Unlocking Multifamily Investment Success.
In this episode, Ryan L Duff shares his journey in the multifamily investment space, discussing his experiences, strategies, and insights into the current market dynamics. He emphasizes the importance of building strong relationships with General Partners (GPs) and the unique investment platform he has created to leverage deal flow. Ryan also addresses the challenges and opportunities presented by market cycles, the significance of geographic preferences, and the future outlook for investors in the multifamily sector.
Takeaways
Ryan has been in the real estate business for 16 years.
He started investing in multifamily as an LP about 13 years ago.
Ryan built a platform targeting various types of capital.
He emphasizes the importance of deal flow in real estate.
The current market presents unique opportunities for investors.
Ryan's strategy involves investing in distressed situations.
He negotiates terms based on the equity percentage he provides.
The importance of having a diversified portfolio across different operators.
Ryan believes in the predictability of returns through structured investments.
He sees a 12 to 24 month window for significant growth in the market.
Chapters
00:00 Introduction to Multifamily Investment Strategies
02:32 Ryan's Journey in Real Estate
05:00 Building a Unique Investment Platform
08:07 Navigating Market Cycles and Opportunities
10:32 Understanding GP and LP Dynamics
13:21 Negotiating Terms and Structures
16:10 The Importance of Deal Flow
18:57 Current Market Trends and Challenges
21:03 Geographic Preferences in Investment
21:08 Future Outlook and Investor Confidence
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Hello everybody.
Welcome to another episode of
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Arthur's Round Table.
Super grateful for everybody
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that's paid attention to what
we're doing here.
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It's been a lot of fun and we
appreciate the Family Office
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Insights community, sharing it
with others and listening in
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when it makes sense for you.
And if you continue to do that,
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we super appreciate it.
We're grateful to have Ryan
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Duff, who's a real estate
investor and also has a fund
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that we're going to talk about
and we're going to start with
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his origin story here, which is
always interesting and in this
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case also very interesting.
And so I hope you enjoy it and I
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look forward to and, and by the
way, Ryan will be presenting a
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family office insights platform
in the coming weeks.
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So stay tuned for that as well.
So Ryan, thanks for doing this.
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Super, super happy to have you.
You're in Boston, right?
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Yeah, thanks, Ruth.
Appreciate it.
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In Boston, yes, born and raised
here, left for a little while,
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went to school in upstate New
York, moved to Manhattan and
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then came back about six years
ago.
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And we we're currently in the
city still with my 2 little ones
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haven't haven't bit the suburb
bullet yet but I I think it's in
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the not too distant future.
It's coming, huh?
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Yeah, Yeah.
It's tough.
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Yeah.
So, so tell us how this all
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began, that we're you're able to
be in a position to deploy
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capital in a meaningful way in
the multifamily space.
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It's a, it's a, you know,
there's cycles, right?
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So, but tell us how this
started.
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Sure.
So I've been in the business
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about 16 years now.
I started at a company called
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Arbor Realty Trust.
On the debt lending side, think
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agencies, Fannie Mae, Freddie
Mac, FHFA.
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We lent balance sheet products
across all different types,
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shapes, sizes, markets of
multifamily assets and I wove my
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way through the analytical
underwriting side from screening
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deals over to the production
realm, which is where I started
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building a book of business for
the better part of about 12 to
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13 years.
I started representing owner
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operators, developers, brokers,
folks that were mom and pop
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operators all the way up to the
institutional type developer.
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And I was structuring debt
products for them, acquisitions,
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recaps, refinancings,
construction loans, bridge
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loans, preferred equity, MEZ.
And so it was at that time I
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really got a good feel for how
to invest and how to invest the
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right way with the right people
and what markets I wanted to be
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in.
And so I started doing just
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that.
Probably about 13 or 14 years
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ago now was when I first dipped
my toes in as an LP in the
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multifamily space, took piece by
piece of my Commission checks
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and started building a portfolio
of exposure and investments.
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And Fast forward, you know, 10
years after that, you know, I
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was sitting on a couple 1000
units and had the freedoms of
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passive cash flow and a couple
cycles within that time frame as
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well.
And it was about 2023 when I
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looked in the rearview mirror.
Obviously when rates started to
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run up and catch everybody off
guard a couple years prior to
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that, I found myself wedged in
between the house, my employer
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and my client book trying to
mitigate losses, loss sharing,
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avoid foreclosure and work out
events and realized it was a
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colossal waste of my time.
And so I spoke to it's often.
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More work than underwriting a
new deal, right?
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Entirely.
It's exhausting, it's emotional,
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and you don't get anything from
it.
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And so outside of just, you
know, maintaining an existing
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relationship that you've already
cultivated and nurtured and
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executed for.
But it was at that time where I
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really started thinking to
myself, given the time of the
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cycle that we were in and wanted
to feel and build something
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where I could leverage the
sourcing and the deal flow
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capabilities that I had and my
access and that access being the
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network of GP operators and
developers that I had built over
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the decade prior plus prior to.
And so I came up with the idea
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prior to even leaving my former
employer.
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I've been gone now for for two
years to build out kind of a
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conduit platform that ran a
series of micro fund strategies
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targeting all different types of
capital from the retail LP
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investor all the way up to the
institution.
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Think family office in the
middle, think Rias allocators
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fund to funds, etcetera.
And give them an opportunity and
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visibility into the predictable
pipeline of deal flow that I had
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access to.
You know, I handpicked 1/2 a
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dozen GP operators that I knew,
that I knew well, many of whom
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for 5 or 10 plus years we had
relationships dating back to, I
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would say most if not all, I had
personally invested my own
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capital with.
And I started to build a
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platform around them knowing
that I had a bit of a Moat of
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deal flow given their visibility
in their respective markets.
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And I started to introduce that
to my network.
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And Fast forward, you know, I
left Arbor in 2024 and I
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scrubbed my network, created a
database of about 100 or so
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people, 125 contacts, mostly
friends and family, former
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clients of people that I had
been organically introduced to
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overtime.
And I put together a fund.
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My first fund was I think about
6 and a half million bucks.
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And we subsequently deployed
that within the first six months
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into a portfolio of multifamily
deals, all off market.
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I believe there were six assets
in that portfolio.
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And the bell rang and I realized
that I could kind of, you know,
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consistently, repeatedly put
this process in motion with new
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and repeat investors and deploy
their capital in a condensed
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time period into off market deal
flow that nobody really knows
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exists because of the network
that I created.
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And so Fast forward to today,
you know, this is our second
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towards the end of our second
full calendar year.
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And since inception we're up to
about 90 investors.
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We've we're currently actively
raising for our 4th fund the
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first three funds, the first two
funds excuse me are fully
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deployed.
The third funds about 65 or 70%
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deployed.
Last year we invested in 10
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separate assets of about 16-17
hundred doors with a total
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capitalization around 300
million.
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Our strategy is a bit unique,
you know, I wouldn't say it is
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consistent peer-to-peer or some
of the comps in our marketplace.
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Clearly our differentiators are
deal flow, right.
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You know we are actively
building out our bench of GPS
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that constantly supply us deal
flow which precedes our equity
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raising by about 3:00 to five
months.
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So we'll, we'll make deal
commitments well in advance and
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we will back into the equity,
whether it's raising a new fund,
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whether it's putting together a
single purpose vehicle for a
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particular deal or drawing down
the existing undrawn funds that
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we have from prior vehicles.
So it's become a bit of a repeat
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cyclical aspect to the business
that we're creating.
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And listen, you know, I think as
it relates to to this year,
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we're in, we're in growth mode,
we're in scale.
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You know, we know we have the
allocation assigned to, to our
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business to grow probably 3 to 4
times over this year.
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And the source of that capital
is going to come from larger
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check writers, single source
capital writers that can, you
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know, stroke A7 plus figure
check.
