From Entrepreneur to Investment Banker: Jason Kirby's Journey
In this episode, Jason Kirby shares his journey as a serial entrepreneur and investment banker, discussing the lessons learned from his various startups and the challenges faced in the business landscape. He emphasizes the importance of unbiased advice for founders and introduces his company, Thunder, which aims to provide investment banking services tailored for early-stage companies. The conversation also delves into the complexities of family office investments, the impact of AI on business valuations, and the current challenges in the UK business environment.
Takeaways
Jason Kirby is a serial entrepreneur with a diverse background.
Passion alone does not guarantee business success.
Navigating the startup landscape requires understanding market dynamics.
Family offices are evolving and becoming more sophisticated in their investments.
AI is reshaping the business landscape and valuations.
The UK business environment presents unique challenges for entrepreneurs.
Investment banking can be tailored to better serve founders.
Understanding the true value of a business is crucial in today's market.
Strategic exits are often the best financial outcomes for companies.
Building relationships is key to successful fundraising and investment.
Sound bites
"I'm a serial entrepreneur."
"How do we change the game?"
"AI is going to wipe you out."
Chapters
00:00 Introduction to Jason Kirby's Journey
01:31 The Venture Capital Pursuit and Lessons Learned
05:03 Acquisition by Walmart: Timing and Challenges
07:17 Transitioning to New Ventures and the Importance of Unbiased Advice
10:35 Founding Thunder: A New Approach to Investment Banking
13:24 Navigating the Landscape of Family Offices
19:28 Deal Sourcing and the Role of VCs
23:08 Strategic Acquisitions: A Path to Recovery
26:33 Future Prospects and Market Recovery
27:29 Business Sentiment in the UK and EU
34:01 Navigating the VC Landscape
42:46 The Role of AI in Investment
48:27 Future of AI and Investment Strategies
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Hello, Welcome everybody to
another episode of Arthur's
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Roundtable.
Thanks for your regular
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participation.
Super appreciate the Family
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Office Insights community as
well as the viewership for the
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podcast coming on and listening
to us from time to time.
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So we're really grateful for
that.
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We're super happy to have Jason
Kirby here today.
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And as if after viewing this
episode and listening, there's
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others that you think would
benefit from hearing it.
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Please feel free to share.
We're always delighted to have
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you do that, if that's OK.
So Jason, give us a little
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background.
Thanks for doing this.
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Tell us about your journey a
little bit.
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Yeah, no thanks for having me on
the show.
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Easiest way to put it, I'm a
super entrepreneur.
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I've built and sold multiple
companies.
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Most notable was selling a
company to Walmart tech company
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to Walmart back in 2018 and have
since done multiple transactions
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both as a founder, operator, a
non investment banker.
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I guess the the story starts
with me starting my first
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business when I was 19, loving
the adventure of wanting to
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build something I was passionate
about.
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I quickly realized that passion
doesn't always mean mean scale.
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And I had a good business
travel, the world lifestyle
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business.
It was fun, but I want to move
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on to bigger better things and
you know, was enthralled with
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the concept of venture capital
and like how do I get into that
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world?
This is 2000 tried my first
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company, big giant flop, you
know, trying to chase venture
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capital, great business had I
not pursued venture capital, but
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try to chase venture capital and
try to create a venture
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narrative when in reality it was
never going to be venture
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backed.
You know, despite everyone
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telling us to keep at it, keep
going, you know, keep keep doing
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what you're doing, keep getting
your numbers up.
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It's like, OK, well, we're at
like 60 K month over month, you
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know, 60 KA month, you know,
month over growth, month over
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month growth is like 30%.
That would have been like a, a
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home run in most people's eyes,
you know, from like a seed stage
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startup trying to raise
$1,000,000 on a $3,000,000
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evaluation back then and
couldn't raise money for the
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life of us.
And you know, hindsight tells me
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the business model was never
venture.
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You know, we, we were like, man,
if we get to 10 million revenue,
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we crush it.
So that's not venture and you
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know, quickly learned that that
was not the right business to be
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in got an acquisition offer,
chased that down ended up
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falling through in the final
hour and like crushed my soul,
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but I wanted to make a bigger
swing, go after something bigger
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left where I was in San Diego
and moved to New York and
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launched a company called Liquid
Sky, which was a GPUH compute, a
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network that enabled low latency
interactive streaming.
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So using GPUs for actual graphic
processing, not AI at the time
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and quickly raised 12 million
for that company.
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It was in a hot space.
All the big tech companies were,
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you know, trying to solve this
problem.
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We had a head start through our
core product, about a million
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and a half users and it was just
blitzing the market as fast as
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we could.
But quickly realized that
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Amazon, Google, Microsoft were
putting in about a billion
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dollars into this category.
So we had to quickly find an off
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ramp or very, very deep venture
pockets, which we having been in
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the market and raised some
money, our investors, albeit
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they wanted us to go Unicorn or
bust, billionaire bust is like
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to say we quickly look for an
off ramp, which we had Walmart
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at the table.
We were doing, you know, kind of
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B to B contracts and proof of
concepts with Verizon, LG,
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Walmart and Walmart ended up,
you know, coming in with the,
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the final bid that we accepted
and selling to Walmart, which
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throws people off in some
capacities.
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Because like, why did Walmart
buy like a, you know, GPUH
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compute server network?
Walmart at the time and still is
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like, you know, there's a
Walmart within 10 miles of like
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95% of Americans.
And when you think about that,
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when you think about their edge
compute network, like that's
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pretty powerful.
Like if you had GPU servers like
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a RAC and every single Walmart,
what could that do?
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What could that unlock?
And this was the advent of 5G
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being rolled out in 2018-2019.
So that was all the rage,
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billions, billions of dollars
being put into 5G.
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So just right timing, right to
right place.
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Walmart promised the world they
acquired us.
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And then shortly after the
acquisition, we had scaled the
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team almost 3X.
We were burning money like
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nobody's business.
And then right before our big
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launch party, Walmart pulled the
plug because Amazon was kind of
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destroying.
Yeah, well, yeah, we we were
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supposed to build like the
Amazon Prime, like the the video
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and gaming and music streaming
competitor that Walmart was.
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Yeah, we were the platform for
Walmart to build that.
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But that was a fun project.
But in the grand scheme of
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things, Walmart is a retailer
and they were getting their ass
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kicked on their core home turf,
which is, you know, retail and
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delivery.
And they decided to reallocate
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all of their budget that we had
towards next day delivery, which
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right move for Walmart 100% just
sucked for us.
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And I was grateful for the team,
what they gave us, but taught me
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a lot in terms of going through
those types of transactions,
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raising money, selling the
company, and then without any
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holds bar, getting right back
into the mix and going to
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another startup, helping them
with a $20 million merger with
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their biggest competitor in the
HR tech space.
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And then right off that going
into a tech esports company that
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was doing like 100K in revenue
and scaled them to 6 million in
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18 months, closing in $11
million Series A in a very rapid
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period of time scaling the
company.
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We brought esports to high
schools all across the country.
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When I left we had reached about
3000 schools, 100,000 students
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cut about 6 million in revenue
before before I stepped down and
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kind.
Of during COVID right?
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Yeah, 2021 is when we closed the
right.
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We kind of closed like December
2020.
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We had all kinds of anything
that everything that could go
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wrong went wrong.
We had a Series A term sheet
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that we got on March 12th, 2020
and that got quickly pulled on
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March 14th, 2020.
You know, outside of pivot the
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business do a bunch of wild
changes to kind of navigate that
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because we were selling to
schools and schools shut down.
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Everybody.
Yeah, it's like, how do you sell
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to schools?
Quickly realized that esports
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were the only activity you could
do during COVID, and that
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message spread like wildfire.
It was not particularly easy,
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but we were able to convince
schools that this was a
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worthwhile effort and investment
during the time of remote
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learning when they had no idea
what they were doing.
