@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)
Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.
YTD Standings:
@MrActionJunkie1 37-25, 59.6%, up 6.9989 units
@KotaCapperKyle 26-24, 52.0%, down 0.88 units
@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Thursday (dropped on the podcast)
Play 1: NRFI - Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals (-130)
- Cole Ragans had a 2.64 ERA with the Royals last year after the trade, he entered his 5th start this year with a 1.93 ERA but left that game with a 4.32 after allowing 7 runs over 1.2 innings against the Orioles. I expect better today. Jose Berrios looks like Cy Young material for the Blue Jays, 4-0 record, 0.85 ERA, 1.01 WHIP. Boy oh boy do I wish that he was still in a Twins uniform. KC sticks are a career .245 against him, Royals rank 9th in OPS vs. righties but I'll take good pitching over good hitting. Let's get 6 without a run today.
Play 2: NRFI - Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs (-140)
- Javier Assad takes the hill for the Cubbies, 2.11 ERA, 1.03 WHIP. 2 or fewer runs allowed in all 4 starts this year, career 2.94 ERA. I'll back numbers like that all day long. Justin Verlander is on the bump for the Astros, allowed 2 runs over 6 innings in his season debut against the Nationals. Cubs rank 11th in OPS vs. righties, bottom half concerns me the most given the lack of success for Verlander during his rehab starts. 2014 is the last time Verlander had an ERA over 4, father time has been kind to him and hopefully he can get me the first 3 outs without any damage today.
@KotaCapperKyle's Plays for Thursday:
NRFI: White Sox/Twins (-120)
Man, the White Sox might be the worst team that I have ever seen to start the year this year. Betting any type of under with them is a good move because they are averaging a MLB worst 2.21 runs per game. Although they're scoring around 0.46 runs per first inning (18th in MLB), it's not that hot of a take to take NRFIs in their games and predict them not to score a run. Pair that with the Twins only scoring 0.39 runs per game in the 1st, this is not a lot of juice to take for these NRFIs. Let's cash on some value together.
NRFI: Rockies/Padres (+110)
This one was a tough play for me, since you have the best team in the league in terms of runs per first inning in the Padres (1.11) and one of the worst in the league in the Rockies (0.28). However, I think the Rockies can hold the Padres to no runs early. Randy Vasquez for the Padres has had a great year thus far and is also going to keep the Rockies to low scoring, so getting this NRFI at plus money is value.
YRFI: Dodgers/Nationals (+100)
To say that Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been a disappointment to start the year is an understatement with an above 4 ERA. He has the longest contract in MLB history, and they expect better from him. Not only has he struggled in games this year but thankfully the Dodgers lineup has helped by scoring 5.35 runs per game (5th in the league). The talent on the top of that Dodgers lineup paired with the struggling start that Yamamoto has had makes this plus money YRFI have some serious value that we should take advantage of.
