Sept. 14, 2026

The Evolving Enigma of Dark Energy and the Sun’s Mysterious Past

The Evolving Enigma of Dark Energy and the Sun’s Mysterious Past
The Evolving Enigma of Dark Energy and the Sun’s Mysterious Past
Space News Today
The Evolving Enigma of Dark Energy and the Sun’s Mysterious Past

An Australian-led team has rebuilt thirty years of supernova observations into one consistent catalogue — and it adds fresh weight to the idea that dark energy is not constant. We also ask whether the young Sun swallowed a super-Earth, find out why a quiet Sun is bad news at thirty-five thousand feet, and watch JWST run the most sensitive exomoon search ever attempted. Plus a Crew-13 update and a skywatch with a live aurora alert for both hemispheres. In this episode · Two thousand, eight hundred and eighty-four Type Ia supernovae, rebuilt from Pantheon+ and the Dark Energy Survey's full five-year sample into a single internally consistent catalogue by Ryan Camilleri and Professor Tamara Davis at the University of Queensland, with ANU, Swinburne and international colleagues. · On their own the supernovae give a matter density of 0.310 for flat ΛCDM. Combined with the CMB and baryon acoustic oscillations, a tension appears under constant dark energy — and eases when dark energy is allowed to evolve. Preference: 2.5–3.1 sigma. · Why that is interesting but not a discovery, and why a second independent line of evidence pointing the same way as DESI changes the shape of the argument. · Professor Mutlu Yildiz (Ege University) on whether the young Sun engulfed a planet of 5–10 Earth masses — and whether that single event explains both the solar sound-speed discrepancy and the Sun's missing lithium. · Yaniv, Yair and Price on six balloon flights to 35 km: cosmic radiation at cruising altitude runs 40–60% higher at solar minimum, with an anticorrelation of r = −0.71 against solar activity. · David Kipping stacks twelve JWST transits of LP 890-9c and excludes moons down to 0.1 Earth radii across the entire Hill region — the most sensitive exomoon search on record. · Crew-13 now targeting no earlier than late September after an oxidiser leak in Dragon's propulsion system. · Skywatch: a coronal-hole stream arriving today with aurora chances at both ends of the planet, Venus at greatest brilliancy on 18 September, Mars past Pollux, Saturn towards opposition, International Observe the Moon Night on the 19th, and the equinox on the 22nd. Sources · University of Queensland — 'Big supernova dataset challenges dark energy theory', 8 September 2026 · Camilleri, Lee, Davis, Rubin, Shah, Scolnic, Lidman et al., 'Supernovae Unite: Combining Pantheon+ and DES-SN5YR', Publications of the Astronomical Society of Australia — arXiv:2609.05053; companion host-mass paper arXiv:2609.05321 · Royal Astronomical Society — ''Fingerprints' inside the Sun could reveal if it once swallowed a planet', 10 September 2026. Yildiz, MNRAS, DOI 10.1093/mnras/stag1527 · Yaniv, Yair & Price, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, September 2026 — cosmic radiation at aviation altitudes across the solar cycle · Kipping, 'JWST Excludes Exomoons Down to 0.1 Earth Radii Around a Rocky, Temperate Exoplanet', arXiv:2609.05301, 4 September 2026 · NASA Space Station blog — 'NASA, SpaceX Adjust Crew-13 Launch Date', 29 August 2026; Canadian Space Agency update, September 2026 · EarthSky sun news and NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center outlooks, 12–14 September 2026 · NASA Science — 'What's Up: September 2026 Skywatching Tips'


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WEBVTT
Kind: captions
Language: en

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Three decades of exploding stars pulled


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apart and rebuilt from the ground up


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into a single consistent picture. 2,884


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of them. And when an Australian le team


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stepped back to look at what that


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picture was saying about dark energy, it


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wasn't saying what the textbook says.


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>> We've also got a study asking whether


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our own sun once swallowed a planet and


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whether the evidence for it is still


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sitting inside the star right now


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waiting to be read. Plus, why the


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quietest stretch of the solar cycle is


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the one that matters most if you spend


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your working life at 35,000 ft.


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>> And the James Web Space Telescope has


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just run the most sensitive search for a


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moon around another planet that anyone


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has ever attempted. It found nothing at


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all. That is the good news.


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>> This is Astronomy Daily. I'm Anna.


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>> And I'm Avery. It's Monday, the 14th of


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September, 2026, and we're coming to you


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as always from Sydney, Australia. Let's


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get into it.


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>> We're starting today with a result that


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has been quietly sitting in the open for


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about a week, and I think it deserves a


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great deal more attention than it has


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had. An international team led out of


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the University of Queensland has


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published what is now the largest and


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most internally consistent catalog of


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type 1A supernova ever assembled. 2,884


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of them. And it adds fresh weight to a


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very awkward idea. That dark energy


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might not be constant.


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>> Which would be a problem because the


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word constant is doing enormous


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structural work in modern cosmology.


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>> It is the loadbearing wall. So, let's


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build this up properly because the


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method here matters as much as the


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answer. A type 1A supernova is what


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happens when a white dwarf star, the


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dense, burnt out core left behind by a


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star like our sun, gathers too much


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material and detonates. The crucial


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thing is that these explosions are close


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to identical. They go off at roughly the


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same intrinsic brightness every time.


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So, if you measure how bright one looks


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from here, you can work out how far away


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it is. Astronomers call them standard


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candles.


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>> And that's the technique that won the


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Nobel Prize in 2011.


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>> It is. And this is where Australia


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enters the story early because one of


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the three laurates, Brian Schmidt, was


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working at the Australian National


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University when that discovery was made.


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Two teams in 1998 independently found


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that distant supernovi were fainter than


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they should have been which meant they


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were further away than expected which


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meant the expansion of the universe is


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not slowing down under gravity as


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everyone assumed. It's speeding up and


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the thing doing the speeding up got the


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placeholder name dark energy because


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nobody knew and to be completely honest


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nobody still knows what it actually is.


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>> So where does the new work come in?


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Here's the difficulty. In the 28 years


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since, we have collected supernova from


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dozens of different surveys on dozens of


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different telescopes with different


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detectors, different filters, different


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calibrations, observed across decades in


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which our understanding of these


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explosions changed substantially. You


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cannot simply pour all of that into one


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bucket and start doing cosmology with


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it. The systematic errors will eat you


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alive. So, somebody had to do the


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unglamorous work.


