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Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast

Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast

This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days. Overnight show picks games against the spread, afternoon show focuses on player prop bets.

Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units

Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.

Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor.

Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.

Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.

Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.

Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Recent Episodes

April 27, 2024

Podcast + Prop Bet Newsletter Combo Show: 4 NBA Playoff Sides, 2 NBA Prop Bets, 3 MLB Baseball NRFI's, 1 MLB Run Line, 1 MLB Moneyline, 1 Outs Recorded Prop, 1 Strikeout Prop, 1 Total Bases Prop, and 5 MLB Plays from @KotaCapperKyle for Sat

Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets) https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership Today's Card: Cleveland +2.5 at Orlando New Orleans +1.5 at Oklahoma City Boston -9 at Miami LA …
April 26, 2024

Winning streak ends at 5. 3 NBA Playoff Bets, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (Outs Recorded Prop, First 5 Run Line, Moneyline, Run Line x 2, NRFI) for Friday

Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets) https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership Today's Card: Milwaukee +5 at Indiana Dallas -4.5 vs. LA Clippers Phoenix -4.5 vs. Minnesota NRF…
April 25, 2024

That's a winner! 3 NBA Playoff Bets, 6 MLB Bets (NRFI x 2, Moneyline, Run Line x 3), Draft Position Prop Bets on J.J. McCarthy & Bo Nix plus 5 MLB Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Thursday

Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets) https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership Today's Card: Orlando -1.5 vs. Cleveland Philadelphia -4.5 vs. New York LA Lakers +1 vs. Denver …
April 24, 2024

That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle goes 3-1 on his birthday. 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 4 MLB NRFI's for Wednesday.

Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets) https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership Today's Card: Miami +14.5 at Boston Oklahoma City -7.5 vs. New Orleans NRFI: Arizona/St. Louis (…
April 23, 2024

That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle with 4 MLB Bets (Team Total, Moneyline, Run Line, Total) for Tuesday plus 3 NBA Bets from @MrActionJunkie1 in the notes - Flip the script!

Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets) https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership @MrActionJunkie1 NBA Card: FLIP EVERYTHING Phoenix +3 at Minnesota Indiana +1.5 at Milwaukee Dal…
April 22, 2024

That's a winner! 3 NBA Playoff Bets - Barking Dogs, 5 MLB Bets (NRFI x 2, First 5 Run Line, Run Line x 2) for Monday

Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets) https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership Today's Card: Orlando +5.5 at Cleveland Philadelphia +5.5 at New York LA Lakers +7.5 at Denver N…

Recent Blog Posts

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring) Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.    YTD Standings: @MrActionJunkie1      38-27, 58.5%, up 5.8685 units @KotaCapperKyl…

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring) Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.    YTD Standings: @MrActionJunkie1      37-27, 57.8%, up 4.9989 units @KotaCapperKyl…

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring) Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.    YTD Standings: @MrActionJunkie1      37-25, 59.6%, up 6.9989 units @KotaCapperKyl…