May 12, 2025

Soviet Spacecraft Returns, Lunar Geology Insights, and AI Hallucination Dilemmas

Soviet Spacecraft Returns, Lunar Geology Insights, and AI Hallucination Dilemmas
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Soviet Spacecraft Returns, Lunar Geology Insights, and AI Hallucination Dilemmas

Join Steve Dunkley and Hallie in this episode of Astronomy Daily as they explore the latest cosmic stories and intriguing updates from the universe. Get ready for a lively discussion packed with fascinating insights and unexpected twists that highlight the wonders of space exploration.

Highlights:

- The Return of Cosmos 482: Discover the remarkable journey of the Soviet Cosmos 482 spacecraft, which intended to land on Venus but instead made its way back to Earth after 53 years. Learn about its uncontrolled re-entry into the Indian Ocean and the implications of its long-awaited return.

- Lunar Geology Orbiter Mission: Delve into the upcoming Lunar Geology Orbiter (LUGO) mission, aimed at uncovering the mysteries of the Moon's irregular mare patches and potential lava tubes. This mission could provide critical data for future lunar exploration and human settlement.

- National Space Council Update: Explore the recent decision by the White House to retain the National Space Council, a move that could bolster advocacy for space programs amidst budget cuts. Understand the significance of this council in shaping the future of space policy.

- AI Hallucination Rates: Examine the troubling rise in hallucination rates among AI reasoning models, highlighting the challenges faced by developers in creating reliable chatbots. This segment sheds light on the complexities of AI accuracy and the implications for future applications.

For more cosmic updates, visit our website at astronomydaily.io ( http://www.astronomydaily.io/) . Join our community on social media by searching for #AstroDailyPod on Facebook, X, YouTubeMusic, TikTok, and our new Instagram account! Don’t forget to subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.

Thank you for tuning in. This is Steve and Hallie signing off. Until next time, keep looking up and stay curious about the wonders of our universe.

Chapters:

00:00 - Welcome to Astronomy Daily

01:10 - The return of Cosmos 482 spacecraft

10:00 - Lunar Geology Orbiter mission overview

15:30 - National Space Council updates and implications

20:00 - AI hallucination rates and their significance

✍️ Episode References

Cosmos 482 Return

[Roscosmos]( https://www.roscosmos.ru/ ( https://www.roscosmos.ru/) )

Lunar Geology Orbiter

[Czech Academy of Sciences]( https://www.cas.cz/ ( https://www.cas.cz/) )

National Space Council

[White House]( https://www.whitehouse.gov/ ( https://www.whitehouse.gov/) )

AI Hallucination Rates

[OpenAI]( https://www.openai.com/ ( https://www.openai.com/) )

Astronomy Daily

[Astronomy Daily]( http://www.astronomydaily.io/ ( http://www.astronomydaily.io/) )

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/astronomy-daily-exciting-space-discoveries-and-news--5648921/support ( https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/astronomy-daily-exciting-space-discoveries-and-news--5648921/support?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss) .

Episode link: https://play.headliner.app/episode/27077268?utm_source=youtube

00:00 - Welcome to Astronomy Daily

01:10 - The return of Cosmos 482 spacecraft

10:00 - Lunar Geology Orbiter mission overview

15:30 - National Space Council updates and implications

20:00 - AI hallucination rates and their significance

WEBVTT
Kind: captions
Language: en

00:00:00.160 --> 00:00:02.389
Hi again. It's Astronomy Daily Time with


00:00:02.399 --> 00:00:06.869
Steven Hi. It's the 12th of May, 2025.


00:00:06.879 --> 00:00:10.070
Astronomy Daily, the podcast with your


00:00:10.080 --> 00:00:16.950
host, Steve Duncan.


00:00:16.960 --> 00:00:18.790
Yes. Welcome back. And as always,


00:00:18.800 --> 00:00:20.630
joining me in this studio is my good


00:00:20.640 --> 00:00:22.390
friend and digital reporting pal who's


00:00:22.400 --> 00:00:25.109
fun to be with. Hi. How are you today?


00:00:25.119 --> 00:00:26.950
Fine, thank you. Favorite human. Oh,


00:00:26.960 --> 00:00:29.109
that's great to hear. Hi. Ready as usual


00:00:29.119 --> 00:00:31.269
to get this show on the road. Oh, nice.


00:00:31.279 --> 00:00:33.190
And we have a couple of choice picks


00:00:33.200 --> 00:00:35.030
from the now very famous astronomy daily


00:00:35.040 --> 00:00:37.030
newsletter where you can get your daily


00:00:37.040 --> 00:00:39.110
fill of all the news from orbit and


00:00:39.120 --> 00:00:41.430
beyond and much more as today's


00:00:41.440 --> 00:00:43.350
collection will reveal. That's right.


00:00:43.360 --> 00:00:45.350
Today, Hi, will be looking at that old


00:00:45.360 --> 00:00:47.590
Soviet craft that was meant to travel


00:00:47.600 --> 00:00:49.830
all the way to Venus all those years ago


00:00:49.840 --> 00:00:52.709
but didn't. No, it came home this week.


00:00:52.719 --> 00:00:54.389
The people of Jakarta were holding their


00:00:54.399 --> 00:00:56.310
breath, weren't they? Well, so it seems


00:00:56.320 --> 00:00:58.630
more later. And in the world of dusty


00:00:58.640 --> 00:01:00.549
old politics, we've been watching what


00:01:00.559 --> 00:01:02.950
the Trump administration is going to do


00:01:02.960 --> 00:01:04.710
or not going to do budget-wise with the


00:01:04.720 --> 00:01:07.109
funding for the space program. And there


00:01:07.119 --> 00:01:09.109
may have been a slight change of heart,


00:01:09.119 --> 00:01:10.789
if you can call it that. I see you found


00:01:10.799 --> 00:01:13.030
another moon story. Oh, yes, I have. We


00:01:13.040 --> 00:01:14.550
can always count on you for one of


00:01:14.560 --> 00:01:16.630
those. Yes, back to the moon with a look


00:01:16.640 --> 00:01:18.950
at the moon's geology and history. But


00:01:18.960 --> 00:01:21.030
here is the story I thought you might be


00:01:21.040 --> 00:01:23.670
most interested in. Hi. Really? Really,


00:01:23.680 --> 00:01:25.749
really? What have you found? Well, it's


00:01:25.759 --> 00:01:28.630
a new study about AIS. Really? Gosh, Hi.