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To date, as I mentioned, 8085
investors, pretty much all
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retail.
We have a couple Rias in there
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that have dipped their toes in
with us.
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But for the most part it's been
1 to $500,000 commits.
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I'm the largest investor in
every fund so far.
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So there's significant alignment
across the board with us as
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managers of capital, but also
investors into the same deals
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that we're asking our capital to
invest in.
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And so going forward, you know,
we feel that there's a huge
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opportunity in the space right
now given the visibility we have
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to deal flow to deploy into
distress situations that have
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been created and, and, and by
mismanagement, undercapitalized
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owner operators, capital
markets, distressed lenders and
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balance sheets.
And you know, we're at the
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forefront of all that from a
deal flow perspective.
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And so you know, we, we feel
that there's, there's a probably
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a 12 to 24 month window here
where rates are going to sell in
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a little bit.
Cap rates might compress,
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occupancy rates will normalize.
You know, the influx of new
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supply that we've seen over the
last couple years will will
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steady out, they'll balance out,
concessions will burn off which
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has been compressing rents for
BC assets, which is where we
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participate.
And once that happens, you know
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the demand will start to
accelerate again and rent growth
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will will, will move forward.
And you know, we've been active
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in that space and we'll continue
to be in the ones that have been
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active and not on the sidelines
are going to be victorious over
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the next three to five years.
So when you talk about your GP
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relationships and the sourcing
of deal flow that's off market,
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is it largely because they see
things before they become
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publicly distressed and they can
swoop in and say, OK, you know,
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we have certainty of clothes?
Is it something like that?
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Absolutely, Yeah, Yeah.
So you know, right now we're,
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we, we've invested with probably
8 different GP operators.
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You know, these guys are
vertically integrated, 90% of
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them are local to the markets
where they have concentration,
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portfolios, economies,
efficiencies, you know, and a
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pulse to the marketplace and and
transaction volume.
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And so, you know, when you're
actively owning and operating
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within your target areas, people
know about you, you have a
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reputation and generally
speaking, those reputations are
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clean.
And to your point, they have
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execution power, right?
And so when a deal comes up,
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generally it's off market or a
pocket list from a broker or
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it's a lender or a bank that's
looking for a new buyer because
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the existing ownership
foreclosed or worked out or.
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About to or.
About to, right.
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And so you know the distress
comes in different forms and
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what we've done is we have
regionally positioned ourselves
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across the country to have
operators in different markets
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that bring us deal flow of
similar profile and caliber,
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right.
You know, we generally invest in
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150 to 250 unit assets.
We generally invest in vintages
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from 1990 to say 2010.
They're all liars, right.
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We've done brand new
construction deals that had a
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fracture lease up strategy,
which in my opinion you know
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you're, you're acquiring a core
plus deal that's brand new, but
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it is distressed because it
hasn't been leased up
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appropriately.
We've also done on the other
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side of 50 to 60 unit assets
that we've acquired from mom and
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pop operators with massive
pricing advantages and arbitrage
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because they haven't been
marking rents to market because
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they've had tenants in place for
15 to 20 years and they don't
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operate efficiently.
So our goal is to come in and
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fractured situations and provide
scale, provide scaled equity,
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which in return commands and
leverages profit share.
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So what I mean by that is we are
passive investors.
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We often times don't require
control.
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We don't need certain rights and
remedies that AJV or a larger
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fund might require to invest.
You know, since we invest with
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the right folks that we have
confidence and a reputation
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with, we understand how they
execute.
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And so we become frictionless in
that capacity whereby we offer
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the equity oftentimes 1 to
$5,000,000 a deal and in return
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for that we command a profit
share structure with the GP.
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So we're LP's, however we are Co
GPS economically and to the
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extent there are situations
where we put up our balance
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sheet where they, you know, key
principles signing on the loan
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docs.
I often times am involved in the
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debt placement just given my
background and my expertise.
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It's a huge value add to the
operator for me to bring debt
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advisory and placement and
equity to the deal.
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You can't get much more aligned
than that as far as being up and
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down the capital stack and
having full visibility.
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And so the value create for us
is really on both sides.
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00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:45,320
Investors have confidence
investing with us because they
217
00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:48,800
know our touch points up and
down that stack and the
218
00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,560
relationships that we have with
these operators.
219
00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:55,760
And on the GP operator side,
they understand how we invest
220
00:13:56,080 --> 00:14:00,640
and, and, and what type of
investor we want to be, which is
221
00:14:00,680 --> 00:14:04,680
really to stay out of your way
because we know you can execute
222
00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:08,760
and get us to our return profile
within a three to five year
223
00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:11,880
period.
So I know that's probably not
224
00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:17,600
the same across the board, but
when you say GP in real estate
225
00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:20,280
parlance, it often means
sponsor, right?
226
00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:25,560
Yeah.
GP is the owner, the operator,
227
00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:29,160
the general partnership,
correct.
228
00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:34,000
Yeah.
And so give us an example of if
229
00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:38,000
AGP brings in an LP that's not
you, they're going to have their
230
00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:43,400
standard fee structure promote
etcetera and they're passive
231
00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:47,240
investors as well, most likely,
right, especially if it's a
232
00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:48,320
smaller investor.
Yeah.
233
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:58,040
So in the case where what I was
getting at is what's the delta
234
00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:04,720
between that normal LP that that
GP would have and what you have
235
00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:08,560
aside from the help you can help
do you can contribute with the
236
00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:14,360
debt and so forth.
Are you adding, you know, 10%
237
00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:17,520
off the promote that the normal
LP would get?
238
00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:24,200
Is is it that sort of advantage?
Yeah.
239
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:27,440
So it's circumstantial.
You know, we negotiate case by
240
00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:31,320
case, right?
So for instance, if we're
241
00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:34,160
investing 10 or 15% of the
equity, I don't really have a
242
00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,800
lot of leverage to go in and
say, hey, you know, Mr. GPI want
243
00:15:38,160 --> 00:15:42,400
50% of your upside, right.
And the flip side of that, if we
244
00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:45,960
are 40 to 60% of the equity,
that's a different story.
245
00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:50,400
And so there's really no pricing
metrics, if you will.
246
00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:54,320
However, it becomes a
negotiation.
247
00:15:55,320 --> 00:16:00,680
You know, I have conversations
all the time with LP's about
248
00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:03,200
investing directly in the deal
themselves versus coming with
249
00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,000
us, right?
What's the advantage to coming
250
00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:06,680
through Seaport into these
deals?
251
00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:11,400
Your your economics on an LP
directly into the deal?
252
00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:15,000
That might be a quarter million
half $1,000,000 check writer is
253
00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:21,920
likely a 6 to 8% annualized
yields, maybe a net return IRR
254
00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:26,200
of say high teens and then your
multiple is generally around 2
255
00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:30,640
and A5 or so year period, OK.
When we invest with the scale
256
00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:35,440
that we do, we offer the cash
flow in the annualized yields.
257
00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:39,080
We we promote everybody at an 8%
prep coming into our funds day
258
00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:43,640
one, right, no exceptions.
So you're benefiting on a
259
00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:46,000
preferred return basis by coming
into our fund.
260
00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:50,240
You're benefiting from the terms
that we negotiate at the deal
261
00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:54,240
level with the GP and that comes
in different forms, OK.
262
00:16:54,240 --> 00:17:00,040
So for instance, all GPS take an
acquisition fee, all GPS take a
263
00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,720
management fee, asset management
fee.
264
00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:07,280
We'll come in and we'll
structure a sidecar with the GP
265
00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,440
whereby, OK, we're now
participating in your
266
00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:14,440
acquisition fee.
We're not going to be charged 2%
267
00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:16,880
asset management fee.
We're going to be charged 1 1/2.
268
00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:21,240
And then for bringing 40% of the
equity, I want 15% of your
269
00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:24,560
upside.