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>> Somebody had to do the unglamorous work.


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And that somebody is Ryan Cameli, a PhD


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candidate at the University of


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Queensland's School of Mathematics and


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Physics, working with Professor Tamara


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Davis, and a long list of collaborators


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across Australia, the United States, the


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United Kingdom, South Africa, Spain, and


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France. What they've done is take


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Pantheon Plus, which is the big


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historical compilation of supernova


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going back roughly 30 years, and combine


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it with the dark energy surveys full


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5-year sample, which added around 1,500


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new high red shift supernova of its own.


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And rather than stapling the two


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together, they rebuilt both from the


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same starting assumptions in one


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framework with one set of calibrations.


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Cameli's own description of it is the


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cleanest summary I've read. Quote,


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"We've rebuilt three decades of


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astronomical observations into a single


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consistent framework." And he makes the


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point that this isn't just tidying up,


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it's reanalysis. Quote, "Over the years,


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we've learned a lot more about how


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supernovi behave. So, we've been able to


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go back and apply that improved


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understanding to older data." That


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improved understanding is doing real


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work here. Two of the biggest headaches


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in supernova cosmology are dust. Cosmic


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dust between us and the explosion reens


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and dims the light in ways that mimic


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distance and the mass of the galaxy the


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supernova went off in, which turns out


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to correlate with the supernova's


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brightness in a way we still don't fully


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understand. Both had to be handled


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consistently across the whole sample.


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The team cared about that second problem


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enough that they published a companion


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paper on host galaxy masses alongside


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the main one.


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>> All right, so what does the rebuilt


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catalog actually say?


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>> Two things. And the first one is


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reassuring. If you take the supernova on


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their own and assume the standard model,


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a flat universe with a genuinely


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constant dark energy, you get a matter


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density of 0.310.


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That is bang in line with everything


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else we know. The catalog is not broken.


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It's behaving.


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>> And the second thing is the interesting


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one.


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>> The second thing is what happens when


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you fold in the other two great pillars


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of cosmology. The cosmic microwave


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background, the leftover glow of the big


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bang and baron acoustic oscillations,


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which are frozen sound waves from the


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early universe that act as a cosmic


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ruler. Do that and under the standard


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constant dark energy model, the three


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data sets start pulling against each


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other. There's a tension. And here's the


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pointed bit. That tension eases if you


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allow dark energy to change with time.


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The team find a preference for evolving


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dark energy over the standard model at


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between 2.5 and 3.1 sigma depending on


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exactly which combination you use. Let's


00:06:26.319 --> 00:06:28.550
be careful with Sigma because we've had


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this conversation before on this show.


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>> We have and we should be careful. Back


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when we covered the LZ dark matter


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flash, we spent a while on this. Three


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sigma is roughly a 1 in700 chance of the


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data looking like this if the standard


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model is right. That is interesting.


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That is worth chasing. It is


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emphatically not a discovery. Particle


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physics won't call anything discovered


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below five sigma. and cosmology has been


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burned by three sigma results before.


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Nobody on this paper is claiming


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otherwise.


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>> But it's the second independent line of


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evidence pointing the same way, which is


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a different kind of argument.


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>> That's exactly the argument Professor


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Davis makes. And it's the heart of why


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this matters. Her words, quote, "Our


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supernova data from dees in 2024 first


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showed hints that dark energy may be


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time varying. And this new compilation


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also sees a deviation from the standard


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model. And then so two completely


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independent measurements have found


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hints of time variation in dark energy


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challenging the standard model that dark


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energy doesn't change. And this sits


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alongside what DESIE, the dark energy


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spectroscopic instrument, has been


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reporting from an entirely different


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direction using those barri acoustic


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oscillations rather than supernovi.


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>> Right? Three separate methodologies with


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separate systematics, separate failure


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modes, and separate teams. And they keep


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producing the same faint smell of


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something wrong. The other number worth


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flagging is precision. This compilation


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tightens the uncertainties on the dark


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energy parameters by about 30% compared


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with what came before. Which means the


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next round of data won't just add noise.


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It'll actually be able to settle this.


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>> So spell out the stakes. What changes if


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dark energy really is evolving?


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>> Almost everything downstream. A constant


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dark energy is the simplest possible


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thing. Einstein's cosmological constant,


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a fixed energy density baked into empty


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space itself. If instead it's a field


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that changes strength over cosmic time,


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then it's not a constant, it's a dynamic


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thing with a history and possibly a


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future. It changes how the universe


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ends. And Professor Davis takes it


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further than that. Her line is that all


00:08:50.320 --> 00:08:52.949
of this quote may also hold the clue to


00:08:52.959 --> 00:08:55.030
explain how gravity and quantum physics


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fit together. That's the biggest


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unfinished problem in physics. and dark


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energy is one of the very few places


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where the two are forced into the same


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room.


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>> Now, I want to note where this was


00:09:06.399 --> 00:09:09.030
published because it's not incidental.


00:09:09.040 --> 00:09:11.990
>> No, it isn't. This is in publications of


00:09:12.000 --> 00:09:14.630
the Astronomical Society of Australia,


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Australia's own journal, led from the


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University of Queensland with the


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Australian National University and


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Swinburn on the author list and South


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African colleagues alongside and the


00:09:25.600 --> 00:09:27.590
dark energy survey data at the core of


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it came off the Blanco 4meter telescope


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at Sarotolo in Chile, a southern


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telescope looking at a southern sky.


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From the Nobel work at Mount Stromllo


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through to this, the question of what


00:09:39.279 --> 00:09:41.590
dark energy is has been a southern


00:09:41.600 --> 00:09:43.350
hemisphere argument for a very long


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time.


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>> And there's a lovely thread back through


00:09:46.240 --> 00:09:48.470
our own recent episodes here.


00:09:48.480 --> 00:09:51.509
>> There really is. Back in episode 181, we


00:09:51.519 --> 00:09:53.430
covered a rebuttal from Nobel laureates


00:09:53.440 --> 00:09:55.910
including Schmidt and Adam Ree pushing


00:09:55.920 --> 00:09:57.990
back hard on a claim that the universe's


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acceleration was slowing and confirming


00:10:00.480 --> 00:10:02.870
the acceleration is real. That still


00:10:02.880 --> 00:10:05.269
stands. This is a different question.


