Transcript
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Good morning, Tucson, and this
is Dean Greenberg. This is the Money
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Out of Show. We're right here
eight o'clock on seven ninety K and S.
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T. Glad you can join us. Glad you've been able to join
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us for a long time. A
lot of our listeners been listening for years
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and years and years. Some have
been listening since the nineties. We've been
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doing the show for thirty four years
now, and I enjoy it. I
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hope you enjoy it. We try
to bring a little bit of levity to
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the markets, to investing. We
talk about it from a money mountage side,
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financial planning side, financial advising side. We kind of give you to
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tell you what we're doing and how
we do it and give you a little
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bit more insight to what things are
going on. We try to take a
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common sense approach to it all,
something that nobody else seems to be doing
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in our political world of things.
We tried to understand there's two sides of
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stuff. We also tried to understand
where there's opportunit unities and opportunities take time
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to to actually span out, and
when they do pan out, they obviously
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do pretty well. But it's always
quality that you have to look at for
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opportunities. This is the Moneymatter Show, and as you know, it's brought
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to you by Greenberg Financial Group.
Greenberg Financial Group is both a registered investment
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advisory and they broke a dealer registered
with the SEC. Members of SIPICK and
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members of FENRI. On the show, we talk a lot about product strategies,
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ideas, we have opinions. Everything
has risk. I need you to
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understand that everything that you invest in, everything you do has some type of
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risk. Anything you do driving a
car has risk. Everything you do.
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Understand the risk involved. It's no
different with investing. Understand the risks.
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Even when things are going up.
Understand eventually things don't always go up,
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and they turn and go down.
And and once they go down, you
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know they turn and go back up. So where were That's where we're at
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right now. So where are we
on the risk reward strategy? We'll probably
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about a six and a half,
maybe getting closer to us seven right now
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on the risk tolerance, ten being
the highest risk. And why do I
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say that? I say because we
just keep moving up. Prices keep moving
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up, and they're going up in
the face of our FED Chairman Powell talking
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about higher interest rates. So we'll
find out this week whether he says things
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to propel the Santa Claus rally or
he ends up being the scrooge he talks
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on Wednesday, they make a decision
on Wednesday, they meet on Tuesday.
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That will be a big decision on
how for investors, on how he discusses
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things, whether or not it's the
same rhetoric he's been using higher for longer.
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We'll look at the data. Well, we had data, and this
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week the jobs report showed that we
have more jobs created. They thought it
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was gonna be one ninety it was
one ninety nine. Unemployment felled three point
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seven. November was only one hundred
and fifty thousand jobs. So way up
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there from jobs and not decreasing.
Even though interest rates have gone up,
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even though things are slowing, people
are still getting jobs. I think a
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lot of that has to do with
the fact you're coming out of that pandemic
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that they always talk about, and
people are running out of money and say,
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I need to get a job,
I need to do something, so
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they keep looking for opportunities. What
they can do. You know, there's
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in November, in December, they
start hiring in November for December, for
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the Christmas season, retail especially hospitality
also, so you got a lot of
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that going on as we get through
the through the end of the year.
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Do I think there's a big sell
off coming, No, I don't.
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I actually think we're gonna stay neutral
to propel a little higher. I could
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see as getting up to forty six
fifty mayby stretch it, you know,
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forty seven hundred. Maybe. I
don't know. The only thing that's going
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to bring it down to something that
we don't expect, like Powell coming out
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and saying no, I'm not lowering
interest rates. In fact, I'm going
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to raise interest rates. If he
talks like that, the markets will fall.
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But then everyone's going to ask him, why do you say that,
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Why, why do you need to
do that? Why do you got to
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crash the economy? You know?
And we don't. We don't. What
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we need to do is see illustrious
politicians do something. They need to do
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something other than making fed the Federal
Reserve always handling the monetary side of things,
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They need to do something on the
fiscal side and start making regulations to
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do things that will help help bring
down the the inflation, help bring down
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the supply chain that they always use
and everything else that they talk about.
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Obviously, when interest rates are so
high, people holding on to their low
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interest rates. It happened so fast. If you have a three or around
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a three percent mortgage, why would
you get rid of your house on any
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level that's cheap. Compared to where
we are today, it's more than double.
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So of course there's not going to
be a lot of inventory and prices
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are going to go higher, but
that all hits a high level also,
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So you know what we've always talked
about this, it's all about oil too.
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Energy is the biggest proponent of inflation. Oil prices will come down.
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They fell another four percent this week, and then they started to turn up
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at the end of the week as
our government starts going back in and finally
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refilling our strategic petroleum reserves. And
then they'll drain it off again when they
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think they need to do that.
But we need to get that back up.
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But you know, if you listen
this week, especially to President Trump
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talking about the oil fields up by
Alaska that the Bidy administration was going to
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allow for drilling and turned it down, it was interesting that he said there's
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as much oil up in there at
that area underground than pretty much in the
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Middle East. So when you think
about that and you think about today's technology,
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why are we saying we have to
go all electric? It makes no
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sense. That's like saying in your
portfolio, just being a magnificent seven and
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that's all you need. Don't allocate
any other way. Just stay in those
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high growth tech stocks. Sure for
a while, that works great, till
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it doesn't. We do not have
the capacity to just go all electric cars.
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Before twenty and thirty, there was
all the motor companies, dealership signing
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off, sending letters to the White
House telling them they cannot move these cars
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at these prices. We know they're
getting subsidized now, but now they're subsidized,
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they're losing money over the subsidiation from
the government. The saturation has happened.
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Everyone that wants to pretty much wanted
an electric cars, got an electric
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car. The big humper is there. The big buying has already occurred.
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So where are they at now?
Now You've got cars out there that people
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can't afford. So you bring down
the prices and then the governments so well
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will subsidize you more. That means
people that don't want electric cars, are
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paying for it through their taxes to
the government. How many billions of dollars
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have they wasted on chart stations and
not even implemented it over the last couple
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of years and putting charge stations together. You need an infrastructure before you can
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have a product. It's easy in
California, and they'll go with anything that's
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you know, liberal, and they
make money and they're able to go buy
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them and they oh, they makes
them feel good about the way they live.
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That's fine, and they put a
little bit of infrastructure there. But
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try going from California to Texas.
How many days is that going to take
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you? And with all the stops
you got to make, and hopefully that
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you find charge stations and they tell
you three hundred and fifty miles that you
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get until you put on the air
conditioner in the radio and it's down to
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about one hundred and fifty one hundred
and seventy. So why don't we have
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gas, hybrid and electric and let
people use It's always interesting to me that
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they're all about choice, all about
choice, freedom up choice until they don't
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want you to choose something different than
what they believe in. And it's getting
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worse and worse, and these politicians
are getting tired and old and come up
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with no new ideas. It's the
same old, same old, which means
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they stay in power over and over
again with the same rhetoric. I don't
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know about you. I'm tired about
talking about beating up wealthy people, taxing
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the wealthy people, when they do
nothing in Congress to do something to change
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it. And listen to Elizabeth Warren
earlier in the week, she was on
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again. I don't know why they
have her on, but she's on,
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sprewing the same crap that she always
does about wealth tax. Wealth tax.
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You know what wealth taxes. It's
what your next word, your net worth
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is, And they want to tax
you on that. That means unrealized gains,
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things that you never even sold and
have no idea what the gain is.
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You need to get it to praise
and they'll tell you, and you're
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gonna get taxed on it year after
year after year. That is, they
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talk about pay your fair share.
That ain't a fair share. Let's take
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it for them rich given to the
poor. The rich will give to the
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poor, and they'll make sure they
don't pay the taxes to the government,
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but unrealized gains. How do you
do that and then when you sell it
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and you got a loss, now
you're going to take it as a loss.
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Makes no sense. All they're trying
to do is crumble people that have
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been successful, wealthy families. I
get it. Some people like that people
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they don't think they you know what
enough is? Enough is enough? You
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know these people that are billionaires,
they didn't plan out to be a billionaire.
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They became billionaires because whatever they were
doing took off because people like you
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and I wanted their products, wanted
their ideas, wanted the buy from their
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companies in their stock rows. Because
the company kept making money and they had
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millions and millions of shares, and
that's why they become multi billionaires. You
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think Jeff Bezos thought that he was
going to be worth the money he is.
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Or Eli Musk or Bill Gates,
they started different type of companies.
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One's a tech company. Think about
that, Elin Musk, things outside the
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box. He's got spaceships, he's
got electric cars, he got battery companies.
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He's got this boring company. He's
got so much. He doesn't look
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in there, how much money can
I make off this stuff? He creates
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ideas that people want from his company. He owns the shares they go higher.
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Yeah. The only person that really
ever made money off of people like
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you and I the same way who
stocks was Warren Buffett. I don't hear
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people saying, oh, Warren Buffett, we should take money from him.
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He's too rich. He made money
in stocks buying companies, the same companies
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that everybody complains about, insurance companies, banks, These people that put themselves
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on the line. You think you
think Bill Gates ever thought that working out
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of his garage with the software from
Microsoft, that come to what it is.
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But you know what, they did
a great job, and they and
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the people that succeeded them did a
great job, and they have a product
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that everyone in the world needs.
That's technology Amazon. I don't think have
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to worry. Half the world can
live without Amazon. We've gotten so used
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to ordering something and happening there in
two days, and then and then with
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with uh Eli Musk and all these
different companies. That's how they get rich
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like that. It's not because they're
getting a paycheck and they're getting paid more,
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all right. So if you want
to change the way the people like
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Warren Buffett and the hedge fund people, and these people making hundreds of millions
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of dollars a year and paying only
long term gains and less change the rules,
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don't spou out that they need to
pay and get well taxed in this
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and that warrant. You guys had
opportunities to change it, and and and
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actually with Cinema that decided against it, and they had to scrap it because
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hedge funds they get if they look
at it as a fundy and when they
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get money, the way they earn
them money is put it into the shows.
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They get more shares and the next
thing you know they sell the shares
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is long term capital gains instead of
thirty five forty percent. That's how they
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save money. Okay, that's a
good thing. Change it if you don't
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like it. Real estate people make
and complain about real estate. All these
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real estate people making millions and millions
of dollars. Of course, you're not
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going to change you because they give
you so much money. But the depreciation
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and everything else, but that's what
you need. You need people to invest.
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Who's going to do that? People
take chances and they use it as
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the guidelines. If you wanted to
change something, you know, would step
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up basises and all that stuff.
Look at it, but don't decide that
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you're going to just go ahead and
tax people. Elizabeth Warren's been on this
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kick forever, you know, and
you know that they never want to do
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a flat tax because obviously a flat
tax would not go overwhelm with them,
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all right, because the people that
give them their donations don't want to probably
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have a flat tax because they would
pay more. So they'll pay millions to
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go ahead and pay no taxes.
Sell the idea. And then you have
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Congress. And I'm going to give
congresswomen Stephanick a lot of credit. I
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listened to her the other day go
against all three of the presidents, Penn
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and Harvard. They forgot the other
one about the way their students are acting
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on their campuses and how they won't
go head and say that's basically hate speech
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when they're chanting genocide to the Jews, Destroy the Jews, wipe out the
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Jews, take back Israel. You
know what, these presidents became political and
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they started saying, nobody should have
hate speech, nobody should be doing this.
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We don't condone that we don't do
this. Well, you don't condemn
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it because you've allowed it on your
campuses. You've allowed signs, you've allowed
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chance, you have allowed protests basically
saying genocide to the Jews. You've been
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there allowing them to back up Palestine
Hamas without the separation between the Palestinian people
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and the terrorist group called Hamas.
Hamas is the government that's running the Palestinians,
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who the Palestinian people have had an
uprise against, and allow them as
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terrorists to kill all the Jews.
But because the Jewish people of Israel have
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fought back in a manner that can
wipe out Hamas, and unfortunately a lot
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of Palestinian innocent people will be killed. They want to genocide the Jews,
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and the people on the campuses are
the presidents are not condoning it. I
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have no idea if the presidents are
anti Semites or not. Obviously you put
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one and one together you say they're
anti Semites. That's not what I'm believing.
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I think that the presidents of universities
are so weak and cow talented the
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media that they cannot come out with
a straight answer and not allow that to
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happen. Could you imagine that the
same thing happened with another race, Blacks,
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Asians or whatever. They would never
allow them the protest, never allowing
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the protests, and they shouldn't be
allowed to protest against a race or color
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of people. But for some reason, I don't know what people think Jews
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are, but they are people.
Yes, it's a religion too, Jewish
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is a religion. But Jews are
people, no different than blacks, no
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different than Asians, no different than
Hispanics, and no different than white.
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But you know, the only two
people that they can go ahead and protests
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against are whites and Jews. Maybe
it's because Jews are whites. I have
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no idea. I filled in last
week for Garry lusa's show, and one
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of the things I asked is why
do people hate Jews. People couldn't come
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up with a real answer. But
so, for some reason on in these
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college campuses, if they're protesting against
Jews, which is basically protesting against America
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for helping Israel and helping them defend
themselves, that's not okay and something's got
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to change. And what they say
is, well, it's not what they
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say, it's the conduct of the
people. So in other words, you've
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got to kill Jews to stop the
protests that they want to kill Jews.
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That makes no sense to me and
to most people it doesn't. But they
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are weak. These presidents are weak
because they can't stand up and say no,
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we are not going to allow you
to protest where you're calling for the
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death of anybody, and in this
case, you're calling for the death of
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all the Jews, and we are
not gonna let you protest and put up
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those signs you want to tell.
If you want to talk about peace,
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if you want to talk about stuff, that's fine, But when as soon
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as you step over the line and
start talking about hatred and killing a whole
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nationality because they're defending themselves, We
as a president and president is not going
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to allow that at our universities.
And if they were, if that was
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what everyone wanted, they wouldn't be
losing all these donations and all this money,
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and the people wouldn't be there.
And how the media is allowing this
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to happen is incredibly irresponsible. What
the schools need to do is actually teach
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these students on how to protest proactively
in a manner that they're not just destroying
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and putting out there to kill Jews
or Asians or whoever they're going against without
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the backlash of people coming in and
saying, you gonna go ahead and talk
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about killing me, I'm gonna wipe
you out first. That's what's gonna happen.
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Okay, if they continue to let
this happen, there's gonna be another
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group on the other side that's going
to come in and destroy them. We
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don't like, we don't let the
white supremacist say they hate Jews or blacks
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or anything else. But we don't
let's just steal with the Jews here.
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We do not let them talk about
how they want to kill the Jews.
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Hell no, if if a white
supremacist went ahead and said that they're in
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trouble. But for some reason,
we're letting students on campus be able to
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protest against there. And we constantly
put in more and more of these gender
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00:21:42.480 --> 00:21:48.680
type classes and and and and and
and race classes and all these other things
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rather than teaching them how to how
to actually learn. And I've told you
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this, and it scares me that
we have the power people coming out of
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these Ivy League schools who end up
becoming the politicians of power in our country.
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And if this is the way they
think. Now, why are they
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going to change their mind in ten
or twenty or thirty years. They're not.
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They're not. And maybe this opens
the eyes to corporations and everybody else
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realizing that these kids now are so
many generations down, a bunch of spoiled
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brats with a lot of money that
just want to go ahead and cut down
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America. They've got the power because
they have money that needs to change.
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Look for your best opportunities. Stop
saying that everyone has to get in there
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because we have to have certain races
and certain things. And I be able
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to give opportunities to the people that
are willing to make the opportunities. Hell,
259
00:22:49.119 --> 00:22:52.440
school is so easy now. If
you can't get over three h three
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five in school, that means you're
lazy and you're not learning. And if
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you have a learning disability, they're
going to help you. Schools aren't tough
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00:23:00.759 --> 00:23:08.960
anymore. Laws aren't tough anymore,
rules aren't tough anymore. Everybody keeps changing
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00:23:10.000 --> 00:23:15.720
it. What we need to do
to get America strong again is stop allowing
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those inside keep eating us away.
We got to stop protests against each other.
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00:23:19.359 --> 00:23:23.640
We got to stop protests against racing
races. We got to stop this
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again. You wouldn't let white supremacst
be there. Why you're letting the people
267
00:23:29.400 --> 00:23:34.160
that these youth of America in our
colleges stand up and do this. And
268
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of course it's all the liberals colleges, all the liberal cities and where they're
269
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going to take America from there.
There's a problem people, because it's a
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smaller group of people that are going
against the rest of America of what their
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00:23:48.559 --> 00:23:52.480
beliefs are. If not, the
money that's coming out and not getting donated
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00:23:52.519 --> 00:23:57.160
to these schools is in the hundreds
of billions of dollars probably by now.
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But the schools don't care because they
have these incredible endowments and the parents that
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00:24:03.759 --> 00:24:07.160
send their kids they have all this
money because they think they're special and they
275
00:24:07.160 --> 00:24:08.960
think they can do everything. And
look at all the cheating that went on
276
00:24:10.039 --> 00:24:14.319
with Hollywood, the hypocrites of Hollywood
to get their kids into these schools.
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00:24:15.000 --> 00:24:18.839
Live a lot to playing field.