And so I take that upside and I
270
00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:28,359
funnel it directly into the
investors upon liquidity event,
271
00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:32,000
which is generally a sale in our
case because we we invest for a
272
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:35,360
condensed time period.
And so from an LP in my funds
273
00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:39,640
perspective, you benefit from
those three different silos
274
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:43,240
economically above and beyond
what you would benefit from as
275
00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:46,840
an LP directly investing in the
deal by yourself, right, Yeah.
276
00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:49,840
For 250,000 or 500 even
$1,000,000 check.
277
00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:51,200
Leverage is different.
Return Yeah.
278
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,520
Yeah, I mean, you know, if
you're right, so didn't touch.
279
00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:59,960
On this, but yeah, yeah,
correct, right.
280
00:17:59,960 --> 00:18:03,440
I mean we a million is 1 is on
this very small end for, for our
281
00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:05,880
investment.
I'd say generally we are two to
282
00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:08,520
six on average depending on the
deal size.
283
00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:12,400
And to give you some perspective
on how that floats within the
284
00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:17,280
deal, the equity stack, our
total capitalization on 90% of
285
00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:21,440
our deals is between 15 and 50
million, OK.
286
00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:27,080
And so when you're leveraging
that up to say 6570%, meaning
287
00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:31,680
you're getting debt financing
for 6570%, that leaves a total
288
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:35,920
equity raise on average of about
10 to 20 million bucks, give or
289
00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:39,560
take 15, you know, 8 to say high
teens.
290
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:44,280
We're generally sitting 3530 to
50% of that race.
291
00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:48,080
And so we're not all of it, but
we're enough of it as a single
292
00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:49,880
source to come in and throw our
weight around.
293
00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:52,800
And that comes in different
forms.
294
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:57,040
Is, is my point economically
whereby everybody benefits.
295
00:18:57,040 --> 00:19:00,240
I could simply take that GP to
myself and, and, and, and run
296
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:05,480
with it and, and, you know,
deliver a very respectable net
297
00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:07,920
high teen net result to to the
investors.
298
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:11,680
But there's no added benefit
then by coming with me versus
299
00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:13,880
going directly in the deal other
than access, right?
300
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:17,800
And so, you know, I try to build
a Moat around our value.
301
00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:23,680
And so that value is beating the
market on our management fee,
302
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:27,640
which is only 1% and then
economically incentivizing
303
00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:31,080
investors to come with us above
and beyond the access that you
304
00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:33,720
get, right?
Because when we offer, when we
305
00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:37,120
put our offerings out to our
investors, our entire network
306
00:19:37,120 --> 00:19:41,200
sees every deal that we invest
into 60 days prior to it
307
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,320
closing.
They could just as easily pick
308
00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:45,760
up the phone and call the GP
operator and say, hey, I want to
309
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:49,640
invest with you, right.
I need to make our offering
310
00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:54,440
valuable enough to that
individual or source to come
311
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:56,000
with us instead of going
directly to them.
312
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:58,240
Yeah.
So they're not even tempted to
313
00:19:58,240 --> 00:19:59,080
do that.
Yeah.
314
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:01,640
Not even tempted.
And so listen, it's the
315
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,160
predictability aspect of it.
I, you know, I think the other
316
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:07,880
thing that we've built which is
a significant differentiator is
317
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:11,600
that each fund invests broadly
with different operators in
318
00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:14,480
different markets, right,
Because we deploy our
319
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:18,840
commitments across portfolios of
four to six different assets.
320
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:23,640
And so, God forbid one deal
doesn't do that well or one deal
321
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,120
underperforms.
You're getting the benefit of
322
00:20:26,120 --> 00:20:30,280
blended economics across the
board, across geographies.
323
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:34,920
And obviously the profiles of
the deal are very consistent
324
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:37,800
from a return standpoint that we
invest in just because that's
325
00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:39,800
the space that we know and we
don't want to deviate.
326
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,480
I don't want to invest in deals
that are too small.
327
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,240
I also don't want to invest in
deals that are too big because
328
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:47,920
competition with institutions
becomes a problem.
329
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:51,960
And so we know our space, we
know our role.
330
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:56,440
We're sitting in the middle to
upper, upper middle market and
331
00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:00,760
we're trying to scale up in that
space to become invaluable to
332
00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:04,200
the GP operators who by the way
have their own syndication
333
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:08,880
networks, right, which is, you
know, if we're 30 to 40% of 50%
334
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:11,880
of the equity, the other 50%
comes from their networks,
335
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,640
right?
They are individuals, LP's,
336
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:18,800
retail high Nets, you know,
maybe some fun to fund types of
337
00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:22,680
their own, but you know, I'd say
generally speaking, you know,
338
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:27,000
we're in the top one to three
scaled investors in every deal
339
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:31,040
that we do.
So can we talk a little bit
340
00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:35,600
about a couple years ago, the
multifamily space was super hot.
341
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:41,120
Everybody was deploying capital
and it was a bunch of fraud and
342
00:21:41,120 --> 00:21:43,480
there was some people got
smoked.
343
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:50,560
Is is it fair to say there's a
cycle and is it fair to say that
344
00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:55,800
you're in some way immune to
that or benefit from it?
345
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:04,480
I'll answer A and C we're in a
cycle in different forms.
346
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:09,960
We're in a, we're in a cycle
from a supply demand imbalance,
347
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:16,200
OK, Obviously when rates were 1
to 5% or 4%, you know, 5-6,
348
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,040
seven years ago, nobody could do
wrong.
349
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,600
You could, you could put a
floating rate loan in place at
350
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:26,320
3% and buy at a four cap and
everything would go right and
351
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:30,440
you 22.5 extra capital.
You could get a construction
352
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,640
loan and get a shovel on the
ground for four, 4 1/2% and
353
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,640
deliver a product within 24
months with no supply
354
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:40,120
disruptions and cost would
remain stable throughout the
355
00:22:40,120 --> 00:22:42,880
whole process.
That's been flipped.
356
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:47,880
And so that dislocation has
created immense opportunity for
357
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:53,840
those that have access, right.
I think to answer the third part
358
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:59,880
of your question, that
opportunity is, is born from
359
00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:06,000
those moments of distress
because of inconsistent
360
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,480
underwriting, aggressive
assumptions.
361
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:12,400
And so we're now in the part of
the cycle where a lot of the
362
00:23:13,120 --> 00:23:16,360
severe distress has been
flushed, OK.
363
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:19,560
You know, you take a look at two
and three years ago, balance
364
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:23,320
sheets were at all time high.
You had debt funds that were
365
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,760
bloated, that couldn't raise
liquidity fast enough to offset
366
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:30,360
their deficiency.
And So what happened over the
367
00:23:30,360 --> 00:23:35,040
last 24 months is, you know, you
had a lot of refinancings going
368
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,440
on, recap events.
You hear a lot about the rescue
369
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:42,640
funds, the recap funds, you
know, lenders cutting A&B notes
370
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:47,400
just to buy themselves some time
and try to try to solve their
371
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:52,480
balance sheet woes, right?
The deals from those moments
372
00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:56,400
that worked, worked, and they're
now off in the balance sheet and
373
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,520
they're now refinanced into a
fixed rate 5710 year deal.
374
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,560
Going forward, the deals that
are left are the deals that
375
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,800
nobody wants.
And so the distress on the
376
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:12,280
lending bank side still exists,
you know, and it's because if
377
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:16,760
you foreclose the LP and all the
equities wiped out, there's a
378
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:19,520
loss share problem at the lender
bank level where they they're
379
00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:20,160
taking it.
Yeah.
380
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,320
You have to post it to your
balance sheet that you've
381
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,080
actually have a realized loss.
Right, right.