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They were all scrambling hair on
fire, and kids were spiraling
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downwards as they kind of seek
engagement and peer-to-peer
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support.
And so we were able to kind of
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capture that opportunity and pin
the right message to the right
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people and just started rapidly
scaling and, you know, growing
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the business, which was really
exciting to see.
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But after doing that for about a
year and a half, wasn't my
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company.
I wasn't the founder came in as
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kind of the COO and they were
still like pretty nascent.
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And so I, after I did my part,
decided it was best for me to
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part ways and kind of took a
break.
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And it's the first time I took a
break since I was 19.
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So 15 years of just hardcore
nonstop go, go, go, go, go.
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And you know, I had a it, got
married, had a kid and just kind
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of like wanted to see what else
is out there.
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And after being involved in
multiple transactions, being an
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Angel, being an LP and a couple
of funds, and just kind of
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seeing the market from a
different landscape, and also
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having sold my company and been
in multiple transactions, I was
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just like, you know, one of the
biggest things that I missed in
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those transactions was unbiased
advice.
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Everybody had an agenda on one
side or the other trying to pull
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you this way or that way, right
A. 100%, you know, the board was
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like billion or bust.
My technically Samsung was
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supposed to buy us at superior
terms, much better terms, you
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know, about nine months a year
before Walmart acquired us.
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But our board got super greedy
against our like went over our
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head like went straight to
Samsung.
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Your board.
My board, yeah, and basically
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told Samsung like you need to
pay double or or we're out and
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we didn't want that.
We were stoked on the deal we're
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like this is a great deal we're
happy and Samsung took three
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weeks came back to us and said
sorry, we're not changing
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anything this is the deal so we
proceed but we lost three weeks
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and guess what happened in those
three weeks?
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Samsung's president or sorry,
CEO went to prison 2017.
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That was like a huge global
news.
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He went to prison and every deal
was dead on arrival.
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And so the day of closing,
bottles of champagne ordered,
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buses picked up, the team, new
offer letters printed, new
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office set up.
And we got a call from Korea
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like 2 in the morning that the
deal's dead and everything was
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dead in the company.
So that was fun.
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And because our board got
greedy, they, you know, we were
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out of cash.
We had $1,000,000 breakup fee,
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but we were burning half a
million a month.
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So that wasn't super helpful.
And a board came in and
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basically said, all right, we'll
save you and gave us like these
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horrible terms, like 3X, like
pref, you know, $4 million.
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Crash down round.
Yeah, super.
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You know, crammed down round,
like absolutely screwed the
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team.
I had to get a golden parachute
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because it was so bad.
Just in case the next
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acquisition wasn't so good.
And you know, it's it's pretty
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depressing how and like we
turned it around.
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We got a, you know, almost
similar terms from Sam's Walmart
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a year later, but with that 3X
lick pref.
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It was, you know, materially far
less capital.
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And we had this banker that was
like a more of a over glorified
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babysitter who didn't add any
value in the transaction, didn't
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bring anything to the table.
So I was just really bitter
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about this and I was really
bitter about my experiences and
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other transactions of it was
very much like you had to be in
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the club.
You had to know the people.
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And that was not my world.
You know, I grew up in a middle
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class household in like Orange
County, didn't know anyone and
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just how to build material value
to get enough attention from
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people to where they would
actually invest.
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Couldn't just like knock on my
buddy's door, my neighbor's door
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and get capital.
And so I was a little bitter
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about my experience in
transactions.
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And I was like, OK, a lot of
founders feel this way.
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How do we change the game?
And that's what ultimately led
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me after a couple years to
building what's known as Thunder
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today.
So it launched it out of AVC
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Venture Studio called Airplay
Ventures out of New York.
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And the intent was how do we be
an investment bank for founders
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by founders that basically put a
banker at your side at the
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earlier stages of the company,
not like precede seed or
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anything of that sort.
But like, you know, later stage
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companies kind of like lower
market 5 to $100 million type of
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transactions and help these
founders navigate their options.
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What's actually on the table for
them?
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What can they do?
What can they not do?
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You know, what are some of the
deals they can structure their
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company around what the comps
are Because like that exists for
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like the best, biggest companies
in the world where a banker's
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00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:26,240
always desperate to help because
it could be in a $20 million
214
00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:29,040
fee.
Happy to offer, you know, free
215
00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:31,680
advice and things of that sort.
So we just took a different
216
00:11:31,680 --> 00:11:34,320
approach where it's like, OK,
let's the founders that are
217
00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:37,160
still in the shit, still
grinding, still like creating,
218
00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:39,240
you know, material value at the
early stage and haven't really
219
00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:41,880
been picked up on yet by these
kind of bigger firms.
220
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How can we better support them
and help them navigate their
221
00:11:44,560 --> 00:11:47,000
options?
And sometimes that's venture all
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the way billionaire bus.
And sometimes it's, you know,
223
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like I'd love to make $20
million.
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I was like, well, that's not a
venture story anymore, you know,
225
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what could you do?
And so we help underwrite debt,
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equity and M&A opportunities for
companies.
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00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:02,880
Yeah, we worked with I think
probably like 40 companies at
228
00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:05,320
this point.
Now transacted, you know, my
229
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partner's in the transacted, you
know, billions at this point.
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And what we're ultimately
looking to do is help founders
231
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navigate what's the most optimal
opportunity and then bring those
232
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deals to the right parties that
actually want those
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transactions.
That's we're constantly building
234
00:12:20,560 --> 00:12:24,760
our network and building our,
you know, expertise in various
235
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different niches and categories
to, to make sure that we're
236
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identifying what's a good deal,
architecting what that good deal
237
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would be.
Meaning that we know what the
238
00:12:32,960 --> 00:12:36,440
founder wants and we know what
the buyer or investor wants and
239
00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:40,680
making sure that there's going
to be a, you know, equally
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00:12:40,680 --> 00:12:44,560
beneficial relationship in that
transaction and helping connect
241
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those two parties.
And yeah, it's been a ton of
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fun.
We typically only work with tech
243
00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:51,960
companies for the most part.
We sometimes invest in some of
244
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the companies and take an equity
position.
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00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,280
Sometimes we, you know, if it's
bigger companies, we don't have
246
00:12:56,280 --> 00:12:58,720
the balance sheet just yet to to
write big enough checks, but
247
00:12:59,080 --> 00:13:01,880
we'll work with those deals, but
typically in that 5 to $100
248
00:13:01,880 --> 00:13:07,680
million transaction range.
So it seems to me and tell me if
249
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this is really contributes to
your edge, not just knowing the
250
00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:17,040
buyers, but onboarding the right
entrepreneurs, but also helping
251
00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:21,160
them not make mistakes that you
made or at least aware of things
252
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,320
that they would otherwise not
know because of what you've gone
253
00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:25,960
through.
Basically what it comes down to
254
00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:34,840
is what is actually possible and
what do those founders want?
255
00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:39,920
And are those in the same then
diagram, you know, is there like
256
00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:42,280
a equilibrium there?
Does that actually exist?
257
00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:45,200
Because like, you know, talk to
a founder like, oh, I won $100
258
00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:46,760
million.
Like no one's going to give that
259
00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:48,240
to you.
Right.
260
00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:51,640
Yeah.
You know, if you're not the AI
261
00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:55,000
breakout, everything's awesome
you're not getting your 100X
262
00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:57,840
revenue valuation get that out
of your head. 2021 is long and
263
00:13:57,840 --> 00:14:00,440
gone.
So we are we're we're a good
264
00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:02,760
reality check.
I would say most times I'm
265
00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:07,200
spending time with founders, I'm
kind of helping them understand
266
00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:11,760
the macro market.
There's a lot of false, false
267
00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:13,440
data, but just misperceived
data.
268
00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:17,520
Like they hear a story of a,
some company raised whatever
269
00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:20,640
billion dollars or whatever
valuation and they have no idea
270
00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:22,520
what's actually going on behind
closed doors.
