May 4, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1 45-33, 57.7%, up 5.6014 units

@KotaCapperKyle 29-30, 49.1%, down 4.43 units

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Saturday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI: Marlins/Athletics (-130)

Paul Blackburn has given up just 3 runs over 19 innings pitched at home. Marlins are ranked 26^th in scoring. That works for me. Trevor Rogers is 0-4 for the Marlins, he's shutout opponents in 5 of 6 opening frames this year. Athletics rank 21^st in OPS vs. lefties. NRFI it is.

NRFI: Mariners/Astros (-130)

Logan Gilbert has a 2.03 ERA, 0.80 WHIP for the Mariners over 40 innings. Framber Valdez has a 2.60 ERA, 1.27 WHIP over 17.1 innings this season. Mariners rank 25^th in runs scored. This feels like a NRFI that should close closer to -150.

@KotaCapperKyle's Plays: TBD

Circled Games: Building a College Football Betting Strategy One Matchup at a Time - Rutgers at Minnesota on September 27th

Not every college football betting angle is about numbers and spreadsheets. Some of us play the mental game. I call myself a motivational handicapper. While others dive deep into X’s and O’s or analytics models, I focus on the emotiona…