the individual, everybody, you know
what I mean? And all what

433
00:35:40.119 --> 00:35:45.079
does more paperwork do? It opens
up the lines for attorneys to be able

434
00:35:45.119 --> 00:35:49.000
to find a little small thing in
there to go after somebody. Are you

435
00:35:49.000 --> 00:35:51.639
you know that's it? All right? We'll be back. We have another

436
00:35:51.679 --> 00:35:54.119
section in the first hour. This
is the Moneymighty Show. We do appreciate

437
00:35:54.199 --> 00:35:59.039
you listening being part of it,
and remember you can go to our website

438
00:35:59.360 --> 00:36:04.719
and listen to a podcasts that are
basically reviews of what we have already said.

439
00:36:05.039 --> 00:36:07.440
Thank you, Welcome back everybody.
It's the Money Matter shall We got

440
00:36:07.440 --> 00:36:14.199
Todd and Sebastian and Dave Sherwood joining
me today. Dean Greenberg. Remember you

441
00:36:14.199 --> 00:36:15.800
want to get in touch with us, all you have to do is call

442
00:36:15.880 --> 00:36:22.360
us, email us contact us off
for email. Every day we get one

443
00:36:22.440 --> 00:36:23.639
or two people that try to get
in touch with us, or they call

444
00:36:23.719 --> 00:36:29.320
us for appointments. We will do
that financial plan for you, but no

445
00:36:29.440 --> 00:36:32.039
charge. How about this gray weather
for those of us to spend a little

446
00:36:32.039 --> 00:36:37.760
time outside seventy eight degrees on Saturday, eighty two on Sunday, give you

447
00:36:37.760 --> 00:36:40.639
a couple of cool days before they
turn the heat up. I think the

448
00:36:40.679 --> 00:36:44.920
heat's coming. Next week. Calendar
of events. Next Friday we get the

449
00:36:44.960 --> 00:36:50.039
unemployment or the employment report. Next
Monday we get the jobless reports. Todd,

450
00:36:50.199 --> 00:36:52.559
what do you bet it's two hundred
and twelve? Yeah, I know

451
00:36:52.679 --> 00:36:57.320
you tund five of the last six
weeks. We talked about this last week.

452
00:36:57.440 --> 00:37:00.920
Five of the last six weeks,
the first time claims for jobless benefits.

453
00:37:00.920 --> 00:37:06.199
This has been exactly two hundred and
twelve thou which is specifically impossible.

454
00:37:06.280 --> 00:37:09.800
Yeah. Again, with the labor
market, the last labor report showed that

455
00:37:09.840 --> 00:37:15.360
there's a structural change happening from full
time employees to part time employees, and

456
00:37:15.400 --> 00:37:20.639
there's a huge increase in part time
employees versus full time. Full time is

457
00:37:20.639 --> 00:37:24.079
actually losing jobs, part time segments
gaining jobs. So there's a structural change

458
00:37:24.119 --> 00:37:28.199
there. That's something to keep an
eye out for. Oil was up a

459
00:37:28.199 --> 00:37:32.039
dollar fifty to eighty three seventy and
gold lost sixty four dollars. Again,

460
00:37:32.119 --> 00:37:36.079
the most of that was Monday,
I think it was down one hundred bucks

461
00:37:36.760 --> 00:37:40.599
because of the calming down of things
in the Middle East. Still twenty three

462
00:37:40.760 --> 00:37:45.679
thirty four, which is a big
number for gold. Interest rates the highest

463
00:37:45.760 --> 00:37:50.159
level in five months, but it
was interesting. On Friday, we got

464
00:37:50.239 --> 00:37:57.119
the PC reports, the Personal Consumption
Report, which is the Federal Reserve's favorite

465
00:37:57.360 --> 00:38:01.960
employment excuse me, favorite inflation index, and it actually was higher than what

466
00:38:02.039 --> 00:38:07.760
people expected, and yet interest rates
edged a little bit lower on Friday,

467
00:38:07.480 --> 00:38:12.360
making you wonder is it is it
done? Yeah, but you know christ

468
00:38:12.440 --> 00:38:16.000
in to be a you know,
on Thursday we had the lower GDP report

469
00:38:16.039 --> 00:38:21.400
that came out and then rates were
higher, which that should have been opposite

470
00:38:21.599 --> 00:38:24.519
altho. But remember the low GDP
report came with a higher inflation number,

471
00:38:24.840 --> 00:38:30.239
so the inflation numbers were ignited interest
rates on Thursday, and then Friday we

472
00:38:30.320 --> 00:38:34.400
got the pc which is the big
number, and that showed that inflation was

473
00:38:34.519 --> 00:38:37.440
well. Inflation reported to being.
On Thursday, there was two there was

474
00:38:37.440 --> 00:38:42.320
two reports on UH the U,
two reports to CPI, and then the

475
00:38:42.320 --> 00:38:45.920
inflation component of CPI was double what
they expected. That's what sent the market

476
00:38:45.960 --> 00:38:49.400
down. I thought CPI was last
week. No, No, you couldn't

477
00:38:49.400 --> 00:38:54.239
have. I mean, the the
GDP being softer in theory would cause interest

478
00:38:54.280 --> 00:38:58.519
rates to come down. That's what
I'm saying is what this market wants to

479
00:38:58.519 --> 00:39:00.519
see. So there would there have
been no reason for the market to be

480
00:39:00.599 --> 00:39:05.039
down big on Thursday. Well,
no, the rates were up on Thursday.

481
00:39:05.440 --> 00:39:07.960
Interest rates were up on Thursday,
right because of that inflation component of

482
00:39:08.000 --> 00:39:15.000
the CPI that was that was that
was much higher than expected. Treasury two

483
00:39:15.119 --> 00:39:17.440
year tenure you got that time.
Yeah, it's still thirty three, still

484
00:39:17.480 --> 00:39:21.920
thirty years at five yeah, two
years at five, ten years at four

485
00:39:21.920 --> 00:39:24.519
point sixty seven. Yeah. We
went from five percent on the tenure down

486
00:39:24.559 --> 00:39:29.280
to three point nine. Now we've
come back to four point seven. Yeah,

487
00:39:29.400 --> 00:39:31.320
I don't know this. Mortgage rates
are seven point one seven currently.

488
00:39:31.519 --> 00:39:35.800
Yeah, and that's that seems to
be a level that kind of chokes off

489
00:39:35.840 --> 00:39:39.440
some demand. We'll see. Well, I've heard some talkings in the housing

490
00:39:39.480 --> 00:39:44.360
industry that they're having some paint not
getting the same sales they saw last year

491
00:39:45.000 --> 00:39:46.599
for whatever reason. Well, I
mean, let's face it, you know,

492
00:39:46.639 --> 00:39:52.280
people seeing inflation still around, and
if they were in a mortgage of

493
00:39:52.400 --> 00:39:55.199
less than four percent and their payments
so what they can deal with, They're

494
00:39:55.239 --> 00:39:59.719
not going out and saying I want
to, you know, get a bigger

495
00:39:59.719 --> 00:40:01.679
house. I want a bigger old
mortgage, or even the small house with

496
00:40:01.760 --> 00:40:06.239
a bigger mortgage to stay input and
say hey, we're comfortable with what we

497
00:40:06.280 --> 00:40:09.320
have right now. And homes that
come on the market in desirable areas are

498
00:40:09.360 --> 00:40:15.079
still getting multiple offers because of the
lack of invagery, and until we get

499
00:40:15.119 --> 00:40:20.960
that under control, it's going to
be hard to see inflation coming down much.

500
00:40:21.440 --> 00:40:23.639
Everything's supply and demand. It is. So when you go back to

501
00:40:24.360 --> 00:40:30.960
the pandemic, okay, when we
had no demand right at all, because

502
00:40:30.400 --> 00:40:32.719
we didn't need to have any demand. We had the supply. You know,

503
00:40:32.920 --> 00:40:36.840
all the prices came tumbling down.
I don't know if you remember oil

504
00:40:36.920 --> 00:40:42.320
went to minus fifty dollars. Yeah, I've never seen that. How they

505
00:40:42.440 --> 00:40:49.719
don't when everything came back that are
Congress and the President did not say,

506
00:40:49.800 --> 00:40:52.039
hey, we need to you know, when they all kept saying supply issues,

507
00:40:52.320 --> 00:40:57.639
that they didn't work on ways of
getting our supply issues to keep me

508
00:40:57.760 --> 00:41:01.119
the demand. If they did that, we would not have had the situation

509
00:41:01.280 --> 00:41:05.519
that we're in with this inflation going
up as high as they ad So they

510
00:41:05.559 --> 00:41:07.920
could sit here now and say,
well, inflation's coming back down. Yeah,

511
00:41:08.199 --> 00:41:13.039
Well couldn't stay at eight percent.
Nobody could have handled that. Yeah.

512
00:41:13.079 --> 00:41:15.920
So I charted the other day.
Many grocery products over the last four

513
00:41:15.000 --> 00:41:20.320
years have doubled I'm sorry, are
up fifty percent? Doubled up fifty percent?

514
00:41:21.559 --> 00:41:24.440
Yeah? The tesla use constantly.
You see what the average juice car

515
00:41:24.559 --> 00:41:28.519
costs? Now? Yeah, I
don't, but I know they've come down

516
00:41:28.559 --> 00:41:30.719
a lot over the last few months. There's still about thirty some one thousand

517
00:41:30.800 --> 00:41:34.440
days. It's crazy, is that
right? The used car thirty thousand Yeah,

518
00:41:34.440 --> 00:41:37.000
I mean within the within a few
years. Yeah, use cause you

519
00:41:37.000 --> 00:41:39.199
know what I'm saying. I'm not
talking about a clock from twenty ten.

520
00:41:39.440 --> 00:41:45.400
Yeah. But which means, look
how high the new price costs are.

521
00:41:45.199 --> 00:41:52.119
That's what the That's why the electric
the electrics industry, it's saturated with people

522
00:41:52.199 --> 00:41:55.280
that's left that want them but can't
afford them, right, And which is

523
00:41:55.320 --> 00:42:00.119
which brings me to Tesla. What
an interest that? Now? You set

524
00:42:00.159 --> 00:42:04.800
me up? What a great week
for Tesla down four percent at the open

525
00:42:04.840 --> 00:42:07.840
on Monday. As the price war
continues. They're dropping prices all over the

526
00:42:07.880 --> 00:42:13.400
world, as are their competitors,
competitions heating up. Stock hit a fifty

527
00:42:13.400 --> 00:42:16.599
two week low on Monday. They
also lowered the price of their self driving

528
00:42:16.800 --> 00:42:22.559
software by thirty three percent. Tuesday, the company reports their first quarterly revenue

529
00:42:22.599 --> 00:42:27.719
decline and their biggest drop in eleven
years, sending the stock to a new

530
00:42:27.800 --> 00:42:31.760
low. But Wednesday, the stock
jump thirteen percent higher after Musk said they're

531
00:42:31.760 --> 00:42:36.360
going to produce a low price car
in early twenty twenty five D and that's

532
00:42:36.440 --> 00:42:38.639
exactly what you're talking about. But
what's low price to him? Twenty five

533
00:42:38.679 --> 00:42:43.480
grand? Okay, yeah, there's
a there's a tu out to door it

534
00:42:43.599 --> 00:42:47.920
forty five. There's a lot of
demand for electric vehicles, but at lower

535
00:42:47.960 --> 00:42:52.960
prices. Well, the funniest thing
about this is a month ago he says,

536
00:42:53.199 --> 00:42:58.000
we're not doing the affordable car,
and we're switching to the robotaxi.

537
00:42:59.280 --> 00:43:04.800
Right, we are going back.
They said that they're switching to the robot

538
00:43:04.880 --> 00:43:07.480
tax because it's not possible for them
to build the affordable car. They couldn't

539
00:43:07.519 --> 00:43:12.280
find it possible because of the cost
of the cost of the cost of materials.

540
00:43:12.719 --> 00:43:15.599
But now they can do it.
He is the price. He is

541
00:43:15.719 --> 00:43:21.679
the best marketer any CEO. Stock
was up fourteen percent. The stock was

542
00:43:21.760 --> 00:43:23.880
up fourteen percent of the week and
out. So I'm still cautious. I'm

543
00:43:23.880 --> 00:43:27.880
telling you, I love the car. I do not love the stock.