271
00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:24,320
They don't know those numbers,
they don't know the growth
272
00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:26,720
rates, they don't know anything.
All they just see is like, well,
273
00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:28,880
I think we're better, why don't
we get higher?
274
00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:30,840
Yeah, if they can do it, we
can't wait.
275
00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:33,080
Yeah, it's like that's, that's
not how it works.
276
00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:35,680
And I also, it's like,
especially if like a founder,
277
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,320
you know, doesn't have deep
rooted connections.
278
00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:42,120
I got my favorite, especially
maybe for your audience is like,
279
00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:45,360
well, we know we're not really
VC, but family offices will love
280
00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:46,600
us.
And I was like.
281
00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:50,320
Everybody thinks family offices
is default position if you can't
282
00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:54,040
get VC or private equity right?
I think it's either dumb money
283
00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:56,240
or they think it's like, you
know, like, oh.
284
00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,600
They like us.
Yeah, like, oh, they'll just
285
00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:00,520
throw money at us.
Like, well, yeah, sure, family
286
00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,880
offices are popping up
everywhere and they become a a
287
00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:06,720
very popularized vehicle for,
you know, individuals and
288
00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,680
families to manage their wealth.
But then we also become very
289
00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:12,320
sophisticated, like they're
hiring top talent.
290
00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:13,880
They are creating, you know,
structures.
291
00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:18,680
They're removing the maybe
legacy of the the third
292
00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,040
generation member.
Just like, oh, I'm going to
293
00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:24,440
invest 10 million of my friends,
you know, you know, cannabis
294
00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:27,320
business or something like those
things aren't, you know, they
295
00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:29,000
happen, but they don't that's
not the norm.
296
00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:31,960
And, and as the saying goes,
it's like you met one family
297
00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:33,120
office, you met one family
office.
298
00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,400
Like none of them are the same.
I've never met one family
299
00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:36,960
officer.
I'm like, oh, you're just like
300
00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:40,360
this other one.
It's definitely a misconception
301
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:42,120
that founders have.
And they're like, Oh yeah, just
302
00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:45,040
maybe some individuals or, you
know, family offices would love
303
00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:47,680
to write a check to us.
I'm like, and what are you
304
00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:49,960
offering them?
I'm like, oh, well, we want to
305
00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:54,600
raise 5 on 100 and we're doing
like 4 million of rabbit.
306
00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:57,040
I'm like, they're not.
Dumb.
307
00:15:57,280 --> 00:15:58,840
They're not.
I don't know if you found this
308
00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:02,400
to be true, but you know, we
traffic in family offices
309
00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:04,080
that's, you know, one of our
businesses.
310
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:08,600
But the thing that I think
people make the mistake
311
00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:13,360
regularly is that family
offices, unlike a fund, for
312
00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:17,240
example, or an institutional
investor that is bringing in
313
00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:19,440
cash every week and has to
deploy it.
314
00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:23,040
There is no hurry.
Like they're not itching to
315
00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:25,480
deploy their balance sheet.
They're going to take their
316
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:27,560
time.
And so and they tend to do that.
317
00:16:27,560 --> 00:16:30,640
And so people who think that
family offices are a quick
318
00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:32,520
check, it's just generally not
true.
319
00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:35,120
Yeah.
And also it's just like, you
320
00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:39,160
know, investing in venture
directly, like a as like a
321
00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:43,760
direct investment opportunities
like most of the family offices
322
00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:47,640
I see doing directs, it's either
that a deep connection with that
323
00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:49,920
particular individual or, you
know, people at the company and
324
00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,600
the management team or it's
strategic like that they have a
325
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:56,640
family business or portfolio
company that they know the
326
00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:59,720
industry to have an edge.
Like it's just it's just so
327
00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:02,600
funny when I meet people and
they're just like, yeah, family
328
00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:06,200
obviously should invest in us.
Like also it's like what
329
00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,160
percentage of their allocation
is towards these types of direct
330
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,079
investments funds?
I think is a little bit more,
331
00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:16,280
you know, reasonable to expect
family, obviously to be engaged,
332
00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:19,359
but again, takes years to build
those relationships.
333
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:21,880
Not like someone's just going to
come and write you a check.
334
00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:23,400
Like, hey, that guy's a cool
guy.
335
00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:29,000
Here's $10 million.
Yeah, just doesn't happen there.
336
00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:32,240
There are the cases where you
have a deep relationship because
337
00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,720
of your history and that they're
confident because you built
338
00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:38,680
three businesses and the check
is a lot easier.
339
00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:44,000
But that took 10 years, right?
Yeah, but it looks for like, so
340
00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:47,280
the person that doesn't know
that history, that sees that
341
00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:49,000
person, oh, he raised money from
a family office.
342
00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:50,760
Like, yeah, but you don't know
that history.
343
00:17:50,760 --> 00:17:53,640
You don't know that they maybe
went to school together or they
344
00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:56,000
had a, or maybe like they don't
really know each other.
345
00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:59,120
But like a family office knows
someone that's also invested
346
00:17:59,120 --> 00:18:01,680
very well and they have a high
sense of trust, is connected to
347
00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:03,720
that deal.
And so they trust that
348
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:05,960
individual.
And so they're going to write
349
00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:08,560
the check.
And so I just feel like we get
350
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:11,200
these companies all the time
that we say no to that, you
351
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:14,920
know, come to us with this kind
of, you know, pie in the sky
352
00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:17,840
expectation that money's just
going to be thrown at them if
353
00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,880
they meet them.
And the reality is just like,
354
00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:23,960
like, that's not like 1.
Like if you really want that,
355
00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:25,680
you got to make it like a insane
deal.
356
00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,880
Like make them a ton of money.
Like when I structure some of my
357
00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:31,560
own direct deals for the deals
that I'm doing, I make them
358
00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:38,240
wildly favorable to investors
just because like if I don't
359
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:41,000
know that investor like deeply,
like a deep rooted connection
360
00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:42,960
where I'm like delivering
consistent returns.
361
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:45,560
Like the only reason they're
going to take a leap of faith on
362
00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:49,880
me or anything that I present to
them over say a deal that they
363
00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:54,040
have a relationship with.
Like I got to have that kind of
364
00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:56,080
risk rate, you know, kind of
risk payoff.
365
00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:59,680
Like there needs to be a higher
premium paid to them to want to
366
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:03,200
trust me to, to do that deal.
And these founders coming out to
367
00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:05,760
me and like, having these, like,
we want to give up 5% of the
368
00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:09,480
company, you know, it's like
insignificant, you know, unless
369
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,640
you're the hottest thing in town
and you got term sheets being
370
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:15,360
thrown at you left and right.
Like you just can't command that
371
00:19:15,360 --> 00:19:17,400
kind of expectation from family
offices.
372
00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:20,520
Yeah, I think that's right.
What is your deal sourcing
373
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,120
methodology?
Meaning the companies, the
374
00:19:23,120 --> 00:19:26,080
entrepreneurs, the candidates
that whether they qualify or
375
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:27,600
not.
How's how's that look?
376
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:31,360
So I would say the best deals
that come through US are often
377
00:19:31,360 --> 00:19:34,360
our relationship with VCs like
my world is venture, you know,
378
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:37,080
came from the venture world and
had built deep roots.
379
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,960
And what we've kind of found our
sweet spot to be is like, you
380
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,960
know, like venture backed
company that is like the golden
381
00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:47,280
child and a fun that's like
clearly hitting all their Marks
382
00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,120
and they have term sheets being
thrown on them left and right.
383
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,960
Like they don't need help.
They have all the help they
384
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,400
need.
And what we found is like AVC is
385
00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:59,400
what they ultimately need help
with is like really good
386
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,720
companies that maybe don't fit
the venture mold anymore.
387
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,680
So like.
They're still trapped in this
388
00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:09,240
venture mindset, but they need
to be pivoted to either
389
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:12,440
strategic exit or private equity
type structure.
