March 12, 2026

Asteroids, Comets & the Latest from the DART Mission: A Cosmic Update | Space Nuts: Astronomy...

Asteroids, Comets & the Latest from the DART Mission: A Cosmic Update | Space Nuts: Astronomy...
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Asteroids, Comets & the Latest from the DART Mission: A Cosmic Update | Space Nuts: Astronomy...
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Asteroid Updates, DART Mission Insights, and the Chris Case of 3I ATLAS

In this exciting episode of Space Nuts , hosts Andrew Dunkley and Professor Fred Watson delve into the fascinating world of comets and asteroids. From the latest updates on asteroid 2024 YR4's potential impact with the Moon to groundbreaking findings from the DART mission, this episode is packed with cosmic discoveries and intriguing discussions.

Episode Highlights:

- Asteroid 2024 YR4 Update: The hosts discuss the recent observations made using the James Webb Space Telescope, which have ruled out the possibility of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting the Moon in 2032. They explore the significance of these findings and the implications for future lunar missions.

- DART Mission Success: Andrew and Fred revisit the DART mission, highlighting how the impact on the asteroid moon Dimorphos not only changed its orbit but also altered the orbit of the entire Didymos system around the Sun. This marks a historic achievement in planetary defense and asteroid science.

- The Mystery of 3I ATLAS: The episode concludes with a discussion on comet 3I ATLAS, which has been found to have an unusual chemical composition, particularly a high ratio of methanol to hydrogen cyanide. The hosts ponder what this could mean for our understanding of other solar systems and the chemistry of celestial bodies.


For more Space Nuts, including our continuously updating newsfeed and to listen to all our episodes, visit our website. (https://www.spacenutspodcast.com/) Follow us on social media at SpaceNutsPod on Facebook, Instagram, and more. We love engaging with our community, so be sure to drop us a message or comment on your favorite platform.

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Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.


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Episode link: https://play.headliner.app/episode/32168323?utm_source=youtube

WEBVTT
Kind: captions
Language: en

00:00:00.240 --> 00:00:01.990
Hello again and thank you for joining us


00:00:02.000 --> 00:00:04.950
on Space Nuts, the astronomy and space


00:00:04.960 --> 00:00:07.510
science podcast and radio show on


00:00:07.520 --> 00:00:09.990
community radio across Australia. My


00:00:10.000 --> 00:00:11.509
name's Andrew Dunley. Great to have your


00:00:11.519 --> 00:00:15.270
company in this the 607th episode of our


00:00:15.280 --> 00:00:17.590
program. Can you believe it? And this


00:00:17.600 --> 00:00:20.150
one is 100% dedicated to comets and


00:00:20.160 --> 00:00:22.710
asteroids in one way or another. We've


00:00:22.720 --> 00:00:25.269
got an update on the potential impact of


00:00:25.279 --> 00:00:28.630
asteroid Y4 with the moon. And they've


00:00:28.640 --> 00:00:30.470
been keeping an eye on this and they've


00:00:30.480 --> 00:00:32.229
come up with an answer and it's uh it's


00:00:32.239 --> 00:00:34.069
really clever the way they've done it.


00:00:34.079 --> 00:00:36.470
Uh more news out of the Dart mission.


00:00:36.480 --> 00:00:38.069
Something else has happened there. Yes,


00:00:38.079 --> 00:00:40.229
it's on a collision course with nothing.


00:00:40.239 --> 00:00:42.310
Had you worried there for a moment and


00:00:42.320 --> 00:00:45.750
three Atlas is chemically unstable. In


00:00:45.760 --> 00:00:47.670
fact, it's falling down drunk. We'll


00:00:47.680 --> 00:00:50.310
tell you why on this episode of Space


00:00:50.320 --> 00:00:51.029
Nuts.


00:00:51.039 --> 00:00:55.830
>> 15 seconds. Guidance is internal. 10 9


00:00:55.840 --> 00:00:58.549
Ignition sequence start. Space Nuts.


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>> 5 4 3 2


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>> 1 2 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 1


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>> Space Nuts.


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>> Astronauts report. It feels good.


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>> Joining us again for another stint on


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this little podcast of ours is Professor


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Fred Watson, astronomer at large. Hello,


00:01:14.400 --> 00:01:15.429
Fred.


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>> Hello, Andrew. And uh it's nice to talk


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to you. What a surprise.


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>> Good to see you.


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And we have got um a um a real rocking


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program today.


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>> Oh, I love it. Love it.


00:01:28.960 --> 00:01:31.030
>> It's all about rocks and ice and


00:01:31.040 --> 00:01:33.030
asteroids and something else which we'll


00:01:33.040 --> 00:01:36.469
get to later that's not rock and ice. Uh


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but um first an update on the potential


00:01:39.360 --> 00:01:43.030
impact of asteroid Y R4 with the moon.


00:01:43.040 --> 00:01:45.030
were a little bit worried that its


00:01:45.040 --> 00:01:47.350
chances of hitting the moon were well I


00:01:47.360 --> 00:01:49.270
think I heard in the early stages of its


00:01:49.280 --> 00:01:52.310
discovery that people were quoting 20 or


00:01:52.320 --> 00:01:55.109
30% chance of it hitting the moon that


00:01:55.119 --> 00:01:56.950
kind of got wound back to a more


00:01:56.960 --> 00:01:59.749
reasonable number. Uh but now they've


00:01:59.759 --> 00:02:01.830
got some definitive


00:02:01.840 --> 00:02:05.190
evidence of what's going to happen


00:02:05.200 --> 00:02:08.469
that that's correct. Um, I mean, uh,


00:02:08.479 --> 00:02:11.190
it's not just the moon that worried us


00:02:11.200 --> 00:02:15.910
for a while with asteroid 2024 YR4.


00:02:15.920 --> 00:02:18.229
uh because when it was discovered back


00:02:18.239 --> 00:02:22.550
in 2024, as you might guess, uh Y4


00:02:22.560 --> 00:02:26.869
um when its trajectory was analyzed and


00:02:26.879 --> 00:02:29.030
you got to remember that an object is


00:02:29.040 --> 00:02:32.869
only 60 mters across um which is flying


00:02:32.879 --> 00:02:35.270
through space, you make observations of


00:02:35.280 --> 00:02:37.750
its position. uh and if you've only


00:02:37.760 --> 00:02:39.589
observed it over a short period of


00:02:39.599 --> 00:02:42.949
period of time, the uncertainties in its


00:02:42.959 --> 00:02:44.949
well both its past orbit and its future


00:02:44.959 --> 00:02:47.509
orbit are very large. So it's what we


00:02:47.519 --> 00:02:49.990
call the arc uh the arc of observation.


00:02:50.000 --> 00:02:51.990
The the wider the arc of observations


00:02:52.000 --> 00:02:54.790
that you can make, the more accurate is


00:02:54.800 --> 00:02:57.030
going to be your assessment of where


00:02:57.040 --> 00:02:59.990
it's come from and where it's going. Um


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and so those early assessments uh


00:03:02.640 --> 00:03:05.110
actually they were in early in 25 2025


00:03:05.120 --> 00:03:07.509
when these calculations were made. Um


00:03:07.519 --> 00:03:09.670
but it's it did suggest a small chance


00:03:09.680 --> 00:03:11.430
that it might hit the earth.


00:03:11.440 --> 00:03:14.309
>> Uh and that was very quickly I think I'm


00:03:14.319 --> 00:03:15.670
sure you and I talked about this on


00:03:15.680 --> 00:03:16.149
space.


00:03:16.159 --> 00:03:16.869
>> Yeah, we did.


00:03:16.879 --> 00:03:19.910
>> It was very quickly ruled out. Uh and


00:03:19.920 --> 00:03:23.430
but as it sort of wandered on its way uh


00:03:23.440 --> 00:03:27.350
early in 2025, uh there was still a


00:03:27.360 --> 00:03:31.430
possibility that it might hit the moon.


00:03:31.440 --> 00:03:34.550
Uh and the time that it would happen


00:03:34.560 --> 00:03:37.670
would be uh 2035


00:03:37.680 --> 00:03:41.350
uh was the uh basically the the targeted


00:03:41.360 --> 00:03:44.390
time for sorry no is that right? 2032


00:03:44.400 --> 00:03:46.710
>> 2032.