Those that earn and get it. The
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00:24:18.880 --> 00:24:23.319
rest of you stop protesting and start
getting tough enough to realize that America is
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the best country in the entire world. We'll be back. It's the money
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mated show. Thanks so much for
listening. Welcome back everybody, Money Matty
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00:24:34.720 --> 00:24:38.880
Show right here, seven ninety Knisy, we got Dave Sherwood, Dylan Greenberg,
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00:24:40.440 --> 00:24:45.400
Todd Glick and myself Dean Greenberg bringing
you the best the ability to what's
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00:24:45.400 --> 00:24:49.519
going on. Absolutely another little down
week, not upweek. I mean six
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00:24:49.599 --> 00:24:52.960
in a row. Yes, you
know what's six in a row, Six
285
00:24:53.079 --> 00:24:56.599
up weeks in a row for the
S and B five hundred. It's correct,
286
00:24:56.680 --> 00:24:59.480
six up weeks in a row.
It took six up weeks in a
287
00:24:59.559 --> 00:25:02.720
row to get back to where we
were in July zero point. Yeah,
288
00:25:02.839 --> 00:25:04.839
there's nothing the dow. You see
the dow. The dow was up three
289
00:25:04.880 --> 00:25:11.240
point I know for the week,
but the last a sixth consecutive week of
290
00:25:11.319 --> 00:25:15.240
games. Yep, right back to
the peak. Like you said, a
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00:25:15.359 --> 00:25:18.160
new fifty two week high for the
S and P five hundred, and fifty
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00:25:18.160 --> 00:25:22.559
two week high for the Doubt.
Goldie Locks is alive and well. Everything
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00:25:22.640 --> 00:25:30.000
is just right except for quick evaluations, quick take a picture. Well we'll
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find out this week how much Power
likes where we're at. It's going to
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00:25:33.119 --> 00:25:38.359
be very important what the chairman and
his group think about what's happening. I
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00:25:38.440 --> 00:25:41.519
mean, everyone saw it, keeps
thinking that we're going to have lower interest
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00:25:41.599 --> 00:25:45.599
rates next year, don't I don't
see it. I don't see, but
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00:25:45.599 --> 00:25:48.160
they keep talking about it, and
I'm like, where does this come from?
299
00:25:48.680 --> 00:25:52.839
You know what I mean? You
cut interest rates under one circumstance,
300
00:25:53.519 --> 00:25:56.279
you have a disaster in the economy
and you got to protect them. It's
301
00:25:56.279 --> 00:26:00.640
not good, right, not good. And if that happens the markets are
302
00:26:00.680 --> 00:26:03.279
going down, or if you have
GDP, you know, not being positive
303
00:26:03.279 --> 00:26:07.839
for two consecutive quarters, possibly three, that's another sign that you need to
304
00:26:07.880 --> 00:26:11.960
cut rates because you don't have activity
in your country. Had that they didn't
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00:26:11.960 --> 00:26:15.440
cut rates, We had it barely, Yeah, and that was last year
306
00:26:15.759 --> 00:26:18.599
we talked about. That was that
was when they were in their rate hiking
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00:26:18.640 --> 00:26:22.079
site. So that's not always true. Because we were doing that, they
308
00:26:22.079 --> 00:26:25.839
were raising rates. They were hoping
then we're going to slow down. But
309
00:26:25.920 --> 00:26:29.599
somehow the economy is a slow down
because people still spend money. Where's this
310
00:26:29.720 --> 00:26:32.720
money coming from? Well, well, we know where the money is coming
311
00:26:32.720 --> 00:26:37.119
from. It's all in the cash
position. Everyone has huge cash positions,
312
00:26:37.240 --> 00:26:42.279
so taking from their investments, then
well a lot of people had increased savings
313
00:26:42.319 --> 00:26:45.440
from the pandemic. Okay, so
cash levels were at at all time high
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00:26:45.519 --> 00:26:48.559
during the pandemic, So they're taking
from the savings, which is yeah,
315
00:26:49.119 --> 00:26:55.599
it's cutting down. Credit cards are
going higher, yes, okay, most
316
00:26:55.599 --> 00:26:57.839
people's credit cards that don't pay them
off every month because most people can't do
317
00:26:57.960 --> 00:27:03.759
that keep creeping up, not only
because of buying stuff and doing things,
318
00:27:03.200 --> 00:27:08.359
but because the interest is fifteen to
twenty twenty five percent. Yeah, you
319
00:27:08.400 --> 00:27:12.559
know, credit card debt is is
at record highs. The title loan business
320
00:27:12.640 --> 00:27:17.039
is booming, the pawn shop business
is booming. But I don't think that
321
00:27:17.400 --> 00:27:19.559
is the money that's fueling the market
deing. So your question is an interesting
322
00:27:19.599 --> 00:27:27.279
one. There's still all time highs
in money market funds held currently really so,
323
00:27:27.440 --> 00:27:30.079
and this is a lot because you
get five percent now, right,
324
00:27:30.240 --> 00:27:33.400
so okay, and it's hard to
take the risks to get all if you
325
00:27:33.400 --> 00:27:37.880
can get five percent in some of
these money market funds and the mygos and
326
00:27:37.920 --> 00:27:40.319
all this other stuff to go do
anything. Yeah, Well you can be
327
00:27:40.359 --> 00:27:42.160
seeing right now is that they do
have the money and the money markets.
328
00:27:42.160 --> 00:27:45.440
But it is like Day just said, the FOMO. If you're missing out
329
00:27:45.960 --> 00:27:48.960
for the Santa Claus rally in November, and January is historically a good month
330
00:27:49.000 --> 00:27:52.960
as well. So that's what maybe
is fueling the market right now, is
331
00:27:52.960 --> 00:27:55.160
that money that's on the side is
now being put to work so they don't
332
00:27:55.200 --> 00:27:57.920
miss out. Seventy two billion dollars
was inflow to equities in November, so
333
00:27:59.319 --> 00:28:04.839
that money marketsket was also low in
October, right, and I don't increase
334
00:28:04.920 --> 00:28:08.759
through November. People got the FOMO
because here's a problem. What makes stocks
335
00:28:08.759 --> 00:28:15.519
go higher money money new money,
not the old money. Otherwise you see
336
00:28:15.559 --> 00:28:18.200
what happens is the doll will go
up, the doll will sell off,
337
00:28:18.200 --> 00:28:21.880
and that money are going to uh
uh uh knave Zach, then Daves Thatch
338
00:28:21.880 --> 00:28:23.319
goes up, nas that go sol
off, and then the dial and that's
339
00:28:23.319 --> 00:28:26.599
a bill go up. So it's
just a rotation of same money. For
340
00:28:26.680 --> 00:28:30.240
the markets to go up and make
new highs, more people need to be
341
00:28:30.240 --> 00:28:34.880
committed with new money. The only
time new money comes in is like January
342
00:28:36.000 --> 00:28:40.279
through basically April, with all the
money coming in, there is new money,
343
00:28:40.279 --> 00:28:42.359
though, because the Federal Reserve has
not been as restrictive on their balance
344
00:28:42.359 --> 00:28:45.720
sheet that they said they would be
and a lot of that has to do
345
00:28:45.799 --> 00:28:49.599
with showing up the regional banks.
They are still lending a lot of money
346
00:28:49.599 --> 00:28:52.640
to the regional banks to show up
that they have a lot of unrealized losses
347
00:28:52.640 --> 00:28:56.680
on all their securities positions, the
same thing that happened back in March on
348
00:28:56.720 --> 00:29:00.000
their treasuries. So the regional banks
are still taking a lot of money from
349
00:29:00.400 --> 00:29:03.920
the FED, and that's where the
new money could be coming from. But
350
00:29:03.960 --> 00:29:06.920
the FED might have unrealized losses on
the treasure, but it doesn't matter.
351
00:29:07.039 --> 00:29:10.359
No regional banks have the unrealized losses. And so the Fed's giving the regional
352
00:29:10.359 --> 00:29:15.680
banks the money to shore up that
collateral issue. We saw the Uh yeah,
353
00:29:15.759 --> 00:29:19.599
so I just are lending it maybe
yeah, But then it becomes a
354
00:29:19.759 --> 00:29:23.000
it's a windows ability to them because
the FED just created that new tool in
355
00:29:23.119 --> 00:29:29.279
March to in response to the banking
crisis. Yeah. I was thinking during
356
00:29:29.319 --> 00:29:32.880
the week we talked about the PCE
last week, right, and it struck
357
00:29:32.960 --> 00:29:37.720
me that the PCE, the personal
consumption expenditures, right, and which is
358
00:29:37.799 --> 00:29:41.640
which is the Fed's favorite number,
was up two tenths of a percent for
359
00:29:41.680 --> 00:29:45.880
October, and multiply that time twelve
that's two point four what the Fed wanted
360
00:29:45.960 --> 00:29:48.720
to be two. I mean,
you're there, Yeah, you're there,
361
00:29:49.240 --> 00:29:53.559
You're essentially there. It just seems
like they would be holding until something really
362
00:29:55.319 --> 00:29:57.400
big happens. Right Why would they
be so quick the cut rates when they
363
00:29:57.440 --> 00:30:00.559
can just keep them here because you, like you said, Dave, we
364
00:30:00.599 --> 00:30:04.279
have this Goldilock scenario right now,
what would cause him to really want to
365
00:30:04.319 --> 00:30:08.359
cut The last comments we had out
of Powell would during this past week was
366
00:30:08.720 --> 00:30:11.839
I'm gonna have to raise them.
I might have to raise rates again.
367
00:30:12.400 --> 00:30:18.200
So there's no talk about cutting what
do you mean talk from everywhere else?
368
00:30:18.279 --> 00:30:22.480
But that's what he wanted, not
from the people that actually make the decisions.
369
00:30:22.680 --> 00:30:25.960
Pow wanted to shut that down real
quick because everybody was being optimistic about
370
00:30:26.079 --> 00:30:27.279
rate cuts coming next year, and
he wanted to shut that down. I
371
00:30:27.279 --> 00:30:30.920
mean, that's why I think he
went to the other end of the pendulum
372
00:30:30.920 --> 00:30:34.640
saying my race rates. He did
the same thing in Jackson Hole right about
373
00:30:34.640 --> 00:30:37.640
a year ago, and then the
markets sold off. It was one of
374
00:30:37.640 --> 00:30:41.880
the biggest drops for the S and
P in a single day in years because
375
00:30:41.920 --> 00:30:44.640
of that. So that could be
a setup for what he's trying. The
376
00:30:44.680 --> 00:30:48.880
markets have rallied in October, the
market did the work for pal Right now,
377
00:30:48.000 --> 00:30:52.839
the market's against Powell here, so
Powell may say, you know,
378
00:30:52.960 --> 00:30:56.920
you guys have gone up too fast. Our big number number of the month
379
00:30:56.119 --> 00:30:59.799
as far as we're concerned. Right
next week, on the twelfth, the
380
00:31:00.119 --> 00:31:06.240
CPI and on the thirteenth the PPI. Next week, so something to watch
381
00:31:06.279 --> 00:31:10.880
for. On the fourteenth, we
get retail sales. So a few things
382
00:31:10.519 --> 00:31:12.039
in the Fed talk next week,
Dean, there's some stuff coming up next
383
00:31:12.039 --> 00:31:18.440
week that could move the market.
I guess, as someone with forty two
384
00:31:18.559 --> 00:31:22.519
years of experience at this, my
biggest concern right now is just it is
385
00:31:22.559 --> 00:31:26.920
so complacent market's going higher. Had
a technical analyst on she thinks it's going
386
00:31:27.000 --> 00:31:30.920
to be another what four or five
percent higher by the end of the year.
387
00:31:30.119 --> 00:31:33.640
Well that's two weeks away, three
weeks away, I mean, you're
388
00:31:33.680 --> 00:31:38.079
serious. And the VIX index,
I think Sebastian has said it was at
389
00:31:38.119 --> 00:31:42.519
a two year low lowess since twenty
twenty January, the lowest since twenty twenty
390
00:31:42.920 --> 00:31:48.160
six being the fear index. The
fear index, and when markets get this
391
00:31:48.319 --> 00:31:52.000
complacent, it's not good. It's
not good. So I will say it's
392
00:31:52.039 --> 00:31:56.839
Goldielock scenario. I understand why the
market's happy. I understand why it's content,
393
00:31:56.720 --> 00:32:00.160
but just way too much complacency.
Well you saw that in the bond
394
00:32:00.160 --> 00:32:04.720
market, and they responded. The
inversion actually increased this week based on the
395
00:32:04.799 --> 00:32:07.960
jobs report, and it's now about
fifty bases points and last week it was
396
00:32:08.000 --> 00:32:14.039
about forty four. So the market
is not really thinking that. The bond
397
00:32:14.039 --> 00:32:16.839
market doesn't like the last jobs report
that came out on Friday. I mean,
398
00:32:16.839 --> 00:32:20.200
did we talk about the jobs report? How it came out. The
399
00:32:20.279 --> 00:32:22.720
unemployment took down from three point nine
to three point seven average hour of the
400
00:32:22.759 --> 00:32:27.799
earnings came in a little hotter than
expected, but the market really shrugged off.
401
00:32:27.799 --> 00:32:30.559
The report opened lower but finished higher, right right, Yeah, it's
402
00:32:30.559 --> 00:32:35.319
funny, isn't it. The jobs
report came out hotter than expected, interest
403
00:32:35.400 --> 00:32:37.920
rates jumped up for the first time
in quite a while, and the market
404
00:32:38.119 --> 00:32:43.359
initially sold off and then screamed to
a new fifty two weeks high. Yep,
405
00:32:44.000 --> 00:32:47.440
oh it. You know the interest
rates have really dropped since the ten
406
00:32:47.480 --> 00:32:52.839
twenty three peak. Yeah, the
ten year Treasury's gone from five to four
407
00:32:52.880 --> 00:32:55.599
point two. Todd I think you
mentioned mortgage rates. Yeah, week seven
408
00:32:55.640 --> 00:33:00.240
point zero two, lowest since October, lowest since October. Sorry August,
409
00:33:00.359 --> 00:33:04.279
I don't okay, that makes August. Yeah, so four months low.
410
00:33:04.400 --> 00:33:08.000
Yeah. So that oil below seventy
dollars this past week for the first time
411
00:33:08.359 --> 00:33:12.839
since July. Yeah, after production
cuts. Yeah, and that ended the
412
00:33:12.839 --> 00:33:15.279
week down four and a half percent
too. I mean it got back over
413
00:33:15.319 --> 00:33:17.519
seventy seventy one twenty, but yeah, I still got under seventy for the
414
00:33:17.559 --> 00:33:21.839
first time in a while. Does
he? Gold This week Golden hammered down
415
00:33:21.960 --> 00:33:24.759
seventy one dollars back to two thousand
dollars, And of course that's a tick
416
00:33:24.839 --> 00:33:28.759
up in the dollars part of that. And we talked about it last week.
417
00:33:28.759 --> 00:33:31.759
It was the fourth time it hit
that that zone. It was basically
418
00:33:31.759 --> 00:33:37.039
now a quadruple top, and it
actually screamed higher over the weekend, but
419
00:33:37.160 --> 00:33:40.640
then Monday it just sold off big
time, and then it continues selling off
420
00:33:40.640 --> 00:33:45.680
throughout the week. How about Bitcoin, it's been just insane. Bitcoin above
421
00:33:45.720 --> 00:33:49.119
forty thousand for the first time in
quite a while, trading on like forty
422
00:33:49.119 --> 00:33:52.680
four thousand now had like forty four
now. Yeah, Friday it was eleven
423
00:33:52.720 --> 00:33:55.240
percent this week if you include the
weekends. What was the on time high
424
00:33:55.240 --> 00:33:59.519
in bitcoin sixty eight thousand, sixty
eight sixty eight. Yeah, that's the
425
00:33:59.519 --> 00:34:04.000
first time nineteen months, it's been
about forty. Yeah, it's it's very
426
00:34:04.000 --> 00:34:07.719
interesting space right now. And you
have a lot of inflows in the digital
427
00:34:07.719 --> 00:34:10.280
assets. It's not just bitcoin.
You can see ethereum, you can see
428
00:34:10.280 --> 00:34:13.880
all the you know, you're gonna
hear a lot of advertisements start. You're
429
00:34:13.880 --> 00:34:15.719
gonna it's like gold. You know, when when things like that start to
430
00:34:15.760 --> 00:34:20.360
really take off, do not go
for the really risky stuff like this is.
431
00:34:20.679 --> 00:34:23.199
I just can't figure out what makes
bigcoin go up and down. Somebody
432
00:34:23.239 --> 00:34:25.719
on the other end is willing to
pay the forty four thousand. I don't,
433
00:34:25.760 --> 00:34:30.440
but it seems to manipulated to make
just we can have a talk later,
434
00:34:30.760 --> 00:34:34.079
Okay. It just seems Jamie Diamond
said he shut the whole darn thing
435
00:34:34.119 --> 00:34:37.159
down. Of course he's a banker. President, yeah, the president VP
436
00:34:37.239 --> 00:34:40.320
Moore. But you know, of
course, it's opportunity to buy what was
437
00:34:40.320 --> 00:34:45.280
it two years ago? Boeing was
at ninety nine dollars, ninety eight dollars
438
00:34:45.000 --> 00:34:47.480
and that was two forty five or
something, right, you know, when
439
00:34:47.480 --> 00:34:51.519
everyone thought that would work. It's
like I keep saying, by good companies
440
00:34:51.559 --> 00:34:53.320
like that. So I look around
and you see what companies are down there.
441
00:34:53.360 --> 00:34:57.679
Like Target went down all the way
down to what one and I think
442
00:34:57.679 --> 00:35:00.440
it was one eleven. It's about
that back down back up to one thirty
443
00:35:00.480 --> 00:35:05.239
five. Rating on dropped down to
the low seventies, back into the eighties.