390
00:20:13,120 --> 00:20:15,400
That's wildly different
multiples, wildly different
391
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,280
expectations.
And VCs are not really
392
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,640
incentivized to have those hard
conversations with those
393
00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:23,000
founders.
And so they bring us in and
394
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:24,920
they're like, hey, can you talk
to this founder?
395
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,520
And we look at the opportunity
to look what they're doing.
396
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:30,080
And sometimes we're like, no,
this actually still has venture
397
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:31,520
opportunity.
You're just doing the wrong
398
00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:33,960
thing.
Go do these three things for the
399
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:35,720
next 6 to 12 months and you're
back on track.
400
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:39,080
In some cases it's like, hey,
you had a good run.
401
00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:41,520
Your, your sector was hot.
It's no longer hot.
402
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,880
You were getting 20X multiples,
you know, two years ago, three
403
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,000
years ago.
Now you're like 3X multiples.
404
00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:49,920
Like it's just a wildly
different game.
405
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:55,280
You have to be offering a
financially viable offer to
406
00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:58,000
investors.
And so a lot of VCs bring us
407
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:00,800
into like, have those
conversations and help founders
408
00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:05,160
transition the business to a
more accept like this is like, I
409
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,440
always say this, like strategic
exits are always the best
410
00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:09,880
outcome in most cases from a
financial perspective, but
411
00:21:10,360 --> 00:21:14,120
they're harder to come by.
And they only really come when
412
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,240
there's potentially going to be,
you're going to be taken off the
413
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:20,480
table by someone else, meaning
they have to have like, they
414
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:22,280
have to take action because
you're going to disappear.
415
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:26,360
And that only happens if there's
a lot of players at the table.
416
00:21:26,360 --> 00:21:28,640
And really only the players that
might be at the table is like
417
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:30,640
private equity.
And so we always try to
418
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,760
structure all of our deals to be
capable of a private equity
419
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:38,560
transaction because that at
least gets 3-4 bidders at the
420
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:42,040
party to then hold those
strategics accountable to
421
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:44,720
actually taking action.
So worst case scenario, we sell
422
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,880
for maybe that lower multiple
that P thinks they have the edge
423
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:51,040
to, you know, increase and make
a profit.
424
00:21:51,360 --> 00:21:54,120
But ideally we're going to have
multiple strategics at the table
425
00:21:54,120 --> 00:21:57,240
knowing that that this deal will
happen and they will lose this
426
00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:58,880
deal if they don't take action.
Yeah.
427
00:21:59,120 --> 00:22:03,400
Do you, do you find that the
companies that the BC's asked
428
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,920
you to come and help that most
of them, they're going to end up
429
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,520
flushing because they're not
throwing any more money at them?
430
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:12,840
So BC's often come to us on this
conversation is because they
431
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:15,520
like the family, they want
something to happen and they
432
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:18,040
would love a return.
And that's often what we're
433
00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:19,800
shooting for.
But it depends on how much
434
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:21,680
capital went into it.
What's the stage of the business
435
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,760
where they're at?
They're like wildly overfunded.
436
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,560
It's hard to clear the hurdle.
We had a really good company
437
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:31,320
come to us.
They raised 60 on 2/20, you
438
00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:34,640
know, a couple years like kind
of like end of 2022, the market
439
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:38,600
was hot that they were in.
Now it's not hot and their their
440
00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:40,000
competitors have fallen off a
Cliff.
441
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,880
The public comps have fallen off
a Cliff, but they're doing
442
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:44,800
great.
They're growing.
443
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,200
They're, you know, have probably
one of the best products in the
444
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:51,720
industry, but you know, they're
below their prep stack right now
445
00:22:52,120 --> 00:22:54,400
because they raise so much money
so fast.
446
00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:56,880
It's such a high valuation.
Yeah, that's a bummer.
447
00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,640
Yeah, it sucks.
But what we identified, like
448
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,200
what?
Well, they came to the VC came
449
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:03,960
to us and they're like, can you
do anything?
450
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,920
And then we sat with them.
We looked at everything about
451
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:10,640
the business and what they were
trying to do that this is a kid,
452
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:12,520
you know, they had about
25,000,000 on the balance sheet
453
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:14,560
and they're about to put it all
into like this.
454
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:17,160
What they thought was going to
be a venture idea, basically
455
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,320
pivot the whole company and like
can spin out a new company and
456
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,160
try to like do this venture
thing that had from their
457
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:23,640
perspective better multiple and
all stuff.
458
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:27,280
But the problem was it was a
solution looking for a problem.
459
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:30,000
And they're heavily technical.
And so they were trying to build
460
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:33,800
us like deep tech type solution.
And what we realized is that
461
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:37,080
would completely mean they would
derail their existing business,
462
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:40,160
which is doing well.
They just have to do more of it
463
00:23:40,360 --> 00:23:42,080
faster.
And So what we came to them is
464
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:43,440
like, hey, we audited
everything.
465
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:46,400
We looked at everything.
What we identified is this idea
466
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,440
is a horrible idea.
You will fall flat on your face.
467
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,160
You will not receive additional
capital.
468
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:53,280
And we call customers, we call
all these different, you know,
469
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:55,960
people that would potentially
use the product and they're all
470
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:57,800
just like, I wouldn't pay for
it.
471
00:23:58,120 --> 00:24:00,800
Yeah, it's just like.
And and so we validated that
472
00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,520
this was just not a material
business for them to pursue.
473
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,560
But what we did identify is
like, look your multiples are
474
00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:10,760
depressed and mostly due to the
current administration in office
475
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:13,400
right now.
And whether they stay or don't
476
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:18,440
like the category will correct
not to what it was, but it will
477
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:22,360
correct you have an opportunity
to gobble up and acquire your
478
00:24:22,360 --> 00:24:26,080
competitors acquire market share
at a substantial discount when
479
00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:27,720
they're all depressed.
They're all.
480
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,400
Suffering yeah, they're all
suffering they cannot raise
481
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,000
money, they're all burning cash
because they're all expected to
482
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,240
burn at all cost, which is not
the game, you know, the game
483
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,960
plan anymore for that industry
and these guys actually have
484
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,280
really solid unit economics,
they just need more scale.
485
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,520
I was like, if you acquire your
competitors at what is
486
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:49,360
effectively, you know, less than
1X revenue, maybe like .5 X
487
00:24:49,360 --> 00:24:55,080
revenue, then you're getting a
wild discount to what they, you
488
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,160
know, are.
And when the market just evens
489
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,200
out a little bit and you
consecutively show consecutive
490
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,720
growth year over year, like you
can get back to like 3-4 X
491
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:07,560
revenue multiples, which again,
not the 60, you know, X that you
492
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:09,480
had before, but like you can
have real business.
493
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,440
You clear your prep stack and
you'll be able to make return
494
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,000
capital to everyone and everyone
will make money.
495
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:16,320
You know, it's going to take
three more years of this
496
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:17,760
playbook.
And we had some other
497
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:20,760
suggestions which, you know, I
can't share, but they, you know,
498
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:23,720
the board loved it.
They're like, we haven't seen
499
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:27,320
this idea come across our table,
like let's go ahead and pursue.
500
00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,480
And so 2026 is the year to go
and do all those transactions.
501
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,160
And so that's what we helped do.
We could help them go and secure
502
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:36,040
those transactions.
So we actually do buy side
503
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:37,640
management on that, on that
front.
504
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,400
So just being able to come into
these companies and understand
505
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:44,000
like where the value lies for
them to kind of clear the prep
506
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:45,800
stack because like, yeah, they
could have sold, they could have
507
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:47,240
if they wanted.
They were all burnt out.
508
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,600
They didn't have energy probably
would advise them to be one that
509
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:54,640
sells, but they were hungry.
They had they really wanted to
510
00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:55,600
take this thing to the next
level.
511
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:57,200
So it's like, OK, that's an
important element of the
512
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:00,360
strategy that we define.
