July 13, 2024
No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets
@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)
Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.
YTD Standings:
@MrActionJunkie1 151-107, 58.5%, up 15.8347 units
@KotaCapperKyle 54-55, 49.5%, down 7.53 units
@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Saturday (dropped on the podcast)
NRFI - New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (-115 on FanDuel)
- Enough is enough, I need to bet on a Yankee NRFI again. Grayson Rodriguez goes for the O's, 3.52 ERA, 2.27 ERA at home, plus the Yankees have scored the 7th fewest runs in July with a .211 BA. Luis Gil goes for the Yankees, 3.27 ERA, last 7 starts have been a bit shaky with a 5.73 ERA. The Orioles have scored the 3rd fewest runs in July. I'm sure this NRFI will wake up the bats, KotaCapperKyle likes the over, Jesse from the newsletter will be attending the game, I'm still going NRFI.
NRFI - Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox (-104 on FanDuel)
- Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox, 3.24, 1.07 WHIP, 3.00 ERA in the 1st inning. Seth Lugo goes for the Royals, 2.21 ERA, 1.04 WHIP on the season. 19 starts allowing just 3 runs in the first, 2.03 ERA on the road. Red Sox have the 4th best OPS vs. righties, but Lugo has the numbers to support the play. Day ERA of 1.57. Let's go NRFI.
NRFI - Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres (-136 on FanDuel)
- 5.68 ERA over the last 7 starts for Dylan Cease, 4.21 on the season, 3.69 ERA at home. Homers have haunted Cease this year, BA allowed is better than his career numbers, WHIP is significantly better than his career numbers. I think he's better than his numbers so I'm willing to back him against a dangerous Braves lineup. Reynaldo Lopez goes for the Braves, can't argue with his numbers after 16 starts. 1.71 ERA, 1.13 WHIP. 16 starts, ZERO runs allowed in the first. NRFI it is.
@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Saturday
TBD
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Circled Games: Building a College Football Betting Strategy One Matchup at a Time - Rutgers at Minnesota on September 27th
Not every college football betting angle is about numbers and spreadsheets. Some of us play the mental game.
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No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets
@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)
Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.
YTD Standings:
@MrActionJunkie1 175-131, 57.2%, up 11.4655 units
@KotaCapper…