382
00:24:25,120 --> 00:24:29,320
And, and, and so lenders are
still hanging on a little bit to
383
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,640
I would say 40% of that balance
sheet that they had four years
384
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:36,480
ago, right?
The other 40 to 50 to 60% was
385
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,600
salvageable and people took a
haircut, people had to cash in
386
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:43,040
capital calls on LP's, you know,
take a preferred equity note at
387
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:46,240
1013% just to get out of there
senior.
388
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:51,040
But a lot of those opportunities
found buyers found homes.
389
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:55,400
And so we've taken advantage a
lot of that to your, to your
390
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,760
market cycle point.
So a lot of the distress came
391
00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:02,040
out of that moment.
However, Fast forward to today,
392
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:06,320
you know supplies falling off a
Cliff, nobody's been able to
393
00:25:06,360 --> 00:25:09,240
build in the last two years,
right?
394
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:16,080
They've been delivering property
between 23 and 25, which are now
395
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:18,560
in lease up.
However, these lease ups are
396
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:21,000
going poorly because there's a
ton of competition in the
397
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:24,680
marketplace and they're having
to offer concessions, which does
398
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:28,640
nothing but become bad debt and
write offs or, you know, it
399
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,960
falls to the bottom line and
you're losing operating income.
400
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,240
And so those situations are also
opportunity.
401
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:38,720
We acquired a deal in, excuse
me, Charleston, SC, which was an
402
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:42,920
extremely unique situation.
It was a 2024 delivery, 2023
403
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:46,280
delivery.
It took him three years to build
404
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,920
the property.
He was sitting on a fully
405
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:54,800
delivered asset.
Mind you this is 260 units and
406
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:57,560
it took him 12 months to get
utility hookups from the MSA.
407
00:25:58,000 --> 00:25:59,600
And so we sat with a vacant
property.
408
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:01,960
He burned through his
construction loan, he had to
409
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:05,600
refinance at a high cost bridge
loan and then he just jammed a
410
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:09,280
bunch of heads in beds.
I call it got his occupancy to a
411
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:13,360
point where he can list the sale
at a fraction of the original
412
00:26:13,360 --> 00:26:15,120
cost basis.
So we came into that deal at a
413
00:26:15,120 --> 00:26:19,240
30% discount on a brand new core
plus institutionally grade
414
00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:21,840
asset.
However, we inherited problems
415
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,960
because he jammed a bunch of ill
credit worthy tenants in the
416
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,920
property.
That said, that's an opportunity
417
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,840
for a great operator to come in
who's capitalized and knows how
418
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:34,160
to complete a lease up or do a
value add in nature.
419
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,400
Although it's a brand new
property, there was still a
420
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,200
repositioning that took place
day one.
421
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:42,960
We got in, evicted 70 tenants,
so occupancy went from 92 down
422
00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:45,360
to 83.
It's now back up to 96.
423
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:50,520
So the opportunities come in so
many different shapes and sizes.
424
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:55,440
However, you can't just enter
the market today because you
425
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:58,840
raised a bunch of capital and
you see rates coming down in the
426
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:03,240
next 12 to 24 months.
You had to have been in the
427
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,960
market the last 1824 months to
get the access.
428
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:11,040
That totally makes sense and I.
Think, you know, God willing,
429
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,400
we've positioned ourselves with
the right guys that have the
430
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,560
good reputations that I spoke
about within their jurisdiction
431
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,000
in their markets to get access
to these deals.
432
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:23,480
And these deals are coming in,
in those different forms of
433
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,720
distress that I mentioned.
So the pipeline's predictable
434
00:27:27,120 --> 00:27:30,760
for those that have been in the
right spot over the last year
435
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:34,960
and a half.
Can you talk about location?
436
00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:43,000
You mentioned one.
Is it largely dictated by where
437
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:48,200
you have these GPS and
confidence in their ability and
438
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:55,280
have a property that fits the
box, or is there some geographic
439
00:27:55,560 --> 00:28:03,920
preference?
So I first launched this thing
440
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:07,080
thinking that I was just going
to sit my butt in the Southeast,
441
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,360
you know, in Mid-Atlantic, just
because those were the markets
442
00:28:10,360 --> 00:28:13,400
that I knew, that I knew well,
that I knew had a lot of
443
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:17,320
distress because everybody
entered those markets 678 years
444
00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:20,240
ago and many of them lost their
shirt.
445
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,760
There was a lot of leverage in
these markets, a lot of bank and
446
00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:27,520
lending exposure.
I quickly realized that that was
447
00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:31,760
foolish of me to even consider
pigeon holing ourselves and the
448
00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,160
opportunity set that we now have
access to.
449
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:37,000
We are now nationwide.
I am market agnostic.
450
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:43,520
That said, we gravitate towards
tax friendly environments, both
451
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:45,000
from the landlord and the
tenant.
452
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:48,760
We gravitate towards markets
that have good migration trends,
453
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:52,600
good demographics, good
employment growth.
454
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:58,680
We are suckers in the port towns
of Charleston, SC, Savannah, GA
455
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:02,520
because of, you know, having the
import export, you know,
456
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:05,320
situations that they do.
Markets thrive off that.
457
00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:09,080
And it's not just, you know, the
immediate employment, but you
458
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:14,120
know, you have Tier 2-3 and four
job opportunities for folks that
459
00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:18,600
feed that type of business.
So yeah, we're now, we're now
460
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:20,400
market agnostic.
I mean, I think we're in eight
461
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:24,280
different markets.
You know, we are up and down the
462
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:28,600
East Coast, I would say heavily
concentrated in the North SC,
463
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:32,720
Tennessee region.
We are in Central Florida,
464
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:37,360
Savannah and now soon to be
Conyers, GA, which is about an
465
00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:41,600
hour South East of of Atlanta,
which is a great re entrance
466
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:44,160
into that market because that's
where everybody played and did
467
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,480
well or not over the last five
or eight years.
468
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,880
And we're getting a great, great
opportunity there.
469
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,160
That's coming in from a
liquidating wreath that unloaded
470
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:55,360
30 assets, 15 of which were
acquired by Starwood at about a
471
00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,400
30% discount.
And we just plucked off one of
472
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,920
them.
I love Indiana, I love Indiana,
473
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,040
Ohio, Kentucky.
You know, there's, there's new
474
00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:07,360
manufacturing going back into
these markets.
475
00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:10,680
There's a lot of data center
development and there's good
476
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,520
growth and steady jobs, steady
incomes, right?
477
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:18,440
We are, I say this, it's a
little cheeky quote, but we're
478
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,160
trying to preserve affordable
housing stock, right?
479
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:27,400
And people that are, I don't
think it's cheeky that that I
480
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,880
mean, it's, it's a little bit of
a tongue in cheek kind of, you
481
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:34,000
know, political politicized
quote.
482
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:37,280
But it's real, right?
And I don't mean affordable
483
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:42,160
housing stock tax credits and
Section 8 vouchers and you know,
484
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:45,360
HAP contracts.
I mean middle America, I mean
485
00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:49,880
folks that are making between 60
and 120,000 a year that can
486
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:53,600
afford 800 to 2000 bucks a month
in rent.
487
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:55,680
And you know what?
That's going up.
488
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:57,840
I don't care what you say,
right?
489
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:00,360
People aren't buying homes
anymore.
490
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,880
My generation and generations
beneath me can't afford it.
491
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:05,080
They don't have the down
payment.
492
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,920
That's why you saw Trump come
out the other day and try to put
493
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:11,400
a cap on institutional ownership
of single family homes because
494
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,520
he was worried about the
affordability aspect and the
495
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,920
existing stock of that asset
class.
496
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:21,120
We are multifamily.
We are scaled offerings to
497
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:27,600
concentrate units to offer
middle America and the tenant
498
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:30,400
that needs to rent and prefers
to rent, right.
