Oct. 12, 2025
Snowball Earth Theories, High-Energy Neutrinos & The Fascinating MWC349A
Q&A Edition: Snowball Earth, and Cosmic Neutrinos In this thought-provoking episode of Space Nuts, hosts Andrew Dunkley and Professor Jonti Horner tackle a range of intriguing listener questions. From the complexities of climate change and its...
Q&A Edition: Snowball Earth, and Cosmic Neutrinos
In this thought-provoking episode of Space Nuts, hosts Andrew Dunkley and Professor Jonti Horner tackle a range of intriguing listener questions. From the complexities of climate change and its effects on Earth’s axis to the mysteries of snowball Earth and the record-breaking neutrino KM M3230213A, this episode is packed with cosmic insights and scientific discussion.
Episode Highlights:
- Climate Change Explained: Andrew and Jonti address Peter's question on how CO2, despite being heavier than air, contributes to global warming. They discuss the greenhouse effect and the role of carbon dioxide in trapping heat, along with the challenges of public perception regarding climate science.
- Snowball Earth Insights: Paul’s inquiry leads to an exploration of the snowball Earth hypothesis, examining how such extreme climate conditions could affect oxygen levels and what triggers these dramatic shifts in Earth’s climate.
- Cosmic Neutrinos Unveiled: Casey’s question about the record-breaking KM M3230213A neutrino sparks a fascinating discussion on its origins, possible sources, and the implications of detecting such high-energy particles from the early universe.
- Understanding MWC349A: Henrique asks about the mysterious object MWC349A and its unique emissions. The hosts delve into the science of masers and the significance of this object in understanding stellar evolution and mass loss.
For more Space Nuts, including our continuously updating newsfeed and to listen to all our episodes, visit our website. Follow us on social media at SpaceNutsPod on Facebook, X, YouTube Music Music, Tumblr, Instagram, and TikTok. We love engaging with our community, so be sure to drop us a message or comment on your favourite platform.
If you’d like to help support Space Nuts and join our growing family of insiders for commercial-free episodes and more, visit spacenutspodcast.com/about.
Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/space-nuts-astronomy-insights-cosmic-discoveries--2631155/support.
In this thought-provoking episode of Space Nuts, hosts Andrew Dunkley and Professor Jonti Horner tackle a range of intriguing listener questions. From the complexities of climate change and its effects on Earth’s axis to the mysteries of snowball Earth and the record-breaking neutrino KM M3230213A, this episode is packed with cosmic insights and scientific discussion.
Episode Highlights:
- Climate Change Explained: Andrew and Jonti address Peter's question on how CO2, despite being heavier than air, contributes to global warming. They discuss the greenhouse effect and the role of carbon dioxide in trapping heat, along with the challenges of public perception regarding climate science.
- Snowball Earth Insights: Paul’s inquiry leads to an exploration of the snowball Earth hypothesis, examining how such extreme climate conditions could affect oxygen levels and what triggers these dramatic shifts in Earth’s climate.
- Cosmic Neutrinos Unveiled: Casey’s question about the record-breaking KM M3230213A neutrino sparks a fascinating discussion on its origins, possible sources, and the implications of detecting such high-energy particles from the early universe.
- Understanding MWC349A: Henrique asks about the mysterious object MWC349A and its unique emissions. The hosts delve into the science of masers and the significance of this object in understanding stellar evolution and mass loss.
For more Space Nuts, including our continuously updating newsfeed and to listen to all our episodes, visit our website. Follow us on social media at SpaceNutsPod on Facebook, X, YouTube Music Music, Tumblr, Instagram, and TikTok. We love engaging with our community, so be sure to drop us a message or comment on your favourite platform.
If you’d like to help support Space Nuts and join our growing family of insiders for commercial-free episodes and more, visit spacenutspodcast.com/about.
Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/space-nuts-astronomy-insights-cosmic-discoveries--2631155/support.
WEBVTT
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Andrew Dunkley: Hi there. Thanks for joining us on a Q and A
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edition of Space Nuts. My name is Andrew
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Dunkley and this is the. The show we do each
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week where you supply the agenda
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and we pretend we know what we're talking
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about. And questions are coming in,
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uh, for this week's show from Peter, who's
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asking about climate change.
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Jonti Horner: Paul is.
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Andrew Dunkley: Well, I suppose it's a similar story.
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Snowball, uh, Earth and, uh, a couple of
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objects of interest. Uh, Casey is asking
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about KM
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M3230213A.
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Know all about it. And an even more obscure
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thing. Henrik has asked about
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MWC3498, which I just did a
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Google search for and it came up blank.
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Anyway, it's an A at the end, not an A. I had
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fun with that. Ah, is that the one? All
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right. And that's what we're talking about
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with that little voice you just heard in the
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background on this edition of space
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nuts.
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Voice Over Guy: 15 seconds. Guidance is internal.
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10, 9. Ignition
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sequence start. Space nuts. 5, 4, 3,
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2. 1. 2, 3, 4, 5, 5, 4,
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3, 2, 1. Space nuts. Astronauts
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report it feels good.
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Andrew Dunkley: And that voice belongs to none other than
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Professor Jonti T. Horner, professor of
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Astrophysics at the University of Southern
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Queensland, Jonti. Hello again.
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Jonti Horner: Good afternoon. Yeah, clearly professor of
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interruptions. This is what happens when I've
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had enough time for the coffee to kick in.
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Andrew Dunkley: Uh, yes, it's been, um, what, four
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days and we're still wearing the same
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clothes.
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Jonti Horner: Absolutely.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I get a lot of mileage out of that
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joke. Yeah.
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Jonti Horner: Um, but you've been done.
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Had a musical interlude. Haven't I have.
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Andrew Dunkley: Look, I, um.
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Jonti Horner: It.
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Andrew Dunkley: It was just. Last weekend was a long weekend,
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uh, in New South Wales, and I think it was in
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Queensland too. But, um, it was the weekend
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that Taylor Swift released her latest
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album. And, uh,
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I've got three granddaughters, all of
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Taylor's swifty age. And
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uh, we. Yeah, we took them to see
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the launch of her new album. Uh, and,
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uh, I. Look, I've got to tell you, I really
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did, I did. I enjoy it.
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Yes. It's not aimed at
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me or my demographic, but, um,
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it was, uh, it was interesting to
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watch some of the thinking behind the artist
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and some of the creativity that went into
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film clips and things like that. That's the,
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that's what I got out of it. But what, uh, an
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extraordinary.
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Jonti Horner: It's one of the things I love.
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I know we've gone totally off topic straight
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away, but my favorite critic, and the kind of
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only one I pay attention to, really is a guy
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called Mark commodity in the UK who's, um,
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they used to be on BBC Radio 5 live and now
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they've got their own independent, um, thing.
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And it's one of those things that's like
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comfort food for the soul that you can listen
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to and just makes your children relax. But
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part of what's nice about him is that you get
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a lot of film critics who, if a film's not
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made for them, are in some misdiabos about
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it. Right. And you know, I remember this with
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the Twilight films, which I'm not the target
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audience, they're not my cup of tea, but they
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got panned because they're made for
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teenage girls and film critics are elderly
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men and there's a slightly different
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demographic there. And this guy's brilliant
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because he'll m. Make the point. You know,
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I'm not the target audience for this. I'm
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very clearly not it and I enjoyed it. Okay.
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But you look around the room at the people
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who are the target audience and they love it.
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So it's obviously doing well. I think it's
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the same with what you're saying by the
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Taylor Swift stuff. We're not the target
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audience. But you can appreciate that this is
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someone who's awesomely talented and ah, for
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the target audience, it's really
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fundamentally awesome, you know.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. Uh, I was still working on
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radio, uh, when she was, uh,
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announced by Time magazine as Person of the
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Year. And I did a big, big
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statement at the time as far as I was
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concerned, uh, about why she deserved
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it because she brought light into the world
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at a very dark time towards the end of COVID
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And um, but then they went
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and made Donaldjohanson Trump the, uh, Person
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of the Year. So anyway, whatever.
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Jonti Horner: Um, can't see the light without having
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darkness. Right.
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Andrew Dunkley: And I will say one of the songs on the new
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album has got to be about Donaldjohanson
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Trump. So anyway, he's after
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a Nobel priest Peace Prize and the word on
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the hill is that, uh, you might just get
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it. Uh, we won't go there. It's not
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our agenda. But, uh, we will go to some
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questions. Why don't we try and tackle this
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very first one? And this one
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comes from Peter.
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With all this climate change happening, I,
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uh, was wondering how CO2 is
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warming the planet when it's heavy. Heavier
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than air. Maybe the problem is the axis of
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the planet has moved because of all the
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millions of tons of minerals that have been
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moved. Maybe someone should check the
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axis angle. Geez, Peter, I
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think I've heard this theory Once before.
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I doubt that the amount of stuff we take out
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of the ground and move around the planet is
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going to make that big a difference
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to the tilt.
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Jonti Horner: No, and the beauty is we can measure the
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tilt. I mean, I grew up in the north
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of England, and high in the sky was
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Polaris, the pole star, which is the
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direction that the northern end of the
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Earth's, uh, spin axis points to. I'm very,
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very close to that star. So we can see
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exactly where the spin axis of the Earth is
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pointing. We can measure its spin rate. And
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it is right that moving material around
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on the Earth will to some degree change its
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spin and change its spin axis tilt.
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Um, but, and it's a very big but the amount
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of change that you get from human activity is
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very, very, very, very small. A much
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bigger shift in mass, for example, happens
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with melting of the polar caps. Yeah, if you
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melt the polar caps, you move the water. The
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water settles all around the Earth, so you're
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effectively moving mass from near the poles
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to near the equator. And that changes the
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Earth's rotational angular momentum and will
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change the Earth's spin very, very, very,
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very slightly. But we're now incredibly
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technologically capable, so we can measure
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things that are that small. And a good
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example of that was the big Indian Ocean
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tsunami. The earthquake that caused that, uh,
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on the Pacific Rim had a measurable effect on
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the Earth's spin. But if I remember rightly,
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and I stand to be corrected here, that
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measurable effect was something like one, one
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millionth of a second in the spin rate or
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something like that. And we can measure that,
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but it's not like you'd notice it in your day
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to day life. And it's not like that would be
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big enough to cause the impact on the climate
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that we see today. Now, I understand
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that, thanks to, uh, decades of
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discussion, that climate change is still a
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bit of a controversial topic with some
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people. And I'm quite
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fundamentally comfortable saying climate
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change is a real thing, that the climate is
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changing. I spent three years early in my
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career living in Switzerland, and when I was
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in Switzerland, I used to go skiing, because
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skiing's awesome. And if you're in
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Switzerland, why wouldn't you? And all these
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beautiful little towns that I went to in the
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winter, and then you went back in the summer
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and you went walking in the hills instead of
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skiing because all the snow had gone. They
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all have these photos from 50 or 100 years
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ago where you have the village in the
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foreground and the glacier in the background
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winding out of the hills. And then if you're
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up there in the summer, you go out and look,
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and it isn't there anymore. It's retreated
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that far. And I think that's fundamentally
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why in a lot of those countries with Alpine
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regions, climate change has been accepted for
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much, much longer, because you can really
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physically see the effects. And so it's very
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clear that it's happening. And the argument
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that it's caused by humor rather than
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something natural, the strongest evidence for
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that, to be honest, is the speed at which
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it's happening is unprecedented. The natural
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effects that could cause it, like the
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transition from the ice ages to the
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interglacials, and we'll talk about this a
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bit more later on, are, uh, much more
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gradual. Changes in brightness of the sun are
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much more gradual. And in fact, the sun has
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dimmed a little bit over the time that we've
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been measuring climate change due to little
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bits of tweaks in its behavior. So if
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the climate wasn't changing, we'd actually be
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slightly cooler now than we were a couple of
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hundred years ago, only very slightly. But
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that leads to this perverse and confusing
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statistic that 110% of all climate change is
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caused by humans because we're not just
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making it warmer, but we're offsetting the
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cooling as well. Yeah, so that's all the
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background to it here, how carbon dioxide
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plays a role. Even though it's, you know,
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heavier than air, it's still gas, it still
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floats around up there. It's not like it all
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sits at ankle level on the Earth. But even if
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it did, it would still be fairly effective
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because what carbon dioxide is in a really
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broad sense is it's like a good winter doona
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that you've got. The way that
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I can understand this as an astronomer most
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obviously is, uh, I think back m to again.
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When I was a kid, 1983, when I was five years
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old, there was this satellite launch called
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the infrared astronomical satellite IRAs.
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And that was really foundational for a lot of
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what we've learned about planets around other
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stars, because it was a tool that first
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allowed us to find debris disks around stars,
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which are, uh, the leftovers from planet
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formation. And that was a bit of a shock
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because stars didn't look how they were
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expected to. Three of them in particular.
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Vega, Fomalkauten, Beta Pictoris. They were
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brighter in the infrared wavelengths than we
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expected. They thought the satellite was
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broken. Then they realized that, no, really,
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the stars just had all this debris around
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them that was getting hot, warming up, and
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Giving off radiation and infrared
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wavelengths. So this tells us that
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when you heat something up, it radiates that
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energy away in infrared. And that's why
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thermal imaging cameras work. You can see
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people at night if you're using a thermal
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imaging camera because they're warmer than
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the surrounding area, so they give off more
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infrared radiation. You can see that. But the
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reason we had to launch IRAs was that you
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can't do infrared astronomy from the ground
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except a couple of very specific wavelengths.
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And uh, the reason that you can't do infrared
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astronomy from the ground is that the
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atmosphere is fundamentally opaque at
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infrared wavelengths. And a big part of that
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is carbon dioxide. So if you've got a photon
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of infrared radiation, it coming into our
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atmosphere, we'll essentially see our
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atmosphere as utterly thick cloud. It will be
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absorbed and re emitted back out.
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Optical light, visible light makes it through
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the atmosphere intact. And that's why if I
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look out of the window at the minute, we've
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got a lovely sunny day and I can see what I'm
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doing. And, um, that solar radiation comes in
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and it warms the Earth up. And what does the
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Earth do? It radiates that energy back
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outward at infrared wavelengths. But because
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the atmosphere is opaque at infrared
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wavelengths, that energy gets absorbed and re
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emitted. And it'll be re emitted randomly in
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any given direction. So the odds are it'll
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come back down. So in other words, that
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radiation gets trapped. And that's how the
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doona works. That's how the carbon dioxide's
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working. Now the carbon dioxide
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we've got in our atmosphere is really
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effective as a greenhouse gas. It's actually
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mostly saturated. So adding
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some carbon dioxide from no carbon dioxide
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would have a much bigger effect than adding
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carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Now, when
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we've got a fair bit of it in there already,
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but it's not totally saturated. So what that
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means is as we add more carbon dioxide, it
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can still have a bigger effect. And, um,
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that's why as we put more carbon dioxide into
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the atmosphere, the Earth gets warmer because
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the Dooner gets more effective.
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There are other gases that are effective
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greenhouse gases as well. Methane is a really
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good example. Methane is actually much more
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effective than carbon dioxide. But the
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difference is methane's fairly short lived in
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the atmosphere. Methane molecules on average
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will be removed from the atmosphere within
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400 years by interacting with oxygen.
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Carbon dioxide is only removed by life
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or by weathering. You know, if you get lots
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of rain on the continents, that breaks up the
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rocks, the rocks crumble down. Chemistry
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happens. Carbon dioxide can be pulled out
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into the rocks and locked up in the surface.
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They're the mechanisms that get rid of carbon
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dioxide and they're slower. So that's part of
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why carbon dioxide is a problem, because when
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we put it in the atmosphere, it's going to
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hang around for a good long time. But that
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hopefully kind of answers that question, that
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I am respectful of the fact that it's hard
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for people to comprehend how we
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can change the world's environment. Because
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you think of yourself and your friends and
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you think the Earth's so big and we're so
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small, how can we have that much of an
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effect? And it's hard to come to terms with
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just how many people there are and just how
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much stuff we're doing and pumping stuff into
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the atmosphere. Yeah, it's a bit
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misleading to say, you know, if you change to
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an EV rather than a petrol car, you'll save
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the world, but it'll contribute a little drop
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in the ocean towards lessening climate
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change potentially in the long term. And, um,
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that's kind of what people are looking at.
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But fundamentally, this is what's happening.
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It's very, very well established. Nothing
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astronomically can even come close to
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explaining what we're seeing. So when you
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rule out all the other options, the only
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thing that's left is human influence. And
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that's kind of sad, but shows what an
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effective species we are at changing our
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environment, you know?
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Andrew Dunkley: Well, hopefully we can be just as effective
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in finding a solution, but I think, uh,
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to do that, everybody has to be on the same
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page, and that's just not the case at the
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moment.
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Jonti Horner: I'm an optimist. I mean, there's.
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There's real challenges here. I remember
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there was an incredible article by a guy
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called Jeff Masters who used to run the
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Weather Underground site, used to write blogs
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there. Uh, yeah. Um, and he wrote about. I
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think it was book review, actually. But he
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wrote about something called Manufactured
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Doubt, which is a whole industry that has
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sprung up to sow confusion
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over something that should be settled science
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in order to allow business to operate without
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being restricted effectively. And, um, it
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first came about with smoking. So cigarette
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smoking. Tobacco smoking was known to be very
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harmful to people going back 100 years from
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now. But even when I was growing up in the
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1980s, he still had smoking in public places.
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You still had it everywhere. You still have
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adverts on TV and tobacco sponsorship.
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Because there'd been this very cleverly
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managed marketing strategy of casting doubt
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on the science and casting doubt on the
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scientists involved, effectively slandering
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them. And you have things like, you know, top
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sportsmen in the world, footballers and
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cricketers and things like this being
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sponsored by tobacco companies and smoking
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cigarettes and interviews and giving this
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impression. Can't be harmful, can it? I mean,
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look, here's one of the fittest athletes in
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the world and they smoke and that makes them
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a great athlete. You shouldn't see children.
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And what was interesting in this article from
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Jeff Masters, who's a very powerful advocate
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for knowledge, uh, about climate change, was
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that, uh, there is a lot of evidence that the
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companies that used to do that for tobacco
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through the 1980s were brought on board by
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the big oil companies to do the same kind of
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strategy. And it's been incredibly effective.
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And I think it's led to this wider thing of
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diminishing trust in science and greater
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doubt in it, which has led to the challenges
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we face now with things like vaccines, with,
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you know, flat earthing to some degree, with
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places where people are skeptical and
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don't trust scientists and don't trust
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science, even though science is so
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fundamental and foundational for our day to
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day lives. And it's really sad. But the flip
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side is we got cigarettes banned,
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people's health has improved. We, you know,
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no longer do you go to a pub and the walls
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are grimy and the windows are dark because of
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all the cigarette smoke. No longer do you get
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on a train and have to cough your way to your
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destination. Things have changed and I think
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we're starting to see the same change with
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climate change and, um, with the actions that
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we can take. And it's not happening out of
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the goodness of people's hearts. It's
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happening because commercially it's now
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becoming viable to make the changes. Yes,
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electric vehicles are a really good example.
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Back in the early 1900s you had electric
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vehicles, we had electric milk floats in the
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uk, but they were an oddity and there were
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specific use. But it's finally got to the
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point where those kind of vehicles can be
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competitive with combustion engine vehicles,
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can even possibly work out cheaper and more
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efficient and suddenly there's an incentive
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for people to get them, not because they're
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doing good for the planet, but because it's a
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better option for them. And that's the kind
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of change that hopefully is going to improve
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things.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yes, yes, I hope you're right. I
427
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suppose the other difficulty that comes into
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play with trying to change the minds of
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people and get the right thinking happening
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is social media, because there's so much
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scandal going through social media and as
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I mentioned, in the last program, um,
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we now have artificial intelligence, so
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you don't even know what you're looking at is
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real anymore.
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Speaker C: It's.
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Jonti Horner: Yeah, it's all saying that. And
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I know it from a Terry Pratchett. But like
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many things, Terry Pratchett, he was probably
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referencing people before. But this whole
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idea that a lie can run around the world
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before the truth can get its boots on, it's
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very easy to tell a convenient lie. And
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people are naturally biased as
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humans, with all the different cognitive
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biases we've got, there's a confirmation bias
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that you remember the things that fit in well
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with your lived experience and not the things
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that disagree with it. And, um, my lived
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experience is that I don't change the world
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when I go around. I'm not fundamentally
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altering the world around me, which I live
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in. So it's very easy when somebody says,
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we're not changing the world. Climate change
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can't be real, because how could you change
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the world for people to really empathize with
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that and fit in with it in just the same way
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that people who are getting vaccinated,
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they'll remember that their anti ulcer had a
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bad reaction to the vaccine, but they don't
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remember that many people who have had the
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vaccine and not had a reaction, but didn't
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die from the thing they were vaccinated
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against because they were vaccinated. So you
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get that confirmation bias that feels like it
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supports the idea that vaccines are bad
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when in fact they're not. And fundamentally,
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this is why as scientists, we use statistics
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for all these things. Lies down, blind
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statistics. We use statistics to try and
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avoid falling into the trap of our own biases
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because we think we've seen a pattern, but
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statistics will give us a hint as to whether
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it's really there or not.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. Gosh, we could talk forever on this.
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It's like opening that can of worms and just
477
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letting it spill out and everybody has a go.
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Uh, thank you, Peter. We're going to sort of
479
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continue on to this type of, um, angle, uh,
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with a, uh, question from Paul.
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Speaker C: G', day, Space nuts. Paul Feen from Sunny
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Bridges, Vegas here. Quick question. If
483
00:17:58.320 --> 00:18:01.280
our Earth were to suddenly or not suddenly
484
00:18:01.280 --> 00:18:04.000
become a snowball, as
485
00:18:04.560 --> 00:18:06.640
might have happened if our, uh, scientific
486
00:18:06.640 --> 00:18:09.000
theories are correct, you know, back in our
487
00:18:09.000 --> 00:18:11.800
deep, distant past, what effect
488
00:18:11.800 --> 00:18:14.320
would that have on oxygen levels in our
489
00:18:14.320 --> 00:18:17.120
atmosphere? Would they
490
00:18:17.120 --> 00:18:19.680
stay the same? Uh, would they drop? Because
491
00:18:19.760 --> 00:18:22.080
plants don't grow really well down in
492
00:18:22.080 --> 00:18:24.940
Antarctica. I'd be curious to
493
00:18:24.940 --> 00:18:27.180
know your thoughts on this. Also
494
00:18:27.740 --> 00:18:29.700
what kind of events would actually trigger
495
00:18:29.700 --> 00:18:32.540
that in the first place? Anyway, keep doing a
496
00:18:32.540 --> 00:18:34.300
great job. Whoever happens to be at helm of
497
00:18:34.300 --> 00:18:37.300
the good ship Space Huts, uh, big shout out
498
00:18:37.300 --> 00:18:40.260
to Heidi Campo. Wow, what a great job
499
00:18:40.260 --> 00:18:43.020
he did. Thank you. And Jonti, wherever you
500
00:18:43.020 --> 00:18:45.660
are, uh, would love to hear from you again if
501
00:18:45.660 --> 00:18:48.620
Fred goes off gallivanting over to, I don't
502
00:18:48.620 --> 00:18:51.190
know, Norway or somewhere like that to see
503
00:18:51.190 --> 00:18:53.550
the northern lights. Cheers.
504
00:18:54.350 --> 00:18:56.630
Andrew Dunkley: Thank you, Paul. Well, guess what, that's
505
00:18:56.630 --> 00:18:59.590
exactly what's happened. And uh, Jonti
506
00:18:59.590 --> 00:19:01.870
is with us because of Fred's gallivanting.
507
00:19:02.590 --> 00:19:05.590
So, um, yes, you get to answer Paul's
508
00:19:05.590 --> 00:19:07.550
question about snowball Earth. Uh, the effect
509
00:19:07.550 --> 00:19:10.230
on O2 levels and what sort of, uh, events
510
00:19:10.230 --> 00:19:11.150
would trigger it.
511
00:19:11.470 --> 00:19:13.230
Jonti Horner: That's great. And there's a lot to this and
512
00:19:13.230 --> 00:19:14.630
it's good to hear from a local. So, yeah,
513
00:19:14.630 --> 00:19:16.030
thank you. And hi from.
514
00:19:16.910 --> 00:19:17.910
Andrew Dunkley: You're just up the road.
515
00:19:17.910 --> 00:19:19.310
Jonti Horner: I'm just up the road. Only a couple of
516
00:19:19.310 --> 00:19:21.530
hundred Ks inland. So, yeah, good hear from a
517
00:19:21.530 --> 00:19:24.290
local. This is. This sent me down some
518
00:19:24.290 --> 00:19:25.930
rabbit holes actually. I was digging into
519
00:19:25.930 --> 00:19:27.610
this and it's fascinating. So I've never
520
00:19:27.610 --> 00:19:30.170
actually had that thought of how snowball
521
00:19:30.170 --> 00:19:32.250
Earth episodes could link to oxygen before.
522
00:19:32.490 --> 00:19:34.170
And it's a really, really, really good
523
00:19:34.170 --> 00:19:36.210
question. So almost answer these kind of
524
00:19:36.210 --> 00:19:38.010
things in a bit of reverse order.
525
00:19:39.050 --> 00:19:41.090
The idea is, for those who aren't familiar
526
00:19:41.090 --> 00:19:43.130
with it, that at a couple of occasions in the
527
00:19:43.130 --> 00:19:44.970
past, one a bit more than 2 billion years
528
00:19:44.970 --> 00:19:47.850
ago, 1, 600, 500 million years ago,
529
00:19:48.540 --> 00:19:50.860
the Earth's climate went across a tipping
530
00:19:50.860 --> 00:19:53.620
point and like the ice age began, but the
531
00:19:53.620 --> 00:19:55.820
glaciers just kept advancing and you ended up
532
00:19:55.820 --> 00:19:58.700
with pretty much the entire planet clad in
533
00:19:58.700 --> 00:20:01.620
ice. And conditions at the equator at
534
00:20:01.620 --> 00:20:03.140
that point could even have been colder than
535
00:20:03.140 --> 00:20:05.900
we see in Antarctica right now. So really
536
00:20:05.900 --> 00:20:08.340
kind of dramatic conditions. And that lasted
537
00:20:08.340 --> 00:20:10.660
for a few million, even tens of millions of
538
00:20:10.660 --> 00:20:13.580
years before that condition got broken.