544
00:43:28.719 --> 00:43:32.599
Her Hurts plunged about nineteen twenty percent
off their earning support because they're still dealing

545
00:43:32.639 --> 00:43:36.840
with their Tesla fleet that they're trying
to get rid of. I find that

546
00:43:36.880 --> 00:43:42.559
interesting because they've got twenty thousand used
Tesla that they're selling, and that that

547
00:43:42.960 --> 00:43:47.880
that could impact the companies. Impact
a company of that size definitely that much.

548
00:43:49.159 --> 00:43:52.719
Now understand the prices have come down
dramatically. I think I said on

549
00:43:52.760 --> 00:43:57.639
the radio show two years ago,
the Model Y it was sixty nine to

550
00:43:57.719 --> 00:44:01.719
nine. Now it's like forty five. Okay, so that's that's pretty significant.

551
00:44:02.159 --> 00:44:05.679
And and now if you get to
use Model Y, maybe it's twenty

552
00:44:05.719 --> 00:44:08.159
five. So if you bought a
whole bunch of bought twenty thousand cars for

553
00:44:08.199 --> 00:44:12.760
seventy thousand dollars and now you're trying
to dump them for twenty thousand dollars,

554
00:44:12.840 --> 00:44:16.599
it's gonna it's gonna make a difference. But can it really impact a company?

555
00:44:16.960 --> 00:44:21.360
What's the model with the the uh
like the sub that the arms go

556
00:44:21.440 --> 00:44:23.360
up, Model X, I will
that's the expensive one. Let me tell

557
00:44:23.360 --> 00:44:29.000
you, I was in one about
a week and a half ago. He

558
00:44:29.039 --> 00:44:30.519
pulls up, look kind of cool, and then the then the car doors

559
00:44:30.559 --> 00:44:35.920
come up. It was so easy
to get into. Then it comes down

560
00:44:36.280 --> 00:44:40.239
and it rode so nicely. Every
every Tesla right, Okay, well I

561
00:44:40.400 --> 00:44:44.800
get it. You know what I'm
just telling you my experience in this one,

562
00:44:45.000 --> 00:44:47.440
the Model X, it was,
it was it was pretty cool,

563
00:44:47.679 --> 00:44:52.920
you know. But the only thing
I can think about is all parking spots.

564
00:44:52.440 --> 00:44:54.559
Well that's why I was gonna ask
you, how do you put it

565
00:44:54.599 --> 00:44:59.480
in a garage? Forget the garage, how about a parking spot where it's

566
00:44:59.480 --> 00:45:01.360
a good whe carse right next to
you. Does it actually go out or

567
00:45:01.360 --> 00:45:06.159
is it just go up? It
goes out and up? So how far

568
00:45:06.159 --> 00:45:10.119
out does it go? Maybe two
feet enough to make a difference. Yeah,

569
00:45:10.280 --> 00:45:14.519
I mean sometimes, let's face it, you there and it's automatic,

570
00:45:14.639 --> 00:45:19.039
so it's going up. It's it's
not like you ramd like when you open

571
00:45:19.119 --> 00:45:21.880
the car door there's a car there. You kind of a little bit okay,

572
00:45:22.039 --> 00:45:23.400
oh yeah, yeah, you can
take it easier. Yeah. Yeah.

573
00:45:23.400 --> 00:45:27.000
I've always wondered, where the heck
do you do? How do you

574
00:45:27.000 --> 00:45:30.559
put that in the garage pits of
most garages alongside another car? Oh you

575
00:45:30.559 --> 00:45:34.199
can't. Yeah, two cars and
the most garages, right, most cars,

576
00:45:34.559 --> 00:45:37.320
most garage are two car garage.
But Dylan and I were in the

577
00:45:37.320 --> 00:45:39.039
back seat and there was a lot
of room there for us. There's a

578
00:45:39.519 --> 00:45:44.159
they're one of the more comfortable cars
on the road, and I think anyone

579
00:45:44.159 --> 00:45:46.119
that's ridden in one will tell you
that because the seats are so soft,

580
00:45:46.199 --> 00:45:51.480
you've did a fabulous job. There's
no road noise and it really is very,

581
00:45:51.559 --> 00:45:53.760
very comfortable. And the computer thing
is pretty cool too, Pewter things.

582
00:45:53.760 --> 00:46:00.000
The technology, the technology they have
in the Tesla's is is and it's

583
00:46:00.119 --> 00:46:04.360
super fast, which is which is
really fun. Hey hold on, yeah,

584
00:46:04.400 --> 00:46:06.559
he said I'm gonna show you how
fastest is and he hit it and

585
00:46:06.599 --> 00:46:09.480
we'll all aheads. Oh yeah,
I mean bash you. When I gave

586
00:46:09.519 --> 00:46:14.519
you a ride, you said you
could feel the g You really can.

587
00:46:14.639 --> 00:46:20.360
It's unlike anything you take the Tesla
the Porsche Double one. Huh, Well,

588
00:46:22.039 --> 00:46:24.880
I think the Tesla is a lot
faster, for sure. I'm just

589
00:46:24.920 --> 00:46:28.800
talking about driving around and being able
to get guesses, not having to uh,

590
00:46:29.119 --> 00:46:30.239
you know, actually go to California. But you gotta, yeah,

591
00:46:31.119 --> 00:46:36.119
you gotta say that, give give
give me the same range on the Tesla

592
00:46:36.400 --> 00:46:38.840
that you have on the Porsche.
No contest. Yeah, that's that of

593
00:46:38.880 --> 00:46:44.559
course all day long. But you're
right that the range is you have to

594
00:46:44.599 --> 00:46:47.800
have time. It's more work.
It's I can get from here to California,

595
00:46:47.800 --> 00:46:52.639
you know, probably, which is
surprising that that doesn't bother you,

596
00:46:52.320 --> 00:46:57.559
because you were so like boom boom, boom boom, like you know that

597
00:46:57.599 --> 00:47:00.559
thing is like, h let's go
ahead and have a little coffee break and

598
00:47:01.320 --> 00:47:06.920
take about thirty minutes to fire up. It bothers me to an extending and

599
00:47:06.960 --> 00:47:08.400
I haven't taken it on long trips. I took it to Phoenix back.

600
00:47:08.440 --> 00:47:12.239
But yeah, so you know I
not handled it. I stopped in Italy

601
00:47:12.280 --> 00:47:15.440
and you know, for five minutes, and I beat you home and you

602
00:47:15.440 --> 00:47:16.800
started. You did beat me home
and I started before. You're right now,

603
00:47:16.800 --> 00:47:20.920
and I told you you would.
All right, listen. We appreciate

604
00:47:20.960 --> 00:47:22.519
you listening. Instant Money by the
show. We have a whole nother hour.

605
00:47:23.000 --> 00:47:28.599
I hope you enjoying it. Would
be right back. Welcome back to

606
00:47:28.639 --> 00:47:30.559
the Money Matter Show. My name
is Todd Glick. I'm here with David

607
00:47:30.559 --> 00:47:35.480
Sherwin and Sebastian Borsini. And this
week, the dal Jones was up point

608
00:47:35.559 --> 00:47:38.159
seven percent, the SMP was up
two point seven percent, the Nasdaq was

609
00:47:38.239 --> 00:47:42.880
up four point two percent, the
Russell two thousand those small caps were up

610
00:47:42.880 --> 00:47:46.840
two point seven percent, and the
equal Weight to SMP was up one point

611
00:47:46.960 --> 00:47:51.159
six percent, so for the month, we are still down on all major

612
00:47:51.199 --> 00:47:55.039
indices. The Russell two thousand small
caps lead the way down and the least

613
00:47:55.679 --> 00:48:00.519
down for the month is a pretty
close tie between the NASDAK and the S

614
00:48:00.559 --> 00:48:02.480
and P, both at around three
percent lower on the month. I think

615
00:48:02.480 --> 00:48:06.159
it was amazing and it's not the
first time I've seen this happen in my

616
00:48:06.199 --> 00:48:09.960
career. But two weeks ago was
the worst week and five months for the

617
00:48:10.039 --> 00:48:14.400
S and P five hundreds, and
last week was the best week in five

618
00:48:14.440 --> 00:48:17.119
months for the S and P five
hundreds. We literally are back to where

619
00:48:17.159 --> 00:48:22.360
we were two weeks ago. And
Nvidia, one of the more widely followed

620
00:48:22.360 --> 00:48:25.960
stocks, drops one hundred points two
weeks ago. This week it rallied one

621
00:48:27.000 --> 00:48:30.480
hundred points. It closed literally right
at where it was two weeks ago.

622
00:48:30.599 --> 00:48:34.239
It's as if nothing has happened.
If you went on a two week vacation,

623
00:48:34.280 --> 00:48:36.840
you come out and go, man, it's been pretty quiet. Yeah,

624
00:48:36.960 --> 00:48:39.079
I personally don't love it. I
wanted it to, you know,

625
00:48:39.239 --> 00:48:43.760
not have a huge increase one week
after. I mean, we had the

626
00:48:43.800 --> 00:48:46.360
correction that was healthy, and now
that we're just kind of erasing and it

627
00:48:46.360 --> 00:48:50.559
seems like we're just going right back
to where we were. Yeah, it

628
00:48:50.639 --> 00:48:53.199
is interesting, but it kind of
tells me, based upon my experience,

629
00:48:53.280 --> 00:48:59.280
that the market wants to go higher. It obviously does because late last week

630
00:48:59.360 --> 00:49:02.679
there were a number of economic issues, so we're not that great. Oh,

631
00:49:02.719 --> 00:49:07.039
we learned the first quarter GDP was
about half of what was expected.

632
00:49:07.920 --> 00:49:14.559
We learned that the inflation component of
CPI or of GDP was twice what was

633
00:49:14.599 --> 00:49:17.880
expected. And then on Friday we
learned that the PCE was higher than expected.

634
00:49:19.239 --> 00:49:24.000
So everything right now is pointing towards
slower growth and higher inflation. What

635
00:49:24.079 --> 00:49:30.559
is that called? Dave stagflation?
So the people that here stagflation and they're

636
00:49:30.599 --> 00:49:32.199
like, what the heck is that? Not a stag party, that's for

637
00:49:32.239 --> 00:49:37.840
sure. What is it? Again? Its stagnant economy but still has inflation,

638
00:49:38.320 --> 00:49:44.239
and that's not good. That's the
worst possible economic scenario, right and

639
00:49:44.239 --> 00:49:46.559
it hasn't been confirmed. We have
to have a lot of more economic reports

640
00:49:46.559 --> 00:49:50.840
to see that actually come to fruition. But first time I heard the word

641
00:49:50.840 --> 00:49:53.360
in a couple of years right on
Friday, and so that obviously brought a

642
00:49:53.360 --> 00:49:58.840
lot of concern to investors, and
then the next day it's like it never

643
00:49:58.920 --> 00:50:00.199
happened, like it never had happened. On Friday, it was like it

644
00:50:00.280 --> 00:50:05.280
never happened, even though PCEs came
above of expectations. Well, and the

645
00:50:05.440 --> 00:50:09.719
marginally and the interesting part was on
Thursday the market started off the S and

646
00:50:09.760 --> 00:50:15.440
P started off down eighty five points. We're just getting hammered. And at

647
00:50:15.440 --> 00:50:20.639
the close it was down twenty points. So it erased three quarters of that

648
00:50:20.760 --> 00:50:23.360
loss on Thursday afternoon, and then
on Friday morning it was up, up

649
00:50:23.360 --> 00:50:27.360
and away. Yeah, it's almost
as if they didn't even care that the

650
00:50:27.360 --> 00:50:30.239
PC came out. How was that
the company that comes in after a disaster,

651
00:50:30.639 --> 00:50:35.719
It's like it never really happened,
either the people that clean up after

652
00:50:35.760 --> 00:50:37.960
a fire or yeah, remediation company. Yeah, I can't think of the

653
00:50:38.039 --> 00:50:44.199
name of the company. God,
you had. The Bitcoin having did take

654
00:50:44.239 --> 00:50:49.679
place on Friday nights, and most
bitcoin related companies were higher at the open

655
00:50:49.719 --> 00:50:54.480
on Friday as on Monday, as
was Bitcoin specifically. Yeah, but specifically

656
00:50:54.519 --> 00:51:00.920
the mining stock Bitcoin really caught a
big bit and held pretty much what they

657
00:51:00.000 --> 00:51:02.519
had. I mean, they came
down a little bit, but those hold

658
00:51:02.719 --> 00:51:07.960
held their games a lot better the
mining companies because obviously that impacts their business

659
00:51:07.960 --> 00:51:12.320
model a lot. Doesn't it hurt
them though? Right from face value,

660
00:51:12.320 --> 00:51:16.280
you like has to hurt them.
But then you realize that market participants trying

661
00:51:16.320 --> 00:51:20.880
to get into the mining industry now
have a harder time to do so.