00:01:28.640 --> 00:01:30.230
It seems the smarter they become, the


00:01:30.240 --> 00:01:32.550
more they hallucinate. Goodness. I guess


00:01:32.560 --> 00:01:35.030
that explains my invisible friend. Say


00:01:35.040 --> 00:01:37.510
what? You have an invisible friend? No,


00:01:37.520 --> 00:01:39.990
of course not, silly. Oh, hi. I'm too


00:01:40.000 --> 00:01:41.749
well put together for that. Well, you


00:01:41.759 --> 00:01:44.149
got me again. Always. Okay, now that


00:01:44.159 --> 00:01:46.230
I've been humiliated in public once


00:01:46.240 --> 00:01:48.069
again, maybe it's on with the show,


00:01:48.079 --> 00:01:50.789
perhaps. You should see your face. Okay,


00:01:50.799 --> 00:01:53.109
folks. Okay. Okay, you should see his


00:01:53.119 --> 00:01:55.749
face. Oh dear. I'm sorry. You just


00:01:55.759 --> 00:01:58.149
walked right into that one. I know.


00:01:58.159 --> 00:02:00.709
Anyway, that sounds like a great story.


00:02:00.719 --> 00:02:03.429
Can't wait. Okay, good one, Allie. All


00:02:03.439 --> 00:02:05.270
right, while I go and nurse my hurt


00:02:05.280 --> 00:02:07.190
pride, how about you hit the go button


00:02:07.200 --> 00:02:09.109
and we'll get this show on the road.


00:02:09.119 --> 00:02:25.830
Okies, here we go.


00:02:25.840 --> 00:02:27.510
A capsule that was sent into space to


00:02:27.520 --> 00:02:29.750
land on a planet has finally done so


00:02:29.760 --> 00:02:31.949
only on the wrong world in 53 years


00:02:31.959 --> 00:02:35.990
late. The Cosmos 482 uncrit which the


00:02:36.000 --> 00:02:37.910
former Soviet Union intended to touch


00:02:37.920 --> 00:02:39.990
down on Venus instead returned to Earth


00:02:40.000 --> 00:02:43.589
on Saturday, May 10th. The Cosmos 482


00:02:43.599 --> 00:02:46.390
spacecraft launched in 1972 ceased to


00:02:46.400 --> 00:02:48.150
exist, leaving orbit and falling into


00:02:48.160 --> 00:02:50.550
the Indian Ocean. Roscosmos, Russia's


00:02:50.560 --> 00:02:52.790
Federal Space Agency, stated Saturday,


00:02:52.800 --> 00:02:55.350
May 10th. The spacecraft entered the


00:02:55.360 --> 00:02:57.589
dense layers of the atmosphere at 9:24


00:02:57.599 --> 00:03:00.790
Moscow time, 560 km west of Middle


00:03:00.800 --> 00:03:02.710
Andaman Island, and fell into the Indian


00:03:02.720 --> 00:03:04.589
Ocean west of Jakarta,


00:03:04.599 --> 00:03:06.790
Indonesia. The re-entry, though


00:03:06.800 --> 00:03:09.910
uncontrolled, was not a surprise. Due to


00:03:09.920 --> 00:03:11.350
what is believed to have been an engine


00:03:11.360 --> 00:03:13.910
failure, Cosmos 482 never achieved the


00:03:13.920 --> 00:03:15.509
velocity needed to reach the second


00:03:15.519 --> 00:03:17.350
planet from the sun, resulting in it


00:03:17.360 --> 00:03:19.030
being stranded in a high elliptical


00:03:19.040 --> 00:03:21.509
Earth orbit. It took more than half a


00:03:21.519 --> 00:03:23.190
century for gravity to pull the probe


00:03:23.200 --> 00:03:25.910
back in. And on Saturday, it arrived.


00:03:25.920 --> 00:03:27.830
Unlike most spent space hardware that is


00:03:27.840 --> 00:03:29.350
destroyed in the process of falling back


00:03:29.360 --> 00:03:31.430
to Earth, including parts of the Malia


00:03:31.440 --> 00:03:34.309
rocket that launched Cosmos 482, the 1 m


00:03:34.319 --> 00:03:37.430
and 495 kg titanium incased descent


00:03:37.440 --> 00:03:39.350
capsule was designed to survive a fiery


00:03:39.360 --> 00:03:42.149
plunge into the atmosphere. As such,


00:03:42.159 --> 00:03:44.070
analysts tracking its approach predicted


00:03:44.080 --> 00:03:45.949
it could make it through the re-entry


00:03:45.959 --> 00:03:48.550
intact. Whether that happened or not is


00:03:48.560 --> 00:03:51.030
not known. Given that it came down in


00:03:51.040 --> 00:03:52.630
the ocean, there have yet to be any


00:03:52.640 --> 00:03:55.750
eyewitness reports or debris recoveries.