499
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:32,520
And so back to your point about
where we want to be, we want to
500
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:35,440
be in good lifestyle states.
We want to be where there's warm
501
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:37,320
weather, where people are moving
to.
502
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:42,920
I love Nashville, TN, not MSA,
but we're heavily concentrated.
503
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:46,600
We got a deal in Murfreesboro,
TN right now, which is
504
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:49,760
Rutherford County, top five
growing county in the country,
505
00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:52,600
drafting off Nashville's growth,
right.
506
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:57,560
So Asheville, NC, we're, we're,
we're delivering and leasing up
507
00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:01,880
a 319 unit new build there right
now that's best in class and
508
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:06,800
doing extremely well in spite of
the hurricane that rolled
509
00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:08,760
through there, you know, just a
short time ago.
510
00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:13,280
Those are the types of areas
that we like to go into because
511
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:15,840
a, there's not a ton of
competition, you know, it's
512
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:19,160
overlooked by the institution.
Mom and pops can't participate
513
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:21,840
and we have a foothold.
We have existing relationships
514
00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:23,640
in those areas.
Whether we're already invested
515
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:29,600
in it at the fun level or me
personally, we know that we've
516
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,520
been successful, that we have
access.
517
00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:35,840
There's regional reps, there's
site staff, there's good leasing
518
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:39,280
agents, there's good quality
workforce in these areas.
519
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:43,640
And these properties can
perform, you know, and they stay
520
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:48,080
full and we can get modest rent
growth still in this
521
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:50,080
environment.
Now you might have to manage
522
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,640
through some ups and downs and
down leasing cycles, you know,
523
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:59,480
maybe, you know, drop rents 5%,
you know, to to maintain that
524
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:03,520
9396% occupancy just for the
time being.
525
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:07,400
Maybe there's competition in the
market, a new delivery or maybe
526
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:09,360
a plant down the street shut
down.
527
00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:12,360
Whatever the case may be, you
can adjust very quickly.
528
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,080
And that's why we invest with
the right operators because they
529
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:18,920
have the foresight, a lot of
which is AI right now, believe
530
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:22,080
it or not, which is a maybe
another topic of conversation.
531
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:25,520
But that's that's really
entering the management of
532
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:29,240
multifamily in the
projectability of where rents
533
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,240
need to be, how your
competition's doing and how to
534
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,760
optimize your product within
your comp set in the
535
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,680
marketplace.
So yeah.
536
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,160
The research has to be a lot
easier to do now, right?
537
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:48,000
Oh my God, Arthur, I'll tell
you, you know, maybe another bar
538
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,600
of, of, of commentary, but we're
going to stay as lean as we
539
00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:53,000
possibly can for as long as, as
we can, right.
540
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,200
And what I mean by that, you
know, acquisition teams are
541
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:59,000
becoming obsolete underwriters
obsolete.
542
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:03,280
I can throw AT 12 and a rent
roll and a pro forma or an
543
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:06,240
offering memorandum into AAI
tool.
544
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:08,760
There's numerous of them.
Give them some guidance.
545
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,600
Within 2 to 5 minutes, it can
underwrite the deal for me.
546
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:15,159
It can project the same for me
in three to five years and it
547
00:34:15,159 --> 00:34:16,800
can perform them all.
And you know.
548
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:22,920
And and be the.
You still need the sniff test,
549
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:26,120
right?
But it's more more likely than
550
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:30,560
not to be accurate.
You need a human element, but
551
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:34,080
that human element is no no
longer a team of 6, right,
552
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:38,199
Right.
So we we draft a lot of the
553
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:43,080
communications and the marketing
details and their performance
554
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:45,880
from the operator themselves.
So a lot of that work is handled
555
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:48,719
for us.
Obviously, you know, we recycle
556
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:51,760
it and reintroduce it in a way
that is digestible for our
557
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:56,880
investor base, which I think is
pretty unique and user friendly.
558
00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:02,880
But you know, we can rely and
outsource so many things these
559
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:09,160
days, which are labor intensive
in nature, whereby we can just
560
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:12,400
focus on raising capital.
And that's really what our goal
561
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,200
is each and every day, every
week is introducing our
562
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:18,840
platform, which is I think had
some pretty good success in a
563
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:22,160
short amount of time.
And the access we have is our
564
00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:24,200
Moat, right?
I mean, you know, in order to
565
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:28,240
survive in the next 5 years with
the takeover of AI and
566
00:35:28,240 --> 00:35:31,480
technology, you need a Moat or
you're, you're becoming
567
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:35,440
obsolete.
And our mode is the access to
568
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:44,120
the deal flow that we have.
So, Ryan, the deal, do you
569
00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:48,680
anticipate that there's more
deal flow than you can fulfill?
570
00:35:49,240 --> 00:35:53,800
And if you had unlimited amounts
of capital, could you fill the
571
00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:56,520
pipeline, let's say if you had
$100 million?
572
00:35:57,160 --> 00:36:02,200
And the second part of that is
at what point are you not
573
00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:07,720
interested because you'll get
negotiated out of the market
574
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:10,120
because institutional money will
come in.
575
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:12,920
Is it a $300 million asset?
Is it for?
576
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:18,560
Is it fair to even ask that?
It's a fair question.
577
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:22,640
However, I've thought about it.
You know, as I mentioned
578
00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:26,280
earlier, we don't want to
compete with the institution and
579
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:30,920
I know that the space that we're
actively playing in now is not
580
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:36,320
of interest to the institution.
They first of all, economically
581
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:40,000
speaking, they can get away with
yielding far less than I want
582
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:43,320
to.
So they're entering the core
583
00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:45,960
plus markets.
They're buying the 3-4 caps
584
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:50,120
because they have more patient
capital AB they can get away
585
00:36:50,120 --> 00:36:53,120
with a three, 4% return.
I'm not doing this for.
586
00:36:53,120 --> 00:36:55,920
A return my investors, also me.
With that.
587
00:36:57,240 --> 00:36:59,040
Right.
And isn't it also true they can
588
00:36:59,040 --> 00:37:03,720
get away from that because they
have investors or balance sheets
589
00:37:03,720 --> 00:37:08,640
that don't pay taxes,
foundations, you know, etcetera,
590
00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:13,680
etcetera, etcetera, right.
That sure that everybody has
591
00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:17,000
their reasons, but I think you
know to your allocation
592
00:37:17,240 --> 00:37:23,800
question, my goal is to get to a
point where you know within the
593
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:28,200
current deal profile that we
invest with and without getting
594
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:31,840
too crazy on the bench of GP
operators that we deploy into,
595
00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:39,240
we can comfortably deploy 50 or
100 million a year and not be
596
00:37:39,240 --> 00:37:44,280
100% of the equity that is
required to close these deals.
597
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,640
I think last year I did some
math the other day because I had
598
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:48,920
this question asked by an
investor.
599
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:51,960
I think the total equity raised
within the deals we invested
600
00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:55,000
last year was about 140 million
something in that range.
601
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:58,680
And mind you that's across 10
assets, you know, with an
602
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:03,160
average purchase price of say 20
to 40 million, OK.
603
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:07,440
And so we're a small part of
that now, right.
604
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:11,440
But the idea the goal is to
still still play in our space,
605
00:38:12,240 --> 00:38:18,760
however scale up to the point
that is irreplaceable from AGP
606
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:21,000
operator standpoint to have us
in the deal.
607
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,760
And when you get to that
threshold, our economics become
608
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:29,040
extremely outsized and and
everybody on our platform
609
00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:31,920
benefits.
So I don't want to get too big.
610
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,880
There's no reason to right.
You know, I think and, and also
611
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:39,280
to that point, we benefit by
cycling equity quick.
612
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:43,920
And so you know, even if you
know you have 100 million of
613
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:48,400
commitments for the year,
ideally the original funds and
614
00:38:48,400 --> 00:38:51,200
the original deals you invest
with are liquidating on the
615
00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:54,080
other end.