662
00:51:20.880 --> 00:51:23.840
So the mote just got gigantic.
Right, It's like me trying to tap

663
00:51:23.880 --> 00:51:28.039
into the airline industry. It's not
going to happen, or you're like competing

664
00:51:28.039 --> 00:51:32.679
with Tesla, sure right, new
company exactly, And so when you have

665
00:51:32.760 --> 00:51:37.239
the infrastructure already built out, you're
so ahead of the curve. These type

666
00:51:37.239 --> 00:51:39.559
of mining companies have already known that
obviously the halfing is happening, so they've

667
00:51:39.599 --> 00:51:44.719
already built out projects to For example, Riot is one of the mining companies

668
00:51:44.760 --> 00:51:46.320
they had to report that said they're
going to be mining more bitcoin by the

669
00:51:46.400 --> 00:51:51.079
end of the year than they did
before the happening happened. It's interesting,

670
00:51:51.079 --> 00:51:53.320
which means they're doubling their production.
Right looking at the charts on the mining

671
00:51:53.360 --> 00:51:57.400
stocks, it seems like they were
the first one to feel the pain from

672
00:51:57.400 --> 00:51:59.719
the happening, but at the same
time the first one of profit off of

673
00:51:59.760 --> 00:52:05.119
it. So they were getting killed
two weeks into the happening, and then

674
00:52:05.519 --> 00:52:07.800
it happens, and now what I
think, Marathon ends up probably ten percent

675
00:52:07.880 --> 00:52:13.679
up on the week. And traditionally
bitcoin rallies after the happening, this year

676
00:52:13.840 --> 00:52:16.239
happened before the happening because of the
spot Bitcoin eat you have to approval,

677
00:52:16.559 --> 00:52:23.480
which brought in a new market entry
that never that term is having is having.

678
00:52:23.840 --> 00:52:28.320
The little term that they've coined for
this happening is what you use if

679
00:52:28.320 --> 00:52:30.159
you're in the crypto world. Okay, so that's a little and a term

680
00:52:30.159 --> 00:52:35.480
that they coined for this having is
what you see on CNBC. Having is

681
00:52:35.519 --> 00:52:40.840
what actually happened, right. I
think it's the same oxymoron. Apple's been

682
00:52:40.840 --> 00:52:46.159
a conundum, spent one of the
worst performing doustocks this year, down fourteen

683
00:52:46.199 --> 00:52:50.519
percent, but Wells Fargo says it's
an opportunity they're going to be buying that

684
00:52:50.599 --> 00:52:54.719
dip Kramer Kramer thinks it needs to
drop below one sixty before it's a buy.

685
00:52:54.880 --> 00:52:58.960
From a technical point of view,
it's kind of interesting close around one

686
00:52:59.039 --> 00:53:01.920
seventy seventeen. Yeah, But I
think if an investor's listening to this and

687
00:53:01.960 --> 00:53:06.079
you have a ten year investment horizon. Where's Apple going to be in ten

688
00:53:06.159 --> 00:53:07.920
years should be much higher? Do
you care if you had one? Sixty

689
00:53:08.079 --> 00:53:12.159
one seventy good point? Correct?
And so for some people who are looking

690
00:53:12.199 --> 00:53:15.360
at a different type of view,
in ten years, Apple is going to

691
00:53:15.400 --> 00:53:17.679
be Could you imagine what the Apple
iPhone's going to look with AI in ten

692
00:53:17.760 --> 00:53:22.000
years? Yeah, that's all the
money that Apple will make from that.

693
00:53:22.159 --> 00:53:25.880
The AI is exciting. And interestingly, I wear hearing age because as a

694
00:53:25.920 --> 00:53:30.360
young man I was very abusive to
my ears. I grew up in a

695
00:53:30.440 --> 00:53:34.880
rural environment with a lot of farm
equipment, a lot of guns, a

696
00:53:34.880 --> 00:53:39.079
lot of hunting, and then I
added insult to injury in college by being

697
00:53:39.119 --> 00:53:43.400
a lead singer in a rock band. And by the time I got out

698
00:53:43.440 --> 00:53:47.519
of college, I couldn't hardly even
hear myself think. And as a result,

699
00:53:47.559 --> 00:53:52.840
I've been wearing hearing age and I'm
due for new hearing age. The

700
00:53:52.880 --> 00:53:58.599
first ones I had five years ago, if I could put And the reason

701
00:53:58.639 --> 00:54:01.559
I'm even talking about this is the
hearing aids now are equipped with AI.

702
00:54:02.159 --> 00:54:08.360
WHOA to where they've run something like
two hundred and eighty thousand different words,

703
00:54:08.760 --> 00:54:13.719
and the hearing aid has learned how
to hear these words? Sor you're going

704
00:54:13.719 --> 00:54:15.920
to get someone with AI out in
town. Oh yeah, sweet, yeah,

705
00:54:15.960 --> 00:54:19.480
I could be the I could be
hearing a pin drop. I could

706
00:54:19.519 --> 00:54:21.159
be saying to you, guys,
hey, what is that noise? You're

707
00:54:21.159 --> 00:54:23.079
just saying what I don't hear it? Well, that's not probably not.

708
00:54:23.280 --> 00:54:27.880
That's not what you just said,
Dave. You said AI is trained on

709
00:54:27.960 --> 00:54:31.159
words, not sounds. Learned it
learned how. No, that's true.

710
00:54:31.360 --> 00:54:36.280
But with hearing age, with hearing
age, the number one problem and not

711
00:54:36.320 --> 00:54:39.360
that anybody cares, but the number
one problem is is hearing words correctly?

712
00:54:39.519 --> 00:54:43.679
Right? It's clarity, It's number
one. Sounds are not a problem,

713
00:54:43.880 --> 00:54:45.960
right, I mean I can hear
I can't hear my Tessla. That's kind

714
00:54:46.000 --> 00:54:51.480
of weird. No one can hear
that. Verizon Verison's kind of interesting.

715
00:54:51.599 --> 00:54:54.920
You know, you typically buy Verizon
stock for the six point five percent dividend,

716
00:54:55.360 --> 00:54:58.199
but you know, I was looking
at the other day, these sleepy

717
00:54:58.199 --> 00:55:01.880
shares have quietly risen thirteen percent in
the last twelve months. That's on top

718
00:55:01.920 --> 00:55:06.760
of the six and a half percent
divident definitely quietly annualizing. Yeah, nobody's

719
00:55:06.760 --> 00:55:12.480
talking about Verizon last three percent on
Monday, despite reporting that income above expectations

720
00:55:12.880 --> 00:55:16.599
and a stabilization in the subscribers thanks
to a new streaming bundles, front piers

721
00:55:16.639 --> 00:55:23.679
that the biggest problem remains a subscriber
growth for AT and T and Verizon pretty

722
00:55:23.760 --> 00:55:28.880
much plateaued in twenty twenty one and
has not changed. Yeah. I think

723
00:55:28.880 --> 00:55:31.519
that's a good example right where we're
talking about Apple versus a Verizon. If

724
00:55:31.559 --> 00:55:36.559
we're looking at Verizon in ten years, where could that business be? Sure,

725
00:55:36.880 --> 00:55:40.239
there's a lot of unknown variables relations
things. When you look at Apple

726
00:55:40.239 --> 00:55:43.760
in ten years, you say,
I can kind of see that picture a

727
00:55:43.760 --> 00:55:47.840
lot more clearly, that path of
because they're a higher quality company. And

728
00:55:47.880 --> 00:55:52.920
that's why the investors say they obviously
show that because it's the second largest stock

729
00:55:53.039 --> 00:55:55.840
in the stock market right now.
Apple is embedded into our lives, and

730
00:55:55.880 --> 00:56:00.440
so what you when you're an investor
with the long and vestment horizon, you

731
00:56:00.679 --> 00:56:05.920
see these trends as huge opportunities.
And when a company like Apple is selling

732
00:56:05.960 --> 00:56:12.480
off, I mean, swing the
bat Verizon. Verizon is just a no

733
00:56:12.559 --> 00:56:15.760
growth company, as simple as that. Then if you want a no growth

734
00:56:15.760 --> 00:56:19.360
company with a six and a half
percent dividend. As long as the dividend

735
00:56:19.480 --> 00:56:22.480
is covered and it appears safe,
it's a pretty good deal. Yeah.

736
00:56:22.519 --> 00:56:25.159
What about Google? Googled, Oh
my goodness, up ten percent, reported

737
00:56:25.239 --> 00:56:30.199
first quarter quarter results late on Thursday
that blue pass analystic expectations. It also

738
00:56:30.239 --> 00:56:36.440
authorized its first ever dividend, plus
a seventy million dollar share by back or

739
00:56:36.519 --> 00:56:38.920
billion dollar by back program. I
think it's about twenty cents of share that

740
00:56:38.960 --> 00:56:42.880
they're going to be offering. We've
talked about Google on the show, and

741
00:56:43.119 --> 00:56:46.960
they've got some issues, They've had
some missteps with their AI they've had.

742
00:56:47.199 --> 00:56:52.519
Of course, they still have the
antitrust lawsuit hanging over their head, which

743
00:56:52.800 --> 00:56:58.360
goes to trial in October. But
it's and maybe for those reasons, it

744
00:56:58.400 --> 00:57:00.960
has lagged behind the other tech stocks, but now it's hitting on time.

745
00:57:01.360 --> 00:57:05.519
Yeah, we expected it would probably
catch up and Blay, it caught up

746
00:57:05.559 --> 00:57:09.599
all once on Friday. Yeah,
it was amazing. Do you remember it

747
00:57:09.679 --> 00:57:14.639
was one of those woke stocks,
right, it was supposedly woke stock.

748
00:57:14.760 --> 00:57:16.519
It came out with the black George
Washington. Nobody wanted to touch it.

749
00:57:16.639 --> 00:57:19.480
Yeah, well it was a time
to touch it. Then it was about

750
00:57:19.480 --> 00:57:22.760
one hundred thirty five dollars to share? Then, is that something remind so

751
00:57:22.800 --> 00:57:24.800
when you were talking about Apple,
I know that they haven't actually gotten hammered,

752
00:57:24.840 --> 00:57:27.840
but yeah, it's a good opportunity
to buy. I think about Meta

753
00:57:27.920 --> 00:57:30.280
about a year and a half ago, where was that stock at It was

754
00:57:30.320 --> 00:57:32.840
sub one hundred where's that at now? I know it just got beat up,

755
00:57:34.039 --> 00:57:37.039
maybe around four hundred and thirty dollars
a share, But again, look

756
00:57:37.079 --> 00:57:43.519
for these good opportunities and swing the
bat. Speaking of Meta, one of

757
00:57:43.559 --> 00:57:45.239
the strongest stocks in the S and
P. It's more than doubled in the

758
00:57:45.320 --> 00:57:50.920
last twelve months. It was down
fifteen percent on Thursday, despite a solid

759
00:57:50.960 --> 00:57:55.639
quarter, as their revenue guidance was
disappointing. They've kind of changed course and

760
00:57:55.679 --> 00:58:00.400
they're going to be working more and
more on developmental issues, which means lower

761
00:58:00.440 --> 00:58:04.880
earnings. And I think the market
kind of shook the market. Literally.

762
00:58:04.880 --> 00:58:09.599
What they did is what they did
with virtual reality. They made a huge

763
00:58:10.039 --> 00:58:15.719
CAPEX commitment to virtual reality as they
thought that was the future. Investors hated

764
00:58:15.760 --> 00:58:20.400
that. So then Zuckerberg came out
about a year and a half ago saying,

765
00:58:20.440 --> 00:58:24.599
hey, we're gonna make a huge
restructure of our costs in our business.