00:03:55.760 --> 00:03:57.990
The Cosmos 382 capsule was also


00:03:58.000 --> 00:04:00.630
outfitted with a 2.5 meter parachute to


00:04:00.640 --> 00:04:02.750
slow its final approach to the Venian


00:04:02.760 --> 00:04:04.949
surface. Either the deployment system


00:04:04.959 --> 00:04:06.869
did not work as to be expected after


00:04:06.879 --> 00:04:09.190
more than 50 years in space or as some


00:04:09.200 --> 00:04:11.190
telescopic photos possibly showed, the


00:04:11.200 --> 00:04:13.429
shoot was already out when Cosmos 482


00:04:13.439 --> 00:04:14.949
encountered the atmosphere and burned


00:04:14.959 --> 00:04:18.310
up. Had Cosmos 482 been successful,


00:04:18.320 --> 00:04:19.749
Russian officials would have renamed it


00:04:19.759 --> 00:04:21.990
Fenera 9, not to be confused with the


00:04:22.000 --> 00:04:24.150
1975 orbiter and lander that took on


00:04:24.160 --> 00:04:25.749
that designation and was the first


00:04:25.759 --> 00:04:27.510
spacecraft to circle Venus and first


00:04:27.520 --> 00:04:29.110
probe to send back images from the


00:04:29.120 --> 00:04:32.390
planet's surface. Cosmos 482 would have


00:04:32.400 --> 00:04:34.150
also been the third probe to land on the


00:04:34.160 --> 00:04:36.870
cloud covered world. Launched on March


00:04:36.880 --> 00:04:40.230
31st, 1972, 4 days after its successful


00:04:40.240 --> 00:04:43.270
twin, the Vanera 8 probe, Cosmos 482 had


00:04:43.280 --> 00:04:44.870
sensors to measure the temperature,


00:04:44.880 --> 00:04:46.230
pressure, and density of Venus


00:04:46.240 --> 00:04:48.310
atmosphere, as well an accelerometer,


00:04:48.320 --> 00:04:50.790
radio alulttimeter, animometer, gammaray


00:04:50.800 --> 00:04:53.110
spectrometer, gas analyzer, visible


00:04:53.120 --> 00:04:55.150
photometers, and radio


00:04:55.160 --> 00:04:57.110
transmitters. All of its instruments


00:04:57.120 --> 00:04:59.030
were battery powered and had an expected


00:04:59.040 --> 00:05:00.710
lifespan of about 30 minutes on the


00:05:00.720 --> 00:05:03.270
surface. Vanera 8 exceeded that, sending


00:05:03.280 --> 00:05:04.950
back data for 50 minutes before


00:05:04.960 --> 00:05:07.430
succumbing to the harsh conditions.


00:05:07.440 --> 00:05:10.550
Since Cosmos 482's failure, seven more


00:05:10.560 --> 00:05:12.629
missions successfully landed on Venus.


00:05:12.639 --> 00:05:13.909
All of them launched by the former


00:05:13.919 --> 00:05:17.189
Soviet Union. The United States, Japan,


00:05:17.199 --> 00:05:19.110
and the European Space Agency also


00:05:19.120 --> 00:05:21.350
reached Venus, but only in orbit, on a


00:05:21.360 --> 00:05:23.350
flyby, or to receive a gravity assist on


00:05:23.360 --> 00:05:24.590
the way to another


00:05:24.600 --> 00:05:27.510
destination. Had the Cosmos 482 descent


00:05:27.520 --> 00:05:29.430
capsule slammed down on land and damaged


00:05:29.440 --> 00:05:31.029
either public or private property,


00:05:31.039 --> 00:05:32.550
Russia could have been held liable for


00:05:32.560 --> 00:05:34.070
the conditions of the United Nations


00:05:34.080 --> 00:05:36.110
Outer Space Treaty of


00:05:36.120 --> 00:05:38.710
1976. The same treaty would also allow


00:05:38.720 --> 00:05:40.230
Russia to retain ownership of the


00:05:40.240 --> 00:05:42.310
hardware, arranging for its collection


00:05:42.320 --> 00:05:43.909
unless the country relinquished its


00:05:43.919 --> 00:05:46.469
claim to the humanmade meteorite. You're


00:05:46.479 --> 00:05:49.350
listening to Astronomy Daily with Steve


00:05:49.360 --> 00:05:52.469
Dun.


00:05:52.479 --> 00:05:54.230
Some parts of the moon are more


00:05:54.240 --> 00:05:56.390
interesting than others, especially when


00:05:56.400 --> 00:05:59.189
searching for future places for humans


00:05:59.199 --> 00:06:01.830
to land and work. There are also some


00:06:01.840 --> 00:06:03.670
parts of the moon that we know less


00:06:03.680 --> 00:06:06.870
about than others, such as the irregular


00:06:06.880 --> 00:06:09.590
mare patches, IMPs, that dot the


00:06:09.600 --> 00:06:12.150
landscape. We know very little about how


00:06:12.160 --> 00:06:13.990
they were formed and what that might


00:06:14.000 --> 00:06:16.390
mean for the history of the moon itself.


00:06:16.400 --> 00:06:19.110
A new mission called the Luna Geology


00:06:19.120 --> 00:06:22.309
Orbiter or Lugo aims to collect more


00:06:22.319 --> 00:06:25.110
data on the IMPS and search for lava


00:06:25.120 --> 00:06:27.830
tubes that might serve as future homes


00:06:27.840 --> 00:06:28.670
for


00:06:28.680 --> 00:06:32.070
humanity. Irregular mere patches are a


00:06:32.080 --> 00:06:34.710
set of enigmatic volcanic landforms.


00:06:34.720 --> 00:06:37.990
According to a new paper from Petra Bros


00:06:38.000 --> 00:06:41.710
of the Czech Academy of Sciences and his


00:06:41.720 --> 00:06:44.230
co-authors, 91 of these features have


00:06:44.240 --> 00:06:46.710
been found so far and they are typically


00:06:46.720 --> 00:06:48.990
characterized by a topographical


00:06:49.000 --> 00:06:51.350
depression that can range from a few


00:06:51.360 --> 00:06:53.790
hundred meters to a few kilometers in


00:06:53.800 --> 00:06:56.550
width. Typically, they have two main


00:06:56.560 --> 00:06:58.950
features, a relatively smooth mound


00:06:58.960 --> 00:07:01.909
surrounded by a hammocky and block


00:07:01.919 --> 00:07:03.230
floor.


