June 19, 2024
No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets
@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)
Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.
YTD Standings:
@MrActionJunkie1 118-80, 59.6%, up 16.0398 units
@KotaCapperKyle 47-48, 49.5%, down 6.58 units
@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Wednesday (dropped in the newsletter)
NRFI - Detroit Tigers at Atlanta Braves (-160)
- Reynaldo Lopez for the Braves,12 starts, 0 runs allowed in the 1st on just 6 hits. Tough to pass that up. Lopez has a 1.69 ERA on the season with a 1.04 WHIP. Tarik Skubal for the Tigers, 2.20 ERA, 0.91 WHIP on the year. 1.93 in the 1st. Plus, I get Skubal in a bounce back spot after allowing 4 runs to the Astros last out. Kicking myself for not betting last night, I'll drink the extra juice.
NRFI - Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (-130)
- Reds rank 23rd in OPS vs. righties, Pirates rank 29th. Hunter Greene goes for the Reds, 3.61 ERA, 3.06 ERA on the road, 1.93 ERA in the 1st. I'm good with those numbers. Mitch Keller goes for the Pirates, 3.36 ERA, 2.79 ERA at home, 2.57 ERA in the 1st. I'm good with those numbers. Let's get 6 without a run.
NRFI - Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians (-130)
- Both teams are in the bottom half in OPS vs. righties, both teams are in the top half in NRFI %. Tanner Bibee for Cleveland, 1.93 ERA in the 1st this season, 3.94 ERA overall. 2.98 ERA over 25 starts last year, he's better than his YTD numbers. Bryan Woo for Seattle, 1.07 ERA over 33.2 innings. 6 starts, 0 runs allowed in the 1st, only 1 hit allowed. Sign me up!
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Circled Games: Building a College Football Betting Strategy One Matchup at a Time - Rutgers at Minnesota on September 27th
Not every college football betting angle is about numbers and spreadsheets. Some of us play the mental game.
I call myself a motivational handicapper.
While others dive deep into X’s and O’s or analytics models, I focus on the emotiona…
No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets
@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)
Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.
YTD Standings:
@MrActionJunkie1 175-131, 57.2%, up 11.4655 units
@KotaCapper…