June 12, 2026

Space Chronicles: Blue Origin’s Boom, The Case for Primordial Black Holes | Space Nuts:...

Space Chronicles: Blue Origin’s Boom, The Case for Primordial Black Holes | Space Nuts:...
Space Chronicles: Blue Origin’s Boom, The Case for Primordial Black Holes | Space Nuts:...
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Space Chronicles: Blue Origin’s Boom, The Case for Primordial Black Holes | Space Nuts:...

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Space Exploration: Blue Origin's Explosive Test and the Mysteries of the Universe In this thrilling episode of Space Nuts , hosts Andrew Dunkley and Professor Fred Watson reunite to discuss a range of captivating topics, including the recent explosive test of Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket, primordial black holes, and the ongoing debate around dark energy. Buckle up as we delve into the cosmos and explore these fascinating themes.

Episode Highlights:

- Blue Origin's Test Launch: The episode kicks off with an analysis of the dramatic Blue Origin test that resulted in an explosive incident at Cape Canaveral, raising questions about the future of the Artemis programme and the implications for upcoming lunar missions.

- Primordial Black Holes: Andrew and Fred Watson discuss a recent microlensing event observed in the Large Magellanic Cloud, exploring the possibility that the mysterious object, dubbed Phoebe, could be a primordial black hole, a concept first proposed by Stephen Hawking.

- Gravitational Microlensing Explained: The hosts break down the phenomenon of gravitational microlensing, illustrating how invisible objects can magnify the light of distant stars and what this means for our understanding of dark matter and the universe.

- Dark Energy: A Possible Furphy? A thought-provoking discussion ensues about the nature of dark energy, with insights from a recent paper suggesting that our current model of the universe may be oversimplified, raising the possibility that dark energy may not be necessary at all.


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Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.


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- Blue Origin's Explosive Test

- Understanding Primordial Black Holes

- Gravitational Microlensing Phenomenon

- The Debate Around Dark Energy

- Implications for Future Space Exploration

Episode link: https://play.headliner.app/episode/33758087?utm_source=youtube

WEBVTT
Kind: captions
Language: en

00:00:02.879 --> 00:00:04.710
Hello again. Thank you for joining us.


00:00:04.720 --> 00:00:06.710
This is Space Nuts, where we talk


00:00:06.720 --> 00:00:09.430
astronomy and space science. My name is


00:00:09.440 --> 00:00:10.950
Andrew Dunley. Great to have your


00:00:10.960 --> 00:00:12.870
company. Well, you've probably been


00:00:12.880 --> 00:00:15.110
listening to Jonty for the last few


00:00:15.120 --> 00:00:18.230
weeks with Fred overseas, gallivanting


00:00:18.240 --> 00:00:22.310
as he does. He loves to gallivant. And


00:00:22.320 --> 00:00:24.230
he's back. And what we're going to talk


00:00:24.240 --> 00:00:26.230
about today, uh, all sorts of things.


00:00:26.240 --> 00:00:28.630
The Blue Origin blowout. You've probably


00:00:28.640 --> 00:00:31.589
seen the footage. Wow. Uh, primordial


00:00:31.599 --> 00:00:33.190
black holes, gravitational micro


00:00:33.200 --> 00:00:36.870
lensing, and is dark matter a fury.


00:00:36.880 --> 00:00:38.950
We'll deal with all of that today on


00:00:38.960 --> 00:00:40.069
Space Nuts.


00:00:40.079 --> 00:00:44.950
>> 15 seconds. Guidance is internal. 10 9g


00:00:44.960 --> 00:00:46.630
Ignition sequence start.


00:00:46.640 --> 00:00:47.590
>> Space nuts.


00:00:47.600 --> 00:00:52.549
>> 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 4 3 2 1


00:00:52.559 --> 00:00:53.750
>> Space Nuts.


00:00:53.760 --> 00:00:56.869
>> Astronauts report. It feels good.


00:00:56.879 --> 00:00:59.510
>> And he's back. and he's looking well.


00:00:59.520 --> 00:01:01.590
It's Professor Fred Watson, astronomer


00:01:01.600 --> 00:01:03.189
at large. Hello, Fred.


00:01:03.199 --> 00:01:04.789
>> Hello, Andrew. You're looking well, too.


00:01:04.799 --> 00:01:05.830
It's nice to see you.


00:01:05.840 --> 00:01:07.990
>> Yeah, it's good to see you, too. I mean,


00:01:08.000 --> 00:01:09.750
it's been a while for both of us


00:01:09.760 --> 00:01:12.870
because, uh, we had to do a lot of


00:01:12.880 --> 00:01:14.710
catchup episodes, but we didn't quite


00:01:14.720 --> 00:01:16.230
have enough time to cover everything, so


00:01:16.240 --> 00:01:17.830
we brought Jonty in.


00:01:17.840 --> 00:01:20.070
>> Uh, but he and I had to do catchup


00:01:20.080 --> 00:01:23.190
episodes to cover an absence of mine.


00:01:23.200 --> 00:01:26.550
So, um I haven't actually recorded with


00:01:26.560 --> 00:01:28.310
you for quite a while.


00:01:28.320 --> 00:01:30.390
>> Yes. Yeah. Must be a couple of months or


00:01:30.400 --> 00:01:30.710
so.


00:01:30.720 --> 00:01:32.310
>> Yeah, it would be. But it doesn't sound


00:01:32.320 --> 00:01:34.630
like that to the audience. Really?


00:01:34.640 --> 00:01:35.590
>> No, probably not.


00:01:35.600 --> 00:01:39.270
>> Yes. It's all witchery.


00:01:39.280 --> 00:01:41.429
>> Well, we Yeah, I think so. I think so.


00:01:41.439 --> 00:01:42.950
Yeah, there's at least two or three of


00:01:42.960 --> 00:01:43.590
them.


00:01:43.600 --> 00:01:44.710
>> Yeah. Okay, good.


00:01:44.720 --> 00:01:47.109
>> So, where did where did you go? You you


00:01:47.119 --> 00:01:48.069
were all over the place.


00:01:48.079 --> 00:01:51.590
>> Uh yes. So it was uh a conference in


00:01:51.600 --> 00:01:53.910
Germany that took me up to Europe and


00:01:53.920 --> 00:01:56.389
that that actually wasn't really


00:01:56.399 --> 00:01:59.350
interesting um because in fact I was


00:01:59.360 --> 00:02:01.109
going to Scotland before that. I had a


00:02:01.119 --> 00:02:03.510
week with my daughters in Scotland and


00:02:03.520 --> 00:02:05.749
then off to Germany. But the trip there


00:02:05.759 --> 00:02:08.309
of course um we can't fly through the


00:02:08.319 --> 00:02:10.869
Middle East at the moment because of the


00:02:10.879 --> 00:02:15.030
war going on there. And so my flight via


00:02:15.040 --> 00:02:17.830
via Dubai, they were long cancelled, but


00:02:17.840 --> 00:02:20.790
Marley managed to pull me a flight up to


00:02:20.800 --> 00:02:24.869
Seoul in Korea. And then on thin air


00:02:24.879 --> 00:02:27.830
from Soul over the North Pole, and I've


00:02:27.840 --> 00:02:29.750
actually got a certificate to prove that


00:02:29.760 --> 00:02:32.070
I've been over the North Pole. It's over


00:02:32.080 --> 00:02:34.150
there. I can't go and grab it, but


00:02:34.160 --> 00:02:36.550
>> uh and then into into Helsinki, and then


00:02:36.560 --> 00:02:40.550
yes, it was cold. Then then um uh across


00:02:40.560 --> 00:02:42.229
to Edinburgh. So the the polar flight


00:02:42.239 --> 00:02:43.670
was really interesting because we


00:02:43.680 --> 00:02:47.190
started off in Seoul in Korea uh and


00:02:47.200 --> 00:02:50.550
then you know took off uh with with Vin


00:02:50.560 --> 00:02:53.830
Air and I expected us to head towards


00:02:53.840 --> 00:02:56.949
the towards the west cuz that's what you


00:02:56.959 --> 00:02:59.670
do. Uh but no, we headed to the east.


00:02:59.680 --> 00:02:59.990
Wow.


00:03:00.000 --> 00:03:03.830
>> And we actually went up between Russia


00:03:03.840 --> 00:03:06.790
and America. So up the Bearing Straight.


00:03:06.800 --> 00:03:07.190
Wow.


00:03:07.200 --> 00:03:09.509
>> So, it went far enough east that you


00:03:09.519 --> 00:03:11.190
could turn north right up the bearing


00:03:11.200 --> 00:03:12.790
straight. So, you got Russia on one


00:03:12.800 --> 00:03:14.390
side, America on the other, and then


00:03:14.400 --> 00:03:17.030
over the North Pole uh with with a


00:03:17.040 --> 00:03:19.030
little Polar certificate to prove it.