00:03:46.720 --> 00:03:48.710
Yeah. Yeah, that's correct. Sorry, I'm


00:03:48.720 --> 00:03:51.110
mixing up my numbers. You deserve when


00:03:51.120 --> 00:03:53.670
you get to a certain age.


00:03:53.680 --> 00:03:56.390
Uh 2032


00:03:56.400 --> 00:03:59.270
um that there was a non-zero chance that


00:03:59.280 --> 00:04:02.309
it would hit the moon. And the the story


00:04:02.319 --> 00:04:05.030
what happened then was of course this


00:04:05.040 --> 00:04:07.910
object is it's what we call a near-Earth


00:04:07.920 --> 00:04:09.750
asteroid because it approaches near the


00:04:09.760 --> 00:04:11.190
Earth, but it's not near the Earth all


00:04:11.200 --> 00:04:12.229
the time.


00:04:12.239 --> 00:04:14.309
>> Most of the time it's a long way away as


00:04:14.319 --> 00:04:16.069
it goes around in its orbit around the


00:04:16.079 --> 00:04:19.110
sun. and it sort of disappeared from


00:04:19.120 --> 00:04:21.749
view essentially certainly from the uh


00:04:21.759 --> 00:04:24.150
from the purview of groundbased


00:04:24.160 --> 00:04:25.990
telescopes. There was not going to be


00:04:26.000 --> 00:04:28.950
any way we thought of observing it again


00:04:28.960 --> 00:04:32.310
until 2028 when it would make another


00:04:32.320 --> 00:04:34.070
close approach, not one that had any


00:04:34.080 --> 00:04:35.990
risk attached to it. But we didn't


00:04:36.000 --> 00:04:39.270
expect uh to be able to see its position


00:04:39.280 --> 00:04:42.629
in any detail until 2028, which we would


00:04:42.639 --> 00:04:44.870
need in order to predict where it might


00:04:44.880 --> 00:04:47.350
be in 2032, whether it's going to hit


00:04:47.360 --> 00:04:50.950
the moon or not. Um but um there are


00:04:50.960 --> 00:04:53.909
some scientists at uh who use the James


00:04:53.919 --> 00:04:57.670
Web Space Telescope who tend not to let


00:04:57.680 --> 00:05:00.390
uh faintness stand in their way because


00:05:00.400 --> 00:05:01.830
that's why you couldn't observe this


00:05:01.840 --> 00:05:04.070
object. It was just too faint. And sure


00:05:04.080 --> 00:05:06.629
enough, uh early this year, last month


00:05:06.639 --> 00:05:08.550
in fact, they've made two sets of


00:05:08.560 --> 00:05:10.070
observations where they've actually


00:05:10.080 --> 00:05:13.670
picked up uh the image, a tiny faint


00:05:13.680 --> 00:05:18.150
image of uh 2024 YR4. Uh they've picked


00:05:18.160 --> 00:05:21.749
it up and uh allowed um them the


00:05:21.759 --> 00:05:24.550
calculations in uh to basically take


00:05:24.560 --> 00:05:28.070
those new positions, the 2026 positions


00:05:28.080 --> 00:05:31.510
into the orbit calculation. Uh, and what


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they've done is they've ruled out any


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possibility of it hitting the moon. So,


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that's an unexpected story for us. I


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didn't think we'll be talking about this


00:05:41.360 --> 00:05:44.390
again until 2028. Uh, but no, we've


00:05:44.400 --> 00:05:46.230
talked about it in 2026 and the web


00:05:46.240 --> 00:05:48.469
telescope has come to the rescue. Um,


00:05:48.479 --> 00:05:50.469
some people are disappointed, Andrew,


00:05:50.479 --> 00:05:51.590
because um,


00:05:51.600 --> 00:05:53.670
>> an asteroid hitting the moon uh,


00:05:53.680 --> 00:05:54.870
especially if you know when it's going


00:05:54.880 --> 00:05:56.310
to happen and you would know where it


00:05:56.320 --> 00:05:58.390
was going to happen as well. Uh, could


00:05:58.400 --> 00:06:01.350
have produced some um quite interesting


00:06:01.360 --> 00:06:04.550
pyrochnics. It would allow spectroscopy


00:06:04.560 --> 00:06:05.909
uh, which would tell you a little bit


00:06:05.919 --> 00:06:07.590
about the asteroid's makeup as well as


00:06:07.600 --> 00:06:09.590
the the makeup of the lunar regalith and


00:06:09.600 --> 00:06:12.230
the lunar lunar um, terrain that it


00:06:12.240 --> 00:06:13.830
smashed into. But that's not going to


00:06:13.840 --> 00:06:16.309
happen. Uh and so for anybody like


00:06:16.319 --> 00:06:17.909
astronauts who might happen to be


00:06:17.919 --> 00:06:20.790
hanging about on the moon in 2032 and


00:06:20.800 --> 00:06:22.790
there may well be both uh Chinese


00:06:22.800 --> 00:06:25.749
tyonauts and uh western astronauts on


00:06:25.759 --> 00:06:27.990
the moon by then. We'll um that that


00:06:28.000 --> 00:06:30.629
will be a great relief I'm sure.


00:06:30.639 --> 00:06:32.230
>> Yes. Yes. You don't really want a


00:06:32.240 --> 00:06:34.790
mission interrupted by a piece of an


00:06:34.800 --> 00:06:38.710
ice. Uh what would could you if if it


00:06:38.720 --> 00:06:40.870
did hit the moon? Let's just play that


00:06:40.880 --> 00:06:43.110
card for the moment. uh and you were


00:06:43.120 --> 00:06:44.629
looking at it at the time, would would


00:06:44.639 --> 00:06:46.309
you actually see it with the naked eye


00:06:46.319 --> 00:06:47.670
or with a telescope?


00:06:47.680 --> 00:06:48.950
>> I don't think you would with the naked


00:06:48.960 --> 00:06:50.150
eye, but you certainly would with


00:06:50.160 --> 00:06:52.550
telescopes and even maybe a relatively


00:06:52.560 --> 00:06:55.909
small telescope. We've known I mean


00:06:55.919 --> 00:06:58.469
certainly since the 1950s,


00:06:58.479 --> 00:07:02.550
uh that rocks do hit the moon. Um and


00:07:02.560 --> 00:07:04.710
often these are ones that are much


00:07:04.720 --> 00:07:10.710
smaller than the 60 m of Y4. Um it's for


00:07:10.720 --> 00:07:12.710
a long time I remember you know when I


00:07:12.720 --> 00:07:14.710
was first getting into astronomy in the


00:07:14.720 --> 00:07:18.550
1950s uh that um people talked and in


00:07:18.560 --> 00:07:19.990
particular Patrick Moore talked about


00:07:20.000 --> 00:07:22.710
these what what were called TLE's uh


00:07:22.720 --> 00:07:26.230
transient lunar events uh and there were


00:07:26.240 --> 00:07:28.070
flashes basically that amateur


00:07:28.080 --> 00:07:30.469
astronomers kept reporting said every so


00:07:30.479 --> 00:07:32.230
often there'd be something you know


00:07:32.240 --> 00:07:33.670
they'd be looking at the moon through a


00:07:33.680 --> 00:07:35.189
telescope and suddenly there'd be a


00:07:35.199 --> 00:07:39.589
flash. uh and for a long time it was not


00:07:39.599 --> 00:07:41.589
show not known really whether this was


00:07:41.599 --> 00:07:44.150
due to some sort of residual volcanic


00:07:44.160 --> 00:07:46.230
activity on the moon or whether it was


00:07:46.240 --> 00:07:49.270
impact of asteroids and and large meteor


00:07:49.280 --> 00:07:53.110
meteorites. Uh and um it was really once


00:07:53.120 --> 00:07:55.990
we seen the Apollo results and got to


00:07:56.000 --> 00:07:57.749
know the moon a lot better because of


00:07:57.759 --> 00:08:00.150
the Apollo missions that it it was


00:08:00.160 --> 00:08:02.390
deemed to be impacts that caused these


00:08:02.400 --> 00:08:05.749
transient lunar events. uh and so uh it


00:08:05.759 --> 00:08:08.070
would certainly be a 60 meter object


00:08:08.080 --> 00:08:10.550
hitting the moon is quite significant uh


00:08:10.560 --> 00:08:12.950
and that I don't think it would be naked


00:08:12.960 --> 00:08:15.909
eye visibility but I you probably


00:08:15.919 --> 00:08:17.430
wouldn't need that big a telescope to be


00:08:17.440 --> 00:08:18.550
able to see it.