So you're constantly cycling
616
00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:58,320
through your capital sources in
a point where the returns, you
617
00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:00,680
know, ideally compound and
people reinvest.
618
00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:05,840
We have a 25% reinvestment rate
from prior fund investors into
619
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:07,800
more recent ones, which is
fantastic.
620
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:08,920
It means we're doing something
right.
621
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:12,320
But I don't want to compete with
the, the institution.
622
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:15,560
There's no need.
You know our our economics, our
623
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:18,520
leverage, what we command, our
relationships.
624
00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:21,880
We want to play in our mid
market space and there's no
625
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:28,480
reason to jump outside that.
So on the cash, on cash 8% that
626
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:32,440
you're giving your investors, is
that essentially pass through
627
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:37,280
from the GPS?
Yeah, Yeah.
628
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:40,960
So it's a good question.
So as A at the fund level, we
629
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,480
offer an 8% pref to the
investors.
630
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:48,920
That 8% pref is not 100%
satisfied at the deal level.
631
00:39:49,720 --> 00:39:53,880
So it takes a liquidity event to
catch up and then to hit the
632
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:57,280
waterfall, right.
So I would say on average, we
633
00:39:57,280 --> 00:39:59,760
have a 2 pronged barbell
approach.
634
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,480
I call it.
We have a value add approach on
635
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:04,400
one side, which obviously are
assets that are a bit more
636
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:08,920
distressed, mismanaged,
neglected, you know, we're
637
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:12,560
coming in, it's a heavier lift
type reposition play.
638
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:15,000
There's no yield on that day
one.
639
00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:18,080
There's probably no yield or
cash flow on that month 6.
640
00:40:18,720 --> 00:40:23,000
Generally, the idea is to target
stabilization between month 12
641
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:26,400
and say 14.
At that point, you're yielding 6
642
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:29,600
to 8%.
On the other side of the
643
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:32,080
barbell, you have our core plus
strategy, right.
644
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:36,760
Three out of our last four deals
that we acquired are producing 7
645
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:40,240
to 9% annualized cash flow day
one.
646
00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:44,720
So our investors benefit first
quarter post closing, they're
647
00:40:44,720 --> 00:40:49,160
getting distributions.
However, 40 or 50% of their
648
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:52,200
deployment, their commitment
might be in that value add
649
00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:56,880
bucket, in which case it takes
12 months or so for those assets
650
00:40:56,880 --> 00:40:58,960
to catch up to that number,
right.
651
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:03,800
However, generally speaking on a
value add deal, you put some
652
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:06,800
type of short term debt
instrument in place with no
653
00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:10,920
prepaid where you can refinance
once the asset stabilizes and
654
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:14,080
you can return 3050 plus percent
of everybody's commitment in
655
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:16,360
that deal and then it starts to
cash flow.
656
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:21,560
So we have the beauty of of
investing in different types of
657
00:41:21,560 --> 00:41:26,120
buckets where our investors
don't have to wait or get locked
658
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:30,160
out five years and wait for a
portfolio roll up on the exit to
659
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:33,480
see anything.
We offer cash flow, we offer
660
00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:37,000
liquidity events mid term, mid
fund term, which is five years.
661
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:38,480
I have a one year extension
option.
662
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:42,960
However, you also get, you know,
the benefit of of liquidity
663
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:46,680
events and.
Along the way, yeah.
664
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,240
Opportunity along the way and
staggered, you know
665
00:41:50,240 --> 00:41:52,440
opportunistic exits, right?
Each deal is going to sell when
666
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:54,960
it's ready.
So within your 5 property
667
00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:58,000
portfolio per fund, you know,
we're investing in different
668
00:41:58,000 --> 00:42:01,680
markets with different
operators, all of whom have a
669
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:03,760
three to five year rough hold
period.
670
00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:07,120
These deals are going to sell in
year 3 and year 4 and Year 5.
671
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:10,960
And so you're not waiting for a
roll up at the exit to get your
672
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:13,360
liquidity event.
You know, we're popping these
673
00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:15,720
things once they're ready.
You know, if we get an off
674
00:42:15,720 --> 00:42:20,360
market bid, if we get, you know,
if we stabilize and decide to
675
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:23,080
list it, hopefully rates settle
in at that point.
676
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:24,760
I think we can all agree it's
probably going to be a bit
677
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:27,560
better than it is today.
However, I do think we're in a
678
00:42:27,560 --> 00:42:30,040
new norm, a new band on on
rates.
679
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:33,880
I think it offers a little bit
of protection and, and, and
680
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:37,640
downside risk hedge against that
for everybody and every type of
681
00:42:37,640 --> 00:42:41,120
investor from from the LP, you
know, to the institution.
682
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:46,240
It's got a little, a little bit
for everybody, you know, and
683
00:42:46,240 --> 00:42:49,240
that's the goal.
That's the goal is, is to create
684
00:42:49,240 --> 00:42:52,520
consistently consistency beyond
the cash flow.
685
00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:54,880
There's tax, massive tax
advantages by investing in
686
00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:56,840
multifamily real.
Estate, yeah, I was going to ask
687
00:42:56,880 --> 00:43:00,280
you what the does all that all
the goodies pass through the K
688
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:06,040
ones, the cost SAG the the
depreciation, all that business?
689
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:09,880
I like that all the goodies,
yes, all the goodies do pass
690
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:14,960
through and that's a major
benefit to being a real estate
691
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:17,240
investor, right?
And passively, I mean, you know,
692
00:43:17,240 --> 00:43:21,160
we have all the all the
depreciation from the Cal seg
693
00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:23,680
analysis and that that's not
performed in year 1.
694
00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:27,960
It's two or three that flows
directly on everybody's K ones
695
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,640
down to the investor level.
They can offset, you know
696
00:43:30,880 --> 00:43:36,840
ancillary income, W2 revenue,
you know our distributions and
697
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:39,960
recaps refi's when we're
returning principal tax free,
698
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:42,280
right.
You don't pay capital gains on
699
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:43,160
those.
That's not a.
700
00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:44,200
That's not a.
Trade.
701
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:46,440
That's not a taxable event.
Yep.
702
00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:50,520
And so, you know, it becomes a
system where you know, you can
703
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:53,480
expect quarterly distributions,
cash flow, you know, you can
704
00:43:53,480 --> 00:43:56,560
expect a little bit of a gift.
So goodie, you know, fall flow
705
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:59,440
through down to your K1 on an
annualized basis.
706
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:03,640
You know, and then the exit
optionality I think is a major
707
00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:07,240
feature of what we offer is
something that you know is
708
00:44:07,240 --> 00:44:10,760
predictable and expected between
years 3:00 and 5:00.
709
00:44:12,120 --> 00:44:15,640
And if the, if the GP doesn't
like kind exchange, you just
710
00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:18,440
benefit from that as well,
right, If if you decide to
711
00:44:18,440 --> 00:44:22,920
participate in a new asset.
Yeah, I, you know, I'm not.
712
00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:26,280
I don't love that idea, you
know, I've been.
713
00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:30,760
Really hard to do right?
It's hard to do because you got
714
00:44:30,760 --> 00:44:33,800
to, you got to there's, there's,
there's carried provisions,
715
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:38,680
there's tick exchanges, there's
obviously you have to go through
716
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:42,320
AQI qualified intermediary.
It's got to be, you got to solve
717
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:43,840
for equity, you got to solve for
debt.
718
00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:48,760
And I can't predict whether my
investors want to participate in
719
00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:50,720
that, right.
So I guess that's a wedge that I
720
00:44:50,720 --> 00:44:54,440
have not experienced yet,
Although chances are, you know,
721
00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:59,240
we're now in 12 assets or 12
properties, some are portfolios.