444
00:35:05.280 --> 00:35:07.880
Probably gonna over time, could move
up by it, but people don't
445
00:35:07.880 --> 00:35:15.719
give those times. There's always opportunities
in these good companies that produce things that
446
00:35:15.760 --> 00:35:20.679
we need that if you buy them
when they get just whacked out for whatever
447
00:35:20.719 --> 00:35:23.440
reason, you wait two three,
four years and they do a good job
448
00:35:23.480 --> 00:35:27.000
coming back. Talking Disney too,
I mean that was that. That's another
449
00:35:27.119 --> 00:35:30.639
that's the other value pushing almost two
one hundred sometimes, right, I mean
450
00:35:30.760 --> 00:35:35.039
the tiser's that one to fifty plus. I'm sorry, we're coming around a
451
00:35:35.039 --> 00:35:37.119
break here, but I've got more
about that when you come back. Yeah,
452
00:35:37.280 --> 00:35:39.639
more after the break, because I've
got something really kind of interesting.
453
00:35:39.840 --> 00:35:43.760
You know, it's funny when somebody
interrupts and they say I'm sorry I'm interrupting.
454
00:35:44.480 --> 00:35:47.159
Are they sorry or they wanted to
interrupt, interrupting, say goodbye to
455
00:35:47.239 --> 00:35:52.679
everybody. We have a break.
I'm so sincerely against the money battage show.
456
00:35:53.079 --> 00:36:07.519
We do love each other. Say
it's only a welcome back, everybody.
457
00:36:07.840 --> 00:36:10.199
This is Dean Greenberg bringing you the
money back to show with Dave and
458
00:36:10.320 --> 00:36:15.280
Dylan and Todd. So we got
three new companies going into the SMP five
459
00:36:15.360 --> 00:36:19.960
hundred as of twelve eighteen this year. You got Uber, JBL and Builder's
460
00:36:20.000 --> 00:36:24.840
first source. They are replacing Sealed
there Alaska Air Group and Solar Edge Technologies
461
00:36:24.880 --> 00:36:30.440
which got hammered. That's a solar
company that just got absolutely killed, obliterated.
462
00:36:30.760 --> 00:36:32.719
Yep. So they're coming out.
And Uber was the largest company ranked
463
00:36:32.719 --> 00:36:36.239
by the market cap at one hundred
and sixteen billion that was not in the
464
00:36:36.280 --> 00:36:39.639
s and P five hundred so far. So to qualify for s and P
465
00:36:39.760 --> 00:36:43.880
five hundred, to meet the criteria, you gotta have a certain market cap
466
00:36:43.920 --> 00:36:45.199
which is greater than fourteen and a
half billion dollars, which is a lot
467
00:36:45.199 --> 00:36:50.079
smaller than I thought it'd be.
The value of the market cap traded annually
468
00:36:50.719 --> 00:36:52.880
at least a quarter of the million
of the shares traded in each of the
469
00:36:52.880 --> 00:36:57.599
previous six months, most of its
shares in public hans and had its IPO
470
00:36:57.599 --> 00:37:00.760
at least one year earlier, so
a certain criteria. So sometimes that's why
471
00:37:00.800 --> 00:37:04.079
these big companies that come out don't
automatically just get into the S and P
472
00:37:04.159 --> 00:37:07.760
five hundred. But Houber's really come
back. It's made a strong comeback.
473
00:37:07.360 --> 00:37:09.760
Yeah, Dean brought us something in
the last segment that the hell was kind
474
00:37:09.800 --> 00:37:13.400
of interesting, and I had a
little bit about that too, Dean,
475
00:37:13.480 --> 00:37:16.599
you said that talked about Boying and
in twenty one, Boeing was the worst
476
00:37:16.599 --> 00:37:20.800
performing stock. In twenty two,
it was one of the best. In
477
00:37:20.880 --> 00:37:24.800
twenty two the worst performing stock Salesforce
dot Com, and in twenty three one
478
00:37:24.840 --> 00:37:30.960
of the best. I noticed that
CBS is down thirty percent year to date
479
00:37:30.119 --> 00:37:36.519
versus a forty six percent decline for
Walgreens. CVS opened three percent higher on
480
00:37:36.559 --> 00:37:39.079
Tuesday after raising guidance, jumping the
dividends, but Walgreens had a little reaction.
481
00:37:39.599 --> 00:37:43.599
However, the next day, Walgreens
did rally to the highest level in
482
00:37:43.639 --> 00:37:46.400
three weeks, gained ground again on
Thursday to the highest level in two months,
483
00:37:46.639 --> 00:37:51.599
finished the week up eleven point four
percent. The worst performing stock in
484
00:37:51.639 --> 00:37:54.519
the Dow this year, without a
doubt Walgreens. And I don't know why
485
00:37:54.519 --> 00:38:00.719
I'm so infatuated with the stock other
than you seldom see a doustock plunge like
486
00:38:00.800 --> 00:38:05.440
this and not come back. Full
disclosure, we do not have a single
487
00:38:05.480 --> 00:38:08.519
share of Walgreens in any of our
managed to counts. But it's intriguing.
488
00:38:08.719 --> 00:38:13.119
You've got an eleven percent pop off
the bottom. It has a dividend.
489
00:38:13.440 --> 00:38:15.320
With the rally, the dividend has
gone from nine to three quarters down to
490
00:38:15.320 --> 00:38:19.480
eight and a half. But it's
an eight and a half percent dividend based
491
00:38:19.559 --> 00:38:22.360
upon earnings estimates for next year,
they should be able to keep the dividend.
492
00:38:23.039 --> 00:38:25.400
And you just keep waiting for the
next shoot to drop. What is
493
00:38:25.440 --> 00:38:34.199
going on here? But if twenty
threes boying twenty twenty threes, salesforce dot
494
00:38:34.239 --> 00:38:37.639
com might just be Walgreens. It's
tough, though, if you live in
495
00:38:37.679 --> 00:38:39.760
Tucson and you want to look at
Walgreens, because all I see around town
496
00:38:39.840 --> 00:38:44.079
is is Walgreens closing. You know
the shape of the building and what it
497
00:38:44.119 --> 00:38:45.559
looks like. If you lived here
for a while, you've seen them and
498
00:38:45.599 --> 00:38:49.400
now they're just empty, right,
Yes, is opening new ones. But
499
00:38:49.400 --> 00:38:51.840
Walgreens seems to be going out in
Tucson. I don't know about that.
500
00:38:51.880 --> 00:38:55.639
Now. Walgreens was early on get
me out of the difficult areas where there's
501
00:38:55.679 --> 00:39:00.599
a lot of theft. You know, Target closed down what seven eight stores
502
00:39:00.599 --> 00:39:04.920
in northern California due to that,
and Walgreens was ahead of that game.
503
00:39:05.000 --> 00:39:09.400
They were a couple two or three
years ago. They started closing stores where
504
00:39:09.440 --> 00:39:15.039
the theft rate was so high that
it was difficult to be profitable. And
505
00:39:15.079 --> 00:39:19.360
I think that's what's what's going on
there. I've not seen any of the
506
00:39:19.400 --> 00:39:22.519
Walgreens stores in good areas close down. Maybe maybe I'm missing something, but
507
00:39:24.760 --> 00:39:30.280
Tu Sound is not a good area, the whole city, the whole city.
508
00:39:30.400 --> 00:39:32.159
Hey, I just noticed I saw
something on climate change. You know,
509
00:39:32.199 --> 00:39:37.039
we hear about climate change all the
time. Carbon emissions may or may
510
00:39:37.079 --> 00:39:43.400
not be the problem. Dean.
Get this. Since two thousand, twenty
511
00:39:43.440 --> 00:39:46.239
years twenty three years, right,
Carbon emissions in the United States have dropped
512
00:39:46.239 --> 00:39:52.239
by ten percent. Carbon emissions in
Europe have dropped by sixteen percent. Good
513
00:39:52.280 --> 00:39:58.400
news, right, However, China
and India. In India, emissions have
514
00:39:58.559 --> 00:40:02.679
risen one hundred and sixty five percent, and in China they've doubled. In
515
00:40:02.719 --> 00:40:07.639
a period where we've cut ten percent, they've seen emissions double. And we
516
00:40:07.679 --> 00:40:12.880
talked on on this show a few
months ago about China has more coal fired
517
00:40:13.119 --> 00:40:19.360
generating plants approved for construction than exist
in the United States. Yeah, I
518
00:40:19.360 --> 00:40:22.119
mean the world, Indian, I
know how you're gonna fight this battle all
519
00:40:22.119 --> 00:40:25.599
by yourself, But I think this
is what struck me next time someone mentioned
520
00:40:25.599 --> 00:40:30.280
climate change, I think the appropriate
response is, yes, those damn Chinese.
521
00:40:30.920 --> 00:40:35.079
I mean, what else can you
do? I mean, you can't
522
00:40:35.079 --> 00:40:38.039
fight this alone, and you don't
need to fight it alone. You've got
523
00:40:38.079 --> 00:40:42.599
to take a different tax to stop
being the people that say we're gonna we're
524
00:40:42.639 --> 00:40:45.840
gonna clean everything up, but we
won't do it for anyone else. Let's
525
00:40:45.840 --> 00:40:49.840
come with the compromise where everybody,
whatever you're doing, you're telling me today's
526
00:40:49.880 --> 00:40:53.239
technology, you can have much cleaner
coal fired plants. Of course you can,
527
00:40:53.920 --> 00:40:59.920
or nuclear if we just stopped scared
of that word. You know,
528
00:41:00.360 --> 00:41:04.119
we know that's a superior energy source
that we just for some reason don't want
529
00:41:04.119 --> 00:41:07.840
to get behind. Yeah, it
is. It is interesting because there are
530
00:41:07.880 --> 00:41:12.280
countries in the world whose main power
source is nuclear and then they're just fine,
531
00:41:12.559 --> 00:41:15.639
Yep, we just can't seem to
get our hands around it. For
532
00:41:15.679 --> 00:41:19.840
whatever reason. Bernstein came out.
They said, your best long idea,
533
00:41:19.880 --> 00:41:24.239
the best stock to buy in twenty
twenty four is Amazon, and the best
534
00:41:24.239 --> 00:41:30.400
doctor short is Tesla. The price
target I wouldn't show with Tesla. Yeah,
535
00:41:30.400 --> 00:41:31.840
but I mean, even if it
goes down, I wouldn't show a
536
00:41:31.880 --> 00:41:37.199
Tesla because, let's face the guys, there's some reas. It's like a
537
00:41:37.239 --> 00:41:39.840
cult. Somehow, some way that
stock always seems to be rise up from
538
00:41:39.840 --> 00:41:43.320
the ashes. It does. It
does. It is one of the only
539
00:41:43.360 --> 00:41:46.079
profitable TV companies. Yeah, and
it's the only even with the ones the
540
00:41:46.239 --> 00:41:51.119
traditional car companies, they're losing a
ton of money on evs. They're sectors,
541
00:41:51.320 --> 00:41:53.920
so that's why it's always coming back. And you have the added extra
542
00:41:53.960 --> 00:41:58.400
bonus of the chargers, which is
really what's bringing them a lot of income.
543
00:41:58.480 --> 00:42:01.400
There will be a time though,
Okay, and Dave can relate to
544
00:42:01.440 --> 00:42:05.679
this at the major company, like
you said, you'll go in well,
545
00:42:05.800 --> 00:42:10.000
like if you're going to buy three
companies today, the biggest companies, which
546
00:42:10.000 --> 00:42:14.719
ones would they be? Apple?
Amazon? Microsoft? Right? Apple,
547
00:42:14.840 --> 00:42:17.159
Amazon, and videos up there too. But no, but those three okay,
548
00:42:17.800 --> 00:42:21.480
you got to use them. We
all use them. It's all part
549
00:42:21.519 --> 00:42:25.360
of our lives. That's it.
One day they're going to be just like
550
00:42:25.440 --> 00:42:30.679
IBM, Cisco and Intel. You
get so big, okay, making so
551
00:42:30.840 --> 00:42:34.880
much money, but no growth,
right, it's part of the cycle.
552
00:42:35.280 --> 00:42:37.800
Yes, this is part of the
cycle. And IBM's at the end of
553
00:42:37.840 --> 00:42:39.760
their cycle and that's why they're not
at growth anymore. Back in the nineties
554
00:42:39.800 --> 00:42:45.400
they were a huge growth just like
well, the real risk to an Apple
555
00:42:45.519 --> 00:42:51.079
is what happened to Intel, right, because the technological revolution, Intel was
556
00:42:51.239 --> 00:42:53.400
on the front cusp of it and
they benefited a lot from it, and
557
00:42:53.440 --> 00:42:58.679
then they really kind of just didn't
do anything for a long time. And
558
00:42:58.719 --> 00:43:00.920
the reason being is they weren't up
to date with the new technology that was
559
00:43:00.960 --> 00:43:05.519
bringing the world forward. So it's
it's not just that you know, Apple
560
00:43:05.559 --> 00:43:09.079
has to They can continue to grow
as long as they adapt and change as
561
00:43:09.119 --> 00:43:12.599
the years go on. It's gonna
be come. But you have done this.
562
00:43:12.840 --> 00:43:15.039
Yeah, but remember it, sock. You would always buy nothing else.
563
00:43:15.159 --> 00:43:19.599
What's the best sack to buy?
IBM, IBM, IBM, IBM.
564
00:43:19.840 --> 00:43:22.159
But that's not this I'm saying.
What I'm trying to say is and
565
00:43:22.199 --> 00:43:24.199
they're not in the same revolution.
I'm thinking, okay, yeah, but
566
00:43:24.239 --> 00:43:28.679
then what I'm saying is what you're
saying about Apple is what we said about
567
00:43:28.679 --> 00:43:30.519
IBM. I was in this business
in the nineteen eighties and there was a
568
00:43:30.519 --> 00:43:35.639
client who sat at my desk and
Apple had just come out, and he
569
00:43:35.719 --> 00:43:39.000
said, you know that that symbol
Apple would the the bite out of it.
570
00:43:39.119 --> 00:43:43.559
He goes, IBM is going to
eat the whole Apple, so that
571
00:43:43.599 --> 00:43:46.360
will not out of business, right
mindset? Yeah, yeah, that was
572
00:43:46.400 --> 00:43:50.119
the mindset. Yeah, yes,
you never know. But I mean also,
573
00:43:50.159 --> 00:43:52.920
there's gonna be companies that come out
of nowhere. Like the dot com
574
00:43:52.920 --> 00:43:55.480
bubble, you had companies that made
it through it and exploded, like Amazon
575
00:43:55.519 --> 00:43:59.079
kind of came out around there.
Google came out around then with the ip
576
00:43:59.239 --> 00:44:02.880
O. You have companies that come
IPO around now that are doing AI stuff,
577
00:44:02.960 --> 00:44:05.960
and that are companies that you're not
gonna know now, but twenty years
578
00:44:06.000 --> 00:44:07.639
from now you're gonna say, dang, I wish I got it back then,
579
00:44:07.679 --> 00:44:12.199
because but it's unknown companies. But
it's the AI revolution that's going to
580
00:44:12.239 --> 00:44:14.599
be happening in twenty years I think, right, And you don't have to
581
00:44:14.639 --> 00:44:17.719
catch it in the in the infant
stage. You got to catch it in
582
00:44:17.800 --> 00:44:22.880
their like elementary stage and teenage stage
before they become adults. We've been a
583
00:44:22.880 --> 00:44:28.639
client today or on Friday that was
talking about they own Applestock. But when
584
00:44:29.320 --> 00:44:32.599
Steve Jobs died, her husband convinced
her to sell it, and she was
585
00:44:32.679 --> 00:44:37.119
like, okay, okay. At
twenty dollars a share, that's where her
586
00:44:37.199 --> 00:44:39.159
unicost was. They sold it.
She made some money, she said,
587
00:44:39.159 --> 00:44:44.400
but obviously that was eight years ago. A lot different if you just held
588
00:44:44.440 --> 00:44:46.320
it and that was like a gross
stage. You didn't know because when Steve
589
00:44:46.440 --> 00:44:49.360
Job's that you didn't know what was
going to happen. But it was in
590
00:44:49.400 --> 00:44:52.280
a gross stage that was kind of
in a sense elementary from what they've done.
591
00:44:52.320 --> 00:44:54.199
Now. Well, that's my point. You'll have an opportunity. You
592
00:44:54.199 --> 00:44:58.519
don't have to go with all these
newsletters and all these things that are out
593
00:44:58.519 --> 00:45:01.119
they try to find that stock that's
three four dollars out there that's going to
594
00:45:01.159 --> 00:45:05.719
be the next Amazon or the next
Apple, or the next thing. Let
595
00:45:05.719 --> 00:45:09.880
them mature, let them become something. You had many opportunities to buy Apple
596
00:45:10.079 --> 00:45:14.880
over the last ten years that would
have made you tons of money. I
597
00:45:15.119 --> 00:45:20.239
do think there are things with the
Apple product, the iPhone. It takes
598
00:45:20.280 --> 00:45:23.360
so many products that used to be
traded companies and are no longer. For
599
00:45:23.400 --> 00:45:27.639
example, your camera that you used
to buy the company used to make them,
600
00:45:27.719 --> 00:45:32.119
Like what are they the camera company? Or no Kia, no,
601
00:45:32.119 --> 00:45:37.400
no Kia, whatever the idea is. You have calculators. A company used
602
00:45:37.400 --> 00:45:40.239
to make calculators they don't know and
buys Kodak exactly. That was what was
603
00:45:40.320 --> 00:45:45.079
Kodak. So your your camera is
now in your iPhone. Apple took that
604
00:45:45.119 --> 00:45:50.159
market share away from Kodak. The
calculator. Apple took the trans They are
605
00:45:50.199 --> 00:45:52.039
coming up with more and more.