Like they were not ready to call
513
00:26:00,360 --> 00:26:02,440
it quits.
And so it really challenges us
514
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:05,000
like what is possible.
And that's a ton of fun.
515
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,600
That's like, it's an amazing
exercise to go through and help
516
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:10,560
these founders unlock things
that they're not really allowed
517
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,760
to think about.
Sometimes, you know, it's like
518
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:15,640
they're they're not allowed to
think about the safe, you know,
519
00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:19,080
like the PE playbook of M and a
roll up like they're supposed to
520
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:22,120
be like technology, you know,
grow at all costs, you know,
521
00:26:22,120 --> 00:26:24,720
spend, spend, spend.
It's like, no, like the good
522
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,760
business economics is not a bad
thing.
523
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,480
Yeah, especially when you're
multiple has been falling off a
524
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,040
Cliff and it's nothing against
you.
525
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:37,200
And wouldn't it be true also
that if they aggregated the
526
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:42,160
businesses and did what sounds
like a roll up at discounted
527
00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:46,000
valuations, that now they're of
the size that an exit like a PE
528
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:50,200
exit would be plausible?
Yeah, that's exactly it.
529
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:52,520
And so worst case scenario, they
sell the PE where they are.
530
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:54,840
Best case scenario they sell
them the kind of the number one
531
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:56,920
player in the market that will
hopefully recover.
532
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,640
That's been kind of one of the,
you know, things that we taking
533
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:04,960
a gamble on is like they, they
seem to have the economics
534
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,240
figured out now, but they're
still not appreciated.
535
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:11,160
So we're hoping that the markets
will appreciate the number one
536
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:15,680
player right now and acquire our
client in like 3 to 4 years for
537
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:17,520
a premium.
So are you finding these
538
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:21,840
companies largely in?
Usus, so we have offices in
539
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:25,080
London and New York.
We predominantly have US clients
540
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:28,440
but about 30% of our businesses
UK.
541
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:33,240
Can you talk about what's
happening there in the UK and
542
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:36,440
the EU in terms of business
sentiment?
543
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,200
That's a That's a deep rabbit
hole, man.
544
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:43,040
Yeah.
That is, I have some I have some
545
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:45,920
opinions on the UK like look,
coming from the US, I'm biased
546
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:49,360
because you know, under the
free, you know, as much as
547
00:27:49,360 --> 00:27:51,720
people complain about the US and
you're like, go live in another
548
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,400
country and then come.
Back, yeah, try that for a
549
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,600
minute.
Like, well, you don't you don't
550
00:27:56,600 --> 00:28:00,720
know how much is true that we
hear, but especially the UK
551
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:04,520
based on what we've heard.
I mean, they definitely are not
552
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:12,320
the land of the free right,
which is, you know, to to just a
553
00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:16,440
pine on, you know, why we left
at the very beginning 250 years
554
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:21,600
ago, right, same sort of thing.
But what?
555
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:23,280
What?
Go ahead.
556
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:26,480
My my take right now is like I
have to come back to the USI
557
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,200
live in London now.
I love the quality of life, like
558
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:33,800
from a family, lifestyle
perspective, my young kids, it's
559
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:36,920
great.
The walkability is great yeah,
560
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:42,800
foods great a lot of good
things, but the tax and the the
561
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:45,920
business into like I, I run the
the post exit of founder
562
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,120
community here in London.
There's like 304 hundred of us.
563
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:52,840
I host dinners every month.
It's like such an amazing
564
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:55,760
community and they're dropping
like flies.
565
00:28:56,480 --> 00:29:00,640
They're there's so much, there's
so many people vacating the UK,
566
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:07,120
Dubai, Spain, Portugal, Milan,
US, like everyone's leaving
567
00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:11,520
because it's just the way the
government's acting here.
568
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:13,240
And I'm, you know, I'm a, I'm
basically a bystander.
569
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:15,320
I'm just like an observer, you
know, being here.
570
00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:20,080
I don't vote or, you know, do
anything, but just talking to my
571
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:24,400
tax account in here, I'm like,
wow, it would be wildly cost
572
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:27,680
prohibitive to stay, you know,
at the non Dom period.
573
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,720
And the they're eliminating a
lot of like entrepreneur
574
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:33,800
benefits.
I just, it's just so not like,
575
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:35,480
granted, is it better than
Europe?
576
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:37,520
Yeah.
And so there are still a ton of
577
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:42,360
Europeans migrating to the UK to
build because the US is so much
578
00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:47,240
more difficult to get into.
Initially, no, not make it easy,
579
00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:50,280
but basically a pause on
everything, more or less, yeah.
580
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:55,160
So like my my take is there's
some good talent here and it's
581
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:58,240
far cheaper than the US as far
as like good talent so that
582
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:00,680
there's some advantages of
having an office here or being
583
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:02,920
here.
The business is and will
584
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,920
continue to conduct in the UK.
It's not like all doom and
585
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:10,040
gloom, but like some amazing
people who have the means are
586
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,000
leaving.
And it's because the taxes is
587
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:16,920
because of just the
prioritization of public service
588
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:20,760
to at the expense of the wealth
creators and the value creators
589
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:25,520
in which there's a degree.
But when you look at just for,
590
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:28,120
for me being an American and
having to pay American taxes and
591
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,320
US like UK taxes, what kills me
is like I have US real estate
592
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:35,080
for all the obvious reasons of
depreciation and tax benefits
593
00:30:35,080 --> 00:30:39,760
and all that kind of stuff.
UK will basically just pass that
594
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,240
has to pass through the UK after
four years of living here.
595
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:46,080
And they just tax on revenue.
Like there's no writing off
596
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:49,080
depreciation.
There's no writing off of
597
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:51,080
expenses like it's.
There's no.
598
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,680
Yeah, you made a couple 100
grand on this property, Like,
599
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:56,320
OK, we're going to tax you at
the couple 100 grand.
600
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:58,480
I was like, well, no, my, my net
operating income's here and
601
00:30:58,480 --> 00:30:59,720
they're like, no, that doesn't
count like.
602
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,440
What absolutely makes absolutely
no sense.
603
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:05,920
Yeah.
So like, real estate is a
604
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:09,000
disaster in my opinion.
And like I thought when I moved
605
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:11,600
here, I was like, oh, I want to
own a place in London, shopped
606
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:14,680
around, looked at all this and I
was like, wait a second, it is
607
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:20,120
exponentially cheaper to rent
here and all the rights are in
608
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:22,200
my favor.
I could sign a lease and break
609
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:26,160
it and walk away.
Like this is like, this is
610
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:27,760
awful.
I want to own a property here.
611
00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:31,240
Yeah, we have one of our family
offices who's also a huge real
612
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:34,680
estate developer in rental
properties and they just dumped
613
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:38,960
$400 million in the London
suburbs building rental
614
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:42,880
apartments because that's that's
the way to go, right?
615
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,960
No one's buying it.
Investment totally.
616
00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:48,400
Yeah.
Single family home.
617
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:52,000
Not a good idea.
Yeah, like because the buying of
618
00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:53,920
the house, like my house I live
in right now is probably like
619
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:58,360
2-2 and a half million if I were
to buy and, or probably 2.
620
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:02,920
I'm getting it for like 5 grand
or £5000 a month.
621
00:32:03,440 --> 00:32:05,520
Like just as if you're not
familiar with the, we're going
622
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:09,560
way down a tangent, holy bear.
So I'm very upset about the
623
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,280
system here.
So I have a stamp duty tax here,
624
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,120
meaning like rather than paying
property tax over extended
625
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:19,600
period of time, you pay like 6
to 10% upfront of the purchase
626
00:32:19,600 --> 00:32:23,640
price that is non recoupable.
So call it a $2,000,000 house,
627
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:27,480
you're paying 200K upfront and
then you're having to put it as
628
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:29,520
a foreigner.