00:03:19.040 --> 00:03:21.110
Nice touchdown in Helsinki. Yeah.


00:03:21.120 --> 00:03:23.509
>> Uh an hour or so there, then a nice


00:03:23.519 --> 00:03:25.350
flight over to Edinburgh. And there was


00:03:25.360 --> 00:03:28.390
with my daughter directly. It was great.


00:03:28.400 --> 00:03:31.110
>> Yeah. Fantastic. Um I've got an Arctic


00:03:31.120 --> 00:03:33.030
Circle certificate, I think.


00:03:33.040 --> 00:03:34.630
>> Yes, you will have. Yeah, I've got one


00:03:34.640 --> 00:03:35.910
of those as well, a North Cape


00:03:35.920 --> 00:03:36.869
certificate, in fact.


00:03:36.879 --> 00:03:38.390
>> Oh, yeah.


00:03:38.400 --> 00:03:40.710
>> Yeah. Um, but the conference I went to


00:03:40.720 --> 00:03:43.990
in Germany, uh, was, um, it was the 60th


00:03:44.000 --> 00:03:46.229
birthday conference of a colleague with


00:03:46.239 --> 00:03:48.630
whom I've worked very closely, uh, on


00:03:48.640 --> 00:03:50.309
the rave survey, which we've talked


00:03:50.319 --> 00:03:51.670
about before, the radio velocity


00:03:51.680 --> 00:03:54.630
experiment. Uh, Matias Steinmet's hair,


00:03:54.640 --> 00:03:57.509
Dr. Professor Matias Steinmets, uh, very


00:03:57.519 --> 00:03:59.990
senior German astronomer now. He, uh,


00:04:00.000 --> 00:04:01.589
led the project. I was the project


00:04:01.599 --> 00:04:03.110
manager. So we worked very closely


00:04:03.120 --> 00:04:05.509
together with a team of people most of


00:04:05.519 --> 00:04:07.509
whom were at the conference to celebrate


00:04:07.519 --> 00:04:10.229
his 60th birthday. So I was the sole


00:04:10.239 --> 00:04:12.070
Australian representative so they made a


00:04:12.080 --> 00:04:14.630
bit of a fuss of me which was nice. Uh I


00:04:14.640 --> 00:04:17.110
got the the kickoff talk and uh and they


00:04:17.120 --> 00:04:19.349
they looked after me. Uh so it was very


00:04:19.359 --> 00:04:21.830
very good and I I picked up a lot of


00:04:21.840 --> 00:04:24.070
what's happening currently in the field


00:04:24.080 --> 00:04:25.510
of science that we're doing. Well we


00:04:25.520 --> 00:04:26.790
might mention some of that a bit later


00:04:26.800 --> 00:04:27.590
on in the show.


00:04:27.600 --> 00:04:30.150
>> Sounds good. Uh my trip uh was a little


00:04:30.160 --> 00:04:32.629
closer to home, only a 9-hour flight


00:04:32.639 --> 00:04:35.270
away. We went to uh Vietnam for two and


00:04:35.280 --> 00:04:37.830
a half weeks. And uh people jokingly


00:04:37.840 --> 00:04:40.230
said to me, "Don't mention the war." But


00:04:40.240 --> 00:04:42.550
don't mention the war. M


00:04:42.560 --> 00:04:44.469
>> it's uh it's still very sensitive


00:04:44.479 --> 00:04:46.310
subject and and imagine


00:04:46.320 --> 00:04:48.629
>> what blew my mind and this will be of


00:04:48.639 --> 00:04:51.270
interest to um I suppose American


00:04:51.280 --> 00:04:53.030
listeners because of America's


00:04:53.040 --> 00:04:55.830
involvement in the Vietnam War but um


00:04:55.840 --> 00:04:57.990
there is still strong division between


00:04:58.000 --> 00:04:59.909
North and South


00:04:59.919 --> 00:05:02.790
>> and it hasn't been forgotten even 50


00:05:02.800 --> 00:05:05.350
years after it ended there's still very


00:05:05.360 --> 00:05:08.469
much focused on the aftermath of of that


00:05:08.479 --> 00:05:11.029
conflict


00:05:11.039 --> 00:05:12.550
>> I suppose just because it had it was


00:05:12.560 --> 00:05:14.790
such a defining time in their history.


00:05:14.800 --> 00:05:17.510
And uh I mean the Vietnam War was only a


00:05:17.520 --> 00:05:18.790
part of what they dealt with. They


00:05:18.800 --> 00:05:21.670
they'd been dealing with colonialism


00:05:21.680 --> 00:05:25.510
prior to that from France for for


00:05:25.520 --> 00:05:27.510
decades and decades.


00:05:27.520 --> 00:05:30.310
>> Uh so it's quite extraordinary. There


00:05:30.320 --> 00:05:34.230
was a a great uh documentary series I


00:05:34.240 --> 00:05:36.629
think it was on SPS in Australia called


00:05:36.639 --> 00:05:39.909
The Birth of a Nation. And uh one of our


00:05:39.919 --> 00:05:41.350
guides actually mentioned it and said,


00:05:41.360 --> 00:05:43.350
"We'd love to see it over here, but


00:05:43.360 --> 00:05:45.029
we're not allowed."


00:05:45.039 --> 00:05:46.310
>> Oh, interesting.


00:05:46.320 --> 00:05:49.110
>> So, I watched it and um I'm going to try


00:05:49.120 --> 00:05:50.790
and figure out how to get it to him, but


00:05:50.800 --> 00:05:52.550
I don't know. I don't know.


00:05:52.560 --> 00:05:52.870
>> We'll see.


00:05:52.880 --> 00:05:56.310
>> You could get You could run a foul of uh


00:05:56.320 --> 00:05:58.550
diplomatic nicities if you tried that.


00:05:58.560 --> 00:05:59.110
Who knows?


00:05:59.120 --> 00:06:01.270
>> Could do. Could do. Anyway,


00:06:01.280 --> 00:06:02.790
>> especially if you talk about it on a


00:06:02.800 --> 00:06:03.830
public podcast.


00:06:03.840 --> 00:06:07.110
>> Yeah, maybe like you are doing now. Am


00:06:07.120 --> 00:06:08.629
I?


00:06:08.639 --> 00:06:09.749
>> They're probably not allowed to watch


00:06:09.759 --> 00:06:11.670
this over in Vietnam either.


00:06:11.680 --> 00:06:13.189
>> Maybe not. Maybe not.


00:06:13.199 --> 00:06:14.870
>> It was funny though cuz I was posting


00:06:14.880 --> 00:06:17.350
posting uh some little videos. I like


00:06:17.360 --> 00:06:18.950
like to do little videos while I'm away


00:06:18.960 --> 00:06:20.950
and I was posting them on Tik Tok. I


00:06:20.960 --> 00:06:24.309
picked up 140 Vietnamese followers.


00:06:24.319 --> 00:06:26.070
>> Oh, that's fantastic.


00:06:26.080 --> 00:06:27.189
>> Yeah, I thought it was cool.


00:06:27.199 --> 00:06:29.350
>> There you go. That at least I can watch


00:06:29.360 --> 00:06:30.710
your Tik Tok stuff.


00:06:30.720 --> 00:06:33.029
>> Yeah. Yeah. Uh particularly the one I


00:06:33.039 --> 00:06:35.510
did at uh Harong Bay. It's beautiful


00:06:35.520 --> 00:06:37.909
part of the world. And I only did a


00:06:37.919 --> 00:06:40.950
60-second sort of 360 degree scan of the


00:06:40.960 --> 00:06:43.189
the place. But uh for some reason that


00:06:43.199 --> 00:06:45.830
video's gone nuts. It's uh at last count


00:06:45.840 --> 00:06:48.309
had 14 and a half thousand views.


00:06:48.319 --> 00:06:49.990
>> Whoa.


00:06:50.000 --> 00:06:52.629
>> I don't understand it, but uh yeah, that


00:06:52.639 --> 00:06:54.150
was nice.


00:06:54.160 --> 00:06:55.749
>> And we did all the other stuff. Train


00:06:55.759 --> 00:06:57.189
Street, you know, where the train runs


00:06:57.199 --> 00:06:59.430
next to the cafes in in um


00:06:59.440 --> 00:07:01.430
>> No, I didn't. Yeah. Yeah. It's very


00:07:01.440 --> 00:07:01.990
popular.


00:07:02.000 --> 00:07:03.189
>> Somewhere I should go.