539
00:20:14.180 --> 00:20:16.300
And it makes perfect sense now. The climate
540
00:20:16.300 --> 00:20:18.980
of the, uh, Earth is relatively stable at the
541
00:20:18.980 --> 00:20:20.780
minute. We've just talked about our impact on
542
00:20:20.780 --> 00:20:23.740
it. But, um, on geological timescales, our
543
00:20:23.740 --> 00:20:26.420
climate tends to sit around a fairly stable
544
00:20:26.420 --> 00:20:29.060
point. But what the snowball Earth idea
545
00:20:29.300 --> 00:20:32.140
is reminding us of is that you have a
546
00:20:32.140 --> 00:20:34.540
few possible stable scenarios for the Earth's
547
00:20:34.540 --> 00:20:37.500
climate, of which we are one, we're one,
548
00:20:37.500 --> 00:20:39.570
which is essentially the warm version. But
549
00:20:39.570 --> 00:20:41.370
equally, if you turn the Earth into a
550
00:20:41.370 --> 00:20:44.010
snowball, it will remain a snowball for a
551
00:20:44.010 --> 00:20:46.370
very long time. And uh, the reason for that
552
00:20:46.370 --> 00:20:47.970
is that, uh, if you make the Earth a
553
00:20:47.970 --> 00:20:49.890
snowball, it becomes incredibly More
554
00:20:49.890 --> 00:20:52.730
reflective. And so therefore it absorbs
555
00:20:52.730 --> 00:20:54.890
less energy and so it stays cold. You get
556
00:20:54.890 --> 00:20:56.650
this kind of feedback that keeps the Earth
557
00:20:56.650 --> 00:20:59.490
cold. And the idea is when you flip from one
558
00:20:59.490 --> 00:21:01.250
state to another, you can be locked in that
559
00:21:01.250 --> 00:21:02.770
new state for a very long time until
560
00:21:02.770 --> 00:21:05.530
something changes. Now what could cause
561
00:21:05.530 --> 00:21:08.150
that? One thing that could cause that is
562
00:21:09.110 --> 00:21:11.870
life on our planet. Removing carbon dioxide
563
00:21:11.870 --> 00:21:13.510
from the atmosphere and weathering on the
564
00:21:13.510 --> 00:21:15.350
continents. Removing carbon dioxide from the
565
00:21:15.350 --> 00:21:18.310
atmosphere at, ah, a rate that cools a planet
566
00:21:18.310 --> 00:21:20.230
quicker than the sun getting brighter, warms
567
00:21:20.230 --> 00:21:22.950
a planet. So the sun, when the Earth was very
568
00:21:22.950 --> 00:21:25.630
young, was probably about 30% dimmer. And the
569
00:21:25.630 --> 00:21:28.230
sun is thought to brighten by about 6 or
570
00:21:28.230 --> 00:21:31.070
7% every billion years. So it's 30%
571
00:21:31.070 --> 00:21:32.630
brighter now than it was when the Earth
572
00:21:32.630 --> 00:21:35.100
formed. So the question is, if the sun was so
573
00:21:35.100 --> 00:21:36.820
dim when the Earth was young, how were we
574
00:21:36.820 --> 00:21:38.860
warm enough to have liquid water? And the
575
00:21:38.860 --> 00:21:41.820
answer is, at that point we had a hugely rich
576
00:21:41.820 --> 00:21:43.940
atmosphere of greenhouse gases, things like
577
00:21:43.940 --> 00:21:46.780
carbon dioxide and methane and no oxygen. And
578
00:21:46.780 --> 00:21:48.660
so the atmosphere was very, very rich in
579
00:21:48.660 --> 00:21:50.860
things that would create a really thick doona
580
00:21:51.020 --> 00:21:53.260
and we were very, very pleasantly warm.
581
00:21:54.060 --> 00:21:56.740
Over time, the sun has got brighter, but
582
00:21:56.740 --> 00:21:58.900
life and weathering have removed the
583
00:21:58.900 --> 00:22:01.380
greenhouse gases from the atmosphere and
584
00:22:01.380 --> 00:22:03.540
averaged over the entire age of the Earth,
585
00:22:03.540 --> 00:22:05.540
those two things have roughly balanced out.
586
00:22:06.020 --> 00:22:08.220
And so we still have a temperate climate. Now
587
00:22:08.220 --> 00:22:09.940
if we had the atmosphere the Earth had when
588
00:22:09.940 --> 00:22:12.060
it was young, the Earth would be like Venus
589
00:22:12.060 --> 00:22:13.380
now. The oceans would have boiled and we
590
00:22:13.380 --> 00:22:15.460
wouldn't be having this conversation. Yeah,
591
00:22:16.020 --> 00:22:18.460
but the climate has kind of fortunately
592
00:22:18.460 --> 00:22:21.340
stayed for most of its time in the kind
593
00:22:21.340 --> 00:22:24.220
of warm, stable version. But there have
594
00:22:24.220 --> 00:22:26.340
been these two big occasions that have had
595
00:22:26.340 --> 00:22:29.220
the snowball Earth scenario. Now
596
00:22:29.300 --> 00:22:31.180
there's some debate over, uh, exactly what
597
00:22:31.180 --> 00:22:32.660
triggered that. And it's likely there were a
598
00:22:32.660 --> 00:22:35.260
few things. There was life and increased
599
00:22:35.260 --> 00:22:37.060
weathering, pulling carbon dioxide out of the
600
00:22:37.060 --> 00:22:38.780
atmosphere. So you weaken the greenhouse
601
00:22:38.780 --> 00:22:41.780
effect and cool the planet down. That is
602
00:22:41.780 --> 00:22:44.339
most likely. You also have a scenario,
603
00:22:44.339 --> 00:22:46.660
incidentally, where if you make the Earth
604
00:22:46.660 --> 00:22:49.500
more reflective around the equator, you lower
605
00:22:49.500 --> 00:22:51.020
the amount of heat that's absorbed by the
606
00:22:51.020 --> 00:22:52.540
Earth, increase the amount reflected and you
607
00:22:52.540 --> 00:22:54.720
cool the Earth as well. So what are the
608
00:22:54.720 --> 00:22:56.800
scenarios that's proposed to explain how we
609
00:22:56.800 --> 00:22:59.560
got into the snowball Earth periods? At first
610
00:22:59.880 --> 00:23:01.840
was that you got a period where you got one
611
00:23:01.840 --> 00:23:03.360
of these supercontinents where all the
612
00:23:03.360 --> 00:23:04.920
continental material on the Earth kind of
613
00:23:04.920 --> 00:23:07.360
smushed together, like we had with Pangea,
614
00:23:07.360 --> 00:23:09.120
like was proposed with Pangaea. Previous
615
00:23:09.120 --> 00:23:11.840
episode of that. We have most of the Earth's
616
00:23:11.840 --> 00:23:14.280
continents around the Earth's, uh, equator,
617
00:23:15.480 --> 00:23:17.600
continental material, rock and, um,
618
00:23:17.800 --> 00:23:19.600
vegetation and everything else is more
619
00:23:19.600 --> 00:23:21.950
reflective than water. And in fact, most of
620
00:23:21.950 --> 00:23:24.250
the energy coming into the Earth these, ah,
621
00:23:24.470 --> 00:23:26.350
days is absorbed by the water. The water is
622
00:23:26.350 --> 00:23:27.990
the main thing that locks in the heat and
623
00:23:27.990 --> 00:23:30.390
keeps us warm. And that, of course, is why
624
00:23:30.470 --> 00:23:32.150
Brisbane gets so warm and humid in the
625
00:23:32.150 --> 00:23:34.510
summers. It's why Western Europe is so
626
00:23:34.510 --> 00:23:36.950
pleasant in the winters compared to the
627
00:23:36.950 --> 00:23:39.150
middle of Canada. The water carries a lot of
628
00:23:39.150 --> 00:23:41.590
heat, holds onto it for a long, long time. So
629
00:23:41.590 --> 00:23:43.830
you have this speculative scenario where
630
00:23:44.710 --> 00:23:46.510
all the continents end up smushed up and near
631
00:23:46.510 --> 00:23:48.430
the Earth's equator. So the Earth's albedo
632
00:23:48.430 --> 00:23:50.800
gets more reflective, a higher
633
00:23:50.800 --> 00:23:53.040
albedo, so the Earth would naturally cool
634
00:23:53.040 --> 00:23:54.440
because it's absorbing less heat and
635
00:23:54.440 --> 00:23:57.000
reflecting more. Added to which, if you put
636
00:23:57.000 --> 00:23:58.880
the continents nearer the equator, you're in
637
00:23:58.880 --> 00:24:00.800
a location which gets much higher rainfall
638
00:24:00.800 --> 00:24:03.080
and much higher weather levels because the
639
00:24:03.080 --> 00:24:05.040
water at that latitude is hotter, so
640
00:24:05.040 --> 00:24:06.960
evaporates more. The atmosphere can hold more
641
00:24:06.960 --> 00:24:09.280
water, so you get more weathering, which
642
00:24:09.280 --> 00:24:11.200
drives more chemistry, which also acts to
643
00:24:11.200 --> 00:24:12.560
pull more carbon dioxide out of the
644
00:24:12.560 --> 00:24:14.880
atmosphere. And, um, that exacerbates this
645
00:24:14.880 --> 00:24:17.170
and we, you know, removes the greenhouse
646
00:24:17.170 --> 00:24:19.410
effect as well. So you've got more energy
647
00:24:19.410 --> 00:24:21.210
being reflected and less absorbed. So the
648
00:24:21.210 --> 00:24:23.530
Earth cools more carbon dioxide pulled out of
649
00:24:23.530 --> 00:24:25.170
the atmosphere, so the greenhouse effect
650
00:24:25.170 --> 00:24:28.170
weakens, so the Earth cools. That then
651
00:24:28.170 --> 00:24:30.290
causes the Earth to start entering ice ages
652
00:24:30.290 --> 00:24:32.690
where the water near the poles freezes and
653
00:24:32.690 --> 00:24:35.450
the ice expands towards the equator. That
654
00:24:35.450 --> 00:24:37.730
ice is more reflective than the water that it
655
00:24:37.730 --> 00:24:40.330
sits on is. So less energy is absorbed and
656
00:24:40.330 --> 00:24:42.130
more is reflected. And so the Earth cools.
657
00:24:42.130 --> 00:24:44.430
And so you get this feedback effect where the
658
00:24:44.430 --> 00:24:46.070
ice gradually reaches down towards the
659
00:24:46.070 --> 00:24:48.150
equator. And once you're in that scenario,
660
00:24:48.630 --> 00:24:50.670
you're in a position where even if you put
661
00:24:50.670 --> 00:24:52.030
all the carbon dioxide back in the
662
00:24:52.030 --> 00:24:54.550
atmosphere, the Earth is so reflective that
663
00:24:54.550 --> 00:24:57.390
it will stay cold. You're locked into this
664
00:24:57.390 --> 00:25:00.350
other stable state. However, longer
665
00:25:00.350 --> 00:25:02.030
term, what happens is that, uh, you've got
666
00:25:02.030 --> 00:25:04.230
the ice sheet now sat over all of the rocks.
667
00:25:04.710 --> 00:25:06.590
So you prevent the weathering that was
668
00:25:06.590 --> 00:25:08.550
removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
669
00:25:08.550 --> 00:25:11.280
You turn that off, you've still got things
670
00:25:11.280 --> 00:25:12.560
putting carbon dioxide back in the
671
00:25:12.560 --> 00:25:12.960
atmosphere.
672
00:25:12.960 --> 00:25:14.800
You've still got volcanoes erupting and all
673
00:25:14.800 --> 00:25:17.440
the sources of gases that were putting it
674
00:25:17.440 --> 00:25:18.800
back into the atmosphere and eventually
675
00:25:18.800 --> 00:25:20.800
return the weather, material, weather gases
676
00:25:20.800 --> 00:25:22.600
into the atmosphere. So you're in the
677
00:25:22.600 --> 00:25:24.400
snowball, uh, Earth setup. But gradually over
678
00:25:24.400 --> 00:25:26.760
time, then your greenhouse gas levels rise
679
00:25:26.760 --> 00:25:29.280
and rise and rise until eventually you start
680
00:25:29.280 --> 00:25:31.680
to melt the ice and you get this other
681
00:25:31.680 --> 00:25:34.360
tipping point where suddenly you're warm
682
00:25:34.360 --> 00:25:37.000
enough for the ice to melt and retreat, which
683
00:25:37.000 --> 00:25:39.680
means you expose more water, more water is
684
00:25:39.680 --> 00:25:42.080
exposed, which means more area to absorb the
685
00:25:42.080 --> 00:25:43.480
heat, which means the Earth will warm up
686
00:25:43.480 --> 00:25:45.600
more, which means more ice melts, and you go
687
00:25:45.600 --> 00:25:48.080
back to being this kind of warmer, uh, Earth.
688
00:25:49.200 --> 00:25:51.400
That brings with it, though, a time when
689
00:25:51.400 --> 00:25:53.280
you've had the continents crunched up under
690
00:25:53.280 --> 00:25:56.040
ice sheets, broken up into kind of gravelly
691
00:25:56.040 --> 00:25:58.120
small bits of debris. And then when you start
692
00:25:58.120 --> 00:26:00.480
raining on that again, you get a huge amount
693
00:26:00.480 --> 00:26:02.890
of weathering water washing out
694
00:26:03.210 --> 00:26:04.970
minerals and putting it into the ocean.
695
00:26:06.010 --> 00:26:07.930
And that means that suddenly all that life
696
00:26:07.930 --> 00:26:09.770
that has been starved through the snowball
697
00:26:09.770 --> 00:26:12.330
Earth epoch is suddenly going, hey, look, the
698
00:26:12.330 --> 00:26:13.810
Earth's nice and warm. It's a nice place to
699
00:26:13.810 --> 00:26:16.330
live again. Brilliant. And, oh, look, there's
700
00:26:16.330 --> 00:26:18.770
suddenly all this food in the oceans. And so
701
00:26:18.770 --> 00:26:20.970
the papers that I came across when I was
702
00:26:20.970 --> 00:26:22.930
looking into this as a result of Paul's
703
00:26:22.930 --> 00:26:25.890
question, it seems that after both of the big
704
00:26:25.890 --> 00:26:27.890
snowball Earth eras, there was a massive
705
00:26:27.890 --> 00:26:30.340
oxygenation event on Earth. So after the
706
00:26:30.340 --> 00:26:32.020
first one, you went from effectively no
707
00:26:32.020 --> 00:26:34.340
oxygen in Earth's atmosphere to Earth's
708
00:26:34.340 --> 00:26:35.700
atmosphere being about 2%
709
00:26:36.660 --> 00:26:38.860
oxygen, which is a big jump from nothing to
710
00:26:38.860 --> 00:26:40.660
2%. And, um, then
711
00:26:41.380 --> 00:26:43.860
6,500 million years ago,
712
00:26:44.180 --> 00:26:46.500
you had the end of the most recent snowball
713
00:26:46.500 --> 00:26:47.940
Earth thing, and you got another mass
714
00:26:47.940 --> 00:26:50.900
oxygenation event. Why suddenly you've
715
00:26:50.900 --> 00:26:52.460
got all this nutrient and all this stuff
716
00:26:52.460 --> 00:26:55.020
washing off into the oceans, prime conditions
717
00:26:55.020 --> 00:26:57.480
for things to grow and a huge amount of
718
00:26:57.480 --> 00:27:00.000
oxygen released. And, um, that is thought to
719
00:27:00.000 --> 00:27:01.640
have been what drove oxygen up to something
720
00:27:01.640 --> 00:27:04.280
comparable to its current levels relatively
721
00:27:04.280 --> 00:27:07.160
quickly. And that then led to there
722
00:27:07.160 --> 00:27:09.040
being sufficient free evidence for what's
723
00:27:09.040 --> 00:27:10.520
called, I think, the Cambrian explosion,
724
00:27:10.520 --> 00:27:13.200
where suddenly you've got an Earth that has
725
00:27:13.200 --> 00:27:16.080
all these different niches suddenly freed up
726
00:27:16.400 --> 00:27:18.400
and the source of ready oxygen, and
727
00:27:18.400 --> 00:27:20.920
everything goes crazy evolving to fill the
728
00:27:20.920 --> 00:27:23.700
available opportunities. And
729
00:27:23.700 --> 00:27:26.060
so all of that kind of gives you an idea how
730
00:27:26.060 --> 00:27:27.700
we think snowball Earth episodes could
731
00:27:27.700 --> 00:27:30.220
happen. And, um, what would happen to oxygen
732
00:27:30.220 --> 00:27:32.540
afterwards? Which seems to be the accepted
733
00:27:32.540 --> 00:27:34.500
scientific wisdom, that after a snowball
734
00:27:34.500 --> 00:27:36.660
Earth episode, when it ends, you can get the
735
00:27:36.660 --> 00:27:38.699
oxygen suddenly getting significantly more
736
00:27:38.699 --> 00:27:41.220
oxygen rich as life takes advantage of the
737
00:27:41.220 --> 00:27:43.900
new conditions. What would happen to
738
00:27:43.900 --> 00:27:45.820
oxygen now that there's a lot of it in the
739
00:27:45.820 --> 00:27:47.980
atmosphere during the snowball Earth period,
740
00:27:47.980 --> 00:27:50.840
I couldn't find any speculation on. So
741
00:27:50.840 --> 00:27:52.520
it's a really interesting question. Now, it
742
00:27:52.520 --> 00:27:54.080
doesn't mean there's no speculation out
743
00:27:54.080 --> 00:27:55.760
there. It just means that I couldn't find any
744
00:27:55.760 --> 00:27:58.720
of his. Big difference there. But
745
00:27:58.720 --> 00:28:00.200
there's a few things that are going on that I
746
00:28:00.200 --> 00:28:02.520
think could be interesting. Firstly, there's
747
00:28:02.520 --> 00:28:04.560
a huge amount of oxygen in the atmosphere. So
748
00:28:04.560 --> 00:28:07.240
even if you stop producing it and you manage
749
00:28:07.240 --> 00:28:09.680
to keep alive the things that use it, it will
750
00:28:09.680 --> 00:28:11.480
probably go down very slowly just because
751
00:28:11.480 --> 00:28:13.520
there's uh, so much of it. And if you were
752
00:28:13.520 --> 00:28:16.210
killing off a lot of life, then
753
00:28:16.290 --> 00:28:18.450
to be honest, there's not as much using it
754
00:28:18.450 --> 00:28:21.290
anyway. Volcanoes erupting, carbon
755
00:28:21.290 --> 00:28:23.610
dioxide and particularly methane that's been
756
00:28:23.610 --> 00:28:26.170
erupted and outgassed, um, particularly
757
00:28:26.170 --> 00:28:28.890
towards the end of the ice age kind of
758
00:28:28.890 --> 00:28:31.290
period, getting lots of methane released into
759
00:28:31.290 --> 00:28:33.090
the atmosphere would remove the oxygen as the
760
00:28:33.090 --> 00:28:34.810
methane and the oxygen interact with each
761
00:28:34.810 --> 00:28:37.010
other. And if that was happening quicker than
762
00:28:37.010 --> 00:28:38.690
life was putting new oxygen into the
763
00:28:38.690 --> 00:28:40.890
atmosphere, then you can imagine that leading
764
00:28:40.890 --> 00:28:42.890
to a bit of a dip in the amount of oxygen in
765
00:28:42.890 --> 00:28:45.650
the atmosphere at the time. But my
766
00:28:45.650 --> 00:28:47.730
guess would be that probably during the
767
00:28:47.730 --> 00:28:50.490
snowball Earth period, the oxygen levels
768
00:28:50.490 --> 00:28:52.170
wouldn't change all that much. You might be
769
00:28:52.170 --> 00:28:54.050
producing less oxygen, but you'd also be
770
00:28:54.050 --> 00:28:56.490
using less. So that will balance out. But
771
00:28:56.490 --> 00:28:59.090
what you would get over time is, particularly
772
00:28:59.090 --> 00:29:01.610
if you killed off a lot of life, you get this
773
00:29:01.610 --> 00:29:04.210
slow, steady increase in
774
00:29:04.210 --> 00:29:06.450
greenhouse gas levels because you're still
775
00:29:06.450 --> 00:29:07.930
pumping out the same amount in terms of
776
00:29:07.930 --> 00:29:10.170
volcanism, but you've removed the weathering
777
00:29:10.170 --> 00:29:12.810
that's taking it away again. And so that
778
00:29:12.810 --> 00:29:15.370
would lead to the greenhouse gas level rising
779
00:29:15.370 --> 00:29:17.970
slowly over time until it got to the point
780
00:29:17.970 --> 00:29:19.570
where it turned it back over the tipping
781
00:29:19.570 --> 00:29:21.730
point and allowed the Earth to warm up again.
782
00:29:21.730 --> 00:29:23.490
And that will probably then be a very bad
783
00:29:23.490 --> 00:29:25.010
thing because the sun is now much more
784
00:29:25.010 --> 00:29:26.810
luminous than it ever has been in the past.
785
00:29:27.450 --> 00:29:29.690
If you get a runaway greenhouse effect now,
786
00:29:30.170 --> 00:29:32.410
that's a lot more problematic than it was 500
787
00:29:32.410 --> 00:29:34.210
million years ago. And maybe that could lead
788
00:29:34.210 --> 00:29:37.210
to conditions where you don't hit our current
789
00:29:37.680 --> 00:29:39.800
stable level, but you go past that and you
790
00:29:39.800 --> 00:29:42.600
end up hurrying the end of the Earth, uh, as
791
00:29:42.600 --> 00:29:43.840
a habitable world, effectively.
792
00:29:44.080 --> 00:29:45.600
Andrew Dunkley: Oh, fun. Yeah.
793
00:29:45.680 --> 00:29:46.640
Jonti Horner: Careful path.
794
00:29:47.760 --> 00:29:48.720
Andrew Dunkley: I, uh, just did a.
795
00:29:50.880 --> 00:29:53.170
I'll get some negative press for this, but,
796
00:29:53.170 --> 00:29:55.520
uh, I just did a, um, put uh, a question into
797
00:29:55.520 --> 00:29:58.240
chat. GPT Would, uh, current
798
00:29:58.240 --> 00:30:00.400
oxygen levels on Earth reduce if Earth were
799
00:30:00.400 --> 00:30:02.560
to freeze over? And uh, it's come up with a
800
00:30:02.560 --> 00:30:05.010
few scenarios, but basically says most, he
801
00:30:05.010 --> 00:30:07.770
he. It says most oxygen on Earth comes from
802
00:30:07.770 --> 00:30:10.450
photosynthetic organisms, uh, mainly
803
00:30:10.450 --> 00:30:12.570
marine plankton and land plants. If Earth
804
00:30:12.570 --> 00:30:15.570
froze over ocean, uh, uh, surfaces would
805
00:30:15.570 --> 00:30:17.330
be sealed under thick ice, preventing
806
00:30:17.330 --> 00:30:19.370
sunlight from reaching most marine
807
00:30:19.370 --> 00:30:22.170
photosynthesizers. Land plants would die or
808
00:30:22.170 --> 00:30:24.250
go dormant due to cold or lack of liquid
809
00:30:24.250 --> 00:30:27.170
water. So oxygen production would drop
810
00:30:27.170 --> 00:30:27.850
dramatically.
811
00:30:28.490 --> 00:30:30.690
Jonti Horner: And that makes sense, but I'd argue that
812
00:30:30.690 --> 00:30:32.610
oxygen use will drop dramatically as well
813
00:30:32.610 --> 00:30:33.930
because you kill the things that are using
814
00:30:33.930 --> 00:30:36.250
the oxygen. Yes. The other thing that I've
815
00:30:36.250 --> 00:30:37.870
stumb across in my reading actually, and that
816
00:30:37.870 --> 00:30:40.510
just reminded me of was one of the things
817
00:30:40.510 --> 00:30:42.630
that tied into this idea of the snowball
818
00:30:42.630 --> 00:30:44.590
earth stuff was how on earth did life make it
819
00:30:44.590 --> 00:30:46.710
through. And um, one of the things that
820
00:30:46.710 --> 00:30:48.470
people's modeling found was that even though
821
00:30:48.470 --> 00:30:50.030
you'd get ice all the way down to the
822
00:30:50.030 --> 00:30:52.870
equator, the processes that happen
823
00:30:52.950 --> 00:30:54.910
at uh, the equator will probably prevent that
824
00:30:54.910 --> 00:30:56.950
ice being more than about 10 meters thick.
825
00:30:57.110 --> 00:30:58.790
And uh, studies have shown that enough light
826
00:30:58.790 --> 00:31:00.910
can make it through ice for photosynthesis to
827
00:31:00.910 --> 00:31:03.830
continue unless the ice is 20 meters thick
828
00:31:03.830 --> 00:31:06.260
or more. And so there'd likely be a band
829
00:31:06.260 --> 00:31:08.140
where you could continue photosynthesis under
830
00:31:08.140 --> 00:31:09.820
the ice because the ice is not thick enough
831
00:31:09.820 --> 00:31:12.060
to block all the sunlight. That seemed to be
832
00:31:12.060 --> 00:31:14.140
the argument. There was some discussions of
833
00:31:14.380 --> 00:31:16.340
where the pockets of life holding on through
834
00:31:16.340 --> 00:31:19.020
the hellish times would be and that was quite
835
00:31:19.020 --> 00:31:20.300
interesting. But like I said, I'm not a
836
00:31:20.300 --> 00:31:22.900
biologist, so uh, that is straining my
837
00:31:22.900 --> 00:31:24.740
expertise to look at exactly how life would
838
00:31:24.740 --> 00:31:25.900
adapt to those conditions.
839
00:31:26.620 --> 00:31:28.580
Andrew Dunkley: Indeed. All right, Paul, thanks for the
840
00:31:28.580 --> 00:31:30.980
question. Great one. And uh, there might be
841
00:31:30.980 --> 00:31:33.530
more to talk about that, uh, in regard to
842
00:31:33.530 --> 00:31:35.970
that down the track. This is Space Nuts with
843
00:31:35.970 --> 00:31:38.570
Andrew Dunkley and Jonti Horner.
844
00:31:41.450 --> 00:31:43.690
Speaker C: Three, two, one.
845
00:31:44.330 --> 00:31:45.530
Jonti Horner: Space Nuts.
846
00:31:45.770 --> 00:31:47.730
Andrew Dunkley: Now Jonti, uh, a couple of questions have
847
00:31:47.730 --> 00:31:50.090
come in about uh, objects or
848
00:31:50.330 --> 00:31:52.890
events that have happened in space.
849
00:31:53.340 --> 00:31:55.840
Uh, Casey has messaged, um,
850
00:31:56.290 --> 00:31:58.650
us. Hello again, this is Casey from Colorado.
851
00:31:58.650 --> 00:32:01.210
I recently read a little bit about the record
852
00:32:01.210 --> 00:32:03.705
breaking KM M32302
853
00:32:04.004 --> 00:32:06.790
213A. Please correct me
854
00:32:06.790 --> 00:32:09.670
if I'm wrong, but detecting a 220
855
00:32:10.150 --> 00:32:12.870
PETA electron volt neutrino
856
00:32:12.950 --> 00:32:15.270
is pretty crazy considering that
857
00:32:15.510 --> 00:32:18.030
that's like 30 times more energetic than the
858
00:32:18.030 --> 00:32:20.310
previous record holder. Uh, what could
859
00:32:20.310 --> 00:32:22.990
possibly be its source? Love the podcast and
860
00:32:22.990 --> 00:32:25.950
hope you're both well. Thanks from Casey in
861
00:32:25.950 --> 00:32:27.470
Colorado and she hopes you're well too,
862
00:32:27.470 --> 00:32:27.990
Jonti.