766
00:58:24.639 --> 00:58:29.559
We're gonna stop spending so much in
virtual reality. We're gonna cut back

767
00:58:29.599 --> 00:58:32.880
our workforce by ten percent. Investors
loved it ever since then the stock,

768
00:58:34.039 --> 00:58:37.039
like you said, Dave, more
than doubled. Now the earnings came out,

769
00:58:37.079 --> 00:58:39.559
and what do they say, We're
spending a whole bunch this time on

770
00:58:39.639 --> 00:58:45.519
AI. And the thing that is
similar to the virtuality is it's not making

771
00:58:45.559 --> 00:58:47.480
money for them yet. All it
is is capex, it's capital expenditures.

772
00:58:47.880 --> 00:58:52.440
So all it is is just money
getting sent out the door. Now that's

773
00:58:52.440 --> 00:58:55.400
happening to all these big tech companies
right They're all doing this, they're building

774
00:58:55.440 --> 00:59:00.480
out their platforms. It's all capital
expenditure. Now there's no revenue coming in

775
00:59:00.559 --> 00:59:04.679
ye at from it. And so
that's the interesting thing is is meta one

776
00:59:04.760 --> 00:59:07.960
year away from that AI money that
they just spent billions of dollars on from

777
00:59:07.960 --> 00:59:13.039
it to come back? What's the
payback ratio for these AI projects that these

778
00:59:13.079 --> 00:59:16.360
big tech companies are implementing right now, similar to the EV charging stations,

779
00:59:16.400 --> 00:59:21.079
where right now it's just a lot
of laying out money to build these things

780
00:59:20.840 --> 00:59:24.400
with revenue not coming in anywhere near
as fast as the money's going out.

781
00:59:24.599 --> 00:59:29.079
On another note, Meta I think
can probably profit off of this TikTok ban.

782
00:59:29.400 --> 00:59:31.760
Right, how many users are on
TikTok? Did you? I have

783
00:59:31.800 --> 00:59:36.960
no idea. It's a crazy amount. But the teen survey that you normally

784
00:59:37.320 --> 00:59:38.800
I've talked about. I don't know
if you saw it came out, but

785
00:59:39.119 --> 00:59:44.880
yeah, the Piper Sandler said that
forty percent of teens use TikTok as their

786
00:59:44.880 --> 00:59:50.000
favorite social media app. So obviously
TikTok gets banned. They're the most second

787
00:59:50.079 --> 00:59:53.039
favorite is Instagram, which is the
reels, which is the most similar thing

788
00:59:53.079 --> 00:59:58.159
to what TikTok would be, which
is owned by Meta. Yeah, which

789
00:59:58.199 --> 01:00:00.400
is owned by Meta. I think
you have to be careful here of a

790
01:00:00.440 --> 01:00:05.800
Meta at this level. Definitely what
we have seen in the past and my

791
01:00:05.840 --> 01:00:08.119
forty years of experience, when you
get a stock, no matter what the

792
01:00:08.159 --> 01:00:13.400
stock is, that drops fifteen percent
the dust in one day, let the

793
01:00:13.480 --> 01:00:17.079
dust settle. There's probably more downside
to come. There's some people that have

794
01:00:17.239 --> 01:00:21.119
it that want out, and they're
any kind of rally they're going to get

795
01:00:21.119 --> 01:00:24.039
out, and I think the stock
probably drifts down below four hundred. Yeah,

796
01:00:24.079 --> 01:00:27.039
I was gonna say, I'm not
sure what it closed on Friday,

797
01:00:27.079 --> 01:00:29.519
but it has a gap to fill
in out forty three something like that.

798
01:00:29.599 --> 01:00:31.360
I was looking at that same level, you were around sub four hundred,

799
01:00:31.559 --> 01:00:35.840
give or take. Yeah, it
needs to get to four hundred. So,

800
01:00:35.920 --> 01:00:37.920
guys, there's a lot of talk
about the middle class, particularly in

801
01:00:38.000 --> 01:00:43.280
an election year, and I wonder
if you know what the middle class actually

802
01:00:43.400 --> 01:00:46.039
is. I was reading an article
the other day about the middle class,

803
01:00:46.039 --> 01:00:51.280
and of course it varies from state
to state because there's a lot of California

804
01:00:51.360 --> 01:00:54.320
is going to be a lot different
middle class than Mississippi, just as an

805
01:00:54.360 --> 01:00:59.519
example. But according to a finance
site, smart Asset, they did a

806
01:00:59.559 --> 01:01:04.719
survey, you are in middle class. This is the highest one in New

807
01:01:04.800 --> 01:01:09.199
Jersey. If you made between sixty
four thousand and one hundred and ninety three

808
01:01:09.280 --> 01:01:14.440
thousand. Now that's the widest range
of any state. Sixty four to one

809
01:01:14.559 --> 01:01:20.079
ninety three you're middle class. California
sixty one thousand. I thought that would

810
01:01:20.079 --> 01:01:22.920
have been more expensive than New Jersey. California go sixty one thousand to one

811
01:01:22.960 --> 01:01:27.239
hundred and eighty three thousand, Arizona. You want to be in the middle

812
01:01:27.239 --> 01:01:30.360
class. You make fifty to one
hundred and fifty, you're in the middle

813
01:01:30.360 --> 01:01:35.639
class, fifty to one hundred and
fifty. A little bit better of a

814
01:01:35.760 --> 01:01:38.960
spread, A little bit better of
a spread. Arizona came in nineteenth.

815
01:01:39.519 --> 01:01:45.159
You know, isn't it interesting with
Arizona Other than the greatest place to live

816
01:01:45.199 --> 01:01:49.039
on the planet. It always seems
to come in kind in the middle of

817
01:01:49.079 --> 01:01:52.920
these surveys, although will say for
fastest growing states, I think it came

818
01:01:52.960 --> 01:01:59.599
in seven and that if you're bugged
by the traffic, maybe that's not a

819
01:01:59.599 --> 01:02:05.280
good thing. You're really gonna throw
out that. Do you think southern Arizona

820
01:02:05.360 --> 01:02:07.840
is the best place to live in
the world in terms of like just like,

821
01:02:08.199 --> 01:02:13.599
whether did you say Arizona? Did
you say Southern Arizona? I should

822
01:02:13.599 --> 01:02:15.159
have said southern Arizona. I think
that's what you met. But but no,

823
01:02:15.239 --> 01:02:19.400
I think Arizona and you could what
do you mean by Phoenie think it's

824
01:02:19.400 --> 01:02:21.840
a wonderful place to live. People
in Fla like that's things. Well,

825
01:02:21.880 --> 01:02:24.079
yeah, but people also think there
are places I've been here for fifty two

826
01:02:24.119 --> 01:02:28.719
years, and there are places in
the country that have something. There are

827
01:02:28.719 --> 01:02:31.880
a lot of places in the country
that have something that's better than Tucson,

828
01:02:32.480 --> 01:02:36.639
but as a package, I think
you have a hard time beating it.

829
01:02:37.639 --> 01:02:39.480
Yeah, So last, what do
you want to see where it's easiest to

830
01:02:39.480 --> 01:02:45.360
get in the middle class. Mississippi
the easiest place to get in the middle

831
01:02:45.360 --> 01:02:47.960
class. And you make thirty six
thousand dollars, you are you are in

832
01:02:49.000 --> 01:02:51.800
the middle class in Mississippi. What's
the top end of the ring? One

833
01:02:52.000 --> 01:02:53.679
five wow, thirty six to one
o five. You know, when I

834
01:02:53.679 --> 01:02:59.000
grew up in South Dakota, we
used to love Mississippi. The South Dakota

835
01:02:59.079 --> 01:03:04.320
was forty nine and every thing.
Thank God for miss Hippie. Mississippi was

836
01:03:04.880 --> 01:03:09.400
fifty in so many different areas.
Boeing by farther Worth performing dowstock this year

837
01:03:09.480 --> 01:03:14.760
open higher on Wednesday after their quarterly
report was not as bad as fear,

838
01:03:14.880 --> 01:03:19.559
but then plunged to an eighteen month
low. It was It made me kind

839
01:03:19.559 --> 01:03:22.039
of chuckle. Deana and I always
talking about this, How long until they

840
01:03:22.079 --> 01:03:25.480
kick him out of the Dow?
You know, you do lousy enough,

841
01:03:25.519 --> 01:03:29.280
long enough, you're gonna get kicked
out. Funny part about it is in

842
01:03:29.320 --> 01:03:35.679
twenty two, Boying was number one
and battling, battling for that last place

843
01:03:35.719 --> 01:03:38.360
spot Intel. I said last week, Boing Intel, working hard to see

844
01:03:38.360 --> 01:03:43.000
who goes out of business first,
you know, tongue in cheek. Intel

845
01:03:44.039 --> 01:03:49.679
down eleven percent on Friday, yet
another disappointing quarter. We talked about how

846
01:03:49.679 --> 01:03:53.440
they're one of the companies that over
promises and underdelivers. As well as anybody

847
01:03:53.440 --> 01:03:55.960
out there, I wanted to talk
about your airlines a little bit. The

848
01:03:57.480 --> 01:04:00.400
Department of Transportation issued new regulations this
week. Did you see anything about that?

849
01:04:00.920 --> 01:04:04.440
I did not. So they're going
to start requiring airlines to provide passengers

850
01:04:04.440 --> 01:04:10.360
with automatic cash refunds when flights are
canceled or significant changes occur to their flights.

851
01:04:10.440 --> 01:04:15.559
That includes flights that have been changed
by over three hours. I thought

852
01:04:15.639 --> 01:04:19.000
that was an interesting little regulation.
That's me and Todd are talking about this.

853
01:04:19.159 --> 01:04:24.679
I think that it's going to increase
the prices of flights personally probably right

854
01:04:24.719 --> 01:04:29.280
consumer bears probably, but we'll see. And so anyways, Southwest comes out

855
01:04:29.280 --> 01:04:33.679
the next day to report their quarterly
earnings. They lose seven percent and revenue

856
01:04:33.719 --> 01:04:38.719
fall shive expectations. They come out
and say that they're going to start they're

857
01:04:38.719 --> 01:04:43.079
going to leave four different airports to
cut back cost along with considering changes to

858
01:04:43.119 --> 01:04:46.039
single class open seating. I think
that Southwest is one of the few airlines

859
01:04:46.039 --> 01:04:49.599
out there that you could still again
just hop on the plane and pick whatever

860
01:04:49.599 --> 01:04:51.719
seat you wants. Yeah, well, you got to get in line,

861
01:04:51.760 --> 01:04:55.000
and so there's a you know,
you have to know what you're doing,

862
01:04:55.079 --> 01:04:58.400
right So right there, I think
that that's a pretty good case of we're

863
01:04:58.400 --> 01:05:00.280
going to try to figure out how
to make more money because we're going to

864
01:05:00.320 --> 01:05:04.360
have to start paying out more.
It's interesting the same day that Southwest announced

865
01:05:04.360 --> 01:05:08.840
that the earnings were going to be
down, and there they cut their growth

866
01:05:08.880 --> 01:05:14.400
plans and the point of the finger
at bowling not delivering. American Airlines reported

867
01:05:14.400 --> 01:05:18.119
a better than expected quarter. They
lost less money than was expected, and

868
01:05:18.119 --> 01:05:21.960
they gave strong guidance. It was
kind of interesting, two different things.

869
01:05:21.960 --> 01:05:27.039
How about Chipotle, Yeah, well
Chipotle knew all time high on Thursday.