00:10:05.279 --> 00:10:07.509
Not whether dark energy exists, but


00:10:07.519 --> 00:10:10.150
whether it holds still. On Thursday of


00:10:10.160 --> 00:10:12.150
last week, we talked about fast radio


00:10:12.160 --> 00:10:13.910
bursts being used to weigh the missing


00:10:13.920 --> 00:10:16.710
gas in the cosmic web and how that bears


00:10:16.720 --> 00:10:19.509
on the S8 tension. And on Saturday, our


00:10:19.519 --> 00:10:23.750
skywatch feature was SN 2026 A AIV, a


00:10:23.760 --> 00:10:27.990
type 1A going off in NGC 7331.


00:10:28.000 --> 00:10:29.990
One single example of exactly the kind


00:10:30.000 --> 00:10:32.230
of explosion that fills this catalog.


00:10:32.240 --> 00:10:33.990
bright enough to chase with a backyard


00:10:34.000 --> 00:10:35.430
telescope.


00:10:35.440 --> 00:10:37.590
>> 2,883


00:10:37.600 --> 00:10:39.509
more of those and you've got a


00:10:39.519 --> 00:10:40.870
cosmology.


00:10:40.880 --> 00:10:43.110
>> That's the whole trick. And what happens


00:10:43.120 --> 00:10:45.269
next is that the sample size goes up by


00:10:45.279 --> 00:10:47.910
an order of magnitude. The Vera Rubin


00:10:47.920 --> 00:10:49.990
Observatory in Chile is about to start


00:10:50.000 --> 00:10:51.590
finding these things in industrial


00:10:51.600 --> 00:10:53.990
quantities. And the Nancy Grace Roman


00:10:54.000 --> 00:10:56.230
Space Telescope, which we watched launch


00:10:56.240 --> 00:10:58.630
a fortnight ago and which powered up its


00:10:58.640 --> 00:11:00.870
coronagraph earlier this month, was


00:11:00.880 --> 00:11:03.030
designed in large part to nail exactly


00:11:03.040 --> 00:11:05.509
this measurement. If dark energy is


00:11:05.519 --> 00:11:07.430
changing, we are going to know within a


00:11:07.440 --> 00:11:09.910
few years. If it isn't, we'll know that,


00:11:09.920 --> 00:11:12.230
too. And this will go down as a very


00:11:12.240 --> 00:11:14.069
well-built catalog that briefly made


00:11:14.079 --> 00:11:15.590
everybody nervous.


00:11:15.600 --> 00:11:18.470
>> Either way, somebody had to do 30 years


00:11:18.480 --> 00:11:20.389
of homework first.


00:11:20.399 --> 00:11:23.509
>> Somebody did. His name's on the paper.


00:11:23.519 --> 00:11:25.670
>> Here's a question you don't often hear


00:11:25.680 --> 00:11:28.790
asked of our own star. Did the sun eat a


00:11:28.800 --> 00:11:29.590
planet?


00:11:29.600 --> 00:11:31.430
>> We ask that about other stars all the


00:11:31.440 --> 00:11:32.230
time


00:11:32.240 --> 00:11:34.790
>> constantly. It's one of the standard


00:11:34.800 --> 00:11:37.829
results in exoplanet science. You find a


00:11:37.839 --> 00:11:40.389
star with an oddly high abundance of the


00:11:40.399 --> 00:11:42.790
heavy rock forming elements. And the


00:11:42.800 --> 00:11:44.949
neat explanation is that it swallowed


00:11:44.959 --> 00:11:47.509
one of its own planets and the debris is


00:11:47.519 --> 00:11:50.230
still floating in its outer layers. New


00:11:50.240 --> 00:11:52.790
work published in monthly notices of the


00:11:52.800 --> 00:11:55.590
Royal Astronomical Society turns that


00:11:55.600 --> 00:11:58.150
telescope around and points it at us.


00:11:58.160 --> 00:12:00.949
It's by Professor Mutlu Yildes at Egg


00:12:00.959 --> 00:12:03.509
University in Turkey and the Royal


00:12:03.519 --> 00:12:05.829
Astronomical Society put it out on the


00:12:05.839 --> 00:12:07.430
10th of September.


00:12:07.440 --> 00:12:09.829
>> And the argument is that the sun has


00:12:09.839 --> 00:12:10.870
form.


00:12:10.880 --> 00:12:13.190
>> The argument is that the sun has two


00:12:13.200 --> 00:12:16.230
longstanding unexplained quirks and one


00:12:16.240 --> 00:12:19.110
event could account for both. Quirk one


00:12:19.120 --> 00:12:21.590
is a genuine embarrassment in solar


00:12:21.600 --> 00:12:24.150
physics. We can measure the inside of


00:12:24.160 --> 00:12:27.269
the sun, not model it, measure it. Using


00:12:27.279 --> 00:12:29.190
heliocismology,


00:12:29.200 --> 00:12:31.110
sound waves ring through the solar


00:12:31.120 --> 00:12:33.990
interior. We watch the surface vibrate.


00:12:34.000 --> 00:12:36.150
And from that, we can reconstruct the


00:12:36.160 --> 00:12:38.389
speed of sound at different depths with


00:12:38.399 --> 00:12:40.949
real precision. And the standard solar


00:12:40.959 --> 00:12:42.710
models don't quite match what we


00:12:42.720 --> 00:12:45.590
measure. They've never quite matched.


00:12:45.600 --> 00:12:47.590
That's been an open sore for a couple of


00:12:47.600 --> 00:12:48.870
decades.


00:12:48.880 --> 00:12:52.790
>> It has. Quirk two is lithium. The sun


00:12:52.800 --> 00:12:55.509
has far less lithium than it ought to.


00:12:55.519 --> 00:12:57.829
It's depleted by a factor of well over a


00:12:57.839 --> 00:13:00.230
100 compared with the material it formed


00:13:00.240 --> 00:13:03.030
from. And yield's proposal is that if


00:13:03.040 --> 00:13:05.750
the young sun swallowed a super earth,


00:13:05.760 --> 00:13:07.750
something in the range of five to 10


00:13:07.760 --> 00:13:10.069
times the mass of our planet, the


00:13:10.079 --> 00:13:12.310
chemical rearrangement that follows can


00:13:12.320 --> 00:13:14.310
push the models toward the measurements


00:13:14.320 --> 00:13:16.470
and take the lithium down at the same


00:13:16.480 --> 00:13:17.430
time.