863
00:32:29.430 --> 00:32:29.910
Speaker C: Yes.
864
00:32:29.910 --> 00:32:31.630
Andrew Dunkley: Then again she might be talking about Fred
865
00:32:31.630 --> 00:32:32.710
and Heidi. I don't know.
866
00:32:36.090 --> 00:32:37.970
Jonti Horner: So this is a really interesting one. I must
867
00:32:37.970 --> 00:32:40.250
say that I hadn't seen this announcement and
868
00:32:40.490 --> 00:32:42.530
so this was a really interesting thing to
869
00:32:42.530 --> 00:32:44.970
read about. Um, this is a neutrino that
870
00:32:45.130 --> 00:32:47.690
according to the name was seen in 2023,
871
00:32:47.930 --> 00:32:50.610
on February 13th. And, um, it was
872
00:32:50.610 --> 00:32:53.450
detected by this huge array of
873
00:32:53.450 --> 00:32:55.330
detectors on the bottom of the Mediterranean
874
00:32:55.330 --> 00:32:58.050
Ocean, Mediterranean Sea, about 3 and a half
875
00:32:58.050 --> 00:33:00.530
kilometers below sea level, in the pitch
876
00:33:00.530 --> 00:33:02.730
black of the deep ocean, where they have all
877
00:33:02.730 --> 00:33:05.370
these detectors that have the job of
878
00:33:05.370 --> 00:33:07.570
detecting incredibly faint flashes of light
879
00:33:08.050 --> 00:33:10.930
that occur when cosmic rays or neutrinos
880
00:33:11.410 --> 00:33:14.410
collide with an atom in the ocean and cause
881
00:33:14.410 --> 00:33:16.970
a cascade of light as this whole collision
882
00:33:16.970 --> 00:33:19.530
chain of, uh, particles being formed and
883
00:33:19.530 --> 00:33:21.530
energy being released as the energy from
884
00:33:21.530 --> 00:33:24.170
those things is dumped into the ocean. And
885
00:33:24.170 --> 00:33:26.370
this occurred before they'd finished building
886
00:33:26.370 --> 00:33:28.170
and testing this array. So it was during the
887
00:33:28.170 --> 00:33:30.220
testing phase, and it is
888
00:33:30.860 --> 00:33:32.980
reliably says on all of these websites, by
889
00:33:32.980 --> 00:33:35.420
far the most energetic neutrino ever
890
00:33:35.420 --> 00:33:38.300
detected. And it is so energetic
891
00:33:38.780 --> 00:33:41.260
that there is no source within our galaxy
892
00:33:41.660 --> 00:33:44.380
that could generate a neutrino that energetic
893
00:33:44.380 --> 00:33:46.940
that we know of. And if it had been generated
894
00:33:46.940 --> 00:33:48.860
by something nearby, we'd have seen other
895
00:33:48.860 --> 00:33:50.740
things happening. You might have seen a very
896
00:33:50.740 --> 00:33:53.620
powerful gamma ray burst or something like
897
00:33:53.620 --> 00:33:56.590
that. And, uh, no counterpart was detected.
898
00:33:56.590 --> 00:33:58.470
There was nothing that happened at this time
899
00:33:59.190 --> 00:34:01.510
that synced up with when this happened. Now
900
00:34:01.590 --> 00:34:03.150
should be said that when I search for this,
901
00:34:03.150 --> 00:34:04.990
there's a nice little article describing it
902
00:34:04.990 --> 00:34:07.750
by the Astrobytes website, which is
903
00:34:07.750 --> 00:34:10.590
a website run by graduate students in
904
00:34:10.590 --> 00:34:13.510
astrophysics in the US that tries to be a
905
00:34:13.510 --> 00:34:16.270
literature review journal club for
906
00:34:16.270 --> 00:34:18.590
other graduate students and, um, to give
907
00:34:18.590 --> 00:34:20.550
students an opportunity to practice science
908
00:34:20.550 --> 00:34:22.070
writing about things out of their field. And
909
00:34:22.070 --> 00:34:23.850
there's a bit of a description of it. There's
910
00:34:24.250 --> 00:34:25.800
um, and that's a nice little website if
911
00:34:25.800 --> 00:34:27.520
you're interested in getting a little
912
00:34:27.520 --> 00:34:29.680
snapshot summary of research papers to try
913
00:34:29.680 --> 00:34:32.400
and do one a day. But I also stumbled
914
00:34:32.400 --> 00:34:34.960
across the official page for this event,
915
00:34:35.440 --> 00:34:37.520
which is published by the network
916
00:34:38.320 --> 00:34:40.720
that are running these detectors. And that's
917
00:34:40.720 --> 00:34:42.720
got a lovely little YouTube Music video right
918
00:34:42.720 --> 00:34:44.200
at the top that you can watch. It's about two
919
00:34:44.200 --> 00:34:46.320
and a half minutes long that describes this
920
00:34:46.320 --> 00:34:48.400
thing, how it's detected, and some of the
921
00:34:48.400 --> 00:34:50.480
possible suggestions for its formation. Now,
922
00:34:51.820 --> 00:34:54.780
going beyond that to what could have created
923
00:34:54.780 --> 00:34:57.700
it is really pushing beyond the bounds of my
924
00:34:57.700 --> 00:34:59.900
knowledge and expertise. So I'm afraid,
925
00:35:00.060 --> 00:35:01.700
Casey, you're going to have to accept a
926
00:35:01.700 --> 00:35:04.260
journeyman's explanation based on what I was
927
00:35:04.260 --> 00:35:07.180
able to read around about this, which digs
928
00:35:07.180 --> 00:35:08.820
into things that I honestly don't fully
929
00:35:08.820 --> 00:35:11.340
understand. But the argument is, because of
930
00:35:11.340 --> 00:35:13.540
the incredibly high energy of this thing, it
931
00:35:13.540 --> 00:35:15.940
couldn't have been generated locally. And
932
00:35:15.940 --> 00:35:18.550
that points to an origin in the very distant
933
00:35:18.550 --> 00:35:20.630
and therefore very early universe.
934
00:35:21.350 --> 00:35:24.270
Now, there's some theories that fall
935
00:35:24.270 --> 00:35:25.830
under the branch of what I think is called
936
00:35:25.830 --> 00:35:28.550
quantum field theory that talk
937
00:35:28.630 --> 00:35:31.430
about there being photon
938
00:35:31.430 --> 00:35:34.430
fields permeating space. And
939
00:35:34.430 --> 00:35:35.710
I don't fully understand what that is and
940
00:35:35.710 --> 00:35:38.710
what that means, in all honesty. But
941
00:35:38.710 --> 00:35:41.030
the idea seems to be here that you've got
942
00:35:41.030 --> 00:35:42.790
radiation from the cosmic microwave
943
00:35:42.790 --> 00:35:44.430
background, or from very early in the
944
00:35:44.430 --> 00:35:47.400
universe that includes incredibly high energy
945
00:35:47.720 --> 00:35:49.480
radiation at, uh, that time,
946
00:35:50.920 --> 00:35:52.720
because that's a heat from the big Bang. Now,
947
00:35:52.720 --> 00:35:54.680
nowadays we see that as a cosmic microwave
948
00:35:54.680 --> 00:35:56.760
background. It's very low energy levels
949
00:35:56.760 --> 00:35:59.200
because it's been redshifted. But at the
950
00:35:59.200 --> 00:36:01.039
time, the energy levels were incredibly,
951
00:36:01.039 --> 00:36:02.920
incredibly high. And that means that these
952
00:36:03.400 --> 00:36:05.930
photon fields, if you follow the, um,
953
00:36:05.960 --> 00:36:08.640
quantum field theory ideas, were incredibly
954
00:36:08.640 --> 00:36:11.320
intense. Now, one of the ways that you can
955
00:36:11.320 --> 00:36:13.960
produce neutrinos that is predicted by this
956
00:36:14.720 --> 00:36:16.400
predicts what are called cosmogenic
957
00:36:16.400 --> 00:36:19.160
neutrinos. Now, it should be said that
958
00:36:19.160 --> 00:36:21.040
none of these have ever been detected until
959
00:36:21.120 --> 00:36:23.600
potentially this one. But it's one of the
960
00:36:23.600 --> 00:36:26.000
predictions that quantum field theory makes
961
00:36:26.400 --> 00:36:28.320
is that you should see these cosmogenic
962
00:36:28.320 --> 00:36:31.120
neutrinos that are generated by
963
00:36:31.120 --> 00:36:33.640
cosmic radiation rather than a specific event
964
00:36:33.640 --> 00:36:35.920
like a gamma ray burst or a supernova or
965
00:36:35.920 --> 00:36:38.440
something like that. And the idea is that in
966
00:36:38.440 --> 00:36:39.920
the very early universe, you've got these
967
00:36:39.920 --> 00:36:42.680
incredibly high amounts of energy. And that
968
00:36:42.680 --> 00:36:45.240
means that these photon fields, I think
969
00:36:45.240 --> 00:36:47.600
they're called, can interact with
970
00:36:47.840 --> 00:36:50.360
particles of matter. And, um, when you get
971
00:36:50.360 --> 00:36:52.720
this interaction, that can lead to the
972
00:36:52.720 --> 00:36:54.400
production of an incredibly high energy
973
00:36:54.400 --> 00:36:57.320
neutrino. Now, the very high energy
974
00:36:57.320 --> 00:37:00.230
neutrino, as we know, neutrinos, are,
975
00:37:00.230 --> 00:37:03.120
uh, about the weakest interacting things we
976
00:37:03.120 --> 00:37:06.040
know of. So once you produce a very high
977
00:37:06.040 --> 00:37:08.440
energy neutrino that can pass across the
978
00:37:08.440 --> 00:37:10.520
entire universe without interacting with
979
00:37:10.520 --> 00:37:12.620
anything, we've got millions of these things
980
00:37:12.620 --> 00:37:14.220
passing through our bodies as we speak, and
981
00:37:14.220 --> 00:37:16.300
we just don't feel them. Which incidentally,
982
00:37:16.300 --> 00:37:17.900
is why to detect them, you want to be at the
983
00:37:17.900 --> 00:37:19.980
bottom of the ocean or in a huge volume of
984
00:37:19.980 --> 00:37:22.300
water so that you maximize the number of
985
00:37:22.300 --> 00:37:24.540
atoms available for one of these to by chance
986
00:37:24.540 --> 00:37:26.300
collide with and give you the light show.
987
00:37:26.940 --> 00:37:28.740
Because you need a huge volume of water to
988
00:37:28.740 --> 00:37:30.660
get even one neutrino to hit something and
989
00:37:30.660 --> 00:37:32.020
give you a show, because they're that weakly
990
00:37:32.020 --> 00:37:32.620
interacting.
991
00:37:32.700 --> 00:37:33.180
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.
992
00:37:33.260 --> 00:37:35.500
Jonti Horner: Once you produce these cosmogenic neutrinos,
993
00:37:35.500 --> 00:37:37.180
they then carry on through the universe
994
00:37:37.180 --> 00:37:39.760
forevermore at ridiculously high energies.
995
00:37:40.400 --> 00:37:42.680
Now, the bit I quite honestly don't
996
00:37:42.680 --> 00:37:44.120
understand with this, and none of the things
997
00:37:44.120 --> 00:37:46.920
I've read have been able to explain to me is
998
00:37:46.920 --> 00:37:49.840
the fact that uh, if this thing was
999
00:37:49.840 --> 00:37:52.480
created with the cosmic microwave
1000
00:37:52.480 --> 00:37:55.040
background, I would have thought it should be
1001
00:37:55.360 --> 00:37:57.600
redshifted by the expansion of the universe
1002
00:37:58.000 --> 00:38:00.860
in the same way that photons are uh,
1003
00:38:00.960 --> 00:38:03.400
the light we see it. And doing a bit of
1004
00:38:03.400 --> 00:38:05.200
reading around it does seem that neutrinos
1005
00:38:05.200 --> 00:38:07.440
can be gravitationally redshifted. So if you
1006
00:38:07.440 --> 00:38:09.200
get a neutrino produced at the surface of a
1007
00:38:09.200 --> 00:38:12.140
neutron star, that is one energy, by the
1008
00:38:12.140 --> 00:38:13.900
time it escapes from the neutron star's
1009
00:38:13.900 --> 00:38:15.340
gravity, it's lost energy and it's
1010
00:38:15.340 --> 00:38:18.180
effectively redshifted. What I haven't been
1011
00:38:18.180 --> 00:38:19.500
able to find out though is whether the
1012
00:38:19.500 --> 00:38:22.420
expansion of the universe would redshift
1013
00:38:22.420 --> 00:38:25.380
neutrinos and therefore lower their energy.
1014
00:38:26.420 --> 00:38:29.140
Now if the expansion of the
1015
00:38:29.140 --> 00:38:31.100
universe doesn't lower the energies then this
1016
00:38:31.100 --> 00:38:32.980
makes perfect sense. You know, you've got
1017
00:38:32.980 --> 00:38:34.900
this incredibly high energy neutrino that's
1018
00:38:34.900 --> 00:38:36.700
tied to how high the energies were when the
1019
00:38:36.700 --> 00:38:39.140
universe was young and it's only just reached
1020
00:38:39.140 --> 00:38:42.060
us now. If they are redshifted then
1021
00:38:42.060 --> 00:38:44.300
that makes this even more head scratchingly
1022
00:38:44.300 --> 00:38:46.580
awesome because if it has been
1023
00:38:46.580 --> 00:38:48.740
redshifted and its energy dropped by an
1024
00:38:48.740 --> 00:38:51.580
incredible amount and it's still 220peta
1025
00:38:51.580 --> 00:38:54.020
electron volts, what was its energy when it
1026
00:38:54.020 --> 00:38:56.500
was formed? And I just don't fully understand
1027
00:38:56.500 --> 00:38:58.820
that. So my knowledge is limited of this.
1028
00:38:59.540 --> 00:39:01.300
I've done my best to read around it and get
1029
00:39:01.300 --> 00:39:02.940
an understanding of what they think is going
1030
00:39:02.940 --> 00:39:05.820
on. But I guess what
1031
00:39:05.820 --> 00:39:08.140
comes out of this for me a, it's just a very
1032
00:39:08.140 --> 00:39:11.060
cool detection. But if you want to push
1033
00:39:11.060 --> 00:39:12.620
the boundaries of what we know and build
1034
00:39:12.620 --> 00:39:15.300
theories of how the universe works, our
1035
00:39:15.300 --> 00:39:17.900
theories will eventually go
1036
00:39:17.900 --> 00:39:20.020
beyond our level to observe the things that
1037
00:39:20.020 --> 00:39:22.940
they predict. A good example of this I always
1038
00:39:22.940 --> 00:39:24.980
go back to because it's my own wheelhouse, is
1039
00:39:24.980 --> 00:39:27.620
Newton's theories of gravitation which he
1040
00:39:27.620 --> 00:39:30.260
published in like in Principia Mathematica in
1041
00:39:30.260 --> 00:39:33.240
1680, 1682. Around then, um, and that
1042
00:39:33.240 --> 00:39:35.240
gave us mathematical tools that allowed us to
1043
00:39:35.240 --> 00:39:37.480
work how things moved in gravitational
1044
00:39:37.480 --> 00:39:39.560
fields, allowed us to work out orbits and
1045
00:39:39.560 --> 00:39:40.960
predict things in the future. And that's been
1046
00:39:40.960 --> 00:39:43.160
incredibly powerful. By the
1047
00:39:43.160 --> 00:39:46.080
1800s observations were
1048
00:39:46.080 --> 00:39:48.440
starting to show that the orbit of Mercury
1049
00:39:48.840 --> 00:39:51.280
was behaving slightly different to how
1050
00:39:51.280 --> 00:39:53.560
Newton's gravitation will predict it would
1051
00:39:53.560 --> 00:39:56.520
work. That effectively led to the precession
1052
00:39:56.520 --> 00:39:58.600
of Mercury's orbit, the wobble of the orbit
1053
00:39:59.090 --> 00:40:00.880
wobbling at a slightly different rate. And
1054
00:40:00.880 --> 00:40:02.410
uh, nobody could explain that. It led to
1055
00:40:02.410 --> 00:40:04.050
people speculating that maybe there's an
1056
00:40:04.050 --> 00:40:06.370
unseen planet closer to the sun than Mercury.
1057
00:40:06.690 --> 00:40:09.130
Because we'd seen for the planet Uranus that
1058
00:40:09.130 --> 00:40:10.730
an unseen planet pulling it around could
1059
00:40:10.730 --> 00:40:12.890
change its orbit. And that was Neptune. But
1060
00:40:12.890 --> 00:40:14.610
that didn't work. We never found anything.
1061
00:40:14.610 --> 00:40:17.170
And it wasn't until Einstein came up with the
1062
00:40:17.170 --> 00:40:20.010
general theory of relativity that, as a
1063
00:40:20.010 --> 00:40:22.370
byproduct of that, his method for
1064
00:40:22.530 --> 00:40:25.040
understanding how gravity works accurately
1065
00:40:25.040 --> 00:40:26.920
Models the precession of Mercury's orbit With
1066
00:40:26.920 --> 00:40:29.640
incredible precision. So when Newton came up
1067
00:40:29.640 --> 00:40:32.480
with his ideas, the predictions you
1068
00:40:32.480 --> 00:40:35.080
would make with Newton's gravity Were so
1069
00:40:35.080 --> 00:40:37.760
accurate that it was only 150 years or so
1070
00:40:37.760 --> 00:40:39.760
before our observations got good enough to
1071
00:40:39.760 --> 00:40:41.760
show that Newton's theories were wrong. They
1072
00:40:41.760 --> 00:40:44.200
disproved those theories, but we still use
1073
00:40:44.200 --> 00:40:46.560
them because they are so accurate. They're
1074
00:40:46.560 --> 00:40:48.640
slightly off, but they're so accurate and
1075
00:40:48.640 --> 00:40:50.720
easy to use that they're easier for me to use
1076
00:40:50.720 --> 00:40:53.690
in my modeling than general relativity, when
1077
00:40:53.690 --> 00:40:55.730
the uncertainties in the things I model are
1078
00:40:55.730 --> 00:40:57.250
so great that the difference between those
1079
00:40:57.250 --> 00:40:59.370
two is lost in the noise. So it's just easier
1080
00:40:59.370 --> 00:41:01.650
for me to use Newton's laws. But it's a
1081
00:41:01.650 --> 00:41:03.930
really good example of how theory makes
1082
00:41:03.930 --> 00:41:05.850
predictions that are verified for a very long
1083
00:41:05.850 --> 00:41:08.050
time. But eventually you get to the point
1084
00:41:08.050 --> 00:41:10.930
where you go beyond what theory explains,
1085
00:41:11.010 --> 00:41:13.370
and that leads to new theories. And in this
1086
00:41:13.370 --> 00:41:14.890
case, it's a case where there are these set
1087
00:41:14.890 --> 00:41:17.250
of theories that, uh, are very much at the
1088
00:41:17.250 --> 00:41:19.490
cutting edge of science, where the
1089
00:41:19.490 --> 00:41:21.650
predictions that they make are predictions of
1090
00:41:21.650 --> 00:41:24.130
things we have not yet seen. Because it's
1091
00:41:24.130 --> 00:41:25.730
fairly pointless to only predict the things
1092
00:41:25.730 --> 00:41:27.810
we have seen and not go beyond that. So they
1093
00:41:27.810 --> 00:41:30.530
predict things we haven't yet seen. One of
1094
00:41:30.530 --> 00:41:32.810
those things is the existence of cosmogenic
1095
00:41:32.810 --> 00:41:35.410
neutrinos. And, um, it may well be that this
1096
00:41:35.410 --> 00:41:37.250
is the first detection of a cosmogenic
1097
00:41:37.250 --> 00:41:39.930
neutrino, which then adds credence to the
1098
00:41:39.930 --> 00:41:42.010
idea that these quantum field theories work
1099
00:41:42.010 --> 00:41:44.130
and make sense. So it's that interplay
1100
00:41:44.130 --> 00:41:46.610
between theory and observation, an experiment
1101
00:41:46.610 --> 00:41:49.150
that I think is really interesting, Even if,
1102
00:41:49.150 --> 00:41:51.070
to be honest, I really don't understand it.
1103
00:41:51.470 --> 00:41:54.270
Andrew Dunkley: And what, uh, Jonti is saying, Casey, is that
1104
00:41:54.270 --> 00:41:56.750
it'll be 150 years before someone comes up
1105
00:41:56.750 --> 00:41:59.550
with a model that actually explains it.
1106
00:42:00.030 --> 00:42:01.950
Possibly it could happen that way. You never
1107
00:42:01.950 --> 00:42:04.790
know. Uh, and thanks for the question. Casey
1108
00:42:04.790 --> 00:42:07.590
and I assumed female, but, um, looking at the
1109
00:42:07.590 --> 00:42:10.390
spelling of Casey could be male. Apologies if
1110
00:42:10.390 --> 00:42:11.710
I got that the wrong way around.
1111
00:42:14.440 --> 00:42:17.240
Jonti Horner: Roger, your lots are here. Also space nuts.
1112
00:42:17.400 --> 00:42:20.320
Andrew Dunkley: Our final question today comes from young
1113
00:42:20.320 --> 00:42:21.000
Henrik.
1114
00:42:21.400 --> 00:42:24.360
Jonti Horner: Hello, It's Henrique from Portugal again.
1115
00:42:25.560 --> 00:42:28.440
This time I'd like to ask about the
1116
00:42:28.440 --> 00:42:30.340
object NWC, uh,
1117
00:42:31.240 --> 00:42:34.200
349A. What makes it so
1118
00:42:34.200 --> 00:42:36.360
extreme? How does it emit
1119
00:42:36.600 --> 00:42:39.480
lasers and lasers. Can you
1120
00:42:39.480 --> 00:42:42.090
explain to my dad what's masers are?
1121
00:42:42.330 --> 00:42:43.450
Thank you. Bye.
1122
00:42:44.010 --> 00:42:45.850
Andrew Dunkley: Thank you. Henrik. Uh, yes,
1123
00:42:45.850 --> 00:42:48.850
MWC349A.A for Apple
1124
00:42:48.850 --> 00:42:51.130
M, not eight. That's what I thought he said.
1125
00:42:51.130 --> 00:42:53.770
But um, yeah, this is ah, this is a,
1126
00:42:54.890 --> 00:42:57.730
a mysterious emission line star and
1127
00:42:57.730 --> 00:42:59.930
radio bright object in the constellation of
1128
00:42:59.930 --> 00:43:00.570
Cygnus.
1129
00:43:00.810 --> 00:43:01.370
Jonti Horner: Yes.
1130
00:43:01.690 --> 00:43:04.570
Andrew Dunkley: And it's um, it's, it's suffered an intensive
1131
00:43:05.370 --> 00:43:06.330
mass loss.
1132
00:43:06.970 --> 00:43:09.850
Jonti Horner: Yeah, it's a really interesting object. Now I
1133
00:43:09.930 --> 00:43:11.770
wasn't familiar with this object before the
1134
00:43:11.770 --> 00:43:13.490
question came in and it's probably something
1135
00:43:13.490 --> 00:43:15.970
that when I was Henrik's age, I'd have heard
1136
00:43:15.970 --> 00:43:17.930
of and come across and would have really
1137
00:43:17.930 --> 00:43:19.610
found fascinating, just like Henrik does.
1138
00:43:19.610 --> 00:43:22.370
It's fabulous question as best we
1139
00:43:22.370 --> 00:43:24.210
understand that this is something that is a
1140
00:43:24.210 --> 00:43:26.730
very luminous, very bright star,
1141
00:43:27.690 --> 00:43:30.250
much younger than the Sun. It's probably at
1142
00:43:30.250 --> 00:43:32.250
most 5 million years old. But it could either
1143
00:43:32.250 --> 00:43:34.800
be a baby star that's still forming
1144
00:43:34.960 --> 00:43:36.960
or a very massive star that's just coming to
1145
00:43:36.960 --> 00:43:38.640
the end of its life, even though it's only 5
1146
00:43:38.640 --> 00:43:40.120
million years old. And there's been a lot of
1147
00:43:40.120 --> 00:43:42.880
debate of that over the years. It
1148
00:43:42.880 --> 00:43:45.480
is famous and it's prominent because it's one
1149
00:43:45.480 --> 00:43:48.120
of the most bright things in the sky at uh,
1150
00:43:48.120 --> 00:43:50.880
millimeter and radio wavelengths. It's very,
1151
00:43:50.880 --> 00:43:52.680
very bright, very obviously visible, even
1152
00:43:52.680 --> 00:43:54.640
though it's way too faint to see with the
1153
00:43:54.640 --> 00:43:57.360
naked eye. Part of the reason it's too faint
1154
00:43:57.360 --> 00:43:58.760
to see with the naked eye though, is that
1155
00:43:58.760 --> 00:44:00.640
there's a lot of dust and gas around both
1156
00:44:01.060 --> 00:44:03.380
where the object is. We found that it's got a
1157
00:44:04.100 --> 00:44:06.380
disk of dust and gas around it. Let's edge
1158
00:44:06.380 --> 00:44:08.100
onto us and is blocking some of the light.
1159
00:44:08.420 --> 00:44:10.420
Plus it's in the spiral arm of the Milky Way,
1160
00:44:10.420 --> 00:44:12.420
so there's a lot of dust and gas between us.
1161
00:44:12.740 --> 00:44:14.540
So this thing has an apparent magnitude of
1162
00:44:14.540 --> 00:44:17.099
about 13, but there are about 10
1163
00:44:17.099 --> 00:44:19.140
magnitudes of extinction along the line of
1164
00:44:19.140 --> 00:44:21.020
sight between us and it, which means that for
1165
00:44:21.020 --> 00:44:23.620
every 10,000 photons it emits, only one
1166
00:44:23.620 --> 00:44:25.900
reaches us. In other words, if you could
1167
00:44:25.900 --> 00:44:28.040
clear all the dust and gas out, this will be
1168
00:44:28.040 --> 00:44:29.960
a third magnitude star and easy to see with a
1169
00:44:29.960 --> 00:44:30.640
naked eye.
1170
00:44:30.640 --> 00:44:31.000
Andrew Dunkley: Right.
1171
00:44:31.000 --> 00:44:33.160
Jonti Horner: So that's intrinsically how luminous it is.
1172
00:44:33.160 --> 00:44:35.960
It's thought to be about 1300 parsecs away.