722
00:44:59,600 --> 00:45:02,760
It's going to happen and I'm
going to have a conversation
723
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:06,360
with the investors within that
fund that's invested in that
724
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:07,440
deal.
Hey, what do you want to do?
725
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:11,080
Chances are nobody's going to
have a problem with it because
726
00:45:11,200 --> 00:45:14,640
if we've done the right thing
and the operators performed and
727
00:45:14,640 --> 00:45:17,280
everybody's been successful,
multiplied their capital, why
728
00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:20,080
not do it again, Right.
Exactly.
729
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:24,480
And so that is a feature that we
haven't toyed with or had to yet
730
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:26,600
just because we've only, you
know, been around for a couple
731
00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:30,280
years at this point.
So, but you know, every day is a
732
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:33,240
learning curve.
You know, things pop up, you got
733
00:45:33,240 --> 00:45:36,160
to solve for them.
But we have a lot of, you know,
734
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:40,560
good investors in our network.
I'll give you an example.
735
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:43,160
You know, there was an investor
in our second vehicle, our
736
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:47,720
second fund, we were probably
60% drawn down on, on their
737
00:45:47,720 --> 00:45:49,800
commitment.
I got a call from this
738
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:54,400
individual and they basically
told me that life happens.
739
00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:59,120
I, I can't, I'm, I'm maxed out.
And when you have a closed fund,
740
00:45:59,960 --> 00:46:01,240
obviously you got to solve for
that.
741
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:06,320
However, I reached out to that
fund investment group, it's
742
00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:09,120
probably about 30 or so
individuals in that group.
743
00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:13,280
And I say, look, I shared the
story within a matter of hours
744
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:16,320
that allocation was absorbed it.
Was sucked up.
745
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:17,880
It was.
Sucked up.
746
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:22,760
And so that's the power of the
network that we're building, you
747
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,360
know, with interested parties,
people that believe in what
748
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:29,280
we're doing, want more, feel
like they didn't invest enough,
749
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:31,840
you know, when they first
committed.
750
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:34,800
But that's also why we're
reintroducing new vehicles.
751
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:36,360
I've had that question asked a
lot too.
752
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:37,760
Why are you putting out so many
funds?
753
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:39,800
Well, I talk to people every
day.
754
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:42,880
And, you know, if I put a fund
out, we're trying to wrap one up
755
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:46,240
in the next 30 days.
If I have 50 conversations with
756
00:46:46,360 --> 00:46:50,320
individuals or family offices
that have interest in the next
757
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:54,720
three months, and I have the
deal flow and the allocation in
758
00:46:54,720 --> 00:46:56,400
that deal flow.
Let's go.
759
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:58,400
Let's put another one over the
market, right?
760
00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:01,640
Capitalize on that momentum.
And so that's kind of the thesis
761
00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:04,600
that we've adopted in a short
period of time that makes this
762
00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:08,200
strategy very predictable,
repeatable and deployable.
763
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:12,760
Is the is it qualified investors
only?
764
00:47:15,080 --> 00:47:20,600
Everyone's accredited, you know,
we generally run 5O6B and C type
765
00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:25,000
offerings.
You know, we I'd say our minimum
766
00:47:25,000 --> 00:47:28,440
is 100 grand.
You know, we have a few inside
767
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:32,120
that we have several entities
that have come in that are three
768
00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:34,680
or four or five different
individuals, say family or
769
00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:37,520
friends that have put 3 or 400
grand in.
770
00:47:38,560 --> 00:47:41,520
You know, I would say our
largest investors you know are
771
00:47:41,560 --> 00:47:45,320
around 1,000,000 bucks which
includes myself.
772
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:49,280
And you know we are actively in
discussions with a couple
773
00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:52,280
families, a couple RI as folks
that are going to provide some
774
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:56,960
scale in two different forms
either in the fund commingled
775
00:47:56,960 --> 00:48:00,080
with other LP's.
However, we've also launched a
776
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:05,400
separate JV Co GP strategy for
larger single source capital
777
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:09,040
check writers that want to
commit 5 to say 20 million of
778
00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:12,400
their own, deploy it in the same
fashion, but might have their
779
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:16,320
own profile of deal.
And so for instance, you know,
780
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:20,160
Family Office XYZ wants to
commit 5 or 10 million bucks,
781
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:24,440
but they only want to be on 200
unit assets in the Southeast.
782
00:48:25,720 --> 00:48:28,760
You know, we're confident that
our bench and network of
783
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:32,160
operators can supply that deal
flow to that source.
784
00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:35,920
And so that becomes a bespoke
strategy that's a bit of a
785
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:39,560
different silo introducing the
same deal flow, but to a
786
00:48:39,560 --> 00:48:43,480
different type of capital.
And so really that's a network
787
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:45,080
that we're trying to crack into
right now.
788
00:48:47,320 --> 00:48:51,480
Yeah.
So you, you mentioned one more
789
00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:54,520
thing before we wrap it up, if
it's OK and you we can talk
790
00:48:54,520 --> 00:48:56,080
about whatever else you want to
talk about.
791
00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:59,920
But I was interested to know a
little bit more about how you
792
00:48:59,920 --> 00:49:07,560
feel we've maybe reached a new
level in interest rates and what
793
00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:15,080
you're thinking is around that?
Yeah, I try to ignore it.
794
00:49:15,160 --> 00:49:18,520
I mean, you know, we've been in
a band of I'm calling it the new
795
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:22,480
norm as I mentioned, you know,
you can't run a business,
796
00:49:22,800 --> 00:49:25,520
particularly with the activity
that we try to have and really
797
00:49:26,280 --> 00:49:30,400
get too hung up on that.
You know, a way around is to
798
00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:34,520
assume alone, which we did about
5 deals last year.
799
00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:40,120
We assumed interest rates that
were originated 3-4, sorry, 4-5
800
00:49:40,120 --> 00:49:43,800
years ago that have a good term
left to maturity, say five
801
00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:49,880
years, 2.9 to say 3 1/4%.
And so, yeah, it's lower
802
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:51,400
leverage.
Yeah, you have to raise a bit
803
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:54,600
more equity to acquire these
deals, but positive leverage day
804
00:49:54,600 --> 00:49:58,080
one, these properties are
yielding significantly out the
805
00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:00,720
gate.
There's some value add ramp up
806
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:04,600
as well.
However, on the flip side, you
807
00:50:04,600 --> 00:50:10,760
know, in our business, FHFA is
very incentivized to put capital
808
00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:12,960
out the door, right, from a debt
standpoint.
809
00:50:13,480 --> 00:50:16,680
And so there's a lot of levers.
And I know this because I was in
810
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:19,280
the business for 15 years,
something called mission
811
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:22,600
critical business, where there's
an affordability aspect.
812
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:27,440
So for instance, you know, there
are calculations that peg your
813
00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:31,440
current rental rates to median
incomes in various markets
814
00:50:31,440 --> 00:50:34,960
across the country.
And if you are if you qualify as
815
00:50:34,960 --> 00:50:39,480
a certain ratio, you get a
certain spread reduction on your
816
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:42,960
interest rate.
And so the agencies Fannie and
817
00:50:42,960 --> 00:50:46,600
Freddie and HUD which are the
largest capital debt provider of
818
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:50,640
liquidity in our business
incentivize operators to go
819
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:52,960
after assets that are considered
affordable rich.
820
00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:58,160
And so that is a way today to
acquire a deal with a five year
821
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:02,800
fixed rate loan inside 5%.
You have a four handle 4849 in
822
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:06,520
most cases with non recourse
with interest only you know
823
00:51:06,520 --> 00:51:08,840
maybe some exit flexibility on
the prepaid as well.
824
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:12,600
So we know what levers to pull
in the interest rate environment
825
00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:15,920
game to make sure that our, you
know, investments are safe and
826
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:19,560
sound.