00:13:17.440 --> 00:13:19.269
>> How does eating a planet lower your


00:13:19.279 --> 00:13:20.310
lithium?


00:13:20.320 --> 00:13:22.790
>> Broadly, by changing the structure and


00:13:22.800 --> 00:13:24.550
the mixing near the base of the


00:13:24.560 --> 00:13:27.030
convective zone, the boundary where the


00:13:27.040 --> 00:13:29.190
churning outer layers meet the still


00:13:29.200 --> 00:13:31.910
interior. That boundary is where lithium


00:13:31.920 --> 00:13:33.910
gets dragged down deep enough to be


00:13:33.920 --> 00:13:36.870
destroyed by nuclear reactions. Adjust


00:13:36.880 --> 00:13:38.710
the composition and the temperature


00:13:38.720 --> 00:13:40.870
gradient there and you change how


00:13:40.880 --> 00:13:42.870
efficiently the sun burns its own


00:13:42.880 --> 00:13:45.670
lithium away. Yield's framing is


00:13:45.680 --> 00:13:49.110
careful. Quote, "A planet several times


00:13:49.120 --> 00:13:51.509
more massive than Earth may have fallen


00:13:51.519 --> 00:13:53.990
into the young sun and left a lasting


00:13:54.000 --> 00:13:57.110
chemical imprint deep inside it." and


00:13:57.120 --> 00:13:59.670
quote, "The ingestion of a super Earth


00:13:59.680 --> 00:14:01.590
could help explain long-standing


00:14:01.600 --> 00:14:03.590
differences between standard solar


00:14:03.600 --> 00:14:07.670
models and observations." May, could


00:14:07.680 --> 00:14:09.910
those are loadbearing words.


00:14:09.920 --> 00:14:13.030
>> They are, and I want to keep them. This


00:14:13.040 --> 00:14:15.030
is a modeling result offering a


00:14:15.040 --> 00:14:16.949
candidate solution to a modeling


00:14:16.959 --> 00:14:20.470
discrepancy. It is not a fossil. Nobody


00:14:20.480 --> 00:14:22.870
has dug up the planet. And there are


00:14:22.880 --> 00:14:25.269
other live explanations for the solar


00:14:25.279 --> 00:14:27.829
abundance problem. Revisions to the


00:14:27.839 --> 00:14:29.750
measured composition of the solar


00:14:29.760 --> 00:14:32.629
photosphere for one that don't require


00:14:32.639 --> 00:14:35.269
eating anything. What makes this one


00:14:35.279 --> 00:14:38.710
attractive is economy. One event, two


00:14:38.720 --> 00:14:40.150
problems.


00:14:40.160 --> 00:14:41.910
>> And there's something faintly unsettling


00:14:41.920 --> 00:14:44.230
about it given what it implies about the


00:14:44.240 --> 00:14:46.389
early inner solar system.


00:14:46.399 --> 00:14:48.629
>> That's the part that stays with me.


00:14:48.639 --> 00:14:51.030
Super Earths are the single most common


00:14:51.040 --> 00:14:53.430
class of planet we find around other


00:14:53.440 --> 00:14:56.790
stars and our solar system conspicuously


00:14:56.800 --> 00:14:59.750
lacks one. If the answer is that we had


00:14:59.760 --> 00:15:02.790
one and the sun ate it, that makes us a


00:15:02.800 --> 00:15:05.430
lot less unusual and makes the ground


00:15:05.440 --> 00:15:07.910
under Mercury's orbit feel a good deal


00:15:07.920 --> 00:15:11.590
less stable than it looks. Now, a story


00:15:11.600 --> 00:15:12.949
about the sun from the opposite


00:15:12.959 --> 00:15:15.750
direction and one with a very practical


00:15:15.760 --> 00:15:18.310
edge, particularly for anyone listening


00:15:18.320 --> 00:15:20.949
from a crew rest seat. New research in


00:15:20.959 --> 00:15:22.949
the journal of geoysical research


00:15:22.959 --> 00:15:25.750
atmospheres finds that cosmic radiation


00:15:25.760 --> 00:15:28.470
at cruising altitude gets worse when the


00:15:28.480 --> 00:15:30.069
sun goes quiet,


00:15:30.079 --> 00:15:32.069
>> which is backwards from how most people


00:15:32.079 --> 00:15:33.350
would guess it.


00:15:33.360 --> 00:15:35.750
>> Completely backwards, and the logic is


00:15:35.760 --> 00:15:38.389
worth a minute. The work is by Dr. Roy


00:15:38.399 --> 00:15:41.269
Yaniv with Professor Yoav Yaer and


00:15:41.279 --> 00:15:43.990
Professor Colin Price across the Hebrew


00:15:44.000 --> 00:15:46.150
University of Jerusalem, Reichman


00:15:46.160 --> 00:15:48.790
University, and Tel Aviv University.


00:15:48.800 --> 00:15:51.110
They flew six instrumented balloons from


00:15:51.120 --> 00:15:53.590
southern Israel, each climbing to around


00:15:53.600 --> 00:15:56.389
35 km and measured the radiation


00:15:56.399 --> 00:15:58.470
environment the whole way up.


00:15:58.480 --> 00:16:00.870
>> So, what's the profile look like?


00:16:00.880 --> 00:16:03.110
>> It peaks higher than you fly. The


00:16:03.120 --> 00:16:06.389
maximum sits between 17 and 20 km.