They just came out with this translate product.
606
00:45:52.400 --> 00:45:55.840
Anyone who has a translate product,
your company's done because it's now an
607
00:45:55.840 --> 00:46:02.199
Apple. They are constantly involving more
and more products. Their portfolio of products
608
00:46:02.480 --> 00:46:07.599
is so much more vast than the
old people. I mean Google, They're
609
00:46:07.639 --> 00:46:09.559
making cars, they're making phones,
they're making the search engine. They have
610
00:46:09.639 --> 00:46:13.840
YouTube much saying the Apples, you're
going anywhere in the next five, ten,
611
00:46:14.000 --> 00:46:19.719
fifteen years. It took IBM what
the Dave eighties, nineties, two
612
00:46:19.760 --> 00:46:23.880
thousand and one, two thousand and
eight, probably fifteen, about fifteen years
613
00:46:23.880 --> 00:46:29.199
ago. So yeah, but okay, on Todd's On Todd's point, Apple's
614
00:46:29.239 --> 00:46:32.239
coming out with watches, with cars, with virtual reality. They're getting into
615
00:46:32.280 --> 00:46:36.360
everything that's going forward. So that's
how they're expanding. That's how they're able
616
00:46:36.400 --> 00:46:38.400
to keep up with this growth and
state the largest company for the fifth year
617
00:46:38.400 --> 00:46:42.519
in a row because they're evolving with
it. IBM didn't do that, Yeah,
618
00:46:42.519 --> 00:46:44.519
and they also have what they did
and they kept doing what they did,
619
00:46:44.559 --> 00:46:46.760
and that's what Intel did too.
In the sense of I'm much saying
620
00:46:46.800 --> 00:46:50.840
Apple's going away, IBM didn't go
away. What I'm saying it becomes a
621
00:46:50.920 --> 00:46:54.679
time that the growth there and IBM
doesn't grow as much as the video grew
622
00:46:54.719 --> 00:46:59.920
today. And I think that's because
IBM did not make the specific investment they
623
00:46:59.880 --> 00:47:01.679
should have twenty years ago and they
had plenty of money to do same,
624
00:47:01.719 --> 00:47:06.519
where with Intel, things change.
You'll see. We're just saying if you
625
00:47:06.559 --> 00:47:10.159
evolve like Apples, continuing just that's
fine. I get it, guys.
626
00:47:10.480 --> 00:47:15.679
All I'm trying to give you is
some wisdom from Dave and I that things
627
00:47:15.039 --> 00:47:20.760
in fifteen twenty twenty five years are
different than so that what you're looking at
628
00:47:20.840 --> 00:47:23.280
today. And if you can get
on board with the AI companies that get
629
00:47:23.320 --> 00:47:29.840
into the teenage type years of their
growth and ride that through their maturity into
630
00:47:29.880 --> 00:47:34.039
their old age, that's fine.
Video there's still listen. I still think
631
00:47:34.079 --> 00:47:37.760
Apples a young adult. I think
Microsoft's an an older adult. That's how
632
00:47:37.800 --> 00:47:39.480
I look at it. We'll be
back to the Money Batter Show. It's
633
00:47:39.519 --> 00:47:45.880
the old guys teaching the young guys
that everything isn't the same all the time.
634
00:47:45.079 --> 00:47:57.599
We'll be right back. Say it's
only name. Welcome back. You
635
00:47:57.679 --> 00:48:00.400
listen to the second hour of the
Money Matter Show. I'm doing Greenberg.
636
00:48:00.400 --> 00:48:04.079
I'm here with Dean Greenberg. They
sure what and Todd Glick. Pretty flat
637
00:48:04.119 --> 00:48:07.559
week, but it was a six
week positive in a row. The Dow
638
00:48:07.679 --> 00:48:09.559
was actually flat. The sm P
five hundred was up point two percent,
639
00:48:09.800 --> 00:48:12.840
and to clarify, that was the
six week in a row for the SMP
640
00:48:13.159 --> 00:48:15.000
to be up. The NAZAK was
up point seven percent, the Rustle of
641
00:48:15.000 --> 00:48:19.119
two thousand was up one percent,
and the RSP, the equal weight to
642
00:48:19.239 --> 00:48:22.039
SMP, was up point one percent. The Dow was up three points For
643
00:48:22.039 --> 00:48:27.039
the week, SMP was up ten
points and the NAZAK was up ninety nine,
644
00:48:27.239 --> 00:48:30.039
So nothing really happened, But I
mean it was at least in the
645
00:48:30.079 --> 00:48:32.000
right direction. If we say about
forty six hundred, we could be looking
646
00:48:32.000 --> 00:48:37.920
at about forty six seventy five forty
six forty seven hundred. Let's put it
647
00:48:37.960 --> 00:48:40.679
that way technically now. Analyst on
CNBC on Friday they said forty seven to
648
00:48:40.679 --> 00:48:45.880
fifty yere end. If Powell says
what we want him to say, Yeah,
649
00:48:45.920 --> 00:48:47.159
well, I can't see how that
won't be the case. But if
650
00:48:47.159 --> 00:48:52.039
how but Powell says, we're wasting
weights outer than mine, whether yeah,
651
00:48:52.119 --> 00:48:55.800
bomboom, you're going to see a
thirty forty five hundred pretty quickly. That
652
00:48:55.840 --> 00:48:59.719
would not be a good thing.
Probably forty four fifty Yep, yeah,
653
00:48:59.760 --> 00:49:01.119
that not be a good thing.
You want a fun fact, sure,
654
00:49:01.159 --> 00:49:04.679
I've talked about fun fashion. You
better have a fun I do with that.
655
00:49:04.880 --> 00:49:07.039
Enough fun, war fun, This
is fun, okay? You know.
656
00:49:07.079 --> 00:49:12.320
Warren Buffett has lived in the same
house in Omaha, Nebraska for sixty
657
00:49:12.440 --> 00:49:15.400
five years, one of the wealthiest
men on the planet. Same house.
658
00:49:15.719 --> 00:49:20.039
He paid thirty five hundred dollars for
try the same cart sixty five years ago.
659
00:49:20.440 --> 00:49:23.039
Is recently what's it worth now?
I don't know. He's probably made
660
00:49:23.079 --> 00:49:28.400
some improvements. You think maybe he
probably put a new floor down. It's
661
00:49:28.440 --> 00:49:30.840
crazy, Okay, so thirty five
hundred is probably worth three fifty now.
662
00:49:31.320 --> 00:49:35.039
Yeah, you can't even imagine.
Oh, it's a six thousand square foot
663
00:49:35.039 --> 00:49:37.400
house. Oh is it? Or
four thousand? Yeah, but it's in
664
00:49:37.639 --> 00:49:43.199
it's in Nebraska, Omaha, I
guess would be seven hundred thousand is recently.
665
00:49:43.280 --> 00:49:47.679
Deceased partner Charlie Munger lived in the
same house in California for seventy years,
666
00:49:49.559 --> 00:49:52.039
which is kind of funny though,
because you have a left Yeah.
667
00:49:52.119 --> 00:49:53.599
Yeah, but they own they both
don't, you know, have an ownership
668
00:49:53.599 --> 00:49:58.320
in Berkshire Hathaway that owns properties.
So like, yeah, they live in
669
00:49:58.360 --> 00:50:02.599
their own but they have a pretty
big portfolio properties. It's ironic as when
670
00:50:02.599 --> 00:50:06.719
I'm saying he died at ninety nine, which means the home he bought when
671
00:50:06.719 --> 00:50:09.079
he was twenty nine. Yeah,
he still lived in right and it died.
672
00:50:09.400 --> 00:50:12.880
Yeah. It's just mind bogging,
isn't it. Yeah. They don't
673
00:50:12.880 --> 00:50:15.400
do it for themselves, but they'll
do it for business. Crazy. He
674
00:50:15.679 --> 00:50:21.000
well, it's crazy, is they
were the wealthiest people that leave led the
675
00:50:21.119 --> 00:50:23.679
cheapest life. I mean, I
mean, I'm sure they gave money to
676
00:50:23.679 --> 00:50:28.440
people and did things okay, you
know, charities and stuff, but they
677
00:50:28.480 --> 00:50:34.440
never enjoyed life with it. Well, I don't know about that. Coming
678
00:50:34.519 --> 00:50:37.480
They were value investors. I think
Dean's right here. When you have a
679
00:50:37.559 --> 00:50:42.119
value, everything is based on value, and everybody, everybody makes value.
680
00:50:42.360 --> 00:50:47.920
Everybody's opinion of what enjoying life is
is different. Point and you have nowhere
681
00:50:47.920 --> 00:50:52.599
near the money that won buffer that
lived more than three houses at the end
682
00:50:52.599 --> 00:50:58.599
of the day. Okay, being
cheap, you think it's being frugal and
683
00:50:58.599 --> 00:51:01.320
stuff. Not realizing, guys,
you do things and buy things or build
684
00:51:01.360 --> 00:51:06.599
things, you're also creating jobs for
people. Yeah, well then they I
685
00:51:06.639 --> 00:51:07.760
think they've created a lot of jobs
for people, and they own a lot
686
00:51:07.800 --> 00:51:12.960
of companies they've started and create those
jobs. They didn't create those jobs.
687
00:51:13.199 --> 00:51:15.280
They bought those companies to make money, period. They didn't create jobs.
688
00:51:15.519 --> 00:51:20.280
In fact, it probably laid people
off and create jobs for Apple, he's
689
00:51:20.360 --> 00:51:22.960
bought a lot of Apple stock.
That that's true. That's true there.
690
00:51:22.000 --> 00:51:27.480
But ivery think some of the things
they did, they did Who created that?
691
00:51:27.800 --> 00:51:30.719
Berkshire built that? They built that
one, but I no like talking
692
00:51:30.719 --> 00:51:34.400
about that. Warren Buffett is given
away ninetynine percent of his wealth when he
693
00:51:34.440 --> 00:51:38.480
passes away out of Charlie Munger decided
to do him and what gates and they
694
00:51:38.559 --> 00:51:42.559
want to get all that is given
away ninety nine of it. They have
695
00:51:42.599 --> 00:51:45.599
interesting personal life. Charlie Munger I
think had nine kids and two or three
696
00:51:45.599 --> 00:51:51.599
wives. Warren Buffett's wife has lived
in California for fifty years. Obviously fifty
697
00:51:51.800 --> 00:51:54.360
Charlie Munger's value. They have not
lived together. She has lived together in
698
00:51:54.480 --> 00:51:58.079
decades and I know that. So
then you can say that's why he has
699
00:51:58.199 --> 00:52:00.599
no money to spend, because she
was spending it. All that could be.
700
00:52:00.800 --> 00:52:02.360
Yeah, we don't. We don't
know how she lives, right,
701
00:52:02.440 --> 00:52:07.000
We don't know how Seriously, I
mean, I know everyone praises him.
702
00:52:07.280 --> 00:52:09.840
That's not the style I wanted.
And what kind of relationship it does?
703
00:52:09.880 --> 00:52:13.519
What kind of life is that?
Your wife is here, you're here,
704
00:52:13.760 --> 00:52:15.360
we are your kids. You never
see anything about his kids? Unusual?
705
00:52:15.440 --> 00:52:19.280
You know what I mean? There's
more to life than just all that money.
706
00:52:19.760 --> 00:52:22.239
Believe me. It's like everyone that
wins a lot of me. Not
707
00:52:22.320 --> 00:52:24.880
everyone, but a lot of people
that win the lot of me destroys the
708
00:52:25.000 --> 00:52:28.719
lot. But you see that with
greatness across the board. I mean with
709
00:52:28.760 --> 00:52:31.039
Michael Jordan. He was not good
at a lot of other personal things,
710
00:52:31.320 --> 00:52:35.480
right, but he was the best
basketball player of all time. He's also
711
00:52:35.519 --> 00:52:38.400
a great business person, a terrible
gambler, a degenerate. It's not terrible.
712
00:52:38.480 --> 00:52:43.280
He lost a lot. Why is
he terrible? You know the stories.
713
00:52:43.360 --> 00:52:47.119
He was worth billions. He's never
loses. Him and Barkley don't lose
714
00:52:47.119 --> 00:52:52.119
more than they can afford. It's
it's fun to them. Gambling one hundred
715
00:52:52.159 --> 00:52:54.360
thousand on the golf course is a
lot different to Michael Jordan than like a
716
00:52:54.400 --> 00:52:59.079
normal like me. Okay, you
can just watch thirty for thirties about Jordan's
717
00:52:59.159 --> 00:53:04.320
gambling. It pretty impressive, So
don't get me stay point. The point
718
00:53:04.400 --> 00:53:07.440
is greatness takes all of your attention
and meaning. If you want to be
719
00:53:07.519 --> 00:53:10.920
the best at something, you really
got to put everything towards just that,
720
00:53:10.960 --> 00:53:15.840
and you're not going to spend time
on other things in life like personal at
721
00:53:15.920 --> 00:53:19.480
hornets for four billion dollars, it's
basketball. Yeah, just like he was
722
00:53:19.519 --> 00:53:22.400
great at playing, but he was
running the team. He's a great businessman,
723
00:53:22.800 --> 00:53:27.679
he's a multi billionaire. Don't tell
me what it wasn't great at what
724
00:53:28.199 --> 00:53:32.360
he did, not everything, because
you you're never going to be great at
725
00:53:32.360 --> 00:53:37.360
anything if you're going to be great
because you saying That's what my point was.
726
00:53:37.679 --> 00:53:38.880
All right, So here's another fun
fact. We need to keep moving.
727
00:53:39.880 --> 00:53:43.239
Let me give you another fun fact. Maybe take your mind off this
728
00:53:43.360 --> 00:53:51.679
this hate. There are two really
good buddies. Haven't added last day of
729
00:53:51.679 --> 00:53:55.239
this year? Pretty special? What's
the last day of two three? Very
730
00:53:55.239 --> 00:53:58.800
good dying? One two three,
one two three? How can they?
731
00:53:58.840 --> 00:54:01.039
How can they're not in well?
When the last days one two three,
732
00:54:01.039 --> 00:54:07.800
one two three? We got to
put on Michael Jackson three No, no,
733
00:54:07.039 --> 00:54:10.480
mikel Jackson. You know ABC,
it's easiest one and two three.
734
00:54:10.880 --> 00:54:19.000
That's that's the new one. He's
got to write this down, Yeah,
735
00:54:19.039 --> 00:54:21.360
one two three, one two three. If you want to stray down,
736
00:54:22.079 --> 00:54:24.920
there you go. One two three, one two three there you gos.
737
00:54:24.960 --> 00:54:30.519
And going back to companies and big
companies that continue to you're all in a
738
00:54:30.559 --> 00:54:32.079
different way. It was a fun
fact. But going back to companies that
739
00:54:32.079 --> 00:54:36.599
we're talking about, continue to grow
with the new things coming out. Google
740
00:54:36.719 --> 00:54:40.639
just released Gemini, which is their
most capable AI model to compete with chat
741
00:54:40.719 --> 00:54:45.480
GPT, which is owned by Microsoft
for the most part. It'll include three
742
00:54:45.480 --> 00:54:49.599
different sizes, Gemini Ultra, Gemini
Pro, and Gemini Nano. Gemini Ultra
743
00:54:50.000 --> 00:54:52.760
is their largest, most capable category
and the other ones just offer a little
744
00:54:52.840 --> 00:54:58.480
less aspects to it. But Google
is playing the licensed Gemini to customers through
745
00:54:58.519 --> 00:55:00.519
Google Cloud for them to use and
their own applications. Gem and I will
746
00:55:00.559 --> 00:55:07.559
also be used to power which tries
to answer these search queries with controversial conversational
747
00:55:07.559 --> 00:55:10.199
style text. So you're gonna be
able to use it like on your phone
748
00:55:10.320 --> 00:55:13.840
on your computer, but you're going
to be in a sense like lease it
749
00:55:13.880 --> 00:55:15.719
out, and that's how they're going
to monetize it. Kramer's was out in
750
00:55:15.800 --> 00:55:20.519
the Silicon Valley this past week Jim
Kramer, and he came back in his
751
00:55:20.559 --> 00:55:25.360
take was that the company that is
monetizing AI the best right now is Microsoft.
752
00:55:27.840 --> 00:55:29.679
Well, they're ahead of it the
game. Yeah, but this is
753
00:55:29.719 --> 00:55:35.039
Google's competition to it to Chat GPT. Have you guys been watching what's going
754
00:55:35.039 --> 00:55:38.320
on with Tesla over in Sweden?