00:08:18.560 --> 00:08:18.950
>> Wow.


00:08:18.960 --> 00:08:21.589
>> And so yes so yeah interesting


00:08:21.599 --> 00:08:23.189
>> and especially you know sorry especially


00:08:23.199 --> 00:08:24.869
if you could predict when and where it


00:08:24.879 --> 00:08:26.390
was going to happen you'd have all the


00:08:26.400 --> 00:08:28.950
amateur astronomers in the world of that


00:08:28.960 --> 00:08:31.270
side of the earth facing the moon. Yeah


00:08:31.280 --> 00:08:33.909
with eyes glued to your telescope. Yeah.


00:08:33.919 --> 00:08:37.670
Um, now just need you probably to


00:08:37.680 --> 00:08:41.190
explain how this works. But, uh, the


00:08:41.200 --> 00:08:43.110
scientists using the James Web took


00:08:43.120 --> 00:08:47.590
images 8 days apart. Is that that's


00:08:47.600 --> 00:08:49.350
obviously significant because then they


00:08:49.360 --> 00:08:52.470
get a straight line uh, observation. Is


00:08:52.480 --> 00:08:54.310
that how it works?


00:08:54.320 --> 00:08:57.750
>> No. What what happens is um, uh, in fact


00:08:57.760 --> 00:09:00.070
what even just one of those observations


00:09:00.080 --> 00:09:03.190
would have been invaluable. two is


00:09:03.200 --> 00:09:05.350
devastatingly invaluable. It makes it,


00:09:05.360 --> 00:09:07.350
you know, it increases your accuracy


00:09:07.360 --> 00:09:10.230
even more. Uh because what they do, they


00:09:10.240 --> 00:09:13.990
combine those new observations with what


00:09:14.000 --> 00:09:17.350
we knew from its orbit the last where


00:09:17.360 --> 00:09:21.350
when we observed it in 2024 25. So what


00:09:21.360 --> 00:09:23.430
you've suddenly got is you've you know


00:09:23.440 --> 00:09:25.430
the arc of observation might just have


00:09:25.440 --> 00:09:27.670
been a few months at the end of 2024


00:09:27.680 --> 00:09:30.470
early 2025. Now what you've done is


00:09:30.480 --> 00:09:33.990
you've extended that arc by a year


00:09:34.000 --> 00:09:36.550
effectively. Uh and that gives you a


00:09:36.560 --> 00:09:41.829
much much more accurate uh value of of


00:09:41.839 --> 00:09:43.750
uh what we call its orbital elements.


00:09:43.760 --> 00:09:47.829
The the asteroid um is its orbit is


00:09:47.839 --> 00:09:51.350
actually delineated by six numbers. Uh


00:09:51.360 --> 00:09:53.269
and those are the orbital elements as


00:09:53.279 --> 00:09:56.230
they're called. uh those numbers uh get


00:09:56.240 --> 00:09:59.269
more accurate the more uh the longer you


00:09:59.279 --> 00:10:01.590
can observe it for. So and and it's not


00:10:01.600 --> 00:10:03.269
just the how long you can observe it


00:10:03.279 --> 00:10:05.910
for. It's the interval between you know


00:10:05.920 --> 00:10:07.430
what's the interval of time between the


00:10:07.440 --> 00:10:08.949
observations which is what we've got


00:10:08.959 --> 00:10:11.269
here. We've suddenly got observations


00:10:11.279 --> 00:10:13.990
made a year later. It's it's absolutely


00:10:14.000 --> 00:10:15.910
narrowed down the uncertainties in the


00:10:15.920 --> 00:10:18.790
in the orbital elements. And so what we


00:10:18.800 --> 00:10:21.509
can then do is another great word from


00:10:21.519 --> 00:10:23.269
those orbital elements we can generate


00:10:23.279 --> 00:10:25.590
what's called an ephemeris and ephemeris


00:10:25.600 --> 00:10:27.190
tells you where the asteroid is going to


00:10:27.200 --> 00:10:29.190
be. It's a future predictions.


00:10:29.200 --> 00:10:32.630
>> That was what my MSE was on uh making


00:10:32.640 --> 00:10:36.230
orbital elements and uh fem


00:10:36.240 --> 00:10:39.030
of asteroids with a really new invention


00:10:39.040 --> 00:10:41.509
called computers.


00:10:41.519 --> 00:10:43.829
Yes. Yes. That I think that'll be a big


00:10:43.839 --> 00:10:45.670
hit.


00:10:45.680 --> 00:10:48.150
Well, it might be, hopefully not


00:10:48.160 --> 00:10:50.470
depending on where you're standing. It


00:10:50.480 --> 00:10:51.910
was certainly I'll tell you it was a big


00:10:51.920 --> 00:10:53.670
hit with the um with the external


00:10:53.680 --> 00:10:55.509
examiner, a gentleman in Glasgow


00:10:55.519 --> 00:10:57.590
University by the name of Archie Roy. He


00:10:57.600 --> 00:10:59.910
said, "Oh, this this work should be


00:10:59.920 --> 00:11:01.829
published. People should be able to read


00:11:01.839 --> 00:11:04.949
about this." Uh it never was, but uh the


00:11:04.959 --> 00:11:08.870
one copy is actually behind me.


00:11:08.880 --> 00:11:10.790
>> Yeah, it's one of the two thick volumes


00:11:10.800 --> 00:11:13.670
at the end. The other's my PhD thesis.


00:11:13.680 --> 00:11:15.590
I keep thinking of questions while we


00:11:15.600 --> 00:11:18.069
talk about this. Um, but what I what I


00:11:18.079 --> 00:11:20.230
find extraordinary is that the James Web


00:11:20.240 --> 00:11:22.470
Space Telescope was trying to find


00:11:22.480 --> 00:11:26.310
something 60 m in size from a distance


00:11:26.320 --> 00:11:29.190
of 48 million kilometers, 30 million


00:11:29.200 --> 00:11:29.910
miles.


00:11:29.920 --> 00:11:30.230
>> Yep.


00:11:30.240 --> 00:11:31.750
>> And it found it twice.


00:11:31.760 --> 00:11:33.910
>> It's pretty fantastic, isn't it?


00:11:33.920 --> 00:11:36.069
>> It would just pop above the the


00:11:36.079 --> 00:11:37.670
background noise. you know, when you


00:11:37.680 --> 00:11:39.110
when you're doing these observations,


00:11:39.120 --> 00:11:41.990
you've got various sources of what we


00:11:42.000 --> 00:11:43.350
call noise, which is basically


00:11:43.360 --> 00:11:46.310
uncertainty. Uh, and um, these are


00:11:46.320 --> 00:11:47.829
probably


00:11:47.839 --> 00:11:50.389
very close to that noise level, but it's


00:11:50.399 --> 00:11:52.550
just shown up enough that gives them


00:11:52.560 --> 00:11:53.990
what they call what we call a three


00:11:54.000 --> 00:11:56.069
sigma certainty. It's, you know, that's


00:11:56.079 --> 00:11:57.590
the level of certainty that you need.


00:11:57.600 --> 00:11:59.110
It's just a technical term for the


00:11:59.120 --> 00:12:01.910
statistical analysis that's being used.


00:12:01.920 --> 00:12:04.310
>> Um, I maybe they got help from AI as


00:12:04.320 --> 00:12:05.110
well. I don't know.


00:12:05.120 --> 00:12:08.230
>> Maybe. Yeah, it's possible. Um, I have a


00:12:08.240 --> 00:12:10.150
doomsday question though.


00:12:10.160 --> 00:12:11.190
>> Great.