00:16:06.399 --> 00:16:07.829
That's a known feature called the


00:16:07.839 --> 00:16:10.629
Regener Fzer maximum where incoming


00:16:10.639 --> 00:16:12.629
cosmic rays have smashed into enough


00:16:12.639 --> 00:16:15.189
atmosphere to produce a full shower of


00:16:15.199 --> 00:16:17.350
secondary particles, but the shower


00:16:17.360 --> 00:16:20.470
hasn't yet been absorbed. Below that, it


00:16:20.480 --> 00:16:22.949
tails off. At a typical airliner


00:16:22.959 --> 00:16:25.749
cruising altitude of around 10 km, they


00:16:25.759 --> 00:16:29.350
measure roughly 0.9 to 1.3 microverts


00:16:29.360 --> 00:16:32.150
per hour. And the solar connection,


00:16:32.160 --> 00:16:34.550
>> the sun's magnetic field carried out on


00:16:34.560 --> 00:16:37.189
the solar wind acts as a shield for the


00:16:37.199 --> 00:16:39.670
entire solar system. It deflects


00:16:39.680 --> 00:16:42.389
galactic cosmic rays. The high energy


00:16:42.399 --> 00:16:44.629
particles arriving from supernovi and


00:16:44.639 --> 00:16:46.949
other violence out in the galaxy. When


00:16:46.959 --> 00:16:49.509
the sun is active, that shield is strong


00:16:49.519 --> 00:16:51.189
and fewer of those particles get


00:16:51.199 --> 00:16:53.670
through. When the sun goes quiet, the


00:16:53.680 --> 00:16:56.150
shield weakens and more of them arrive.


00:16:56.160 --> 00:16:58.230
The team measure that anti-correlation


00:16:58.240 --> 00:17:01.350
directly at minus0.71


00:17:01.360 --> 00:17:02.790
and the size of the swing is the


00:17:02.800 --> 00:17:05.590
headline. At solar minimum, the dose


00:17:05.600 --> 00:17:08.150
rate runs something like 40 to 60%


00:17:08.160 --> 00:17:10.789
higher than at solar maximum.


00:17:10.799 --> 00:17:14.069
>> 40 to 60% is not a rounding error.


00:17:14.079 --> 00:17:15.990
>> It isn't. They also break down what's


00:17:16.000 --> 00:17:18.630
actually hitting you. Neutrons are about


00:17:18.640 --> 00:17:21.270
40 to 45% of the dose. with


00:17:21.280 --> 00:17:24.230
electromagnetic radiation another 35 to


00:17:24.240 --> 00:17:26.789
40. Neutrons matter because they're


00:17:26.799 --> 00:17:28.390
difficult to shield against and they're


00:17:28.400 --> 00:17:31.350
weighted heavily for biological damage.


00:17:31.360 --> 00:17:34.230
Now, proportion before anyone cancels a


00:17:34.240 --> 00:17:35.350
holiday.


00:17:35.360 --> 00:17:38.390
>> Yes, proportion. A micro sever is a


00:17:38.400 --> 00:17:40.870
millionth of a seavert. A long haul


00:17:40.880 --> 00:17:43.110
flight puts a few tens of micro severts


00:17:43.120 --> 00:17:45.029
on you, which is in the same broad


00:17:45.039 --> 00:17:47.430
territory as a chest x-ray. For a


00:17:47.440 --> 00:17:49.110
passenger, this is not something to lose


00:17:49.120 --> 00:17:51.430
sleep over. for air crew who are


00:17:51.440 --> 00:17:53.750
occupationally exposed and monitored as


00:17:53.760 --> 00:17:56.310
radiation workers in many jurisdictions


00:17:56.320 --> 00:17:58.870
and for frequent flyers on the very long


00:17:58.880 --> 00:18:02.390
very high latitude routes and Australia


00:18:02.400 --> 00:18:04.150
runs some of the longest sectors on the


00:18:04.160 --> 00:18:07.909
planet. A 40 to 60% seasonal swing


00:18:07.919 --> 00:18:09.750
driven by where we sit in the solar


00:18:09.760 --> 00:18:12.390
cycle is a real input into how you


00:18:12.400 --> 00:18:14.390
calculate annual dose


00:18:14.400 --> 00:18:16.310
>> and it dovetales with what we talked


00:18:16.320 --> 00:18:19.029
about on Saturday from the other end.


00:18:19.039 --> 00:18:21.430
It's the same dial. On the weekend, we


00:18:21.440 --> 00:18:23.510
covered the max plank work on the sun's


00:18:23.520 --> 00:18:25.990
capacity for a super flare. The danger


00:18:26.000 --> 00:18:28.789
of the sun at its loudest. This is the


00:18:28.799 --> 00:18:31.669
danger of the sun at its quietest. An


00:18:31.679 --> 00:18:33.830
active sun can fire a particle storm at


00:18:33.840 --> 00:18:36.310
you. A quiet sun simply stops holding


00:18:36.320 --> 00:18:39.029
the galaxy's particles at the door. Two


00:18:39.039 --> 00:18:41.110
different risks, opposite ends of the


00:18:41.120 --> 00:18:43.190
same cycle, and both of them show up at


00:18:43.200 --> 00:18:44.950
altitude first.


00:18:44.960 --> 00:18:47.110
>> Our last story before we look up is a


00:18:47.120 --> 00:18:49.590
null result. And I want to argue that


00:18:49.600 --> 00:18:51.270
it's one of the better pieces of news


00:18:51.280 --> 00:18:54.230
this week. The James Web Space Telescope


00:18:54.240 --> 00:18:56.230
has just carried out the most sensitive


00:18:56.240 --> 00:18:58.710
search for a moon around another planet


00:18:58.720 --> 00:19:01.669
ever attempted. It didn't find one. What


00:19:01.679 --> 00:19:03.990
matters is how thoroughly it didn't find


00:19:04.000 --> 00:19:04.789
one.


00:19:04.799 --> 00:19:06.950
>> Exomoons have been the great near miss


00:19:06.960 --> 00:19:10.390
of the field. For 15 years, we have


00:19:10.400 --> 00:19:13.029
close to 6,000 confirmed planets around


00:19:13.039 --> 00:19:16.230
other stars and not one confirmed moon,


00:19:16.240 --> 00:19:18.310
which is faintly ridiculous given that


00:19:18.320 --> 00:19:21.029
our own solar system has hundreds. The


00:19:21.039 --> 00:19:23.430
new work is by David Kipping, who has


00:19:23.440 --> 00:19:25.669
effectively made exomoon hunting his


00:19:25.679 --> 00:19:27.590
life's work, and it went up on the


00:19:27.600 --> 00:19:30.470
preprint server on the 4th of September.


00:19:30.480 --> 00:19:32.549
>> Which planet did he point it at?


