Buy Or Sell: H&M Bettting Everything on AI to Beat SHEIN's Fast Fashion Dominance
Can AI save H&M from Shein's explosive growth? H&M invests heavily in predictive and generative AI to compete as Shein leapfrogs to 1.5% market share. Expert analysis reveals why AI alone won't solve H&M's fast fashion problem. Brought to you by A&M Consumer and Retail Group, Mirakl, Simbe, Infios, Clear Demand, and Ocampo Capital.
For the full episode, head here: https://youtu.be/vjOmUkH_Vhw?si=9f8KlsQw8yUdPqan
#shein #h&m #fastfashion
H and M is betting on AI to upgrade stores and to face off against online rivals, according to the Wall Street Journal.
Speaker AH and M is betting on upgrading a slimmed down store network to regain ground lost to rivals that sell purely online and hopes that artificial intelligence will smooth out the integration of its digital operations with its physical Footprint.
Speaker AH&M's share of the global apparel market declined to 1.1% last year from 1.2% in 2019 before the pandemic, according to global data.
Speaker AZara's market share grew to 1.3% from 1% during the same time period.
Speaker ABut Shein expanded rapidly to leapfrog the European fast fashion giants, with a market share of 1.5% in 2024, up from 0.1% five years before.
Speaker AH&M has been applying predictive AI for several years and is exploring the use of generative AI and AI agents.
Speaker AIt tracks consumer data around fashion trends, style preferences and sizes to learn which products sell best in different markets and transfers data to stores with the aim of delivering better consumer experience, it said.
Speaker AThe company also relies on AI for supply chain management, pricing and marketing, among other tasks.
Speaker ABrooks, we're going to you first here.
Speaker AWill the focus on AI and better store operations be enough for H and M to stave off the threat of Shein and Temu?
Speaker BOh hey, and I just counted you said AI 12 times in what you.
Speaker AJust oh my God.
Speaker BOr maybe it was 13 times.
Speaker ANow I'm reading the Wall Street Journal article.
Speaker ABrooks, I take no responsibility for that.
Speaker ABut yes, I agree with you.
Speaker AGo ahead.
Speaker BLook, I think it's hard to say no to more AI.
Speaker BI mean I'm not going to buck that trend.
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker BAnd I'm going to say that fast fashion has a lot more to gain than most.
Speaker BI mean H and M is going to benefit a lot here.
Speaker BSo I like the push.
Speaker BThink about the opportunity with AI, particularly in apparel returns.
Speaker BYou're talking to somebody who spends a lot of time in A and M.
Speaker BAnd you know what I'm doing in.
Speaker BSorry, in HM H&M.
Speaker BYeah, I said A and M both.
Speaker CYou spent time with both.
Speaker BI spent a lot of time in H and M returning my wife's online apparel purchases.
Speaker BAnd anything that you can do to make that a more efficient process, reduce the number of returns.
Speaker BThat's got big, big return on investment for H and M.
Speaker BRight?
Speaker AYeah.
Speaker ABryson, what about you?
Speaker AWhat are your thoughts here?
Speaker ADo you think that this is a smart investment and will this keep them in the the competent competition against Sheen and teu.
Speaker DSo I think it's the right move.
Speaker DYou know, it's hard to argue that it's not right.
Speaker DIt's going to help them, you know, really zero in on better understanding their customers.
Speaker DAligning assortment.
Speaker DThe bigger question, is this going to be enough to stave off Temu and the threat of Sheen?
Speaker DNo.
Speaker DYeah, it's not.
Speaker DI think what you have to recognize here is that, you know, it is the right move, it is the right play, but just in taking this approach, they're essentially going to narrow their assortment and their offerings for the customers, right?
Speaker DYeah, it's going to be the right products, but it kind of, you know, flies contrary to the unlock that digital has in the sense of the expanded assortment.
Speaker DRight.
Speaker DSo everything for everybody.
Speaker DAnd, you know, couple that with Sheen and Temu's low cost, you know, high velocity model, it's, you know, creating an uneven playing field in that regard.
Speaker DIt will drive efficiencies, but, you know, it's, you know, potentially going to fall short of customer expectations with respect to assortment.
Speaker DAnd then, you know, we have to also take into account that just as H and M is now making this investment, we could argue that Sheen and Temu have arguably been executing AI and probably doing so at a greater scale than that of H and M.
Speaker DSo it becomes a way to narrow the gap.
Speaker DI don't think it becomes a point of differentiation.
Speaker DIt is a must have and a must do, but it's not going to be enough to stave off their continued growth.
Speaker AOkay, I.
Speaker AChris, you.
Speaker AYou're nodding along.
Speaker AAre you in agreement here?
Speaker CYeah.
Speaker CUnlike the last headline, I vociferously agree with Bryson on this one.
Speaker CI think it's the right move.
Speaker CYou know, improving productivity is always a good thing to do, but it's not going to do a darn thing to stave off, you know, the growth threat from the online competitors, you know, because if you look at it like improving stores is exactly about that.
