May 8, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      49-35, 58.3%, up 6.8427 units

@KotaCapperKyle        29-30, 49.1%, down 4.43 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Wednesday (dropped in the newsletter)

NRFI: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians (-122 on FanDuel)
High scoring affair last night, I'm expecting a pitcher's duel to follow today. Reese Olson goes for Detroit, 2.70 ERA, 1.23 WHIP. He's given up 0 or 1 run in 4 of 6 starts, not bad. Tanner Bibee gets the call for Cleveland, 4.46 ERA, 1.38 WHIP this year. 2.11 ERA at home last year with a larger sample size. Baseball is up and down. Bibee tossed 7 shutout innings against Atlanta on 4/27, next out he gave up 6 runs over 5 innings against the Angels. That's baseball. I expect a good day today. NRFI it is. 
 
NRFI: New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals (-130 on DraftKings)
Sonny Gray for St. Louis. No regrets backing him regardless of the result. Jose Quintana for the Mets, 5.20 ERA, 1.54 WHIP this season. Subpar numbers compared to his career numbers with a 3.77 ERA. Good 1st inning pitcher this year, 1 run allowed over 7 starts. Last out, poor start allowing 8 runs over 2.2 innings at Tampa Bay. Prior to that, he went 8 innings strong against these Cardinals allowing just 1 run on 3 hits. 
 
NRFI: Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (-125 on DraftKings)
It's JP Sears day for me. I'm a big fan. Michael Lorenzen for the Rangers, 3.52 ERA, 1.22 WHIP. That's good enough for me to back. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Wednesday

NRFI: Tigers/Guardians (-125)

This play makes me nervous because both of these teams have top of the lineups are super dangerous. However, I really like the pitching matchup here with Reese Olson and Tanner Bibee, and I can see these two pitchers starting off strong in the first inning. 

NRFI: Padres/Cubs (-135)

Dylan Cease is starting to look like his old self again getting that ERA down to 2.55. Meanwhile, Hayden Wesneski for the Cubs has been lights out in his 16 and 2/3 innings pitched with a 0.54 ERA. It's a lot of juice, but it's well worth the squeeze here.