00:12:11.200 --> 00:12:12.949
>> When, and we're going to talk about the


00:12:12.959 --> 00:12:14.790
dart mission next because there's new


00:12:14.800 --> 00:12:16.790
information about that uh, deflection


00:12:16.800 --> 00:12:20.150
test. But when do you intervene? Like if


00:12:20.160 --> 00:12:24.710
if we left it a couple of years because


00:12:24.720 --> 00:12:26.949
James Webb couldn't find it and then we


00:12:26.959 --> 00:12:28.629
realized it was going to hit Earth or


00:12:28.639 --> 00:12:31.110
something to that effect. When is it too


00:12:31.120 --> 00:12:34.550
late to intervene? it it's um with an


00:12:34.560 --> 00:12:37.030
asteroid like that it's almost too late


00:12:37.040 --> 00:12:40.150
already uh because you've only got so if


00:12:40.160 --> 00:12:42.710
we'd observed this in 2028 and the


00:12:42.720 --> 00:12:44.550
probability of an impact with Earth had


00:12:44.560 --> 00:12:47.190
gone up I mean it that had disappeared


00:12:47.200 --> 00:12:49.190
long ago so it's it's not a problem but


00:12:49.200 --> 00:12:52.230
if that happened you've only got four


00:12:52.240 --> 00:12:57.509
years uh and we're not ready quite yet


00:12:57.519 --> 00:13:00.150
to mount an emergency mission I think


00:13:00.160 --> 00:13:02.310
down the track we will be Having seen


00:13:02.320 --> 00:13:04.069
what come out of the story we're going


00:13:04.079 --> 00:13:05.910
to do next and


00:13:05.920 --> 00:13:08.949
>> um I think down the track we will have


00:13:08.959 --> 00:13:12.069
uh probably planetary defense uh rockets


00:13:12.079 --> 00:13:14.949
and spacecraft almost ready to go uh so


00:13:14.959 --> 00:13:17.190
that you could think about deflecting an


00:13:17.200 --> 00:13:18.870
object if it looked as though it was


00:13:18.880 --> 00:13:21.190
going to impact the earth but I suspect


00:13:21.200 --> 00:13:24.150
with four years that's not very long for


00:13:24.160 --> 00:13:26.470
a modified orbit to evolve into one that


00:13:26.480 --> 00:13:29.990
will miss the planet altogether. Um, uh,


00:13:30.000 --> 00:13:32.870
I think what would happen would be you'd


00:13:32.880 --> 00:13:36.230
you'd mobilize a civil defense, uh,


00:13:36.240 --> 00:13:38.629
resources because you'd probably quite


00:13:38.639 --> 00:13:40.870
quickly get an idea where the collision


00:13:40.880 --> 00:13:42.870
was going to be. You'd have a a circle


00:13:42.880 --> 00:13:44.870
of uncertainty, but you would know


00:13:44.880 --> 00:13:46.710
roughly where it was, which which side


00:13:46.720 --> 00:13:49.430
of the planet was going to be facing it.


00:13:49.440 --> 00:13:53.190
uh and a 60 m object. I mean, it's


00:13:53.200 --> 00:13:55.829
probably twice the size of what exploded


00:13:55.839 --> 00:13:59.670
over Chelabinsk uh in 2013. And we know


00:13:59.680 --> 00:14:03.030
that that caused structural damage when


00:14:03.040 --> 00:14:05.430
the shock wave hit the ground from 30


00:14:05.440 --> 00:14:08.310
kilometers high and it was the broken


00:14:08.320 --> 00:14:09.829
glass that caused all the injuries.


00:14:09.839 --> 00:14:12.629
Nobody died. Uh but but people did get


00:14:12.639 --> 00:14:14.870
injured. Um, and if you knew something


00:14:14.880 --> 00:14:17.030
like that was going to happen, uh, then


00:14:17.040 --> 00:14:19.030
you'd get the people out or get them in


00:14:19.040 --> 00:14:21.910
bunkers or whatever. Um, because it that


00:14:21.920 --> 00:14:23.430
that would be the most likely scenario,


00:14:23.440 --> 00:14:25.670
an air burst. It may be what happened at


00:14:25.680 --> 00:14:26.949
Tangaska actually.


00:14:26.959 --> 00:14:29.750
>> Yes.


00:14:29.760 --> 00:14:32.629
>> Yeah. I think the latest theory is it


00:14:32.639 --> 00:14:35.350
was actually a atmospheric graze rather


00:14:35.360 --> 00:14:37.910
than impact and caused


00:14:37.920 --> 00:14:40.150
>> explosion downwards. Yeah.


00:14:40.160 --> 00:14:42.949
>> Rading radiating out. Um the images from


00:14:42.959 --> 00:14:44.310
that are incredible. You can look them


00:14:44.320 --> 00:14:44.949
up on


00:14:44.959 --> 00:14:45.990
>> all the trees.


00:14:46.000 --> 00:14:48.310
>> Yeah. Just flattened. Unbelievable.


00:14:48.320 --> 00:14:49.030
Yeah.


00:14:49.040 --> 00:14:51.030
>> If you would like to read about the the


00:14:51.040 --> 00:14:53.430
latest observations uh regarding


00:14:53.440 --> 00:14:56.389
asteroid 2024 YR2, you can go to the


00:14:56.399 --> 00:14:58.790
scienceblog.com website or you can go to


00:14:58.800 --> 00:15:00.949
the issa website where they've published


00:15:00.959 --> 00:15:03.509
the findings. This is space nuts with


00:15:03.519 --> 00:15:06.710
Andrew Dunley and Professor Fred Watson.


00:15:06.720 --> 00:15:08.230
Let's take a break from the show to tell


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00:16:39.920 --> 00:16:41.910
I believe that this nation should commit


00:16:41.920 --> 00:16:45.509
itself to achieving the goal before this


00:16:45.519 --> 00:16:48.230
decade is out of landing a man on the


00:16:48.240 --> 00:16:50.310
moon and returning him safely to the


00:16:50.320 --> 00:16:50.710
earth.


00:16:50.720 --> 00:16:52.150
>> These nuts.


00:16:52.160 --> 00:16:53.829
>> Well, we said we'd talk about it and we


00:16:53.839 --> 00:16:56.230
got to talk about it. The Dart mission.


00:16:56.240 --> 00:16:58.870
I think we should start by kind of just


00:16:58.880 --> 00:17:00.870
revisiting what that mission was all


00:17:00.880 --> 00:17:03.509
about and why. Well, we know why. to see


00:17:03.519 --> 00:17:06.069
if we could move something that may hit


00:17:06.079 --> 00:17:08.630
Earth one day off a bit so that it


00:17:08.640 --> 00:17:11.270
missed us. Uh I probably just explained


00:17:11.280 --> 00:17:13.350
it, but um yeah, this was four years


00:17:13.360 --> 00:17:14.870
ago, wasn't it, Fred?


00:17:14.880 --> 00:17:17.750
>> Uh indeed it was. That's right. 2022. Um


00:17:17.760 --> 00:17:20.870
it was I think it was it September. Uh I


00:17:20.880 --> 00:17:21.350
can't remember.


00:17:21.360 --> 00:17:22.150
>> Good question.


