Walmart Signals Price Increases, Dicks Buys Foot Locker & Target Bets On Rural Growth?
In this week’s Omni Talk Retail Fast Five news roundup, sponsored by the A&M Consumer and Retail Group , Simbe , Mirakl , Ocampo Capital , Infios , and ClearDemand , A&M’s Michael Prendergast and Christopher Disa join Chris and Anne to discuss:
- Walmart signaling that price hikes could begin later this month ( Source )
- Target Circle 360 members receiving free same-day delivery from 100+ other retailers via Shipt ( Source )
- Dick’s Sporting Goods acquiring Foot Locker ( Source )
- The cybercrime wave that has hit European retailers and whether U.S. retailers are prepared for something similar ( Source )
- And closed with a look at Target’s new small town store expansion strategy (yes, two Target headlines this week folks!) ( Source )
There’s all that, plus RADAR CEO Spencer Hewett stops by for 5 Insightful Minutes to put Chris in his place on his recent comments about his company’s Old Navy store rollout, along with a Favre-filled, Sesame Street lightning round.
Music by hooksounds.com
00:00 - Untitled
00:24 - Unlocking New Revenue Streams in Retail
06:38 - Retail Pricing Landscape Discussion
15:21 - The Evolution of Retail and Same-Day Delivery Services
25:25 - Transitioning to New Market Strategies
37:40 - The Evolution of Retail Strategies and Technologies
44:28 - The Shift to Cybersecurity Awareness
55:11 - Challenges and Opportunities for Target in Rural Markets
01:04:51 - The Impact of Celebrity on Public Perception
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Speaker ALearn more@ocampocapital.com hello, you are listening to Omnitalks Retail Fast 5 ranked in the top 10% of all podcasts globally and currently the only retail podcast ranked in the top 100 of all business podcasts on Apple Podcasts.
Speaker AThe Retail Fast Five is the podcast that we hope makes you feel a little little smarter, but most importantly, a little happier each week too.
Speaker AAnd the Fast 5 is just one of the many great podcasts you can find from the Omnitalk Retail Podcast Network alongside our Retail Daily Minute, which brings you a curated selection of the most important retail headlines every morning and our Retail Technology Spotlight series, which goes deep each week on the latest retail technology Trends.
Speaker AToday is May 21, 2025.
Speaker AI'm one of your hosts, Anne Mazinga.
Speaker BAnd I think I'm still one of your other hosts, Chris Walton, and we're.
Speaker AHere once again to discuss all the top headlines from the past making waves in the world of omnichannel retailing.
Speaker AAnd we have a special couple of guests today.
Speaker AJoining us for their regularly scheduled monthly appearance.
Speaker AIt's the Alvarez and Marcel consumer and retail groups Chris Disa and Michael Prendergast.
Speaker AWelcome back, you two.
Speaker AThanks so much for being here.
Speaker AAgain, I want to kick it off by just having you each share a little bit about each of your backgrounds and the color you're going to provide to today's show.
Speaker ASo let's get started with you first, Michael.
Speaker CThanks, Dan.
Speaker CSo, Michael Prendergast, I've been with A and M for about seven years and prior to that I was an industry retail hardened veteran.
Speaker CI operated for about 20 years out there, so I've seen it all.
Speaker CI've seen retail, I've seen consulting.
Speaker CI've seen mix of both.
Speaker CSo great to be here today and super excited to be talking about the subjects we have at hand.
Speaker AYeah, you've had a busy last couple of years, Michael, so we are excited to have you back on the podcast because it's been.
Speaker AIt's been a minute.
Speaker AUm, Chris, let's go to you next.
Speaker AGive us a little bit of your background too.
Speaker DThanks, Ann and Chris, great to be here.
Speaker DLooking forward to discussing the five topics today.
Speaker DSimilar to Michael, I've been here for seven years at A and M's consumer and retail practice.
Speaker DPrior to that, I spent most of my career in industry across various leadership roles in merchandising, product development and planning and allocation.
Speaker DAnd certainly looking forward to discussing all topics retail today.
Speaker BYeah, we are super excited to have both of you and, and Michael for.
Speaker BTo.
Speaker BTo give the, the, the listeners a little bit into why Anne mentioned that you've been a busy guy and we haven't seen you of late is because you were recently the interim CEO at joann Fabrics.
Speaker BSo yes, folks, we've got a big time guest on the show today along with Chris, and both of them bring a ton of operating knowledge, which is why we like partnering with them and why we like having them on the show each and every month.
Speaker BSo, Ange, should we get the show started?
Speaker BI'm excited.
Speaker BWe got some great topics today.
Speaker AYes, yes, we should absolutely get started.
Speaker ASo much to cover, Chris.
Speaker BSo much to cover.
Speaker BCan't wait to pick these two's brains.
Speaker BAll right, today's headlines are brought to you by Commerce Next.
Speaker BDon't miss your chance to attend Commerce Next with us.
Speaker BTaking place June 24 to June 26 at the New York Hilton Midtown with over 2700 industry leaders, 75 plus sessions packed with insights and unmatched networking opportunities, this is the can't miss event of the summer.
Speaker BAnd do we mention the Yacht Rock?
Speaker BYacht party?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BTo kick things off and can't.
Speaker BI know, right, Michael?
Speaker BA yacht rock party.
Speaker EYeah.
Speaker CI mean, can't go wrong with yacht rock, especially this time of year, throughout the summer.
Speaker CI mean, come on.
Speaker BOh, on my plane back from London, the guy was watching the yacht rock documentary and Christopher Cross is playing next to me.
Speaker BI was loving it.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker BI couldn't hear it.
Speaker CMemorial Day is like the official kickoff for yacht, right?
Speaker CI think.
Speaker AYeah, right.
Speaker BYeah, it is.
Speaker BIt is.
Speaker BSo if you're as excited about Yacht Rock as all of us are, secure your spot now at Commerce Next and use code omnitalk, all one word for 10% off general admission.
Speaker BAnd if you're from a retail or brand, you may qualify for a free ticket.
Speaker BBut act fast, availability is limited.
Speaker BAnd hopefully we'll see you in New York and we all can go sailing together.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker BIn this week's Fast5, we've got news on target.
Speaker BCircle360 members receiving free same day delivery from 100 plus other retailers via Shipt Dick's Sporting Goods acquiring Foot Locker, the cyber the cyber crime wave that has hit European retailers very hard of late and whether the US Is prepared for something similar.
Speaker BCan't wait to talk about that.
Speaker BTarget's new small town store expansion strategy.
Speaker BYes, folks, we have two Target headlines this week, not even factoring in their earnings call, which will probably hit next week.
Speaker BAnd Radar's Spencer Hewitt stops by to check me on what I got right and what I got wrong about my comments surrounding the company's Old Navy rollout in one of last month's Fast Five episodes.
Speaker BYou're definitely going to want to stick around and hear what he has to say.
Speaker BBut we begin today with big news on the retail pricing landscape.
Speaker BAnd do the honors.
Speaker AHeadline number one, Walmart CFO said last week that price hikes could start later this month.
Speaker AIn an interview with cnbc, Walmart's chief financial officer John David Rainey said import duties are still too high, even with the recently announced agreement to lower them on imports from China to 30% for 90 days.
Speaker AJohn David Rainey said, quote, we're wired for everyday low prices.
Speaker AIt's more than any supplier can absorb.
Speaker AAnd I'm, and so I'm concerned that the consumer is going to start seeing higher prices.
Speaker AYou'll begin to see that likely towards the tail end of this month and then certainly much more in June, end quote.
Speaker AMichael, we're gonna go to you first.
Speaker AThis is a pretty heavy statement from the U S's one of the US's largest retailers.
Speaker AHow do you expect other retailers to react to Walmart's signal of price increases?
Speaker CI think it's you, I think it's a huge statement and this is a topic I love talking about right now.
Speaker CYeah, you know it's, it is huge and I think if I had a crystal ball right now it would be fabulous.
Speaker CI think we'd all be billionaires.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker CAnd from what we're hearing from all the retailers and vendors that we're talking to.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker CIs that it's an absolute free for all what people are doing with pricing.
Speaker CSo I think it was pretty ambitious that Walmart came out and kind of planted the flag and said we are absolutely raising prices.
Speaker CAnd I think other retailers are either going to say hey we're going to use this as an opportunity to take market share and sacrifice a little margin or and keep prices where they are or other retailers are going to say well if Walmart's doing it, we have a license to do it.
Speaker CAnd then I actually think you'll see a little bit of both of those activities.
Speaker CSo it's going to be very, very interesting to see how other retailers react.