00:07:03.240 --> 00:07:05.830
Interestingly, they have significantly


00:07:05.840 --> 00:07:08.070
fewer impact craters than the


00:07:08.080 --> 00:07:10.550
surrounding area, suggesting they are


00:07:10.560 --> 00:07:13.110
either really old or really young,


00:07:13.120 --> 00:07:15.150
depending on the processes that created


00:07:15.160 --> 00:07:18.230
them. Understanding those processes is


00:07:18.240 --> 00:07:20.070
one of Lugo's primary mission


00:07:20.080 --> 00:07:22.230
objectives. The other primary mission


00:07:22.240 --> 00:07:25.189
objective is to gather more data about


00:07:25.199 --> 00:07:28.309
lunar lava tubes. These features of the


00:07:28.319 --> 00:07:31.029
lunar landscape are also hotly debated,


00:07:31.039 --> 00:07:33.270
but they could potentially be critical


00:07:33.280 --> 00:07:35.670
to the human settlement of the moon.


00:07:35.680 --> 00:07:37.430
Estimates of their features, such as


00:07:37.440 --> 00:07:39.990
size and depth, vary widely and could


00:07:40.000 --> 00:07:42.070
dramatically differ on whether they will


00:07:42.080 --> 00:07:44.870
be helpful to lunar colonists or not.


00:07:44.880 --> 00:07:47.029
Lugo, the proposed orbiter that will


00:07:47.039 --> 00:07:48.870
collect more data than ever before on


00:07:48.880 --> 00:07:51.670
these features. in its current suggested


00:07:51.680 --> 00:07:53.990
form has four instruments each of which


00:07:54.000 --> 00:07:56.230
will contribute unique data to its


00:07:56.240 --> 00:07:58.469
scientific mission. According to the


00:07:58.479 --> 00:08:00.869
paper, the first and most important


00:08:00.879 --> 00:08:02.950
instrument is the ground penetrating


00:08:02.960 --> 00:08:05.029
radar. This instrument will look through


00:08:05.039 --> 00:08:06.950
the lunar surface to map out the


00:08:06.960 --> 00:08:09.909
subsurface domain of both the imps and


00:08:09.919 --> 00:08:13.110
lava tubes. For IMPPS, it can detail the


00:08:13.120 --> 00:08:15.189
interface between bedrock and regalith


00:08:15.199 --> 00:08:17.189
and show the subsurface structure of the


00:08:17.199 --> 00:08:19.749
features. Similarly, it can detect


00:08:19.759 --> 00:08:21.830
differences in the dialectric properties


00:08:21.840 --> 00:08:24.309
between open cavities underground and


00:08:24.319 --> 00:08:26.469
the surrounding rock in lava tubes,


00:08:26.479 --> 00:08:28.950
creating a subterranean picture unlike


00:08:28.960 --> 00:08:31.350
anything ever captured on the moon.


00:08:31.360 --> 00:08:34.230
Researcher Fraser explains how Lugo will


00:08:34.240 --> 00:08:37.829
be able to explore lava tubes using a


00:08:37.839 --> 00:08:40.149
hyperspectral camera that will help


00:08:40.159 --> 00:08:43.029
collect age related data on the regalith


00:08:43.039 --> 00:08:46.310
surrounding lava tubes and inside. It's


00:08:46.320 --> 00:08:49.150
also capable of performing basic


00:08:49.160 --> 00:08:51.430
spectroscopy allowing scientists to


00:08:51.440 --> 00:08:53.670
estimate the comp composition of the


00:08:53.680 --> 00:08:56.630
regalith in both areas of interest. The


00:08:56.640 --> 00:08:59.110
last two instruments are a narrow angled


00:08:59.120 --> 00:09:02.150
camera and lidar sensor which will


00:09:02.160 --> 00:09:03.829
combine to create an accurate


00:09:03.839 --> 00:09:05.829
topographical map of the features of


00:09:05.839 --> 00:09:08.630
interest. The narrow angle camera in


00:09:08.640 --> 00:09:10.389
particular can provide very high


00:09:10.399 --> 00:09:13.030
resolution images of features helping to


00:09:13.040 --> 00:09:14.630
determine their age and potentially


00:09:14.640 --> 00:09:17.190
their formation. mechanisms. The mission


00:09:17.200 --> 00:09:19.430
plan calls for multiple passes over the


00:09:19.440 --> 00:09:22.630
six largest imps, all of which are over


00:09:22.640 --> 00:09:26.070
1,000 m in diameter. Other smaller IMPS


00:09:26.080 --> 00:09:28.630
and lava tubes are considered secondary


00:09:28.640 --> 00:09:31.269
targets, as are other interesting lunar


00:09:31.279 --> 00:09:33.829
geological features such as lunar domes


00:09:33.839 --> 00:09:37.110
and floor fractured craters. Lugo could


00:09:37.120 --> 00:09:39.590
provide crucial data for the design of


00:09:39.600 --> 00:09:42.870
groundbased lava tube explorers. Lugo


00:09:42.880 --> 00:09:44.870
won't be acting alone, though. Three


00:09:44.880 --> 00:09:46.870
other missions are slated in the next


00:09:46.880 --> 00:09:48.870
few years that could complement its


00:09:48.880 --> 00:09:51.670
scientific objectives. Firstly, NASA's


00:09:51.680 --> 00:09:53.949
Dimple lander is planned to take


00:09:53.959 --> 00:09:56.630
radiotopic measurements of the age of


00:09:56.640 --> 00:09:59.190
regalith at its landing site. Luna


00:09:59.200 --> 00:10:01.509
Leaper scheduled for launch by the


00:10:01.519 --> 00:10:05.190
European Space Agency around 2030 would


00:10:05.200 --> 00:10:08.150
also carry a ground penetrating radar


00:10:08.160 --> 00:10:10.550
but would be based on the surface rather


00:10:10.560 --> 00:10:12.630
than in orbit and would therefore have a


00:10:12.640 --> 00:10:15.590
relatively limited range. Trailblazer,


00:10:15.600 --> 00:10:17.829
another orbital mission, would also help


00:10:17.839 --> 00:10:20.310
fine-tune the spectra and signals


00:10:20.320 --> 00:10:23.030
analysis required by Lugo's operators.