No, they're they're they're they're trying to
755
00:55:38.599 --> 00:55:43.480
they're trying to unionize, right,
They're workers in Sweden are trying to unionize,
756
00:55:43.760 --> 00:55:49.079
and they've now garnered support from the
postal workers who refuse to deliver license
757
00:55:49.119 --> 00:55:57.599
plates, and last week the DOC
workers refusing to unload Tesla cars. They've
758
00:55:57.639 --> 00:56:04.079
got about sixty percent sixty percent because
the Tesla workers want to unionize and Tesla's
759
00:56:04.119 --> 00:56:07.800
fighting them, and the postal service
now won't deliver license plates. The dock
760
00:56:07.880 --> 00:56:12.599
workers won't unload the Tesla cars because
sixty percent of blue color workers in Sweden
761
00:56:12.920 --> 00:56:16.840
are union So they're all getting a
Muscus sued, of course, but little
762
00:56:16.880 --> 00:56:21.119
impact on the stock. You know, thirty two percent of all new cars
763
00:56:21.119 --> 00:56:25.239
sales in Sweden are electric versus nine
here. Norway is number one. I
764
00:56:25.280 --> 00:56:29.639
didn't know this. Norway is number
one. Eighty percent of all new car
765
00:56:29.719 --> 00:56:32.679
sales in Norway are electric. And
I had a friend of mine from Europe
766
00:56:32.920 --> 00:56:37.760
who was visiting, and he said, you guys are so far behind in
767
00:56:37.800 --> 00:56:40.920
this whole electric thing. Could you
know what? Norway also probably has good
768
00:56:42.039 --> 00:56:45.760
energy grid? Yeah, probably,
they probably have some nuclear power plants.
769
00:56:45.960 --> 00:56:49.480
Also, they probably do people which
is the size of Phoenix. Yeah,
770
00:56:49.559 --> 00:56:52.559
okay, so it's a lot easier
to do that. That's the reason eighty
771
00:56:52.559 --> 00:56:55.480
percent of the people want electric cars
because they're small, not like the car
772
00:56:55.519 --> 00:56:58.840
grid and stuff. So it's easier
to say eighty percent of it. I
773
00:56:58.840 --> 00:57:00.079
mean, well, the whole car, the whole EU. It has been
774
00:57:00.079 --> 00:57:04.400
ahead of the Yeah, I was
surprised at that, but that because it
775
00:57:04.440 --> 00:57:06.800
seems like it always feel wh would
you be surprised at that, because it
776
00:57:06.800 --> 00:57:08.960
feels like as Americans, we always
feel like we're cutting edge on everything.
777
00:57:09.039 --> 00:57:13.960
Right. Oh, no, they're
real big on regulation. We have think
778
00:57:14.000 --> 00:57:16.360
about how vast the country is.
Like Dylan said, if you have a
779
00:57:16.400 --> 00:57:21.199
country the size of Phoenix, you
can put in a power good there over
780
00:57:21.239 --> 00:57:24.639
the ten years that that will fill
suit everybody. The power good here is
781
00:57:24.679 --> 00:57:28.320
four times what it was twenty years
ago. No, I'm just saying it's
782
00:57:28.320 --> 00:57:31.000
four times the size of was twenty
year to build that infrastructure quicker in a
783
00:57:31.760 --> 00:57:36.760
country full of Phoenix size in the
sense of population. But regardless of what
784
00:57:36.840 --> 00:57:38.880
kind of power grid you have,
you also have to have people who are
785
00:57:39.000 --> 00:57:44.000
wanting to buy it. Like a
car, we only have about forty percent
786
00:57:44.039 --> 00:57:46.000
here, if I'm not mistaken,
how many are in Phoenix or how many
787
00:57:46.000 --> 00:57:50.280
are in LA. How many cars
are in LA compared to Norway? About
788
00:57:50.280 --> 00:57:55.320
twenty five percent of LA is and
we're talking that's a huge mark. Right.
789
00:57:55.320 --> 00:57:58.760
But if they go to the card
deal is a socialist country, they
790
00:57:58.760 --> 00:58:00.079
go and say, I want to
eat. That's what we're going to do.
791
00:58:00.280 --> 00:58:04.559
Maybe they're maybe they're getting a better
incentives or something. I mean,
792
00:58:04.559 --> 00:58:07.440
you can't force people to buy a
certain of car. No, we're not.
793
00:58:07.760 --> 00:58:10.599
We're making them available. We're not. We are trying to make people
794
00:58:10.639 --> 00:58:14.679
by eave. It's by saying we're
going to be done with gas cars by
795
00:58:14.679 --> 00:58:19.400
two thousand. Well, Blues States, those eleven Blues Days Michigan just said
796
00:58:19.400 --> 00:58:22.239
that twenty thirty they're done with gas
power cars. Is that insane or what?
797
00:58:22.000 --> 00:58:25.000
When they have FOURD there, it's
just nuts, It's just nuts.
798
00:58:25.039 --> 00:58:30.000
I mean, that can't possibly happen. Yeah, Well, we've talked about
799
00:58:30.000 --> 00:58:32.440
on the show. The energy grid
is very important for EV's to make sense,
800
00:58:32.719 --> 00:58:37.519
or otherwise you're just substituting one problem
for another. Well, and then
801
00:58:37.559 --> 00:58:40.639
the other thing that when you talk
about EV's is most of the charging is
802
00:58:40.679 --> 00:58:45.000
done overnight when the grid isn't being
used. So it really isn't that big
803
00:58:45.039 --> 00:58:50.440
a deal. Yeah. Yeah,
again, though it's really the carbon issue
804
00:58:50.599 --> 00:58:53.719
to begin with to create the car
in the first place, assuming you're buying
805
00:58:53.719 --> 00:58:57.800
the car to save the world.
If you're buying the car, isn't that
806
00:58:57.840 --> 00:59:00.719
the purpose of EV's. No,
the purpose of evs have the greatest time
807
00:59:00.719 --> 00:59:04.719
in your life for you. It's
not the reason they're putting these regulations in
808
00:59:04.760 --> 00:59:07.119
place. No. I mean,
and that that'll come with time. That'll
809
00:59:07.119 --> 00:59:09.440
come with time. It's just a
matter of getting it perfected. Yeah.
810
00:59:09.480 --> 00:59:16.079
I think you can make twenty hybrid
batteries for one EV. But that battery
811
00:59:16.199 --> 00:59:19.920
it takes for all the lithium.
Yeah, drost finger, and I hope
812
00:59:19.920 --> 00:59:22.679
they don't catch fire in your garage. No, the plug ins, the
813
00:59:22.719 --> 00:59:25.199
plug in hybrids. No, actually, twenty twenty to twenty twenty three,
814
00:59:25.199 --> 00:59:28.599
so I don't think they had pluggin
in twenty twenty, did they? I
815
00:59:28.599 --> 00:59:30.960
don't know, pretty sure, I
actually don't know. I've got a really
816
00:59:30.039 --> 00:59:34.880
interesting TV garage. But Sebastian here
first. Hello, Hi buddy, Hey,
817
00:59:35.880 --> 00:59:37.920
let's have it. So we got
a couple questions in if you guys
818
00:59:37.920 --> 00:59:42.199
need If you have any questions since
you wanted to answered here on the Money
819
00:59:42.199 --> 00:59:47.159
Matter Show, you could email us
at contact that's green Contact Greenberg Financial dot
820
00:59:47.159 --> 00:59:52.719
com. Right, I'm sorry,
contact at Greenberg Financial dot com. Yes,
821
00:59:52.840 --> 00:59:54.880
right, correct? All right?
The first question, can you write
822
00:59:54.880 --> 00:59:58.039
that down? I was writing stuff
down for Dean, tried to write it
823
00:59:58.039 --> 01:00:00.960
down. I'm gonna write it down
next week. All right, Okay,
824
01:00:00.960 --> 01:00:05.519
go ahead. This question comes in
from Curtis. Uh. Bitcoin has had
825
01:00:05.519 --> 01:00:07.400
a significant run up lately. Why
do you think this? Is Todd?
826
01:00:07.400 --> 01:00:12.000
What do you think? Bud we
all default the Todd? Yeah, well
827
01:00:12.039 --> 01:00:15.400
he's the bitcoin boy is Yeah.
I mean digital asset inflows total one hundred
828
01:00:15.400 --> 01:00:19.639
and seventy six million dollars last week, that reached that's now reaching a ten
829
01:00:19.679 --> 01:00:22.400
week total of one point seven to
six billion. That's the highest since October
830
01:00:22.400 --> 01:00:27.519
twenty one. So obviously that's the
reason a lot of funds are getting flowed
831
01:00:27.519 --> 01:00:30.559
in. Why are the funds getting
flowed in? It's because of the potential
832
01:00:30.559 --> 01:00:35.199
spot ETF that is getting approved for
black Rock by the SEC. If that
833
01:00:35.320 --> 01:00:37.679
happens, this is gonna go run
even more, and a lot of these
834
01:00:37.679 --> 01:00:42.400
people are expecting that to happen,
and that's why they're pricing the bitcoin price
835
01:00:42.480 --> 01:00:45.199
higher. On top of that,
you have a really bullish set up for
836
01:00:45.360 --> 01:00:49.639
twenty twenty four because that's when the
happening of the bitcoin mining reward happens.
837
01:00:50.440 --> 01:00:52.119
For people who don't know what happening
means, it means the reward that's currently
838
01:00:52.159 --> 01:00:57.119
six point one twenty five for solving
a bitcoin block will be cut in half
839
01:00:57.320 --> 01:01:04.519
to about three points something that is
bitcoin's monetary policy, which helps reduce supply,
840
01:01:04.719 --> 01:01:08.840
which then helps increase price. In
theory, that's everyone's kind of bullish
841
01:01:08.960 --> 01:01:13.760
set up for twenty twenty four of
the happening, as well as more inflows
842
01:01:13.760 --> 01:01:17.519
from institutional investors by this spot ETF
and I think there's also a big fomo
843
01:01:17.639 --> 01:01:21.679
going on, you know, the
fear is actually not and that was very
844
01:01:21.679 --> 01:01:25.599
surprised by that because I saw a
chart on bitcoin interest. Unlike past bitcoin
845
01:01:25.639 --> 01:01:30.000
runs, at least so far,
there's no real sign of major public fomo.
846
01:01:30.199 --> 01:01:34.760
What turns bitcoin interest though, like, how are you monetizing that?
847
01:01:35.199 --> 01:01:39.519
So the amount of people that have
bitcoin related securities holdings. So an article
848
01:01:39.599 --> 01:01:45.920
not too long ago the twelve percent
of the public trust bitcoin twelve percent,
849
01:01:46.400 --> 01:01:50.559
just a slightly above the number of
eds. I wonder, I wonder,
850
01:01:50.679 --> 01:01:55.199
what's the public percentage that trusts the
government? Zero? Okay, so bitcoin's
851
01:01:55.199 --> 01:01:59.840
winning then. So the whole idea
is that, you know, if you're
852
01:01:59.880 --> 01:02:02.159
not gonna have you don't have fomo. Yeah, it's just very surprising to
853
01:02:02.239 --> 01:02:07.480
me. So you just have to
expect a consolidation at some point bitcoins price.
854
01:02:07.559 --> 01:02:12.280
It's just it just looks so good
on the chart that I don't see
855
01:02:12.280 --> 01:02:14.719
it, but it has to.
Nothing goes up straight to the to the
856
01:02:14.960 --> 01:02:17.760
just keeps going. All right,
Ryan, This one comes in from Ryan.
857
01:02:17.920 --> 01:02:22.599
Is there is there an advantage of
giving an asset instead of giving cash
858
01:02:22.320 --> 01:02:27.079
gift? It's kind of a loaded
question. Yeah, well it depends.
859
01:02:27.159 --> 01:02:32.559
I mean there the advantage really is
to the giver. The advantage is not
860
01:02:32.719 --> 01:02:37.280
to the receiver. It like if
the if the receiver is receiving an asset,
861
01:02:37.360 --> 01:02:43.039
they're receiving the cost basis of the
giver. Yeah, it's like the
862
01:02:43.239 --> 01:02:45.800
gift would come in, I made
you my beneficiary from IRA, so you
863
01:02:45.800 --> 01:02:50.119
get that step up basis when they
passed away, not the IRA. Iras
864
01:02:50.119 --> 01:02:51.840
don't have to step up. No, No, I'm sorry, Yeah,
865
01:02:52.119 --> 01:02:55.440
trust Trust brokeray account. But but
that's so, I say, you give
866
01:02:57.239 --> 01:03:00.960
one hundred years of Apple at one
hundred and ninety dollars right cost basis is
867
01:03:00.000 --> 01:03:06.639
twenty, you got a seventeen thousand
dollars capital game that you've just inherited.
868
01:03:06.840 --> 01:03:08.840
Yeah, here, here, I
have this because I don't want it.
869
01:03:09.159 --> 01:03:15.519
So cash certainly is a much better
thing to receive than a gift of securities.
870
01:03:15.480 --> 01:03:19.480
Right, that makes sense. If
you have any stubborn family members,
871
01:03:19.519 --> 01:03:22.679
just gift them your capital gains,
I guess, exactly, exactly. So
872
01:03:22.719 --> 01:03:28.679
we talked on this show about how
Europe and the UK they're going to be
873
01:03:28.679 --> 01:03:32.280
cutting rates a lot faster than the
US, and that's because of their economic
874
01:03:32.360 --> 01:03:37.559
activity. Their GDP is just almost
negative. I mean, I think actually
875
01:03:39.800 --> 01:03:45.639
the Eurozone contracted this last quarter by
just barely point one percent. They expect
876
01:03:45.639 --> 01:03:49.239
them to also contract in the fourth
quarter. That technically signals a recession.
877
01:03:49.719 --> 01:03:52.800
Also in the UK, their GDP
is next to zero. So from the
878
01:03:52.840 --> 01:03:55.679
central banks point of view, in
both of those regions, they're going to
879
01:03:55.719 --> 01:03:59.480
say, hey, this is time
where we should start cutting rates to help
880
01:03:59.519 --> 01:04:02.719
promp up their economy. That's going
to be a kind of a read through.
881
01:04:02.760 --> 01:04:05.800
I think for the US. I
agree, I agree, you're a
882
01:04:05.840 --> 01:04:09.760
temp for a trip to the EV
garage. Let's go kind of interesting.
883
01:04:10.239 --> 01:04:15.239
Interesting report this week, Consumer Reports
recently issued a new report that show's electric
884
01:04:15.519 --> 01:04:21.440
vehicle owners are reporting far more problems
with their vehicles than owners of conventional cars
885
01:04:21.480 --> 01:04:28.239
or hybrids. A survey of three
hundred and thirty thousand vehicle owners showed that
886
01:04:28.320 --> 01:04:33.760
EV owners are reporting nearly double the
problems of internal combustion cars, while hybrids
887
01:04:33.800 --> 01:04:42.000
reported twenty five percent fewer issues than
internal combustion cars. However, however,
888
01:04:42.800 --> 01:04:46.159
the report went on to say the
problems are largely related to car companies that
889
01:04:46.199 --> 01:04:51.039
are new to the EV market.
For the first time. Last week,
890
01:04:51.119 --> 01:04:57.760
Consumer Reports is recommending the Tesla Model. Y recommended to buy the Tesla Model
891
01:04:57.760 --> 01:05:00.519
Why, which in just four years
has become one of the top selling cars
892
01:05:00.519 --> 01:05:04.159
in the world. That's the SUV. I least my cat, well,
893
01:05:04.159 --> 01:05:09.400
at least my test lie. I
figured that Tesla has been making evs for
894
01:05:09.480 --> 01:05:13.360
twelve years, right, everybody else
has been doing it for about twelve minutes.
895
01:05:14.280 --> 01:05:16.880
So I'm figuring if anybody's got this
figured out, it's going to be
896
01:05:16.880 --> 01:05:21.480
Tesla And it sounds like I may
have been right. Do you drive the
897
01:05:21.480 --> 01:05:26.119
Model Y? I do? I
do. I'm an suv guy, so
898
01:05:26.239 --> 01:05:30.280
whatever the suv was, then it
happened to be the Model Y. It
899
01:05:30.400 --> 01:05:33.719
also ranked and I'm not trying to
sell Model ys here, but Model Y
900
01:05:33.840 --> 01:05:40.920
also was. Europe has new safety
standards for automobiles that were implemented this year,
901
01:05:41.639 --> 01:05:45.559
and in the initial run through,
the number one safest car in that
902
01:05:45.599 --> 01:05:51.239
survey was the Tesla Model Y.
Did you see there's a video out there
903
01:05:51.239 --> 01:05:55.880
with the cyber truck crash video?
No, it is ridiculous. How good
904
01:05:55.880 --> 01:05:58.320
that is? It crashed straight into
it like the wall, like they do
905
01:05:58.679 --> 01:06:01.159
hardly anything into the cabin. Are
you serious? I don't. I think
906
01:06:01.159 --> 01:06:04.400
it's going like forty or something thirty
And it's bulletproof, right, And it's
907
01:06:04.679 --> 01:06:08.639
bulletproof? Is that true? But
we can't figure that out, right,
908
01:06:08.679 --> 01:06:12.840
I mean they've talked about that and
they I was watching. The body is
909
01:06:12.880 --> 01:06:17.440
bulletproof, right, what the body's
bulletproof? The bullet the windows were to
910
01:06:18.239 --> 01:06:21.519
have to into it, but then
you have to roll them. There's the
911
01:06:21.760 --> 01:06:24.679
trade off there, right, You
can roll them down, so if you're
912
01:06:24.679 --> 01:06:27.679
gonna go eat fast food or something. You can't really do that. I
913
01:06:27.800 --> 01:06:30.199
just I'm just dying to see my
first, uh my first Tesla truck on
914
01:06:30.239 --> 01:06:34.159
the road because it looks just horrific. I'm actually pretty excited to see it.