00:19:32.559 --> 00:19:35.510
LP890-9C,


00:19:35.520 --> 00:19:37.909
a rocky planet in the tempered zone of a


00:19:37.919 --> 00:19:41.350
very cool, very faint star. Kipping used


00:19:41.360 --> 00:19:45.430
12 separate JWST transits, 12 passes of


00:19:45.440 --> 00:19:47.510
the planet in front of its star and


00:19:47.520 --> 00:19:50.070
stack them. And the sensitivity he gets


00:19:50.080 --> 00:19:52.789
out of that is the story. He can exclude


00:19:52.799 --> 00:19:56.150
moons down to oneth of Earth's radius at


00:19:56.160 --> 00:19:59.270
95% confidence across the planet's


00:19:59.280 --> 00:20:01.830
entire hillphere. That's the whole


00:20:01.840 --> 00:20:03.110
region where a moon could


00:20:03.120 --> 00:20:05.350
gravitationally hang on.


00:20:05.360 --> 00:20:08.070
>> 1/10enth of Earth's radius is about 650


00:20:08.080 --> 00:20:09.430
km,


00:20:09.440 --> 00:20:11.750
>> which rules out the entire mid tier of


00:20:11.760 --> 00:20:14.870
our own solar systems moons. Europa's


00:20:14.880 --> 00:20:18.710
gone, Ria's gone, Umbreel's gone. If


00:20:18.720 --> 00:20:21.590
LP890-9C


00:20:21.600 --> 00:20:23.990
had anything like those, Web would have


00:20:24.000 --> 00:20:24.630
seen it.


00:20:24.640 --> 00:20:27.350
>> So why is the absence good news?


00:20:27.360 --> 00:20:30.310
>> Two reasons. first because it was always


00:20:30.320 --> 00:20:32.950
possible that we'd found no exomoons


00:20:32.960 --> 00:20:35.510
simply because we can't see them. That


00:20:35.520 --> 00:20:37.750
the whole search was hopeless and we


00:20:37.760 --> 00:20:40.710
were wasting our time. This demonstrates


00:20:40.720 --> 00:20:43.830
the opposite. Web can find astonishingly


00:20:43.840 --> 00:20:46.710
small moons and stacking transits buys


00:20:46.720 --> 00:20:48.950
you far more sensitivity than a single


00:20:48.960 --> 00:20:52.230
one. That's a capability result and it


00:20:52.240 --> 00:20:55.669
applies to every other target. Second,


00:20:55.679 --> 00:20:57.750
this particular non-detection is


00:20:57.760 --> 00:21:00.470
physically expected. The planet orbits


00:21:00.480 --> 00:21:04.070
at just 0.04 astronomical units,


00:21:04.080 --> 00:21:06.630
extremely close in. And at that


00:21:06.640 --> 00:21:08.870
distance, tidal forces would strip a


00:21:08.880 --> 00:21:11.830
large moon away over time. Anyway, so


00:21:11.840 --> 00:21:13.990
the theory predicted an empty hill


00:21:14.000 --> 00:21:16.710
sphere, and the observation delivered an


00:21:16.720 --> 00:21:19.029
empty hill sphere. Theory and


00:21:19.039 --> 00:21:21.270
observation agreeing is not the most


00:21:21.280 --> 00:21:23.510
thrilling headline, but it's how you


00:21:23.520 --> 00:21:25.990
know the instrument is honest.


00:21:26.000 --> 00:21:28.630
>> Exactly right. And a small southern


00:21:28.640 --> 00:21:31.990
footnote, the LP890-9


00:21:32.000 --> 00:21:34.950
system was found by Speculus, a survey


00:21:34.960 --> 00:21:36.789
hunting planets around the coolest


00:21:36.799 --> 00:21:39.190
stars, whose southern station sits at


00:21:39.200 --> 00:21:42.310
Paranol in Chile under the same skies as


00:21:42.320 --> 00:21:44.470
the telescopes that keep turning up in


00:21:44.480 --> 00:21:46.310
this program. Quick update before the


00:21:46.320 --> 00:21:48.950
skywatch on a story we left open a


00:21:48.960 --> 00:21:51.830
couple of weeks back. NASA's Crew 13


00:21:51.840 --> 00:21:53.430
mission to the International Space


00:21:53.440 --> 00:21:56.310
Station is now targeting no earlier than


00:21:56.320 --> 00:21:57.590
late September.


00:21:57.600 --> 00:21:59.270
>> That's the flight that was supposed to


00:21:59.280 --> 00:22:00.390
go on the 12th.


00:22:00.400 --> 00:22:03.590
>> It was on the 29th of August. NASA and


00:22:03.600 --> 00:22:05.590
SpaceX stood the mission down after


00:22:05.600 --> 00:22:07.510
teams found an oxidizer leak in the


00:22:07.520 --> 00:22:09.909
Dragon spacecraft's propulsion system


00:22:09.919 --> 00:22:12.549
during standard pre-launch processing.


00:22:12.559 --> 00:22:14.070
At the time, the statement was simply


00:22:14.080 --> 00:22:15.430
that a new target date would be


00:22:15.440 --> 00:22:17.830
announced once available and that joint


00:22:17.840 --> 00:22:19.830
teams would complete any necessary


00:22:19.840 --> 00:22:22.470
rework before flight. The Canadian Space


00:22:22.480 --> 00:22:24.390
Agency has now confirmed the mission is


00:22:24.400 --> 00:22:25.990
aiming for no earlier than late


00:22:26.000 --> 00:22:28.950
September. Though, as we record, NASA


00:22:28.960 --> 00:22:30.549
hasn't published a specific date,


00:22:30.559 --> 00:22:32.710
>> and the crew is an interesting one.


00:22:32.720 --> 00:22:35.430
>> It is. Commander Jessica Watkins and


00:22:35.440 --> 00:22:38.310
pilot Luke Delaney for NASA with mission


00:22:38.320 --> 00:22:40.390
specialist Joshua Kutrich of the


00:22:40.400 --> 00:22:42.870
Canadian Space Agency and Sergey


00:22:42.880 --> 00:22:46.070
Teteratnikov of Ross Cosmos. They'll fly


00:22:46.080 --> 00:22:48.390
on a Falcon 9 from Space Launch Complex


00:22:48.400 --> 00:22:51.110
40 at Cape Canaveral, the same pad that


00:22:51.120 --> 00:22:53.590
quietly notched its 400th orbital flight


00:22:53.600 --> 00:22:55.909
yesterday. We'll bring you the date the


00:22:55.919 --> 00:22:56.870
moment it's firm.