870
01:05:27.400 --> 01:05:31.199
They reported a strong quarter, seven
percent gain in same star sales. Remember

871
01:05:31.639 --> 01:05:35.440
this stock is going to split fifty
for one at the end of quarter,

872
01:05:35.440 --> 01:05:42.440
three thousand dollars stock. So but
yeah, the expensive stock. But I've

873
01:05:42.440 --> 01:05:45.519
seen stock, but I've never seen
a fifty for one personally, fifty to

874
01:05:45.599 --> 01:05:48.559
one is absolutely amazing that you know. There was a survey speaking of airlines,

875
01:05:48.599 --> 01:05:54.360
there was a survey of best airlines. It was done by consumer financial

876
01:05:54.360 --> 01:06:00.320
company wallet Hub and included a lot
of different things. Included on time performance,

877
01:06:01.039 --> 01:06:05.880
It included price of tickets, It
included how comfortable the seats were,

878
01:06:06.480 --> 01:06:11.440
how accessible Wi Fi is, what
their safety record is. I mean it

879
01:06:11.519 --> 01:06:14.400
went through a lot of metrics.
There must have been eight or ten different

880
01:06:14.440 --> 01:06:20.320
things, and they said the best
airline is drum roll please Alaska Alaska Airlines,

881
01:06:20.400 --> 01:06:26.840
followed by sky West and Spirit.
I think Spirit runs American Airlines.

882
01:06:26.880 --> 01:06:33.360
That is hilarious. Number real number
three. Spirit is like it's really there's

883
01:06:33.440 --> 01:06:38.320
like jokes about it. Yeah,
it's it's crazy that it's three. It's

884
01:06:38.320 --> 01:06:42.400
like a cheap airliner. Yeah,
it's like something like I think they fly

885
01:06:42.559 --> 01:06:46.480
some some segments for America. To
be honest with you, but like I've

886
01:06:46.519 --> 01:06:51.159
been on a Spirit and you just
didn't have the Spirit huh. Well no,

887
01:06:51.280 --> 01:06:55.519
I mean you you talking about right? No, no, no,

888
01:06:55.559 --> 01:06:59.519
it's fine, but it's just cheap. I mean everything you feel like on

889
01:06:59.599 --> 01:07:03.360
there is it just feels cheap.
I mean compared to a Southwest flight,

890
01:07:03.639 --> 01:07:06.880
You're like, oh this they got
their stuff together. Spirit's like you have

891
01:07:06.920 --> 01:07:12.880
to pay for your bag. At
the bottom of this list Southwest and Frontier.

892
01:07:13.280 --> 01:07:15.960
That's that's what I'm saying. But
because Frontier is exactly like Spirit,

893
01:07:16.000 --> 01:07:19.199
they have the same business. I
get that. I will say Southwest probably

894
01:07:19.199 --> 01:07:23.960
has a lot more flights than Spirit, which means that which in my head

895
01:07:23.960 --> 01:07:29.079
would think I would think that it
helps their survey byas right right could be.

896
01:07:29.119 --> 01:07:31.519
I didn't see Jet Bou on the
list anywhere. Did you guys see

897
01:07:31.559 --> 01:07:36.079
what this hashy corporation? H a
s Hi corporation. You know, they

898
01:07:36.079 --> 01:07:40.280
sound like they ought to be in
the cannabis business, right, a Hashi

899
01:07:40.440 --> 01:07:44.280
corporation, But it's actually a software
company. Such an old thing to say.

900
01:07:44.400 --> 01:07:47.840
What like, no one is called
cannabis hash like since you were young.

901
01:07:48.639 --> 01:07:53.800
Well, hey, cannabis isn't hash
hash is a is a derivative?

902
01:07:54.239 --> 01:07:57.119
Well you said it should be a
cannabis company because it's hashy. Anyways,

903
01:07:57.519 --> 01:08:01.800
what does this company do? It's
like makeing. It's making my hair hurt,

904
01:08:01.800 --> 01:08:03.920
and thank god, I've got a
lot of hair. Hey, John

905
01:08:04.000 --> 01:08:10.239
left twenty five percent on Tuesday on
rumors IBM was interested, and guess what.

906
01:08:10.320 --> 01:08:14.360
A couple of days later a deal
did come together. IBM, on

907
01:08:14.440 --> 01:08:16.640
their part, has a rally more
than fifty percent in the last twelve months,

908
01:08:16.640 --> 01:08:20.359
but again down eight percent at the
open. On Thursday. They reported

909
01:08:20.399 --> 01:08:28.039
a disappointing revenue for the first quarter
and talked about the purchase of Hashi Hashe.

910
01:08:28.399 --> 01:08:31.880
I guess they don't want their computer
provider to be Stone. I don't

911
01:08:31.880 --> 01:08:36.239
know. You know got pretty destroyed
on Friday was Roku. They shed ten

912
01:08:36.279 --> 01:08:43.920
percent after streaming platform surpasses quarterly earnings
expectations, but also cautions investors on potentially

913
01:08:44.000 --> 01:08:47.680
unfavorable year over year growth comparisons.
That was the stock that we were talking

914
01:08:47.720 --> 01:08:53.199
about after Walmart came out. Well, hey, DraftKings, I've been talking

915
01:08:53.239 --> 01:08:56.680
this. They got earnings next week, up five percent on Friday, as

916
01:08:56.680 --> 01:09:01.399
it seems like investors are bidden into
that. Earning's report was I You're you're

917
01:09:01.439 --> 01:09:05.920
thinking was very solid on that where
you're thinking the betting on women's sports really

918
01:09:06.479 --> 01:09:11.720
has increased over the past ninety days
and could make a difference in their quarterly

919
01:09:11.760 --> 01:09:15.279
report. I mean, if I
was the Draftking CEO or a Fandel CEO.

920
01:09:15.319 --> 01:09:17.600
I would just you know, pull
Emil Musk and say, look at

921
01:09:17.600 --> 01:09:21.600
this whole new segment of business that
we can now take advantage of. And

922
01:09:21.640 --> 01:09:25.800
then the next the WNBA is just
about to start. Kaitlyn Clark was just

923
01:09:26.079 --> 01:09:28.159
drafted. I mean, you could, you could really play this if you

924
01:09:28.199 --> 01:09:31.600
wanted to. You know, Jet
Blue was thirty five percent higher this year.

925
01:09:31.600 --> 01:09:35.560
I was surprised at that. Wow. But on Tuesday it hit an

926
01:09:35.560 --> 01:09:41.000
air pocket down twenty percent. I'd
be a hell of an airpocket. Huh.

927
01:09:41.119 --> 01:09:44.399
You really wanted after the company?
But you really like that one.

928
01:09:44.439 --> 01:09:46.119
I like that one a lot.
Yeah. Air pocket, airpocket, baby,

929
01:09:46.119 --> 01:09:49.479
talk about it, air post said. Gay said current revenue is expected

930
01:09:49.520 --> 01:09:53.800
to drop more than analysts had expected. We want to know why there was

931
01:09:53.800 --> 01:09:56.680
an air pocket, right, doesn't
everybody want to know that? Okay,

932
01:09:56.800 --> 01:09:59.119
a couple of minutes left, let's
talk about what air pocket is? Then?

933
01:09:59.520 --> 01:10:01.159
Okay, did you have that?
Oh? I thought you were leading

934
01:10:01.159 --> 01:10:03.640
into what an air pocket was.
No, I honestly don't even know what

935
01:10:03.720 --> 01:10:08.640
the airpocket is. When you're fine, yeah that's a hole in the hole.

936
01:10:09.159 --> 01:10:13.119
Yeah, but like, how does
it form? I have no idea

937
01:10:12.119 --> 01:10:16.359
that that's what I was saying.
I don't know. I'm a money manager.

938
01:10:16.399 --> 01:10:19.479
Give me a piece. Well,
an air pocket that Biden's trying to

939
01:10:19.479 --> 01:10:24.880
throw into our economy is potentially increasing
our capital gains tax. Now, it's

940
01:10:24.920 --> 01:10:28.560
just a proposal. He does this
all the time. It'll ever actually go

941
01:10:28.600 --> 01:10:30.680
and never have. But they're you
know they, you know, Fox News,

942
01:10:30.680 --> 01:10:33.800
all the media loves it because they
can get you to click on that

943
01:10:33.960 --> 01:10:40.199
article he wanted to. His proposal
is to increase the capital games is a

944
01:10:40.239 --> 01:10:44.039
forty four point six percent. It'd
be the highest of that magnitude for that

945
01:10:44.159 --> 01:10:47.560
level of taxes since it was first
introduced in the early nineteen twenties. It's

946
01:10:47.600 --> 01:10:49.960
not gonna happen. Oh, the
capitol games has always bugged him in The

947
01:10:50.039 --> 01:10:54.079
step up in basis drives him crazy. He wants to get rid of the

948
01:10:54.079 --> 01:10:57.560
step up the basis. Yeah,
that's what he wanted four years ago.

949
01:10:57.600 --> 01:11:00.000
How has that worked out? Nobody's
talking about it since it's just in a

950
01:11:00.000 --> 01:11:03.359
political year. You just get all
this stuff thrown out and you just have

951
01:11:03.439 --> 01:11:09.239
to understand that Congress can't agree that
the sky is blue. Right. I

952
01:11:09.319 --> 01:11:12.880
don't know how you're gonna get him
to pass anything of that. Magnezie,

953
01:11:13.239 --> 01:11:16.840
please get that here. It's like
your currency going digital. Quite worrying about

954
01:11:16.880 --> 01:11:20.159
it, but it's the type of
thing that just stupid. We can always

955
01:11:20.239 --> 01:11:25.079
if whatever fears you have with the
financial plan, we can go through them.

956
01:11:25.199 --> 01:11:28.479
We can sit down in a meeting
and discuss all the worries and show

957
01:11:28.520 --> 01:11:30.800
you why or why not that would
actually affect you and your plan. So

958
01:11:30.880 --> 01:11:33.520
again, feel free to give us
a call five two zero five four four

959
01:11:33.560 --> 01:11:38.039
four nine zero nine. It's a
free service. Take advantage of it because

960
01:11:38.039 --> 01:11:41.800
obviously as we go into the election, things change. Now a day goes

961
01:11:41.800 --> 01:11:45.640
by. You guys don't have to
or three appointments to do financial plans free,

962
01:11:45.840 --> 01:11:48.079
free of charge, and if you're
not taking advantage of it, you

963
01:11:48.079 --> 01:11:51.279
should. We'll be back right after
this break. This is the Money Matter

964
01:11:51.359 --> 01:11:55.880
Show. Talk to you interview.
Welcome back to the Money Matter Show.

965
01:11:55.920 --> 01:11:58.960
This is Dave Shorewood. I'm here
with Todd Glick. I'm here with Sebastian

966
01:11:59.000 --> 01:12:03.880
Borsini and joining this is our financial
planning attorney, our trust attorney, our

967
01:12:04.000 --> 01:12:10.920
state attorney, Jonathan Sibilia. I
get the right one eventually, I say,

968
01:12:11.079 --> 01:12:15.840
give him enough titles though eventually because
we're us him for all of those

969
01:12:15.880 --> 01:12:20.479
things. And but technically state planning
tax attorney got it. Yeah, you

970
01:12:20.520 --> 01:12:24.600
know, that's that is We never
talk about that, but that is so

971
01:12:24.840 --> 01:12:30.640
cool that you have an estate planning
attorney who has an extensive background in taxes.

972
01:12:30.199 --> 01:12:33.880
And that's rare. Yeah, which
is hilarious because like a state planning

973
01:12:34.000 --> 01:12:39.479
is, like you think it would
be kind of important. I think it

974
01:12:39.520 --> 01:12:42.119
would be kind of important, but
you don't very often see that the state

975
01:12:42.159 --> 01:12:45.039
planning is keeping in mind taxes.
You know, because right now, a

976
01:12:45.039 --> 01:12:48.840
lot of people you lived in Arizona, taxes won't be an issue, right,

977
01:12:48.960 --> 01:12:53.600
you know, the state tax really
affects the point zero one percent.

978
01:12:53.920 --> 01:12:58.319
But you also want to hold those
assets in a way where it's very beneficial

979
01:12:58.319 --> 01:13:01.079
for the most efficients efficient. It's
a good way to put it. Yeah,

980
01:13:01.159 --> 01:13:03.760
And that's what we always look at
when we do our plans. Is,

981
01:13:04.159 --> 01:13:09.560
of course, you can make a
decision that is just based on behavioral

982
01:13:10.159 --> 01:13:13.720
and it's not based on economics,
but that's not the most efficient way to

983
01:13:13.720 --> 01:13:17.359
go about it. That's okay if
that's what your values aligned with and that's

984
01:13:17.359 --> 01:13:20.119
what your visions align with, Okay, we'll lay it out that way.