Speaker CThe other interesting thing that no one's really talking about and you hear this a little bit is it's 30% increase on top of the 301 tariffs that on average were 21% increase.
Speaker CSo over a three year basis it's over a 50% increase if you, if you do it on a relative basis.
Speaker CSo it's not for the faint of heart to take prices up.
Speaker CSo very, very interesting for Walmart and it'll be very, very interesting to see what other retailers do with that.
Speaker AYeah, absolutely.
Speaker AI mean and I think you have to think about Walmart's unique position too being a mass retailer and for things like food and other things that just don't have the margins like you're really, they're really going to, there's no way around it, it sounds like, but yes, definitely opening the doors for some other retailers to make, make some concessions to.
Speaker AChris Disa, what are your thoughts here?
Speaker DYeah, I think, you know, I agree with Michael, I do think that a lot of retailers, you know, for a lot of retailers this is going to bolster their confidence in raising prices.
Speaker DBut I think the watch out for Walmart and other retailers that it has to be done surgically.
Speaker DThere are some categories and items that are inelastic based on utility value or necessity while others are not.
Speaker DAnd I think the cautionary tale for other retailers, specifically apparel or non essential merchandise retailers, that if you raise prices and then you have to increase your discount rates to move product in the future, then you're really training your customer to expect a higher promotional value or activity which can have long lasting, long term effects.
Speaker DSo definitely something to watch out for.
Speaker DThere's a ying and a yang to all of this.
Speaker AYeah, without a doubt.
Speaker AChris Walton, jump in here.
Speaker AWhat are your thoughts?
Speaker BI mean my question for, for Michael since he started out would be do you think the entire retail industry breathed a collective sigh of relief this week with this announcement saying oh thank God Walmart did this because now it gives us some room to move.
Speaker BWhat do you think about that?
Speaker CIt's an interesting question.
Speaker CI don't think so.
Speaker CI think people are afraid to raise price because there a lot of retailers with the section 301 tariffs and the inflationary environment of COVID raised price and they saw a linear reduction of units purchased and they also saw a red line in the sand of being able to raise price to a certain level.
Speaker CAnd then when they got over that, their customers balked at it and said we're not purchasing.
Speaker CSo I think it's sort of an interest.
Speaker CMy point of view is it's an interesting thing that Walmart did and if I was a retailer I'd be saying okay, well glad they're doing it, we can potentially do it, but we're also nervous about doing it.
Speaker CSo I don't think it's giving everyone full license to go out and do it.
Speaker BYeah, that's an interesting point.
Speaker BYeah, I think initially I thought yes, but now as I'm talking to you and thinking out loud, I'm thinking maybe not.
Speaker BIt kind of depends on what happens from here.
Speaker BDoes Walmart follow through on this or not given the kerfuffle that started there.
Speaker BBut I mean the other point I'd make too is the, the gate, it just gives, it gives license for the game theory to start around this across the industry.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BAnd you saw Home Depot come out yesterday and be like we're not taking prices up because they're playing on the opposite trend in the media and the perception that they have there.
Speaker BSo you know, but at the end of the day like Walmart sets the prices and the rest of the industry follows.
Speaker BSo if Walmart brings the prices up then I think that gives then the Sigh of relief I think comes.
Speaker BBut the trick is I agree with what Chris said too.
Speaker BYou got to be really smart about how you do this.
Speaker BYou don't want to tell people, I think either.
Speaker BYou just want to let the prices speak for themselves at shelf.
Speaker BI think that's my big lesson here for all retailers they're going to take away from this past week is like you're not talking about this as much as you can, you know, give, you know, depending on what your legal ramifications are in terms of what you got to report to the financial community.
Speaker BBut.
Speaker BAnd curious if you guys have thoughts on that too.
Speaker BBut you know, for the most part you're just going to want to let this sit and let the customers adjust it over time, I would think.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker CBut the other interesting thing is Walmart is clearly the gorilla in the marketplace, Right?
Speaker CAnd the hidden thing in this is Walmart can do whatever they, whatever they really choose to do.
Speaker CSo if they raise their prices and it doesn't work, they will shift and pivot it so quickly it'll make your head spin.
Speaker CThey've got the margin then to cover the markdowns and they'll kind of make the we raised our price mistake go away lightning fast.
Speaker CNot everybody else can do that and not everybody else has that latitude.
Speaker CSo that's where it's a little scary too.
Speaker CAnd I look, I think it's amazing.
Speaker CI applaud them for doing it, but at the same point like they've got a really easy get out of jail free card and their customer is very reactionary too based on the everyday low value pricing scheme.
Speaker CIf you start promoting on top of that, it will clear goods immediately for them and then so they kind of have a very easy safety backup plan.
Speaker CSo raise prices.
Speaker BGreat point.
Speaker CDoesn't work.
Speaker CPull the trigger, bring it down a little bit and then revenues go through the roof.
Speaker CWe take it on the chin from a margin standpoint a little bit.
Speaker CBut in the quarterly calls we're now talking about a revenue increase with a little bit of margin dilution.
Speaker CAnd the street is going to say, oh, that's awesome.
Speaker CWe're super psyched.
Speaker CSo Walmart is kind of insulated, in my opinion.
Speaker AYeah, 100%, Michael.
Speaker AI mean that's what I was just going to jump in and say too.
Speaker ALike they're also building a moat with retail media.
Speaker AThe recurring loyalty revenue that they're getting from Walmart, plus like all of those things allow them over many of the other retailers that are, are in the industries and in the Space, including Target, you know, who announced earnings this morning.
Speaker ALike Walmart is in a much better position to be able to weather this storm, I think than a lot of the other retailers out there.
Speaker ASo I don't think it's wrong that they're being transparent with their customers.
Speaker ACustomers saying, look, this is going to happen and customers know they're always going to be able to go to, to Walmart for, for that everyday low price guarantee.
Speaker ASo I think it's just, it's, it's taking a different approach that we're seeing in the market.
Speaker DI also think that it depends on, you know, the level of which they're taking the prices up, right?
Speaker D5%, 10%, 20%.
Speaker DYou know, as an everyday low value retailer, taking 5, 10, 15% up on, you know, certain inelastic goods may not be a big deal.
Speaker DWhere other retailers who have a higher baseline, you know, it's much more impactful.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BWhat a great start to this podcast.
Speaker BHoly cow, this is.
Speaker CBuckle up on this one.
Speaker CThis, the story's still yet to be written.
Speaker BOh my God.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BThe game theory starts today.
Speaker BAll right, so headline number two, man, and there's some, we got some more meat on the bones and a lot of these headlines too.
Speaker BTarget Circle 360 members can now shop same day delivery with 100 plus retailers according to retail dive.
Speaker BThrough its ship service, the mass retailer will give subscribers access to same day delivery at Petco, PetSmart, CVS and more, all without price markups.
Speaker BTarget Circle360 has a membership price of around $99 annually and new signups for Target Circle360 can get $20 off their first order of at least $75, said Kara Sylvester, executive vice president and chief guest experience officer at Target.
Speaker BQuote We've built a true digital shopping center experience making your Saturday errand run easier, faster and more affordable.
Speaker BEnd quote.
Speaker BChris Disa Are you buying or selling the new same day delivery perk for Target Circle360 members?
Speaker DI am absolutely buying this as a consumer.
Speaker AYou are?
Speaker DI am.
Speaker DAs a consumer, you know, I have Walmart plus Amazon and Target360 and I.
Speaker BWould say most of you already have it.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BYou already have it.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker DMost of my same day shopping habit is not solely based on price but availability.
Speaker DSo for me, Target360, you know, in the event, in the opportunity to now provide access and service to products from other retailers as cvs, Petsmart, et cetera, I think it's a huge win and I'm all in.
Speaker CWow.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BStarting off strong and I think you like this too, right?
Speaker ALook, I love the idea listening to that Target earnings call today.
Speaker AThat is they are pumping this hard as their like growth engine to, to continue to combat the earnings that were announced.
Speaker AI just don't understand how you make money off of this.
Speaker AThat's my biggest question.
Speaker ALike with zero markups, you know, you still have to make sure that the ship drivers are doing these one to one, you know, deliveries to homes.
Speaker AAre, you know, is there a need as Target for you to really like, are you expanding to that many categories that Target doesn't already cover?
Speaker ALike I just, I think it's, I think it's the right competitive move for Target to make in the play against Walmart plus and DoorDash.
Speaker ABut I just don't know if it's compelling enough to get new subscribers on board because of the limited assortment.
Speaker AIt's not, it's not giving me that much more at this point point to, to drive me to get that, that Target plus membership.