I had to put at least like 3540%
629
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:32,200
down.
So I'm like all this cash in to
630
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:34,680
which is a flat market, meaning
there's not really any
631
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,640
appreciation.
I have to renew my mortgage
632
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,400
every two to five years because
they're all Arms.
633
00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:42,960
There's no like 30 year fixed.
It's all Arms.
634
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:46,520
And then like my rent for two
years, I only really plan to be
635
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:48,600
here like 2 years and I could
probably go back in the summer.
636
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:50,880
I paid less in rent in two years
than I would just pay in the
637
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:57,120
stamp duty tax.
Like a transfer tax that you and
638
00:32:57,120 --> 00:32:59,760
you probably can't, I don't
know, you're AUS taxpayer, so
639
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,800
maybe you can deduct it.
But that's a big number, yeah.
640
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:03,760
It's just.
It's.
641
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:06,240
Yeah, it's just dumb.
Yeah.
642
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:08,560
This is like, why would I do
that?
643
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:13,160
Again, I have the optionality to
go back to the US, so I have a
644
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:16,480
flexibility of choice.
But yeah, it's definitely
645
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:19,840
discouraging.
And also like, the incomes here
646
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:23,000
wildly lower than the US.
Like, I could pay someone here,
647
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:27,040
you know, maybe call it 80,000
pounds, 100,000 lbs.
648
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,960
But in the US, I'd probably pay
like 180 for that person.
649
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,360
And like, good for talent
arbitrage as a owner of a
650
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:37,120
company, but for like employees
like how?
651
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:40,760
How do you survive in London?
You don't want people suffering,
652
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:42,880
they can't pay attention to
their work, right?
653
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:46,960
Yeah, so there's a lot I can
complain about UK tax law here,
654
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:49,440
but I digress.
And I'm no expert, but I just
655
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:52,080
from what I've learned and what
I've heard, I definitely want to
656
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:53,680
go back to the US.
Yeah, well, it's important to
657
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,920
hear from people that are living
it, which is more credible than
658
00:33:56,920 --> 00:33:59,520
just reading the fake news,
right?
659
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:07,360
So how how does are most of the
VCs Silicon Valley type VCs that
660
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:09,960
you've made relationships with
or are there other places?
661
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:13,840
All over, so UK based,
london-based, New York based.
662
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:15,639
I would say my strongest
connections are in New York.
663
00:34:15,639 --> 00:34:18,320
So that's where I was before
Israel.
664
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:19,760
Not a really good talent in
Israel.
665
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:22,400
Yeah.
So it's, it's, it's global like
666
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:25,560
a couple of really good firms in
the you know, Austin actually
667
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,199
I'd tell you probably like the
Silicon Valley ones less.
668
00:34:28,199 --> 00:34:31,199
So there's a handful that I'm
pretty close to, but they're
669
00:34:31,199 --> 00:34:35,080
more of the smaller funds.
You know, I would say they, the
670
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:39,040
silicon mindset is Silicon
Valley mindset is like it's
671
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:41,000
billion or best all the way.
They just don't really care
672
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:45,280
otherwise for the most part.
So that's not really our ethos.
673
00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:49,159
So we don't really drive too
much opportunity from there,
674
00:34:49,159 --> 00:34:55,719
like New York and Austin,
Seattle, London, Germany,
675
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:00,080
Israel, Like yeah, those are
kind of the markets that we, you
676
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,160
know, probably pull in the
strongest relationships.
677
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:06,440
Do you feel like there's if you
had more capacity, you could
678
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:09,880
service more companies or are
you kind of comfortable where it
679
00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:12,000
is right now because it's a lot
of work?
680
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:12,920
Sounds like it's a lot of.
Work.
681
00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:16,560
Yeah.
So the beauty of our model and
682
00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:19,640
what makes U.S. special is we
operate as a partner model.
683
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:25,280
So I recruit like exited
founders or very successful
684
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:30,880
bankers that hate the banker
ecosystem and culture.
685
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:34,480
So we're we're five partners,
four of us are exited founders.
686
00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:36,480
One of them is like an ex banker
from Goldman.
687
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,520
And what makes us kind of
special is we have this model
688
00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:43,640
that is very flexible for these
high talent kind of people that
689
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:45,520
are already made it.
They don't need a job.
690
00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:47,280
They want to be in the game, but
they don't want to be in it
691
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,280
alone.
And so we have such a large top
692
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,240
of funnel across multi version
sectors and divisions.
693
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:55,240
We ultimately help them get
access to really interesting
694
00:35:55,240 --> 00:35:58,120
companies, really interesting
founders that they have material
695
00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:01,200
value to offer them.
And so we provide them the
696
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:04,240
infrastructure to go support
them and help them in the
697
00:36:04,240 --> 00:36:05,680
transaction.
So everything that we do,
698
00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:09,320
everything I've mentioned, my
team is capable of, my partners
699
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:11,240
are capable of.
Most of the deals I mentioned
700
00:36:11,240 --> 00:36:16,760
were my my partner's deals.
And so I'm able to kind of
701
00:36:17,240 --> 00:36:22,360
provide this experience for
these high caliber individuals
702
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:28,200
to be able to leverage the best
parts of them and like the fun
703
00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:31,720
parts of like building deep
relationships, focusing on
704
00:36:31,720 --> 00:36:35,200
strategy, you know, teeing up
opportunities to their network.
705
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:36,720
And they're focused on those
aspects.
706
00:36:36,720 --> 00:36:39,600
What we have a full delivery
team underneath them that's
707
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:43,720
doing decks, modeling
collateral, you know, all that
708
00:36:43,720 --> 00:36:47,360
kind of the the work that must
be done to have the confidence
709
00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:50,880
in the strategy.
And that's kind of pretty
710
00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,160
crucial to ecosystem that we
build.
711
00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:55,600
And we're always actively
recruiting for amazing partners.
712
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,080
Is.
Have you found that the grunt
713
00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:01,320
work that would normally be done
by an analyst can now be done
714
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:05,000
90% by AI?
Seems like a lot of people
715
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:07,920
experiencing that, right?
Yeah, it's 70%.
716
00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:12,080
That's kind of an eculation.
So we have a team of analysts
717
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:18,640
and very talented like from 5 to
15 years of experience and I
718
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:20,760
push out I we do a quarterly AI
day.
719
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,800
Like what are you going to make
faster, better, cheaper with AI?
720
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,400
That's like a cultural thing we
have in the company.
721
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:30,560
And sometimes we built our own
AI stack with like helping
722
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:34,160
identify relevant investors.
So we have like 10,000 firms
723
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:37,440
that we're constantly tracking,
monitoring for changes and data
724
00:37:37,720 --> 00:37:42,240
for updating on a regular basis.
And then we input company data
725
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:44,640
into our network.
It will say like, hey, here are
726
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,520
the Ed investors that are
statistically more likely to
727
00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:50,280
engage in this opportunity.
So we build some of our own
728
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:53,800
stack.
We have love open AI and Gemini
729
00:37:54,720 --> 00:37:58,320
perplexity for various different
tasks and responsibilities and
730
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:00,320
research and whatnot.
Like it's one of those things
731
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:03,200
where if you're not using it
like you're wildly inefficient.
732
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:06,680
Oh, it's.
Crazy perplexities because it
733
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:09,240
gives you all the sources.
I mean, they were the first ones
734
00:38:09,240 --> 00:38:11,720
that come out and just say, OK,
this is where we got all this
735
00:38:11,720 --> 00:38:13,880
data, so you better check it,
right?
736
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:18,240
Yeah, and what I love about it
actually is their their comment
737
00:38:18,240 --> 00:38:22,880
browser.
They have I automate all kinds
738
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:25,040
of stuff on the the comment
browser.
739
00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:29,560
I'm like, hey, like I probably
can't share what I'm automating
740
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:33,280
to some degree.
This is a certain compliance
741
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:34,760
thing.