00:07:03.199 --> 00:07:05.670
>> Yeah. uh up in Hanoi and uh many other


00:07:05.680 --> 00:07:07.670
places. I won't I won't bore people to


00:07:07.680 --> 00:07:09.189
tears with it. We got to get down to


00:07:09.199 --> 00:07:12.390
business. Uh our first topic, Fred, is


00:07:12.400 --> 00:07:16.230
very explosive. This is the um the the


00:07:16.240 --> 00:07:19.350
Blue Origin not launch that happened the


00:07:19.360 --> 00:07:21.510
other day. Uh in fact, I don't even


00:07:21.520 --> 00:07:23.029
think it got an inch off the ground


00:07:23.039 --> 00:07:25.990
before it went up in a beautiful um


00:07:26.000 --> 00:07:27.589
nuclear plume.


00:07:27.599 --> 00:07:29.749
>> It was very like a nuclear plume. And


00:07:29.759 --> 00:07:31.350
no, it wasn't actually meant to get off


00:07:31.360 --> 00:07:33.670
the ground. This was a fire test. So it


00:07:33.680 --> 00:07:35.270
was fired. All right.


00:07:35.280 --> 00:07:39.830
>> Yeah, it did. Uh it was um um Yes.


00:07:39.840 --> 00:07:42.070
Basically testing out the engines for


00:07:42.080 --> 00:07:44.230
for a launch that was forthcoming that


00:07:44.240 --> 00:07:47.749
was going to take a whole lot of sat uh


00:07:47.759 --> 00:07:50.390
telecommunication satellites


00:07:50.400 --> 00:07:53.510
uh up uh into orbit. Uh they were


00:07:53.520 --> 00:07:56.629
fortunately not on the rocket. Um I


00:07:56.639 --> 00:07:59.909
think there were uh the Amazon Leo uh


00:07:59.919 --> 00:08:01.909
satellites which is the what used to be


00:08:01.919 --> 00:08:04.869
called Kiper uh and is perhaps the


00:08:04.879 --> 00:08:07.909
principal com competitor potentially to


00:08:07.919 --> 00:08:10.950
Starink. Um uh anyway the satellites


00:08:10.960 --> 00:08:15.990
were not on the on the booster uh and uh


00:08:16.000 --> 00:08:19.510
it's basically was to test fire it seven


00:08:19.520 --> 00:08:21.589
engines. This is the new Glenn booster


00:08:21.599 --> 00:08:24.230
which is Blue Origin's heavy lift


00:08:24.240 --> 00:08:27.749
booster. It's not as heavy lift as the


00:08:27.759 --> 00:08:31.670
SpaceX uh super heavy uh booster that


00:08:31.680 --> 00:08:32.709
takes the Starship up.


00:08:32.719 --> 00:08:34.469
>> It's not lifting anything now, is it?


00:08:34.479 --> 00:08:38.870
>> Uh it's not. No. And uh what's it it's


00:08:38.880 --> 00:08:41.909
got sort of serious ramifications


00:08:41.919 --> 00:08:43.990
because not only did they blow up the


00:08:44.000 --> 00:08:45.910
rocket, they also blew up the launch


00:08:45.920 --> 00:08:48.630
pad. Uh effectively there's a lot of


00:08:48.640 --> 00:08:51.269
damage uh to the launchpad which is if I


00:08:51.279 --> 00:08:53.030
remember right, it is at Cape Canaveral.


00:08:53.040 --> 00:08:57.590
>> Yeah, I think so. Uh and um that uh


00:08:57.600 --> 00:08:59.430
explosion has caused damage that people


00:08:59.440 --> 00:09:02.230
are now talking about several months if


00:09:02.240 --> 00:09:05.990
not a year or so to repair. Uh and


00:09:06.000 --> 00:09:07.910
that's bad because that's the only


00:09:07.920 --> 00:09:09.750
facility in the world that can launch


00:09:09.760 --> 00:09:11.670
the new Glenn booster.


00:09:11.680 --> 00:09:13.829
>> And the new Glen booster is needed for


00:09:13.839 --> 00:09:17.269
the Arteimus program. Uh uh in


00:09:17.279 --> 00:09:20.710
particular uh later this year there was


00:09:20.720 --> 00:09:24.710
supposed to be a test launch of the


00:09:24.720 --> 00:09:27.430
their Blue Moon lander. This is Blue


00:09:27.440 --> 00:09:31.750
Origins Luna lander um which is the uh


00:09:31.760 --> 00:09:35.990
the um basically uh the competition if I


00:09:36.000 --> 00:09:38.310
can put it that way with the SpaceX


00:09:38.320 --> 00:09:41.430
Starship. So NASA contracted both SpaceX


00:09:41.440 --> 00:09:44.870
and Blue Origin to develop a lander,


00:09:44.880 --> 00:09:47.590
Luna lander for the moon. SP X has


00:09:47.600 --> 00:09:51.509
theirs based on the Starship. Um this


00:09:51.519 --> 00:09:53.910
what is it 4 to 50 m tall? It's


00:09:53.920 --> 00:09:54.949
colossal.


00:09:54.959 --> 00:09:56.949
>> Uh to land that on a rough surface on


00:09:56.959 --> 00:09:59.509
the moon, I'm not sure I'd be that keen


00:09:59.519 --> 00:10:02.230
on that, but never mind. uh the uh the


00:10:02.240 --> 00:10:06.230
Blue Origin version, the Blue uh Blue


00:10:06.240 --> 00:10:08.710
Moon as it's called. Uh that is only


00:10:08.720 --> 00:10:12.230
eight stories high. Uh so it's it's uh


00:10:12.240 --> 00:10:15.030
shorter. Uh but these two are both in


00:10:15.040 --> 00:10:17.590
the running to land the first astronauts


00:10:17.600 --> 00:10:20.550
on the lunar surface in 2028. Yeah. Uh


00:10:20.560 --> 00:10:23.430
so um there was going to be a test of uh


00:10:23.440 --> 00:10:27.190
the the U New Glenn heavy lifter lifting


00:10:27.200 --> 00:10:32.150
up a blue moon um landing vehicle uh a


00:10:32.160 --> 00:10:35.030
prototype landing vehicle uh into into


00:10:35.040 --> 00:10:36.870
orbit and actually to touch it down on


00:10:36.880 --> 00:10:38.389
the moon and that was supposed to happen


00:10:38.399 --> 00:10:40.630
this year. That's clearly off the agenda


00:10:40.640 --> 00:10:43.110
now. Yeah. Uh and so um it's not going


00:10:43.120 --> 00:10:44.630
to happen. Actually, it's a little bit


00:10:44.640 --> 00:10:47.350
sad because I've just read today that


00:10:47.360 --> 00:10:50.069
that Luna lander um which of course


00:10:50.079 --> 00:10:51.670
wasn't on board the rocket when it


00:10:51.680 --> 00:10:53.910
exploded has just passed with flying


00:10:53.920 --> 00:10:56.790
colors its environmental test. There's


00:10:56.800 --> 00:10:58.470
an environmental test that everything


00:10:58.480 --> 00:11:00.470
goes through. is in a huge vacuum


00:11:00.480 --> 00:11:04.790
chamber um which is a NASA facility


00:11:04.800 --> 00:11:08.150
uh and you can you can change the uh the


00:11:08.160 --> 00:11:11.430
temperature to match those huge extremes


00:11:11.440 --> 00:11:12.870
of temperature that you would get on the


00:11:12.880 --> 00:11:15.590
moon. Uh so there the their prototype


00:11:15.600 --> 00:11:18.630
lunar lander the blue moon mark1 which


00:11:18.640 --> 00:11:21.030
is called endurance which is a great


00:11:21.040 --> 00:11:23.190
name because that's not what's happened


00:11:23.200 --> 00:11:25.430
to the booster but endurance has passed


00:11:25.440 --> 00:11:27.269
with flying colors. Sadly, at the


00:11:27.279 --> 00:11:28.710
moment, there's nothing to take it into


00:11:28.720 --> 00:11:31.030
space. So, we'll have to see how that


00:11:31.040 --> 00:11:31.670
evolves.


