May 9, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1 50-36, 58.1%, up 6.6624 units

@KotaCapperKyle 30-31, 49.2%, down 4.78 units

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Thursday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins (-145)

Teams rank 24^th & 26^th in runs scored in the 1st. Seattle is sending out Logan Gilbert with a 1.69 ERA, 0.79 WHIP. I'm good with that. Minnesota is sending out Pablo Lopez coming off a 6 inning, 1 run allowed performance against Boston. Lopez got better during the season last year and I expect to see the same this year. Big fan of this NRFI even at -145.

NRFI - Houston Astros at New York Yankees (-110)

Ronel Blanco has been one of the few bright spots this season for the Astros, 2.09 ERA, 0.96 WHIP. Marcus Stroman goes for the Yankees; he's given up just 1 run in the 1^st over 7 starts. Both teams have burned me of late with the longball in the opening inning, but I'll take my chances.

Circled Games: Building a College Football Betting Strategy One Matchup at a Time - Rutgers at Minnesota on September 27th

Not every college football betting angle is about numbers and spreadsheets. Some of us play the mental game. I call myself a motivational handicapper. While others dive deep into X’s and O’s or analytics models, I focus on the emotiona…