915
01:06:34.239 --> 01:06:40.320
Yeah, but for me, it
just looks ridiculous. That looks like
916
01:06:40.519 --> 01:06:45.800
the Flintstones or the Jetson's or something
forty nine Acolytic video. Yeah, so
917
01:06:45.920 --> 01:06:49.239
bizarre. But and maybe in person, Todd, you mentioned if someone saw
918
01:06:49.280 --> 01:06:51.920
one in person who said it was
kind of cool. That's what people are
919
01:06:51.960 --> 01:06:55.719
saying. It's saying it looks terrible
in pictures, but it looks better in
920
01:06:55.719 --> 01:06:59.880
person. I remember a few short
years ago driving around town and I would
921
01:07:00.000 --> 01:07:00.960
see a Tesla and I go,
oh, there's one of those Teslas.
922
01:07:00.960 --> 01:07:05.239
It was so rare to see a
Tesla. Now you cannot run an errand
923
01:07:05.280 --> 01:07:11.480
without seeing a cloud a cloud license
plate, just you can't. So it's
924
01:07:11.519 --> 01:07:15.519
coming, and Tesla. I got
some. I read an article earlier this
925
01:07:15.599 --> 01:07:19.679
week about that, and it was
Tesla is by far the most profitable one.
926
01:07:20.559 --> 01:07:26.039
There's only one other company. It's
I forgot the name of it.
927
01:07:26.039 --> 01:07:30.800
It's only one other profitable company.
Or sorry, there's two. It's byd
928
01:07:30.960 --> 01:07:33.159
andle Otto are the only other two
evs that have been profitable like Tesla.
929
01:07:33.239 --> 01:07:38.199
But Tesla owns seventy percent of that
profit. You got all the ones throughout
930
01:07:38.199 --> 01:07:40.880
the last couple of years from like
twenty nineteen, Nicola, fisk Er,
931
01:07:40.960 --> 01:07:45.400
Rivi, and Lucid, Neo Xping, Polarster, Canoe, Lorstown Motors all
932
01:07:45.440 --> 01:07:47.000
at one point from twenty nineteen to
twenty twenty one, they had a combined
933
01:07:47.360 --> 01:07:51.039
market cap of four hundred and seventy
billion dollars when interest rates for zero percent,
934
01:07:51.079 --> 01:07:55.559
two percent all that today it's just
pumping them up. Today the market
935
01:07:55.559 --> 01:08:00.639
cap combined is fifty nine million,
sorry, fifty nine billion, seven percent
936
01:08:00.719 --> 01:08:05.280
drop. People are getting tired of
these nonprofit, nonprofitable EVS companies. Well,
937
01:08:05.280 --> 01:08:08.760
I want to hear it with Tesla
because it's profitable. I want to
938
01:08:08.800 --> 01:08:14.559
hear Ford and GM struggling with evs
and stallantas so they're brand new to it.
939
01:08:14.800 --> 01:08:16.520
Where do you think where was Tesla
twelve years ago? They were struggling.
940
01:08:16.680 --> 01:08:20.479
No that You just look at Toyota
and Honda and compare that to Ford
941
01:08:20.520 --> 01:08:25.319
and GM and you can see a
huge divergence in price performance because of just
942
01:08:25.399 --> 01:08:28.600
that. We well, we know
that Tesla made one hundred and eighty degree
943
01:08:28.640 --> 01:08:30.680
pivot in April when they got the
new CEO. They went from you know,
944
01:08:30.720 --> 01:08:33.880
they were all hybrid. You mean
Toyota Tesla, I say, he
945
01:08:33.920 --> 01:08:38.520
said, Tesla, I'm sorry,
Toyota. Back in April when they got
946
01:08:38.520 --> 01:08:42.439
the new CEO, they went from
all hybrid to pretty much all electric.
947
01:08:42.880 --> 01:08:45.520
And it's gonna be interesting because they're
coming with technology that we haven't seen.
948
01:08:45.840 --> 01:08:50.359
What will that do to the market
for Tesla's If Toyota comes with a one
949
01:08:50.399 --> 01:08:54.680
thousand mile range that can be charged
in ten minutes, that's just interesting.
950
01:08:54.720 --> 01:08:58.039
How Toyota did that one eighty with
one new CEO, because I mean,
951
01:08:58.079 --> 01:09:00.640
the founder was all CEO and president. He was like, we're not going
952
01:09:00.680 --> 01:09:02.960
full electric, We're keeping the hybrids. It works well, we'll slowly get
953
01:09:02.960 --> 01:09:06.560
into electric. Yep. He retires
a month later. Okay, we're going
954
01:09:06.600 --> 01:09:10.640
all electric and that's all. I'll
tell you what crazy. My prediction for
955
01:09:10.720 --> 01:09:15.359
twenty twenty four is that EV sales
will underperform and hybrid sales will all perform
956
01:09:15.560 --> 01:09:18.479
because interest rates won't go down as
much, so people can't make evs affordable,
957
01:09:18.720 --> 01:09:23.039
and that's been the real problem with
EV sales growth going forward, is
958
01:09:23.079 --> 01:09:26.520
that affordability issue. So I think
people are not really looking at that.
959
01:09:26.640 --> 01:09:30.920
Like there's obviously increased interest I don't
think that will slow down the increased ability
960
01:09:30.079 --> 01:09:33.640
to buy that car will go down
because of interest rates, saying and not
961
01:09:33.680 --> 01:09:36.640
going down as fas as people expect. People don't have the savings they used
962
01:09:36.640 --> 01:09:40.399
to have. People already have a
new car if they wanted a new car
963
01:09:40.439 --> 01:09:43.920
in the last three years. It
just doesn't seem like a good setup for
964
01:09:44.319 --> 01:09:47.800
real big sales growth in EVS when
you can get the alternative hybrid for a
965
01:09:47.880 --> 01:09:53.199
cheaper The other thing is is it's
a matter of numbers too. Like you
966
01:09:53.279 --> 01:09:56.359
go from one to two, that's
one hundred percent increase. Right, you
967
01:09:56.439 --> 01:09:59.640
go from two to three, that's
a fifty percent increase. You got three
968
01:09:59.680 --> 01:10:02.560
to four, that's a thirty three
percent increase. So when you hear about
969
01:10:02.880 --> 01:10:09.000
sales the growth of EV slowing,
that's what's happening here over here. It's
970
01:10:09.079 --> 01:10:11.479
yeah, it's here over ear.
This is going to be the number one
971
01:10:11.520 --> 01:10:15.239
year for EV sales ever in history. Uh So, slowing percentage wise,
972
01:10:15.319 --> 01:10:18.359
Absolutely, you can't grow you know, one to two, two to three
973
01:10:18.399 --> 01:10:23.199
two the example I used. You
can only go so far, and then
974
01:10:23.319 --> 01:10:26.239
then the numbers start to get smaller. And I think that's what Dean was
975
01:10:26.279 --> 01:10:30.239
saying a little bit about the growth
of companies like Microsoft and Apple and and
976
01:10:30.359 --> 01:10:36.119
Vidia. Eventually the numbers get so
big it's hard to keep them the growth
977
01:10:36.479 --> 01:10:40.840
to pivot into different directions. And
I think that's what Apple has done a
978
01:10:40.880 --> 01:10:44.159
really good job of just bringing new
ideas to the table, which you didn't
979
01:10:44.159 --> 01:10:47.359
think they would. They've done a
spectacular job. Yeah, their VR Virtual
980
01:10:47.399 --> 01:10:50.439
Reality had said it looks amazing compared
to the oculus and stuff. And the
981
01:10:50.479 --> 01:10:54.560
craziest thing about those companies they have
so much dry powder that if you have
982
01:10:54.640 --> 01:10:57.720
one of those teenagers that thing talked
about that makes a really cool product,
983
01:10:57.720 --> 01:11:00.720
they just buy them out. You
know, We've seen it so often Microsoft
984
01:11:00.800 --> 01:11:05.560
Chat GBT right, you know.
So Apple's kind of the high tech version
985
01:11:05.600 --> 01:11:12.119
of Amazon. Right, so much
cash, especially in the lawyers and stuff
986
01:11:12.119 --> 01:11:15.640
that when they get the anti treasdent
like the pretty much trying to monopolize things,
987
01:11:15.640 --> 01:11:17.119
they just got to lawsuits buy it
anyways, and then it's over.
988
01:11:17.640 --> 01:11:20.279
They have so much cash on the
side to do that stuff. Yeah,
989
01:11:20.279 --> 01:11:25.000
we talked a little bit about Rivian. You know, Stifle initiated coverage of
990
01:11:25.039 --> 01:11:29.880
them last week with a buy rating. This Investment Banks thinks industry headwinds will
991
01:11:29.880 --> 01:11:32.079
abate over the next few years,
they pointed out, and I'd forgotten about
992
01:11:32.079 --> 01:11:39.640
this. Amazon has agreed to buy
ten thousand Rivian vehicles I'm assuming to pick
993
01:11:39.720 --> 01:11:44.199
up. No, No, it's
it's delivery tru delivery truck. It's actually
994
01:11:44.239 --> 01:11:45.560
Rivian makes something we don't see on
the road right now. Well, you
995
01:11:45.600 --> 01:11:48.920
see with Amazon trucks, you know
those Amazon delivery trucks, it's like that.
996
01:11:49.039 --> 01:11:51.000
But for Rivian, they're going to
buy those. Okay, I don't
997
01:11:51.039 --> 01:11:54.840
think I've ever seen a Rivian van
of any that's what they're buying though,
998
01:11:54.920 --> 01:11:57.800
But that's what's not making up truck. They're making it for deliveries. Must
999
01:11:57.800 --> 01:12:00.960
be making it for Amazon, and
they are. That's why we haven't seen
1000
01:12:00.000 --> 01:12:02.319
it yet, I think. So. Anyway, we're coming to the end
1001
01:12:02.359 --> 01:12:06.319
of the fourth segment. We'll be
coming back. We've got Jonathan coming I
1002
01:12:06.319 --> 01:12:10.720
think in the last segment, and
we appreciate your joining us. On this
1003
01:12:10.880 --> 01:12:13.960
Sunday morning. Without you, this
whole thing's kind of windless. Well,
1004
01:12:13.960 --> 01:12:26.960
thank you, doctor. You're doing
say it's only a man. Welcome back.
1005
01:12:26.960 --> 01:12:29.239
You're listening to the Money Matter Show. I'm Dylan Greenberg. I'm here
1006
01:12:29.279 --> 01:12:31.520
with talk Lick, Sebastian Borsini,
and we got our constant guest on,
1007
01:12:31.640 --> 01:12:35.640
Jonathan Sibilia, our state attorney.
How you doing. What's happening guys,
1008
01:12:35.800 --> 01:12:42.079
Well, let's talk about today.
Yeah, absolutely, how you've been been
1009
01:12:42.079 --> 01:12:44.720
good? Doing good? You gotta
talk a little closer into the mic.
1010
01:12:44.760 --> 01:12:46.399
I know this is this isn't even
your first time. Well, it's a
1011
01:12:46.399 --> 01:12:51.319
new seat. So Dave got up
and walked away type of Micright, So
1012
01:12:51.319 --> 01:12:53.920
what you got for us today?
Well, I wasn't ask you. What
1013
01:12:53.920 --> 01:12:56.880
would you guys do if you want
to lottery? What was the first thing
1014
01:12:56.920 --> 01:12:59.239
you would do? Well? How
much money? Yeah? How much money
1015
01:12:59.279 --> 01:13:00.720
is it? Okay? Good question. Well let's just say it's a million.
1016
01:13:01.079 --> 01:13:03.520
It's a million, that's not a
lot Okay, how about ten million?
1017
01:13:03.640 --> 01:13:05.640
Okay, take a million to do
this is something fun with it,
1018
01:13:05.680 --> 01:13:10.560
and then put nine million in different
things, investments in annuity for later on.
1019
01:13:10.640 --> 01:13:13.560
That's the first thing you would do. I put ten million for fun,
1020
01:13:14.359 --> 01:13:16.479
I put ten million. I probably
buy a thirty year government because that's
1021
01:13:16.520 --> 01:13:20.159
four percent right now, and then
I can get four percent off ten million,
1022
01:13:20.199 --> 01:13:24.119
which is four hundred thousand dollars a
year, and I'll just live off
1023
01:13:24.159 --> 01:13:28.000
four thousand dollars a year and never
touch my principal. How about you,
1024
01:13:28.000 --> 01:13:31.399
Sebastiana's not going to be ten mil. I'm buying tickets to the univers On
1025
01:13:31.479 --> 01:13:39.000
a versus Wisconsin game tomorrow. Get
wipe clean after that, right, okay,
1026
01:13:39.000 --> 01:13:40.960
But if you get ten mills,
what I'm saying, is it that
1027
01:13:41.079 --> 01:13:45.319
ten million or a gross ten million? You're asking wrong people this. You
1028
01:13:45.319 --> 01:13:46.880
guys are starting to confuse me a
little bit. To make this a simple
1029
01:13:47.000 --> 01:13:51.319
question may be a little fun.
I'm about to build my financial plan right
1030
01:13:51.319 --> 01:13:57.319
now. You'll pull up the planning
tool. How about post tax ten million,
1031
01:13:57.439 --> 01:13:59.960
post tax ten mill? Yeah?
Yeah, take a million to go
1032
01:14:00.039 --> 01:14:01.600
have fun and then putt nine million
in loo at thirty year bonner in nudy.
1033
01:14:01.640 --> 01:14:04.039
What kind of fun would you do
with it? I don't even know
1034
01:14:04.079 --> 01:14:08.600
yet. You don't know Vegas,
Dad, do something for Vegas. Yeah,
1035
01:14:08.640 --> 01:14:12.439
I probably put two hundred and fifty
thousand dollars on black. Hopefully,
1036
01:14:12.720 --> 01:14:14.880
hopefully it doubles. I want to
at least stand it the whole way.
1037
01:14:14.920 --> 01:14:15.880
If I lose, I don't want
to put it, never going to gamble
1038
01:14:15.960 --> 01:14:18.439
again. If I win, you's
gotta have fun with self lifelong. You
1039
01:14:18.479 --> 01:14:20.920
want to put the majority and something
smart that will help you later on it
1040
01:14:21.039 --> 01:14:25.039
last. You don't just blow through
it in three years because you buy ten
1041
01:14:25.079 --> 01:14:27.720
cars, two houses. Divvy it
up a little bit, right, Yeah,
1042
01:14:27.720 --> 01:14:29.840
you don't want to put on black
and then head home from the from
1043
01:14:29.880 --> 01:14:31.199
got enjoy you win the lot You
got enjoy a little bit, all right,
1044
01:14:31.199 --> 01:14:33.239
the majority and smart things. But
what did you do is in a
1045
01:14:33.279 --> 01:14:35.199
state point, Yeah, we win
lottery. What do we do with it?
1046
01:14:35.239 --> 01:14:38.239
Well, you know, I look
at I look at the winning the
1047
01:14:38.279 --> 01:14:40.840
lottery. Sometimes it is getting in
inheritance. You know, it's not always
1048
01:14:40.920 --> 01:14:45.159
nice that your parents or somebody close
you passes away and you come to all
1049
01:14:45.199 --> 01:14:46.039
this money. But the first thing
you need to do is just like I
1050
01:14:46.119 --> 01:14:49.520
kind of take a step back,
right, you know, don't go out
1051
01:14:49.520 --> 01:14:54.760
and go crazy. You know,
you hear all these horror stories, but
1052
01:14:54.880 --> 01:14:57.439
you want to like just sit there
and like reflect. Okay, here's what's
1053
01:14:57.479 --> 01:15:00.119
happening. Here's what I didn't have, and here's what I want, and
1054
01:15:00.119 --> 01:15:02.279
here's what I want to do with
it, right, you know? Uh?
1055
01:15:02.319 --> 01:15:05.640
And then the next thing to do
call your financial planner? Right?
1056
01:15:05.720 --> 01:15:12.239
You come into it Hard's right,
because I came into some money about thirty
1057
01:15:12.279 --> 01:15:16.000
thousand dollars that I wasn't expecting a
while back. And the first thing I
1058
01:15:16.000 --> 01:15:18.479
want to do is buy car.
My wife stopped me and she says,
1059
01:15:18.520 --> 01:15:20.880
no, let's buy a house.
And that's exactly what we did. And
1060
01:15:20.920 --> 01:15:24.520
that thirty thousand dollars, you know, I bought at the right time,
1061
01:15:24.600 --> 01:15:28.439
turn into a couple of hundred thousand
dollars. Right. So the first thing
1062
01:15:28.479 --> 01:15:30.760
you want to do is what reach
out your final financial planners? You guys
1063
01:15:30.760 --> 01:15:33.880
failed, you know, because you
want to party with Wait wait wait,
1064
01:15:33.960 --> 01:15:36.840
I said, financial plan take up? I said, I was building my
1065
01:15:36.920 --> 01:15:40.800
financial plan, so I said take
a portion and put the majority of it.
1066
01:15:40.920 --> 01:15:44.119
And secondly, we are the planners, so we're talking to ourselves already.
1067
01:15:44.239 --> 01:15:45.640
I know you guys should be a
better teacher. I'm going to reach
1068
01:15:45.640 --> 01:15:51.119
out to Todd. I don't even
know what to do. What do well?
1069
01:15:51.239 --> 01:15:54.359
If you do need a financial plan
because it's just one of a lottery
1070
01:15:54.600 --> 01:15:56.680
that is a smart thing, Well, definitely don't put it on black,
1071
01:15:56.840 --> 01:16:00.000
right, not all of it.