00:11:31.680 --> 00:11:35.430
>> Yeah, I think you you and I spoke about


00:11:35.440 --> 00:11:37.750
NASA looking at other options other than


00:11:37.760 --> 00:11:40.710
SpaceX um not long before you you went


00:11:40.720 --> 00:11:45.670
away and um and and now this is kind of,


00:11:45.680 --> 00:11:47.509
>> for one of a better term, blown up in


00:11:47.519 --> 00:11:49.670
Blue Origin's face because that takes


00:11:49.680 --> 00:11:51.910
them off the table, doesn't it? Uh it


00:11:51.920 --> 00:11:54.470
seems to for a while unless they can do


00:11:54.480 --> 00:11:58.389
some very rapid repairs to the launch


00:11:58.399 --> 00:12:01.350
vehic uh the sorry the launch site


00:12:01.360 --> 00:12:03.829
>> uh the launch facility. So yeah it could


00:12:03.839 --> 00:12:06.550
push back. So the idea was that late


00:12:06.560 --> 00:12:09.910
next year uh there would be the Optimus


00:12:09.920 --> 00:12:12.949
3 flight which would consist of these


00:12:12.959 --> 00:12:15.990
two potential lunar landing vehicles. Um


00:12:16.000 --> 00:12:18.790
the Starship on Space X's side, the Blue


00:12:18.800 --> 00:12:21.269
Moon on Blue Origin side. They were both


00:12:21.279 --> 00:12:23.990
going to be launched into Earth orbit uh


00:12:24.000 --> 00:12:27.430
to have um rendevous tests uh to


00:12:27.440 --> 00:12:29.910
demonstrate that their viability. Uh


00:12:29.920 --> 00:12:32.230
when you link them to the space launch


00:12:32.240 --> 00:12:34.069
system, the the basically the Orion


00:12:34.079 --> 00:12:36.310
spacecraft, which is what took the


00:12:36.320 --> 00:12:38.790
Arteimus 2 astronauts around the moon,


00:12:38.800 --> 00:12:41.110
that will take Artemis 3, beg you


00:12:41.120 --> 00:12:44.069
pardon, Otimus 4 astronauts to the moon,


00:12:44.079 --> 00:12:46.790
but to land they've got to transfer into


00:12:46.800 --> 00:12:48.790
another spacecraft and land on the lunar


00:12:48.800 --> 00:12:52.069
surface. So all that I think is being


00:12:52.079 --> 00:12:54.629
thrown into question uh with this


00:12:54.639 --> 00:12:56.470
explosion. We will wait to see. It's


00:12:56.480 --> 00:12:57.990
still too early. We don't even know what


00:12:58.000 --> 00:13:01.590
caused it yet. Uh it's it was only uh


00:13:01.600 --> 00:13:04.550
less than a week ago as we as we speak.


00:13:04.560 --> 00:13:07.590
Uh it was so we don't actually know what


00:13:07.600 --> 00:13:09.509
the consequences are likely to be, but


00:13:09.519 --> 00:13:11.990
they could be quite serious for the


00:13:12.000 --> 00:13:13.030
Otimus program.


00:13:13.040 --> 00:13:16.870
>> Yeah. Uh, I mean, uh, I think Elon Musk


00:13:16.880 --> 00:13:19.430
calls these things, um, successful


00:13:19.440 --> 00:13:22.150
failures. I I don't know.


00:13:22.160 --> 00:13:24.629
>> A rapid unscheduled disintegration.


00:13:24.639 --> 00:13:26.310
>> Yes. I don't know what Jeff Bezos calls


00:13:26.320 --> 00:13:29.110
them, but um,


00:13:29.120 --> 00:13:30.790
>> yeah, hopefully they can get down to the


00:13:30.800 --> 00:13:32.389
bottom of it, but it Yeah, it does throw


00:13:32.399 --> 00:13:34.069
a spanner into the works. Maybe it was a


00:13:34.079 --> 00:13:35.509
spanner thrown into the works that


00:13:35.519 --> 00:13:38.870
caused the explosion. Who who knows? The


00:13:38.880 --> 00:13:40.870
the one good news story part of the


00:13:40.880 --> 00:13:43.269
story is nobody was injured.


00:13:43.279 --> 00:13:45.030
Yeah. Wow. Because it, you know, when


00:13:45.040 --> 00:13:46.470
you, as you said, it looked like a


00:13:46.480 --> 00:13:49.430
nuclear explosion. It was incredible.


00:13:49.440 --> 00:13:52.790
>> Uh, and um the so there was huge


00:13:52.800 --> 00:13:54.629
potential for injury there, but but


00:13:54.639 --> 00:13:55.990
everybody was accounted for.


00:13:56.000 --> 00:13:59.509
>> I I actually read today that some people


00:13:59.519 --> 00:14:02.230
who watched the explosion


00:14:02.240 --> 00:14:03.910
um this this sort of demonstrates how


00:14:03.920 --> 00:14:08.150
big and powerful it was took 37 seconds


00:14:08.160 --> 00:14:11.430
to feel the shock wave.


00:14:11.440 --> 00:14:13.110
>> Really? So they must have been a long


00:14:13.120 --> 00:14:13.829
way away.


00:14:13.839 --> 00:14:15.670
>> Yeah. But they could see it quite


00:14:15.680 --> 00:14:17.509
clearly. It was such a big explosion.


00:14:17.519 --> 00:14:19.990
But the shock wave took 37 seconds to


00:14:20.000 --> 00:14:20.230
reach


00:14:20.240 --> 00:14:23.509
>> there. That's amazing.


00:14:23.519 --> 00:14:26.710
>> Yeah. All right. Um so uh yeah, it it


00:14:26.720 --> 00:14:28.550
does sort of throw into question the


00:14:28.560 --> 00:14:31.590
future of Blue Origin um partnering with


00:14:31.600 --> 00:14:35.590
NASA for Artimus 3, but uh never write


00:14:35.600 --> 00:14:39.110
these people off. I've I've discovered


00:14:39.120 --> 00:14:42.230
>> we're not doing that. Um they will rise


00:14:42.240 --> 00:14:44.389
phoenix-l like from the ashes but it the


00:14:44.399 --> 00:14:46.470
question is how soon and what it will do


00:14:46.480 --> 00:14:47.750
to NASA's schedule.


00:14:47.760 --> 00:14:49.590
>> Exactly with Artemis. Yeah.


00:14:49.600 --> 00:14:51.269
>> More to come on that and you can read


00:14:51.279 --> 00:14:54.629
about it uh at the conversation website.


00:14:54.639 --> 00:14:56.710
This is Space Nuts. Andrew Dunley with


00:14:56.720 --> 00:15:00.150
Professor Fred Watson.


00:15:00.160 --> 00:15:01.829
Let's take a short break from the show


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>> Okay, we checked all four systems and


00:16:50.000 --> 00:16:50.550
with the go.


00:16:50.560 --> 00:16:51.910
>> Space Nuts


00:16:51.920 --> 00:16:55.749
>> now. And next story, Fred, uh, has a lot


00:16:55.759 --> 00:16:57.509
of moving parts as well. Nothing


00:16:57.519 --> 00:17:00.710
explosive, but uh, we're we're talking


00:17:00.720 --> 00:17:02.470
what primordial black holes and


00:17:02.480 --> 00:17:04.390
gravitational microlensing. Is that is


00:17:04.400 --> 00:17:05.270
that


00:17:05.280 --> 00:17:06.549
>> what it's about?


00:17:06.559 --> 00:17:08.870
>> It it's uh certainly the gravitational


00:17:08.880 --> 00:17:11.429
microlensing. Uh, what it means for


00:17:11.439 --> 00:17:14.549
primordial black holes, we remains to be


00:17:14.559 --> 00:17:16.789
seen, but uh, it's a good opportunity to


00:17:16.799 --> 00:17:18.309
talk about it and talk about the latest


00:17:18.319 --> 00:17:20.549
research on this. So, what's the story?


00:17:20.559 --> 00:17:23.990
Um on the night of the 18th of December


00:17:24.000 --> 00:17:26.069
2019,


00:17:26.079 --> 00:17:30.470
uh there was uh a microlensing event


00:17:30.480 --> 00:17:33.029
observed with a star in the large


00:17:33.039 --> 00:17:35.430
Melanic cloud, the the the nearest of


00:17:35.440 --> 00:17:38.630
our sort of largeish galactic neighbors,


00:17:38.640 --> 00:17:41.590
the um the the the satellite galaxy of


00:17:41.600 --> 00:17:44.789
our Milky Way, 165,000 light years away


00:17:44.799 --> 00:17:47.909
as the crow flies as far as I remember.