00:17:22.160 --> 00:17:25.510
>> About I think it was about then. Um the


00:17:25.520 --> 00:17:29.909
so a really really clever experiment uh


00:17:29.919 --> 00:17:33.029
conducted by NASA and a team of project


00:17:33.039 --> 00:17:35.990
scientists. Uh what do you do to test


00:17:36.000 --> 00:17:39.029
whether you can move an asteroid? What


00:17:39.039 --> 00:17:42.150
you don't do is slap something into an


00:17:42.160 --> 00:17:44.390
asteroid and see whether you can change


00:17:44.400 --> 00:17:46.710
its orbit around the sun. And that's


00:17:46.720 --> 00:17:49.110
because uh the orbits of planets,


00:17:49.120 --> 00:17:52.710
asteroids um and comets actually as well


00:17:52.720 --> 00:17:54.870
are very very stable. It's quite hard to


00:17:54.880 --> 00:17:56.789
change them. Uh because you're talking


00:17:56.799 --> 00:18:00.789
about, you know, lots of rather large


00:18:00.799 --> 00:18:02.630
forces, gravitational forces and things


00:18:02.640 --> 00:18:04.470
like that. So what they did was they


00:18:04.480 --> 00:18:06.390
said, "Okay, we won't do that. What


00:18:06.400 --> 00:18:07.909
we'll do is we'll find an asteroid with


00:18:07.919 --> 00:18:10.470
a a moon." Uh and we now know there are


00:18:10.480 --> 00:18:12.310
a lot of those. And they chose an


00:18:12.320 --> 00:18:15.350
asteroid called Ditimos. Uh if I


00:18:15.360 --> 00:18:16.950
remember rightly about half a kilometer


00:18:16.960 --> 00:18:19.669
across uh which had a little moon called


00:18:19.679 --> 00:18:24.230
Dorphos which is about I think 170 m is


00:18:24.240 --> 00:18:26.070
the figure that comes to mind. This


00:18:26.080 --> 00:18:28.230
little moon that goes around Diddimos


00:18:28.240 --> 00:18:30.390
once in I've got a feeling remembering


00:18:30.400 --> 00:18:32.230
it was about 11 hours its orbital


00:18:32.240 --> 00:18:34.630
period. So you smash something into the


00:18:34.640 --> 00:18:38.470
little asteroid moon. Uh, and what you


00:18:38.480 --> 00:18:41.350
then look for is how the orbit of the


00:18:41.360 --> 00:18:43.430
moon around its parent body, in other


00:18:43.440 --> 00:18:45.909
words, the moon, the orbit of Demorphos


00:18:45.919 --> 00:18:48.549
around Ditimos, how that changes because


00:18:48.559 --> 00:18:50.789
something on that scale is much easier


00:18:50.799 --> 00:18:53.110
to change than the orbit of an asteroid


00:18:53.120 --> 00:18:56.950
around the sun. Uh, and as we all know,


00:18:56.960 --> 00:18:59.190
it was incredibly successful. the orbit


00:18:59.200 --> 00:19:03.029
of the orbital period of um Demorphus I


00:19:03.039 --> 00:19:04.950
think it was reduced by was it 33


00:19:04.960 --> 00:19:08.070
minutes I think was the the figure um if


00:19:08.080 --> 00:19:11.029
I remember rightly the Dart spacecraft


00:19:11.039 --> 00:19:13.110
I'm remembering these numbers from the


00:19:13.120 --> 00:19:15.669
last time we talked about it I think it


00:19:15.679 --> 00:19:20.390
was um uh three tons I think thereabouts


00:19:20.400 --> 00:19:24.390
hit Demorphos at 6 kilometers/s


00:19:24.400 --> 00:19:27.510
caused a huge plume of data sorry a huge


00:19:27.520 --> 00:19:29.909
plume of debris not data, lots of data


00:19:29.919 --> 00:19:33.270
as well, but debris too. Um, and that


00:19:33.280 --> 00:19:35.510
was all in fact visible from Earth as


00:19:35.520 --> 00:19:37.669
well as from uh things like the Hubble


00:19:37.679 --> 00:19:40.390
Space Telescope. Uh, so it was a


00:19:40.400 --> 00:19:43.990
experiment that was well uh devised,


00:19:44.000 --> 00:19:46.710
well set up and had excellent results.


00:19:46.720 --> 00:19:49.830
It did exactly it did better than what


00:19:49.840 --> 00:19:51.750
um the mission scientists hoped. And the


00:19:51.760 --> 00:19:53.669
reason why it did better was because


00:19:53.679 --> 00:19:55.669
they there was a much bigger effect.


00:19:55.679 --> 00:19:57.909
It's when you hit something at 6


00:19:57.919 --> 00:20:00.470
kilometers/s, everything's vaporized.


00:20:00.480 --> 00:20:02.630
The the surface that you hit, which is


00:20:02.640 --> 00:20:04.150
actually a rubble pile, but the surface


00:20:04.160 --> 00:20:06.230
you hit vaporized, as is the spacecraft


00:20:06.240 --> 00:20:09.190
itself, and that vapor acts like a


00:20:09.200 --> 00:20:11.029
rocket exhaust. So, it's not just the


00:20:11.039 --> 00:20:13.190
nudge that you get from knocking


00:20:13.200 --> 00:20:15.110
something weighing three tons into an


00:20:15.120 --> 00:20:17.510
asteroid. Uh, it's also the sort of


00:20:17.520 --> 00:20:20.070
exhaust effect that comes from that uh


00:20:20.080 --> 00:20:25.110
as well. Um, so it uh and that that was


00:20:25.120 --> 00:20:27.029
what was very hard to quantify. We


00:20:27.039 --> 00:20:28.549
didn't really know what that would be,


00:20:28.559 --> 00:20:30.549
but it was enough to make a significant


00:20:30.559 --> 00:20:32.390
difference. So that's the backstory,


00:20:32.400 --> 00:20:33.110
Andrew.


00:20:33.120 --> 00:20:34.870
>> Yes. And you were right. It was the 26th


00:20:34.880 --> 00:20:37.190
of September, 2022.


00:20:37.200 --> 00:20:37.669
>> Okay.


00:20:37.679 --> 00:20:38.470
>> Great. Yeah.


00:20:38.480 --> 00:20:40.070
>> Yeah.


00:20:40.080 --> 00:20:41.990
Do you want to just check the mass of of


00:20:42.000 --> 00:20:44.070
the dart impactor while you're looking


00:20:44.080 --> 00:20:45.510
there? So


00:20:45.520 --> 00:20:47.510
>> correct if I've said it wrong. I said


00:20:47.520 --> 00:20:49.029
three tons, but I might be wrong. I


00:20:49.039 --> 00:20:51.669
can't remember. Okay, I'll do that. Um,


00:20:51.679 --> 00:20:53.990
but I guess we could uh move on to


00:20:54.000 --> 00:20:55.590
what's actually happened now. They've


00:20:55.600 --> 00:20:57.990
done more analysis and and something


00:20:58.000 --> 00:20:59.750
spectacular has happened as a


00:20:59.760 --> 00:21:01.750
consequence of that event three and a


00:21:01.760 --> 00:21:02.870
half years ago.


00:21:02.880 --> 00:21:05.270
>> And the way it's happened is neat as


00:21:05.280 --> 00:21:08.950
well because uh what you're looking for


00:21:08.960 --> 00:21:11.029
um if you're looking at the way an


00:21:11.039 --> 00:21:13.190
asteroid change an asteroid orbit


00:21:13.200 --> 00:21:16.070
changes, you're looking for incredible


00:21:16.080 --> 00:21:19.510
precision in space. uh and there are


00:21:19.520 --> 00:21:22.470
limits as to how precise we can get uh


00:21:22.480 --> 00:21:25.029
those measurements using telescopes.