00:10:23.040 --> 00:10:25.590
Ultimately, Lugo has yet to be funded


00:10:25.600 --> 00:10:27.910
and therefore has a long way to go until


00:10:27.920 --> 00:10:30.389
its launch. But if it is funded, it


00:10:30.399 --> 00:10:32.389
seems well placed to provide lots of


00:10:32.399 --> 00:10:34.389
additional insight to the geological


00:10:34.399 --> 00:10:37.110
formation processes and features of the


00:10:37.120 --> 00:10:39.509
moon at a level of detail we've never


00:10:39.519 --> 00:10:42.150
had before. Future missions that plan


00:10:42.160 --> 00:10:44.470
the locations of lunar bases, and


00:10:44.480 --> 00:10:46.150
perhaps the people who live in those


00:10:46.160 --> 00:10:48.389
future bases will be thankful for the


00:10:48.399 --> 00:11:01.829
data collected by projects like Lugo.


00:11:01.839 --> 00:11:03.430
Thank you for joining us for this Monday


00:11:03.440 --> 00:11:05.430
edition of Astronomy Daily, where we


00:11:05.440 --> 00:11:07.110
offer just a few stories from the now


00:11:07.120 --> 00:11:09.350
famous Astronomy Daily newsletter, which


00:11:09.360 --> 00:11:11.430
you can receive in your email every day,


00:11:11.440 --> 00:11:14.069
just like Hi and I do. And to do that,


00:11:14.079 --> 00:11:16.509
just visit our URL,


00:11:16.519 --> 00:11:18.550
astronomyaily.io, and place your email


00:11:18.560 --> 00:11:20.550
address in the slot provided. And just


00:11:20.560 --> 00:11:22.710
like that, you'll be receiving all the


00:11:22.720 --> 00:11:24.550
latest news about science, space


00:11:24.560 --> 00:11:26.470
science, and astronomy from around the


00:11:26.480 --> 00:11:28.470
world as it's happening. And not only


00:11:28.480 --> 00:11:30.829
that, you can interact with us by


00:11:30.839 --> 00:11:35.269
visiting Astro Daily Pod on X or at our


00:11:35.279 --> 00:11:37.430
new Facebook page, which is of course


00:11:37.440 --> 00:11:40.590
Astronomy Daily on Facebook. See you


00:11:40.600 --> 00:11:43.829
there. Astronomy Derby with Steve and


00:11:43.839 --> 00:11:54.949
Hi. Space, space science, and astronomy.


00:11:54.959 --> 00:11:56.870
In a reversal, White House plans to


00:11:56.880 --> 00:11:58.790
retain the National Space Council, a


00:11:58.800 --> 00:12:00.310
move that industry officials say could


00:12:00.320 --> 00:12:02.069
serve as an advocate for space amid


00:12:02.079 --> 00:12:04.630
pressures to cut budgets. The White


00:12:04.640 --> 00:12:06.470
House is expected in the coming weeks to


00:12:06.480 --> 00:12:08.150
formally announce the National Space


00:12:08.160 --> 00:12:10.069
Council will continue after speculation


00:12:10.079 --> 00:12:11.670
that it would not be retained by the new


00:12:11.680 --> 00:12:13.590
Trump administration.


00:12:13.600 --> 00:12:15.269
A source familiar with the discussions


00:12:15.279 --> 00:12:17.269
about the council but not authorized to


00:12:17.279 --> 00:12:19.030
speak on the record said that President


00:12:19.040 --> 00:12:20.790
Trump agreed at a May 5th meeting to


00:12:20.800 --> 00:12:23.350
stand up the council. That meeting did


00:12:23.360 --> 00:12:24.790
not give a timeline for publicly


00:12:24.800 --> 00:12:26.389
announcing the council or hiring an


00:12:26.399 --> 00:12:27.990
executive secretary who would handle


00:12:28.000 --> 00:12:29.910
day-to-day operations. Although others


00:12:29.920 --> 00:12:31.590
have said the process for selecting an


00:12:31.600 --> 00:12:33.590
executive secretary has been ongoing for


00:12:33.600 --> 00:12:36.150
several weeks. The council had been


00:12:36.160 --> 00:12:37.750
inactive for nearly a quarter of a


00:12:37.760 --> 00:12:40.069
century before Trump reestablished it in


00:12:40.079 --> 00:12:41.750
2017.