00:17:47.919 --> 00:17:50.789
So um what's a microlensing event? Well,


00:17:50.799 --> 00:17:53.909
something passes in front of a star. Uh,


00:17:53.919 --> 00:17:55.430
you can't actually see the something


00:17:55.440 --> 00:17:57.669
because it's too faint. You can see the


00:17:57.679 --> 00:18:00.150
light of the star. And you might think


00:18:00.160 --> 00:18:01.830
there's something passing in front of a


00:18:01.840 --> 00:18:04.710
star, it would dim the light of the


00:18:04.720 --> 00:18:07.029
star. But actually, if the geometry is


00:18:07.039 --> 00:18:08.710
right, in other words, if the if there's


00:18:08.720 --> 00:18:10.390
something that passes between you and


00:18:10.400 --> 00:18:12.549
the star is far enough away from the


00:18:12.559 --> 00:18:15.110
star, you get the opposite effect. the


00:18:15.120 --> 00:18:17.510
um distortion of the space around the


00:18:17.520 --> 00:18:20.549
invisible object uh actually acts as a


00:18:20.559 --> 00:18:23.190
magnifying glass and so you get a


00:18:23.200 --> 00:18:25.590
brightening of the light of the distant


00:18:25.600 --> 00:18:28.310
star. Uh and this is a phenomenon known


00:18:28.320 --> 00:18:30.549
as gravitational microlensing. It's well


00:18:30.559 --> 00:18:32.870
established, well observed. Uh there's a


00:18:32.880 --> 00:18:35.830
team in New Zealand which um is very


00:18:35.840 --> 00:18:38.150
very adept at these microlensing


00:18:38.160 --> 00:18:43.510
observations. Uh so um what we see when


00:18:43.520 --> 00:18:45.750
that happens is a rise in the brightness


00:18:45.760 --> 00:18:48.870
of the star and then a fall in the


00:18:48.880 --> 00:18:51.430
brightness of the background star uh


00:18:51.440 --> 00:18:54.470
which you we call a excuse me we call a


00:18:54.480 --> 00:18:56.870
light curve. It's the way the light


00:18:56.880 --> 00:18:58.549
changes over time. You can plot it out


00:18:58.559 --> 00:19:00.549
as a graph and it's got a very


00:19:00.559 --> 00:19:02.390
characteristic shape. It's a bit like a


00:19:02.400 --> 00:19:05.510
a rather elongated volcano. It's got a


00:19:05.520 --> 00:19:09.110
steady rise to a peak and then a rapid


00:19:09.120 --> 00:19:11.669
fall that falls away very like the


00:19:11.679 --> 00:19:14.310
flanks of a a volcano. So that's the


00:19:14.320 --> 00:19:17.909
sort of shape. So this uh was the event


00:19:17.919 --> 00:19:20.150
that was observed on the 18th of


00:19:20.160 --> 00:19:21.830
December.


00:19:21.840 --> 00:19:23.350
Can't remember which telescope it was


00:19:23.360 --> 00:19:27.270
used. Uh but we have a group of


00:19:27.280 --> 00:19:30.950
Australians who are directly involved


00:19:30.960 --> 00:19:35.430
with this. Uh so they the question is


00:19:35.440 --> 00:19:38.070
what was the object that passed in front


00:19:38.080 --> 00:19:39.909
of the star?


00:19:39.919 --> 00:19:41.510
>> Guess


00:19:41.520 --> 00:19:43.990
>> maybe a primordial black hole.


00:19:44.000 --> 00:19:47.909
>> Well that's that's the perhaps the most


00:19:47.919 --> 00:19:52.549
um provocative explanation. Uh they've


00:19:52.559 --> 00:19:53.830
given it a name this thing. They've


00:19:53.840 --> 00:19:55.669
called it Phoebe which is I think a


00:19:55.679 --> 00:19:59.750
lovely name actually. Um but uh the


00:19:59.760 --> 00:20:05.909
issue is it is kind of too small to be


00:20:05.919 --> 00:20:10.549
anything normal if you put it that way.


00:20:10.559 --> 00:20:15.029
>> Um so what are the possibilities? One is


00:20:15.039 --> 00:20:18.549
a what we sometimes call a rogue planet


00:20:18.559 --> 00:20:21.270
or a an orphan planet. Better known


00:20:21.280 --> 00:20:23.110
perhaps as a free floating planet. In


00:20:23.120 --> 00:20:26.070
other words, a planetary sized object.


00:20:26.080 --> 00:20:28.070
maybe something that's been ejected from


00:20:28.080 --> 00:20:31.110
its solar system or something that never


00:20:31.120 --> 00:20:33.430
gained enough mass to become a star and


00:20:33.440 --> 00:20:36.630
it's just sort of wandering uh through


00:20:36.640 --> 00:20:38.630
the galaxy. Uh there we know there are


00:20:38.640 --> 00:20:41.350
many of these things. Uh so that could


00:20:41.360 --> 00:20:44.070
be one of the uh one of the explanations


00:20:44.080 --> 00:20:48.390
for it. But uh the the issue is this


00:20:48.400 --> 00:20:53.110
thing has basically got a very very


00:20:53.120 --> 00:20:56.149
small mass. Uh it's only about three


00:20:56.159 --> 00:20:57.990
times the mass of the moon.


00:20:58.000 --> 00:20:58.470
>> Oh.


00:20:58.480 --> 00:21:01.430
>> Uh and that's kind of small for a


00:21:01.440 --> 00:21:06.549
planet. Uh so it suggests it's an object


00:21:06.559 --> 00:21:10.310
that is, you know, not a dwarf planet or


00:21:10.320 --> 00:21:11.990
sorry, a rogue planet or an orphan


00:21:12.000 --> 00:21:15.350
planet. Um and it points towards this


00:21:15.360 --> 00:21:19.350
much more exotic notion of a primordial


00:21:19.360 --> 00:21:22.149
black hole. Uh which you've kind of, you


00:21:22.159 --> 00:21:24.070
know, you've already flagged. Uh, and


00:21:24.080 --> 00:21:26.470
that's where it gets really exciting.


00:21:26.480 --> 00:21:29.830
So, primordial black holes, we've talked


00:21:29.840 --> 00:21:32.070
about them before. They were predicted


00:21:32.080 --> 00:21:36.230
by Steven Hawking. Um, they were


00:21:36.240 --> 00:21:38.950
predicted by him to have been a


00:21:38.960 --> 00:21:41.110
byproduct of the big bang. In other


00:21:41.120 --> 00:21:43.990
words, these are things that don't form


00:21:44.000 --> 00:21:46.549
from collapsing stars like the stellar


00:21:46.559 --> 00:21:50.390
mass black holes that we see, but from


00:21:50.400 --> 00:21:54.070
um well, basically um fluctuations in


00:21:54.080 --> 00:21:58.630
the density uh in the first few


00:21:58.640 --> 00:22:01.110
milliseconds after the big bang, the


00:22:01.120 --> 00:22:03.909
density of that hot medium. Uh, in other


00:22:03.919 --> 00:22:05.830
words, you know, if you could get these


00:22:05.840 --> 00:22:07.430
little spots that collapse


00:22:07.440 --> 00:22:10.390
instantaneously to become a black hole,


00:22:10.400 --> 00:22:12.230
what you'll produce in the big bang is


00:22:12.240 --> 00:22:15.190
not just time and space, but you litter


00:22:15.200 --> 00:22:18.710
it with these primordial black holes.


00:22:18.720 --> 00:22:21.990
And I think it's from Hawking's work


00:22:22.000 --> 00:22:24.149
that we assume that they can be any size


00:22:24.159 --> 00:22:27.909
you like. Um they can be you know


00:22:27.919 --> 00:22:30.470
perhaps uh super massive black holes


00:22:30.480 --> 00:22:31.909
which we know are the centers of


00:22:31.919 --> 00:22:36.230
galaxies uh or smaller than stellar mass


00:22:36.240 --> 00:22:38.789
black holes. And so by a stellar mass


00:22:38.799 --> 00:22:40.950
black hole we mean one that has a mass


00:22:40.960 --> 00:22:43.510
of about not too different from a star.


00:22:43.520 --> 00:22:45.510
In fact typically about five times the


00:22:45.520 --> 00:22:48.630
mass of the sun. Um and they are thought


00:22:48.640 --> 00:22:50.789
to have been caused by a star exploding


00:22:50.799 --> 00:22:52.149
at the end of its life. The core


00:22:52.159 --> 00:22:54.310
collapses. uh nothing will stop the


00:22:54.320 --> 00:22:55.909
collapse and it goes into becoming a


00:22:55.919 --> 00:22:58.630
black hole. But for a star to behave


00:22:58.640 --> 00:23:01.270
like that, it's got to be massive. It's


00:23:01.280 --> 00:23:03.430
got to be at least well five to 10 times


00:23:03.440 --> 00:23:06.870
the mass of the sun. Um so that does not


00:23:06.880 --> 00:23:09.669
account for things that are three times


00:23:09.679 --> 00:23:13.029
the mass of the moon. Uh but if you can


00:23:13.039 --> 00:23:16.789
have um if you can have primordial black


00:23:16.799 --> 00:23:21.430
holes of any mass then that makes Phoebe


00:23:21.440 --> 00:23:26.070
a very distinct candidate for a a


00:23:26.080 --> 00:23:28.870
primordial black hole. Um I might


00:23:28.880 --> 00:23:31.190
mention that the researchers who've done


00:23:31.200 --> 00:23:34.149
this uh work are at Swimburn University


00:23:34.159 --> 00:23:37.270
in Melbourne uh an university very


00:23:37.280 --> 00:23:40.789
active in its studies of actually most


00:23:40.799 --> 00:23:43.510
phenomena to do with our galaxy. Uh


00:23:43.520 --> 00:23:45.350
they've got some extremely talented


00:23:45.360 --> 00:23:46.789
scientists there some of whom I know


00:23:46.799 --> 00:23:47.909
quite well.