00:21:25.039 --> 00:21:26.950
It's all about the position in space of


00:21:26.960 --> 00:21:29.430
the object. Telescopes are great at that


00:21:29.440 --> 00:21:33.190
of course but there is a better way uh


00:21:33.200 --> 00:21:35.590
for asteroids and that is to use


00:21:35.600 --> 00:21:38.789
occultations and an occultation is when


00:21:38.799 --> 00:21:41.510
an object like an asteroid passes in


00:21:41.520 --> 00:21:45.029
front of a star and you can predict this


00:21:45.039 --> 00:21:48.710
is going to happen. So what you do is


00:21:48.720 --> 00:21:52.630
for an object that's only 170 m across


00:21:52.640 --> 00:21:56.310
uh which is the size of demorphos um you


00:21:56.320 --> 00:21:59.190
you you've got what you do is you space


00:21:59.200 --> 00:22:02.310
astronomers along a line uh who are


00:22:02.320 --> 00:22:05.110
observing and because you you're not


00:22:05.120 --> 00:22:07.830
quite sure where the shadow of the


00:22:07.840 --> 00:22:10.470
asteroid casting the light of the star


00:22:10.480 --> 00:22:12.630
is going to fall. But with telescopes,


00:22:12.640 --> 00:22:14.470
what you can do is you can see the dip


00:22:14.480 --> 00:22:17.270
in a star's light as the asteroid passes


00:22:17.280 --> 00:22:18.470
in front of it. It's what we call


00:22:18.480 --> 00:22:20.710
noultation. And if you've got enough


00:22:20.720 --> 00:22:23.350
observers on the ground, it gives you a


00:22:23.360 --> 00:22:25.750
much higher level of precision as to


00:22:25.760 --> 00:22:28.230
where in the sky that asteroid is. And


00:22:28.240 --> 00:22:31.430
so that process was carried out um I


00:22:31.440 --> 00:22:35.430
think last year. Um and uh so that means


00:22:35.440 --> 00:22:37.750
that you've suddenly got very very


00:22:37.760 --> 00:22:40.070
accurate measurements of the position


00:22:40.080 --> 00:22:42.710
not just of of Dimorphus itself but also


00:22:42.720 --> 00:22:45.190
the parent asteroid Ditimos. In fact, I


00:22:45.200 --> 00:22:48.230
think it might be Ditimos um that was


00:22:48.240 --> 00:22:50.870
used for the occultation. And so the


00:22:50.880 --> 00:22:56.230
bottom line is uh that uh lo and behold


00:22:56.240 --> 00:22:58.549
it didn't just the impact didn't just


00:22:58.559 --> 00:23:01.270
change the orbit of Demorphos around


00:23:01.280 --> 00:23:03.830
Dillimos. It changed the orbit of the


00:23:03.840 --> 00:23:06.310
whole system, the pair of them around


00:23:06.320 --> 00:23:10.230
the sun. And that is the first time, one


00:23:10.240 --> 00:23:11.590
of the nice quotes in one of these


00:23:11.600 --> 00:23:13.590
articles, it's the first time a


00:23:13.600 --> 00:23:15.750
humanmade object has measurably altered


00:23:15.760 --> 00:23:17.750
the path of a celestial body around the


00:23:17.760 --> 00:23:20.390
sun. That's in a NASA statement.


00:23:20.400 --> 00:23:23.430
>> That is incredible. And of course, the


00:23:23.440 --> 00:23:25.430
obvious question is now, will we be able


00:23:25.440 --> 00:23:27.750
to track where it will go versus where


00:23:27.760 --> 00:23:29.430
it would have gone?


00:23:29.440 --> 00:23:31.909
>> Yes. And and indeed that's already sort


00:23:31.919 --> 00:23:34.070
of already happening because there'll be


00:23:34.080 --> 00:23:36.149
further observations and it's the same


00:23:36.159 --> 00:23:37.830
as we were just talking about in regard


00:23:37.840 --> 00:23:40.230
to Y4. The longer the arc of


00:23:40.240 --> 00:23:41.590
observations you've got, the more


00:23:41.600 --> 00:23:44.390
accurate uh your knowledge of its orbit.


00:23:44.400 --> 00:23:47.909
Now um the change in orbit is not much.


00:23:47.919 --> 00:23:52.549
Um I can't remember how many days um


00:23:52.559 --> 00:23:54.710
I've got the paper in front of me


00:23:54.720 --> 00:23:58.310
actually the the main paper. um it


00:23:58.320 --> 00:24:00.310
doesn't actually give us the the orbital


00:24:00.320 --> 00:24:02.870
period of the pair around the sun but


00:24:02.880 --> 00:24:05.510
they've changed that orbital period by


00:24:05.520 --> 00:24:09.830
wait for it it's.15 of a second so it's


00:24:09.840 --> 00:24:11.830
very I mean it's a matter of um you know


00:24:11.840 --> 00:24:15.110
it's it's these two orbit between the


00:24:15.120 --> 00:24:17.029
between the um orbits of Mars and


00:24:17.039 --> 00:24:18.070
Jupiter they're part of the main


00:24:18.080 --> 00:24:21.029
asteroid belt so they're their orbital


00:24:21.039 --> 00:24:23.590
periods are probably measured in sort of


00:24:23.600 --> 00:24:25.669
thousands of days or at least high


00:24:25.679 --> 00:24:28.310
numbers of hundreds of days uh and to


00:24:28.320 --> 00:24:31.510
change that by 0.15 of a second is not


00:24:31.520 --> 00:24:34.070
very much. It speaks wonders for the


00:24:34.080 --> 00:24:36.310
volumes for the uh accuracy with which


00:24:36.320 --> 00:24:39.110
the orbit has been determined. But uh


00:24:39.120 --> 00:24:41.830
it's look it it's it's it happened. It


00:24:41.840 --> 00:24:43.990
has actually happened that we've changed


00:24:44.000 --> 00:24:47.110
the orbit of an asteroid by hitting it


00:24:47.120 --> 00:24:50.470
or hitting its little moon in fact by uh


00:24:50.480 --> 00:24:52.549
with with a with a massive object. Did


00:24:52.559 --> 00:24:53.830
you manage to find out how much it


00:24:53.840 --> 00:24:56.630
weighed? 610 kg.


00:24:56.640 --> 00:24:59.510
>> Okay. That's 840 pounds.


00:24:59.520 --> 00:25:01.350
>> Yeah. So, it's less than a ton. Half a


00:25:01.360 --> 00:25:04.390
ton. Yeah. I apologize for three tons.


00:25:04.400 --> 00:25:06.710
That was the number from something else.


00:25:06.720 --> 00:25:08.149
>> I reckon if they if they could have got


00:25:08.159 --> 00:25:09.350
three tons up there, they would have


00:25:09.360 --> 00:25:09.750
used it.


00:25:09.760 --> 00:25:11.430
>> They would have done. Yeah. But but that


00:25:11.440 --> 00:25:13.190
makes it even more spectacular. You


00:25:13.200 --> 00:25:16.470
know, something weighing less than a car


00:25:16.480 --> 00:25:19.029
clouting a the moon of an asteroid can


00:25:19.039 --> 00:25:21.029
change the orbit of that asteroid and


00:25:21.039 --> 00:25:25.510
its parent body. Um just to very quickly


00:25:25.520 --> 00:25:27.669
since we're talking to a educated and


00:25:27.679 --> 00:25:30.070
erodendite audience here the mechanism


00:25:30.080 --> 00:25:33.029
by which that changed is so you think


00:25:33.039 --> 00:25:35.110
well you've hit the you've hit the moon


00:25:35.120 --> 00:25:37.750
asteroid how does that change the orbit


00:25:37.760 --> 00:25:40.390
of the parent asteroid and what it does


00:25:40.400 --> 00:25:42.789
hitting the moon asteroid gives you a


00:25:42.799 --> 00:25:44.950
slight change in the position of the


00:25:44.960 --> 00:25:47.350
barry center that's the center of mass


00:25:47.360 --> 00:25:49.350
of the two objects their center of


00:25:49.360 --> 00:25:53.110
gravity combined and it's that that has


00:25:53.120 --> 00:25:55.510
changed its orbit. It's the Barry center


00:25:55.520 --> 00:25:57.269
which of course includes both of the


00:25:57.279 --> 00:25:58.950
objects. The Barry center is


00:25:58.960 --> 00:26:00.950
representative of both Ditimos and


00:26:00.960 --> 00:26:02.950
Dimorphus because it's the center of


00:26:02.960 --> 00:26:04.870
mass between them. So changing the


00:26:04.880 --> 00:26:06.310
position of the Barry center or the


00:26:06.320 --> 00:26:08.470
orbit of the Barry center essentially


00:26:08.480 --> 00:26:10.470
changes the orbit of the asteroid which


00:26:10.480 --> 00:26:13.669
means that would something like that


00:26:13.679 --> 00:26:15.830
threatening the earth and you had enough


00:26:15.840 --> 00:26:17.990
enough years down the track for its


00:26:18.000 --> 00:26:19.750
orbit to evolve so that it would miss


00:26:19.760 --> 00:26:21.990
the earth. Uh, that might be a way to do


00:26:22.000 --> 00:26:22.549
it.


00:26:22.559 --> 00:26:24.310
>> Yeah, I know a few people named Barry


00:26:24.320 --> 00:26:25.750
and they're always wanting to be the


00:26:25.760 --> 00:26:29.590
center of attentive.


00:26:29.600 --> 00:26:31.350
>> It had to cut, didn't it? Yeah, it did.


00:26:31.360 --> 00:26:34.470
It did. Uh, it's a it's a great story.