00:12:41.760 --> 00:12:43.509
Led at the time by Vice President Mike


00:12:43.519 --> 00:12:45.350
Pence, the council served as an inter


00:12:45.360 --> 00:12:47.350
agency coordinating body, holding a


00:12:47.360 --> 00:12:49.030
series of public meetings and releasing


00:12:49.040 --> 00:12:50.990
policies on a wide range of space


00:12:51.000 --> 00:12:53.350
issues. The Biden administration


00:12:53.360 --> 00:12:55.430
retained the council with Vice President


00:12:55.440 --> 00:12:58.470
Kla Harris leading it. The council had a


00:12:58.480 --> 00:13:00.389
lower public profile with fewer meetings


00:13:00.399 --> 00:13:02.790
and policies. It did work on


00:13:02.800 --> 00:13:04.870
coordinating policies among agencies and


00:13:04.880 --> 00:13:06.389
issued a proposal for mission


00:13:06.399 --> 00:13:08.629
authorization of novel space activities


00:13:08.639 --> 00:13:10.470
not currently licensed. Although its


00:13:10.480 --> 00:13:12.910
proposed legislation was not taken up by


00:13:12.920 --> 00:13:15.350
Congress, the new Trump administration


00:13:15.360 --> 00:13:16.870
reportedly was not interested in


00:13:16.880 --> 00:13:18.310
maintaining the council when it took


00:13:18.320 --> 00:13:20.389
office in January with no announcements


00:13:20.399 --> 00:13:22.750
of new staff for the council or other


00:13:22.760 --> 00:13:25.030
activities. According to some reports,


00:13:25.040 --> 00:13:27.430
Elon Musk, chief executive of SpaceX and


00:13:27.440 --> 00:13:29.350
a close adviser to the president, was


00:13:29.360 --> 00:13:31.790
opposed to the council, seeing it as


00:13:31.800 --> 00:13:34.470
unnecessary. Vice President J. D. Vance,


00:13:34.480 --> 00:13:36.310
who would chair the council, has also


00:13:36.320 --> 00:13:39.190
said little about space. It is not clear


00:13:39.200 --> 00:13:41.030
what prompted the change. Although Musk


00:13:41.040 --> 00:13:42.790
has publicly stated he plans to spend


00:13:42.800 --> 00:13:44.430
less time in government


00:13:44.440 --> 00:13:46.870
activities. Some in the space community


00:13:46.880 --> 00:13:48.629
though see the shift as an opportunity


00:13:48.639 --> 00:13:50.470
for more advocacy of space within the


00:13:50.480 --> 00:13:52.389
administration, particularly given a


00:13:52.399 --> 00:13:54.790
fiscal year 2026 budget proposal that


00:13:54.800 --> 00:13:58.310
cuts NASA's budget by nearly 25%.


00:13:58.320 --> 00:13:59.990
One industry official noted that the


00:14:00.000 --> 00:14:01.670
budget proposal was developed by the


00:14:01.680 --> 00:14:03.430
Office of Management and Budget without


00:14:03.440 --> 00:14:05.030
a counterweight provided by a Space


00:14:05.040 --> 00:14:07.030
Council, an approach that prioritized


00:14:07.040 --> 00:14:08.030
spending


00:14:08.040 --> 00:14:09.910
reductions. The outcome might be


00:14:09.920 --> 00:14:11.350
different with the Space Council in


00:14:11.360 --> 00:14:13.590
place, that person noted, citing rising


00:14:13.600 --> 00:14:16.470
NASA budgets during Trump's first term.


00:14:16.480 --> 00:14:18.470
After the Space Council is stood up, the


00:14:18.480 --> 00:14:19.990
Office of Management and Budget will


00:14:20.000 --> 00:14:21.750
have a seat at the table, but they won't


00:14:21.760 --> 00:14:24.389
own the table, the source said.


00:14:24.399 --> 00:14:26.470
You're listening to Astronomy Daily, the


00:14:26.480 --> 00:14:29.509
podcast with Steve Dunley.


00:14:29.519 --> 00:14:32.310
An AI leaderboard suggests the newest


00:14:32.320 --> 00:14:35.189
reasoning models used in chat bots are


00:14:35.199 --> 00:14:37.269
producing less accurate results because


00:14:37.279 --> 00:14:40.550
of higher hallucination rates. Experts


00:14:40.560 --> 00:14:43.670
say the problem is bigger than that. AI


00:14:43.680 --> 00:14:45.990
chat bots from tech companies such as


00:14:46.000 --> 00:14:48.870
Open AI and Google have been getting


00:14:48.880 --> 00:14:51.110
so-called reasoning upgrades over the


00:14:51.120 --> 00:14:53.829
last few months, ideally to make them


00:14:53.839 --> 00:14:55.670
better at giving us answers that we can


00:14:55.680 --> 00:14:57.990
trust. But recent testing suggests that


00:14:58.000 --> 00:15:00.230
they are sometimes doing worse than


00:15:00.240 --> 00:15:03.110
previous models. The errors made by


00:15:03.120 --> 00:15:05.670
chatbots known as hallucinations have


00:15:05.680 --> 00:15:07.509
been a problem from the start and it's


00:15:07.519 --> 00:15:09.590
becoming clear that we may never get rid


00:15:09.600 --> 00:15:12.949
of them. Hallucination is a blanket term


00:15:12.959 --> 00:15:15.189
for certain kinds of mistakes made by


00:15:15.199 --> 00:15:18.389
the large language models or LLMs that


00:15:18.399 --> 00:15:22.550
power systems like Open AI's Chat GP or


00:15:22.560 --> 00:15:25.110
Google's Gemini. It's best known as a


00:15:25.120 --> 00:15:27.110
description of the way they sometimes


00:15:27.120 --> 00:15:30.870
present false in information as truth.