00:23:47.919 --> 00:23:51.590
>> Um so uh it's it's definitely a


00:23:51.600 --> 00:23:53.750
microlensing event. Something has caused


00:23:53.760 --> 00:23:56.470
this phenomenon. Uh the question is what


00:23:56.480 --> 00:23:57.990
is it?


00:23:58.000 --> 00:24:01.510
So let me um


00:24:01.520 --> 00:24:05.510
segue if I may to one of the talks at


00:24:05.520 --> 00:24:07.669
the conference that I was at in Germany.


00:24:07.679 --> 00:24:08.070
>> Yeah.


00:24:08.080 --> 00:24:11.430
>> Uh given by people who are well in this


00:24:11.440 --> 00:24:13.750
case it was a black hole specialist


00:24:13.760 --> 00:24:18.310
>> and he was saying that the the evidence


00:24:18.320 --> 00:24:24.230
for primordial black holes is growing.


00:24:24.240 --> 00:24:26.470
Uh and this is just one more example of


00:24:26.480 --> 00:24:29.110
it. this the the example of Phoebe here.


00:24:29.120 --> 00:24:32.070
Uh but he also said he thought this was


00:24:32.080 --> 00:24:36.310
the next big thing in black hole science


00:24:36.320 --> 00:24:40.390
uh to actually determine the reality of


00:24:40.400 --> 00:24:42.230
primordial black holes whether they are


00:24:42.240 --> 00:24:44.310
there or whether they're just a a wild


00:24:44.320 --> 00:24:48.470
prediction of of Professor Hawking. Um


00:24:48.480 --> 00:24:51.590
but he also made the comment the comment


00:24:51.600 --> 00:24:54.789
sorry not the comet he made the comment


00:24:54.799 --> 00:24:58.549
that uh it was his belief that the next


00:24:58.559 --> 00:25:00.950
Nobel Prize in astronomy or physics is


00:25:00.960 --> 00:25:03.029
is the way it goes would be the


00:25:03.039 --> 00:25:07.029
discovery of a primordial black hole. In


00:25:07.039 --> 00:25:08.710
other words


00:25:08.720 --> 00:25:11.510
finding absolutely rocksolid evidence


00:25:11.520 --> 00:25:13.830
that primordial black holes exist. Now,


00:25:13.840 --> 00:25:16.230
Phoebe is not that rockolid evidence


00:25:16.240 --> 00:25:18.950
because we've got multiple theories.


00:25:18.960 --> 00:25:20.870
>> Uh, yeah, multiple theories. It could


00:25:20.880 --> 00:25:24.789
even be uh, you know, a a lost satellite


00:25:24.799 --> 00:25:26.870
of a planet that's been chucked out of


00:25:26.880 --> 00:25:28.149
its solar system.


00:25:28.159 --> 00:25:30.070
>> So, it could be an object like the moon


00:25:30.080 --> 00:25:32.310
or Mercury or something like that.


00:25:32.320 --> 00:25:35.350
>> But that seems unlikely. Um, but and in


00:25:35.360 --> 00:25:38.070
fact, the um the, you know, the the


00:25:38.080 --> 00:25:40.710
primordial mass black hole idea I think


00:25:40.720 --> 00:25:43.750
is much more interesting. It's one that


00:25:43.760 --> 00:25:46.310
I'm sure will be looked at in detail.


00:25:46.320 --> 00:25:48.230
The problem with these gravitational


00:25:48.240 --> 00:25:50.549
micro lenting events, Andrew, is you


00:25:50.559 --> 00:25:52.549
only get one shot at it. You never see


00:25:52.559 --> 00:25:55.430
the object again. So Phoebe's basically


00:25:55.440 --> 00:25:57.350
never going to be seen again. All we've


00:25:57.360 --> 00:25:59.830
seen is the effect of it passing in


00:25:59.840 --> 00:26:00.870
front of a star.


00:26:00.880 --> 00:26:04.149
>> Yeah. Um, so, uh, what we've got to look


00:26:04.159 --> 00:26:07.029
for is other perhaps other similar


00:26:07.039 --> 00:26:10.710
phenomena, uh, or something that is an


00:26:10.720 --> 00:26:12.950
unequivocally a black hole but has a


00:26:12.960 --> 00:26:14.789
mass less than the sun. And we did talk


00:26:14.799 --> 00:26:18.230
about a candidate object uh, before we


00:26:18.240 --> 00:26:20.789
both went on our various surn. Uh, we


00:26:20.799 --> 00:26:22.870
did talk about an object like that. I'd


00:26:22.880 --> 00:26:24.310
need to look it up to find out what it


00:26:24.320 --> 00:26:26.630
was. But if, you know, if we can nail


00:26:26.640 --> 00:26:28.470
one of these things and say that is


00:26:28.480 --> 00:26:31.029
definitely what it is. Um, in fact, the


00:26:31.039 --> 00:26:33.830
object we talked about was the result of


00:26:33.840 --> 00:26:35.110
a, I think, a collision that was


00:26:35.120 --> 00:26:37.909
measured with gravitational waves. So,


00:26:37.919 --> 00:26:40.549
all this is perhaps pointing to the idea


00:26:40.559 --> 00:26:42.549
of primordial mass black holes. Somebody


00:26:42.559 --> 00:26:44.549
will nail it before too long and they'll


00:26:44.559 --> 00:26:47.269
probably get the Nobel Prize. Well, I


00:26:47.279 --> 00:26:49.590
suppose we shouldn't be surprised


00:26:49.600 --> 00:26:52.470
because in the past we've had theories


00:26:52.480 --> 00:26:54.630
about things existing and voila,


00:26:54.640 --> 00:26:57.430
suddenly we find an exoplanet and now we


00:26:57.440 --> 00:26:59.110
found thousands and thousands of them.


00:26:59.120 --> 00:27:01.029
So, it stands to reason that this is


00:27:01.039 --> 00:27:02.950
just another progression in that regard.


00:27:02.960 --> 00:27:04.549
We're


00:27:04.559 --> 00:27:06.789
>> the evidence is stacking up. We haven't


00:27:06.799 --> 00:27:09.750
confirmed one yet, but it sounds like


00:27:09.760 --> 00:27:12.549
it's going to happen. Yeah, I think


00:27:12.559 --> 00:27:14.390
that's right. I think we're on the track


00:27:14.400 --> 00:27:20.230
of uh a whole new regime of physics. And


00:27:20.240 --> 00:27:23.590
of course, uh primordial black holes are


00:27:23.600 --> 00:27:26.710
one potential candidate for dark matter.


00:27:26.720 --> 00:27:27.110
Mhm.


00:27:27.120 --> 00:27:33.350
>> Um, which was ruled out in the 1990s,


00:27:33.360 --> 00:27:35.590
maybe prematurely. It was ruled out


00:27:35.600 --> 00:27:38.470
because we didn't see a whole lot of


00:27:38.480 --> 00:27:40.549
these microlending events, which you'd


00:27:40.559 --> 00:27:42.470
expect to see if there was a lot of


00:27:42.480 --> 00:27:45.190
primordial mass black holes. Maybe it's


00:27:45.200 --> 00:27:46.710
just that we weren't looking hard enough


00:27:46.720 --> 00:27:47.990
that we missed them.


00:27:48.000 --> 00:27:48.549
>> Maybe.


00:27:48.559 --> 00:27:49.430
>> Um, yeah,


00:27:49.440 --> 00:27:51.190
>> I never look hard enough for anything.


00:27:51.200 --> 00:27:51.830
No.


00:27:51.840 --> 00:27:54.070
>> Well, well, that's cuz you're a you're a


00:27:54.080 --> 00:27:57.269
male. Yeah, you're a bloke and we don't


00:27:57.279 --> 00:27:59.669
we we look at something and we just


00:27:59.679 --> 00:28:00.470
don't see it.


00:28:00.480 --> 00:28:03.430
>> No. No.


00:28:03.440 --> 00:28:06.230
>> Which is, you know, not real good for


00:28:06.240 --> 00:28:07.750
human history because weren't we the


00:28:07.760 --> 00:28:09.269
hunters? Like we were supposed to be


00:28:09.279 --> 00:28:12.870
able to see stuff that quite


00:28:12.880 --> 00:28:15.669
>> Oh dear. Uh it's a a really fascinating


00:28:15.679 --> 00:28:18.310
story and I venture to say there'll be


00:28:18.320 --> 00:28:20.070
more on this in the not too distant


00:28:20.080 --> 00:28:21.909
future, but you can read about it uh


00:28:21.919 --> 00:28:23.830
great article about it on the


00:28:23.840 --> 00:28:25.830
universetoday.com


00:28:25.840 --> 00:28:28.230
website. You're listening to and


00:28:28.240 --> 00:28:30.950
possibly viewing space nuts with Andrew


00:28:30.960 --> 00:28:35.350
Dunley and Professor Fred Watson.