So it's just like, I don't want
742
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:37,560
to do, you know, like have to
do, don't want to do.
743
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:43,040
I can literally write the prompt
and it will just do the task and
744
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,640
like check the boxes, you know,
read the question And it's just
745
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:49,280
like, you know, something that
would distract 45 minutes of my
746
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:52,880
brain capacity for like say
client work or meetings or
747
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:54,600
whatnot.
And I'm writing a 4 minute
748
00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:56,160
prompt and just letting it run
in the background.
749
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:58,600
Yeah.
So there's just, there's a bunch
750
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:03,240
of really cool stuff out there
that's yeah, you're, you're
751
00:39:03,240 --> 00:39:08,040
losing if you're not using it.
What have you found in terms of
752
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:12,760
for the benefit of the audience
here are your investors. 10%
753
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:17,640
family offices. 20% family
offices in aggregate, but not, I
754
00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:22,840
know it's germane to the deal,
but what's your investor network
755
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:25,640
look like in terms of
composition of family offices?
756
00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:31,280
It's on the lower side.
You know, I would say we're, we
757
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:36,520
push more to institutional
funds, just how we structure
758
00:39:36,520 --> 00:39:37,680
things.
And they're just, it's a little
759
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:41,200
bit more reliable to kind of
know their scope, what they do,
760
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:44,600
what they want in family
offices.
761
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:48,200
We've had, I guess I have some
just good relationships, but
762
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:53,280
it's in the small number in
terms of just understanding what
763
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:54,960
they actually want, what they
do.
764
00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:57,400
And also like, do they have any
interest in what we do?
765
00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:59,960
What I try to do is just like
here, here's here's the options
766
00:39:59,960 --> 00:40:03,440
on the silver platter in terms
of like what this deal could be
767
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:04,760
and why it might be relevant to
you.
768
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:08,760
And so we shop it out to, you
know, a good chunk of family
769
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,440
offices that we've met with, we
had dinners with or anything
770
00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:13,280
like that for them to have the
optionality.
771
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:15,280
And some of them are, I would
say.
772
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:18,400
Ragtag family offices like kind
of borderline or you just an
773
00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:21,120
ultra high no earth or you
actually family office to like
774
00:40:21,240 --> 00:40:24,200
institutionalized, you know,
family offices where we're
775
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:28,120
talking to like more of an
employee as opposed to, you
776
00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:30,520
know, kind of the principal.
Yeah, the principal.
777
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:34,080
So it's it's a bit of a mix.
Love to have more of those
778
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:35,680
conversations.
It's just one of those things
779
00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:37,560
where it's like, wow, sounds
like what you're doing is really
780
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:39,400
cool.
I don't necessarily have
781
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:41,680
something in the books just for
that specific thing because like
782
00:40:41,680 --> 00:40:44,640
sometimes we're like, we're, I
just did a deal.
783
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:46,360
Hopefully it closes this week.
We'll see.
784
00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:49,160
There's like a football club
here in London or outside of
785
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:51,440
London and I'm at this family
office.
786
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:53,480
And then they're like, we're
really into like they have like,
787
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:55,000
oh, we do all this stuff.
But like, honestly, all we
788
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:56,680
really care about doing is like
football club deals.
789
00:40:57,360 --> 00:41:00,400
I was like, that's so random.
Well, just what happens?
790
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:04,400
My friend is an owner of like a,
you know, level 5 football club
791
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,640
outside of London and I go to
the owner's box, meet all the
792
00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:10,480
owners and they're talking about
their expansion strategies and
793
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:13,360
all that stuff.
And actually he's like, oh, you
794
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:14,600
guys, oh, you should talk to
these.
795
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:16,400
And they're like that.
Like just something as simple as
796
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:19,120
that is what connects the dots
on on some deals.
797
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:25,280
But yeah, so it's, it's
interesting how the preferences
798
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:28,120
and desires can, can change and
just being able to log that and
799
00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:31,880
be able to understand how do we
know when to bring this deal to
800
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:33,880
that family office at the right
time?
801
00:41:34,240 --> 00:41:35,480
And that's what a lot of our AI
is.
802
00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:38,920
We record and track everything.
And they were able to query our
803
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:42,040
own database with like a rack
model to be able to understand
804
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:46,840
like, OK, who have we talked to
in the last year, 2 years, three
805
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:50,400
years that would be interested
in something like this?
806
00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:53,480
And we like kind of put in the
company data and it's like you
807
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:58,160
talked to James from this family
office, you know, 18 months ago,
808
00:41:58,560 --> 00:42:01,360
Here is your last e-mail
exchange and here's why they'd
809
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:02,240
be interested.
I'm like.
810
00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:04,440
You mentioned how long that
would have taken.
811
00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:05,880
I want.
To give it.
812
00:42:06,040 --> 00:42:09,080
Up and a half ago you would have
forgotten first of all, and
813
00:42:09,080 --> 00:42:12,800
secondly you would have taken
forever to retrieve that data.
814
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:16,240
It's pretty amazing.
Yeah, that's that's why I just
815
00:42:16,240 --> 00:42:21,560
record everything because
otherwise I, I, I, I have way
816
00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:24,360
too many meetings.
My meeting recorder tells me
817
00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:27,600
it's like, yeah, 45 meetings
last week for a total of like
818
00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:31,360
1000 something minutes.
I'm like, who did I meet with?
819
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:33,920
Yeah, right.
At the every Monday I have to go
820
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:37,000
through and say who did I meet
with last week just to kind of
821
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:38,080
make sure I keep track of
things.
822
00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:41,520
Yeah, it's thank God for the
recorders just because otherwise
823
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:42,560
and they can do them in person
now.
824
00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:44,920
You can record it in person logs
in the same file which is great.
825
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:48,560
That's awesome.
So, well, maybe there'll be a
826
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:52,360
handful of family offices that
listen to this, be interested in
827
00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:54,800
having a conversation with you,
which is part of the objective
828
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:56,760
here.
But at the very least, I super
829
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,080
appreciate you sharing this
because it's been fascinating.
830
00:42:59,720 --> 00:43:02,280
Yeah, it and what you said at
the beginning is, I think,
831
00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:07,880
really relevant in that you were
struggling to, when you were
832
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:12,400
doing the deals for yourself.
Everybody had an agenda and
833
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:14,520
nobody was working on your
behalf besides you.
834
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:19,040
Now you can step in and say, OK,
is this good for the investor or
835
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:20,760
is this good for the founder,
right?
836
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:24,000
Yeah, yeah.
And that's, that's what I love
837
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:25,640
to do.
That's my favorite part about
838
00:43:25,640 --> 00:43:28,360
what we do is really helping
solve these complex, you know,
839
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:30,400
problems.
And also hearing like what
840
00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:34,440
investors want and trying to
keep a pulse on what actually
841
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,600
what deals do they actually want
to pursue.
842
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:39,080
Because in the market's shifted
so much in the last few years
843
00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:42,000
from like sector preference to
AI this, AI that.
844
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:45,480
And it's just a matter of like,
OK, well, like who's still
845
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:48,480
looking for these types of
businesses?
846
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:52,400
What are they willing to pay and
being able to use technology to
847
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:57,240
streamline the kind of memory
recall that's required to kind
848
00:43:57,240 --> 00:43:59,880
of do these deals to kind of tap
the network that we already
849
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:02,160
have.
And as I kind of very much
850
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:05,080
express, I meet with a lot of
people every single week, always
851
00:44:05,080 --> 00:44:07,680
looking to meet more and just
trying to help expand, you know,
852
00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:10,480
who we talked to and and who we
might be able to help and, you
853
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:12,160
know, facilitate interesting
opportunities too.
854
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:17,840
Yeah, it's misused as a sound
bite in the public media, but do
855
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,240
you have any opinion about the
frothiness of the AI?
856
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:24,560
You know, I was on record not
too long ago on another podcast
857
00:44:24,560 --> 00:44:28,080
around this topic.