985
01:13:20.439 --> 01:13:25.479
But there are certain ways to be
the most efficient in terms of tax performance

986
01:13:25.960 --> 01:13:28.880
at the end of the plan.
And that's why you really can't do it

987
01:13:29.079 --> 01:13:30.199
just an estate planning attorney, and
you can't really just do it with just

988
01:13:30.239 --> 01:13:33.920
a financial planner. You need the
two because one leads into the other and

989
01:13:33.960 --> 01:13:39.800
one comes to their result based on
the first. So having a financial planner

990
01:13:39.840 --> 01:13:44.079
and an estate planning attorney with that
tax background is kind of what you need

991
01:13:44.119 --> 01:13:46.880
to be the most efficient with that
generation passing down. We have so many

992
01:13:46.880 --> 01:13:53.960
clients that have called to meet with
Jonathan and I sat next next to John,

993
01:13:53.960 --> 01:13:58.760
our officer together, and it's always
interesting. In are so many variables,

994
01:13:58.840 --> 01:14:02.600
there's so many different things you see
on a daily basis that I don't

995
01:14:02.640 --> 01:14:05.039
know how you wonder related to the
other. What have you been working on

996
01:14:05.119 --> 01:14:10.359
lately? You know, I've been
getting a lot of questions about supplemental needs

997
01:14:10.399 --> 01:14:14.800
trust. So I got a lot
of clients with children with autism, cerebral

998
01:14:14.800 --> 01:14:17.720
palsy, that kind of stuff,
and they're on governmental assistance. They're under

999
01:14:17.920 --> 01:14:24.199
governmental programs and they don't want to
lose that when if they were to ultimately

1000
01:14:24.239 --> 01:14:27.119
pass away. They don't want the
kids to lose that governmental assistance. So

1001
01:14:27.199 --> 01:14:32.119
there's ways to and why would they
lose the governmental assistance question? So governmental

1002
01:14:32.119 --> 01:14:36.760
assistance a lot of times is based
on how much your assets are. Okay,

1003
01:14:38.159 --> 01:14:42.319
And so when you're not working,
but you have and you are an

1004
01:14:42.359 --> 01:14:45.319
autistic child, you know, you
can't form certain relationships. Some do,

1005
01:14:45.479 --> 01:14:48.520
you know, of course many do, but there are a lot that don't.

1006
01:14:48.720 --> 01:14:51.840
And they can't form relationships, they
can't hold jobs, so they don't

1007
01:14:51.840 --> 01:14:56.960
have a consistent set of income.
And if their parents die, a bunch

1008
01:14:57.000 --> 01:15:01.039
of money is basically dumped on them. And if you are getting that governmental

1009
01:15:01.079 --> 01:15:05.439
assistance and they see that kind of
those assets come into you without restriction,

1010
01:15:06.119 --> 01:15:12.439
then they'll bleed that down. So
what we do is there's ways to set

1011
01:15:12.520 --> 01:15:15.760
up what's called a supplemental Needs trust, and we can put those assets inside

1012
01:15:15.800 --> 01:15:20.720
of supplemental needs trust dictate the terms
say, you know, we can provide

1013
01:15:20.800 --> 01:15:25.039
for certain necessities, but we can
you know, what can be considered a

1014
01:15:25.079 --> 01:15:30.039
necessity. Maybe a vacation at Disneyland
once a year, you know, certain

1015
01:15:30.079 --> 01:15:34.760
other electronics, those are available to
you as a necessity. But you don't

1016
01:15:34.800 --> 01:15:39.560
want to distribute too much where eventually
the government's can get their hands on it,

1017
01:15:39.640 --> 01:15:42.640
and then they may require to bleed
that down before they'll kick in the

1018
01:15:42.640 --> 01:15:47.600
governmental program. And so again,
the governmental assistance is basically a paycheck from

1019
01:15:47.600 --> 01:15:54.960
the government because of certain provisions being
met. But it's really to do with

1020
01:15:55.039 --> 01:15:59.560
how much money is under their net
worth and so if they have their parents

1021
01:15:59.640 --> 01:16:02.760
passing along those assets not thinking about
how that could affect that governmental assistance,

1022
01:16:02.960 --> 01:16:08.520
the government will force them to use
their own assets before they'll start jumping back

1023
01:16:08.560 --> 01:16:11.640
in. Similar to medicaid, right, you know, if you qualify for

1024
01:16:11.760 --> 01:16:15.279
medicaid and all of a sudden you
have a big injection of wealth or you're

1025
01:16:15.279 --> 01:16:19.279
off medicaid, right. And the
reason that's a big deal as well is

1026
01:16:19.319 --> 01:16:23.119
it sounds for some people like,
oh, well, who cares. They

1027
01:16:23.119 --> 01:16:26.600
still have that money, they can
live on it. But these people can't

1028
01:16:26.600 --> 01:16:30.680
always make correct decisions about how to
do it most efficiently or how to make

1029
01:16:30.680 --> 01:16:32.920
it last or right exactly. And
so that's where you guys come in,

1030
01:16:33.039 --> 01:16:36.680
hopefully, and you have a professional
trustee or a trustee that you trust to

1031
01:16:36.920 --> 01:16:43.640
follow the terms of the of the
of the instructions and they distribute assets out

1032
01:16:44.000 --> 01:16:46.920
according to the terms, but they
invest it. The money shouldn't sit there

1033
01:16:46.920 --> 01:16:50.279
collecting dust, right, it should, it should grow. They have a

1034
01:16:50.279 --> 01:16:56.600
fiduciary duty. They should. They
have the Prudent invest Investors stand and a

1035
01:16:56.600 --> 01:16:59.279
other the type of things you need
to have laid out in the trust because

1036
01:16:59.479 --> 01:17:01.560
again it's likely that the you know, person with the special needs are not

1037
01:17:01.600 --> 01:17:04.520
going to have the wherewithal to know
that they need to take it to a

1038
01:17:04.520 --> 01:17:09.800
financial advisor to have it managed.
They don't know where they can put the

1039
01:17:09.840 --> 01:17:12.640
money in to make interest. It's
just going to sit in a bank account.

1040
01:17:12.640 --> 01:17:15.880
They don't, right, I mean, they need There's certain things that

1041
01:17:15.880 --> 01:17:17.439
they just don't know, right,
And so if you have it laid out,

1042
01:17:17.479 --> 01:17:21.399
it can already be pre set so
that they can do as much away.

1043
01:17:21.680 --> 01:17:24.640
You know, they don't have to
have the hands on they can just

1044
01:17:24.640 --> 01:17:27.720
continue to live their life. It
could also be things like not just special

1045
01:17:27.760 --> 01:17:32.319
needs, but kids that you know
potentially have you know, socioeconomic issues.

1046
01:17:32.319 --> 01:17:35.439
Maybe they're doing a lot of drugs, maybe they're you know, having bad

1047
01:17:35.479 --> 01:17:40.880
relationships, things like that. What
are some of the you know, family

1048
01:17:41.399 --> 01:17:45.000
dynamics you've seen around that picture,
Well, similar to a supplemental needs trust.

1049
01:17:45.479 --> 01:17:49.039
You can create a trust just for
your children who don't require governmental assistance,

1050
01:17:49.079 --> 01:17:51.239
but they do have a drug problem, they do have alcohol problems.

1051
01:17:51.279 --> 01:17:56.520
They have spouses you don't think they
are going to last, they have or

1052
01:17:56.560 --> 01:18:00.960
abusive spouses that you can see,
Yeah, what have you? You know,

1053
01:18:00.359 --> 01:18:04.319
you know there's so many issues that
could come around, and you don't

1054
01:18:04.359 --> 01:18:11.600
want to give certain people unfettered access, unlimited access to assets, so you

1055
01:18:11.600 --> 01:18:14.800
could put certain restrictions. I had
a phone call today and he called me

1056
01:18:14.840 --> 01:18:16.800
and said, my parents had eight
million dollars. I don't have a job,

1057
01:18:17.760 --> 01:18:21.680
I got two kids. I can't
make rent. His mom's still alive

1058
01:18:21.720 --> 01:18:25.039
actually, but their father passed away. And he said, you know,

1059
01:18:25.119 --> 01:18:28.760
I'm trying to get to get to
the money. And you know, as

1060
01:18:28.800 --> 01:18:30.800
we talked, spoke talk talk talk, you know, he's like, well,

1061
01:18:30.840 --> 01:18:32.960
you know, what are you doing
today? He's like, well,

1062
01:18:33.000 --> 01:18:35.359
I'm going to walk down to the
grocery store and go grab a beer and

1063
01:18:35.359 --> 01:18:41.079
I'm gonna hang out and smokes weed. And I'm thinking, this is what

1064
01:18:41.079 --> 01:18:43.760
he's telling you, this is what
he's telling me. He was talking to

1065
01:18:43.800 --> 01:18:47.720
me about weed and different strands and
I was interested interested in hearing what to

1066
01:18:47.760 --> 01:18:50.960
say because I haven't, you know, been around weed in what twenty years.

1067
01:18:51.000 --> 01:18:54.039
I'm not that big of a nerd. Guys, I'm sorry, but

1068
01:18:54.119 --> 01:18:59.079
I just don't have time to recreational
use. But he was talking about all

1069
01:18:59.119 --> 01:19:00.399
that stuff, and I'm thinking to
myself, well, your parents probably put

1070
01:19:00.399 --> 01:19:04.840
provisions in there for you not to
have unlimited access because you were getting up

1071
01:19:04.880 --> 01:19:08.079
at eight am and go and grab
a beer. Now I'm not saying that's

1072
01:19:08.119 --> 01:19:12.760
bad. Maybe had the day off, but yeah, you started it started

1073
01:19:12.760 --> 01:19:15.760
to smell that there's something behind him
not having access to the money exactly.

1074
01:19:15.800 --> 01:19:19.079
And then he started talking about fetanol
and all that other stuff, and I

1075
01:19:19.119 --> 01:19:21.159
just said, okay, well,
look I got a nine to thirty meeting.

1076
01:19:23.640 --> 01:19:26.399
It sounds like there's a trust set
up. You know. You may

1077
01:19:26.439 --> 01:19:30.560
want to discuss that with the trustee
because they you know. But the thing

1078
01:19:30.640 --> 01:19:35.159
is is that there's beneficiaries out there
that require those types of restrictions. Right,

1079
01:19:36.039 --> 01:19:41.119
my kid, it's going to be
just like me. I I should

1080
01:19:41.159 --> 01:19:44.079
not be around money till twenty seven
years old. I know, before twenty

1081
01:19:44.119 --> 01:19:47.399
seven if I came into a couple
hundred thousand dollars. It would be taking

1082
01:19:47.439 --> 01:19:50.199
my girlfriend around the world a couple
of times. I would about a really

1083
01:19:50.279 --> 01:19:55.079
nice car. It would be gone
by now. But my kid's going to

1084
01:19:55.159 --> 01:19:57.239
be just like me, So I
know not to give him everything I have

1085
01:19:57.359 --> 01:20:00.760
until twenty seven because I hopefully he
grows up. And that's there's kind of

1086
01:20:00.760 --> 01:20:02.439
that's kind of a funny year because
if you look at the research, boys

1087
01:20:02.439 --> 01:20:08.960
don't grow up or their brains don't
developed with twenty seven. Well, I've

1088
01:20:09.000 --> 01:20:11.680
always heard the number is twenty five, but yeah, it's around there.

1089
01:20:11.880 --> 01:20:15.399
Some of the mature than others,
but I was not. So that's those

1090
01:20:15.399 --> 01:20:17.800
are the things that we prepare for. I just got off a phone call

1091
01:20:17.840 --> 01:20:21.920
a little while ago, you know, and they don't want to give everything

1092
01:20:23.079 --> 01:20:26.960
till thirty years old. They have
great kids, but they want that asset

1093
01:20:26.960 --> 01:20:31.000
protection because if you don't have a
property right into that trust, then if

1094
01:20:31.039 --> 01:20:35.479
they got into car accident, that
those assets are protected, right and you

1095
01:20:35.520 --> 01:20:40.239
know it could be also that you
know, if you have an IRA beneficiary,

1096
01:20:40.840 --> 01:20:44.680
there's no really strings attached if they
get that money. But if you

1097
01:20:44.680 --> 01:20:47.439
make the trust a beneficiary, well
the trust has the instructions of what the

1098
01:20:47.439 --> 01:20:51.560
strings can be attached. So obviously
there's different implications for being a trust as

1099
01:20:51.560 --> 01:20:57.199
a beneficiary on IRA versus an individual, but it could be better for having

1100
01:20:57.239 --> 01:21:00.439
restrictions than not. And I was
talking to d about this. So I

1101
01:21:00.520 --> 01:21:09.119
recently had a situation where there was
a murderer and the big portion of wealth

1102
01:21:09.199 --> 01:21:12.880
was in an IRA, and he
was telling me that if there was a

1103
01:21:12.920 --> 01:21:15.560
wrongful dust suit, that IRA is
protected. Is that right? Well,

1104
01:21:15.600 --> 01:21:19.479
I do believe that iras or creditor
protected, can you you? Yeah?