00:28:35.360 --> 00:28:37.190
>> Roger. Also,


00:28:37.200 --> 00:28:39.750
>> Space Nuts. Now, final story, Fred,


00:28:39.760 --> 00:28:42.310
intrigues me for one very good reason.


00:28:42.320 --> 00:28:44.230
It's one of the pet topics of our


00:28:44.240 --> 00:28:45.669
audience. We get a lot of questions


00:28:45.679 --> 00:28:50.389
about dark energy. But this s story pers


00:28:50.399 --> 00:28:53.190
the question, did we actually invent


00:28:53.200 --> 00:28:55.750
dark energy for nothing? Why are they


00:28:55.760 --> 00:28:58.230
suggesting that?


00:28:58.240 --> 00:28:59.909
>> Um,


00:28:59.919 --> 00:29:03.909
yeah, it's all mathematics.


00:29:03.919 --> 00:29:06.950
And I'd like just to refer uh listeners


00:29:06.960 --> 00:29:09.750
and viewers uh at the outset to a very


00:29:09.760 --> 00:29:14.470
nice article uh on this uh from um our


00:29:14.480 --> 00:29:17.430
much admired Universe Today uh website


00:29:17.440 --> 00:29:21.190
that's kind of an old friend of of um of


00:29:21.200 --> 00:29:23.510
Space Nuts, an article written by Mark


00:29:23.520 --> 00:29:27.110
Thompson uh which really very eloquently


00:29:27.120 --> 00:29:30.149
puts this story into perspective. And


00:29:30.159 --> 00:29:32.149
I'm I'm going to quote Mark. I hope he


00:29:32.159 --> 00:29:34.549
won't mind me doing that. Um it because


00:29:34.559 --> 00:29:37.909
he he introduces this uh this article by


00:29:37.919 --> 00:29:40.710
saying stand a pencil on its end and


00:29:40.720 --> 00:29:43.110
mathematically speaking it's perfectly


00:29:43.120 --> 00:29:44.950
balanced. Every force is accounted for


00:29:44.960 --> 00:29:47.269
and the equations are satisfied. And yet


00:29:47.279 --> 00:29:49.350
you already know what happens next, the


00:29:49.360 --> 00:29:51.909
slightest disturbance and it topples. A


00:29:51.919 --> 00:29:54.710
solution that exists on paper but can


00:29:54.720 --> 00:29:58.149
never survive contact with reality. In


00:29:58.159 --> 00:30:01.669
other words, um something that's stable


00:30:01.679 --> 00:30:05.190
but only stable briefly. Uh I think I'm


00:30:05.200 --> 00:30:07.350
paraphrasing what he's getting at with


00:30:07.360 --> 00:30:09.430
that. Yeah. Uh but just to read a little


00:30:09.440 --> 00:30:11.590
bit further uh from Mark's article,


00:30:11.600 --> 00:30:13.269
that's the image Blake Temple, a


00:30:13.279 --> 00:30:14.470
mathematician at the University of


00:30:14.480 --> 00:30:17.110
California, Davis, uses to describe our


00:30:17.120 --> 00:30:19.430
best model of the universe. And it's a


00:30:19.440 --> 00:30:22.630
deeply uncomfortable one. And so I think


00:30:22.640 --> 00:30:26.470
the way this story evolves is that yes


00:30:26.480 --> 00:30:28.950
we've uh for 30 years almost 30 years


00:30:28.960 --> 00:30:30.950
it's 1998


00:30:30.960 --> 00:30:33.669
when the accelerated expansion of the


00:30:33.679 --> 00:30:35.430
universe was discovered.


00:30:35.440 --> 00:30:36.230
>> Yeah.


00:30:36.240 --> 00:30:40.630
>> Uh by uh my colleague um Bradmitt and


00:30:40.640 --> 00:30:44.470
his uh uh his actually competitors over


00:30:44.480 --> 00:30:47.350
over the Pacific Soul Pul Muta and his


00:30:47.360 --> 00:30:49.830
team. uh they they jointly won the Nobel


00:30:49.840 --> 00:30:53.350
Prize in 2011 for that discovery that


00:30:53.360 --> 00:30:56.470
the um the accelerate the expansion of


00:30:56.480 --> 00:30:59.590
the universe is accelerating and so um


00:30:59.600 --> 00:31:02.630
the issue was to try and explain that


00:31:02.640 --> 00:31:05.430
and that's why dark energy was


00:31:05.440 --> 00:31:08.870
introduced as a as a concept uh an


00:31:08.880 --> 00:31:10.710
invisible


00:31:10.720 --> 00:31:13.590
outward pressure um that is part of


00:31:13.600 --> 00:31:16.389
space uh just pushes space and


00:31:16.399 --> 00:31:20.230
everything in it apart. part. Um and so


00:31:20.240 --> 00:31:23.830
that's where we get our idea of dark


00:31:23.840 --> 00:31:27.669
energy from. But um this um


00:31:27.679 --> 00:31:31.990
mathematician uh Blake Temple has said


00:31:32.000 --> 00:31:36.389
okay maybe we're taking too simplistic a


00:31:36.399 --> 00:31:41.269
view of all this. Uh and uh I think it's


00:31:41.279 --> 00:31:44.230
a group of uh of mathematicians led by


00:31:44.240 --> 00:31:46.710
Dr. Temple. uh they've got a paper in


00:31:46.720 --> 00:31:48.230
the proceedings of the Royal Society.


00:31:48.240 --> 00:31:49.669
You don't get papers in there if they're


00:31:49.679 --> 00:31:51.509
rubbish. So, no.


00:31:51.519 --> 00:31:52.950
>> Uh there's something to think about


00:31:52.960 --> 00:31:55.830
there. And they've actually uh


00:31:55.840 --> 00:31:58.549
mathematically demonstrated


00:31:58.559 --> 00:32:03.669
that our u model of the expansion of the


00:32:03.679 --> 00:32:07.110
universe with dark energy in it is


00:32:07.120 --> 00:32:11.350
unstable. Uh it's something that can't


00:32:11.360 --> 00:32:12.870
survive.


00:32:12.880 --> 00:32:16.630
Um and that's


00:32:16.640 --> 00:32:21.750
almost uh means that you can rule it out


00:32:21.760 --> 00:32:24.310
uh in the world of physics. Uh if you've


00:32:24.320 --> 00:32:27.190
got a solution that's unstable uh then


00:32:27.200 --> 00:32:30.950
it shouldn't it shouldn't happen. And so


00:32:30.960 --> 00:32:34.470
um what u uh Dr. Temple and his


00:32:34.480 --> 00:32:37.110
associates are proposing is that we've


00:32:37.120 --> 00:32:41.190
got it wrong. uh and that uh the model


00:32:41.200 --> 00:32:45.190
of the universe that we that we have


00:32:45.200 --> 00:32:49.190
which assumes that matter is basically


00:32:49.200 --> 00:32:50.950
spread throughout the universe. You know


00:32:50.960 --> 00:32:53.269
that the universe isotropic. It's the


00:32:53.279 --> 00:32:57.430
same in all directions. Uh is suggesting


00:32:57.440 --> 00:33:01.669
that that is also unstable.


00:33:01.679 --> 00:33:04.389
um and that really we have to take into


00:33:04.399 --> 00:33:06.710
account the fact that the universe isn't


00:33:06.720 --> 00:33:12.630
the same everywhere. Um it's uh it's I


00:33:12.640 --> 00:33:14.470
can't really go in deeply to the


00:33:14.480 --> 00:33:16.549
mathematics because I'm actually looked


00:33:16.559 --> 00:33:20.630
at the the the original paper. Um and so


00:33:20.640 --> 00:33:23.269
I haven't followed the mathematical


00:33:23.279 --> 00:33:26.789
um steps in the process. And between you


00:33:26.799 --> 00:33:28.149
and me, Andrew, I probably couldn't


00:33:28.159 --> 00:33:31.350
anyway even if I looked at the paper.