Yeah, At the end of the day, it
858
00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:31,320
is a bubble, but it's not, it's
not, it's not the same bubble
859
00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:34,640
that we attribute to likethe.com
or, you know, the housing bubble
860
00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:37,000
or anything like that.
There's a material value being
861
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:39,040
created in these companies very
fast.
862
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:43,960
There's an adoption rate we've
never seen before in the AI
863
00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:46,000
sector.
Like people are like, oh, the
864
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:48,600
CapEx going in these companies,
like, yeah, like, but there's
865
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:53,960
revenue high, growing, fast
growing revenue right behind
866
00:44:53,960 --> 00:44:56,800
them.
The problem is the bubble that
867
00:44:57,160 --> 00:45:01,040
in reality that people think is
happening, it's like, oh, bad AI
868
00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:02,640
companies are getting funded
like, I don't think so.
869
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:05,280
Like most of the company AI
companies, they could be
870
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,800
disappearing very quickly.
So I think they kind of like the
871
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:11,880
precede seed Series A companies
that are like AI wrapper of that
872
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:13,960
and AI wrapper of that.
The application layer guys,
873
00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:18,160
those ones are getting wiped out
very fast because the big model
874
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:21,240
guys are just yeah, we'll offer
that like similar like, you
875
00:45:21,240 --> 00:45:24,320
know, the App Store and Apple
back in the day where, you know,
876
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:27,080
the flashlight app was like,
let's just get rid of that.
877
00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:29,560
Let's just make it ourselves.
Like those things are happening
878
00:45:29,560 --> 00:45:33,800
so quickly that it's hard for
Visa and I'm talking to a lot of
879
00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:36,000
companies, which I feel so bad
for it.
880
00:45:36,000 --> 00:45:37,680
They're like, hey, can you help
sell us?
881
00:45:38,080 --> 00:45:40,960
And like, I'm like, AI is going
to gobble you up.
882
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:44,160
Like who would buy you?
Like if you're not AI native
883
00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:50,400
with an immense, you know, it's
like Moat to defend yourself.
884
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:55,960
You just don't really have much
value in today's economy.
885
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:58,680
Like you know what conglomerates
like there used to be a decision
886
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:01,480
in M&A, strategic M&A, it's
like, well, how much, how much
887
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:03,160
time and toss would it take to
build?
888
00:46:03,160 --> 00:46:04,600
This to build it, right?
Yeah.
889
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:07,640
And you know how And that's that
values.
890
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:11,320
From this to this, Yeah, yeah.
It's like, oh, I had to have 30
891
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:14,480
engineers for a year do this and
now it's like I'm going to have
892
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:18,240
a guy on this weekend get a
prototype out the door.
893
00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:20,640
Now, granted, it's not
enterprise grade and blah, blah,
894
00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:25,280
blah, blah, blah, but like that
self-confidence of MVP makes
895
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:28,800
them feel like they can produce
an equivalent product very
896
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:31,240
quickly.
So these SAS companies that are
897
00:46:31,240 --> 00:46:35,360
like sub 10 million in revenue
that don't have a true Moat,
898
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:38,440
don't have true AI, they're
going to have a hard time
899
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:40,160
getting the premiums they
thought they would get.
900
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:42,840
And that's a hard reality for me
to share because that's
901
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:44,800
obviously disadvantaged me like
most bankers are.
902
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:47,080
Yeah, yeah, yeah, we can totally
sell you for 10X revenue.
903
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:50,520
We did a deal like that in 2019.
Yeah, right.
904
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:52,960
And, you know, it's just like I
can't tell them that.
905
00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:55,880
And as much as I, you know,
won't get the job.
906
00:46:56,800 --> 00:46:58,680
That's all right.
Reality will set in.
907
00:46:58,680 --> 00:47:01,000
You might make a little bit of
money, but then it'll fail,
908
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:02,760
right?
Everybody will be unhappy.
909
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:06,000
Yeah, I do.
I do AI roll ups for fun.
910
00:47:06,000 --> 00:47:07,280
Oh, that for fun.
That's a part of my job.
911
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,520
But like we that's one of my
favorite parts is like these AI
912
00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:11,960
companies that are rolling up
service companies.
913
00:47:12,160 --> 00:47:14,120
So we have a deal right now
that's coming together like
914
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:17,840
companies doing like half a
million million EBITDA somewhere
915
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:20,040
in that range.
And they came to us and like,
916
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,360
oh, we want 5X, you know,
EBITDA.
917
00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:25,800
I was like, well, you're a
service business at 15 X 15%
918
00:47:25,800 --> 00:47:29,200
EBITDA margins.
Like that margin is going to
919
00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:33,240
disappear in like a year because
like AI is going to wipe you
920
00:47:33,240 --> 00:47:35,120
out.
Like in this client that we're
921
00:47:35,120 --> 00:47:37,320
representing will be the one
that wipes you out because if
922
00:47:37,320 --> 00:47:39,360
you don't, if you don't settle
them, they're just going to
923
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:41,400
replace you.
And like you have the
924
00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:43,920
opportunity to give them a two
year head start with your client
925
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:50,000
base and get a premium now more
like 2X3X and sell today versus?
926
00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:52,480
0.
You get 0 like your business
927
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:55,560
will slowly deplete and you
know, would you rather get the
928
00:47:55,560 --> 00:47:57,560
cash up fraud, go figure out
something else, go live on a
929
00:47:57,560 --> 00:48:00,040
beach for a couple years or
would you, you know, try to
930
00:48:00,040 --> 00:48:03,080
compete?
And so kind of a fun
931
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:05,560
conversation to have with some
of these companies about what
932
00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:06,840
should they do in these
environments.
933
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:12,160
So it's been really like a fun
project to to be working on on
934
00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:14,480
that front.
And there's tons of them, right?
935
00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:16,840
It's kind of endless.
Yeah.
936
00:48:17,240 --> 00:48:19,600
Especially the overlay
companies, because they just
937
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:24,600
took all the LLMS and built
something that anybody could
938
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:26,840
build over them with the little
engineering.
939
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:28,440
Right?
100% yeah.
940
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:30,920
Wild.
Well, I super appreciate you
941
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,560
doing this, Jason.
Tell everybody it's Thunder VC,
942
00:48:33,560 --> 00:48:35,840
right?
Yeah, the website's Thunder dot
943
00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:38,000
BC if you guys have any
questions, you can reach me at
944
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:43,560
Jason at
thunder.bcyoucanfindme@linkedinat.linkedin.com/and/that
945
00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:44,800
was it.
Jason R Kirby.
946
00:48:45,240 --> 00:48:47,920
I put out a podcast called $100
million exits, right?
947
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,920
Interview founders and investors
that have experienced $100
948
00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:53,680
million plus exits.
I've had, you know, 100 episode,
949
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:55,240
actually 100 episode goes out
tomorrow.
950
00:48:55,880 --> 00:49:01,280
So happy to, to chat, talk to
you flow, kind of share what
951
00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:04,520
we're doing on the how we help
companies navigate these these
952
00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:06,800
situations.
So maybe if they have a
953
00:49:06,800 --> 00:49:09,720
portfolio company that they're
kind of figuring out what to do
954
00:49:09,720 --> 00:49:12,120
with, we can have that
conversation.
955
00:49:12,120 --> 00:49:14,080
We're always having to have
conversations, see where it goes
956
00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:17,080
and, you know, see what can be
done.
957
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:19,680
Yeah, Super interesting.
Really appreciate it.
958
00:49:20,520 --> 00:49:22,600
Yeah, Thanks for joining us
today.
959
00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:24,960
Thank you.
Thank you, everybody for
960
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:27,400
spending with us.
The only thing you can't make
961
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:28,520
more of.
And that's your time.
962
00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:30,400
Super cool, Jason.
Thank you.
963
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:32,640
Appreciate it.
You bet.
964
00:49:33,120 --> 00:49:33,520
Thank you.