We would Uh, anyone listening with just
1072
01:16:00.039 --> 01:16:03.279
won the lottery, it's going to
give you a free financial plan. It
1073
01:16:03.399 --> 01:16:06.159
just like we give everyone a free
financial plan, is it? Because I
1074
01:16:06.159 --> 01:16:09.960
mean you come into ten million dollars
as gross and you get that money and
1075
01:16:10.000 --> 01:16:12.600
you're thirty years old. That changes
your entire life and you can make it
1076
01:16:12.680 --> 01:16:15.600
last your entire life if you are
smart with it. If you go blow
1077
01:16:15.640 --> 01:16:17.880
it ten million on black in Vegas, you're back to where you were.
1078
01:16:17.920 --> 01:16:21.359
You could have a life changing event
with this lottery and it could really change
1079
01:16:21.359 --> 01:16:25.000
you for the next thirty thirty,
five sixty years. Yeah, and that's
1080
01:16:25.039 --> 01:16:28.079
even if you inherited two hundred thousand
dollars, three hundred thousand dollars, four
1081
01:16:28.159 --> 01:16:30.239
hundred thousand dollars. If you got
that kind of money, you know,
1082
01:16:30.279 --> 01:16:33.800
the first people you should speak to
is your state planner and your financial planner.
1083
01:16:33.880 --> 01:16:36.279
Yep. And like what we can
do with that is a financial plan
1084
01:16:36.279 --> 01:16:40.800
where it can show you what different
scenarios would work and show you how it
1085
01:16:40.800 --> 01:16:45.479
would work if you say you put
it into just a regular taxtuble account because
1086
01:16:45.479 --> 01:16:46.760
you inherited it, show you how
that grows. What if you put it
1087
01:16:46.760 --> 01:16:49.239
an annuity and look for income later
down in life. What if you do
1088
01:16:49.239 --> 01:16:53.439
some life insurance because you've got a
young family. It's different avenues like that
1089
01:16:53.439 --> 01:16:56.199
that you could look at with the
money you came into. But you also
1090
01:16:56.319 --> 01:16:59.399
in a sense act like a lot
of it's not there, yeah there before.
1091
01:16:59.439 --> 01:17:00.520
If it's a large some of money, obviously it's going to impact your
1092
01:17:00.560 --> 01:17:03.439
lifestyle and may probably make it better. So that will show up and expenses.
1093
01:17:03.680 --> 01:17:05.720
So what you have to do is
go to your plan and put a
1094
01:17:05.800 --> 01:17:10.319
higher expense number with the extra assets. Doesn't make a difference. Does the
1095
01:17:10.359 --> 01:17:12.560
plan work? If it does,
cool, can we spend more? You
1096
01:17:12.560 --> 01:17:15.199
know, you're able to actually find
what's the maximum amount you can spend without
1097
01:17:15.439 --> 01:17:19.159
making a really bad plan. And
you can do that with software that we
1098
01:17:19.199 --> 01:17:23.319
have today in this world. So
that's why it's so beneficial. I'm gonna
1099
01:17:23.319 --> 01:17:27.279
imagine getting ten million dollars, you
know, fifty years ago, because you
1100
01:17:27.399 --> 01:17:30.560
really are just the knowledge that is
around you is what you have. There
1101
01:17:30.600 --> 01:17:31.439
was no internet, there well,
you know, there wasn't anything that you
1102
01:17:31.479 --> 01:17:34.840
could you go to the library.
I guess that's the most knowledge you could
1103
01:17:34.880 --> 01:17:39.720
get it afforded to you. So
now you have access and resources all around
1104
01:17:39.760 --> 01:17:43.439
you in terms of and really here
we have everything you need. Right.
1105
01:17:43.439 --> 01:17:46.039
We have the financial planners. You're
you're the estate planner. John helps them
1106
01:17:46.039 --> 01:17:48.640
with that, and we have you
know, tax planners if we need that
1107
01:17:48.760 --> 01:17:54.159
thing. So yeah, yeah,
so you know, and I so many
1108
01:17:54.159 --> 01:17:56.760
times that people that come into that
money and then they just blow it.
1109
01:17:56.760 --> 01:17:59.000
They do go to Vegas and they
do put it on black or they do
1110
01:17:59.640 --> 01:18:01.600
you know, so uh, you
know, people all around them, they
1111
01:18:01.600 --> 01:18:04.239
start you know, hitting you up
for money. Yeah, you know,
1112
01:18:04.279 --> 01:18:08.119
hey, can I borrow this?
Can I borrow that? So you you
1113
01:18:08.119 --> 01:18:11.359
definitely want to speak with you guys. Invest it. I'm gonna start a
1114
01:18:11.399 --> 01:18:14.439
business and it's gonna do great.
Sometimes the issue is too that like they
1115
01:18:14.479 --> 01:18:16.520
make say they win the lottery,
it's two hundred thousand dollars. All of
1116
01:18:16.560 --> 01:18:19.119
a sudden, their mindset is I
made two hundred thousand dollars this year,
1117
01:18:19.159 --> 01:18:23.920
that's gonna be forever. So they
start spending it on stuff that they can't
1118
01:18:23.920 --> 01:18:27.319
necessarily forward for five ten years,
like like you go buy a one hundred
1119
01:18:27.319 --> 01:18:30.479
thousand dollars car, but they couldn't
afford that prior to this lottery. They
1120
01:18:30.520 --> 01:18:32.640
bought it like they could for ten
years and that's what your payment whatever.
1121
01:18:32.680 --> 01:18:34.560
And that's what I think is going
on with the economy right now, is
1122
01:18:34.600 --> 01:18:38.840
you know, so many people had
the people had all this money for so
1123
01:18:39.079 --> 01:18:42.600
long, and now they're still spending
as though they have it, and they're
1124
01:18:42.680 --> 01:18:45.920
driving up credit card fees, credit
card debt all time high every month.
1125
01:18:45.000 --> 01:18:48.319
The last few months, you got, savings are draining. It's the doom
1126
01:18:48.399 --> 01:18:54.199
day doom days spending. It's the
idea that these people think they have the
1127
01:18:54.239 --> 01:18:58.600
money available because they just came off
a period of time where savings rates were
1128
01:18:58.600 --> 01:19:02.439
at the highest they've ever been because
why people were getting sent money that they
1129
01:19:02.520 --> 01:19:05.880
didn't work for. Obviously, most
people just save that because I never I
1130
01:19:05.880 --> 01:19:10.319
didn't need in the first place.
So you know, cash levels were at
1131
01:19:10.359 --> 01:19:14.039
all time high for households. They're
back down to pre pandemic levels now.
1132
01:19:14.199 --> 01:19:16.279
But you're right, Joan, people
are still spending like they're in the pandemic,
1133
01:19:16.359 --> 01:19:19.920
getting those you know, stimulus checks, and they're using it on their
1134
01:19:19.920 --> 01:19:24.239
credit card because they're not getting stimulus
checks, right, and then we're seeing
1135
01:19:24.279 --> 01:19:29.800
delinquency, you know, increase because
rates increasing trying those credit card rates are
1136
01:19:30.239 --> 01:19:32.600
they're getting crazy, they're getting crazy. Sent at the highest average twenty five.
1137
01:19:33.520 --> 01:19:35.920
Seen a lot. Yeah, bankruptcy
tourneys going to be in. The
1138
01:19:36.000 --> 01:19:41.119
other interesting thing you were you bringing
up was you know chat GBT and how
1139
01:19:41.159 --> 01:19:45.279
that's kind of trying to disrupt the
estate planning world and maybe failing it trying
1140
01:19:45.319 --> 01:19:48.840
to do So what what kind of
some of the stories you've been hearing in
1141
01:19:48.840 --> 01:19:55.000
that space. Well, you know, the area of the line man is
1142
01:19:55.079 --> 01:19:58.960
very state specific. Okay, so
I mean outside the tax that's federal,
1143
01:19:59.000 --> 01:20:01.840
but you know when it the you
know, wills, trusts, probate,
1144
01:20:01.960 --> 01:20:08.479
that's all states specific. So everybody's
in every state's got thrown law. And
1145
01:20:09.439 --> 01:20:13.119
what's happening now is that people are
trying to avoid having to spend any money
1146
01:20:13.119 --> 01:20:16.640
on attorneys or or you know,
at least consult with one, right,
1147
01:20:16.720 --> 01:20:19.840
and so there is all these diys. So they got to chat GBT,
1148
01:20:20.000 --> 01:20:26.359
which is pretty incredible software. But
you know, uh, I was reading
1149
01:20:26.359 --> 01:20:29.880
a blog or an article recently they
were saying that somebody said, creat a
1150
01:20:29.920 --> 01:20:32.159
will for me for all fifty states, and they created fifty wills, and
1151
01:20:32.159 --> 01:20:38.600
they were basically identical. Can't have
that, okay, And one, if
1152
01:20:38.640 --> 01:20:41.720
you have too many mistakes, or
if you have one mistake, that will
1153
01:20:41.800 --> 01:20:43.960
is going to get thrown out and
we're going to probate, or well you'll
1154
01:20:44.000 --> 01:20:47.079
probably be in probate. But now
you know we're causing problems. Let's say
1155
01:20:47.079 --> 01:20:50.479
you wanted everything to go to you
know, your cousin sal and not to
1156
01:20:51.199 --> 01:20:56.199
ant Loretta. Well you're kind of
in a little bit of trouble because if
1157
01:20:56.199 --> 01:20:59.920
the will gets thrown out, we're
going we're having to follow what's called intestases
1158
01:21:00.359 --> 01:21:05.880
statute, and that basically means is
the closest closest air to you will inherit
1159
01:21:05.920 --> 01:21:10.760
everything and you no longer have a
will that will stand up in court.
1160
01:21:11.159 --> 01:21:15.399
So long story short, you know, DIY is not always a good thing
1161
01:21:15.479 --> 01:21:18.520
because if you want to avoid spending
two fifty to five hundred dollars on a
1162
01:21:18.560 --> 01:21:25.800
will, you may cause all sorts
of ruckus after you pass away. Their
1163
01:21:25.840 --> 01:21:29.680
beneficiary is an off officially fighting and
something that could have been avoided by spending
1164
01:21:29.720 --> 01:21:32.600
five hundred, now you're spending five, ten, fifteen thousand dollars turning fees.
1165
01:21:33.079 --> 01:21:35.279
Yeah, I mean it's tough on
people trying to think that it's just
1166
01:21:35.359 --> 01:21:39.359
a piece of paper that you're paying
for. But at the end of the
1167
01:21:39.439 --> 01:21:42.279
day, it's just like a financial
plan. Yeah, sure, it's printed
1168
01:21:42.279 --> 01:21:44.439
on a piece of paper, but
it's so much more than that. It's
1169
01:21:44.439 --> 01:21:46.640
the conversations you had with the client
beforehand. What are your values, what
1170
01:21:46.680 --> 01:21:50.600
are your visions for what the next
generation is going to do with this money,
1171
01:21:50.640 --> 01:21:55.319
and how they're going to inherit it. That is really what the piece
1172
01:21:55.319 --> 01:21:59.079
of paper you're paying for. That's
how it goes so much deeper. You
1173
01:21:59.079 --> 01:22:00.119
know, the same thing in ours
the financial plan. Yeah, if you
1174
01:22:00.159 --> 01:22:02.560
just look at the financial plan,
you know it's not a lot. But
1175
01:22:02.600 --> 01:22:06.600
if you realize everything that we just
went through and covered and and you know,
1176
01:22:06.680 --> 01:22:10.680
the peace of mind that we instilled
in our clients by doing so,
1177
01:22:11.399 --> 01:22:15.399
that's worth way more than you could
ever describe. So it's it's really important
1178
01:22:15.439 --> 01:22:20.159
for people to understand that a piece
of paper in a state planning isn't just
1179
01:22:20.279 --> 01:22:27.039
a piece of paper, right,
Oh, absolutely, And you know when
1180
01:22:27.039 --> 01:22:30.960
you come to an attorney. You
we sell our time and our knowledge and
1181
01:22:31.239 --> 01:22:34.640
you know, it's it's something that
we've developed. And you know, there's
1182
01:22:34.720 --> 01:22:38.680
a lot of things that change yearly. You know, the laws change in
1183
01:22:38.680 --> 01:22:42.560
Arizona every year when it comes to
wills and what's available and what's not.
1184
01:22:42.760 --> 01:22:45.239
And you know, uh, if
you know with the state bars attorneys,
1185
01:22:45.239 --> 01:22:51.560
we get offered from the state Bar
updates to the probate manuals because there's updates
1186
01:22:51.600 --> 01:22:57.680
every year. And if you make
a mistake or you know, it could
1187
01:22:58.800 --> 01:23:01.880
delay distribute. And I'll tell you
right now from my experience, one of
1188
01:23:01.920 --> 01:23:05.560
the worst things you can do is
delay a distribution to the beneficiary because then
1189
01:23:05.560 --> 01:23:12.119
they're lawyering up and now everybody's it's
costing everybody money. Yeah, well,
1190
01:23:12.159 --> 01:23:14.520
we're run out of time. But
I wanted to bring up one point because
1191
01:23:14.880 --> 01:23:17.560
this question came up today in a
financial planning meaning about state planning. How
1192
01:23:18.239 --> 01:23:21.359
if you had a spouse that you
know, you've developed a trust, the
1193
01:23:21.399 --> 01:23:26.359
spouse passed away, and now you
have the home that you have, should
1194
01:23:26.399 --> 01:23:29.520
you have the spouse to pass away
taking off the deed, how does that
1195
01:23:29.560 --> 01:23:31.319
go about if the if it's already
in the trust. This is not needed
1196
01:23:31.319 --> 01:23:35.680
to be done. So how does
that work for people who in Arizona.
1197
01:23:35.840 --> 01:23:39.920
Yeah, the quick and easy way
of doing it would be, you know,
1198
01:23:40.560 --> 01:23:45.279
if they're on the deed, we
would do basically, you know,
1199
01:23:45.319 --> 01:23:50.359
you file the the certificate with the
Recorder's office and then a renunciation basically you
1200
01:23:50.399 --> 01:23:55.680
know, taking you know, updating
the certificate of trust, just saying okay,
1201
01:23:55.720 --> 01:24:00.840
this the spouse passed away, uh, the surviving spouse basically soul trustee
1202
01:24:00.960 --> 01:24:04.039
okay. And then there's another other
document that we would record as well,
1203
01:24:04.199 --> 01:24:11.039
not record, excuse me, but
prepare uh, basically the sole trustee assuming
1204
01:24:11.039 --> 01:24:15.159
their rights. Okay. Uh.
There is a little bit of logistics there.
1205
01:24:15.199 --> 01:24:19.479
However, it's as simple as that
recording the you know, if you
1206
01:24:20.199 --> 01:24:24.079
have to trustees on the deed,
the first thing you would probably want to
1207
01:24:24.119 --> 01:24:28.680
do is record record a death certificate
with the Recorder's office. All right,
1208
01:24:28.760 --> 01:24:31.359
well, John, we appreciate your
time and look forward to having on the
1209
01:24:31.359 --> 01:24:34.319
show again. As we always say, if you want to get in contact
1210
01:24:34.319 --> 01:24:36.439
with John, feel free to give
us a call out this office five two
1211
01:24:36.520 --> 01:24:40.520
zero five four four four nine zero
nine. If you ever want a free
1212
01:24:40.520 --> 01:24:43.760
financial plan as well. Give us
a call. Yep, give a call.
1213
01:24:43.840 --> 01:24:47.640
We'll be back for the final segment
of The Moneybatter Show. Say it's
1214
01:24:47.720 --> 01:25:00.359
only a name. Welcome back to
the Money Matter Show. My name is
1215
01:25:00.359 --> 01:25:02.640
Toug Lick. I'm here with Dean
Greenberg, Dave Sherwood, and Dylan Greenberg.
1216
01:25:02.760 --> 01:25:06.760
Just so everyone is aware, we
do have that Federal Employee seminar coming
1217
01:25:06.880 --> 01:25:13.520
up on the thirteenth on the Wednesday. There are very limited seats available at
1218
01:25:13.520 --> 01:25:15.520
this point, so if you want
to have it, if you want to
1219
01:25:15.520 --> 01:25:17.680
try to sign up, go to
our website. You can go to the
1220
01:25:17.680 --> 01:25:20.800
Federal Employees page on our website and
you've got the bottom of the page.