1105
01:21:19.560 --> 01:21:25.279
Okay, so interesting, So that's
has that's a form of creditor protection as

1106
01:21:25.319 --> 01:21:28.960
well. It's funny you talking about
necessities and listening to few. I was

1107
01:21:28.960 --> 01:21:33.359
telling the boys story this morning about
the about my daughter going to college and

1108
01:21:33.960 --> 01:21:38.880
she was she's now a thirty nine
year old, very successful corporate headhunter,

1109
01:21:39.479 --> 01:21:42.359
but at the time she was eighteen, just straight out of high school,

1110
01:21:42.399 --> 01:21:45.199
headed for college, and I gave
her a credit card that was foreign necessities

1111
01:21:45.520 --> 01:21:49.800
only, well really emergencies, right, yeah, yeaherencies exactly, Yeah,

1112
01:21:49.840 --> 01:21:54.560
emergencies. Anyway, he got the
first month's bill was thirty seven hundred dollars

1113
01:21:55.000 --> 01:21:58.359
and had some Neeman's Marcus Jean's on
there and a few other things. So

1114
01:21:59.479 --> 01:22:05.399
there everyone's definition of what's necessity what's
important is different, and I think we

1115
01:22:05.479 --> 01:22:12.000
see from time to time, John, people who have in my particular case,

1116
01:22:12.680 --> 01:22:16.840
because my daughter you talked about being
irresponsible to twenty seven, right,

1117
01:22:17.199 --> 01:22:21.079
the only reason I've often not thought, the only reason my daughter has any

1118
01:22:21.119 --> 01:22:25.520
money is because she doesn't know about
it, right, she knows about it's

1119
01:22:25.560 --> 01:22:31.000
gone. So and the trust what
we had her get a portion of it

1120
01:22:31.039 --> 01:22:35.000
at thirty and another portion at thirty
five, and another portion at forty.

1121
01:22:35.399 --> 01:22:39.960
And you can do that, and
that's one of the one of the wonderful

1122
01:22:40.000 --> 01:22:44.319
things about trust. You also have
a lot of situations where you have a

1123
01:22:44.319 --> 01:22:47.800
second marriage or a third marriage,
and there are children from multiple marriages,

1124
01:22:48.199 --> 01:22:54.760
and a trust I think is imperative
in those situations so you can get the

1125
01:22:54.800 --> 01:23:00.199
assets to the proper children. You
know, your's mine in ours. The

1126
01:23:00.199 --> 01:23:02.479
thing scariest thing in the world is
having a blended family. For an estate

1127
01:23:02.520 --> 01:23:05.720
planner, yeah, because now you
have to convince them to set up trust

1128
01:23:05.760 --> 01:23:11.359
in a certain way where if you
really want to protect your kids, you're

1129
01:23:11.359 --> 01:23:14.720
gonna have to set up after the
first spouse dies, a separate a separate

1130
01:23:14.720 --> 01:23:19.560
trust from that spouse where they can't
disinherit them. Yeah, yeah, and

1131
01:23:19.640 --> 01:23:24.640
they'll have and they'll be relieved of
some of that money. But at what

1132
01:23:24.840 --> 01:23:27.760
costs. Okay, there'll be a
little less money for the surviving spouse,

1133
01:23:28.319 --> 01:23:30.760
but you're guaranteed that money is going
to go to go to the children now,

1134
01:23:30.800 --> 01:23:34.119
because you may be you may be
head over hills crazy over your third

1135
01:23:34.159 --> 01:23:40.000
wife, but the children from your
first marriage really are not that fond of

1136
01:23:40.000 --> 01:23:42.720
the children from the third marriage.
I got a really crazy story, if

1137
01:23:42.720 --> 01:23:45.039
you guys want to hear, I'll
keep it. Quote on a phone call.

1138
01:23:45.880 --> 01:23:50.359
She was in Iraq, her father
died. Some lady claiming to be

1139
01:23:50.399 --> 01:23:55.880
the wife that showed up out of
nowhere and decided to open up probate on

1140
01:23:55.960 --> 01:23:59.920
the dad, saying she was the
wife that nobody knew about her, disinherited

1141
01:24:00.720 --> 01:24:03.279
the girl while she was in Iraq. And look where we're at. No

1142
01:24:03.399 --> 01:24:08.680
trust, nothing, nothing in a
will. And here we are so important

1143
01:24:08.720 --> 01:24:12.079
to get a hold of Jonathan.
He's available. He's in her office five

1144
01:24:12.119 --> 01:24:14.960
four four four nine o nine.
Give us a call. We can set

1145
01:24:15.039 --> 01:24:17.840
you up with Jonathan you'll have more
peace of mind that the rafters are going

1146
01:24:17.880 --> 01:24:21.560
to go where you want them to
go back after this message, Welcome back

1147
01:24:21.560 --> 01:24:25.840
to the Money Matter Show. My
name is Sebastian Borsenium here with Dave Sherwood

1148
01:24:25.880 --> 01:24:31.239
and Todd Glick Junior. It's a
wrapping up another show, just other busy

1149
01:24:31.279 --> 01:24:35.880
week in the markets of all.
It's a week started off where we needed

1150
01:24:35.920 --> 01:24:41.000
to be, coming off a really
bad three weeks, a really bad last

1151
01:24:41.039 --> 01:24:44.439
week, and then this week we
had a you know, good earnings reports

1152
01:24:44.720 --> 01:24:47.960
that kind of brought us higher,
and you know economic reports that seemed to

1153
01:24:48.159 --> 01:24:51.199
should bring us lower, but the
market didn't want to bring it lower,

1154
01:24:51.199 --> 01:24:56.720
and we finished up higher, making
it the highest week in the last five

1155
01:24:56.760 --> 01:25:00.760
months. Yeah, I know you
like my air pocket, so let me

1156
01:25:00.800 --> 01:25:05.039
give you another one. Victoria's Secrets. The struggling retailer stock is down forty

1157
01:25:05.079 --> 01:25:12.640
seven percent in the last twelve months, and shed six percent on Thursday after

1158
01:25:12.680 --> 01:25:18.720
Gomsaks lowered the stock to a selsen
A tough macro environment ahead for Victoria Secrets.

1159
01:25:18.960 --> 01:25:21.560
I like the first one better.
I didn't think he even liked the

1160
01:25:23.399 --> 01:25:28.000
GM. You know, GM's really
been good this year. GM is typically

1161
01:25:28.039 --> 01:25:31.720
a sleepy stock gained twenty percent this
year, hit a two year high at

1162
01:25:31.720 --> 01:25:38.000
the open on Tuesday, after reporting
net income twenty percent above expectations and raising

1163
01:25:38.039 --> 01:25:43.239
their guidance. And then Ford came
out on Thursday, and poor Ford,

1164
01:25:43.439 --> 01:25:47.439
I mean they came out. They
reported great results, they reported strong guidance,

1165
01:25:47.479 --> 01:25:53.600
said it was a really nice report. Stock has been mired around twelve

1166
01:25:53.640 --> 01:25:58.079
to thirteen dollars for months. It
looked like it was ready to take off.

1167
01:25:58.199 --> 01:26:01.720
Hit fourteen fourteen and a half and
the market sales off eighty points at

1168
01:26:01.760 --> 01:26:05.199
the opening. Ford just didn't do
anything. Yeah, I did see the

1169
01:26:05.239 --> 01:26:08.840
Ford was up on that news.
I didn't know if it held it or

1170
01:26:08.880 --> 01:26:13.560
not. Thirty or forty cents couldn't
hold it. Snapchat I was up twenty

1171
01:26:13.600 --> 01:26:17.319
eight percent this week, they reported
after the messaging platform reported stronger than expected

1172
01:26:17.960 --> 01:26:20.239
quarterly numbers. That's all I have
on that one. Yeah, it was

1173
01:26:20.319 --> 01:26:25.199
so strong, and that was really
interesting. I think if you have did

1174
01:26:25.199 --> 01:26:30.319
you get any information from the Piper
Sandler teen survey on the Pipo Sandler teen

1175
01:26:30.359 --> 01:26:32.640
survey that they do every year,
No, I did not see that.

1176
01:26:32.760 --> 01:26:35.119
All right, Well, you normally
you normally you could just kind of find

1177
01:26:35.159 --> 01:26:38.800
it. Yeah, you normally,
so let's let's bring that on the show

1178
01:26:38.880 --> 01:26:43.039
next week. But this week one
of the figures that I did see was

1179
01:26:43.079 --> 01:26:46.000
that Snapchat is one of the most
widely well how do I say this,

1180
01:26:46.359 --> 01:26:50.159
least widely used out of the teens
of all the social media they're like eight

1181
01:26:50.159 --> 01:26:54.520
percent. Really yeah, yeah,
the teens survey to say, well,

1182
01:26:54.520 --> 01:27:00.840
who cares about teenagers? Instagram and
TikTok trickle up if teenagers the parents of

1183
01:27:00.880 --> 01:27:03.960
teenagers want to be cool, you
know, so so they're involved or to

1184
01:27:04.039 --> 01:27:10.720
monitor them either way. Another one
Spotify. Did you see that the Swedish

1185
01:27:10.720 --> 01:27:14.680
streaming company jumped to a three year
high on Tuesday. It's up four hundred

1186
01:27:14.960 --> 01:27:19.159
and fifty percent in the last sixteen
months. They reported revenue, net income

1187
01:27:19.199 --> 01:27:24.520
and active users well above expectations.
Last year, the company went on a

1188
01:27:24.520 --> 01:27:29.319
big cost cutting binge and it resulted
in twenty five percent of their employees no

1189
01:27:29.399 --> 01:27:32.920
longer working for the company. I
also think that you know what they're doing,

1190
01:27:33.000 --> 01:27:38.439
like Taylor Swift and Joe Rogan are
two big, big reasons that Spotify

1191
01:27:38.479 --> 01:27:40.680
are killing it. You think,
oh, yeah, that you know the

1192
01:27:40.720 --> 01:27:43.720
contract that they have with Joe Rogan
where you know, like I go to

1193
01:27:43.800 --> 01:27:47.039
Spotify to lis'sen Drawgon. Before I
would always go to Apple Podcasts, but

1194
01:27:47.159 --> 01:27:53.439
then it's was only exclusively on Spotify, so I always use Spotify now absolutely

1195
01:27:53.520 --> 01:27:56.279
great points. It brought me through
the app and now I have to use

1196
01:27:56.319 --> 01:28:00.199
it. So that's one thing for
the swifties out there. You know,

1197
01:28:00.239 --> 01:28:02.720
I don't show what's going to I'd
say three or four albums in the past

1198
01:28:02.800 --> 01:28:06.920
six months. Yeah, it's amazing, so absolutely amazing. Where do you

1199
01:28:06.960 --> 01:28:11.000
get the energy to betailor shows?
But then the Spotify they talked a lot

1200
01:28:11.000 --> 01:28:14.239
about AI and their guidance, you
know, how they're going to implement AI

1201
01:28:14.399 --> 01:28:17.039
and things like that, and it's
a really easy thing to see with Spotify

1202
01:28:17.479 --> 01:28:23.319
because it's all suggestion based. I
mean, what you're doing with Spotify is

1203
01:28:23.359 --> 01:28:29.279
basically creating a curated playlist for someone
based on their listening habits, which is

1204
01:28:29.880 --> 01:28:31.840
AI is perfect for. So it's
going to be a you know, a

1205
01:28:31.880 --> 01:28:36.600
really good senergy if they can build
that out correctly. Yeah, it's amazing.