1173
00:44:35.960 --> 00:44:38.920
So that's 39004000 light years. So
1174
00:44:38.920 --> 00:44:41.120
the light we receive from it we're seeing it
1175
00:44:41.120 --> 00:44:43.040
how it was 4,000 years ago when that light
1176
00:44:43.040 --> 00:44:45.920
was emitted. And because it's so
1177
00:44:45.920 --> 00:44:48.640
luminous in radio wavelengths, it's been
1178
00:44:48.640 --> 00:44:51.120
fairly well studied. And in particular, it
1179
00:44:51.120 --> 00:44:53.600
gives off a lot of energy at, uh, wavelengths
1180
00:44:53.600 --> 00:44:56.220
linked to molecular hydrogen. And it's known
1181
00:44:56.220 --> 00:44:59.100
as one of the few hydrogen masers that we see
1182
00:44:59.100 --> 00:45:01.260
in the sky. Which leads to Henrik's question
1183
00:45:01.260 --> 00:45:04.060
about what is a maser? The very
1184
00:45:04.060 --> 00:45:05.980
simple answer to that, which doesn't tell you
1185
00:45:05.980 --> 00:45:08.980
anything, is that a maser is a laser,
1186
00:45:08.980 --> 00:45:10.940
but happening at millimeter wavelengths. So
1187
00:45:10.940 --> 00:45:13.940
in the infrared, on radio. But it's the
1188
00:45:13.940 --> 00:45:15.940
same physical process. And in fact, masers
1189
00:45:15.940 --> 00:45:17.980
were what we developed before we could do
1190
00:45:17.980 --> 00:45:20.060
lasers, because lasers are the same
1191
00:45:20.060 --> 00:45:22.020
phenomenon happening at visible wavelengths
1192
00:45:22.020 --> 00:45:24.780
in the optical. That is a very accurate
1193
00:45:24.780 --> 00:45:26.260
description that tells you actually nothing
1194
00:45:26.260 --> 00:45:28.380
about what's going on. And I dug into this a
1195
00:45:28.380 --> 00:45:30.740
bit because like a lot of people, I use
1196
00:45:30.740 --> 00:45:32.780
lasers and think about them, but never really
1197
00:45:33.020 --> 00:45:35.820
remind myself how they work. Laser
1198
00:45:35.820 --> 00:45:38.620
stands for light activated.
1199
00:45:39.810 --> 00:45:42.140
Um, Simulated Emission of radiation.
1200
00:45:42.540 --> 00:45:44.740
Sorry, Light Amplification by Simulated
1201
00:45:44.740 --> 00:45:46.740
Emission of radiation. It's an acronym. And
1202
00:45:46.740 --> 00:45:49.420
MESA stands for Microwave Amplification by
1203
00:45:49.620 --> 00:45:51.860
Stimulated Emission of Radiation. So it's the
1204
00:45:51.860 --> 00:45:53.500
same process just happening at longer
1205
00:45:53.500 --> 00:45:56.500
wavelengths. What's happening effectively is
1206
00:45:56.500 --> 00:45:58.980
that when atoms are
1207
00:45:59.140 --> 00:46:01.860
excited, when energy is pumped into atoms
1208
00:46:02.100 --> 00:46:04.540
and that energy is absorbed by them, it makes
1209
00:46:04.540 --> 00:46:06.620
the electrons in those atoms jump from one
1210
00:46:06.620 --> 00:46:09.300
level to a higher energy level. And they are
1211
00:46:09.300 --> 00:46:12.180
very specific jumps in energy. It can only
1212
00:46:12.180 --> 00:46:14.220
jump by a certain amount. It can't miss a
1213
00:46:14.220 --> 00:46:16.770
gap. It's got to get exactly the right jump
1214
00:46:16.770 --> 00:46:19.570
to jump from one level to the next. So those
1215
00:46:19.570 --> 00:46:21.650
energy levels have very specific wavelengths
1216
00:46:21.650 --> 00:46:22.810
and we actually calculate them at
1217
00:46:22.810 --> 00:46:24.650
universities, part of our undergrad quantum
1218
00:46:24.650 --> 00:46:26.610
mechanics courses and things like this. It's
1219
00:46:26.610 --> 00:46:28.050
one of the tasks you have is work out the
1220
00:46:28.050 --> 00:46:30.530
energy levels of a hydrogen atom and
1221
00:46:30.930 --> 00:46:33.370
they are quantized such that, uh, when you're
1222
00:46:33.370 --> 00:46:35.130
at an energy level, if you want to jump down
1223
00:46:35.130 --> 00:46:36.730
to another one, you can only do that by
1224
00:46:36.730 --> 00:46:39.370
emitting a single photon. You can't emit
1225
00:46:39.370 --> 00:46:41.210
multiple photons that add up to that level.
1226
00:46:41.210 --> 00:46:43.850
You can only emit one photon. And you have to
1227
00:46:43.850 --> 00:46:46.850
hit the right energy level to get the gap.
1228
00:46:47.090 --> 00:46:49.850
And so that's why excited hydrogen glows at
1229
00:46:49.850 --> 00:46:52.730
very specific colors. So the photo behind me,
1230
00:46:52.730 --> 00:46:54.210
which won't be visible if you're listening to
1231
00:46:54.210 --> 00:46:56.050
this as a podcast, but the photo behind me
1232
00:46:56.050 --> 00:46:58.929
shows the Helix Nebula, which is a star
1233
00:46:58.929 --> 00:47:01.460
forming, sorry, the Trifid Nebula, which, uh,
1234
00:47:01.690 --> 00:47:03.290
is a star forming region in the middle of
1235
00:47:03.290 --> 00:47:05.930
It's a very distinctive pink color. And that
1236
00:47:05.930 --> 00:47:08.460
pink color is hydrogen alpha emission, which,
1237
00:47:08.530 --> 00:47:10.570
which is hydrogen atoms jumping from the
1238
00:47:10.570 --> 00:47:13.050
third energy level to the second, emitting
1239
00:47:13.050 --> 00:47:15.130
light, and all emitting light of exactly the
1240
00:47:15.130 --> 00:47:17.610
same color. So that's known as
1241
00:47:17.610 --> 00:47:20.450
spontaneous emission. That's where the atom
1242
00:47:20.450 --> 00:47:22.290
sheds its energy by emitting light of a
1243
00:47:22.290 --> 00:47:25.250
certain color. Simulated emission is where
1244
00:47:25.250 --> 00:47:27.570
something happens to trigger that emission,
1245
00:47:28.450 --> 00:47:30.930
specifically at a specific time. So you've
1246
00:47:30.930 --> 00:47:33.650
got an atom, um, that is excited, is sat at a
1247
00:47:33.650 --> 00:47:35.750
higher energy level, and something gives it a
1248
00:47:35.750 --> 00:47:38.430
nudge and causes it to emit energy. And the
1249
00:47:38.430 --> 00:47:40.430
way that that works is that it absorbs a
1250
00:47:40.430 --> 00:47:42.950
photon of the same energy of the energy level
1251
00:47:42.950 --> 00:47:45.190
difference that it was going to emit anyway,
1252
00:47:45.270 --> 00:47:47.390
and then immediately emits two photons of
1253
00:47:47.390 --> 00:47:49.830
that energy. So you get one photon in and two
1254
00:47:49.830 --> 00:47:52.670
photons out. Two photons out can hit two
1255
00:47:52.670 --> 00:47:54.790
atoms and trigger them to emit, which means
1256
00:47:54.790 --> 00:47:56.510
you get four photons out and so on. So you
1257
00:47:56.510 --> 00:47:59.350
can get this cascade. So what makes it work
1258
00:47:59.350 --> 00:48:01.630
is that there are many ways of exciting the
1259
00:48:01.630 --> 00:48:03.470
atoms in the first place. They don't have to
1260
00:48:03.470 --> 00:48:05.870
just absorb photons. They can be excited
1261
00:48:05.870 --> 00:48:07.690
through magnet magnetic fields, uh, or all
1262
00:48:07.690 --> 00:48:10.090
sorts of different things going on. And so a
1263
00:48:10.090 --> 00:48:12.930
maser is effectively somewhere where
1264
00:48:13.090 --> 00:48:15.890
emission is being stimulated by
1265
00:48:15.890 --> 00:48:18.490
incoming photons of a given wavelength, which
1266
00:48:18.490 --> 00:48:20.890
results in more photons being emitted of that
1267
00:48:20.890 --> 00:48:23.210
wavelength than are coming in. And so you get
1268
00:48:23.210 --> 00:48:26.010
this amplification effect. So in this
1269
00:48:26.010 --> 00:48:27.970
case, this being a hydrogen maser means that
1270
00:48:27.970 --> 00:48:30.410
you've got a lot of hydrogen gas there. That
1271
00:48:30.410 --> 00:48:32.890
hydrogen gas is being irradiated by emission
1272
00:48:32.890 --> 00:48:34.850
of a specific wavelength by this object.
1273
00:48:35.910 --> 00:48:37.800
Um, and that is stimulating the emission of
1274
00:48:37.800 --> 00:48:39.400
more photons, which means you get an
1275
00:48:39.400 --> 00:48:41.680
extremely bright emission at that wavelength
1276
00:48:41.840 --> 00:48:43.560
because you're getting this amplification
1277
00:48:43.560 --> 00:48:46.080
effect. And so that's how these things works
1278
00:48:46.160 --> 00:48:48.440
as a maser. And that has been very useful in
1279
00:48:48.440 --> 00:48:50.320
allowing us to study it because it means we
1280
00:48:50.320 --> 00:48:52.680
get a stronger signal, we get more light, so
1281
00:48:52.680 --> 00:48:53.680
there's more we can study.
1282
00:48:54.800 --> 00:48:57.680
What my research around it this morning
1283
00:48:57.840 --> 00:48:59.760
kind of found out was that there is some
1284
00:49:00.080 --> 00:49:02.650
significant debate historically over whether
1285
00:49:02.650 --> 00:49:05.450
this is firstly a binary star, or on its own,
1286
00:49:05.450 --> 00:49:07.610
there's another very hot blue star very close
1287
00:49:07.610 --> 00:49:10.050
to it in the sky that for a long time was
1288
00:49:10.050 --> 00:49:12.410
thought to be a binary companion. And that's
1289
00:49:12.410 --> 00:49:15.410
why this is MWC349A,
1290
00:49:15.410 --> 00:49:18.170
because there's a star MWC349B.
1291
00:49:18.970 --> 00:49:21.010
Now, recent studies that have measured the
1292
00:49:21.010 --> 00:49:23.490
radial velocity of the two stars suggests
1293
00:49:23.490 --> 00:49:26.330
that the star B is moving 35
1294
00:49:26.330 --> 00:49:29.310
kilometers per second compared to star A. So
1295
00:49:29.310 --> 00:49:30.750
they're not gravitationally held together
1296
00:49:30.750 --> 00:49:32.950
anymore. So they're probably not now a
1297
00:49:32.950 --> 00:49:35.550
binary. Though there is some debate whether
1298
00:49:36.190 --> 00:49:38.590
they were in the past, whether they were held
1299
00:49:38.590 --> 00:49:40.590
together by gravity. And then those two stars
1300
00:49:40.590 --> 00:49:42.990
have shed mass. As we said, this star seems
1301
00:49:42.990 --> 00:49:45.590
to have thrown mass away in recent times, may
1302
00:49:45.590 --> 00:49:47.270
even have lost half its mass. It may have
1303
00:49:47.270 --> 00:49:49.990
gone from 40 solar masses to 20. That
1304
00:49:49.990 --> 00:49:51.550
weakens its gravitational pull until
1305
00:49:51.550 --> 00:49:54.070
eventually the binary falls apart. So that's
1306
00:49:54.070 --> 00:49:55.550
one part of the debate. But the recent
1307
00:49:55.550 --> 00:49:58.120
results seem to suggest that even if they
1308
00:49:58.120 --> 00:49:59.960
were a binary in the past, they no longer
1309
00:49:59.960 --> 00:50:02.480
are. The other debate is
1310
00:50:02.960 --> 00:50:04.960
whether this is a very young star that's only
1311
00:50:04.960 --> 00:50:07.680
just forming now. Or whether it's a star that
1312
00:50:07.680 --> 00:50:09.320
formed a few million years ago and is coming
1313
00:50:09.320 --> 00:50:11.760
to the end of its life. And, um, you'd have
1314
00:50:11.760 --> 00:50:13.840
thought that was obvious. But for stars like
1315
00:50:13.840 --> 00:50:15.240
this, it's quite hard to tell, especially
1316
00:50:15.240 --> 00:50:17.280
when they're so obscured by gas and dust.
1317
00:50:17.760 --> 00:50:20.720
Now, if it was a baby star, the really
1318
00:50:20.960 --> 00:50:22.920
odd part of that would be, why are there no
1319
00:50:22.920 --> 00:50:25.330
other baby stars around it? Stars kind of
1320
00:50:25.330 --> 00:50:27.170
form in big nurseries. And particularly
1321
00:50:27.170 --> 00:50:29.690
massive stars don't tend to form alone. They
1322
00:50:29.690 --> 00:50:32.450
tend to form in big associations where lots
1323
00:50:32.450 --> 00:50:34.210
of stars are forming at once. And there's one
1324
00:50:34.610 --> 00:50:37.250
relatively near this called Cygnus OB2.
1325
00:50:37.650 --> 00:50:39.490
And, uh, one of the suggestions for this
1326
00:50:39.490 --> 00:50:41.410
star, if it's an older star that's coming to
1327
00:50:41.410 --> 00:50:43.530
the end of its life, is that it formed in
1328
00:50:43.530 --> 00:50:45.290
that association and was ejected in an
1329
00:50:45.290 --> 00:50:46.890
encounter with other stars and flung
1330
00:50:46.890 --> 00:50:48.730
outwards. And, um, we're seeing it quite far
1331
00:50:48.730 --> 00:50:50.370
away because it's traveled that distance
1332
00:50:50.370 --> 00:50:52.590
through its lifetime. So it formed there, but
1333
00:50:52.590 --> 00:50:55.550
it's escaped. If it's a baby
1334
00:50:55.550 --> 00:50:57.590
star, we have the problem of how is it only
1335
00:50:57.590 --> 00:50:59.270
just forming in an area where there's not
1336
00:50:59.270 --> 00:51:01.110
really any other stars forming around it.
1337
00:51:01.670 --> 00:51:03.990
Recent studies have suggested, by looking
1338
00:51:04.470 --> 00:51:07.270
over all things, the balance between carbon
1339
00:51:07.349 --> 00:51:09.950
13 and carbon 12, these two different carbon
1340
00:51:09.950 --> 00:51:12.870
isotopes in the gas that has been shed by
1341
00:51:12.870 --> 00:51:15.870
this star. Recent, uh, measurements of that
1342
00:51:15.870 --> 00:51:17.510
have suggested it's actually an old star.
1343
00:51:18.400 --> 00:51:20.840
Well, old for its mass, you know, about 5
1344
00:51:20.840 --> 00:51:22.360
million years old. But coming to the end of
1345
00:51:22.360 --> 00:51:25.160
its life, that has been shedding mass. And,
1346
00:51:25.160 --> 00:51:27.120
um, that is explained by the balance of the
1347
00:51:27.120 --> 00:51:29.280
isotopes in the gases that it has emitted.
1348
00:51:29.600 --> 00:51:31.680
Which fits in a bit better with the idea that
1349
00:51:31.680 --> 00:51:33.560
it may have formed in that Cygnus LB2
1350
00:51:33.560 --> 00:51:35.880
association a few million years ago, have
1351
00:51:35.880 --> 00:51:38.520
been flung outwards and escaped. Would also
1352
00:51:38.520 --> 00:51:40.740
fit A little bit with the idea that the star,
1353
00:51:40.740 --> 00:51:43.520
uh, B next to it, was once held to it as a
1354
00:51:43.520 --> 00:51:45.000
binary. But with the mass loss, they've
1355
00:51:45.000 --> 00:51:46.820
separated and they're going their separate
1356
00:51:46.820 --> 00:51:49.020
ways. You know, that happens all the time.
1357
00:51:49.500 --> 00:51:51.660
And so that all kind of, as a narrative seems
1358
00:51:51.660 --> 00:51:53.300
to fit together. But it's got a disk of
1359
00:51:53.300 --> 00:51:55.180
material around it that's nearly edge on.
1360
00:51:55.420 --> 00:51:57.700
It's got jets of material coming out of it.
1361
00:51:57.700 --> 00:51:59.900
There is a suggestion that it's probably shed
1362
00:52:00.300 --> 00:52:02.300
something like 20 times the mass of the sun
1363
00:52:02.300 --> 00:52:03.980
over the last few hundred thousand years.
1364
00:52:04.540 --> 00:52:06.460
And, uh, that it's shedding something like
1365
00:52:06.940 --> 00:52:09.660
1/100,000th of a solar mass per year,
1366
00:52:10.380 --> 00:52:12.580
which doesn't sound like a lot, but that's a
1367
00:52:12.580 --> 00:52:14.340
huge amount of mass to be throwing away in
1368
00:52:14.340 --> 00:52:16.460
every given year, which means it would throw
1369
00:52:16.460 --> 00:52:18.600
away a mass equ, the mass of the sun in just
1370
00:52:18.600 --> 00:52:21.560
100,000 years. That's really significant
1371
00:52:21.800 --> 00:52:23.720
mass loss going on as this star comes to the
1372
00:52:23.720 --> 00:52:25.840
end of its life. And it's a really
1373
00:52:25.840 --> 00:52:28.400
interesting case study of that detective
1374
00:52:28.400 --> 00:52:31.320
story again, of how we gather clues from
1375
00:52:31.320 --> 00:52:33.000
all these different types of observations
1376
00:52:33.880 --> 00:52:36.040
about a star that for us, at optical
1377
00:52:36.040 --> 00:52:38.280
wavelengths is so heavily concealed from us
1378
00:52:38.600 --> 00:52:41.120
that only one part in 10,000 of the light it
1379
00:52:41.120 --> 00:52:43.160
emits actually reaches as the rest of it gets
1380
00:52:43.160 --> 00:52:45.600
absorbed en route. Um, and that's why it's
1381
00:52:45.600 --> 00:52:47.400
been such a challenging problem for astronomy
1382
00:52:47.400 --> 00:52:49.240
for so many years, because it's really hard
1383
00:52:49.240 --> 00:52:52.080
to see what's going on. But by looking at the
1384
00:52:52.080 --> 00:52:54.600
masers emitting this light, by looking at all
1385
00:52:54.600 --> 00:52:56.360
the different things going on around it, by
1386
00:52:56.360 --> 00:52:59.080
doing clever studies of the chemistry of the
1387
00:52:59.080 --> 00:53:01.560
gases around it, we can start to piece
1388
00:53:01.560 --> 00:53:03.080
together its life story and figure out what
1389
00:53:03.080 --> 00:53:05.720
it is. I don't think that story of
1390
00:53:05.720 --> 00:53:08.520
discovery is finished yet, by any means. And
1391
00:53:08.520 --> 00:53:09.840
it may well be, Henrik, that when you're
1392
00:53:09.840 --> 00:53:11.400
older, you can actually work on this object
1393
00:53:11.400 --> 00:53:13.240
and learn more about it yourself. I suspect
1394
00:53:13.240 --> 00:53:15.560
people will still be discovering things about
1395
00:53:15.560 --> 00:53:18.400
this object in decades to come. But
1396
00:53:18.400 --> 00:53:20.640
it's a really fascinating object, and I'm
1397
00:53:20.640 --> 00:53:22.080
just so delighted that you brought it to my
1398
00:53:22.080 --> 00:53:23.440
attention because I'd never stumbled across
1399
00:53:23.440 --> 00:53:25.080
it before, and it's really, really cool.
1400
00:53:25.240 --> 00:53:27.760
Andrew Dunkley: Yes, it's, um. Sorry for this. It's
1401
00:53:27.760 --> 00:53:30.480
amazing. Uh, but, Henrik, thanks for the
1402
00:53:30.480 --> 00:53:33.040
question, and you do sound, uh, very astute,
1403
00:53:33.040 --> 00:53:35.000
and maybe, maybe you will be the one that
1404
00:53:35.000 --> 00:53:37.360
will solve it in years to come. Lovely to
1405
00:53:37.360 --> 00:53:40.280
hear from you. And if you have questions for
1406
00:53:40.280 --> 00:53:43.010
us, please send them through. We can take,
1407
00:53:43.010 --> 00:53:44.950
uh, your questions on our website. So, Space
1408
00:53:44.950 --> 00:53:47.910
Nuts podcast.com spacenuts IO
1409
00:53:48.230 --> 00:53:51.110
click on that little AMA link up the top
1410
00:53:51.110 --> 00:53:53.630
and you can send us text or audio
1411
00:53:53.630 --> 00:53:55.470
questions or both. Some people have done
1412
00:53:55.470 --> 00:53:57.870
that. And don't forget to tell us who you are
1413
00:53:57.870 --> 00:53:59.830
and where you're from. And, uh, yeah, we're
1414
00:53:59.830 --> 00:54:02.150
kind of running sort of
1415
00:54:02.310 --> 00:54:05.310
parallel with the number of questions we need
1416
00:54:05.310 --> 00:54:07.230
each week. So, uh, we haven't got a big
1417
00:54:07.230 --> 00:54:09.310
stockpile at the moment. So it's a good time
1418
00:54:09.310 --> 00:54:12.230
to send some questions into us. So please do.
1419
00:54:12.230 --> 00:54:14.670
Would love to hear from you. Don't even worry
1420
00:54:14.670 --> 00:54:17.310
if you think it's dumb, because there's no
1421
00:54:17.310 --> 00:54:19.390
dumb questions in astronomy and space
1422
00:54:19.390 --> 00:54:21.950
science. There's weird questions, but there
1423
00:54:21.950 --> 00:54:24.510
aren't any dumb questions. And, uh, while
1424
00:54:24.510 --> 00:54:25.990
you're on our website, have a look around.
1425
00:54:26.070 --> 00:54:28.630
There's a little link, uh, shop
1426
00:54:28.630 --> 00:54:30.670
link. It's really good. You can get some
1427
00:54:30.670 --> 00:54:33.630
Space Nuts memorabilia there or sign
1428
00:54:33.630 --> 00:54:36.580
up to our Astronomy Daily Newsfeed. And if,
1429
00:54:36.580 --> 00:54:38.710
uh, you are interested in becoming a patron,
1430
00:54:38.780 --> 00:54:41.750
uh, you can do that via the website as well
1431
00:54:41.750 --> 00:54:44.390
under the support. Support our podcast link.
1432
00:54:44.800 --> 00:54:46.990
Uh, those are just options. None of it's
1433
00:54:46.990 --> 00:54:49.470
mandatory. And, uh, we appreciate all the
1434
00:54:49.470 --> 00:54:52.230
support we get, so thank you. And Jonti,
1435
00:54:52.230 --> 00:54:54.430
thank you so much. Uh, it's been great to
1436
00:54:54.430 --> 00:54:56.230
talk to you and, uh, we'll see you on the
1437
00:54:56.230 --> 00:54:56.950
next episode.
1438
00:54:57.270 --> 00:54:58.630
Jonti Horner: Yeah. Thank you for having me. It's good to
1439
00:54:58.630 --> 00:54:59.110
be back.
1440
00:54:59.270 --> 00:55:01.470
Andrew Dunkley: Always a pleasure. Jonti, uh, Horner,
1441
00:55:01.470 --> 00:55:03.190
professor of Astrophysics at the University
1442
00:55:03.350 --> 00:55:05.950
of Southern Queensland. And, uh, uh, thanks
1443
00:55:05.950 --> 00:55:08.560
to Huw in the studio who, um,
1444
00:55:08.560 --> 00:55:11.190
couldn't be with us today because they're
1445
00:55:11.190 --> 00:55:13.550
going to hate me for this one. He got lost in
1446
00:55:13.550 --> 00:55:16.470
a maser. Oh, dear. And from me, Andrew
1447
00:55:16.470 --> 00:55:18.030
Dunkley. Thanks for your company. We'll see
1448
00:55:18.030 --> 00:55:20.070
you on the next episode of Space Nuts. Bye.
1449
00:55:20.070 --> 00:55:20.430
Bye.
1450
00:55:21.710 --> 00:55:23.910
Voice Over Guy: You've been listening to the Space Nuts
1451
00:55:23.910 --> 00:55:26.870
podcast, available at
1452
00:55:26.870 --> 00:55:28.750
Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
1453
00:55:29.070 --> 00:55:31.830
iHeartRadio, or your favorite podcast
1454
00:55:31.830 --> 00:55:33.550
player. You can also stream on
1455
00:55:33.550 --> 00:55:36.510
demand at bitesz.com This has been another
1456
00:55:36.590 --> 00:55:38.510
quality podcast production from
1457
00:55:38.510 --> 00:55:39.710
bitesz.com
0
00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:02.400
Andrew Dunkley: Hi there. Thanks for joining us on a Q and A
1
00:00:02.400 --> 00:00:05.080
edition of Space Nuts. My name is Andrew
2
00:00:05.080 --> 00:00:07.960
Dunkley and this is the. The show we do each
3
00:00:07.960 --> 00:00:10.760
week where you supply the agenda
4
00:00:10.760 --> 00:00:12.920
and we pretend we know what we're talking
5
00:00:12.920 --> 00:00:15.760
about. And questions are coming in,
6
00:00:15.960 --> 00:00:18.680
uh, for this week's show from Peter, who's
7
00:00:18.680 --> 00:00:20.400
asking about climate change.
8
00:00:21.200 --> 00:00:22.240
Jonti Horner: Paul is.
9
00:00:22.240 --> 00:00:24.000
Andrew Dunkley: Well, I suppose it's a similar story.
10
00:00:24.320 --> 00:00:27.300
Snowball, uh, Earth and, uh, a couple of
11
00:00:27.300 --> 00:00:29.820
objects of interest. Uh, Casey is asking
12
00:00:29.820 --> 00:00:30.640
about KM
13
00:00:30.640 --> 00:00:33.100
M3230213A.
14
00:00:33.660 --> 00:00:36.340
Know all about it. And an even more obscure
15
00:00:36.340 --> 00:00:38.700
thing. Henrik has asked about
16
00:00:39.260 --> 00:00:42.100
MWC3498, which I just did a
17
00:00:42.100 --> 00:00:44.700
Google search for and it came up blank.
18
00:00:46.140 --> 00:00:49.020
Anyway, it's an A at the end, not an A. I had
19
00:00:49.020 --> 00:00:51.260
fun with that. Ah, is that the one? All
20
00:00:51.260 --> 00:00:53.220
right. And that's what we're talking about
21
00:00:53.220 --> 00:00:55.060
with that little voice you just heard in the
22
00:00:55.060 --> 00:00:57.920
background on this edition of space
23
00:00:57.920 --> 00:00:58.520
nuts.
24
00:00:58.600 --> 00:01:01.080
Voice Over Guy: 15 seconds. Guidance is internal.
25
00:01:01.320 --> 00:01:04.040
10, 9. Ignition
26
00:01:04.040 --> 00:01:06.953
sequence start. Space nuts. 5, 4, 3,
27
00:01:07.025 --> 00:01:09.812
2. 1. 2, 3, 4, 5, 5, 4,
28
00:01:09.883 --> 00:01:12.880
3, 2, 1. Space nuts. Astronauts
29
00:01:12.880 --> 00:01:14.120
report it feels good.