Speaker CIt's about improving, you know, things on the margin.
Speaker CIt isn't transformative, nor does it insulate you from the channel threat.
Speaker CSo, you know, and I would actually go a step further here, like where I think it, it brings up questions about how the leadership at H and M is really thinking about this.
Speaker CBecause if this is what they're talking about, I wonder.
Speaker CI don't think they've got enough dry powder in their keg.
Speaker CAnd the reason I say that too is because I look at their soho store in New York, it's a very reduced assortment as well.
Speaker CThat plays on this idea that you can put less products in your store.
Speaker CAnd I just don't think at their margins they can afford to do that in a way that they're going to be able to compete against their current business model.
Speaker CThen you throw in the threat of Sheehan and Teemu as well.
Speaker CI just think it's, it's, it's going to be a hard game to play.
Speaker CAnd so I think the, I think the leadership needs to come up with some more ideas here pretty quick is my, is my take on this one.
Speaker AWhat else would you do?
Speaker AI mean, what would you have them do to really stay competitive that they aren't doing?
Speaker ABecause I think that's my question here.
Speaker ALike, I think they are.
Speaker AThis is the right move for H and M to be focused on to stay competitive as a business entity.
Speaker ABut what would you say that they should be focusing more on, Chris, to, to stay more competitive or to put them in a better place against Shein and Timu?
Speaker CYeah, I think because you have this.
Speaker CI think this is very similar to what happened with E Commerce back in the day.
Speaker CI mean, you have stores, so stores are still going to be a valuable asset in terms of how you and reach your consumer.
Speaker CSo I think then you have to meet the table stakes game on the production side and the fast fashion that you can produce digitally.
Speaker CSo I would actually be trying to emulate what Temu and Sheen are doing with the factories that you're working with and, and giving the customers the same options to have those small runs of batch or those small runs of products sent to them on demand.
Speaker CThat's, that's what I would be doing.
Speaker CI would be trying to fortify my position, you know, similar to how people ultimately fortified their position on E Commerce back in the day.
Speaker AYeah, I think, I think there's a couple of things that we have to take into account here.
Speaker AI think, you know, the, the soho store, the H and M store is a lab store for H and M.
Speaker AI don't think that you, you know, they are, they tested fair point.
Speaker CThey haven't seen that rolling out yet.
Speaker AThat they're rolling that they've already rolled out, like the RFID programming and that kind of thing.
Speaker ALike they've already rolled that out to other stores.
Speaker AThey're not consolidating.
Speaker AI think that was more for a lab perspective to like test on a smaller batch of product.
Speaker ABut I think something that's really important to hit on is that.
Speaker AAnd Chris, you mentioned this like 85% of shopping is still conducted in stores.
Speaker AAnd H and M, I think, is smartly investing here in making sure overall else that if I do want fast fashion, I can get it that same day.
Speaker AAnd that they know they're investing in things like generative AI and agentic AI so that they can quickly provide that information to me as a consumer.
Speaker ASo if I need a tank top, I don't have to wait two weeks for it to come from Shein and Tebu.
Speaker AI know I can go to my local store within five miles.
Speaker AThey have sizes small, extra small, and medium, and I can choose from any of them.
Speaker ALike, that's what I think is really important about what H and M is doing here.
Speaker AAnd I think they deserve a little bit of credit for being like that place that confidently knows that where their products are, where their stock is, what's trending, and how they can put that at the forefront of their stores to still operate that model efficiently.
Speaker AI do think that there is probably some programming that needs to happen though, to your point, Chris, where they can still stand to compete for some other items that will take a little bit longer to get to consumers.
Speaker ABut as long as this de minimis exception is removed, like, and the products cost the same and they're still taking two weeks to come from she and her team, who.
Speaker AI think that this is a really smart play from H and M.
Speaker ABut I'll give you.
Speaker AI'll give you the last word, Chris.
Speaker AGo for it.
Speaker COh, no, I don't think so.
Speaker CI mean, I think I agree with everything you said.
Speaker CI just think it feels like it's more of a stop the bleed approach.
Speaker CAnd I think even this, even the volume numbers that you're quoting in the stores, and maybe Bryson and Brooks know this better than me.
Speaker CI have a feeling fast fashions, you know, bleed or impact on store volume is greater than say, the online impact of, say, grocery or a comparative business too.
Speaker CBut.
Speaker CBut yeah, that's just my take.
Speaker CI think, you know, you're.
Speaker CI think you're dead right.
Speaker CIt's something they have to do.
Speaker CBut like the, the basic tea that I need right today, they're gonna always gonna keep that business.
Speaker CIt's all the other businesses that are getting siphoned off or all the other, you know, customer interactions that are getting siphoned off over time based on the exponential growth of this.
Speaker CAnd it's not just.
Speaker CIt's not just us.
Speaker CUs and de minimis either.
Speaker CAs we learned at Shop Talk Europe.
Speaker CI mean, this thing is big in Europe too.
Speaker AYeah.