00:22:56.880 --> 00:22:58.950
>> Right, let's get you outside. And


00:22:58.960 --> 00:23:00.549
there's something live happening


00:23:00.559 --> 00:23:03.909
tonight. A large coronal hole on the sun


00:23:03.919 --> 00:23:06.630
has rotated around into a geoeffective


00:23:06.640 --> 00:23:09.669
position and forecasters expect the fast


00:23:09.679 --> 00:23:12.230
solar wind streaming out of it to reach


00:23:12.240 --> 00:23:14.710
earth today. That means active


00:23:14.720 --> 00:23:16.710
geomagnetic conditions


00:23:16.720 --> 00:23:19.270
>> which means aurora watching is on at


00:23:19.280 --> 00:23:20.549
both ends of the planet.


00:23:20.559 --> 00:23:22.789
>> It does for our southern hemisphere


00:23:22.799 --> 00:23:25.350
listeners. That's Aurora Australas


00:23:25.360 --> 00:23:28.870
territory. Tasmania first and best with


00:23:28.880 --> 00:23:31.350
a genuine chance from southern Victoria


00:23:31.360 --> 00:23:33.669
and the far south of New Zealand if it


00:23:33.679 --> 00:23:36.870
holds up. Look south, get away from town


00:23:36.880 --> 00:23:39.590
lights, and be patient. Cameras will


00:23:39.600 --> 00:23:42.630
pick up color your eyes won't. For our


00:23:42.640 --> 00:23:44.789
North American listeners, you're looking


00:23:44.799 --> 00:23:47.430
north and the northern tier states and


00:23:47.440 --> 00:23:50.710
Canada are in play. This is a coronal


00:23:50.720 --> 00:23:53.029
hole stream rather than a big flare


00:23:53.039 --> 00:23:56.390
event. So, think a steady, moderate glow


00:23:56.400 --> 00:23:58.549
rather than a spectacular overhead


00:23:58.559 --> 00:24:02.230
display. But it's free and it's tonight.


00:24:02.240 --> 00:24:05.270
>> And the moon is out of the way for it.


00:24:05.280 --> 00:24:07.830
>> Beautifully out of the way. New moon was


00:24:07.840 --> 00:24:09.909
last Friday. So, we're in a young


00:24:09.919 --> 00:24:12.870
crescent evening sky and the deep sky is


00:24:12.880 --> 00:24:15.669
still yours. Over the next week, the


00:24:15.679 --> 00:24:18.070
moon climbs back into the evening and


00:24:18.080 --> 00:24:21.190
walks past two landmarks worth knowing.


00:24:21.200 --> 00:24:24.149
and Taries, the red heart of Scorpius,


00:24:24.159 --> 00:24:26.950
and the teapot of Sagittarius.


00:24:26.960 --> 00:24:29.269
Use the moon to find them between now


00:24:29.279 --> 00:24:32.230
and the 20th. And from Sydney, the


00:24:32.240 --> 00:24:34.549
center of the Milky Way is still riding


00:24:34.559 --> 00:24:37.830
high overhead after dark. That dense


00:24:37.840 --> 00:24:40.390
textured band through the teapot is the


00:24:40.400 --> 00:24:43.029
galactic core, and it is one of the


00:24:43.039 --> 00:24:45.029
genuine privileges of southern


00:24:45.039 --> 00:24:47.430
observing. From mid-n northern


00:24:47.440 --> 00:24:50.149
latitudes, it's much lower in the south.


00:24:50.159 --> 00:24:52.390
So, northern listeners should hunt for a


00:24:52.400 --> 00:24:54.789
clear southern horizon while the season


00:24:54.799 --> 00:24:56.149
lasts.


00:24:56.159 --> 00:24:59.590
>> Planets. Venus is the headline.


00:24:59.600 --> 00:25:02.149
>> Venus is the headline and Thursday is


00:25:02.159 --> 00:25:05.110
the date. On the 18th of September,


00:25:05.120 --> 00:25:07.350
Venus reaches greatest brilliancancy for


00:25:07.360 --> 00:25:10.789
this evening apparition at magnitude


00:25:10.799 --> 00:25:12.390
4.8.


00:25:12.400 --> 00:25:15.110
That is spectacularly bright. Bright


00:25:15.120 --> 00:25:17.110
enough to cast a shadow from a dark


00:25:17.120 --> 00:25:19.430
sight. bright enough that you'll field


00:25:19.440 --> 00:25:22.230
phone calls about it. Look west shortly


00:25:22.240 --> 00:25:24.470
after sunset. You'll notice some


00:25:24.480 --> 00:25:26.950
listings give a different date for this.


00:25:26.960 --> 00:25:29.269
We're going with the 18th, which is the


00:25:29.279 --> 00:25:31.990
correct one for the standard definition.


00:25:32.000 --> 00:25:34.789
And this apparition favors the south.


00:25:34.799 --> 00:25:37.510
From Sydney, Venus sits higher and


00:25:37.520 --> 00:25:40.070
lingers longer in a darker sky than it


00:25:40.080 --> 00:25:42.310
does from most of the United States,


00:25:42.320 --> 00:25:44.549
where it's a lower, briefer object in


00:25:44.559 --> 00:25:47.830
the twilight. Take the win. Anything


00:25:47.840 --> 00:25:49.510
else worth chasing?


00:25:49.520 --> 00:25:52.310
>> Three things. Mercury is low in the


00:25:52.320 --> 00:25:54.950
western twilight. Tricky, but doable


00:25:54.960 --> 00:25:58.070
with a clear horizon. Mars is in the


00:25:58.080 --> 00:26:01.590
morning sky and passes about 6° south of


00:26:01.600 --> 00:26:03.830
Pollock, the brighter of the Gemini


00:26:03.840 --> 00:26:07.430
twins, also on the 18th. That one's a


00:26:07.440 --> 00:26:10.390
northern favored view. And Saturn is


00:26:10.400 --> 00:26:12.470
building towards opposition on the 4th


00:26:12.480 --> 00:26:16.470
of October with the rings about 7° open.