00:26:34.480 --> 00:26:36.070
It's a great read. Uh, you can pick it


00:26:36.080 --> 00:26:38.789
up on the NASA website or you can go to


00:26:38.799 --> 00:26:40.549
fizz.org.


00:26:40.559 --> 00:26:42.149
Phys.


00:26:42.159 --> 00:26:43.909
I got to do that from now on because


00:26:43.919 --> 00:26:47.269
somebody came to us one day and said, "I


00:26:47.279 --> 00:26:49.750
can't find this fi.org


00:26:49.760 --> 00:26:50.789
thing


00:26:50.799 --> 00:26:55.350
>> cuz it's not it's fizz phys uh yes but


00:26:55.360 --> 00:26:56.870
uh it's great news out of that


00:26:56.880 --> 00:26:59.510
experiment three and a half years post


00:26:59.520 --> 00:27:02.310
event this is space nuts dunley with


00:27:02.320 --> 00:27:08.549
professor Fred Watson


00:27:08.559 --> 00:27:10.789
>> base here the angle has landed


00:27:10.799 --> 00:27:12.070
>> space nuts


00:27:12.080 --> 00:27:16.470
>> now to another piece of rock that has


00:27:16.480 --> 00:27:18.149
been getting a lot of attention in


00:27:18.159 --> 00:27:21.750
recent times I Atlas, the exo comet or


00:27:21.760 --> 00:27:23.350
exoaststeroid. Is it a comet or an


00:27:23.360 --> 00:27:24.390
asteroid? Fred,


00:27:24.400 --> 00:27:25.350
>> comet. Comet.


00:27:25.360 --> 00:27:27.669
>> Comet. Yeah. Uh, yeah. It appears that


00:27:27.679 --> 00:27:29.590
it's um it's very different from


00:27:29.600 --> 00:27:31.590
anything we've seen before to the point


00:27:31.600 --> 00:27:33.750
where it's uh raging through our solar


00:27:33.760 --> 00:27:38.149
system, stone drunk off its face.


00:27:38.159 --> 00:27:40.630
Not quite, but uh its chemical makeup is


00:27:40.640 --> 00:27:42.950
just way out of kilter with what we


00:27:42.960 --> 00:27:45.029
would have expected.


00:27:45.039 --> 00:27:47.430
>> Uh that's right. So, you know, this is


00:27:47.440 --> 00:27:49.510
uh three eyeatlas is definitely the gift


00:27:49.520 --> 00:27:53.350
that keeps on giving um because um what


00:27:53.360 --> 00:27:55.510
we've got is a free sample from another


00:27:55.520 --> 00:27:57.830
solar system that is careering through


00:27:57.840 --> 00:28:00.549
our own solar system and near enough for


00:28:00.559 --> 00:28:02.630
our telescopes to get details of it.


00:28:02.640 --> 00:28:05.990
It's now actually receding from Earth um


00:28:06.000 --> 00:28:09.830
and from the sun, but it's still


00:28:09.840 --> 00:28:13.750
producing um gases from its icy surface.


00:28:13.760 --> 00:28:16.310
It behaves exactly like a comet would


00:28:16.320 --> 00:28:19.110
from our own solar system. Gets near the


00:28:19.120 --> 00:28:22.789
sun. Uh the ice is basically turn into


00:28:22.799 --> 00:28:26.310
gas directly. They sublimate and uh what


00:28:26.320 --> 00:28:29.430
then happens is um we can sense what


00:28:29.440 --> 00:28:31.990
gases are there, what what chemical


00:28:32.000 --> 00:28:33.909
compounds are there by looking at the


00:28:33.919 --> 00:28:36.630
spectrum of the what we call the coma of


00:28:36.640 --> 00:28:38.549
the comet. That's the fuzzy area around


00:28:38.559 --> 00:28:40.710
it that's caused by all this outging


00:28:40.720 --> 00:28:44.470
material. And so, um, comet 3i Atlas has


00:28:44.480 --> 00:28:47.269
recently been the subject of pro


00:28:47.279 --> 00:28:49.830
probably the world's most powerful,


00:28:49.840 --> 00:28:51.029
well, certainly the world's most


00:28:51.039 --> 00:28:52.470
powerful millimeter wave radio


00:28:52.480 --> 00:28:55.590
telescope. Uh, the array in the high


00:28:55.600 --> 00:28:58.549
country of the Atakama, uh, the Alma


00:28:58.559 --> 00:29:00.630
telescope, the Atakama large millimeter


00:29:00.640 --> 00:29:04.710
submill array. Um, at about 5,000 mters


00:29:04.720 --> 00:29:06.870
high, not very far from San Pedro de


00:29:06.880 --> 00:29:10.070
Atakama. Uh, and when I went to try and


00:29:10.080 --> 00:29:11.830
get in their back door one time, I


00:29:11.840 --> 00:29:14.549
nearly um died because the air was so


00:29:14.559 --> 00:29:16.630
thin and we didn't get in the back door


00:29:16.640 --> 00:29:18.470
either.


00:29:18.480 --> 00:29:21.990
So, uh, never mind. Uh, ALMA is fabulous


00:29:22.000 --> 00:29:24.870
telescope. So, what's the story? Uh,


00:29:24.880 --> 00:29:29.430
ALMA uh, which is run by various


00:29:29.440 --> 00:29:31.750
different organizations. uh but the


00:29:31.760 --> 00:29:33.430
scientists who have been observing a


00:29:33.440 --> 00:29:36.630
three-ey atlas with it have looked at


00:29:36.640 --> 00:29:39.190
the fingerprints the spectral


00:29:39.200 --> 00:29:42.149
fingerprints of two molecules. One is


00:29:42.159 --> 00:29:45.190
methanol which is a type of alcohol and


00:29:45.200 --> 00:29:49.029
the other is hydrogen cyanide uh HCN.


00:29:49.039 --> 00:29:51.510
It's a an organic molecule very common


00:29:51.520 --> 00:29:55.350
in comets. Uh so both of those are found


00:29:55.360 --> 00:29:58.389
in comets in the solar system. But what


00:29:58.399 --> 00:30:00.710
is the surprise is the amount of


00:30:00.720 --> 00:30:05.990
methanol. Uh it's as the um NRO


00:30:06.000 --> 00:30:08.070
National Radio Astronomy Observatory


00:30:08.080 --> 00:30:11.669
press release says uh ThreeI Atlas is


00:30:11.679 --> 00:30:14.470
heavily enriched in methanol compared to


00:30:14.480 --> 00:30:17.190
hydrogen cyanide. Far beyond what is


00:30:17.200 --> 00:30:19.350
typically seen in comets born in our own


00:30:19.360 --> 00:30:20.389
solar system.


00:30:20.399 --> 00:30:23.430
>> You know, you know what it is, Fred?


00:30:23.440 --> 00:30:25.830
>> Wait for it. You're gonna love this one.


00:30:25.840 --> 00:30:28.470
It's inroxinated.


00:30:28.480 --> 00:30:31.990
>> Oh


00:30:32.000 --> 00:30:35.669
yes, I'll go with that. I um I know I


00:30:35.679 --> 00:30:37.750
can just invented a new word. Well, he


00:30:37.760 --> 00:30:39.430
did. Yes. And you probably need to be


00:30:39.440 --> 00:30:41.350
reasonably in Roxinating in order to


00:30:41.360 --> 00:30:42.389
invent it.


00:30:42.399 --> 00:30:45.190
>> Yeah, I suppose so. And it's so early


00:30:45.200 --> 00:30:45.510
anyway.


00:30:45.520 --> 00:30:47.909
>> Yes. So early in the day. That's right.