Speaker AI don't think so.
Speaker AI have to sell but so you're selling it.
Speaker BAll told, you're selling it.
Speaker AI have to sell.
Speaker AI, I, I like the, I, I think it was a strong, it was a strong position.
Speaker AI just, I don't understand how you make that work financially in the long term.
Speaker AI, I think it's just not, there's not enough there for me or if.
Speaker BI read between the lines, you don't think it's going to convert people to target 360 either?
Speaker AI don't, I don't, I don't think there's enough like you know, people who are using the same day delivery service is a certain demographic of customer who can afford the price increases anyway.
Speaker AI don't know that you're going to get people to jump ship from a doordash or from an Amazon or something where, or Walmart plus even for that matter.
Speaker BYeah, well you got Chris D, a Super Target 360 super fan over here so we're going to let you know the conversation at some point but first I want to get Michael's opinion on this because Michael, Michael seems a little skeptical based on his body language and the looks he's giving.
Speaker CIf I put a CEO hat on for a second.
Speaker CLove the concept, hate the operational details of this and I can actually envision in that crystal ball I was talking about from Walmart a concept meeting saying we need to innovate.
Speaker CHow do we innovate?
Speaker CHow do we get better?
Speaker CHow do we not let our competition take Share from us and someone raising their hand and saying, oh my gosh, I love Amazon prime and I love yeah, same day delivery.
Speaker CWhy don't we do that?
Speaker CAnd this is a concept, in my opinion, that should have never made it out of that innovation room because operationally I just don't get it.
Speaker CAnd I also think, and I'm not talking about Target360, I'm talking about the expansion of it in the same day service.
Speaker CThe other thing, I also think of it as sort of have you ever been to a retailer and you go up to the counter and you have a pile of 10 things you're buying and you haven't shopped with a coupon or you haven't shopped with the same sale of the day and the person behind the register goes, oh, here, let me scan the coupons for you.
Speaker CI almost feel like you think of Petco.
Speaker CI'm going to buy it from Petco anyways.
Speaker CAnd then I get in there and it's like same day service.
Speaker CLike, sure, why not get it same day.
Speaker CThis is awesome.
Speaker CI just, I don't get it.
Speaker CI don't understand how they're going to make margin on it and not only margin, I don't understand how it's not going to be dilutive to their, to their overall operational standards as well as the, the cost of doing business.
Speaker CSo very cool concept but it should have never made it out of the innovation room.
Speaker BHolly freaking Luya that I 100 agree.
Speaker B100 agree.
Speaker BHallelujah.
Speaker BI mean I, I would actually add that there's more points to what my.
Speaker BI agree with everything you said, Michael, but I think there are other points that I don't like about it.
Speaker BI think I agree with Anne.
Speaker BI don't think it compels people to, to, to buy a Target360 membership in comparison to every other option that's already out there.
Speaker BI hate that it's a membership program that's off the actual target platform like that you have to go to ship to that there's still a disconnect in the customer's minds between those two properties.
Speaker BBut here's the thing that really sticks in my craw.
Speaker BResources, as we all know, are not infinite.
Speaker BCapital is finite.
Speaker BAnd so, and my thing is, and it shows just how lost Target is strategically.
Speaker BLike if you want to be a marketplace, why wouldn't you instead invest in your actual third party marketplace and making it much stronger and more compelling so you can get the benefits of things like Ann talked about with Walmart, like retail Media and you guys, that marketplace has been growing at a snail's pace and that's the first order thing that you do here because you can get the benefits of in store returns, you can keep the customers loyal to Target through that.
Speaker BLike it just makes so much more sense in an order operations standpoint.
Speaker BSo it shows to me like yeah, Michael, you're dead right.
Speaker BSomebody came up with this idea in a meeting, they went for it.
Speaker BIt's, it's probably not going to move the needle at all in the long run.
Speaker BAnd there are much simpler, more ROI producing initiatives on the table that Target has just been missing the boat on for so long.
Speaker BAnd this is indicative of that to me.
Speaker BSo I 100% agree, Chris.
Speaker BI don't know liking this.
Speaker DI'm still liking this because I think you have to think about who is your customer that's actually paying for this membership.
Speaker DAnd if any of you have actually bought anything same day, you may have noticed either through Walmart or Amazon, a lot of products are not offered for same day delivery.
Speaker DSo to widen the aperture for Target to actually partner with other retailers to expand the assortment for customers that want same day delivery, I think could be very beneficial.
Speaker DDo I think it's a silver bullet and going to help them from a growth perspective?
Speaker DMaybe, maybe not.
Speaker DThat remains to be seen.
Speaker DBut I do think that the concept is very interesting.
Speaker DAnd again from a consumer lens, what I really appreciate is the opportunity to be able to kind of cross shop and actually have products delivered same day that I'm looking for.
Speaker DBecause again, you know, shopping Walmart and Amazon, a lot of the everyday essentials that I'm looking for are not readily available.
Speaker DSo I'm hoping that this, that Target would provide that.
Speaker BThe other point that's interesting to me too is how long the Petcos and everyone that was mentioned in this article let Target continue to do this too because Target is essentially getting the first party data on this purchase, relatively speaking too.
Speaker BSo that's a fear I have over time of how does the market respond to Target trying to do this for their loyalty program, which is something the article didn't talk about.
Speaker BAnd did you have a thought you want to say?
Speaker AI was just gonna, I was just gonna ask Chris Disa quickly like the only counter that I'd have to that is you get that with DoorDash plus you get same day restaurant delivery.
Speaker ASo do you think that Target Circle360 needs to add something else to make that $10 a month or whatever it ends up coming out to be that could get me doordash same day delivery plus restaurant delivery plus, you know, essentials and all the other things that I need.
Speaker DI mean, I typically, you know, thinking about price, I typically find that doordash is more expensive and there's a surcharge.
Speaker DSo to me, I would rather, again, personalizing this, I would rather stick with Target360 versus having an upcharge.
Speaker ASure.
Speaker DYou know, essentials that I want.
Speaker BYeah, that's why they were playing that up in the media.
Speaker BMichael, sounds like you want to say one more thing.
Speaker BGo for it.
Speaker CIn going back to the operational pitfalls of this, there's a hidden.
Speaker CThere's like two layers hidden in here.
Speaker CA lot of the feedback that we've heard from the streets in regards to doordash specifically is that it doesn't work the way you would expect it to work as a retailer in that the burden is placed on all of your own store line employees.
Speaker CSo the doordasher shows up, doordash pitches you.
Speaker COur people will go in, find the product, scan it, and leave.
Speaker CWhat we hear unofficially is that the doordashers go to the person at the front register or manager and say, hi, I'm Mr.
Speaker CAnd Mrs.
Speaker CDoordash.
Speaker CCan you find this product for me and get it for me?
Speaker CBecause I need to take it out, which is interesting.
Speaker CThe customer is still getting what they want.
Speaker CHowever, for the house, like a target that creates store labor hour issues, it actually is the opposite of efficiency that you're looking for.
Speaker CSo I think from an operational standpoint, there's some pitfalls in this move that are going to come back to haunt Target, which is along the same lines of what Chris Disa said is, I think strategically, they're missing the mark.
Speaker CThey're looking at a bright, shiny object, using it to divert away from some challenging earnings.
Speaker CAnd they really should be doing different, more macro strategic targeting of some of the opportunities and challenges they have in their business.
Speaker AOh, all right, let's go on to the next headline.
Speaker AGuys, this has been amazing.
Speaker BWe're starting off so hot.
Speaker AI know.
Speaker CGotten it hot today.
Speaker CEverybody's fully caffeinated today.
Speaker EYes.
Speaker BYeah, yeah, I'm very caffeinated.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker AAll right.
Speaker AHeadline number three.
Speaker ADick's Sporting Goods is set to acquire foot locker for $2.4 billion.
Speaker AAccording to CNBC, Dick's Sporting Goods said Thursday that it plans to acquire acquire rival Footlocker as it looks to expand its international presence, win over a new set of consumers and corner the Nike sneaker market.
Speaker AUnder the terms of the agreement, Dick's will use a combination of cash on hand and new debt to acquire foot locker for $2.4 billion.
Speaker AFootlocker shares soared more than 80% after the deal was announced Thursday.
Speaker AHowever, shares of Dick's fell slightly, or roughly 15%, as investors worried about the impact the merger could have on financial results.
Speaker AOne analyst from TD Cowan even said that the deal was a, quote, strategic mistake as it downgraded shares of Dick's to hold from buy.
Speaker AMichael, I'm gonna go to you first.