00:26:16.480 --> 00:26:18.789
So, it is well placed all night and


00:26:18.799 --> 00:26:21.590
getting better. The harvest moon rides


00:26:21.600 --> 00:26:25.029
past it on the 26th with Neptune nearby


00:26:25.039 --> 00:26:28.230
for anyone with binoculars or a scope.


00:26:28.240 --> 00:26:30.070
>> There's also a date for the diary next


00:26:30.080 --> 00:26:31.269
Saturday.


00:26:31.279 --> 00:26:34.070
>> There is the 19th of September is


00:26:34.080 --> 00:26:36.470
International Observe the Moon night,


00:26:36.480 --> 00:26:38.789
which is one of the few global astronomy


00:26:38.799 --> 00:26:40.789
events that works equally well from


00:26:40.799 --> 00:26:42.950
either hemisphere with no equipment at


00:26:42.960 --> 00:26:45.750
all. The moon will be a fat crescent in


00:26:45.760 --> 00:26:48.470
the evening sky, which is genuinely the


00:26:48.480 --> 00:26:50.710
best phase for it because the shadows


00:26:50.720 --> 00:26:52.870
along the terminator throw the craters


00:26:52.880 --> 00:26:55.430
and mountains into relief. If you've got


00:26:55.440 --> 00:26:57.669
a pair of binoculars, that's all you


00:26:57.679 --> 00:26:59.990
need. If you've got a telescope and a


00:27:00.000 --> 00:27:02.070
neighbor, that's even better.


00:27:02.080 --> 00:27:04.230
>> And the equinox is coming.


00:27:04.240 --> 00:27:07.669
>> The 22nd, spring here, autumn for our


00:27:07.679 --> 00:27:09.669
northern listeners, and it brings the


00:27:09.679 --> 00:27:12.549
zodiacal light with it. That's sunlight


00:27:12.559 --> 00:27:14.630
scattering off dust in the plane of the


00:27:14.640 --> 00:27:17.190
solar system. And around the equinox,


00:27:17.200 --> 00:27:19.669
it's an evening object low in the west


00:27:19.679 --> 00:27:22.149
from the southern hemisphere, a false


00:27:22.159 --> 00:27:25.110
dusk, and a pre-dawn object in the east


00:27:25.120 --> 00:27:27.669
from the northern hemisphere. A faint


00:27:27.679 --> 00:27:31.269
tapering cone of light, dark skies, no


00:27:31.279 --> 00:27:33.269
moon, and patience.


00:27:33.279 --> 00:27:35.110
>> And the safety note, which is not


00:27:35.120 --> 00:27:36.950
optional on this program,


00:27:36.960 --> 00:27:39.750
>> never optional. With Venus at its most


00:27:39.760 --> 00:27:41.830
brilliant, some of you will be tempted


00:27:41.840 --> 00:27:44.230
to hunt it in daylight and it is


00:27:44.240 --> 00:27:46.630
genuinely findable. But that means


00:27:46.640 --> 00:27:49.350
aiming optics near the sun and that is


00:27:49.360 --> 00:27:51.269
how people permanently damage their


00:27:51.279 --> 00:27:53.750
eyes. If you are going to look anywhere


00:27:53.760 --> 00:27:56.549
near the sun, use a filter certified to


00:27:56.559 --> 00:27:59.830
the ISO 12312-2


00:27:59.840 --> 00:28:01.990
standard fitted over the front of the


00:28:02.000 --> 00:28:04.870
instrument, never at the eyepiece. Check


00:28:04.880 --> 00:28:07.029
it for scratches and pin holes before


00:28:07.039 --> 00:28:10.789
every use. Sunglasses, exposed film,


00:28:10.799 --> 00:28:13.190
smoked glass, and welding glass below


00:28:13.200 --> 00:28:17.510
shade 14 are not safe and never were and


00:28:17.520 --> 00:28:20.310
supervised children the entire time.


00:28:20.320 --> 00:28:22.230
>> And that's Astronomy Daily for Monday


00:28:22.240 --> 00:28:26.470
the 14th of September. 2,884


00:28:26.480 --> 00:28:29.190
supernova rebuilt from three decades of


00:28:29.200 --> 00:28:32.070
observations by an Australian-led team


00:28:32.080 --> 00:28:34.389
quietly making the case that dark energy


00:28:34.399 --> 00:28:35.990
might not hold still.


00:28:36.000 --> 00:28:38.470
>> A sun that may have eaten a super Earth


00:28:38.480 --> 00:28:40.950
and still carries the receipt. A


00:28:40.960 --> 00:28:43.190
reminder that the sun's quiet years are


00:28:43.200 --> 00:28:45.350
the ones that let the galaxy's particles


00:28:45.360 --> 00:28:48.070
through. and the most sensitive exomoon


00:28:48.080 --> 00:28:50.950
search ever attempted, finding precisely


00:28:50.960 --> 00:28:54.310
nothing in the most useful possible way.


00:28:54.320 --> 00:28:56.630
>> All of today's stories with links to the


00:28:56.640 --> 00:28:58.870
papers and the press releases are at


00:28:58.880 --> 00:29:01.269
astronomyaily.io.


00:29:01.279 --> 00:29:03.190
You'll find the full back catalog there,


00:29:03.200 --> 00:29:05.269
too, along with our news feed and the


00:29:05.279 --> 00:29:06.789
newsletter if you'd like this in your


00:29:06.799 --> 00:29:07.750
inbox.


00:29:07.760 --> 00:29:10.149
>> And we do read the contact form.


00:29:10.159 --> 00:29:12.789
questions, corrections, and story tips


00:29:12.799 --> 00:29:15.029
all land with us, and they have shaped


00:29:15.039 --> 00:29:17.510
more than one segment lately. You can


00:29:17.520 --> 00:29:20.310
also find us on socials at Astro Daily


00:29:20.320 --> 00:29:21.190
Pod.


00:29:21.200 --> 00:29:23.590
>> Astronomy Daily is part of the bytes.com


00:29:23.600 --> 00:29:25.830
podcast network. I'm Anna


00:29:25.840 --> 00:29:28.870
>> and I'm Avery. Clear skies wherever


00:29:28.880 --> 00:29:41.029
you're standing.


00:29:41.039 --> 00:29:44.840
Stories told.