30
00:01:14.840 --> 00:01:17.400
Andrew Dunkley: And that voice belongs to none other than
31
00:01:17.480 --> 00:01:19.680
Professor Jonti T. Horner, professor of
32
00:01:19.680 --> 00:01:22.080
Astrophysics at the University of Southern
33
00:01:22.080 --> 00:01:23.720
Queensland, Jonti. Hello again.
34
00:01:24.200 --> 00:01:25.840
Jonti Horner: Good afternoon. Yeah, clearly professor of
35
00:01:25.840 --> 00:01:27.640
interruptions. This is what happens when I've
36
00:01:27.640 --> 00:01:29.400
had enough time for the coffee to kick in.
37
00:01:29.680 --> 00:01:32.400
Andrew Dunkley: Uh, yes, it's been, um, what, four
38
00:01:32.400 --> 00:01:34.120
days and we're still wearing the same
39
00:01:34.120 --> 00:01:34.520
clothes.
40
00:01:34.760 --> 00:01:35.560
Jonti Horner: Absolutely.
41
00:01:35.720 --> 00:01:37.280
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I get a lot of mileage out of that
42
00:01:37.280 --> 00:01:39.160
joke. Yeah.
43
00:01:39.400 --> 00:01:40.880
Jonti Horner: Um, but you've been done.
44
00:01:40.880 --> 00:01:42.680
Had a musical interlude. Haven't I have.
45
00:01:42.680 --> 00:01:43.700
Andrew Dunkley: Look, I, um.
46
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Jonti Horner: It.
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Andrew Dunkley: It was just. Last weekend was a long weekend,
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uh, in New South Wales, and I think it was in
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Queensland too. But, um, it was the weekend
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that Taylor Swift released her latest
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album. And, uh,
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I've got three granddaughters, all of
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Taylor's swifty age. And
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uh, we. Yeah, we took them to see
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the launch of her new album. Uh, and,
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uh, I. Look, I've got to tell you, I really
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did, I did. I enjoy it.
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Yes. It's not aimed at
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me or my demographic, but, um,
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it was, uh, it was interesting to
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watch some of the thinking behind the artist
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and some of the creativity that went into
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film clips and things like that. That's the,
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that's what I got out of it. But what, uh, an
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extraordinary.
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Jonti Horner: It's one of the things I love.
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I know we've gone totally off topic straight
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away, but my favorite critic, and the kind of
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only one I pay attention to, really is a guy
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called Mark commodity in the UK who's, um,
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they used to be on BBC Radio 5 live and now
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they've got their own independent, um, thing.
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And it's one of those things that's like
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comfort food for the soul that you can listen
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to and just makes your children relax. But
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part of what's nice about him is that you get
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a lot of film critics who, if a film's not
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made for them, are in some misdiabos about
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it. Right. And you know, I remember this with
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the Twilight films, which I'm not the target
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audience, they're not my cup of tea, but they
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got panned because they're made for
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teenage girls and film critics are elderly
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men and there's a slightly different
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demographic there. And this guy's brilliant
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because he'll m. Make the point. You know,
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I'm not the target audience for this. I'm
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very clearly not it and I enjoyed it. Okay.
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But you look around the room at the people
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who are the target audience and they love it.
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So it's obviously doing well. I think it's
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the same with what you're saying by the
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Taylor Swift stuff. We're not the target
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audience. But you can appreciate that this is
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someone who's awesomely talented and ah, for
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the target audience, it's really
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fundamentally awesome, you know.
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Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. Uh, I was still working on
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radio, uh, when she was, uh,
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announced by Time magazine as Person of the
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Year. And I did a big, big
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statement at the time as far as I was
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concerned, uh, about why she deserved
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it because she brought light into the world
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at a very dark time towards the end of COVID
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And um, but then they went
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and made Donaldjohanson Trump the, uh, Person
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of the Year. So anyway, whatever.
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Jonti Horner: Um, can't see the light without having
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darkness. Right.
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Andrew Dunkley: And I will say one of the songs on the new
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album has got to be about Donaldjohanson
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Trump. So anyway, he's after
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a Nobel priest Peace Prize and the word on
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the hill is that, uh, you might just get
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it. Uh, we won't go there. It's not
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our agenda. But, uh, we will go to some
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questions. Why don't we try and tackle this
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very first one? And this one
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comes from Peter.
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With all this climate change happening, I,
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uh, was wondering how CO2 is
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warming the planet when it's heavy. Heavier
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than air. Maybe the problem is the axis of
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the planet has moved because of all the
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millions of tons of minerals that have been
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moved. Maybe someone should check the
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axis angle. Geez, Peter, I
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think I've heard this theory Once before.
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I doubt that the amount of stuff we take out
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of the ground and move around the planet is
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going to make that big a difference
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to the tilt.
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Jonti Horner: No, and the beauty is we can measure the
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tilt. I mean, I grew up in the north
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of England, and high in the sky was
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Polaris, the pole star, which is the
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direction that the northern end of the
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Earth's, uh, spin axis points to. I'm very,
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very close to that star. So we can see
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exactly where the spin axis of the Earth is
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pointing. We can measure its spin rate. And
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it is right that moving material around
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on the Earth will to some degree change its
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spin and change its spin axis tilt.
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Um, but, and it's a very big but the amount
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of change that you get from human activity is
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very, very, very, very small. A much
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bigger shift in mass, for example, happens
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with melting of the polar caps. Yeah, if you
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melt the polar caps, you move the water. The
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water settles all around the Earth, so you're
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effectively moving mass from near the poles
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to near the equator. And that changes the
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Earth's rotational angular momentum and will
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change the Earth's spin very, very, very,
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very slightly. But we're now incredibly
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technologically capable, so we can measure
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things that are that small. And a good
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example of that was the big Indian Ocean
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tsunami. The earthquake that caused that, uh,
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on the Pacific Rim had a measurable effect on
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the Earth's spin. But if I remember rightly,
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and I stand to be corrected here, that
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measurable effect was something like one, one
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millionth of a second in the spin rate or
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something like that. And we can measure that,
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but it's not like you'd notice it in your day
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to day life. And it's not like that would be
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big enough to cause the impact on the climate
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that we see today. Now, I understand
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that, thanks to, uh, decades of
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discussion, that climate change is still a
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bit of a controversial topic with some
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people. And I'm quite
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fundamentally comfortable saying climate
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change is a real thing, that the climate is
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changing. I spent three years early in my
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career living in Switzerland, and when I was
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in Switzerland, I used to go skiing, because
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skiing's awesome. And if you're in
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Switzerland, why wouldn't you? And all these
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beautiful little towns that I went to in the
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winter, and then you went back in the summer
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and you went walking in the hills instead of
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skiing because all the snow had gone. They
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all have these photos from 50 or 100 years
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ago where you have the village in the
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foreground and the glacier in the background
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winding out of the hills. And then if you're
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up there in the summer, you go out and look,
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and it isn't there anymore. It's retreated
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that far. And I think that's fundamentally
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why in a lot of those countries with Alpine
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regions, climate change has been accepted for
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much, much longer, because you can really
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physically see the effects. And so it's very
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clear that it's happening. And the argument
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that it's caused by humor rather than
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something natural, the strongest evidence for
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that, to be honest, is the speed at which
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it's happening is unprecedented. The natural
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effects that could cause it, like the
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transition from the ice ages to the
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interglacials, and we'll talk about this a
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bit more later on, are, uh, much more
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gradual. Changes in brightness of the sun are
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much more gradual. And in fact, the sun has
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dimmed a little bit over the time that we've
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been measuring climate change due to little
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bits of tweaks in its behavior. So if
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the climate wasn't changing, we'd actually be
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slightly cooler now than we were a couple of
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hundred years ago, only very slightly. But
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that leads to this perverse and confusing
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statistic that 110% of all climate change is
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caused by humans because we're not just
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making it warmer, but we're offsetting the
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cooling as well. Yeah, so that's all the
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background to it here, how carbon dioxide
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plays a role. Even though it's, you know,
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heavier than air, it's still gas, it still
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floats around up there. It's not like it all
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sits at ankle level on the Earth. But even if
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it did, it would still be fairly effective
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because what carbon dioxide is in a really
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broad sense is it's like a good winter doona
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that you've got. The way that
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I can understand this as an astronomer most
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obviously is, uh, I think back m to again.
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When I was a kid, 1983, when I was five years
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old, there was this satellite launch called
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the infrared astronomical satellite IRAs.
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And that was really foundational for a lot of
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what we've learned about planets around other
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stars, because it was a tool that first
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allowed us to find debris disks around stars,
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which are, uh, the leftovers from planet
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formation. And that was a bit of a shock
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because stars didn't look how they were
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expected to. Three of them in particular.
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Vega, Fomalkauten, Beta Pictoris. They were
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brighter in the infrared wavelengths than we
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expected. They thought the satellite was
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broken. Then they realized that, no, really,
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the stars just had all this debris around
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them that was getting hot, warming up, and
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Giving off radiation and infrared
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wavelengths. So this tells us that
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when you heat something up, it radiates that
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energy away in infrared. And that's why
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thermal imaging cameras work. You can see
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people at night if you're using a thermal
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imaging camera because they're warmer than
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the surrounding area, so they give off more
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infrared radiation. You can see that. But the
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reason we had to launch IRAs was that you
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can't do infrared astronomy from the ground
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except a couple of very specific wavelengths.
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And uh, the reason that you can't do infrared
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astronomy from the ground is that the
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atmosphere is fundamentally opaque at
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infrared wavelengths. And a big part of that
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is carbon dioxide. So if you've got a photon
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of infrared radiation, it coming into our
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atmosphere, we'll essentially see our
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atmosphere as utterly thick cloud. It will be
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absorbed and re emitted back out.
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Optical light, visible light makes it through
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the atmosphere intact. And that's why if I
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look out of the window at the minute, we've
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got a lovely sunny day and I can see what I'm
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doing. And, um, that solar radiation comes in
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and it warms the Earth up. And what does the
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Earth do? It radiates that energy back
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outward at infrared wavelengths. But because
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the atmosphere is opaque at infrared
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wavelengths, that energy gets absorbed and re
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emitted. And it'll be re emitted randomly in
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any given direction. So the odds are it'll
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come back down. So in other words, that
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radiation gets trapped. And that's how the
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doona works. That's how the carbon dioxide's
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working. Now the carbon dioxide
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we've got in our atmosphere is really
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effective as a greenhouse gas. It's actually
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mostly saturated. So adding
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some carbon dioxide from no carbon dioxide
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would have a much bigger effect than adding
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carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Now, when
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we've got a fair bit of it in there already,
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but it's not totally saturated. So what that
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means is as we add more carbon dioxide, it
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can still have a bigger effect. And, um,
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that's why as we put more carbon dioxide into
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the atmosphere, the Earth gets warmer because
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the Dooner gets more effective.
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There are other gases that are effective
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greenhouse gases as well. Methane is a really
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good example. Methane is actually much more
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effective than carbon dioxide. But the
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difference is methane's fairly short lived in
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the atmosphere. Methane molecules on average
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will be removed from the atmosphere within
305
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400 years by interacting with oxygen.
306
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Carbon dioxide is only removed by life
307
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or by weathering. You know, if you get lots
308
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of rain on the continents, that breaks up the
309
00:11:33.770 --> 00:11:36.570
rocks, the rocks crumble down. Chemistry
310
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happens. Carbon dioxide can be pulled out
311
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into the rocks and locked up in the surface.
312
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They're the mechanisms that get rid of carbon
313
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dioxide and they're slower. So that's part of
314
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why carbon dioxide is a problem, because when
315
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we put it in the atmosphere, it's going to
316
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hang around for a good long time. But that
317
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hopefully kind of answers that question, that
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I am respectful of the fact that it's hard
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for people to comprehend how we
320
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can change the world's environment. Because
321
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you think of yourself and your friends and
322
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you think the Earth's so big and we're so
323
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small, how can we have that much of an
324
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effect? And it's hard to come to terms with
325
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just how many people there are and just how
326
00:12:09.939 --> 00:12:11.620
much stuff we're doing and pumping stuff into
327
00:12:11.620 --> 00:12:14.180
the atmosphere. Yeah, it's a bit
328
00:12:14.180 --> 00:12:17.100
misleading to say, you know, if you change to
329
00:12:17.100 --> 00:12:19.220
an EV rather than a petrol car, you'll save
330
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the world, but it'll contribute a little drop
331
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in the ocean towards lessening climate
332
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change potentially in the long term. And, um,
333
00:12:27.510 --> 00:12:29.030
that's kind of what people are looking at.
334
00:12:29.030 --> 00:12:31.590
But fundamentally, this is what's happening.
335
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It's very, very well established. Nothing
336
00:12:33.830 --> 00:12:36.350
astronomically can even come close to
337
00:12:36.350 --> 00:12:38.510
explaining what we're seeing. So when you
338
00:12:38.510 --> 00:12:40.190
rule out all the other options, the only
339
00:12:40.190 --> 00:12:41.870
thing that's left is human influence. And
340
00:12:41.870 --> 00:12:44.630
that's kind of sad, but shows what an
341
00:12:44.630 --> 00:12:46.230
effective species we are at changing our
342
00:12:46.230 --> 00:12:47.110
environment, you know?
343
00:12:47.420 --> 00:12:49.220
Andrew Dunkley: Well, hopefully we can be just as effective
344
00:12:49.220 --> 00:12:52.150
in finding a solution, but I think, uh,
345
00:12:52.150 --> 00:12:54.340
to do that, everybody has to be on the same
346
00:12:54.340 --> 00:12:56.020
page, and that's just not the case at the
347
00:12:56.020 --> 00:12:56.300
moment.
348
00:12:56.300 --> 00:12:57.660
Jonti Horner: I'm an optimist. I mean, there's.
349
00:12:59.500 --> 00:13:00.980
There's real challenges here. I remember
350
00:13:00.980 --> 00:13:03.140
there was an incredible article by a guy
351
00:13:03.140 --> 00:13:05.900
called Jeff Masters who used to run the
352
00:13:05.900 --> 00:13:07.700
Weather Underground site, used to write blogs
353
00:13:07.700 --> 00:13:10.380
there. Uh, yeah. Um, and he wrote about. I
354
00:13:10.380 --> 00:13:11.780
think it was book review, actually. But he
355
00:13:11.780 --> 00:13:13.500
wrote about something called Manufactured
356
00:13:13.500 --> 00:13:16.260
Doubt, which is a whole industry that has
357
00:13:16.260 --> 00:13:19.140
sprung up to sow confusion
358
00:13:19.140 --> 00:13:21.140
over something that should be settled science
359
00:13:21.220 --> 00:13:24.020
in order to allow business to operate without
360
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being restricted effectively. And, um, it
361
00:13:26.740 --> 00:13:29.740
first came about with smoking. So cigarette
362
00:13:29.740 --> 00:13:31.860
smoking. Tobacco smoking was known to be very
363
00:13:31.860 --> 00:13:34.380
harmful to people going back 100 years from
364
00:13:34.380 --> 00:13:36.420
now. But even when I was growing up in the
365
00:13:36.420 --> 00:13:38.980
1980s, he still had smoking in public places.
366
00:13:38.980 --> 00:13:40.460
You still had it everywhere. You still have
367
00:13:40.460 --> 00:13:42.580
adverts on TV and tobacco sponsorship.
368
00:13:43.350 --> 00:13:45.270
Because there'd been this very cleverly
369
00:13:45.270 --> 00:13:48.230
managed marketing strategy of casting doubt
370
00:13:48.230 --> 00:13:49.670
on the science and casting doubt on the
371
00:13:49.670 --> 00:13:51.910
scientists involved, effectively slandering
372
00:13:51.910 --> 00:13:53.990
them. And you have things like, you know, top
373
00:13:53.990 --> 00:13:55.630
sportsmen in the world, footballers and
374
00:13:55.630 --> 00:13:57.030
cricketers and things like this being
375
00:13:57.030 --> 00:13:59.710
sponsored by tobacco companies and smoking
376
00:13:59.710 --> 00:14:01.270
cigarettes and interviews and giving this
377
00:14:01.270 --> 00:14:03.310
impression. Can't be harmful, can it? I mean,
378
00:14:03.310 --> 00:14:05.190
look, here's one of the fittest athletes in
379
00:14:05.190 --> 00:14:06.830
the world and they smoke and that makes them
380
00:14:06.830 --> 00:14:08.470
a great athlete. You shouldn't see children.
381
00:14:09.350 --> 00:14:11.790
And what was interesting in this article from
382
00:14:11.790 --> 00:14:14.390
Jeff Masters, who's a very powerful advocate
383
00:14:14.390 --> 00:14:16.990
for knowledge, uh, about climate change, was
384
00:14:16.990 --> 00:14:18.910
that, uh, there is a lot of evidence that the
385
00:14:18.910 --> 00:14:20.950
companies that used to do that for tobacco
386
00:14:21.590 --> 00:14:24.310
through the 1980s were brought on board by
387
00:14:24.310 --> 00:14:27.070
the big oil companies to do the same kind of
388
00:14:27.070 --> 00:14:29.990
strategy. And it's been incredibly effective.
389
00:14:30.310 --> 00:14:33.270
And I think it's led to this wider thing of
390
00:14:34.480 --> 00:14:36.680
diminishing trust in science and greater
391
00:14:36.680 --> 00:14:38.280
doubt in it, which has led to the challenges
392
00:14:38.280 --> 00:14:40.320
we face now with things like vaccines, with,
393
00:14:40.640 --> 00:14:43.600
you know, flat earthing to some degree, with
394
00:14:43.760 --> 00:14:46.680
places where people are skeptical and
395
00:14:46.680 --> 00:14:48.360
don't trust scientists and don't trust
396
00:14:48.360 --> 00:14:49.720
science, even though science is so
397
00:14:49.720 --> 00:14:51.480
fundamental and foundational for our day to
398
00:14:51.480 --> 00:14:54.200
day lives. And it's really sad. But the flip
399
00:14:54.200 --> 00:14:56.880
side is we got cigarettes banned,
400
00:14:56.880 --> 00:14:59.360
people's health has improved. We, you know,
401
00:14:59.440 --> 00:15:01.360
no longer do you go to a pub and the walls
402
00:15:01.360 --> 00:15:03.200
are grimy and the windows are dark because of
403
00:15:03.200 --> 00:15:04.720
all the cigarette smoke. No longer do you get
404
00:15:04.720 --> 00:15:07.060
on a train and have to cough your way to your
405
00:15:07.060 --> 00:15:09.620
destination. Things have changed and I think
406
00:15:09.620 --> 00:15:11.140
we're starting to see the same change with
407
00:15:11.140 --> 00:15:13.340
climate change and, um, with the actions that
408
00:15:13.340 --> 00:15:15.340
we can take. And it's not happening out of
409
00:15:15.340 --> 00:15:16.620
the goodness of people's hearts. It's
410
00:15:16.620 --> 00:15:18.740
happening because commercially it's now
411
00:15:18.740 --> 00:15:21.100
becoming viable to make the changes. Yes,
412
00:15:21.420 --> 00:15:23.500
electric vehicles are a really good example.
413
00:15:24.220 --> 00:15:26.220
Back in the early 1900s you had electric
414
00:15:26.220 --> 00:15:28.140
vehicles, we had electric milk floats in the
415
00:15:28.140 --> 00:15:29.820
uk, but they were an oddity and there were
416
00:15:29.820 --> 00:15:32.180
specific use. But it's finally got to the
417
00:15:32.180 --> 00:15:33.780
point where those kind of vehicles can be
418
00:15:33.780 --> 00:15:36.680
competitive with combustion engine vehicles,
419
00:15:37.000 --> 00:15:38.800
can even possibly work out cheaper and more
420
00:15:38.800 --> 00:15:40.320
efficient and suddenly there's an incentive
421
00:15:40.320 --> 00:15:42.360
for people to get them, not because they're
422
00:15:42.360 --> 00:15:43.960
doing good for the planet, but because it's a
423
00:15:43.960 --> 00:15:45.440
better option for them. And that's the kind
424
00:15:45.440 --> 00:15:47.200
of change that hopefully is going to improve
425
00:15:47.200 --> 00:15:47.560
things.
426
00:15:47.800 --> 00:15:50.760
Andrew Dunkley: Yes, yes, I hope you're right. I
427
00:15:50.760 --> 00:15:53.200
suppose the other difficulty that comes into
428
00:15:53.200 --> 00:15:56.080
play with trying to change the minds of
429
00:15:56.080 --> 00:15:59.000
people and get the right thinking happening
430
00:15:59.480 --> 00:16:02.000
is social media, because there's so much
431
00:16:02.000 --> 00:16:04.920
scandal going through social media and as
432
00:16:04.920 --> 00:16:07.400
I mentioned, in the last program, um,
433
00:16:08.760 --> 00:16:11.480
we now have artificial intelligence, so
434
00:16:11.480 --> 00:16:13.640
you don't even know what you're looking at is
435
00:16:13.640 --> 00:16:14.480
real anymore.
436
00:16:14.480 --> 00:16:14.920
Speaker C: It's.
437
00:16:15.160 --> 00:16:18.160
Jonti Horner: Yeah, it's all saying that. And
438
00:16:18.160 --> 00:16:20.080
I know it from a Terry Pratchett. But like
439
00:16:20.080 --> 00:16:21.960
many things, Terry Pratchett, he was probably
440
00:16:22.440 --> 00:16:24.520
referencing people before. But this whole
441
00:16:24.520 --> 00:16:26.080
idea that a lie can run around the world
442
00:16:26.080 --> 00:16:28.440
before the truth can get its boots on, it's
443
00:16:28.440 --> 00:16:30.520
very easy to tell a convenient lie. And
444
00:16:30.520 --> 00:16:33.340
people are naturally biased as
445
00:16:33.340 --> 00:16:35.140
humans, with all the different cognitive
446
00:16:35.140 --> 00:16:37.340
biases we've got, there's a confirmation bias
447
00:16:37.340 --> 00:16:39.020
that you remember the things that fit in well
448
00:16:39.020 --> 00:16:41.260
with your lived experience and not the things
449
00:16:41.260 --> 00:16:43.580
that disagree with it. And, um, my lived
450
00:16:43.580 --> 00:16:45.220
experience is that I don't change the world
451
00:16:45.220 --> 00:16:47.060
when I go around. I'm not fundamentally
452
00:16:47.060 --> 00:16:48.700
altering the world around me, which I live
453
00:16:48.700 --> 00:16:50.780
in. So it's very easy when somebody says,
454
00:16:50.780 --> 00:16:53.620
we're not changing the world. Climate change
455
00:16:53.620 --> 00:16:55.380
can't be real, because how could you change
456
00:16:55.380 --> 00:16:57.380
the world for people to really empathize with
457
00:16:57.380 --> 00:16:59.700
that and fit in with it in just the same way
458
00:16:59.700 --> 00:17:02.020
that people who are getting vaccinated,
459
00:17:02.100 --> 00:17:04.100
they'll remember that their anti ulcer had a
460
00:17:04.100 --> 00:17:06.620
bad reaction to the vaccine, but they don't
461
00:17:06.620 --> 00:17:09.500
remember that many people who have had the
462
00:17:09.500 --> 00:17:11.220
vaccine and not had a reaction, but didn't
463
00:17:11.220 --> 00:17:12.860
die from the thing they were vaccinated
464
00:17:12.860 --> 00:17:15.100
against because they were vaccinated. So you
465
00:17:15.100 --> 00:17:17.060
get that confirmation bias that feels like it
466
00:17:17.060 --> 00:17:19.700
supports the idea that vaccines are bad
467
00:17:20.340 --> 00:17:22.380
when in fact they're not. And fundamentally,
468
00:17:22.380 --> 00:17:24.340
this is why as scientists, we use statistics
469
00:17:24.340 --> 00:17:26.880
for all these things. Lies down, blind
470
00:17:26.880 --> 00:17:29.560
statistics. We use statistics to try and
471
00:17:29.560 --> 00:17:31.760
avoid falling into the trap of our own biases
472
00:17:32.000 --> 00:17:33.600
because we think we've seen a pattern, but
473
00:17:33.600 --> 00:17:35.640
statistics will give us a hint as to whether
474
00:17:35.640 --> 00:17:36.720
it's really there or not.
475
00:17:37.600 --> 00:17:40.560
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. Gosh, we could talk forever on this.
476
00:17:41.120 --> 00:17:43.560
It's like opening that can of worms and just
477
00:17:43.560 --> 00:17:45.600
letting it spill out and everybody has a go.
478
00:17:45.950 --> 00:17:47.720
Uh, thank you, Peter. We're going to sort of
479
00:17:47.720 --> 00:17:50.690
continue on to this type of, um, angle, uh,
480
00:17:50.720 --> 00:17:52.400
with a, uh, question from Paul.
481
00:17:53.200 --> 00:17:55.400
Speaker C: G', day, Space nuts. Paul Feen from Sunny
482
00:17:55.400 --> 00:17:58.320
Bridges, Vegas here. Quick question. If
483
00:17:58.320 --> 00:18:01.280
our Earth were to suddenly or not suddenly
484
00:18:01.280 --> 00:18:04.000
become a snowball, as
485
00:18:04.560 --> 00:18:06.640
might have happened if our, uh, scientific
486
00:18:06.640 --> 00:18:09.000
theories are correct, you know, back in our
487
00:18:09.000 --> 00:18:11.800
deep, distant past, what effect
488
00:18:11.800 --> 00:18:14.320
would that have on oxygen levels in our
489
00:18:14.320 --> 00:18:17.120
atmosphere? Would they
490
00:18:17.120 --> 00:18:19.680
stay the same? Uh, would they drop? Because
491
00:18:19.760 --> 00:18:22.080
plants don't grow really well down in
492
00:18:22.080 --> 00:18:24.940
Antarctica. I'd be curious to
493
00:18:24.940 --> 00:18:27.180
know your thoughts on this. Also
494
00:18:27.740 --> 00:18:29.700
what kind of events would actually trigger
495
00:18:29.700 --> 00:18:32.540
that in the first place? Anyway, keep doing a
496
00:18:32.540 --> 00:18:34.300
great job. Whoever happens to be at helm of
497
00:18:34.300 --> 00:18:37.300
the good ship Space Huts, uh, big shout out
498
00:18:37.300 --> 00:18:40.260
to Heidi Campo. Wow, what a great job
499
00:18:40.260 --> 00:18:43.020
he did. Thank you. And Jonti, wherever you
500
00:18:43.020 --> 00:18:45.660
are, uh, would love to hear from you again if
501
00:18:45.660 --> 00:18:48.620
Fred goes off gallivanting over to, I don't
502
00:18:48.620 --> 00:18:51.190
know, Norway or somewhere like that to see
503
00:18:51.190 --> 00:18:53.550
the northern lights. Cheers.
504
00:18:54.350 --> 00:18:56.630
Andrew Dunkley: Thank you, Paul. Well, guess what, that's
505
00:18:56.630 --> 00:18:59.590
exactly what's happened. And uh, Jonti
506
00:18:59.590 --> 00:19:01.870
is with us because of Fred's gallivanting.