Speaker AAre you pro or con on Dick's acquisition of Foot Locker?
Speaker CSo funny.
Speaker CMy.
Speaker CMy thoughts on this evolve almost to the minute.
Speaker CWhen I first read the headline, I was actually very surprised, and I hated it.
Speaker CI.
Speaker CI really thought, why?
Speaker AWhy?
Speaker CI think Foot Locker has issues.
Speaker CI think they're very fragmented.
Speaker CThey're very reliant on Nike.
Speaker CAnd you want to talk about a gorilla in the marketplace.
Speaker CI mean, Nike can seal your fate within minutes, either positive or negative.
Speaker CAnd I also think that the sneaker game is a very fickle game in regards to.
Speaker CTo the consumer interaction.
Speaker CAnd although there's a lot of spending power behind it, you have to be right with the style, skews direction that you've chosen.
Speaker CAnd I think Foot Locker, based on the number of stores, based on the country saturation, I think it's a very, very difficult business to monitor and to manage and to run effectively.
Speaker CNow, they've done a decent job.
Speaker CThey've had good times, they've had bad times.
Speaker CBut it is a very, very specific type of business to run, which you have these third parties that it's basically out of your control.
Speaker CYour destiny may be out of your control.
Speaker CIt's been highly publicized when Nike wanted to pull out of the market, Foot Locker's business had a precipitous drop almost immediately.
Speaker CWhen Nike wanted to expand the marketplace, and I'll call it use Foot Locker to gain market share, it was great.
Speaker CBut the minute that wasn't great, it was a problem for Foot Lockers.
Speaker CSo I think there's some huge inherent risks for Dicks.
Speaker CSo that's number one.
Speaker CThat's why I hated it.
Speaker CThen I started doing a little bit more, and I flipped.
Speaker CSo I started doing a little bit more research on the size and scale of Dicks.
Speaker CAnd I was a little mistaken in understanding how large they are.
Speaker CBut a pretty big entity.
Speaker CI think they're approaching $20 billion.
Speaker CRight.
Speaker CSo at that size, organic growth is difficult.
Speaker CRight.
Speaker COne up, 1% comp.
Speaker CDown 1% comp.
Speaker CYou're kind of happy but if you're down 5% comp in a tough year, that is a massive hit to your revenue.
Speaker CSo I like the fact that they actually acquired an adjacent business that's going to layer in a multibillion dollar revenue stream.
Speaker CI thought that was a very easy pickup.
Speaker CAnd in rereading the releases, either the CFO or the CEO said, we are going to add in, I think, 4.5% comp sales in the first year, which I liked a lot.
Speaker CSo it's so number three.
Speaker CMy conclusion is the only way they will be successful with this is not integrating it into the Dick's business.
Speaker CIt's sort of like a standalone Let Foot Locker run.
Speaker CIf there's some back of the house IT or supply chain efficiencies you could create, great.
Speaker CIf you start to sort of matrix it into the Dick's organization, I think that's a massive disaster.
Speaker CThey should just leave it as its own entity, let it run on its own, treat it as its own thing.
Speaker CLook for some economies as well scale, but almost insulate and.
Speaker CAnd have it do that.
Speaker CAnd if they can do that, it may be very successful for them.
Speaker AYeah, that.
Speaker AI think what you're saying makes a lot of sense.
Speaker AMichael and Chris Walton, I would go to you too and, and.
Speaker AAnd ask, like, do you think that this also is helping Dick's kind of eliminate some competition in the field?
Speaker AAnd then maybe even if they're a separate entity or they're, you know, Dicks is just able to kind of keep the business separate, but maybe take some of that Nike relationship into Dick's stores.
Speaker ALike, will that help this position for Dick's Sporting Goods?
Speaker BYeah, I mean, that's, that's.
Speaker BWe were joking before we started this podcast that I had kind of a potentially hot take, although I don't think it's that hot that I wanted to get Michael and Chris's opinion to see if they'd laugh me out of the room on this.
Speaker BBut I mean, the thing I like about this deal is like, if I just go with the.
Speaker BGo into the realm of like, what if Dick's just shut these stores down?
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BAnd the $5 billion in revenue that Foot Locker generates, a portion of that goes to Dick's just through inertia.
Speaker BThen when I think of the annuity on that volume year over year, the $2.4 billion seems like they got a steal.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BSo I think minimally you approach it, like Michael said, where you try to operate them.
Speaker BIf it doesn't work, like, I feel like the worst Case scenario here isn't actually that bad in the long run.
Speaker BSo for that reason, I like this move a lot.
Speaker BBut I don't know, I might, I might be crazy in my math on that.
Speaker BBut I'm curious what the A and M guys thing.
Speaker CIt's the old retail holy grail of does 1 +1 equal 2 or 3?
Speaker CEverybody always tries to say 1 +1 equals 3, but generally when you do that, you don't capture even 1 of the sale.
Speaker CSo that 2, 2 and change billion, 2.4 billion.
Speaker CWhatever their actual revenue number is, if Dicks did close all their stores could end up being a billion dollars or maybe a little bit even below a billion dollars.
Speaker CNow if it's profitable and the margin advantages, you get work then sure, it's awesome, but I think it's a little scary.
Speaker CAnd the other key piece, I love the hot take, by the way.
Speaker CI think it's a very interesting thing, but you made me think too.
Speaker CDicks now is wildly important to Nike.
Speaker CBut now Nike's wildly or Dicks is now wildly important.
Speaker CIt's like the symbiotic relationship flipped a little bit and it's sort of like whoever is the strongest at the time is going to win.
Speaker CAnd if you read the tea leaves, Nike seems like they're going through one of their sort of macro.
Speaker CNot as strong as they normally are.
Speaker CSo Dick could be sort of pounding their chest saying, we won here.
Speaker CNow we're going to turn the screws on Nike.
Speaker CBut if history proves anything, nobody's turning any screws on Nike over the long term.
Speaker CSo I'd be a little bit afraid that all of my fortunes as Dicks and Foot Locker now are heavily saturated in Nike.
Speaker CAnd oh, by the way, all of the other big sneaker makers have all taken a page out of Nike's book.
Speaker CLike Adidas, Huma, all of these people are doing the same thing that Nike used to do and it's going to be very interesting.
Speaker CSo I, I mean, yeah, I think that's like looking at the edge of the cliff saying, okay, let's shut Foot Locker down and let's jump.
Speaker CLove that.
Speaker CIt'll be interesting to see if that, if that would, if that would work.
Speaker AWell, you also have JD Sports knocking down the door too.
Speaker AAnd we just.
Speaker AYeah, the CEO Regis Schultz last week at World Retail Congress and they're taking a totally different approach with Nike.
Speaker ALike they're going the storytelling route.
Speaker AThey're bringing brands in.
Speaker ADick's is just going for like, how much can we.
Speaker AHow much Nike.
Speaker ACan we pound in and out of this store right now?
Speaker AAnd how do we get that to expand shoppers into other categories of our store?
Speaker AAnd I think JD Sports on the other side here, they're, they're coming in, they're, they have huge US expansion plans.
Speaker ALike I think this, this, this hopefully will help solidify Dicks and, and Nike together in, in this option of we're ready to compete with you JD Sports.
Speaker ABut Chris Walton, jump in here quick and then we'll go to Chris Disa for the wrap.
Speaker BI was just going to say like I think the one point that I, that I've been thinking about when Michael said, you know, does one plus one ever actually equal three?
Speaker BI think the unique, unique thing about this is the shopping experience for at Foot Locker is very different than the shopping experience for Dick.
Speaker BDick's is almost a standalone experience where, whereas Foot Locker is that mall based experience and so in theory, where does the volume go over time is.
Speaker BI've been wrapped, trying to wrap my head around that.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd I think it presents different dynamics than a, than say if the acquirer was basically competing in the same trip and they're not in this case.
Speaker BBut yeah, I don't know.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AChrist, Issa.
Speaker AThe floor is yours, friend.
Speaker DAll, all very interesting points.
Speaker DI guess a few things to add.
Speaker DOne is I do think, I do agree with Michael that the businesses should be treated separately.
Speaker DBut I think, you know what is interesting is that while there are some kind of back of the house synergies, I also think because Dick's and Foot Locker have two very different customers, there's opportunity to learn from each other and leverage your customer data and customer insights.
Speaker DAlso what's really interesting is Foot Locker has an international presence which Dick's does not.
Speaker DSo that could be an opportunity for growth.
Speaker DBut I think underpinning all of this is Footlocker saw some major challenges.
Speaker DIf you recall, they set up, set up a, or set upon a path for a new strategy that kicked off in 2023 called Laces Up.