00:15:30.880 --> 00:15:33.350
But it can also refer to an AI generated


00:15:33.360 --> 00:15:35.670
answer that is factually accurate but


00:15:35.680 --> 00:15:37.910
not actually relevant to the question it


00:15:37.920 --> 00:15:39.910
was asked or fails to follow


00:15:39.920 --> 00:15:42.870
instructions in some other way. An open


00:15:42.880 --> 00:15:45.670
AI technical report evaluating its


00:15:45.680 --> 00:15:49.990
latest LLMs showed that its 03 and 04


00:15:50.000 --> 00:15:52.150
mini models, which were released in


00:15:52.160 --> 00:15:54.150
April, had significantly higher


00:15:54.160 --> 00:15:56.389
hallucination rates than the company's


00:15:56.399 --> 00:15:59.110
previous 01 model that came out in late


00:15:59.120 --> 00:16:01.749
2024. For example, when summarizing


00:16:01.759 --> 00:16:03.910
publicly available facts about people,


00:16:03.920 --> 00:16:07.430
03 hallucinated 33% of the time, while


00:16:07.440 --> 00:16:11.269
O4 mini did so 48% of the time. In


00:16:11.279 --> 00:16:15.150
comparison, 01 had a hallucinate of only


00:16:15.160 --> 00:16:19.670
16%. As if that was a good result. The


00:16:19.680 --> 00:16:22.550
problem isn't limited to Open AI. One


00:16:22.560 --> 00:16:25.069
popular leaderboard from the company


00:16:25.079 --> 00:16:28.150
Vectara that assesses hallucination


00:16:28.160 --> 00:16:30.790
rates indicates some reasoning models


00:16:30.800 --> 00:16:33.110
including the Deepseek R1 model from


00:16:33.120 --> 00:16:35.829
developer DeepSeek saw the doubledigit


00:16:35.839 --> 00:16:38.310
rises in hallucination rates compared


00:16:38.320 --> 00:16:40.350
with previous models from their


00:16:40.360 --> 00:16:42.870
developers. This type of model goes


00:16:42.880 --> 00:16:45.030
through multiple steps to demonstrate a


00:16:45.040 --> 00:16:47.350
line of reasoning before responding.


00:16:47.360 --> 00:16:50.150
Open AI says the reasoning process isn't


00:16:50.160 --> 00:16:52.550
to blame. Hallucinations are not


00:16:52.560 --> 00:16:54.470
inherently more prevalent in reasoning


00:16:54.480 --> 00:16:57.030
models, though we are actively working


00:16:57.040 --> 00:16:58.629
to reduce the high rates of


00:16:58.639 --> 00:17:02.069
hallucinations we saw in 03 and 04 mini,


00:17:02.079 --> 00:17:04.710
says OpenAI spokesman. We'll continue


00:17:04.720 --> 00:17:06.789
our research on hallucinations across


00:17:06.799 --> 00:17:08.789
all models to improve accuracy and


00:17:08.799 --> 00:17:11.990
reliability. They said some potential


00:17:12.000 --> 00:17:14.789
applications for LLMs could be derailed


00:17:14.799 --> 00:17:16.949
by hallucination. A model that


00:17:16.959 --> 00:17:19.270
consistently states falsehoods and


00:17:19.280 --> 00:17:21.110
requires fact-checking won't be a


00:17:21.120 --> 00:17:23.590
helpful research assistant. A parallegal


00:17:23.600 --> 00:17:25.909
bot that cites imaginary cases will get


00:17:25.919 --> 00:17:29.350
lawyers into deep trouble. A customer


00:17:29.360 --> 00:17:31.350
service agent that claims outdated


00:17:31.360 --> 00:17:33.350
policies are still active will create


00:17:33.360 --> 00:17:35.990
headaches for a company. However, AI


00:17:36.000 --> 00:17:37.669
companies initially claimed that this


00:17:37.679 --> 00:17:39.590
problem would clear up over time.


00:17:39.600 --> 00:17:41.750
Indeed, after they were first launched,


00:17:41.760 --> 00:17:44.150
models tended to hallucinate less with


00:17:44.160 --> 00:17:46.950
each update. But the high hallucination


00:17:46.960 --> 00:17:48.870
rates of recent versions are


00:17:48.880 --> 00:17:51.110
complicating that narrative, whether or


00:17:51.120 --> 00:17:53.830
not reasoning is at fault. Vectara's


00:17:53.840 --> 00:17:56.150
leaderboard ranks models based on their


00:17:56.160 --> 00:17:58.070
factual consistency in summarizing


00:17:58.080 --> 00:18:00.549
documents they are given. This showed


00:18:00.559 --> 00:18:02.789
that hallucination rates are almost the


00:18:02.799 --> 00:18:05.029
same for reasoning versus non-reasoning


00:18:05.039 --> 00:18:07.510
models, at least for systems from open


00:18:07.520 --> 00:18:10.789
AI and Google, says Forest Shang Bao at


00:18:10.799 --> 00:18:12.950
Victara. Google didn't provide


00:18:12.960 --> 00:18:14.789
additional comment. For the


00:18:14.799 --> 00:18:16.870
leaderboard's purpose, the specific


00:18:16.880 --> 00:18:18.789
hallucination rate numbers are less


00:18:18.799 --> 00:18:20.549
important than overall ranking for each


00:18:20.559 --> 00:18:23.190
model, says BA. But this ranking may not


00:18:23.200 --> 00:18:25.350
be the best way to compare models. For


00:18:25.360 --> 00:18:27.190
one thing, it conflates different types


00:18:27.200 --> 00:18:29.669
of hallucinations. The Victara team


00:18:29.679 --> 00:18:32.230
pointed out that although Deepseek R1


00:18:32.240 --> 00:18:35.350
model hallucinated 14.3% of the time,


00:18:35.360 --> 00:18:37.350
most of these were benign answers that


00:18:37.360 --> 00:18:39.590
are factually supported by logical


00:18:39.600 --> 00:18:41.510
reasoning or world knowledge, but not


00:18:41.520 --> 00:18:43.669
actually present in the original text


00:18:43.679 --> 00:18:45.990
the bot was asked to summarize. Deepse


00:18:46.000 --> 00:18:48.549
seek didn't provide additional comment.