1221
01:25:21.039 --> 01:25:26.239
Click reditor now gets you directed directly
to the event bright site where you will
1222
01:25:26.279 --> 01:25:29.239
have all the information about the event
and you can sign up there. And
1223
01:25:29.279 --> 01:25:31.239
it's a seminar for federal employees getting
ready to retire, probably within the next
1224
01:25:31.239 --> 01:25:34.600
ten years or so. It goes
through everything that has to do with your
1225
01:25:34.600 --> 01:25:40.479
retirement in depth and comes in with
a free financial plan as well afterwards to
1226
01:25:40.560 --> 01:25:44.039
incorporate those benefits into the plan and
show how it will bridge your income gap
1227
01:25:44.119 --> 01:25:47.199
through retirement as well. With social
Security and other things like that. Well
1228
01:25:47.279 --> 01:25:50.399
you sound so enthusiastic. Well,
thank you. You know, this thing
1229
01:25:50.479 --> 01:25:55.720
is really great. They get a
day off, they get lunch, they
1230
01:25:55.720 --> 01:26:00.760
get all this information and guess what
they learned how to get into retirement stretch
1231
01:26:00.840 --> 01:26:04.439
free and not ever have to worry
about it. Yep, when you find
1232
01:26:04.439 --> 01:26:08.880
somebody in from Texas or Louisiana,
Louisiana, I mean, come on,
1233
01:26:08.920 --> 01:26:12.399
he's done these seminars all over the
country, helped thousands of federal employees get
1234
01:26:12.439 --> 01:26:15.359
ready for retirement, to help them
know what their options are. There's a
1235
01:26:15.359 --> 01:26:20.239
lot like the Greenberg tavern is putting
out the last call, right, Yeah,
1236
01:26:21.000 --> 01:26:24.840
I mean it's three days from now. Yeah, it's pretty much pretty
1237
01:26:24.880 --> 01:26:27.520
much three days from now, it's
gonna be over. Yeah, you know
1238
01:26:27.560 --> 01:26:31.520
that. There's an interesting chari I
saw where it's said chapter eleven bankruptcy filings
1239
01:26:31.520 --> 01:26:35.720
at the highest level since twenty ten. That's a funny ten. That's a
1240
01:26:35.760 --> 01:26:40.159
silence stat you ever heard? Wow, do you think that'd be on the
1241
01:26:40.359 --> 01:26:45.239
on the news? And the companies
that are on borderline companies borderline companies to
1242
01:26:45.319 --> 01:26:48.319
be on Okay, so I got
wait for your phases us companies that are
1243
01:26:48.319 --> 01:26:54.079
on the on the border of bankruptcy
is at the highest level as well that
1244
01:26:54.079 --> 01:26:57.520
we've ever seen. Get these numbers, well, this specific one is from
1245
01:26:57.560 --> 01:27:01.880
Bloomberg Opinion. The previous one,
we got booming title loans. We got
1246
01:27:01.920 --> 01:27:08.199
booming Pond store. We got Campbell
soup stock rallying Campbell soup stock is usually
1247
01:27:08.279 --> 01:27:12.760
you're signed that there's there's trouble in
the watch. The market outlook is a
1248
01:27:12.960 --> 01:27:17.159
good one. That's everything's global sales
growth is slowing again. So if you
1249
01:27:17.199 --> 01:27:19.720
just look at America, you might
see goldilocks, but if you look at
1250
01:27:19.720 --> 01:27:24.039
the world, you don't. No, that's that's true, and that's probably
1251
01:27:24.079 --> 01:27:29.119
why he still feels he's not cutting
interest rates right now, but the markets
1252
01:27:29.159 --> 01:27:31.600
think he has to. Maybe the
markets feel he's going to be a problem.
1253
01:27:31.680 --> 01:27:35.479
Then Powell doesn't think there's going to
be a problem. Yeah, you
1254
01:27:35.520 --> 01:27:39.800
see that in the Pond market.
It's just it's so hard to understand why
1255
01:27:39.840 --> 01:27:43.920
stocks continue to rally higher, but
they do. I mean, they forget
1256
01:27:43.920 --> 01:27:45.600
there's a war going on right at
least. I mean, I guess there's
1257
01:27:45.640 --> 01:27:48.399
still a wall going on in the
Ukraine because they keep asking for more money
1258
01:27:49.279 --> 01:27:54.279
You almost wonder if these wars get
set up and then we give them money
1259
01:27:54.319 --> 01:27:57.479
and then the money comes back to
Well, it's a really interesting hard line
1260
01:27:57.520 --> 01:28:00.199
stand that the Republicans put in this
week where they said, no, we're
1261
01:28:00.199 --> 01:28:01.600
not gonna do any more funding for
Ukraine if we don't have a border plan
1262
01:28:01.880 --> 01:28:04.600
right, And that was the first
time they really stood up and said no,
1263
01:28:04.720 --> 01:28:06.840
we're not doing this. Bide In
through a fit. He says,
1264
01:28:06.880 --> 01:28:10.880
you guys, you don't realize how
the bad, the dire problem in Ukraine
1265
01:28:10.960 --> 01:28:13.760
is. You need to get this
passed. And the Republicans just stink firm.
1266
01:28:13.840 --> 01:28:16.279
Well, because people are the same. Listen, you tell us we
1267
01:28:16.359 --> 01:28:20.279
got to help save the people of
Ukraine, but you're not helping to saving
1268
01:28:20.359 --> 01:28:26.319
people of America. We need to
we need to protect America just like we
1269
01:28:26.399 --> 01:28:30.880
got to protect Ukraine. Don't talk
about protecting another country until you protect that
1270
01:28:31.079 --> 01:28:34.479
was. You know what's crazy is
that we're still trying to help Ukraine in
1271
01:28:34.479 --> 01:28:39.159
the Ukraine Civil War and Putin's getting
nominated for Time Person of the Year.
1272
01:28:39.680 --> 01:28:42.239
Is that unbelievable? What he was, Oh, you didn't know that.
1273
01:28:42.319 --> 01:28:46.399
I didn't, Taylor Swift, I
don't even think about time Joe. It
1274
01:28:46.439 --> 01:28:53.520
was like a spoof. It was
Taylor Swift, Trump's prosecutors. Yeah,
1275
01:28:55.079 --> 01:29:00.760
how you say his name from China
and putin Hollywood Strikers. Those were the
1276
01:29:00.760 --> 01:29:09.920
nominees, Taylor Swift one that gunness. I mean, I don't think necesily
1277
01:29:10.319 --> 01:29:14.520
gave it to Taylor Swift. I
don't think personally here always means like it's
1278
01:29:14.560 --> 01:29:17.439
the best person of the year.
I think it's like it's the most influential
1279
01:29:17.479 --> 01:29:21.039
person. But it kind of implies
important. How would you, Yeah,
1280
01:29:21.039 --> 01:29:25.479
why would you put Trump on there? It's pretty influential, of course that
1281
01:29:25.520 --> 01:29:28.760
they put Trump's prosecutors on there.
Of course that's what they put on there.
1282
01:29:29.399 --> 01:29:31.760
It is more of the most influential. It might be just like you're
1283
01:29:31.800 --> 01:29:34.800
in the news a lot, and
I'm kind of thing, I'm kind of
1284
01:29:34.800 --> 01:29:38.920
thinking that the war in Ukraine and
the war in Israel's over because I'm watching
1285
01:29:38.920 --> 01:29:42.279
the Trump News Network and they're not
talking about it anymore. They're talking about
1286
01:29:42.279 --> 01:29:47.880
Trump News Network, the CNN right
then trying to do is just Trump Now.
1287
01:29:47.920 --> 01:29:50.119
They're trying to go back and rip
them apart, and you know,
1288
01:29:50.279 --> 01:29:54.840
and and everything else, and it's
not gonna happen. Guys. The bottom
1289
01:29:54.880 --> 01:29:58.560
line is is that America will be
in big trouble if these numbers stay the
1290
01:29:58.560 --> 01:30:01.520
way they are. And so how
bidenm wins the election? Oh my goodness.
1291
01:30:01.640 --> 01:30:04.439
Yeah, I won't stand for it. I don't care what people want
1292
01:30:04.479 --> 01:30:08.359
to call me next time. I
will not say that. It was so
1293
01:30:08.399 --> 01:30:11.279
funny. I was listening on this
on CBS. They come out with a
1294
01:30:11.319 --> 01:30:15.680
report saying in Georgia, the presidential
race was won by twelve thousand votes,
1295
01:30:16.039 --> 01:30:24.239
and of the I guess claims that
the voter that the votes that were used
1296
01:30:24.359 --> 01:30:27.880
to win were illegitimate. They looked
back on it and they said only twelve
1297
01:30:27.920 --> 01:30:31.560
thousand were found to be illegitimate.
You know, that's about what took to
1298
01:30:31.560 --> 01:30:35.239
win it. So what, But
it is funny. As we look at
1299
01:30:35.239 --> 01:30:39.600
the economy, there's companies in the
same business that are doing well and some
1300
01:30:39.800 --> 01:30:42.960
doing poorly. Right, depends on
how your managed that. I saw a
1301
01:30:43.079 --> 01:30:47.600
report on Friday that restoration hardware they
now call it our h right, a
1302
01:30:47.680 --> 01:30:55.319
luxury furniture store dropped to excuse me, was was down to five percent excuse
1303
01:30:55.319 --> 01:31:00.000
me, up five percent for this
year versus Williams Sonoma. That's up,
1304
01:31:00.159 --> 01:31:04.520
which is Pottery barn It's seventy four
percent this year the stock and five percent
1305
01:31:04.600 --> 01:31:11.560
and RNH was down fourteen percent on
Friday after they missed the third quarter and
1306
01:31:11.640 --> 01:31:17.720
made cautious comments. This is after
Williams Sonoma similar business right produced a great
1307
01:31:17.800 --> 01:31:23.039
quarter and had positive comments. So
what's wrong with this picture? I could
1308
01:31:23.039 --> 01:31:25.319
see a couple of industries that are
doing that. We talked about the evs,
1309
01:31:25.359 --> 01:31:29.039
the hybrid and absolutely you know companies
with more cash or not cash,
1310
01:31:29.239 --> 01:31:31.119
you know how much they're able to
do developments in R and R and things
1311
01:31:31.199 --> 01:31:35.239
like that. So yeah, it's
a very interesting company struggling and other companies
1312
01:31:35.279 --> 01:31:39.800
doing well in the same in the
same darn industry. About how about this
1313
01:31:39.840 --> 01:31:45.560
week you of A wanting to raise
ticket prices on basketball and football twenty five
1314
01:31:45.600 --> 01:31:49.439
percent to pay for their mess up? Yeah, that is not the way
1315
01:31:49.439 --> 01:31:53.079
you do it. Now. It's
just hard to understand. I have no
1316
01:31:53.199 --> 01:31:58.479
problems giving more money to football and
basketball as long as it stays with football
1317
01:31:58.520 --> 01:32:04.439
and basketball. Yeah, we do
not know they and really come clean on
1318
01:32:04.560 --> 01:32:10.359
where the two hundred million plus shortagees
come from. I mean, seriously,
1319
01:32:12.079 --> 01:32:15.479
our tax dollars go to these schools, the state universities. Okay, why
1320
01:32:15.560 --> 01:32:19.560
don't we know? Why isn't someone
accountable? Why isn't then why aren't they
1321
01:32:19.600 --> 01:32:25.800
doing some type of forensic accounting to
find out exactly how it happened, not
1322
01:32:25.920 --> 01:32:29.279
to blame someone so much as not
to happen to happen again, Well,
1323
01:32:29.279 --> 01:32:31.439
you have to have an audit.
Yeah, so what who did the audit?
1324
01:32:32.760 --> 01:32:35.840
I have no idea. Did they
have an audit? Why is it
1325
01:32:35.960 --> 01:32:39.840
that public? How do you get
in that kind of trouble when you have
1326
01:32:39.960 --> 01:32:42.760
that kind of revenue? I mean, these these are cash cows. Well
1327
01:32:42.760 --> 01:32:46.600
they're going to blame that years five
years that they messed up this whole allocated
1328
01:32:46.800 --> 01:32:50.840
much of the sports programs because I
thought they could. Wasn't just sports programs
1329
01:32:50.880 --> 01:32:54.600
other things as well? Was it? So they just they just didn't know
1330
01:32:54.640 --> 01:32:57.880
that they were spending forty five million
more than they could each year for five
1331
01:32:57.920 --> 01:33:00.279
years, So they essentially were spending
money they didn't have that They did it,
1332
01:33:00.359 --> 01:33:03.119
yeah, exactly in the final but
they weren't accounting for it. Well
1333
01:33:03.159 --> 01:33:06.039
it's yeah, so whoever's doing the
books was the one that needs to be
1334
01:33:06.079 --> 01:33:11.479
sued or the firm, the CPA
firm that did the audit, and they
1335
01:33:11.479 --> 01:33:15.760
didn't find the issue, that CPA
firm should be sued or somebody hiding it
1336
01:33:15.880 --> 01:33:16.960
not knowing it, you know what
I mean, who knows? Maybe did
1337
01:33:17.039 --> 01:33:19.880
someone make a mistake and they were
just not putting it down. They're getting
1338
01:33:19.880 --> 01:33:23.199
away with one or two years.
Now we can get rid of it away
1339
01:33:23.199 --> 01:33:26.920
with for three more years. But
before you start asking for more, come
1340
01:33:27.000 --> 01:33:30.560
clean on what happens so it doesn't
happen anymore. We got a top twenty
1341
01:33:30.640 --> 01:33:34.399
rated football team and then number one
rated basketball team, and we're gonna shut
1342
01:33:34.479 --> 01:33:38.479
down. Yeah, you got to
be. And that's why they're like,
1343
01:33:38.479 --> 01:33:41.039
hey, we can charge twenty five
ords per send. Nobody's gonna care.
1344
01:33:41.199 --> 01:33:44.119
Listen, they have to put more
money into the football program. I know
1345
01:33:44.199 --> 01:33:46.520
that, and pay more to the
basketball coach if you want to keep them
1346
01:33:46.720 --> 01:33:49.720
with the nil and everything else.
That's if you want to have it.
1347
01:33:49.920 --> 01:33:56.039
Now. My big question is,
Okay, is it more beneficial to get
1348
01:33:56.079 --> 01:33:59.640
that extra money and give it to
football and basketball that supports all the other
1349
01:33:59.680 --> 01:34:05.600
sports, or is it better going
ahead and and uh with that and shutting
1350
01:34:05.600 --> 01:34:09.760
down a lot of these programs that
are not making money. You're gonna have
1351
01:34:09.760 --> 01:34:13.720
a hard time doing that. Why
title nine, Well, I'm not talking
1352
01:34:13.760 --> 01:34:17.159
about sports programs. I'm talking about
classes we don't need. Well, the
1353
01:34:17.800 --> 01:34:20.560
reason I would say push back on
that, Dean, is a lot of
1354
01:34:20.640 --> 01:34:25.600
things that you will be researching will
not be lucrative. They're not going to
1355
01:34:25.680 --> 01:34:29.039
be valuable until years and years after. I mean if your research, I'm
1356
01:34:29.079 --> 01:34:31.600
talking about research, okay, And
a lot of those research people write grants.
1357
01:34:31.640 --> 01:34:34.720
We have clients that work at the
u of A that write grants and
1358
01:34:34.760 --> 01:34:42.720
get grants programs, right of course, I am. You know where where
1359
01:34:43.039 --> 01:34:46.520
they keep banning this stuff for what
reason? All right, while they're taking
1360
01:34:46.520 --> 01:34:50.279
money from the other people that don't
believe in those programs. There's a real
1361
01:34:50.359 --> 01:34:54.960
problem that's gonna happen, you know. And you know what's going to happen
1362
01:34:55.039 --> 01:34:59.199
is people that give money to those
the football and basketball, and it goes
1363
01:34:59.199 --> 01:35:00.600
to and they find out going to
other programs, they're not going to give
1364
01:35:00.600 --> 01:35:04.319
money anymore. They can't ask for
sports to pay for other stuff. Yeah,
1365
01:35:04.439 --> 01:35:09.199
they just can't run the sports department. Then by itself, they get
1366
01:35:09.840 --> 01:35:13.079
its own division, its own entity, and that's your big revenue producer at
1367
01:35:13.079 --> 01:35:16.520
the university is other than tuition,
is football and then basketball second. Yeah.
1368
01:35:16.640 --> 01:35:19.520
Yeah, the smartest thing to do
is take that twenty five percent make
1369
01:35:19.600 --> 01:35:23.520
you a better on the football and
basketball side. You bring even more money
1370
01:35:23.520 --> 01:35:27.239
in and use that money exactly.
Yeah. I will see how they do
1371
01:35:27.319 --> 01:35:30.680
with the Alima ball against Oklahoma.
Of all people, they might need to
1372
01:35:30.760 --> 01:35:33.760
hire someone from ASU Accounting or something. Well, there's funny people available because
1373
01:35:33.760 --> 01:35:36.279
they're leaving by the left and right. And I know a lot of people
1374
01:35:36.319 --> 01:35:40.880
say, don't get upset about this. When people are starting to stot not
1375
01:35:40.960 --> 01:35:45.399
playing in the bowl games because they're
worried about their NFL career, I understand
1376
01:35:45.399 --> 01:35:48.119
and I was full behind that before
they started getting paid. The NIL is
1377
01:35:48.239 --> 01:35:53.279
not paying these players to go play
for football well as a fan, as
1378
01:35:53.319 --> 01:35:57.960
a university and coaches that get rewarded
for bull victories. You need to step
1379
01:35:58.039 --> 01:36:00.199
up as a player. Now you're
an employee, you're getting paid. You're
1380
01:36:00.199 --> 01:36:03.640
an employee, you paying you play
in a bowl game. Because when you
1381
01:36:03.680 --> 01:36:06.920
make the NFL, then they'll say
I'm not gonna play in a bowl game.
1382
01:36:06.920 --> 01:36:10.399
But if I make the NFL,
I'm gonna go ahead and give you
1383
01:36:10.399 --> 01:36:14.399
a hundred thousand dollars back. How
about that? How about something giving back
1384
01:36:14.399 --> 01:36:18.920
to the fans and the school and
the coaches. How about something like that
1385
01:36:19.159 --> 01:36:23.720
rather than the fans doing it.
And then it comes bull time, our
1386
01:36:23.720 --> 01:36:26.720
best lineman decise is not gonna play. Yeah, I don't like it.
1387
01:36:26.760 --> 01:36:30.720
All right, we'll be back next
week where your money matters. Be happy,
1388
01:36:30.000 --> 01:36:38.079
be healthy, and let's all day. Rob all say it's only an