Speaker DAnd two big pillars of that strategy were around supply chain improvement and inventory accuracy as well as the omnichannel experience for the customer.
Speaker DTwo critical pieces into, you know, kind of create long term value.
Speaker DSo the punchline here is that just because they're acquired, there can be a lot of great opportunity for both organizations.
Speaker DHowever, they still have to the leadership team still has to fix or improve upon Footlocker's core business.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker ARight.
Speaker BMichael, you want to say something else?
Speaker COne last quick thing that Chris just made me think of.
Speaker CThe question is, are they going to be on the right side of history?
Speaker CWhen you look back with the massive change of the US Department store and mall model, the answer might be yes.
Speaker CRight.
Speaker CBecause department stores are clear, clearly failing.
Speaker CThis could be the future where you have a huge base, you start to bring in complementary plugins.
Speaker CYou let them do their own thing.
Speaker CYou have them all have unique innovation as well as setting up multiple options, opportunities to shop for the customer.
Speaker CIt'll be very interesting to see how this one really works out.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd that's why I made the point of Dicks could be very surgical about which stores they decide to keep open, given that phenomenon, so that the.
Speaker BThe draft from the sales volume goes from one place to another.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BAnd, Chris, you brought up good points too.
Speaker BLike the retail media angle here.
Speaker BThey can.
Speaker BThat expands, you know, greatly across these two entities.
Speaker BDicks is a great omnichannel retailer, so they can probably bring that operational knowledge to Foot Locker as well, so.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BAnd I think it's time to bring Spencer onto the show to put me in my place on what I had to say about him and Old Navy a few weeks ago.
Speaker BJoining us now for five insightful minutes is Spencer Hewitt, the founder and CEO of Radar, whose recent Old Navy partnership we featured in our Fast Five podcast last month.
Speaker BSpencer, I was pretty direct in my assessment of the likelihood that Radar's RFID platform.
Speaker BPlatform will ever roll out to all 1200 Old Navy stores.
Speaker BSo tell us point blank, what did I get right and what did I get wrong in my assessment?
Speaker EYeah, I think, you know, I.
Speaker EI think you're right in the sense that is a.
Speaker EIs a phased.
Speaker EIt's a phase rollout.
Speaker EI think that, you know, Old Navy's a gap.
Speaker EOld Navy, they're.
Speaker EThey're very smart retailer.
Speaker EThey're pretty careful about their decisions.
Speaker EThey have a great vision, I would say, for.
Speaker EFor where they think physical retail can go.
Speaker EYeah.
Speaker EI just say, like, listen, there's a reason why, like, American Eagle rolled it out to almost their entire fleet.
Speaker EYou know, I think you guys mentioned some kind of bet, like, about putting up your house or something.
Speaker EI was wondering, like, what you might want to bet in case you were wrong.
Speaker BOh, man, I don't know.
Speaker BLet's talk about.
Speaker BWe should talk about that.
Speaker BThe end.
Speaker BAnd I had that bet going.
Speaker CAnd.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BI don't know what you're not.
Speaker CYou.
Speaker BYou and I.
Speaker BThat should be.
Speaker BBut I'll.
Speaker BI'll buy you a beer next time I see you.
Speaker EYeah, I think, I think, I think worst case, like, if you're right, I'll get you a thousand dollar gift card to Old Navy and then if, if I'm right, then, you know, we can come back on the show and talk about it.
Speaker BYeah, I will eat crow in front of the entire audience.
Speaker B100.
Speaker B100.
Speaker BAnd like I said at the end of that podcast too, I hope you are right.
Speaker BActually, I hope you are not.
Speaker BI wish you the most success in, in what you're trying to do too.
Speaker BWell.
Speaker AAnd Spencer, I, I had a different opinion than Chris.
Speaker ASlightly different here.
Speaker ABut I want to know if you can just tell our audience quickly, like, what is it about your platform specifically and the unique special sauce that you bring to rfid?
Speaker AAnd Wild Navy kind of chose you to roll this out in a phased approach, fleet wide.
Speaker EYeah, for sure.
Speaker ESo, you know, our approach to RFID actually started with wanting to deliver autonomous checkout as a use case for the industry.
Speaker EAnd like, when you look at that use case, it's a lot more stringent in terms of the requirements you need to meet for it.
Speaker ESo it's like your location actually has to be better.
Speaker EYour latency and speed updates have to be much faster.
Speaker EYour detect rate has to be super high.
Speaker ESo we've architected our system to have the capability to enable autonomous checkup from the existing infrastructure that we deploy to retailers from today.
Speaker EAnd that has really driven core technological improvement.
Speaker EAnd one of the things that we've done differently is there were some companies that did this back in the day.
Speaker EThingmagic had a software defined radio approach where they could basically deploy hardware, they could update the signal processing remotely.
Speaker EYou weren't stuck with someone's reader chip.
Speaker EThat's more the approach that we've taken.
Speaker ESo we control everything from the ground up, not just the hardware and the signal processing, but also the software layer.
Speaker ESo we really become, you know, superior core technology.
Speaker EThat's really just like one quote, unquote, like throat to choke for the retailer where they don't need to worry about integrating and cobbling together a bunch of different pieces to make a coherent solution.
Speaker EAnd that includes deployment and rollout management.
Speaker BAnd Spencer, I'm curious too.
Speaker BYou know you mentioned autonomous checkout.
Speaker BAre cameras and RFID readers a part of the solution as it's currently deployed, or how should the audience think about that?
Speaker EYeah, so we are only deploying RFID and other wireless technologies within these sensors.
Speaker BGot it, got it.
Speaker BAnd how robust are the deployments at this point?
Speaker BSo as much as you can Share with us publicly, of course, we want to be sensitive to that, but how many chains, how many stores?
Speaker BWhatever you can tell us.
Speaker EYeah, you guys got that right.
Speaker ESo we're only in about 600 stores.
Speaker EAll of those stores really started rolling out in July of last year.
Speaker ESo we hit about 100 stores a month from July of last year.
Speaker EAnd we're going to continue and accelerate that pace.
Speaker EBut yeah, you got it about right in the.
Speaker EIn the last.
Speaker ELast episode.
Speaker BAnd it's currently at American Eagle and Old Navy.
Speaker BThat's what you guys have shared publicly, right?
Speaker ECorrect?
Speaker ECorrect.
Speaker EYeah, publicly.
Speaker EThat is the only two that are out.
Speaker EAnd then there are many other pilots that are kicking off as well or already in flight.
Speaker ASpencer, I imagine that, you know, this is.
Speaker AWe've been talk.
Speaker AWe talked to you a long time ago when you kind of started rolling out with American Eagle.
Speaker ABut why have retailers been so slow to adopt rfid, do you think?
Speaker AAnd.
Speaker AAnd how.
Speaker AKind of give us a sense of how you see the future landscape playing out.
Speaker ALike, will, Will more retailers start using handheld scanners and then move to systems like yours?
Speaker ALike what?
Speaker AWhere are you placing your bets?
Speaker AYou don't have to give any specific bet that you're going to place yet.
Speaker AI won't put that on you.
Speaker ABut.
Speaker ABut where are you placing your theoretical bets?
Speaker EYeah, I mean, I think handhelds are going completely away, I think.
Speaker AHow come?
Speaker AHow?
Speaker EBecause they're a technology that was driven by technical limitations of RFID tags themselves.
Speaker EThey're no longer necessary.
Speaker ESo it's like, you know, 10 years ago, handhelds were really needed to make RFID work because you had these tags where transistors were larger.
Speaker EYou needed a lot more energy to power them up.
Speaker EIt's get really close to them to read them.
Speaker ENow you can read these tags from so far away.
Speaker EIt's really about, okay, how far away can you read them from?
Speaker EHow few sensors do you need on the ceiling to cover the store?
Speaker EAnd then how accurately can you locate now that you're reading them from really far away?
Speaker ESo that's kind of the dynamic that's shifting.
Speaker EAnd I really think handhelds will be completely a thing in the past in the same way, like barcodes will be a thing in the past, you know, in the next five to 10 years.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BSo, Spencer, I want to press you a little bit on that, too.
Speaker BSo, like, one of the things we always hear when we talk to people about RFID is the accuracy.
Speaker BAnd one of the good things about the overhead readers is you get the real Time, data flow.
Speaker BSo how are you solving the accuracy problem comparative to others?
Speaker EYes, I mean, we've worked really hard on our receiver.
Speaker ESo, you know, I can say that in, you know, stores with, you know, call it 65 to 100,000 items, we're hitting a 99.8% detect rate.