507
00:19:02.590 --> 00:19:05.590
So, um, yes, you get to answer Paul's
508
00:19:05.590 --> 00:19:07.550
question about snowball Earth. Uh, the effect
509
00:19:07.550 --> 00:19:10.230
on O2 levels and what sort of, uh, events
510
00:19:10.230 --> 00:19:11.150
would trigger it.
511
00:19:11.470 --> 00:19:13.230
Jonti Horner: That's great. And there's a lot to this and
512
00:19:13.230 --> 00:19:14.630
it's good to hear from a local. So, yeah,
513
00:19:14.630 --> 00:19:16.030
thank you. And hi from.
514
00:19:16.910 --> 00:19:17.910
Andrew Dunkley: You're just up the road.
515
00:19:17.910 --> 00:19:19.310
Jonti Horner: I'm just up the road. Only a couple of
516
00:19:19.310 --> 00:19:21.530
hundred Ks inland. So, yeah, good hear from a
517
00:19:21.530 --> 00:19:24.290
local. This is. This sent me down some
518
00:19:24.290 --> 00:19:25.930
rabbit holes actually. I was digging into
519
00:19:25.930 --> 00:19:27.610
this and it's fascinating. So I've never
520
00:19:27.610 --> 00:19:30.170
actually had that thought of how snowball
521
00:19:30.170 --> 00:19:32.250
Earth episodes could link to oxygen before.
522
00:19:32.490 --> 00:19:34.170
And it's a really, really, really good
523
00:19:34.170 --> 00:19:36.210
question. So almost answer these kind of
524
00:19:36.210 --> 00:19:38.010
things in a bit of reverse order.
525
00:19:39.050 --> 00:19:41.090
The idea is, for those who aren't familiar
526
00:19:41.090 --> 00:19:43.130
with it, that at a couple of occasions in the
527
00:19:43.130 --> 00:19:44.970
past, one a bit more than 2 billion years
528
00:19:44.970 --> 00:19:47.850
ago, 1, 600, 500 million years ago,
529
00:19:48.540 --> 00:19:50.860
the Earth's climate went across a tipping
530
00:19:50.860 --> 00:19:53.620
point and like the ice age began, but the
531
00:19:53.620 --> 00:19:55.820
glaciers just kept advancing and you ended up
532
00:19:55.820 --> 00:19:58.700
with pretty much the entire planet clad in
533
00:19:58.700 --> 00:20:01.620
ice. And conditions at the equator at
534
00:20:01.620 --> 00:20:03.140
that point could even have been colder than
535
00:20:03.140 --> 00:20:05.900
we see in Antarctica right now. So really
536
00:20:05.900 --> 00:20:08.340
kind of dramatic conditions. And that lasted
537
00:20:08.340 --> 00:20:10.660
for a few million, even tens of millions of
538
00:20:10.660 --> 00:20:13.580
years before that condition got broken.
539
00:20:14.180 --> 00:20:16.300
And it makes perfect sense now. The climate
540
00:20:16.300 --> 00:20:18.980
of the, uh, Earth is relatively stable at the
541
00:20:18.980 --> 00:20:20.780
minute. We've just talked about our impact on
542
00:20:20.780 --> 00:20:23.740
it. But, um, on geological timescales, our
543
00:20:23.740 --> 00:20:26.420
climate tends to sit around a fairly stable
544
00:20:26.420 --> 00:20:29.060
point. But what the snowball Earth idea
545
00:20:29.300 --> 00:20:32.140
is reminding us of is that you have a
546
00:20:32.140 --> 00:20:34.540
few possible stable scenarios for the Earth's
547
00:20:34.540 --> 00:20:37.500
climate, of which we are one, we're one,
548
00:20:37.500 --> 00:20:39.570
which is essentially the warm version. But
549
00:20:39.570 --> 00:20:41.370
equally, if you turn the Earth into a
550
00:20:41.370 --> 00:20:44.010
snowball, it will remain a snowball for a
551
00:20:44.010 --> 00:20:46.370
very long time. And uh, the reason for that
552
00:20:46.370 --> 00:20:47.970
is that, uh, if you make the Earth a
553
00:20:47.970 --> 00:20:49.890
snowball, it becomes incredibly More
554
00:20:49.890 --> 00:20:52.730
reflective. And so therefore it absorbs
555
00:20:52.730 --> 00:20:54.890
less energy and so it stays cold. You get
556
00:20:54.890 --> 00:20:56.650
this kind of feedback that keeps the Earth
557
00:20:56.650 --> 00:20:59.490
cold. And the idea is when you flip from one
558
00:20:59.490 --> 00:21:01.250
state to another, you can be locked in that
559
00:21:01.250 --> 00:21:02.770
new state for a very long time until
560
00:21:02.770 --> 00:21:05.530
something changes. Now what could cause
561
00:21:05.530 --> 00:21:08.150
that? One thing that could cause that is
562
00:21:09.110 --> 00:21:11.870
life on our planet. Removing carbon dioxide
563
00:21:11.870 --> 00:21:13.510
from the atmosphere and weathering on the
564
00:21:13.510 --> 00:21:15.350
continents. Removing carbon dioxide from the
565
00:21:15.350 --> 00:21:18.310
atmosphere at, ah, a rate that cools a planet
566
00:21:18.310 --> 00:21:20.230
quicker than the sun getting brighter, warms
567
00:21:20.230 --> 00:21:22.950
a planet. So the sun, when the Earth was very
568
00:21:22.950 --> 00:21:25.630
young, was probably about 30% dimmer. And the
569
00:21:25.630 --> 00:21:28.230
sun is thought to brighten by about 6 or
570
00:21:28.230 --> 00:21:31.070
7% every billion years. So it's 30%
571
00:21:31.070 --> 00:21:32.630
brighter now than it was when the Earth
572
00:21:32.630 --> 00:21:35.100
formed. So the question is, if the sun was so
573
00:21:35.100 --> 00:21:36.820
dim when the Earth was young, how were we
574
00:21:36.820 --> 00:21:38.860
warm enough to have liquid water? And the
575
00:21:38.860 --> 00:21:41.820
answer is, at that point we had a hugely rich
576
00:21:41.820 --> 00:21:43.940
atmosphere of greenhouse gases, things like
577
00:21:43.940 --> 00:21:46.780
carbon dioxide and methane and no oxygen. And
578
00:21:46.780 --> 00:21:48.660
so the atmosphere was very, very rich in
579
00:21:48.660 --> 00:21:50.860
things that would create a really thick doona
580
00:21:51.020 --> 00:21:53.260
and we were very, very pleasantly warm.
581
00:21:54.060 --> 00:21:56.740
Over time, the sun has got brighter, but
582
00:21:56.740 --> 00:21:58.900
life and weathering have removed the
583
00:21:58.900 --> 00:22:01.380
greenhouse gases from the atmosphere and
584
00:22:01.380 --> 00:22:03.540
averaged over the entire age of the Earth,
585
00:22:03.540 --> 00:22:05.540
those two things have roughly balanced out.
586
00:22:06.020 --> 00:22:08.220
And so we still have a temperate climate. Now
587
00:22:08.220 --> 00:22:09.940
if we had the atmosphere the Earth had when
588
00:22:09.940 --> 00:22:12.060
it was young, the Earth would be like Venus
589
00:22:12.060 --> 00:22:13.380
now. The oceans would have boiled and we
590
00:22:13.380 --> 00:22:15.460
wouldn't be having this conversation. Yeah,
591
00:22:16.020 --> 00:22:18.460
but the climate has kind of fortunately
592
00:22:18.460 --> 00:22:21.340
stayed for most of its time in the kind
593
00:22:21.340 --> 00:22:24.220
of warm, stable version. But there have
594
00:22:24.220 --> 00:22:26.340
been these two big occasions that have had
595
00:22:26.340 --> 00:22:29.220
the snowball Earth scenario. Now
596
00:22:29.300 --> 00:22:31.180
there's some debate over, uh, exactly what
597
00:22:31.180 --> 00:22:32.660
triggered that. And it's likely there were a
598
00:22:32.660 --> 00:22:35.260
few things. There was life and increased
599
00:22:35.260 --> 00:22:37.060
weathering, pulling carbon dioxide out of the
600
00:22:37.060 --> 00:22:38.780
atmosphere. So you weaken the greenhouse
601
00:22:38.780 --> 00:22:41.780
effect and cool the planet down. That is
602
00:22:41.780 --> 00:22:44.339
most likely. You also have a scenario,
603
00:22:44.339 --> 00:22:46.660
incidentally, where if you make the Earth
604
00:22:46.660 --> 00:22:49.500
more reflective around the equator, you lower
605
00:22:49.500 --> 00:22:51.020
the amount of heat that's absorbed by the
606
00:22:51.020 --> 00:22:52.540
Earth, increase the amount reflected and you
607
00:22:52.540 --> 00:22:54.720
cool the Earth as well. So what are the
608
00:22:54.720 --> 00:22:56.800
scenarios that's proposed to explain how we
609
00:22:56.800 --> 00:22:59.560
got into the snowball Earth periods? At first
610
00:22:59.880 --> 00:23:01.840
was that you got a period where you got one
611
00:23:01.840 --> 00:23:03.360
of these supercontinents where all the
612
00:23:03.360 --> 00:23:04.920
continental material on the Earth kind of
613
00:23:04.920 --> 00:23:07.360
smushed together, like we had with Pangea,
614
00:23:07.360 --> 00:23:09.120
like was proposed with Pangaea. Previous
615
00:23:09.120 --> 00:23:11.840
episode of that. We have most of the Earth's
616
00:23:11.840 --> 00:23:14.280
continents around the Earth's, uh, equator,
617
00:23:15.480 --> 00:23:17.600
continental material, rock and, um,
618
00:23:17.800 --> 00:23:19.600
vegetation and everything else is more
619
00:23:19.600 --> 00:23:21.950
reflective than water. And in fact, most of
620
00:23:21.950 --> 00:23:24.250
the energy coming into the Earth these, ah,
621
00:23:24.470 --> 00:23:26.350
days is absorbed by the water. The water is
622
00:23:26.350 --> 00:23:27.990
the main thing that locks in the heat and
623
00:23:27.990 --> 00:23:30.390
keeps us warm. And that, of course, is why
624
00:23:30.470 --> 00:23:32.150
Brisbane gets so warm and humid in the
625
00:23:32.150 --> 00:23:34.510
summers. It's why Western Europe is so
626
00:23:34.510 --> 00:23:36.950
pleasant in the winters compared to the
627
00:23:36.950 --> 00:23:39.150
middle of Canada. The water carries a lot of
628
00:23:39.150 --> 00:23:41.590
heat, holds onto it for a long, long time. So
629
00:23:41.590 --> 00:23:43.830
you have this speculative scenario where
630
00:23:44.710 --> 00:23:46.510
all the continents end up smushed up and near
631
00:23:46.510 --> 00:23:48.430
the Earth's equator. So the Earth's albedo
632
00:23:48.430 --> 00:23:50.800
gets more reflective, a higher
633
00:23:50.800 --> 00:23:53.040
albedo, so the Earth would naturally cool
634
00:23:53.040 --> 00:23:54.440
because it's absorbing less heat and
635
00:23:54.440 --> 00:23:57.000
reflecting more. Added to which, if you put
636
00:23:57.000 --> 00:23:58.880
the continents nearer the equator, you're in
637
00:23:58.880 --> 00:24:00.800
a location which gets much higher rainfall
638
00:24:00.800 --> 00:24:03.080
and much higher weather levels because the
639
00:24:03.080 --> 00:24:05.040
water at that latitude is hotter, so
640
00:24:05.040 --> 00:24:06.960
evaporates more. The atmosphere can hold more
641
00:24:06.960 --> 00:24:09.280
water, so you get more weathering, which
642
00:24:09.280 --> 00:24:11.200
drives more chemistry, which also acts to
643
00:24:11.200 --> 00:24:12.560
pull more carbon dioxide out of the
644
00:24:12.560 --> 00:24:14.880
atmosphere. And, um, that exacerbates this
645
00:24:14.880 --> 00:24:17.170
and we, you know, removes the greenhouse
646
00:24:17.170 --> 00:24:19.410
effect as well. So you've got more energy
647
00:24:19.410 --> 00:24:21.210
being reflected and less absorbed. So the
648
00:24:21.210 --> 00:24:23.530
Earth cools more carbon dioxide pulled out of
649
00:24:23.530 --> 00:24:25.170
the atmosphere, so the greenhouse effect
650
00:24:25.170 --> 00:24:28.170
weakens, so the Earth cools. That then
651
00:24:28.170 --> 00:24:30.290
causes the Earth to start entering ice ages
652
00:24:30.290 --> 00:24:32.690
where the water near the poles freezes and
653
00:24:32.690 --> 00:24:35.450
the ice expands towards the equator. That
654
00:24:35.450 --> 00:24:37.730
ice is more reflective than the water that it
655
00:24:37.730 --> 00:24:40.330
sits on is. So less energy is absorbed and
656
00:24:40.330 --> 00:24:42.130
more is reflected. And so the Earth cools.
657
00:24:42.130 --> 00:24:44.430
And so you get this feedback effect where the
658
00:24:44.430 --> 00:24:46.070
ice gradually reaches down towards the
659
00:24:46.070 --> 00:24:48.150
equator. And once you're in that scenario,
660
00:24:48.630 --> 00:24:50.670
you're in a position where even if you put
661
00:24:50.670 --> 00:24:52.030
all the carbon dioxide back in the
662
00:24:52.030 --> 00:24:54.550
atmosphere, the Earth is so reflective that
663
00:24:54.550 --> 00:24:57.390
it will stay cold. You're locked into this
664
00:24:57.390 --> 00:25:00.350
other stable state. However, longer
665
00:25:00.350 --> 00:25:02.030
term, what happens is that, uh, you've got
666
00:25:02.030 --> 00:25:04.230
the ice sheet now sat over all of the rocks.
667
00:25:04.710 --> 00:25:06.590
So you prevent the weathering that was
668
00:25:06.590 --> 00:25:08.550
removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
669
00:25:08.550 --> 00:25:11.280
You turn that off, you've still got things
670
00:25:11.280 --> 00:25:12.560
putting carbon dioxide back in the
671
00:25:12.560 --> 00:25:12.960
atmosphere.
672
00:25:12.960 --> 00:25:14.800
You've still got volcanoes erupting and all
673
00:25:14.800 --> 00:25:17.440
the sources of gases that were putting it
674
00:25:17.440 --> 00:25:18.800
back into the atmosphere and eventually
675
00:25:18.800 --> 00:25:20.800
return the weather, material, weather gases
676
00:25:20.800 --> 00:25:22.600
into the atmosphere. So you're in the
677
00:25:22.600 --> 00:25:24.400
snowball, uh, Earth setup. But gradually over
678
00:25:24.400 --> 00:25:26.760
time, then your greenhouse gas levels rise
679
00:25:26.760 --> 00:25:29.280
and rise and rise until eventually you start
680
00:25:29.280 --> 00:25:31.680
to melt the ice and you get this other
681
00:25:31.680 --> 00:25:34.360
tipping point where suddenly you're warm
682
00:25:34.360 --> 00:25:37.000
enough for the ice to melt and retreat, which
683
00:25:37.000 --> 00:25:39.680
means you expose more water, more water is
684
00:25:39.680 --> 00:25:42.080
exposed, which means more area to absorb the
685
00:25:42.080 --> 00:25:43.480
heat, which means the Earth will warm up
686
00:25:43.480 --> 00:25:45.600
more, which means more ice melts, and you go
687
00:25:45.600 --> 00:25:48.080
back to being this kind of warmer, uh, Earth.
688
00:25:49.200 --> 00:25:51.400
That brings with it, though, a time when
689
00:25:51.400 --> 00:25:53.280
you've had the continents crunched up under
690
00:25:53.280 --> 00:25:56.040
ice sheets, broken up into kind of gravelly
691
00:25:56.040 --> 00:25:58.120
small bits of debris. And then when you start
692
00:25:58.120 --> 00:26:00.480
raining on that again, you get a huge amount
693
00:26:00.480 --> 00:26:02.890
of weathering water washing out
694
00:26:03.210 --> 00:26:04.970
minerals and putting it into the ocean.
695
00:26:06.010 --> 00:26:07.930
And that means that suddenly all that life
696
00:26:07.930 --> 00:26:09.770
that has been starved through the snowball
697
00:26:09.770 --> 00:26:12.330
Earth epoch is suddenly going, hey, look, the
698
00:26:12.330 --> 00:26:13.810
Earth's nice and warm. It's a nice place to
699
00:26:13.810 --> 00:26:16.330
live again. Brilliant. And, oh, look, there's
700
00:26:16.330 --> 00:26:18.770
suddenly all this food in the oceans. And so
701
00:26:18.770 --> 00:26:20.970
the papers that I came across when I was
702
00:26:20.970 --> 00:26:22.930
looking into this as a result of Paul's
703
00:26:22.930 --> 00:26:25.890
question, it seems that after both of the big
704
00:26:25.890 --> 00:26:27.890
snowball Earth eras, there was a massive
705
00:26:27.890 --> 00:26:30.340
oxygenation event on Earth. So after the
706
00:26:30.340 --> 00:26:32.020
first one, you went from effectively no
707
00:26:32.020 --> 00:26:34.340
oxygen in Earth's atmosphere to Earth's
708
00:26:34.340 --> 00:26:35.700
atmosphere being about 2%
709
00:26:36.660 --> 00:26:38.860
oxygen, which is a big jump from nothing to
710
00:26:38.860 --> 00:26:40.660
2%. And, um, then
711
00:26:41.380 --> 00:26:43.860
6,500 million years ago,
712
00:26:44.180 --> 00:26:46.500
you had the end of the most recent snowball
713
00:26:46.500 --> 00:26:47.940
Earth thing, and you got another mass
714
00:26:47.940 --> 00:26:50.900
oxygenation event. Why suddenly you've
715
00:26:50.900 --> 00:26:52.460
got all this nutrient and all this stuff
716
00:26:52.460 --> 00:26:55.020
washing off into the oceans, prime conditions
717
00:26:55.020 --> 00:26:57.480
for things to grow and a huge amount of
718
00:26:57.480 --> 00:27:00.000
oxygen released. And, um, that is thought to
719
00:27:00.000 --> 00:27:01.640
have been what drove oxygen up to something
720
00:27:01.640 --> 00:27:04.280
comparable to its current levels relatively
721
00:27:04.280 --> 00:27:07.160
quickly. And that then led to there
722
00:27:07.160 --> 00:27:09.040
being sufficient free evidence for what's
723
00:27:09.040 --> 00:27:10.520
called, I think, the Cambrian explosion,
724
00:27:10.520 --> 00:27:13.200
where suddenly you've got an Earth that has
725
00:27:13.200 --> 00:27:16.080
all these different niches suddenly freed up
726
00:27:16.400 --> 00:27:18.400
and the source of ready oxygen, and
727
00:27:18.400 --> 00:27:20.920
everything goes crazy evolving to fill the
728
00:27:20.920 --> 00:27:23.700
available opportunities. And
729
00:27:23.700 --> 00:27:26.060
so all of that kind of gives you an idea how
730
00:27:26.060 --> 00:27:27.700
we think snowball Earth episodes could
731
00:27:27.700 --> 00:27:30.220
happen. And, um, what would happen to oxygen
732
00:27:30.220 --> 00:27:32.540
afterwards? Which seems to be the accepted
733
00:27:32.540 --> 00:27:34.500
scientific wisdom, that after a snowball
734
00:27:34.500 --> 00:27:36.660
Earth episode, when it ends, you can get the
735
00:27:36.660 --> 00:27:38.699
oxygen suddenly getting significantly more
736
00:27:38.699 --> 00:27:41.220
oxygen rich as life takes advantage of the
737
00:27:41.220 --> 00:27:43.900
new conditions. What would happen to
738
00:27:43.900 --> 00:27:45.820
oxygen now that there's a lot of it in the
739
00:27:45.820 --> 00:27:47.980
atmosphere during the snowball Earth period,
740
00:27:47.980 --> 00:27:50.840
I couldn't find any speculation on. So
741
00:27:50.840 --> 00:27:52.520
it's a really interesting question. Now, it
742
00:27:52.520 --> 00:27:54.080
doesn't mean there's no speculation out
743
00:27:54.080 --> 00:27:55.760
there. It just means that I couldn't find any
744
00:27:55.760 --> 00:27:58.720
of his. Big difference there. But
745
00:27:58.720 --> 00:28:00.200
there's a few things that are going on that I
746
00:28:00.200 --> 00:28:02.520
think could be interesting. Firstly, there's
747
00:28:02.520 --> 00:28:04.560
a huge amount of oxygen in the atmosphere. So
748
00:28:04.560 --> 00:28:07.240
even if you stop producing it and you manage
749
00:28:07.240 --> 00:28:09.680
to keep alive the things that use it, it will
750
00:28:09.680 --> 00:28:11.480
probably go down very slowly just because
751
00:28:11.480 --> 00:28:13.520
there's uh, so much of it. And if you were
752
00:28:13.520 --> 00:28:16.210
killing off a lot of life, then
753
00:28:16.290 --> 00:28:18.450
to be honest, there's not as much using it
754
00:28:18.450 --> 00:28:21.290
anyway. Volcanoes erupting, carbon
755
00:28:21.290 --> 00:28:23.610
dioxide and particularly methane that's been
756
00:28:23.610 --> 00:28:26.170
erupted and outgassed, um, particularly
757
00:28:26.170 --> 00:28:28.890
towards the end of the ice age kind of
758
00:28:28.890 --> 00:28:31.290
period, getting lots of methane released into
759
00:28:31.290 --> 00:28:33.090
the atmosphere would remove the oxygen as the
760
00:28:33.090 --> 00:28:34.810
methane and the oxygen interact with each
761
00:28:34.810 --> 00:28:37.010
other. And if that was happening quicker than
762
00:28:37.010 --> 00:28:38.690
life was putting new oxygen into the
763
00:28:38.690 --> 00:28:40.890
atmosphere, then you can imagine that leading
764
00:28:40.890 --> 00:28:42.890
to a bit of a dip in the amount of oxygen in
765
00:28:42.890 --> 00:28:45.650
the atmosphere at the time. But my
766
00:28:45.650 --> 00:28:47.730
guess would be that probably during the
767
00:28:47.730 --> 00:28:50.490
snowball Earth period, the oxygen levels
768
00:28:50.490 --> 00:28:52.170
wouldn't change all that much. You might be
769
00:28:52.170 --> 00:28:54.050
producing less oxygen, but you'd also be
770
00:28:54.050 --> 00:28:56.490
using less. So that will balance out. But
771
00:28:56.490 --> 00:28:59.090
what you would get over time is, particularly
772
00:28:59.090 --> 00:29:01.610
if you killed off a lot of life, you get this
773
00:29:01.610 --> 00:29:04.210
slow, steady increase in
774
00:29:04.210 --> 00:29:06.450
greenhouse gas levels because you're still
775
00:29:06.450 --> 00:29:07.930
pumping out the same amount in terms of
776
00:29:07.930 --> 00:29:10.170
volcanism, but you've removed the weathering
777
00:29:10.170 --> 00:29:12.810
that's taking it away again. And so that
778
00:29:12.810 --> 00:29:15.370
would lead to the greenhouse gas level rising
779
00:29:15.370 --> 00:29:17.970
slowly over time until it got to the point
780
00:29:17.970 --> 00:29:19.570
where it turned it back over the tipping
781
00:29:19.570 --> 00:29:21.730
point and allowed the Earth to warm up again.
782
00:29:21.730 --> 00:29:23.490
And that will probably then be a very bad
783
00:29:23.490 --> 00:29:25.010
thing because the sun is now much more
784
00:29:25.010 --> 00:29:26.810
luminous than it ever has been in the past.
785
00:29:27.450 --> 00:29:29.690
If you get a runaway greenhouse effect now,
786
00:29:30.170 --> 00:29:32.410
that's a lot more problematic than it was 500
787
00:29:32.410 --> 00:29:34.210
million years ago. And maybe that could lead
788
00:29:34.210 --> 00:29:37.210
to conditions where you don't hit our current
789
00:29:37.680 --> 00:29:39.800
stable level, but you go past that and you
790
00:29:39.800 --> 00:29:42.600
end up hurrying the end of the Earth, uh, as
791
00:29:42.600 --> 00:29:43.840
a habitable world, effectively.
792
00:29:44.080 --> 00:29:45.600
Andrew Dunkley: Oh, fun. Yeah.
793
00:29:45.680 --> 00:29:46.640
Jonti Horner: Careful path.
794
00:29:47.760 --> 00:29:48.720
Andrew Dunkley: I, uh, just did a.
795
00:29:50.880 --> 00:29:53.170
I'll get some negative press for this, but,
796
00:29:53.170 --> 00:29:55.520
uh, I just did a, um, put uh, a question into
797
00:29:55.520 --> 00:29:58.240
chat. GPT Would, uh, current
798
00:29:58.240 --> 00:30:00.400
oxygen levels on Earth reduce if Earth were
799
00:30:00.400 --> 00:30:02.560
to freeze over? And uh, it's come up with a
800
00:30:02.560 --> 00:30:05.010
few scenarios, but basically says most, he
801
00:30:05.010 --> 00:30:07.770
he. It says most oxygen on Earth comes from
802
00:30:07.770 --> 00:30:10.450
photosynthetic organisms, uh, mainly
803
00:30:10.450 --> 00:30:12.570
marine plankton and land plants. If Earth
804
00:30:12.570 --> 00:30:15.570
froze over ocean, uh, uh, surfaces would
805
00:30:15.570 --> 00:30:17.330
be sealed under thick ice, preventing
806
00:30:17.330 --> 00:30:19.370
sunlight from reaching most marine
807
00:30:19.370 --> 00:30:22.170
photosynthesizers. Land plants would die or
808
00:30:22.170 --> 00:30:24.250
go dormant due to cold or lack of liquid
809
00:30:24.250 --> 00:30:27.170
water. So oxygen production would drop
810
00:30:27.170 --> 00:30:27.850
dramatically.
811
00:30:28.490 --> 00:30:30.690
Jonti Horner: And that makes sense, but I'd argue that
812
00:30:30.690 --> 00:30:32.610
oxygen use will drop dramatically as well
813
00:30:32.610 --> 00:30:33.930
because you kill the things that are using
814
00:30:33.930 --> 00:30:36.250
the oxygen. Yes. The other thing that I've
815
00:30:36.250 --> 00:30:37.870
stumb across in my reading actually, and that
816
00:30:37.870 --> 00:30:40.510
just reminded me of was one of the things
817
00:30:40.510 --> 00:30:42.630
that tied into this idea of the snowball
818
00:30:42.630 --> 00:30:44.590
earth stuff was how on earth did life make it
819
00:30:44.590 --> 00:30:46.710
through. And um, one of the things that
820
00:30:46.710 --> 00:30:48.470
people's modeling found was that even though
821
00:30:48.470 --> 00:30:50.030
you'd get ice all the way down to the
822
00:30:50.030 --> 00:30:52.870
equator, the processes that happen
823
00:30:52.950 --> 00:30:54.910
at uh, the equator will probably prevent that
824
00:30:54.910 --> 00:30:56.950
ice being more than about 10 meters thick.