I would say going forward, look,
827
00:51:19,560 --> 00:51:22,640
listen, I don't think we're
going to see a lot of rate cuts
828
00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:26,160
this year.
And the reason being is because
829
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:28,960
our GDP is on a hockey stick
trajectory.
830
00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:31,680
We do have a new chair coming
in.
831
00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:34,640
It's going to probably take
three to six months for him to
832
00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:36,560
implement any type of policy
change.
833
00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:42,600
And you know, there's a lot of
macroeconomic and geopolitical
834
00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:48,000
events taking place that
implement and inject volatility
835
00:51:48,280 --> 00:51:51,640
into Treasury markets.
And so the only hook that you
836
00:51:51,640 --> 00:51:58,080
have is to either reduce the Fed
funds rate, say a quarter .50
837
00:51:58,080 --> 00:52:02,400
basis points, purchase bonds,
which Trump has touted he wants
838
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:05,120
to do.
However, what people don't
839
00:52:05,120 --> 00:52:09,880
realize is that multifamily and
commercial real estate investing
840
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:13,800
in general is pegged off long
dated treasuries.
841
00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:19,800
Long dated treasuries have a
predictability to them whereby
842
00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:25,240
they forecast market conditions
6 to 9 months in advance.
843
00:52:25,640 --> 00:52:30,080
And so if the market is
projecting a rate cut of say 50
844
00:52:30,080 --> 00:52:34,080
basis points, you know in Q2 or
three of this year, it's already
845
00:52:34,080 --> 00:52:39,280
baked into the 10 year treasury
and so it's pushed out, right.
846
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:43,400
And so regardless of what the
Fed decides to do, it's such a
847
00:52:43,400 --> 00:52:45,840
nominal move.
It doesn't move the needle in
848
00:52:45,840 --> 00:52:48,840
our business.
And so you can't really when
849
00:52:48,840 --> 00:52:50,720
you're investing and you're
consistent and you have the
850
00:52:50,720 --> 00:52:53,920
action and activity that we do,
you don't really look towards
851
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:55,720
that.
You look three to five years out
852
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:59,960
and you try to normalize your
predictions and your assumptions
853
00:53:00,280 --> 00:53:03,520
in a way that, OK, great.
If the market stays where it is,
854
00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:06,080
here's our result, I'm OK with
that.
855
00:53:06,680 --> 00:53:10,440
If the market cooperates or
maybe rates come in and there's
856
00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:13,840
a little cap rate compression.
Even better.
857
00:53:13,840 --> 00:53:16,800
Yeah, Bravo.
But you know, I, I think it's a
858
00:53:16,800 --> 00:53:18,840
new norm.
I think, you know, we're not
859
00:53:18,840 --> 00:53:23,200
going to see a 10 year treasury,
you know, inside 4% for the
860
00:53:23,200 --> 00:53:28,680
foreseeable future.
You know, it's just, it's not,
861
00:53:29,000 --> 00:53:31,840
it's not supportable.
And quite frankly, you don't
862
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:35,160
really need to do it outside of,
you know, trying to force people
863
00:53:35,160 --> 00:53:38,160
to buy homes.
You know, businesses are
864
00:53:38,240 --> 00:53:40,800
performing right?
And they're changing guard and
865
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:44,800
technology's advancing.
And, you know, unfortunately,
866
00:53:44,800 --> 00:53:46,560
there's going to be a lot of.
Economy's goodness.
867
00:53:46,560 --> 00:53:50,760
If that's a term, it's good and
people hate to admit it.
868
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:53,840
They hate it simply because of
the man up top.
869
00:53:53,840 --> 00:53:58,560
And it's not about politics.
But you know, unfortunately the
870
00:53:58,560 --> 00:54:01,480
gap of the haves and the have
nots is widening, which is going
871
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:04,520
to be a forever issue.
But I think for us and, and for
872
00:54:04,520 --> 00:54:07,440
our marketplace right now,
predicting rates in, in
873
00:54:07,440 --> 00:54:11,240
12/24/30, six months is a
useless endeavor.
874
00:54:12,240 --> 00:54:14,640
And I think we're in a new norm.
I think things are getting
875
00:54:14,640 --> 00:54:16,440
reset.
I think valuations are getting
876
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:21,600
reset.
And for us, you know, the good
877
00:54:21,600 --> 00:54:25,080
thing is, yes, rents have come
down or plateaued in, in many
878
00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:29,240
instances, but that's a supply
issue, not a demand issue.
879
00:54:29,800 --> 00:54:31,320
Demand will continue to be
there.
880
00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:34,720
It will accelerate.
I think we are 7 million units
881
00:54:34,720 --> 00:54:38,640
short across from a housing
standpoint on the supply side
882
00:54:38,640 --> 00:54:40,720
across the country.
You can't build.
883
00:54:40,720 --> 00:54:41,760
Yeah, that's what they're
saying.
884
00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:43,600
Enough time?
Yeah, for.
885
00:54:43,960 --> 00:54:46,080
For.
Occupancy rates not to maintain
886
00:54:46,080 --> 00:54:50,000
a north of 90% level.
And so that's my prediction.
887
00:54:50,040 --> 00:54:53,840
I, you know, could be wrong,
could be right, but we don't run
888
00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:56,240
a business in, in our platform
based on predictions.
889
00:54:56,320 --> 00:54:59,880
You know, we, we try to stay
within, you know, the, the, the
890
00:54:59,960 --> 00:55:04,040
goal posts of, of what we have
and, and, you know, make sure
891
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:06,440
that the people we're investing
with are the right guys to
892
00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:10,360
steward our capital.
Yeah, totally makes sense.
893
00:55:10,760 --> 00:55:13,280
This has been super helpful.
I really appreciate you doing
894
00:55:13,280 --> 00:55:17,280
this and thanks for, I mean,
there's lots of good Nuggets in
895
00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:19,160
there.
I know people appreciate it.
896
00:55:19,800 --> 00:55:24,760
And we also look forward to you
as you know, coming on and
897
00:55:24,760 --> 00:55:28,840
telling the stories to the
investor community for FOI too.
898
00:55:28,840 --> 00:55:32,240
So Ryan, thanks for doing this,
really appreciate it.
899
00:55:32,520 --> 00:55:33,360
Thank you.
Nicely done.
900
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:35,560
Appreciate.
It yeah, no, likewise it's, it's
901
00:55:35,560 --> 00:55:38,320
a great opportunity.
You know, as I said, it's a it's
902
00:55:38,320 --> 00:55:45,040
a huge gap in when what I'm
trying to fill right now is, is
903
00:55:45,040 --> 00:55:47,520
the capital sourcing from these
mid markets and upper middle
904
00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:51,680
market type family offices.
And so we're putting resources
905
00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:54,800
towards it.
I'm trying to educate folks on
906
00:55:54,800 --> 00:55:56,920
what we're doing, how we're
doing it and why we're
907
00:55:56,920 --> 00:56:00,600
different, which I think is, you
know, something that is, is is
908
00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:03,440
hugely important in today's
environment with a lot of noise.
909
00:56:04,760 --> 00:56:06,440
There's a lot of noise and you
are different.
910
00:56:06,440 --> 00:56:08,840
There's no question about that.
I can confirm it.
911
00:56:08,960 --> 00:56:13,080
So and we look forward to having
you in a in a couple weeks to
912
00:56:13,080 --> 00:56:17,000
talk to the rest of the group.
So all right, Brian, thank you.
913
00:56:17,240 --> 00:56:19,600
I appreciate it.
Thank you, appreciate it.
914
00:56:20,200 --> 00:56:21,880
Thank you everybody for joining
us today.
915
00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:23,480
We'll talk to you soon.
Bye.
916
00:56:23,480 --> 00:56:23,640
Bye.