Speaker EBetter than you'll ever get with handhelds because handhelds you have to factor in human error because people don't always use consistently a job every day, day in and day out as a system that's 24, seven counting things like I'll tell you this much, right now we're doing 13 billion tag reads per day in American Eagle.
Speaker EThat's how frequently we're pinging their inventory.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BWell, man, thanks for coming on.
Speaker BThanks for, thanks for sharing your insight with us and it's really great to have you and appreciate you taking the time to sit down with us.
Speaker EYeah, likewise.
Speaker EThis is fun and I appreciate it and looking forward to circling back and hopefully the near future.
Speaker AThanks.
Speaker BThanks, Spencer.
Speaker BAll right, headline number four, Google data suggests that that the cyber crime spree that has hobbled British retailers is now aimed at the U.S.
Speaker Baccording to NBC News, this time, hackers behind a series of destructive financially motivated cyber attacks against some of the UK's largest retailers are now going after big American brands.
Speaker BGoogle said last Wednesday, quote, major American retailers have already been targeted.
Speaker BJohn Holtquist, the chief the OF analyst for Google's Threat Intelligence Group, told NBC News at least three top British retailers have experienced cyber attacks in recent weeks.
Speaker BMarks and Spencers was forced to pause online orders for weeks.
Speaker BHackers who contacted the BBC provided evidence of, quote, huge amounts of customer and employee data also stolen from the Co Op Group.
Speaker BAnd third Harrods restricted some Internet access at store locations, though a spokesperson told NBC News that it is not seen evidence that customer data was stolen.
Speaker BMichael, I'm curious how aware, especially given your recent stint as the interim CEO at joann Fabrics, how aware are US retailers of the cyber attacks going on overseas and are they prepared or are they too distracted by everything else going on right now to make them a priority?
Speaker CAware, not prepared enough and too distracted on the difficulties in the market.
Speaker CAnd I'm speaking from experience at joann as the interim CEO, one of the first questions I asked was how prepared are we for cybersecurity?
Speaker CAnd the answer was lackluster.
Speaker CWithin 60 days, we were set up like a Brinks truck picking up a cash delivery.
Speaker CSo we quickly reacted and really protected ourselves.
Speaker CBut it is not if you polled CEOs they would say, of course it's a high priority.
Speaker CIf you poll CIOs in the US it'd be very interesting to see what percentage would say we feel that we are fully prepared and fully protected.
Speaker CI would only probably gauge it at a 20% mark.
Speaker CThat's fully anecdotal.
Speaker CI don't have any data to back that up, but I think it is a major concern.
Speaker CIt is, is also a major risk.
Speaker CI just don't think retailers are as prepared as they need to be and protected as they need to be in a global US Format.
Speaker CThere are retailers out there that are spectacular at this, but there are also retailers that are the opposite end of spectacular.
Speaker CAnd in today's environment, being anything headed towards the opposite end of spectacular is a very scary and risky proposition.
Speaker CI will say once it is a priority, it is generally there's a low barrier of success to getting yourself protected from a cybersecurity standpoint.
Speaker CNow, depending on your technology stack and what protections you have in place, it may be more expensive than what you would expect it to be, but it's definitely money well spent.
Speaker CAnd I think every single major retailer and every single major hybrid wholesale retail omnichannel, provider of product people that we used to refer to as vertical entities, they all need to have this as a top, top operational priority, not just a top strategic priority that someone reports in the board meetings and says, here's.
Speaker CIt's a priority for us.
Speaker CHere's the five things we've done.
Speaker CAnd I also think it comes down to the boards and ownership of companies to be hyper villagent and provide due diligence to it.
Speaker CBecause it is a very scary thing if, when you really get under the covers of it and there have been some highly publicized challenges in the US over the past few years, I think it's a tip of the iceberg and I think everybody needs to be very, very aware and vigilant in protecting themselves.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BWow, that's.
Speaker BThat's really interesting and, and really harrowing in a lot of ways.
Speaker BAnd it actually jives very nicely with what we heard at WRC in London.
Speaker BAnd I mean, like, yeah, you know, for the, for the most part, you know, the crazy thing was like, people could not get groceries from these stores.
Speaker BYou know, if this was their local grocery store, they couldn't get groceries.
Speaker BAnd what I was hearing from sources that I was talking to about this is they told me that this hit the retailers that were not all of them, but some of them were very hubristic about the quality of their tech stack and their cyber security.
Speaker BSo if you're in that position.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BI would take what Michael has to say here very seriously.
Speaker BChris, are you seeing this in your con?
Speaker BLike, do you conversations in the boardrooms hit this at all?
Speaker BLike when you're talking to retailers, what, what, what is your take here?
Speaker DI think, you know, when I think about cyber security, I think two things are kind of at play.
Speaker DRight.
Speaker DIt's like one is what is the potential interruption to your business and that's always top of mind.
Speaker DAnd number two is what is the relationship with your customer?
Speaker DRight.
Speaker DBecause go back and think about, you know, the security breach for in with Target in 2013 or DoorDash in 2019 or even the Vegas casinos, if you recall a couple years back, you know, some of the Vegas casinos had to close down because of the security breach.
Speaker DThat does have an impact on your relationship with your customer and they go elsewhere.
Speaker DSo I think, I think some of the macro themes from what I'm hearing, are always top of mind.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BAnd anything to add here?
Speaker AI think my, my only point is just kind of reiterating what Chris just said.
Speaker ALike, I think that's the big, biggest challenge that we're seeing or we heard from the retailers in the UK who were impacted last week is, you know, when you are walking stores and the inventory is gone, they're going to start going somewhere else.
Speaker AAnd now when you look at how highly competitive that market is, especially in the grocery space, like, they may never come back.
Speaker AAnd I think that's what the real concern is from the retailers that we talk to who were hit by this is like, you know, they're, they've already joined another loyalty program at this point.
Speaker AAnd they're, they're, there's shoppers that you're a competitor now.
Speaker AAnd, and there's really not a way to, like Michael said, you, it's a, it's an investment that you should make.
Speaker AThat's a great investment because it protects you against things like that that really could damage your business long term.
Speaker CI think you're both making a really good point about the customer.
Speaker CAt joann, we had an immaterial service provider.
Speaker CTo us, it was a very small service they provided us.
Speaker CThey were hacked.
Speaker CAnd originally they thought it would be days.
Speaker CIt was multiple weeks that they were completely dark.
Speaker CCompletely dark.
Speaker CSo if you go days, the demands of a customer today, it's going to shake your, your confidence as a customer in that company.
Speaker CIf you go weeks, you're definitely going to lose that customer.
Speaker CFor the most part.
Speaker CAnd you're going to have to bring them back.
Speaker CMaybe they'll come back, maybe she won't come back, comeback.
Speaker CBut I think that's the other scary thing in today's cyber attacks.
Speaker CIt's sort of not your parents cyber attack anymore.
Speaker CWhen you go down, you're going down and it is long term and it's 3,4,5x as expensive just to get back to baseline and even getting to baseline is very, very challenging and complex.
Speaker CSo I think this is definitely one where you've got to be protected ahead of time.
Speaker ALet's go on to headline number five.
Speaker AWrap this show up.
Speaker AIt's already been so great.
Speaker ATarget has unveiled a new small town store expansion strategy.
Speaker AAccording to Modern Retail, the Minneapolis based company is increasingly focusing on full size store development in smaller markets and rural communities, a departure from its previous emphasis on small format urban locations that dominated its expansion narrative from 2016 to 2021.
Speaker AAlmost all of Target's plan stores are set to exceed 100,000 square feet, supporting the company's quote stores as hubs quote fulfillment strategy that has become central to its omnichannel operations since 2017.
Speaker ATarget's growth ambitions remain robust with plans to open approximately 300 new predominantly full size stores over the next decade.
Speaker AThe retailer opened 23 locations in 2024 and has has scheduled about 20 new openings for 2025, according to its most recent annual report.
Speaker AWhile Target already reaches roughly 75% of Americans within a 10 mile radius, as CEO Michael Fidelke noted in March, this still trails Walmart's impressive 90% proximity metric.
Speaker AChrist, Issa, we're going to go to you first on this.
Speaker ADo you agree that Target will find profitable growth by expanding into rural markets?
Speaker AI know you have a hot take on this one yourself.
Speaker DSo as bullish as I was about Target 360, I think the jury's out for me on this one.
Speaker DI think a couple things that I've been thinking about.
Speaker DOne is, you know, when you think about, you know, store expansion, you know, specifically Target in rural markets, it really for me is location specific.
Speaker DDoes a Target store fill the need for a consumer in that market or is it another choice to Walmart, et cetera.