825
00:30:57.110 --> 00:30:58.790
And uh, studies have shown that enough light
826
00:30:58.790 --> 00:31:00.910
can make it through ice for photosynthesis to
827
00:31:00.910 --> 00:31:03.830
continue unless the ice is 20 meters thick
828
00:31:03.830 --> 00:31:06.260
or more. And so there'd likely be a band
829
00:31:06.260 --> 00:31:08.140
where you could continue photosynthesis under
830
00:31:08.140 --> 00:31:09.820
the ice because the ice is not thick enough
831
00:31:09.820 --> 00:31:12.060
to block all the sunlight. That seemed to be
832
00:31:12.060 --> 00:31:14.140
the argument. There was some discussions of
833
00:31:14.380 --> 00:31:16.340
where the pockets of life holding on through
834
00:31:16.340 --> 00:31:19.020
the hellish times would be and that was quite
835
00:31:19.020 --> 00:31:20.300
interesting. But like I said, I'm not a
836
00:31:20.300 --> 00:31:22.900
biologist, so uh, that is straining my
837
00:31:22.900 --> 00:31:24.740
expertise to look at exactly how life would
838
00:31:24.740 --> 00:31:25.900
adapt to those conditions.
839
00:31:26.620 --> 00:31:28.580
Andrew Dunkley: Indeed. All right, Paul, thanks for the
840
00:31:28.580 --> 00:31:30.980
question. Great one. And uh, there might be
841
00:31:30.980 --> 00:31:33.530
more to talk about that, uh, in regard to
842
00:31:33.530 --> 00:31:35.970
that down the track. This is Space Nuts with
843
00:31:35.970 --> 00:31:38.570
Andrew Dunkley and Jonti Horner.
844
00:31:41.450 --> 00:31:43.690
Speaker C: Three, two, one.
845
00:31:44.330 --> 00:31:45.530
Jonti Horner: Space Nuts.
846
00:31:45.770 --> 00:31:47.730
Andrew Dunkley: Now Jonti, uh, a couple of questions have
847
00:31:47.730 --> 00:31:50.090
come in about uh, objects or
848
00:31:50.330 --> 00:31:52.890
events that have happened in space.
849
00:31:53.340 --> 00:31:55.840
Uh, Casey has messaged, um,
850
00:31:56.290 --> 00:31:58.650
us. Hello again, this is Casey from Colorado.
851
00:31:58.650 --> 00:32:01.210
I recently read a little bit about the record
852
00:32:01.210 --> 00:32:03.705
breaking KM M32302
853
00:32:04.004 --> 00:32:06.790
213A. Please correct me
854
00:32:06.790 --> 00:32:09.670
if I'm wrong, but detecting a 220
855
00:32:10.150 --> 00:32:12.870
PETA electron volt neutrino
856
00:32:12.950 --> 00:32:15.270
is pretty crazy considering that
857
00:32:15.510 --> 00:32:18.030
that's like 30 times more energetic than the
858
00:32:18.030 --> 00:32:20.310
previous record holder. Uh, what could
859
00:32:20.310 --> 00:32:22.990
possibly be its source? Love the podcast and
860
00:32:22.990 --> 00:32:25.950
hope you're both well. Thanks from Casey in
861
00:32:25.950 --> 00:32:27.470
Colorado and she hopes you're well too,
862
00:32:27.470 --> 00:32:27.990
Jonti.
863
00:32:29.430 --> 00:32:29.910
Speaker C: Yes.
864
00:32:29.910 --> 00:32:31.630
Andrew Dunkley: Then again she might be talking about Fred
865
00:32:31.630 --> 00:32:32.710
and Heidi. I don't know.
866
00:32:36.090 --> 00:32:37.970
Jonti Horner: So this is a really interesting one. I must
867
00:32:37.970 --> 00:32:40.250
say that I hadn't seen this announcement and
868
00:32:40.490 --> 00:32:42.530
so this was a really interesting thing to
869
00:32:42.530 --> 00:32:44.970
read about. Um, this is a neutrino that
870
00:32:45.130 --> 00:32:47.690
according to the name was seen in 2023,
871
00:32:47.930 --> 00:32:50.610
on February 13th. And, um, it was
872
00:32:50.610 --> 00:32:53.450
detected by this huge array of
873
00:32:53.450 --> 00:32:55.330
detectors on the bottom of the Mediterranean
874
00:32:55.330 --> 00:32:58.050
Ocean, Mediterranean Sea, about 3 and a half
875
00:32:58.050 --> 00:33:00.530
kilometers below sea level, in the pitch
876
00:33:00.530 --> 00:33:02.730
black of the deep ocean, where they have all
877
00:33:02.730 --> 00:33:05.370
these detectors that have the job of
878
00:33:05.370 --> 00:33:07.570
detecting incredibly faint flashes of light
879
00:33:08.050 --> 00:33:10.930
that occur when cosmic rays or neutrinos
880
00:33:11.410 --> 00:33:14.410
collide with an atom in the ocean and cause
881
00:33:14.410 --> 00:33:16.970
a cascade of light as this whole collision
882
00:33:16.970 --> 00:33:19.530
chain of, uh, particles being formed and
883
00:33:19.530 --> 00:33:21.530
energy being released as the energy from
884
00:33:21.530 --> 00:33:24.170
those things is dumped into the ocean. And
885
00:33:24.170 --> 00:33:26.370
this occurred before they'd finished building
886
00:33:26.370 --> 00:33:28.170
and testing this array. So it was during the
887
00:33:28.170 --> 00:33:30.220
testing phase, and it is
888
00:33:30.860 --> 00:33:32.980
reliably says on all of these websites, by
889
00:33:32.980 --> 00:33:35.420
far the most energetic neutrino ever
890
00:33:35.420 --> 00:33:38.300
detected. And it is so energetic
891
00:33:38.780 --> 00:33:41.260
that there is no source within our galaxy
892
00:33:41.660 --> 00:33:44.380
that could generate a neutrino that energetic
893
00:33:44.380 --> 00:33:46.940
that we know of. And if it had been generated
894
00:33:46.940 --> 00:33:48.860
by something nearby, we'd have seen other
895
00:33:48.860 --> 00:33:50.740
things happening. You might have seen a very
896
00:33:50.740 --> 00:33:53.620
powerful gamma ray burst or something like
897
00:33:53.620 --> 00:33:56.590
that. And, uh, no counterpart was detected.
898
00:33:56.590 --> 00:33:58.470
There was nothing that happened at this time
899
00:33:59.190 --> 00:34:01.510
that synced up with when this happened. Now
900
00:34:01.590 --> 00:34:03.150
should be said that when I search for this,
901
00:34:03.150 --> 00:34:04.990
there's a nice little article describing it
902
00:34:04.990 --> 00:34:07.750
by the Astrobytes website, which is
903
00:34:07.750 --> 00:34:10.590
a website run by graduate students in
904
00:34:10.590 --> 00:34:13.510
astrophysics in the US that tries to be a
905
00:34:13.510 --> 00:34:16.270
literature review journal club for
906
00:34:16.270 --> 00:34:18.590
other graduate students and, um, to give
907
00:34:18.590 --> 00:34:20.550
students an opportunity to practice science
908
00:34:20.550 --> 00:34:22.070
writing about things out of their field. And
909
00:34:22.070 --> 00:34:23.850
there's a bit of a description of it. There's
910
00:34:24.250 --> 00:34:25.800
um, and that's a nice little website if
911
00:34:25.800 --> 00:34:27.520
you're interested in getting a little
912
00:34:27.520 --> 00:34:29.680
snapshot summary of research papers to try
913
00:34:29.680 --> 00:34:32.400
and do one a day. But I also stumbled
914
00:34:32.400 --> 00:34:34.960
across the official page for this event,
915
00:34:35.440 --> 00:34:37.520
which is published by the network
916
00:34:38.320 --> 00:34:40.720
that are running these detectors. And that's
917
00:34:40.720 --> 00:34:42.720
got a lovely little YouTube Music video right
918
00:34:42.720 --> 00:34:44.200
at the top that you can watch. It's about two
919
00:34:44.200 --> 00:34:46.320
and a half minutes long that describes this
920
00:34:46.320 --> 00:34:48.400
thing, how it's detected, and some of the
921
00:34:48.400 --> 00:34:50.480
possible suggestions for its formation. Now,
922
00:34:51.820 --> 00:34:54.780
going beyond that to what could have created
923
00:34:54.780 --> 00:34:57.700
it is really pushing beyond the bounds of my
924
00:34:57.700 --> 00:34:59.900
knowledge and expertise. So I'm afraid,
925
00:35:00.060 --> 00:35:01.700
Casey, you're going to have to accept a
926
00:35:01.700 --> 00:35:04.260
journeyman's explanation based on what I was
927
00:35:04.260 --> 00:35:07.180
able to read around about this, which digs
928
00:35:07.180 --> 00:35:08.820
into things that I honestly don't fully
929
00:35:08.820 --> 00:35:11.340
understand. But the argument is, because of
930
00:35:11.340 --> 00:35:13.540
the incredibly high energy of this thing, it
931
00:35:13.540 --> 00:35:15.940
couldn't have been generated locally. And
932
00:35:15.940 --> 00:35:18.550
that points to an origin in the very distant
933
00:35:18.550 --> 00:35:20.630
and therefore very early universe.
934
00:35:21.350 --> 00:35:24.270
Now, there's some theories that fall
935
00:35:24.270 --> 00:35:25.830
under the branch of what I think is called
936
00:35:25.830 --> 00:35:28.550
quantum field theory that talk
937
00:35:28.630 --> 00:35:31.430
about there being photon
938
00:35:31.430 --> 00:35:34.430
fields permeating space. And
939
00:35:34.430 --> 00:35:35.710
I don't fully understand what that is and
940
00:35:35.710 --> 00:35:38.710
what that means, in all honesty. But
941
00:35:38.710 --> 00:35:41.030
the idea seems to be here that you've got
942
00:35:41.030 --> 00:35:42.790
radiation from the cosmic microwave
943
00:35:42.790 --> 00:35:44.430
background, or from very early in the
944
00:35:44.430 --> 00:35:47.400
universe that includes incredibly high energy
945
00:35:47.720 --> 00:35:49.480
radiation at, uh, that time,
946
00:35:50.920 --> 00:35:52.720
because that's a heat from the big Bang. Now,
947
00:35:52.720 --> 00:35:54.680
nowadays we see that as a cosmic microwave
948
00:35:54.680 --> 00:35:56.760
background. It's very low energy levels
949
00:35:56.760 --> 00:35:59.200
because it's been redshifted. But at the
950
00:35:59.200 --> 00:36:01.039
time, the energy levels were incredibly,
951
00:36:01.039 --> 00:36:02.920
incredibly high. And that means that these
952
00:36:03.400 --> 00:36:05.930
photon fields, if you follow the, um,
953
00:36:05.960 --> 00:36:08.640
quantum field theory ideas, were incredibly
954
00:36:08.640 --> 00:36:11.320
intense. Now, one of the ways that you can
955
00:36:11.320 --> 00:36:13.960
produce neutrinos that is predicted by this
956
00:36:14.720 --> 00:36:16.400
predicts what are called cosmogenic
957
00:36:16.400 --> 00:36:19.160
neutrinos. Now, it should be said that
958
00:36:19.160 --> 00:36:21.040
none of these have ever been detected until
959
00:36:21.120 --> 00:36:23.600
potentially this one. But it's one of the
960
00:36:23.600 --> 00:36:26.000
predictions that quantum field theory makes
961
00:36:26.400 --> 00:36:28.320
is that you should see these cosmogenic
962
00:36:28.320 --> 00:36:31.120
neutrinos that are generated by
963
00:36:31.120 --> 00:36:33.640
cosmic radiation rather than a specific event
964
00:36:33.640 --> 00:36:35.920
like a gamma ray burst or a supernova or
965
00:36:35.920 --> 00:36:38.440
something like that. And the idea is that in
966
00:36:38.440 --> 00:36:39.920
the very early universe, you've got these
967
00:36:39.920 --> 00:36:42.680
incredibly high amounts of energy. And that
968
00:36:42.680 --> 00:36:45.240
means that these photon fields, I think
969
00:36:45.240 --> 00:36:47.600
they're called, can interact with
970
00:36:47.840 --> 00:36:50.360
particles of matter. And, um, when you get
971
00:36:50.360 --> 00:36:52.720
this interaction, that can lead to the
972
00:36:52.720 --> 00:36:54.400
production of an incredibly high energy
973
00:36:54.400 --> 00:36:57.320
neutrino. Now, the very high energy
974
00:36:57.320 --> 00:37:00.230
neutrino, as we know, neutrinos, are,
975
00:37:00.230 --> 00:37:03.120
uh, about the weakest interacting things we
976
00:37:03.120 --> 00:37:06.040
know of. So once you produce a very high
977
00:37:06.040 --> 00:37:08.440
energy neutrino that can pass across the
978
00:37:08.440 --> 00:37:10.520
entire universe without interacting with
979
00:37:10.520 --> 00:37:12.620
anything, we've got millions of these things
980
00:37:12.620 --> 00:37:14.220
passing through our bodies as we speak, and
981
00:37:14.220 --> 00:37:16.300
we just don't feel them. Which incidentally,
982
00:37:16.300 --> 00:37:17.900
is why to detect them, you want to be at the
983
00:37:17.900 --> 00:37:19.980
bottom of the ocean or in a huge volume of
984
00:37:19.980 --> 00:37:22.300
water so that you maximize the number of
985
00:37:22.300 --> 00:37:24.540
atoms available for one of these to by chance
986
00:37:24.540 --> 00:37:26.300
collide with and give you the light show.
987
00:37:26.940 --> 00:37:28.740
Because you need a huge volume of water to
988
00:37:28.740 --> 00:37:30.660
get even one neutrino to hit something and
989
00:37:30.660 --> 00:37:32.020
give you a show, because they're that weakly
990
00:37:32.020 --> 00:37:32.620
interacting.
991
00:37:32.700 --> 00:37:33.180
Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.
992
00:37:33.260 --> 00:37:35.500
Jonti Horner: Once you produce these cosmogenic neutrinos,
993
00:37:35.500 --> 00:37:37.180
they then carry on through the universe
994
00:37:37.180 --> 00:37:39.760
forevermore at ridiculously high energies.
995
00:37:40.400 --> 00:37:42.680
Now, the bit I quite honestly don't
996
00:37:42.680 --> 00:37:44.120
understand with this, and none of the things
997
00:37:44.120 --> 00:37:46.920
I've read have been able to explain to me is
998
00:37:46.920 --> 00:37:49.840
the fact that uh, if this thing was
999
00:37:49.840 --> 00:37:52.480
created with the cosmic microwave
1000
00:37:52.480 --> 00:37:55.040
background, I would have thought it should be
1001
00:37:55.360 --> 00:37:57.600
redshifted by the expansion of the universe
1002
00:37:58.000 --> 00:38:00.860
in the same way that photons are uh,
1003
00:38:00.960 --> 00:38:03.400
the light we see it. And doing a bit of
1004
00:38:03.400 --> 00:38:05.200
reading around it does seem that neutrinos
1005
00:38:05.200 --> 00:38:07.440
can be gravitationally redshifted. So if you
1006
00:38:07.440 --> 00:38:09.200
get a neutrino produced at the surface of a
1007
00:38:09.200 --> 00:38:12.140
neutron star, that is one energy, by the
1008
00:38:12.140 --> 00:38:13.900
time it escapes from the neutron star's
1009
00:38:13.900 --> 00:38:15.340
gravity, it's lost energy and it's
1010
00:38:15.340 --> 00:38:18.180
effectively redshifted. What I haven't been
1011
00:38:18.180 --> 00:38:19.500
able to find out though is whether the
1012
00:38:19.500 --> 00:38:22.420
expansion of the universe would redshift
1013
00:38:22.420 --> 00:38:25.380
neutrinos and therefore lower their energy.
1014
00:38:26.420 --> 00:38:29.140
Now if the expansion of the
1015
00:38:29.140 --> 00:38:31.100
universe doesn't lower the energies then this
1016
00:38:31.100 --> 00:38:32.980
makes perfect sense. You know, you've got
1017
00:38:32.980 --> 00:38:34.900
this incredibly high energy neutrino that's
1018
00:38:34.900 --> 00:38:36.700
tied to how high the energies were when the
1019
00:38:36.700 --> 00:38:39.140
universe was young and it's only just reached
1020
00:38:39.140 --> 00:38:42.060
us now. If they are redshifted then
1021
00:38:42.060 --> 00:38:44.300
that makes this even more head scratchingly
1022
00:38:44.300 --> 00:38:46.580
awesome because if it has been
1023
00:38:46.580 --> 00:38:48.740
redshifted and its energy dropped by an
1024
00:38:48.740 --> 00:38:51.580
incredible amount and it's still 220peta
1025
00:38:51.580 --> 00:38:54.020
electron volts, what was its energy when it
1026
00:38:54.020 --> 00:38:56.500
was formed? And I just don't fully understand
1027
00:38:56.500 --> 00:38:58.820
that. So my knowledge is limited of this.
1028
00:38:59.540 --> 00:39:01.300
I've done my best to read around it and get
1029
00:39:01.300 --> 00:39:02.940
an understanding of what they think is going
1030
00:39:02.940 --> 00:39:05.820
on. But I guess what
1031
00:39:05.820 --> 00:39:08.140
comes out of this for me a, it's just a very
1032
00:39:08.140 --> 00:39:11.060
cool detection. But if you want to push
1033
00:39:11.060 --> 00:39:12.620
the boundaries of what we know and build
1034
00:39:12.620 --> 00:39:15.300
theories of how the universe works, our
1035
00:39:15.300 --> 00:39:17.900
theories will eventually go
1036
00:39:17.900 --> 00:39:20.020
beyond our level to observe the things that
1037
00:39:20.020 --> 00:39:22.940
they predict. A good example of this I always
1038
00:39:22.940 --> 00:39:24.980
go back to because it's my own wheelhouse, is
1039
00:39:24.980 --> 00:39:27.620
Newton's theories of gravitation which he
1040
00:39:27.620 --> 00:39:30.260
published in like in Principia Mathematica in
1041
00:39:30.260 --> 00:39:33.240
1680, 1682. Around then, um, and that
1042
00:39:33.240 --> 00:39:35.240
gave us mathematical tools that allowed us to
1043
00:39:35.240 --> 00:39:37.480
work how things moved in gravitational
1044
00:39:37.480 --> 00:39:39.560
fields, allowed us to work out orbits and
1045
00:39:39.560 --> 00:39:40.960
predict things in the future. And that's been
1046
00:39:40.960 --> 00:39:43.160
incredibly powerful. By the
1047
00:39:43.160 --> 00:39:46.080
1800s observations were
1048
00:39:46.080 --> 00:39:48.440
starting to show that the orbit of Mercury
1049
00:39:48.840 --> 00:39:51.280
was behaving slightly different to how
1050
00:39:51.280 --> 00:39:53.560
Newton's gravitation will predict it would
1051
00:39:53.560 --> 00:39:56.520
work. That effectively led to the precession
1052
00:39:56.520 --> 00:39:58.600
of Mercury's orbit, the wobble of the orbit
1053
00:39:59.090 --> 00:40:00.880
wobbling at a slightly different rate. And
1054
00:40:00.880 --> 00:40:02.410
uh, nobody could explain that. It led to
1055
00:40:02.410 --> 00:40:04.050
people speculating that maybe there's an
1056
00:40:04.050 --> 00:40:06.370
unseen planet closer to the sun than Mercury.
1057
00:40:06.690 --> 00:40:09.130
Because we'd seen for the planet Uranus that
1058
00:40:09.130 --> 00:40:10.730
an unseen planet pulling it around could
1059
00:40:10.730 --> 00:40:12.890
change its orbit. And that was Neptune. But
1060
00:40:12.890 --> 00:40:14.610
that didn't work. We never found anything.
1061
00:40:14.610 --> 00:40:17.170
And it wasn't until Einstein came up with the
1062
00:40:17.170 --> 00:40:20.010
general theory of relativity that, as a
1063
00:40:20.010 --> 00:40:22.370
byproduct of that, his method for
1064
00:40:22.530 --> 00:40:25.040
understanding how gravity works accurately
1065
00:40:25.040 --> 00:40:26.920
Models the precession of Mercury's orbit With
1066
00:40:26.920 --> 00:40:29.640
incredible precision. So when Newton came up
1067
00:40:29.640 --> 00:40:32.480
with his ideas, the predictions you
1068
00:40:32.480 --> 00:40:35.080
would make with Newton's gravity Were so
1069
00:40:35.080 --> 00:40:37.760
accurate that it was only 150 years or so
1070
00:40:37.760 --> 00:40:39.760
before our observations got good enough to
1071
00:40:39.760 --> 00:40:41.760
show that Newton's theories were wrong. They
1072
00:40:41.760 --> 00:40:44.200
disproved those theories, but we still use
1073
00:40:44.200 --> 00:40:46.560
them because they are so accurate. They're
1074
00:40:46.560 --> 00:40:48.640
slightly off, but they're so accurate and
1075
00:40:48.640 --> 00:40:50.720
easy to use that they're easier for me to use
1076
00:40:50.720 --> 00:40:53.690
in my modeling than general relativity, when
1077
00:40:53.690 --> 00:40:55.730
the uncertainties in the things I model are
1078
00:40:55.730 --> 00:40:57.250
so great that the difference between those
1079
00:40:57.250 --> 00:40:59.370
two is lost in the noise. So it's just easier
1080
00:40:59.370 --> 00:41:01.650
for me to use Newton's laws. But it's a
1081
00:41:01.650 --> 00:41:03.930
really good example of how theory makes
1082
00:41:03.930 --> 00:41:05.850
predictions that are verified for a very long
1083
00:41:05.850 --> 00:41:08.050
time. But eventually you get to the point
1084
00:41:08.050 --> 00:41:10.930
where you go beyond what theory explains,
1085
00:41:11.010 --> 00:41:13.370
and that leads to new theories. And in this
1086
00:41:13.370 --> 00:41:14.890
case, it's a case where there are these set
1087
00:41:14.890 --> 00:41:17.250
of theories that, uh, are very much at the
1088
00:41:17.250 --> 00:41:19.490
cutting edge of science, where the
1089
00:41:19.490 --> 00:41:21.650
predictions that they make are predictions of
1090
00:41:21.650 --> 00:41:24.130
things we have not yet seen. Because it's
1091
00:41:24.130 --> 00:41:25.730
fairly pointless to only predict the things
1092
00:41:25.730 --> 00:41:27.810
we have seen and not go beyond that. So they
1093
00:41:27.810 --> 00:41:30.530
predict things we haven't yet seen. One of
1094
00:41:30.530 --> 00:41:32.810
those things is the existence of cosmogenic
1095
00:41:32.810 --> 00:41:35.410
neutrinos. And, um, it may well be that this
1096
00:41:35.410 --> 00:41:37.250
is the first detection of a cosmogenic
1097
00:41:37.250 --> 00:41:39.930
neutrino, which then adds credence to the
1098
00:41:39.930 --> 00:41:42.010
idea that these quantum field theories work
1099
00:41:42.010 --> 00:41:44.130
and make sense. So it's that interplay
1100
00:41:44.130 --> 00:41:46.610
between theory and observation, an experiment
1101
00:41:46.610 --> 00:41:49.150
that I think is really interesting, Even if,
1102
00:41:49.150 --> 00:41:51.070
to be honest, I really don't understand it.
1103
00:41:51.470 --> 00:41:54.270
Andrew Dunkley: And what, uh, Jonti is saying, Casey, is that
1104
00:41:54.270 --> 00:41:56.750
it'll be 150 years before someone comes up
1105
00:41:56.750 --> 00:41:59.550
with a model that actually explains it.
1106
00:42:00.030 --> 00:42:01.950
Possibly it could happen that way. You never
1107
00:42:01.950 --> 00:42:04.790
know. Uh, and thanks for the question. Casey
1108
00:42:04.790 --> 00:42:07.590
and I assumed female, but, um, looking at the
1109
00:42:07.590 --> 00:42:10.390
spelling of Casey could be male. Apologies if
1110
00:42:10.390 --> 00:42:11.710
I got that the wrong way around.
1111
00:42:14.440 --> 00:42:17.240
Jonti Horner: Roger, your lots are here. Also space nuts.
1112
00:42:17.400 --> 00:42:20.320
Andrew Dunkley: Our final question today comes from young
1113
00:42:20.320 --> 00:42:21.000
Henrik.
1114
00:42:21.400 --> 00:42:24.360
Jonti Horner: Hello, It's Henrique from Portugal again.
1115
00:42:25.560 --> 00:42:28.440
This time I'd like to ask about the
1116
00:42:28.440 --> 00:42:30.340
object NWC, uh,
1117
00:42:31.240 --> 00:42:34.200
349A. What makes it so
1118
00:42:34.200 --> 00:42:36.360
extreme? How does it emit
1119
00:42:36.600 --> 00:42:39.480
lasers and lasers. Can you
1120
00:42:39.480 --> 00:42:42.090
explain to my dad what's masers are?
1121
00:42:42.330 --> 00:42:43.450
Thank you. Bye.
1122
00:42:44.010 --> 00:42:45.850
Andrew Dunkley: Thank you. Henrik. Uh, yes,
1123
00:42:45.850 --> 00:42:48.850
MWC349A.A for Apple
1124
00:42:48.850 --> 00:42:51.130
M, not eight. That's what I thought he said.
1125
00:42:51.130 --> 00:42:53.770
But um, yeah, this is ah, this is a,
1126
00:42:54.890 --> 00:42:57.730
a mysterious emission line star and
1127
00:42:57.730 --> 00:42:59.930
radio bright object in the constellation of
1128
00:42:59.930 --> 00:43:00.570
Cygnus.
1129
00:43:00.810 --> 00:43:01.370
Jonti Horner: Yes.
1130
00:43:01.690 --> 00:43:04.570
Andrew Dunkley: And it's um, it's, it's suffered an intensive
1131
00:43:05.370 --> 00:43:06.330
mass loss.
1132
00:43:06.970 --> 00:43:09.850
Jonti Horner: Yeah, it's a really interesting object. Now I
1133
00:43:09.930 --> 00:43:11.770
wasn't familiar with this object before the
1134
00:43:11.770 --> 00:43:13.490
question came in and it's probably something
1135
00:43:13.490 --> 00:43:15.970
that when I was Henrik's age, I'd have heard
1136
00:43:15.970 --> 00:43:17.930
of and come across and would have really
1137
00:43:17.930 --> 00:43:19.610
found fascinating, just like Henrik does.