1206
01:28:36.720 --> 01:28:40.119
You know, you can have to
turn the TV on without seeing a

1207
01:28:40.159 --> 01:28:45.439
sketcher's commercial and the foward company stock
was down six percent this year. Rallied

1208
01:28:45.439 --> 01:28:49.359
to a new all time high on
Friday after posting a top and bottom line

1209
01:28:49.359 --> 01:28:54.840
beat revenue and net income in the
first quarter. As it appears, this

1210
01:28:55.159 --> 01:29:01.119
massive advertising campaign it's working. I
mean I I see them on multiple platforms,

1211
01:29:01.199 --> 01:29:08.159
multiple shows, whether it be the
NBA Playoffs or the or Women's Pool,

1212
01:29:08.199 --> 01:29:11.920
whatever it is. You know,
I actually haven't seen any You've seen

1213
01:29:11.960 --> 01:29:14.560
no Sketchers commercials. I don't think
so, but I'll keep an eye out

1214
01:29:14.560 --> 01:29:19.000
for them. Now. Best performing
dawstock this year, Disney It was on

1215
01:29:19.039 --> 01:29:24.760
a thirty day slide after the company
won that proxy battle with Nelson Pells,

1216
01:29:25.399 --> 01:29:29.239
but the shares did edge higher on
Tuesday after Wells Fargo raised their price target

1217
01:29:29.640 --> 01:29:32.079
to one hundred and forty one.
Says the theme parks are killing it.

1218
01:29:33.520 --> 01:29:39.039
I'm not a Disney theme park guy. Are you a Disney theme park guy?

1219
01:29:39.159 --> 01:29:41.720
I've been there a few times,
but I mean, I don't know

1220
01:29:41.760 --> 01:29:45.880
that i'd make a trip out there
right now. It's cool, Yeah,

1221
01:29:45.159 --> 01:29:48.159
I think I'd rather go somewhere else
at this point. Well, I think

1222
01:29:48.199 --> 01:29:53.840
you know, I've never understood adults
going to Disneyland without kids. Without kids

1223
01:29:53.840 --> 01:29:56.920
but they do. I mean,
I have friends that go to Disneyland.

1224
01:29:56.920 --> 01:30:00.720
They're adults. They go to Disneyland
without the kids. Before I want to

1225
01:30:00.720 --> 01:30:02.199
be kids at heart, I don't
know. I guess kids at heart.

1226
01:30:02.279 --> 01:30:06.159
Huh. So here's the kid.
There was a survey that was done that

1227
01:30:06.640 --> 01:30:11.159
if you had no college degree,
you're one of these people. There's no

1228
01:30:11.199 --> 01:30:15.279
college degree. And I would say
the majority of people out there do not

1229
01:30:15.319 --> 01:30:17.760
have a college degree, the majority
of young people. I may be wrong

1230
01:30:17.760 --> 01:30:21.960
on that, but I think that's
probably true. The best paying and most

1231
01:30:23.039 --> 01:30:30.079
secure job without a college degree plumber. In the late nineteen sixties, I

1232
01:30:30.199 --> 01:30:33.399
dropped out of college, or more
accurately, they asked me not to come

1233
01:30:33.439 --> 01:30:39.239
back. Oh, that's actually accurate. And so I decided to become a

1234
01:30:39.239 --> 01:30:45.199
plumber. And after one South Dakota
winter, crawling under houses and snaking out

1235
01:30:45.199 --> 01:30:49.600
sewer lines, I decided I need
to get back in college. And believe

1236
01:30:49.640 --> 01:30:55.439
me, I was far more motivated
the second time than I was the first

1237
01:30:55.439 --> 01:30:58.239
time. Actually, the only reason
I went. I went to an engineering

1238
01:30:58.239 --> 01:31:00.479
school in South Dakota. And the
reason I went to the engineering school is

1239
01:31:00.520 --> 01:31:04.840
because my high school guidance counselor told
me, don't apply there, you won't

1240
01:31:04.880 --> 01:31:10.720
be able to get in. So
I applied there and got in, and

1241
01:31:10.800 --> 01:31:15.600
I'm there for maybe two or three
weeks, and I realized it's an engineering

1242
01:31:15.640 --> 01:31:18.520
school. I have no idea.
I have absolutely no interest in engineering.

1243
01:31:18.560 --> 01:31:21.880
Nothing against engineers. I just didn't
want to be an jury. I also

1244
01:31:23.119 --> 01:31:26.079
would you know, I'm always a
debater. I think if you throw in

1245
01:31:26.560 --> 01:31:34.119
federal employees or military personnel because the
benefits, you could make a case that

1246
01:31:34.119 --> 01:31:39.840
they're also one of the highest paid
jobs without a college degree. I agree

1247
01:31:39.880 --> 01:31:44.359
with that. What level of federal
jobs can you get without a college degree?

1248
01:31:44.399 --> 01:31:46.159
Can you get most any job?
Well? Military, and then once

1249
01:31:46.199 --> 01:31:48.960
the military first, and then once
you have the military experience that gives you

1250
01:31:48.960 --> 01:31:53.359
the experience for the federal employee,
get point you get that. That's what

1251
01:31:53.359 --> 01:31:55.760
most of the federal employees did.
They started with military and then they went

1252
01:31:55.800 --> 01:31:58.319
civilian after su And you know how
they're trying to get that first job.

1253
01:31:58.359 --> 01:32:01.600
Well, how much experience do you
have un that's fine for military, Like

1254
01:32:01.680 --> 01:32:04.680
getting your credit card, trying to
get your first credit card? Right,

1255
01:32:05.000 --> 01:32:08.680
how much credit do you have?
Huh? Non? No credit? But

1256
01:32:08.760 --> 01:32:11.640
I'm good. Yeah, But the
benefits that the FEDS get. That's what's

1257
01:32:11.680 --> 01:32:14.960
really well, no, absolutely,
it's an unseen thing, but I get

1258
01:32:15.000 --> 01:32:19.039
it. I will say that plumbers
and electricians are in demand, as is

1259
01:32:19.079 --> 01:32:23.239
anyone who will. They don't got
their own health benefits, and when you're

1260
01:32:23.279 --> 01:32:25.840
a plumber and electrician, you have
higher benefit I mean, well, it's

1261
01:32:25.840 --> 01:32:28.880
definitely electrician. Your premiums are higher
for a healthcare plan. And most of

1262
01:32:28.920 --> 01:32:32.279
the most of the laborers, most
of the people that do drywall and plastery

1263
01:32:32.279 --> 01:32:35.159
and things of that nature, those
are those people are very hard to get.

1264
01:32:35.399 --> 01:32:39.239
But I know my plumber and electrician
are hard to get. I call

1265
01:32:39.279 --> 01:32:42.760
them. It's generally a two to
three week lead time, and and they

1266
01:32:42.800 --> 01:32:45.560
don't typically come to my house and
leave for less than a few hundred dollars,

1267
01:32:46.119 --> 01:32:50.560
So I can understand why that would
be. Murk Daustock already up seventeen

1268
01:32:50.600 --> 01:32:56.840
percent this year, four percent higher
again on against a terrible tape on Tuesday.

1269
01:32:56.880 --> 01:33:00.479
On Thursday with a big sell off
yeah after their strong quarterly report.

1270
01:33:00.800 --> 01:33:05.119
Caterpillar another one, up sixty five
percent in the last twelve months, eight

1271
01:33:05.199 --> 01:33:12.359
percent lower at the open on Thursday
after reporting revenue for the quarter for Q

1272
01:33:12.439 --> 01:33:15.520
one. But what what analysts we're
expecting. Our buddy Kramer says, don't

1273
01:33:15.520 --> 01:33:18.479
worry about it. They'll be just
they'll be just fine. Microsoft back to

1274
01:33:18.640 --> 01:33:25.039
data management company Rubric. Did you
guys follow this the ipo, the Rubric

1275
01:33:25.119 --> 01:33:28.199
ipo? Yeah, they went up
right. It came out at thirty two

1276
01:33:28.279 --> 01:33:31.720
bucks a share opened at forty end
of the week at thirty eight, which

1277
01:33:31.760 --> 01:33:35.479
is which is good. And the
IPO market has been a little soft,

1278
01:33:35.600 --> 01:33:40.560
so there was a lot of focus
on this particular IPO to see if it

1279
01:33:40.600 --> 01:33:45.079
would would hold those early gains.
It was very oversubscribed, so it was

1280
01:33:45.479 --> 01:33:46.760
a given that it was going to
jump. What does it do? What's

1281
01:33:47.119 --> 01:33:50.159
not a clue? Not a clue? I thought you guys are no Rubric,

1282
01:33:50.239 --> 01:33:55.119
right, I don't know. But
can we go back to macro Macro

1283
01:33:55.199 --> 01:33:58.399
a little bit, because you know
we're going down at the end of the

1284
01:33:58.439 --> 01:34:00.479
show. Yep. What do we
have lead into next week? Right?

1285
01:34:00.520 --> 01:34:06.560
We got some economic numbers predominantly around
the labor so report we'll see what that

1286
01:34:06.600 --> 01:34:12.000
impacts from the economy perspective. Earnings
reports continue to be released, but the

1287
01:34:12.000 --> 01:34:15.479
most important part of the earnings report
is the guidance, no question, no

1288
01:34:15.600 --> 01:34:18.800
question, these companies came out.
We saw more than a few companies this

1289
01:34:18.880 --> 01:34:24.600
past week that reported revenue and that
income that we're above or well above what

1290
01:34:25.039 --> 01:34:30.760
we're expected. But then they gave
cautious guidance or no guidance meta being an

1291
01:34:30.800 --> 01:34:33.720
exempt and bang down they went.
And so we got to keep an eye

1292
01:34:33.760 --> 01:34:40.279
out for that because with this whole
stackflation issue that we potentially have brewing if

1293
01:34:40.319 --> 01:34:44.680
they continue to say things like bad
guidance and moving in the wrong direction.

1294
01:34:44.960 --> 01:34:47.720
So keeping an eye on those type
of things is going to be interesting as

1295
01:34:47.720 --> 01:34:50.800
we head into next week. From
an earning standpoint, we have a couple

1296
01:34:50.840 --> 01:34:54.760
of companies reporting next week that are
going to be interesting. We have Eli

1297
01:34:54.800 --> 01:34:59.239
Lilly, we have McDonald's, Amazon, and super micro Computer. On Tuesday,

1298
01:34:59.520 --> 01:35:02.479
the world just down on McDonald's.
I wouldn't have to McDonald wouldn't have

1299
01:35:02.560 --> 01:35:08.560
to do much to get a pop. I would think everybody, everybody,

1300
01:35:08.800 --> 01:35:13.600
the mini analysts are down on McDonald's. I don't see any positive comments about

1301
01:35:13.640 --> 01:35:15.960
McDonald's at all. Well, i'd
have to think that their margins are probably

1302
01:35:16.239 --> 01:35:20.840
higher than they were before. I
don't know that's there. They're down on

1303
01:35:20.880 --> 01:35:25.039
them. I don't know if it's
got something to do with Israel, I

1304
01:35:25.319 --> 01:35:30.159
don't know, but I don't ever
see any positive analyst comments about McDonald's.

1305
01:35:30.199 --> 01:35:33.199
And then on Friday you have Apple
and Coinbase. Wow, that's a big

1306
01:35:33.840 --> 01:35:39.479
Apple. It will be interesting to
see Lily because Lily's supposedly kicking it out

1307
01:35:39.479 --> 01:35:42.640
and you're really killing it with a
zep bounds. It's gonna be real interesting

1308
01:35:42.680 --> 01:35:45.000
to see what their quarterly report looks
like. We're coming to the end of

1309
01:35:45.039 --> 01:35:48.640
another Money Matter show. We thank
you for joining us on this Sunday morning,

1310
01:35:48.720 --> 01:35:54.039
beautiful Sunday morning. We want to
be happy at Greenberg Financial. We

1311
01:35:54.079 --> 01:35:56.920
all want to be healthy because if
you're not healthy and not happy, But

1312
01:35:57.000 --> 01:36:00.159
at the end of the day,
what we're really trying to be here is

1313
01:36:00.159 --> 01:36:01.920
is profitable. See you next week.