Speaker DNow if they're looking at it to say, okay, this is going to be a superstore and we can put pull inventory and speed up our fulfillment in some of these markets because we all know that fulfillment times are lower or they're slower, I should say for some of these customers then that could be a really good thing.
Speaker DBut again it really comes down to each market, each specific market and what is the real need.
Speaker DYou know, funny story, you know Kmart, I don't know if you guys know this.
Speaker DOne of the last stores was in the Hamptons, you know, at the eastern end of Long Island.
Speaker DAnd now Target is actually filling the space.
Speaker DSo while affluent, it is also, also, it is also rural.
Speaker DSo as I think about, you know, yacht rock and white pants etc going into Memorial Day, I know a bunch of people out there are very, I know a bunch of folks and consumers are super excited that Target is coming to fulfill that need.
Speaker DBut again that is a market specific opportunity that may not translate across the country.
Speaker AOkay.
Speaker AMichael, what about you?
Speaker CYeah, I think this is another one that, that it probably didn't come up in the innovation lab Target, but it probably should have never made it out of the C level strategic planning meetings and or approve approval for the spend by the board.
Speaker AGive us your challenges.
Speaker CYeah, the challenge I have with this is I like Chris's example of a Target going in near the Hamptons, but clearly that's not very rural.
Speaker CThe rural markets are a challenge.
Speaker CAnd all you got to do for the template of the challenge is look at Dollar Tree.
Speaker CRight?
Speaker CI mean the, the, that story has been written, the outcome is written and it's not successful.
Speaker CI also think Target is best when they are sort of the antidote to Walmart.
Speaker CLike when Target is Walmart, you don't need Target, you have Walmart.
Speaker CAnd Walmart is fantastic at it.
Speaker CTarget is, has always been a step, maybe two, maybe three above Walmart.
Speaker CIt's still sort of similar but it's always been going back to the ads in the, the early 2000s.
Speaker CTarget, not target.
Speaker CSo it was a great access point but it provided a different experience in my opinion than Walmart.
Speaker CSo if they're looking to expand and if you read between the lines, that's basically what they're saying is we want to go more head to head with Walmart.
Speaker CI think think that's a strategic error.
Speaker CThey need to really separate themselves, do what they do best and is putting a Target in a rural market and I think of a place where we go on vacation sometimes in the summer up in rural Maine.
Speaker CThere's a dollar General.
Speaker CAre they going to put a Target near there?
Speaker CThat's never going to work.
Speaker CSo I think it's really, it's interesting but without a well thought out plan and to Chris's point, very strategic placement in demographic areas that can support it.
Speaker CIt's not going to work.
Speaker AYeah, I would agree with you Michael.
Speaker AIf we were talking old Target, I think now you have to look at current Target and when you put it up against a Walmart, I don't think it provides the same like Walmart's come so far and improved.
Speaker AIt's especially the new locations of Walmarts that they're going to be building as well in these rural communities.
Speaker ALike, like their, their store formats I think are comparable and if not better than Target.
Speaker APlus I think you hit a lower price point.
Speaker AIt gets back to what we talked about in the first headline of you know, you're going to get the everyday low price at Walmart and, and there's no way Target can beat Walmart on price.
Speaker AAnd so what, what are you left with for the shopping experience?
Speaker AAnd I tried to even go to like to the yes, maybe they could just build store fulfillment centers or something in these areas to just hit on faster delivery.
Speaker ABut you have Amazon coming in and doing rural delivery too.
Speaker AEverybody knows Amazon already too.
Speaker ASo I think, I think Target's in a, in a tough space here and I also wonder if this isn't a bit of a PR play as well like if they're going to these based on all of the, the footfall drop that they saw from a lot of the DEI initiatives.
Speaker AI also wonder if this isn't saying okay, we're going to go and try to penetrate a new market here but, but Chris, Chris Disa, you got something to throw in?
Speaker DI will say their desire is to add 300 stores which is a 15% increase.
Speaker DIf we were talking 50 stores in select locations that you know, services in need all four.
Speaker DBut you know, 300 stores is quite bullish in my opinion.
Speaker ATotally agree.
Speaker AChris Walton, close us up.
Speaker AWhat's the, what's your thought here?
Speaker BYeah, I've been on my edge of my seat waiting to, to chime in on this.
Speaker BI think I actually have, I think I actually have first hand experience that's pretty applicable for sure to this discussion.
Speaker BYou know, you know I, and the reason I say this, I ran, I actually was in charge of the stores in Scotts Bluff, Nebraska and Casper, Wyoming and they were some of the lowest volume stores at Target.
Speaker BAnd so to Chris's point, if you're going to build 300 of these, there just aren't that many locations that are going to pencil and I can tell you without giving anything away, the volume of those stores is like 50% of what an average target, at least 50% less than what an Average Target store is going to be.
Speaker BAnd, and to your point, I think everyone nailed this.
Speaker BLike, you know, Walmart's already there.
Speaker BWalmart's better than it's ever been.
Speaker BAmazon is going there too.
Speaker BAnd so for delivery, like if that's why you're building these, why would you build stores just for delivery hubs?
Speaker BLike that seems like a really expensive proposition.
Speaker BTarget tractor supply is also there.
Speaker BSo how does Target win this?
Speaker BHow does Target win this battle?
Speaker BYou know, that will return the capital that Wall street requires, given the historical performance of Target at a time when the cost of capital is also more expensive than it has been in years past.
Speaker BSo I absolutely don't get this.
Speaker BIt's, it's just another sign of just how lost strategically Target is right now.
Speaker BWhich Michael said right at the outset, like, this is a discussion.
Speaker BThis is just a pivot that should never have gone past anyone.
Speaker BLike.
Speaker BAnd yeah, the city targets didn't work.
Speaker BNo, no.
Speaker BCrap.
Speaker BWe all knew that going into.
Speaker BBecause you can't build enough of those at a, at a rate that's going to have meaningful comp growth either.
Speaker BThere just aren't that many locations in the US where that's going to play out either.
Speaker BBut they were like they were lined up on that strategy for five or six, you know, 10 years almost.
Speaker BCornell's been there since 2014.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BSo when do they get some really concrete growth strategies here?
Speaker BAnd I mean I've been ran on this for the hopefully this pulpit forever.
Speaker BLike, come on, this is not it.
Speaker AHopefully the acceleration team, that's that they talked about in the earnings call this morning.
Speaker AIt's all down to the acceleration team, Chris.
Speaker AAcceleration move forward.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker BMan, I feel, and I feel, I feel vindicated by that too.
Speaker BAnd because that I've been saying that this was going to happen for a year and a half now when we had the annual Review show in 2023 with the a M folks and, and it has happened.
Speaker BBut I can tell you like, you know, before you announce this, go into the store in Scott's Bluff and see if you want to, you know, absolutely replicate that model throughout the country.
Speaker BLike get off, get out of the corporate boardroom and see if that's the model that you think's really going to work.
Speaker BI don't know.
Speaker CBut yeah, I mean, look, retail 101 that is like really, really proven is that these XO Market stores or smaller stores struggle.
Speaker CSo every major retailer expands and then spends years trying to get out of the leases to shut the not profitable doors they're now saying we want to open 300 of these types of stores.
Speaker CSo, number one, that's, that's doa.
Speaker CNumber two, the other one that we didn't talk about is Dollar General.
Speaker CDollar General has these markets figured out they are growing their grocery business as well.
Speaker CNow, that's much to the not, you know, whatever.
Speaker CThey're just growing their grocery business.
Speaker CSo, like, what do these markets really need a target for?
Speaker CAnd I, I think the last thing that Target absolutely needs to do, and if we were working with them or if I was the CEO, I would say let's focus on ourselves.
Speaker CLet's stop, like, these bright, shiny object things.
Speaker CWhat do we need to do to be the best that we can be in our own four walls with what we have today and what we can control?
Speaker CBecause it doesn't feel like they're doing that.
Speaker CAnd I think that's a huge miss on their part.
Speaker AOh, you guys.
Speaker BYou would get my vote, Michael.
Speaker BYes.
Speaker BHonestly, you can't do.
Speaker BNo, I don't think anyone can do a worse job, quite honestly, but you would get my vote.
Speaker AAll right, well, let's wrap up this wonderful show with the lightning round.
Speaker AMichael, we're going to.
Speaker AYou first.
Speaker AThe Golden Globes are adding a new category recognizing podcast guests this year, if not your episode, this episode of the Omnitok Retail Fast Five.
Speaker AWhich podcast would you put in the running?
Speaker CIs this like a podcast in general or just one specific podcast?