00:33:31.360 --> 00:33:33.990
I do remember what some of the equations


00:33:34.000 --> 00:33:36.070
that uh that govern this sort of thing


00:33:36.080 --> 00:33:37.909
look like. And I do remember the


00:33:37.919 --> 00:33:41.830
emotional response that my my psyche


00:33:41.840 --> 00:33:44.950
gets to them. But basically um what


00:33:44.960 --> 00:33:49.269
they're saying is that uh


00:33:49.279 --> 00:33:52.710
that accelerated expansion


00:33:52.720 --> 00:33:57.509
um is actually part of what Einstein


00:33:57.519 --> 00:34:01.269
suggested in the first place um without


00:34:01.279 --> 00:34:05.909
the need to invoke dark energy. Uh and


00:34:05.919 --> 00:34:09.829
it it's it's it's I'm simplifying I


00:34:09.839 --> 00:34:13.349
guess uh what um Mark the the author of


00:34:13.359 --> 00:34:15.669
this this article has written. Uh but


00:34:15.679 --> 00:34:19.430
the bottom line is that um our our um


00:34:19.440 --> 00:34:21.990
view of the universe on its largest


00:34:22.000 --> 00:34:26.869
scale is probably naive. It's probably


00:34:26.879 --> 00:34:29.109
we've perhaps oversimplified it and as a


00:34:29.119 --> 00:34:31.270
result of that we've come out with the


00:34:31.280 --> 00:34:34.550
wrong answer. Um, I might just


00:34:34.560 --> 00:34:36.069
>> That's a really big call though, isn't


00:34:36.079 --> 00:34:36.310
it?


00:34:36.320 --> 00:34:39.829
>> It's a huge call. Absolutely huge call.


00:34:39.839 --> 00:34:41.589
Uh,


00:34:41.599 --> 00:34:44.629
I I Let me just wind up with the last


00:34:44.639 --> 00:34:45.909
paragraph that uh


00:34:45.919 --> 00:34:47.990
>> Yeah, I was just looking at that myself


00:34:48.000 --> 00:34:49.589
>> because that's the Yeah, that Mark


00:34:49.599 --> 00:34:51.270
Thompson's written. I think it really


00:34:51.280 --> 00:34:54.389
sums it up. Dark energy has never felt


00:34:54.399 --> 00:34:56.470
entirely comfortable to many scientists.


00:34:56.480 --> 00:34:58.550
Einstein himself introduced something


00:34:58.560 --> 00:34:59.910
very like it, which he called his


00:34:59.920 --> 00:35:02.310
cosmological constant. then subsequently


00:35:02.320 --> 00:35:04.470
called it his biggest blunder. It was


00:35:04.480 --> 00:35:06.710
quietly resurrected in the 1990s when


00:35:06.720 --> 00:35:08.790
the data demanded it. That's when the


00:35:08.800 --> 00:35:11.190
accelerated expansion was discovered.


00:35:11.200 --> 00:35:13.109
Now the mathematics might be telling us


00:35:13.119 --> 00:35:15.589
it was never needed in the first place.


00:35:15.599 --> 00:35:17.829
The universe, it turns out, may be s


00:35:17.839 --> 00:35:21.190
stranger and simpler than we thought,


00:35:21.200 --> 00:35:23.910
only both at the same time. It's a great


00:35:23.920 --> 00:35:25.990
article. I encourage all our listeners


00:35:26.000 --> 00:35:27.990
to have a look at it. Yes, it's at the


00:35:28.000 --> 00:35:29.910
universitytoday.com


00:35:29.920 --> 00:35:32.390
website or you can read the paper at the


00:35:32.400 --> 00:35:34.950
proceedings of the Royal Society. But uh


00:35:34.960 --> 00:35:36.950
I dare say we haven't heard the last of


00:35:36.960 --> 00:35:38.150
this.


00:35:38.160 --> 00:35:39.990
>> Uh and what if what if we have got it


00:35:40.000 --> 00:35:43.190
wrong? What if dark energy is a fury? Um


00:35:43.200 --> 00:35:45.190
that that's the that's the big question.


00:35:45.200 --> 00:35:48.310
But uh they they seem to be


00:35:48.320 --> 00:35:50.390
>> ing towards the probability that it that


00:35:50.400 --> 00:35:52.310
it is in fact a fury.


00:35:52.320 --> 00:35:57.510
>> That that's right. Um, you know, uh,


00:35:57.520 --> 00:36:02.550
I suspect that, um, this theory, uh, if


00:36:02.560 --> 00:36:04.790
you, if you eliminate the need for dark


00:36:04.800 --> 00:36:06.710
energy, you might well eliminate the


00:36:06.720 --> 00:36:08.790
need for dark matter as well.


00:36:08.800 --> 00:36:11.349
>> Uh, or it might turn out to be


00:36:11.359 --> 00:36:12.950
primordial black holes. Look, we're


00:36:12.960 --> 00:36:16.310
we've covered two potential uh,


00:36:16.320 --> 00:36:18.230
solutions to the dark matter problem in


00:36:18.240 --> 00:36:21.270
this in this episode. Uh, nobody can


00:36:21.280 --> 00:36:23.349
accuse us of not addressing the big


00:36:23.359 --> 00:36:24.390
questions, Andrew.


00:36:24.400 --> 00:36:26.150
>> Absolutely. We just don't give them the


00:36:26.160 --> 00:36:26.790
big answers.


00:36:26.800 --> 00:36:28.069
>> We don't give them the answers. No,


00:36:28.079 --> 00:36:28.710
that's right.


00:36:28.720 --> 00:36:30.069
>> Leave that to somebody else


00:36:30.079 --> 00:36:31.030
>> because we don't know.


00:36:31.040 --> 00:36:33.109
>> No, we don't. No, we don't. But, uh, no,


00:36:33.119 --> 00:36:35.190
fascinating, fascinating story. Couple


00:36:35.200 --> 00:36:38.069
of fascinating stories. Uh, and it all


00:36:38.079 --> 00:36:39.430
started with a big bang called Blue


00:36:39.440 --> 00:36:40.790
Origin. Um,


00:36:40.800 --> 00:36:43.109
>> yes, it did. That's right. It was a huge


00:36:43.119 --> 00:36:43.510
bang.


00:36:43.520 --> 00:36:46.150
>> It was. Uh, that brings us to the end.


00:36:46.160 --> 00:36:48.470
Fred, thank you very much.


00:36:48.480 --> 00:36:50.310
>> It's a pleasure, Andrew. Always good to


00:36:50.320 --> 00:36:52.630
have a chat and uh bring to the


00:36:52.640 --> 00:36:54.470
forefront exactly what's happening in


00:36:54.480 --> 00:36:56.150
the deep depths of the universe.


00:36:56.160 --> 00:36:58.150
>> Indeed. And good to have you back too.


00:36:58.160 --> 00:37:00.150
Thank you. Professor Fred Watson,


00:37:00.160 --> 00:37:01.750
astronomer at large. Uh don't forget to


00:37:01.760 --> 00:37:04.470
visit us online at our website if you so


00:37:04.480 --> 00:37:06.950
desire. Uh spaceodcast.com.


00:37:06.960 --> 00:37:09.190
You can click on the AMA link at the top


00:37:09.200 --> 00:37:12.630
and ask us anything or ask u anybody


00:37:12.640 --> 00:37:14.150
anything really, but we always make


00:37:14.160 --> 00:37:15.990
comments. Uh you can sign up for the


00:37:16.000 --> 00:37:19.030
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00:37:19.040 --> 00:37:20.870
become a supporter if you so desire. And


00:37:20.880 --> 00:37:23.270
don't forget to leave uh reviews at your


00:37:23.280 --> 00:37:25.510
favorite podcasting platform. Wherever


00:37:25.520 --> 00:37:27.109
you listen to us, reviews are really


00:37:27.119 --> 00:37:29.430
useful, unless they're bad. But then


00:37:29.440 --> 00:37:30.790
again, there are some people who like


00:37:30.800 --> 00:37:32.310
bad because they want to see what all


00:37:32.320 --> 00:37:34.950
the fuss is about. Uh but don't do it.


00:37:34.960 --> 00:37:36.230
Don't you want to? I'm not going to tell


00:37:36.240 --> 00:37:38.630
you what to do. Um but anyway, that's


00:37:38.640 --> 00:37:41.190
it. And thanks to Hugh in the studio who


00:37:41.200 --> 00:37:42.630
couldn't be with us today because he's a


00:37:42.640 --> 00:37:44.950
fury. And from me, Andrew Dunley, thanks


00:37:44.960 --> 00:37:46.710
for your company on this edition. and


00:37:46.720 --> 00:37:48.790
we'll catch you on the next episode of


00:37:48.800 --> 00:37:50.710
Space Nuts. Bye-bye.


00:37:50.720 --> 00:37:51.670
>> Space Nuts.


00:37:51.680 --> 00:37:53.750
>> You've been listening to the Space Nuts


00:37:53.760 --> 00:37:56.069
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00:37:56.079 --> 00:37:59.030
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