May 11, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1 50-39, 56.1%, up 3.6624 units

@KotaCapperKyle 30-31, 49.2%, down 4.78 units

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Saturday (dropped on the podcast)

Play 1: NRFI - Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates (-160)

I need action on the MLB debut for Paul Skenes. 0.99 ERA over 27.1 innings in AAA this year. Justin Steele goes for the Cubs, 2 starts, 0.96 ERA. Didn't work on Friday but I'm back to try it again today.

Play 2: NRFI - Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers (-150)

I would like to have a word with Tarik Skubal. 1.90 ERA on the season, 0.77 WHIP. 7 starts, he's giving up a TOTAL of 4 runs in the first 5 innings this year. My problem, he's given up a run in 3 of his last 4 opening frames. In fact, his games have had a first inning run in 5 straight games. Cristian Javier for the Astros today, 1.54 ERA on the season, he's 4/4 without giving up a run in the 1^st this season.

Circled Games: Building a College Football Betting Strategy One Matchup at a Time - Rutgers at Minnesota on September 27th

Not every college football betting angle is about numbers and spreadsheets. Some of us play the mental game. I call myself a motivational handicapper. While others dive deep into X’s and O’s or analytics models, I focus on the emotiona…