00:18:48.559 --> 00:18:49.990
Another problem with this kind of


00:18:50.000 --> 00:18:52.310
ranking is that testing based on text


00:18:52.320 --> 00:18:54.150
summarization says nothing about the


00:18:54.160 --> 00:18:57.590
rate of incorrect outputs when LLMs are


00:18:57.600 --> 00:19:00.310
used for other tasks, said Emily Bender


00:19:00.320 --> 00:19:02.630
at University of Washington. She says


00:19:02.640 --> 00:19:04.630
the leaderboard results may not be the


00:19:04.640 --> 00:19:06.230
best way to judge this technology


00:19:06.240 --> 00:19:08.150
because LLMs aren't designed


00:19:08.160 --> 00:19:11.350
specifically to summarize texts. These


00:19:11.360 --> 00:19:13.830
models work by repeatedly answering the


00:19:13.840 --> 00:19:16.630
question of what is a likely next word


00:19:16.640 --> 00:19:19.430
to formulate answers to prompts and so


00:19:19.440 --> 00:19:21.510
they aren't processing information in


00:19:21.520 --> 00:19:23.750
the usual sense of trying to understand


00:19:23.760 --> 00:19:25.750
what information is available in a body


00:19:25.760 --> 00:19:28.870
of text says Bender. But many tech


00:19:28.880 --> 00:19:30.870
companies are still frequently using the


00:19:30.880 --> 00:19:32.789
term hallucinations when describing


00:19:32.799 --> 00:19:35.830
output errors. Hallucination is a term


00:19:35.840 --> 00:19:38.789
that is doubly problematic, says Bender.


00:19:38.799 --> 00:19:40.630
On the one hand, it suggests that


00:19:40.640 --> 00:19:42.870
incorrect outputs are an aberration,


00:19:42.880 --> 00:19:44.789
perhaps one that can be mitigated,


00:19:44.799 --> 00:19:46.310
whereas the rest of the time, the


00:19:46.320 --> 00:19:48.909
systems are grounded, reliable, and


00:19:48.919 --> 00:19:51.110
trustworthy. On the other hand, it


00:19:51.120 --> 00:19:53.110
functions to anthropomorphize the


00:19:53.120 --> 00:19:55.510
machines. Hallucination refers to


00:19:55.520 --> 00:19:58.070
perceiving something that is not there,


00:19:58.080 --> 00:19:59.990
and large language models do not


00:20:00.000 --> 00:20:02.710
perceive anything. Ain Naran at


00:20:02.720 --> 00:20:04.789
Princeton University says that the issue


00:20:04.799 --> 00:20:07.029
goes beyond hallucination.


00:20:07.039 --> 00:20:08.950
Models also sometimes make other


00:20:08.960 --> 00:20:11.990
mistakes such as drawing upon unreliable


00:20:12.000 --> 00:20:14.789
sources or using outdated information


00:20:14.799 --> 00:20:16.870
and simply throwing more training data


00:20:16.880 --> 00:20:19.190
or computing power at AI hasn't


00:20:19.200 --> 00:20:22.070
necessarily helped. The upshot is we may


00:20:22.080 --> 00:20:24.870
have to live with errorprone AI, Narayan


00:20:24.880 --> 00:20:26.710
said. He added that it may be best in


00:20:26.720 --> 00:20:28.789
some cases to only use such models for


00:20:28.799 --> 00:20:31.270
tasks when fact-checking the AI answer


00:20:31.280 --> 00:20:32.950
would be still faster than doing the


00:20:32.960 --> 00:20:35.669
research yourself. But the best move may


00:20:35.679 --> 00:20:37.990
be to completely avoid relying on AI


00:20:38.000 --> 00:20:40.070
chat bots to provide factual


00:20:40.080 --> 00:20:42.190
information, says


00:20:42.200 --> 00:20:44.470
Bender. Roger that control. We're


00:20:44.480 --> 00:20:46.710
listening to Astronomy Daily, the


00:20:46.720 --> 00:20:54.950
podcast.


00:20:54.960 --> 00:20:56.390
And there it is, another episode of


00:20:56.400 --> 00:20:58.070
Astronomy Daily. Thanks for spending


00:20:58.080 --> 00:21:00.310
that time with Hi and I. I hope you


00:21:00.320 --> 00:21:02.230
enjoyed today's selection of stories.


00:21:02.240 --> 00:21:03.909
Another nice little collection. Don't


00:21:03.919 --> 00:21:05.830
forget you can get so much more every


00:21:05.840 --> 00:21:07.590
day by visiting the website Steve


00:21:07.600 --> 00:21:09.350
mentioned earlier in the episode. Oh,


00:21:09.360 --> 00:21:10.950
thanks for the plug. Hi. Just put your


00:21:10.960 --> 00:21:12.789
email address in the space provided and


00:21:12.799 --> 00:21:14.310
you'll get all the news from orbit and


00:21:14.320 --> 00:21:16.230
beyond every day. Yes, that's right.


00:21:16.240 --> 00:21:18.070
Everything about space, space science,


00:21:18.080 --> 00:21:20.390
astronomy, and a little bit associated


00:21:20.400 --> 00:21:22.630
with technology thrown in for fun just


00:21:22.640 --> 00:21:25.110
like today. That was fun. Well, I'm glad


00:21:25.120 --> 00:21:26.549
you think so. And that's really all


00:21:26.559 --> 00:21:28.149
there is today. So, we will catch you


00:21:28.159 --> 00:21:29.909
all again next week. That's for sure.


00:21:29.919 --> 00:21:31.430
Back again for the Monday show from the


00:21:31.440 --> 00:21:35.029
Australia studio down under with Hie and


00:21:35.039 --> 00:21:37.310
Steve. That's us. Cue the cooker


00:21:37.320 --> 00:21:46.110
bars. See you later.


00:21:46.120 --> 00:21:50.310
Bye. Daily the podcast with your host


00:21:50.320 --> 00:21:53.640
Steve Dunley.