Speaker CI forgot to ask that.
Speaker AIt's, it's, it's any podcast from what I understand.
Speaker ASo it could be call.
Speaker AIf it's, you know, call her daddy, whatever you want.
Speaker AIt could be, you know, the, you.
Speaker BKnow, Michael, call her daddy every week.
Speaker CYeah, yeah, it's interesting.
Speaker CI call her daddy.
Speaker CI have listened to it because I actually think her business story is absolutely remarkable.
Speaker CSo I'm totally intrigued by it.
Speaker AAbsolutely.
Speaker CAnd I do think from a, from a target audience standpoint, the content that she produces is dead on.
Speaker CThat podcast is not for me in any way, shape or form, but I think she's a genius at targeting her.
Speaker CHer, basically her customer base or her demo.
Speaker CAnd I saw an interview with her and Dave Portnoy, which obviously she started on Barstool and him being the normal brash person that he said that he is, he said to her, to Alex, he said, well, you're just Barstool 2.0.
Speaker CBut it's, it's pretty interesting because she kind of poo pooed that quickly, but if you step back, you kind of go, it's interesting.
Speaker CShe has now taken over the microphone in sort of the flag of that generation, which there are massive amounts of millennials and gen zers and even alpha that hopefully they're not all listening to that podcast.
Speaker CBased on the vulgarity of some of it.
Speaker CBut not being political, my choice would be Tucker Carlson.
Speaker CI find him very interesting, and this may sound crazy, but very.
Speaker CI don't know if neutral is the right word, but inquisitive.
Speaker CAnd I heard a podcast.
Speaker CI was driving, we were on a long trip, and I heard a podcast that he did about COVID and the COVID virus and the actual components from a biological standpoint.
Speaker CIt was fascinating and it was very educational and I've done research to see, like, if what he was saying was right or wrong.
Speaker CAnd he was completely down the middle of the road.
Speaker CSo I, I find him very interesting.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BAll right, cool.
Speaker BLike to stay informed.
Speaker BAll right, the Fall of Far Back to you, Michael, again.
Speaker BAnd then we'll hit Chris with the final two.
Speaker BThe Fall of Farve.
Speaker BThe latest in Netflix's series of sports documentaries retraces the good time gunslinger's arc.
Speaker BFrom humble mystery stories, Mississippi Beginnings to his NFL peak to the texting scandal that tarnished his reputation.
Speaker BWhere does Favre rank for you in terms of all time quarterback greats?
Speaker BTop 10?
Speaker BTop 20?
Speaker BDoesn't rank at all.
Speaker BWhere do you, where do you put them?
Speaker CSo weird.
Speaker CYou, you gotta, you gotta judge these guys because they're public figures, I guess, on the whole body of work.
Speaker CRight.
Speaker CSo based on his sports stats, he's like top three quarterbacks from his stats or top five, I can't remember what it was, but when all the stuff was coming from Tom Brady and when he ranks in all of the stats, whatever they are very, very high.
Speaker CAnd his age, he was very old when he was still competing at a very high level.
Speaker CSo he's from a physicality, sports deliverable standpoint, very high.
Speaker CFrom off the field behavior, he's like top 100.
Speaker CI mean, really, like tarnishing his reputation.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BRight.
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker CSo this one, I've got no vote.
Speaker CI.
Speaker CI can't really, I can't really place him because it's too tough to figure out where.
Speaker CWhere do you.
Speaker CWait, which.
Speaker CAnd you know, how do you, how do you do it?
Speaker CBut he's definitely a Tale of two Cities, so.
Speaker BAnd he takes your approach.
Speaker BHe abstains.
Speaker AThat's right.
Speaker AI support that.
Speaker AI support that.
Speaker AAll right, Christy, so question number three.
Speaker ANetflix just picked up Sesame street streaming rights.
Speaker AWho is your Sesame street spirit animal.
Speaker AOr I guess puppet maybe is the puppet.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker BGood call.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker DWell, I guess that's pretty easy because when I was three years old, I dressed up as Cookie Monster for Halloween, so I'm gonna have to.
Speaker DGonna have to go there.
Speaker DPerfect.
Speaker BThat's definitely a puppet.
Speaker BI don't.
Speaker BI don't think Cookie Monster is an animal.
Speaker DThat's true.
Speaker DDefinitely a puppet.
Speaker BI like Big Bird.
Speaker BAll right, last one.
Speaker BStarbucks availed its new summer product lineup yesterday, including a new iced horchata, oat milk shaken espresso, and the return of fan favorite summer Berry Starbucks refreshers.
Speaker BAnd a new strawberries and cream cake Pop.
Speaker BWhich of these items do you most want to imbibe this summer?
Speaker BChristisa?
Speaker DProbably the summer Berry Refresher.
Speaker DLow sugar.
Speaker DThe least amount of sugar of all the new items.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker BThat orchard, though, sounds tasty.
Speaker BI can't wait to get it.
Speaker DIt does.
Speaker DMy nephews like the cake pop, so I'm sure I'll be buying both.
Speaker BYeah, right?
Speaker CIs it me?
Speaker CIs it me?
Speaker COr do you guys feel guilty if you just go into Starbucks and order a regular coffee?
Speaker CLike, I mean, it's amazing, right?
Speaker CThe lineup they have?
Speaker BIt is.
Speaker BYeah, it is.
Speaker BIt is hard not to get swayed by something a little bit extra and a little bit sweeter.
Speaker BSo.
Speaker BAll right, well, that was.
Speaker CSorry, one last thing, and then I'll let you close it out.
Speaker CChris.
Speaker CWe.
Speaker CWe were on a project, and we had a tried and true Starbucks lover, and he would do whatever crazy drink was out there.
Speaker CAnd somewhere around Easter, there was a green matcha with, like, purple foam on the top hop oat milk lavender thing.
Speaker CAnd we all made a ton of fun of them, but my wife had one recently, and I drank it.
Speaker CIt was the best drink I've ever had in my life.
Speaker CSo what was it called?
Speaker BDo you remember, for our fans, what it was called?
Speaker CIt's a matcha lavender oat milk latte.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker BLatte ice latte Ice latte.
Speaker BOkay.
Speaker CIt's.
Speaker CIt's fabulous.
Speaker CIt's right on the front of all of the.
Speaker COf the Starbucks apps.
Speaker CNow, maybe they're targeting me now because I did that, but I'm now a believer in any in.
Speaker CIn non regular coffee drinks at Starbucks.
Speaker BYeah.
Speaker AWow.
Speaker BWow.
Speaker BThat's awesome.
Speaker BSo, fans, listen up.
Speaker BGo get one today.
Speaker BAll right.
Speaker BWhat a great show.
Speaker BAnd this was fabulous, man.
Speaker BWe went a little long, but I think it was worth it, given the topics at hand.
Speaker BAs I told these guys before we started, I think Michael and Chris drew the headline lottery this week because there was, like we said, a lot of meat on the bones with all these topics.
Speaker BAll right, that closes us up.
Speaker BHappy birthday today to Sarah Ramos, Judge Reinhold, and to clubber Klang himself.
Speaker BMr.
Speaker BT, who if you want to feel old, turns 73 today.
Speaker BMr.
Speaker BT is 73 years old.
Speaker BAnd remember, if you can only read or listen to one retail blog in the business, Make It Omnitok, the only retail media outlet run by two former executives from a current top 10 US retailer.
Speaker BOur Fast Five podcast is the quickest, fastest rundown of all the week's top news and our daily newsletter, the Retail Daily Minute, tells you all you need to know each day to stay on top of your game as a retail executive and also regularly features special content that is exclusive to us and that Anna and I take a lot of pride in doing just for you.
Speaker BThanks as always for listening in.
Speaker BPlease remember to like and leave us a review wherever you happen to listen to your podcast or on YouTube.
Speaker BYou can follow us today by simply going to YouTube.com omnitalkretail Michael, final question for you.
Speaker BIf people want to get in touch with you, pick either of your brains at the A and M Consumer and Retail Group, potentially get you as the interim CEO for Target.
Speaker BWhat's the best way for them to do that?
Speaker CSneeziest is email mprendargastalvarezamarcel.com and Chris, same.
Speaker DQuestion, same thing CD said Alvarez and Marcel or LinkedIn.
Speaker BAwesome.
Speaker BAwesome.
Speaker BYou can also go to the Alvarez and Marcel Consumer and Retail Group's website and check them out there too.
Speaker BSo until next week, thank you Michael thank you Chris, both for being here and on behalf of all of us at omnitalk Retail.
Speaker BAs always, be careful out there.