1138
00:43:19.610 --> 00:43:22.370
It's fabulous question as best we
1139
00:43:22.370 --> 00:43:24.210
understand that this is something that is a
1140
00:43:24.210 --> 00:43:26.730
very luminous, very bright star,
1141
00:43:27.690 --> 00:43:30.250
much younger than the Sun. It's probably at
1142
00:43:30.250 --> 00:43:32.250
most 5 million years old. But it could either
1143
00:43:32.250 --> 00:43:34.800
be a baby star that's still forming
1144
00:43:34.960 --> 00:43:36.960
or a very massive star that's just coming to
1145
00:43:36.960 --> 00:43:38.640
the end of its life, even though it's only 5
1146
00:43:38.640 --> 00:43:40.120
million years old. And there's been a lot of
1147
00:43:40.120 --> 00:43:42.880
debate of that over the years. It
1148
00:43:42.880 --> 00:43:45.480
is famous and it's prominent because it's one
1149
00:43:45.480 --> 00:43:48.120
of the most bright things in the sky at uh,
1150
00:43:48.120 --> 00:43:50.880
millimeter and radio wavelengths. It's very,
1151
00:43:50.880 --> 00:43:52.680
very bright, very obviously visible, even
1152
00:43:52.680 --> 00:43:54.640
though it's way too faint to see with the
1153
00:43:54.640 --> 00:43:57.360
naked eye. Part of the reason it's too faint
1154
00:43:57.360 --> 00:43:58.760
to see with the naked eye though, is that
1155
00:43:58.760 --> 00:44:00.640
there's a lot of dust and gas around both
1156
00:44:01.060 --> 00:44:03.380
where the object is. We found that it's got a
1157
00:44:04.100 --> 00:44:06.380
disk of dust and gas around it. Let's edge
1158
00:44:06.380 --> 00:44:08.100
onto us and is blocking some of the light.
1159
00:44:08.420 --> 00:44:10.420
Plus it's in the spiral arm of the Milky Way,
1160
00:44:10.420 --> 00:44:12.420
so there's a lot of dust and gas between us.
1161
00:44:12.740 --> 00:44:14.540
So this thing has an apparent magnitude of
1162
00:44:14.540 --> 00:44:17.099
about 13, but there are about 10
1163
00:44:17.099 --> 00:44:19.140
magnitudes of extinction along the line of
1164
00:44:19.140 --> 00:44:21.020
sight between us and it, which means that for
1165
00:44:21.020 --> 00:44:23.620
every 10,000 photons it emits, only one
1166
00:44:23.620 --> 00:44:25.900
reaches us. In other words, if you could
1167
00:44:25.900 --> 00:44:28.040
clear all the dust and gas out, this will be
1168
00:44:28.040 --> 00:44:29.960
a third magnitude star and easy to see with a
1169
00:44:29.960 --> 00:44:30.640
naked eye.
1170
00:44:30.640 --> 00:44:31.000
Andrew Dunkley: Right.
1171
00:44:31.000 --> 00:44:33.160
Jonti Horner: So that's intrinsically how luminous it is.
1172
00:44:33.160 --> 00:44:35.960
It's thought to be about 1300 parsecs away.
1173
00:44:35.960 --> 00:44:38.920
So that's 39004000 light years. So
1174
00:44:38.920 --> 00:44:41.120
the light we receive from it we're seeing it
1175
00:44:41.120 --> 00:44:43.040
how it was 4,000 years ago when that light
1176
00:44:43.040 --> 00:44:45.920
was emitted. And because it's so
1177
00:44:45.920 --> 00:44:48.640
luminous in radio wavelengths, it's been
1178
00:44:48.640 --> 00:44:51.120
fairly well studied. And in particular, it
1179
00:44:51.120 --> 00:44:53.600
gives off a lot of energy at, uh, wavelengths
1180
00:44:53.600 --> 00:44:56.220
linked to molecular hydrogen. And it's known
1181
00:44:56.220 --> 00:44:59.100
as one of the few hydrogen masers that we see
1182
00:44:59.100 --> 00:45:01.260
in the sky. Which leads to Henrik's question
1183
00:45:01.260 --> 00:45:04.060
about what is a maser? The very
1184
00:45:04.060 --> 00:45:05.980
simple answer to that, which doesn't tell you
1185
00:45:05.980 --> 00:45:08.980
anything, is that a maser is a laser,
1186
00:45:08.980 --> 00:45:10.940
but happening at millimeter wavelengths. So
1187
00:45:10.940 --> 00:45:13.940
in the infrared, on radio. But it's the
1188
00:45:13.940 --> 00:45:15.940
same physical process. And in fact, masers
1189
00:45:15.940 --> 00:45:17.980
were what we developed before we could do
1190
00:45:17.980 --> 00:45:20.060
lasers, because lasers are the same
1191
00:45:20.060 --> 00:45:22.020
phenomenon happening at visible wavelengths
1192
00:45:22.020 --> 00:45:24.780
in the optical. That is a very accurate
1193
00:45:24.780 --> 00:45:26.260
description that tells you actually nothing
1194
00:45:26.260 --> 00:45:28.380
about what's going on. And I dug into this a
1195
00:45:28.380 --> 00:45:30.740
bit because like a lot of people, I use
1196
00:45:30.740 --> 00:45:32.780
lasers and think about them, but never really
1197
00:45:33.020 --> 00:45:35.820
remind myself how they work. Laser
1198
00:45:35.820 --> 00:45:38.620
stands for light activated.
1199
00:45:39.810 --> 00:45:42.140
Um, Simulated Emission of radiation.
1200
00:45:42.540 --> 00:45:44.740
Sorry, Light Amplification by Simulated
1201
00:45:44.740 --> 00:45:46.740
Emission of radiation. It's an acronym. And
1202
00:45:46.740 --> 00:45:49.420
MESA stands for Microwave Amplification by
1203
00:45:49.620 --> 00:45:51.860
Stimulated Emission of Radiation. So it's the
1204
00:45:51.860 --> 00:45:53.500
same process just happening at longer
1205
00:45:53.500 --> 00:45:56.500
wavelengths. What's happening effectively is
1206
00:45:56.500 --> 00:45:58.980
that when atoms are
1207
00:45:59.140 --> 00:46:01.860
excited, when energy is pumped into atoms
1208
00:46:02.100 --> 00:46:04.540
and that energy is absorbed by them, it makes
1209
00:46:04.540 --> 00:46:06.620
the electrons in those atoms jump from one
1210
00:46:06.620 --> 00:46:09.300
level to a higher energy level. And they are
1211
00:46:09.300 --> 00:46:12.180
very specific jumps in energy. It can only
1212
00:46:12.180 --> 00:46:14.220
jump by a certain amount. It can't miss a
1213
00:46:14.220 --> 00:46:16.770
gap. It's got to get exactly the right jump
1214
00:46:16.770 --> 00:46:19.570
to jump from one level to the next. So those
1215
00:46:19.570 --> 00:46:21.650
energy levels have very specific wavelengths
1216
00:46:21.650 --> 00:46:22.810
and we actually calculate them at
1217
00:46:22.810 --> 00:46:24.650
universities, part of our undergrad quantum
1218
00:46:24.650 --> 00:46:26.610
mechanics courses and things like this. It's
1219
00:46:26.610 --> 00:46:28.050
one of the tasks you have is work out the
1220
00:46:28.050 --> 00:46:30.530
energy levels of a hydrogen atom and
1221
00:46:30.930 --> 00:46:33.370
they are quantized such that, uh, when you're
1222
00:46:33.370 --> 00:46:35.130
at an energy level, if you want to jump down
1223
00:46:35.130 --> 00:46:36.730
to another one, you can only do that by
1224
00:46:36.730 --> 00:46:39.370
emitting a single photon. You can't emit
1225
00:46:39.370 --> 00:46:41.210
multiple photons that add up to that level.
1226
00:46:41.210 --> 00:46:43.850
You can only emit one photon. And you have to
1227
00:46:43.850 --> 00:46:46.850
hit the right energy level to get the gap.
1228
00:46:47.090 --> 00:46:49.850
And so that's why excited hydrogen glows at
1229
00:46:49.850 --> 00:46:52.730
very specific colors. So the photo behind me,
1230
00:46:52.730 --> 00:46:54.210
which won't be visible if you're listening to
1231
00:46:54.210 --> 00:46:56.050
this as a podcast, but the photo behind me
1232
00:46:56.050 --> 00:46:58.929
shows the Helix Nebula, which is a star
1233
00:46:58.929 --> 00:47:01.460
forming, sorry, the Trifid Nebula, which, uh,
1234
00:47:01.690 --> 00:47:03.290
is a star forming region in the middle of
1235
00:47:03.290 --> 00:47:05.930
It's a very distinctive pink color. And that
1236
00:47:05.930 --> 00:47:08.460
pink color is hydrogen alpha emission, which,
1237
00:47:08.530 --> 00:47:10.570
which is hydrogen atoms jumping from the
1238
00:47:10.570 --> 00:47:13.050
third energy level to the second, emitting
1239
00:47:13.050 --> 00:47:15.130
light, and all emitting light of exactly the
1240
00:47:15.130 --> 00:47:17.610
same color. So that's known as
1241
00:47:17.610 --> 00:47:20.450
spontaneous emission. That's where the atom
1242
00:47:20.450 --> 00:47:22.290
sheds its energy by emitting light of a
1243
00:47:22.290 --> 00:47:25.250
certain color. Simulated emission is where
1244
00:47:25.250 --> 00:47:27.570
something happens to trigger that emission,
1245
00:47:28.450 --> 00:47:30.930
specifically at a specific time. So you've
1246
00:47:30.930 --> 00:47:33.650
got an atom, um, that is excited, is sat at a
1247
00:47:33.650 --> 00:47:35.750
higher energy level, and something gives it a
1248
00:47:35.750 --> 00:47:38.430
nudge and causes it to emit energy. And the
1249
00:47:38.430 --> 00:47:40.430
way that that works is that it absorbs a
1250
00:47:40.430 --> 00:47:42.950
photon of the same energy of the energy level
1251
00:47:42.950 --> 00:47:45.190
difference that it was going to emit anyway,
1252
00:47:45.270 --> 00:47:47.390
and then immediately emits two photons of
1253
00:47:47.390 --> 00:47:49.830
that energy. So you get one photon in and two
1254
00:47:49.830 --> 00:47:52.670
photons out. Two photons out can hit two
1255
00:47:52.670 --> 00:47:54.790
atoms and trigger them to emit, which means
1256
00:47:54.790 --> 00:47:56.510
you get four photons out and so on. So you
1257
00:47:56.510 --> 00:47:59.350
can get this cascade. So what makes it work
1258
00:47:59.350 --> 00:48:01.630
is that there are many ways of exciting the
1259
00:48:01.630 --> 00:48:03.470
atoms in the first place. They don't have to
1260
00:48:03.470 --> 00:48:05.870
just absorb photons. They can be excited
1261
00:48:05.870 --> 00:48:07.690
through magnet magnetic fields, uh, or all
1262
00:48:07.690 --> 00:48:10.090
sorts of different things going on. And so a
1263
00:48:10.090 --> 00:48:12.930
maser is effectively somewhere where
1264
00:48:13.090 --> 00:48:15.890
emission is being stimulated by
1265
00:48:15.890 --> 00:48:18.490
incoming photons of a given wavelength, which
1266
00:48:18.490 --> 00:48:20.890
results in more photons being emitted of that
1267
00:48:20.890 --> 00:48:23.210
wavelength than are coming in. And so you get
1268
00:48:23.210 --> 00:48:26.010
this amplification effect. So in this
1269
00:48:26.010 --> 00:48:27.970
case, this being a hydrogen maser means that
1270
00:48:27.970 --> 00:48:30.410
you've got a lot of hydrogen gas there. That
1271
00:48:30.410 --> 00:48:32.890
hydrogen gas is being irradiated by emission
1272
00:48:32.890 --> 00:48:34.850
of a specific wavelength by this object.
1273
00:48:35.910 --> 00:48:37.800
Um, and that is stimulating the emission of
1274
00:48:37.800 --> 00:48:39.400
more photons, which means you get an
1275
00:48:39.400 --> 00:48:41.680
extremely bright emission at that wavelength
1276
00:48:41.840 --> 00:48:43.560
because you're getting this amplification
1277
00:48:43.560 --> 00:48:46.080
effect. And so that's how these things works
1278
00:48:46.160 --> 00:48:48.440
as a maser. And that has been very useful in
1279
00:48:48.440 --> 00:48:50.320
allowing us to study it because it means we
1280
00:48:50.320 --> 00:48:52.680
get a stronger signal, we get more light, so
1281
00:48:52.680 --> 00:48:53.680
there's more we can study.
1282
00:48:54.800 --> 00:48:57.680
What my research around it this morning
1283
00:48:57.840 --> 00:48:59.760
kind of found out was that there is some
1284
00:49:00.080 --> 00:49:02.650
significant debate historically over whether
1285
00:49:02.650 --> 00:49:05.450
this is firstly a binary star, or on its own,
1286
00:49:05.450 --> 00:49:07.610
there's another very hot blue star very close
1287
00:49:07.610 --> 00:49:10.050
to it in the sky that for a long time was
1288
00:49:10.050 --> 00:49:12.410
thought to be a binary companion. And that's
1289
00:49:12.410 --> 00:49:15.410
why this is MWC349A,
1290
00:49:15.410 --> 00:49:18.170
because there's a star MWC349B.
1291
00:49:18.970 --> 00:49:21.010
Now, recent studies that have measured the
1292
00:49:21.010 --> 00:49:23.490
radial velocity of the two stars suggests
1293
00:49:23.490 --> 00:49:26.330
that the star B is moving 35
1294
00:49:26.330 --> 00:49:29.310
kilometers per second compared to star A. So
1295
00:49:29.310 --> 00:49:30.750
they're not gravitationally held together
1296
00:49:30.750 --> 00:49:32.950
anymore. So they're probably not now a
1297
00:49:32.950 --> 00:49:35.550
binary. Though there is some debate whether
1298
00:49:36.190 --> 00:49:38.590
they were in the past, whether they were held
1299
00:49:38.590 --> 00:49:40.590
together by gravity. And then those two stars
1300
00:49:40.590 --> 00:49:42.990
have shed mass. As we said, this star seems
1301
00:49:42.990 --> 00:49:45.590
to have thrown mass away in recent times, may
1302
00:49:45.590 --> 00:49:47.270
even have lost half its mass. It may have
1303
00:49:47.270 --> 00:49:49.990
gone from 40 solar masses to 20. That
1304
00:49:49.990 --> 00:49:51.550
weakens its gravitational pull until
1305
00:49:51.550 --> 00:49:54.070
eventually the binary falls apart. So that's
1306
00:49:54.070 --> 00:49:55.550
one part of the debate. But the recent
1307
00:49:55.550 --> 00:49:58.120
results seem to suggest that even if they
1308
00:49:58.120 --> 00:49:59.960
were a binary in the past, they no longer
1309
00:49:59.960 --> 00:50:02.480
are. The other debate is
1310
00:50:02.960 --> 00:50:04.960
whether this is a very young star that's only
1311
00:50:04.960 --> 00:50:07.680
just forming now. Or whether it's a star that
1312
00:50:07.680 --> 00:50:09.320
formed a few million years ago and is coming
1313
00:50:09.320 --> 00:50:11.760
to the end of its life. And, um, you'd have
1314
00:50:11.760 --> 00:50:13.840
thought that was obvious. But for stars like
1315
00:50:13.840 --> 00:50:15.240
this, it's quite hard to tell, especially
1316
00:50:15.240 --> 00:50:17.280
when they're so obscured by gas and dust.
1317
00:50:17.760 --> 00:50:20.720
Now, if it was a baby star, the really
1318
00:50:20.960 --> 00:50:22.920
odd part of that would be, why are there no
1319
00:50:22.920 --> 00:50:25.330
other baby stars around it? Stars kind of
1320
00:50:25.330 --> 00:50:27.170
form in big nurseries. And particularly
1321
00:50:27.170 --> 00:50:29.690
massive stars don't tend to form alone. They
1322
00:50:29.690 --> 00:50:32.450
tend to form in big associations where lots
1323
00:50:32.450 --> 00:50:34.210
of stars are forming at once. And there's one
1324
00:50:34.610 --> 00:50:37.250
relatively near this called Cygnus OB2.
1325
00:50:37.650 --> 00:50:39.490
And, uh, one of the suggestions for this
1326
00:50:39.490 --> 00:50:41.410
star, if it's an older star that's coming to
1327
00:50:41.410 --> 00:50:43.530
the end of its life, is that it formed in
1328
00:50:43.530 --> 00:50:45.290
that association and was ejected in an
1329
00:50:45.290 --> 00:50:46.890
encounter with other stars and flung
1330
00:50:46.890 --> 00:50:48.730
outwards. And, um, we're seeing it quite far
1331
00:50:48.730 --> 00:50:50.370
away because it's traveled that distance
1332
00:50:50.370 --> 00:50:52.590
through its lifetime. So it formed there, but
1333
00:50:52.590 --> 00:50:55.550
it's escaped. If it's a baby
1334
00:50:55.550 --> 00:50:57.590
star, we have the problem of how is it only
1335
00:50:57.590 --> 00:50:59.270
just forming in an area where there's not
1336
00:50:59.270 --> 00:51:01.110
really any other stars forming around it.
1337
00:51:01.670 --> 00:51:03.990
Recent studies have suggested, by looking
1338
00:51:04.470 --> 00:51:07.270
over all things, the balance between carbon
1339
00:51:07.349 --> 00:51:09.950
13 and carbon 12, these two different carbon
1340
00:51:09.950 --> 00:51:12.870
isotopes in the gas that has been shed by
1341
00:51:12.870 --> 00:51:15.870
this star. Recent, uh, measurements of that
1342
00:51:15.870 --> 00:51:17.510
have suggested it's actually an old star.
1343
00:51:18.400 --> 00:51:20.840
Well, old for its mass, you know, about 5
1344
00:51:20.840 --> 00:51:22.360
million years old. But coming to the end of
1345
00:51:22.360 --> 00:51:25.160
its life, that has been shedding mass. And,
1346
00:51:25.160 --> 00:51:27.120
um, that is explained by the balance of the
1347
00:51:27.120 --> 00:51:29.280
isotopes in the gases that it has emitted.
1348
00:51:29.600 --> 00:51:31.680
Which fits in a bit better with the idea that
1349
00:51:31.680 --> 00:51:33.560
it may have formed in that Cygnus LB2
1350
00:51:33.560 --> 00:51:35.880
association a few million years ago, have
1351
00:51:35.880 --> 00:51:38.520
been flung outwards and escaped. Would also
1352
00:51:38.520 --> 00:51:40.740
fit A little bit with the idea that the star,
1353
00:51:40.740 --> 00:51:43.520
uh, B next to it, was once held to it as a
1354
00:51:43.520 --> 00:51:45.000
binary. But with the mass loss, they've
1355
00:51:45.000 --> 00:51:46.820
separated and they're going their separate
1356
00:51:46.820 --> 00:51:49.020
ways. You know, that happens all the time.
1357
00:51:49.500 --> 00:51:51.660
And so that all kind of, as a narrative seems
1358
00:51:51.660 --> 00:51:53.300
to fit together. But it's got a disk of
1359
00:51:53.300 --> 00:51:55.180
material around it that's nearly edge on.
1360
00:51:55.420 --> 00:51:57.700
It's got jets of material coming out of it.
1361
00:51:57.700 --> 00:51:59.900
There is a suggestion that it's probably shed
1362
00:52:00.300 --> 00:52:02.300
something like 20 times the mass of the sun
1363
00:52:02.300 --> 00:52:03.980
over the last few hundred thousand years.
1364
00:52:04.540 --> 00:52:06.460
And, uh, that it's shedding something like
1365
00:52:06.940 --> 00:52:09.660
1/100,000th of a solar mass per year,
1366
00:52:10.380 --> 00:52:12.580
which doesn't sound like a lot, but that's a
1367
00:52:12.580 --> 00:52:14.340
huge amount of mass to be throwing away in
1368
00:52:14.340 --> 00:52:16.460
every given year, which means it would throw
1369
00:52:16.460 --> 00:52:18.600
away a mass equ, the mass of the sun in just
1370
00:52:18.600 --> 00:52:21.560
100,000 years. That's really significant
1371
00:52:21.800 --> 00:52:23.720
mass loss going on as this star comes to the
1372
00:52:23.720 --> 00:52:25.840
end of its life. And it's a really
1373
00:52:25.840 --> 00:52:28.400
interesting case study of that detective
1374
00:52:28.400 --> 00:52:31.320
story again, of how we gather clues from
1375
00:52:31.320 --> 00:52:33.000
all these different types of observations
1376
00:52:33.880 --> 00:52:36.040
about a star that for us, at optical
1377
00:52:36.040 --> 00:52:38.280
wavelengths is so heavily concealed from us
1378
00:52:38.600 --> 00:52:41.120
that only one part in 10,000 of the light it
1379
00:52:41.120 --> 00:52:43.160
emits actually reaches as the rest of it gets
1380
00:52:43.160 --> 00:52:45.600
absorbed en route. Um, and that's why it's
1381
00:52:45.600 --> 00:52:47.400
been such a challenging problem for astronomy
1382
00:52:47.400 --> 00:52:49.240
for so many years, because it's really hard
1383
00:52:49.240 --> 00:52:52.080
to see what's going on. But by looking at the
1384
00:52:52.080 --> 00:52:54.600
masers emitting this light, by looking at all
1385
00:52:54.600 --> 00:52:56.360
the different things going on around it, by
1386
00:52:56.360 --> 00:52:59.080
doing clever studies of the chemistry of the
1387
00:52:59.080 --> 00:53:01.560
gases around it, we can start to piece
1388
00:53:01.560 --> 00:53:03.080
together its life story and figure out what
1389
00:53:03.080 --> 00:53:05.720
it is. I don't think that story of
1390
00:53:05.720 --> 00:53:08.520
discovery is finished yet, by any means. And
1391
00:53:08.520 --> 00:53:09.840
it may well be, Henrik, that when you're
1392
00:53:09.840 --> 00:53:11.400
older, you can actually work on this object
1393
00:53:11.400 --> 00:53:13.240
and learn more about it yourself. I suspect
1394
00:53:13.240 --> 00:53:15.560
people will still be discovering things about
1395
00:53:15.560 --> 00:53:18.400
this object in decades to come. But
1396
00:53:18.400 --> 00:53:20.640
it's a really fascinating object, and I'm
1397
00:53:20.640 --> 00:53:22.080
just so delighted that you brought it to my
1398
00:53:22.080 --> 00:53:23.440
attention because I'd never stumbled across
1399
00:53:23.440 --> 00:53:25.080
it before, and it's really, really cool.
1400
00:53:25.240 --> 00:53:27.760
Andrew Dunkley: Yes, it's, um. Sorry for this. It's
1401
00:53:27.760 --> 00:53:30.480
amazing. Uh, but, Henrik, thanks for the
1402
00:53:30.480 --> 00:53:33.040
question, and you do sound, uh, very astute,
1403
00:53:33.040 --> 00:53:35.000
and maybe, maybe you will be the one that
1404
00:53:35.000 --> 00:53:37.360
will solve it in years to come. Lovely to
1405
00:53:37.360 --> 00:53:40.280
hear from you. And if you have questions for
1406
00:53:40.280 --> 00:53:43.010
us, please send them through. We can take,
1407
00:53:43.010 --> 00:53:44.950
uh, your questions on our website. So, Space
1408
00:53:44.950 --> 00:53:47.910
Nuts podcast.com spacenuts IO
1409
00:53:48.230 --> 00:53:51.110
click on that little AMA link up the top
1410
00:53:51.110 --> 00:53:53.630
and you can send us text or audio
1411
00:53:53.630 --> 00:53:55.470
questions or both. Some people have done
1412
00:53:55.470 --> 00:53:57.870
that. And don't forget to tell us who you are
1413
00:53:57.870 --> 00:53:59.830
and where you're from. And, uh, yeah, we're
1414
00:53:59.830 --> 00:54:02.150
kind of running sort of
1415
00:54:02.310 --> 00:54:05.310
parallel with the number of questions we need
1416
00:54:05.310 --> 00:54:07.230
each week. So, uh, we haven't got a big
1417
00:54:07.230 --> 00:54:09.310
stockpile at the moment. So it's a good time
1418
00:54:09.310 --> 00:54:12.230
to send some questions into us. So please do.
1419
00:54:12.230 --> 00:54:14.670
Would love to hear from you. Don't even worry
1420
00:54:14.670 --> 00:54:17.310
if you think it's dumb, because there's no
1421
00:54:17.310 --> 00:54:19.390
dumb questions in astronomy and space
1422
00:54:19.390 --> 00:54:21.950
science. There's weird questions, but there
1423
00:54:21.950 --> 00:54:24.510
aren't any dumb questions. And, uh, while
1424
00:54:24.510 --> 00:54:25.990
you're on our website, have a look around.
1425
00:54:26.070 --> 00:54:28.630
There's a little link, uh, shop
1426
00:54:28.630 --> 00:54:30.670
link. It's really good. You can get some
1427
00:54:30.670 --> 00:54:33.630
Space Nuts memorabilia there or sign
1428
00:54:33.630 --> 00:54:36.580
up to our Astronomy Daily Newsfeed. And if,
1429
00:54:36.580 --> 00:54:38.710
uh, you are interested in becoming a patron,
1430
00:54:38.780 --> 00:54:41.750
uh, you can do that via the website as well
1431
00:54:41.750 --> 00:54:44.390
under the support. Support our podcast link.
1432
00:54:44.800 --> 00:54:46.990
Uh, those are just options. None of it's
1433
00:54:46.990 --> 00:54:49.470
mandatory. And, uh, we appreciate all the
1434
00:54:49.470 --> 00:54:52.230
support we get, so thank you. And Jonti,
1435
00:54:52.230 --> 00:54:54.430
thank you so much. Uh, it's been great to
1436
00:54:54.430 --> 00:54:56.230
talk to you and, uh, we'll see you on the
1437
00:54:56.230 --> 00:54:56.950
next episode.
1438
00:54:57.270 --> 00:54:58.630
Jonti Horner: Yeah. Thank you for having me. It's good to
1439
00:54:58.630 --> 00:54:59.110
be back.
1440
00:54:59.270 --> 00:55:01.470
Andrew Dunkley: Always a pleasure. Jonti, uh, Horner,
1441
00:55:01.470 --> 00:55:03.190
professor of Astrophysics at the University
1442
00:55:03.350 --> 00:55:05.950
of Southern Queensland. And, uh, uh, thanks
1443
00:55:05.950 --> 00:55:08.560
to Huw in the studio who, um,
1444
00:55:08.560 --> 00:55:11.190
couldn't be with us today because they're
1445
00:55:11.190 --> 00:55:13.550
going to hate me for this one. He got lost in
1446
00:55:13.550 --> 00:55:16.470
a maser. Oh, dear. And from me, Andrew
1447
00:55:16.470 --> 00:55:18.030
Dunkley. Thanks for your company. We'll see
1448
00:55:18.030 --> 00:55:20.070
you on the next episode of Space Nuts. Bye.
1449
00:55:20.070 --> 00:55:20.430
Bye.
1450
00:55:21.710 --> 00:55:23.910
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1451
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