00:30:47.919 --> 00:30:50.070
>> Anyway, um the observing team just


00:30:50.080 --> 00:30:52.549
coming back to a state of back perfect


00:30:52.559 --> 00:30:55.830
back to reality, perfect sobriety. Um


00:30:55.840 --> 00:30:59.830
it's um methanol to hydrogen cyanide


00:30:59.840 --> 00:31:05.830
ratios of between 70 and 120 uh which


00:31:05.840 --> 00:31:09.750
means it's among the most methanol rich


00:31:09.760 --> 00:31:11.830
uh comets ever discovered. There's been


00:31:11.840 --> 00:31:14.389
a few in the solar system that have got


00:31:14.399 --> 00:31:17.510
high levels of methanol, but this is,


00:31:17.520 --> 00:31:19.990
you know, it's up there on the extreme


00:31:20.000 --> 00:31:23.590
end of this distribution. Um and and if


00:31:23.600 --> 00:31:25.430
I may, I'll just read from there's a


00:31:25.440 --> 00:31:27.830
very nice uh National Radio Astronomy


00:31:27.840 --> 00:31:30.470
Observatory press release on this uh


00:31:30.480 --> 00:31:32.950
which says these measurements imply that


00:31:32.960 --> 00:31:35.909
the icy material from three Atlas was


00:31:35.919 --> 00:31:39.750
formed by or experienced very different


00:31:39.760 --> 00:31:42.549
conditions uh from those that shape most


00:31:42.559 --> 00:31:45.190
comets in our own solar system. Previous


00:31:45.200 --> 00:31:46.950
work with the James Webb Space Telescope


00:31:46.960 --> 00:31:49.669
has shown that ThreeI Atlas had a coma


00:31:49.679 --> 00:31:52.070
dominated by carbon dioxide when it was


00:31:52.080 --> 00:31:54.389
far from the sun. And these new ALMA


00:31:54.399 --> 00:31:57.430
results add methanol as another unusual


00:31:57.440 --> 00:31:59.909
detail in its chemical inventory. It's a


00:31:59.919 --> 00:32:03.110
very nice paragraph. So, it is unusual.


00:32:03.120 --> 00:32:06.149
It's an object that shows all the


00:32:06.159 --> 00:32:07.909
characteristics of a comet, but we're


00:32:07.919 --> 00:32:10.710
seeing all the extremes. And and maybe


00:32:10.720 --> 00:32:12.710
that shouldn't surprise us because it we


00:32:12.720 --> 00:32:14.950
do know it has come from somewhere else,


00:32:14.960 --> 00:32:16.070
not our own.


00:32:16.080 --> 00:32:18.070
>> Prompts the question, does that mean


00:32:18.080 --> 00:32:19.990
where it's come from might be quite


00:32:20.000 --> 00:32:22.070
different to our system?


00:32:22.080 --> 00:32:23.750
>> Yeah, that it's Yes, that's right. It


00:32:23.760 --> 00:32:26.149
could, you know, it it would certainly


00:32:26.159 --> 00:32:30.149
lead credibility to any idea that um


00:32:30.159 --> 00:32:32.950
chemical ratios within other solar


00:32:32.960 --> 00:32:35.590
systems are not necessarily what we find


00:32:35.600 --> 00:32:37.990
here in our own solar system. In other


00:32:38.000 --> 00:32:39.830
words, you know, there could be quite


00:32:39.840 --> 00:32:41.669
different chemistry going on


00:32:41.679 --> 00:32:43.509
particularly in the early history of


00:32:43.519 --> 00:32:45.190
those solar systems. We think a lot of


00:32:45.200 --> 00:32:47.909
these compounds like methanol and


00:32:47.919 --> 00:32:50.149
hydrogen cyanide. Uh we think a lot of


00:32:50.159 --> 00:32:52.630
these are formed very early in the


00:32:52.640 --> 00:32:55.350
history of a solar system in the cold of


00:32:55.360 --> 00:32:58.149
space. Molecules, atoms combine together


00:32:58.159 --> 00:33:00.389
to form molecules. And we know that


00:33:00.399 --> 00:33:03.029
there is a very very rich chemistry out


00:33:03.039 --> 00:33:06.310
there which was kind of unexpected


00:33:06.320 --> 00:33:07.909
really. I mean when I was a young


00:33:07.919 --> 00:33:10.389
astronomer we thought always in terms of


00:33:10.399 --> 00:33:12.630
just elements. The elements that we can


00:33:12.640 --> 00:33:14.310
see in the atmospheres of stars,


00:33:14.320 --> 00:33:17.669
hydrogen, carbon, calcium, uh iron, all


00:33:17.679 --> 00:33:20.070
of those. But now such a lot of what we


00:33:20.080 --> 00:33:24.230
do with the um you know with the arsenal


00:33:24.240 --> 00:33:26.310
of wonderful astronomical instruments


00:33:26.320 --> 00:33:28.070
that we have today. We can look at the


00:33:28.080 --> 00:33:30.149
chemistry of these things, the actual


00:33:30.159 --> 00:33:33.110
chemical reactions that uh go on in the


00:33:33.120 --> 00:33:35.029
laboratory of deep space.


00:33:35.039 --> 00:33:36.710
>> Yeah. Uh, some something you don't know


00:33:36.720 --> 00:33:38.710
about Fred is he's been in astronomy so


00:33:38.720 --> 00:33:40.310
long that he got in trouble at school


00:33:40.320 --> 00:33:41.990
once for throwing an apple at Isaac


00:33:42.000 --> 00:33:44.470
Newton. So,


00:33:44.480 --> 00:33:45.269
true story.


00:33:45.279 --> 00:33:47.029
>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I got the


00:33:47.039 --> 00:33:48.870
cane for that. But


00:33:48.880 --> 00:33:50.470
>> yeah, I got the cane a lot at school,


00:33:50.480 --> 00:33:52.149
too, but not for throwing apples. I did


00:33:52.159 --> 00:33:54.389
throw a sandwich at a teacher once, but


00:33:54.399 --> 00:33:56.230
um yeah, I was egged on to do that and I


00:33:56.240 --> 00:33:57.110
fell for it.


00:33:57.120 --> 00:33:58.950
>> Was it silly?


00:33:58.960 --> 00:34:00.630
>> No, no, I can't remember what was on.


00:34:00.640 --> 00:34:02.389
Probably something hideous that I ate


00:34:02.399 --> 00:34:04.549
when I was a kid. If you ragged on, it


00:34:04.559 --> 00:34:05.590
must have been an


00:34:05.600 --> 00:34:08.470
>> Yeah, that was was a very silly move and


00:34:08.480 --> 00:34:11.669
I'll always regret it. Um, okay. So, if


00:34:11.679 --> 00:34:14.069
you want to read about that uh what u


00:34:14.079 --> 00:34:17.270
constitutes a um a rather drunk rock in


00:34:17.280 --> 00:34:19.430
space, you can go to the NA National


00:34:19.440 --> 00:34:21.669
Radio Observatory website where they've


00:34:21.679 --> 00:34:24.470
published their findings. And Fred, that


00:34:24.480 --> 00:34:26.230
brings us to the end. Thank you so very


00:34:26.240 --> 00:34:27.190
much.


00:34:27.200 --> 00:34:28.869
>> It's a great pleasure, Andrew. Always


00:34:28.879 --> 00:34:30.629
good to chat. And we'll see you again


00:34:30.639 --> 00:34:33.990
next time. We will on a Q&A edition. Uh


00:34:34.000 --> 00:34:35.750
Fred Watson, Professor Fred Watson,


00:34:35.760 --> 00:34:37.669
astronomer at large, joining us every


00:34:37.679 --> 00:34:39.990
week, twice a week in fact, for Space


00:34:40.000 --> 00:34:42.790
Nuts. And uh if you would like to visit


00:34:42.800 --> 00:34:44.950
our website, please do. Uh one thing we


00:34:44.960 --> 00:34:47.829
could use for our Q&A episodes, uh audio


00:34:47.839 --> 00:34:49.669
questions, we are desperately short of


00:34:49.679 --> 00:34:51.990
them. There's some weird quirk that at


00:34:52.000 --> 00:34:54.389
the beginning of every year they dry up,


00:34:54.399 --> 00:34:55.829
and we don't know why that is an


00:34:55.839 --> 00:34:59.349
anomaly, but it is a thing. Uh but if


00:34:59.359 --> 00:35:00.390
you go to our website


00:35:00.400 --> 00:35:01.990
spacenutspodcast.com


00:35:02.000 --> 00:35:04.069
and click on the ask me anything tab at


00:35:04.079 --> 00:35:06.069
the top, it's just labeled AMA. You can


00:35:06.079 --> 00:35:08.710
send us your questions or comments. We


00:35:08.720 --> 00:35:10.470
uh welcome them. Don't forget to tell us


00:35:10.480 --> 00:35:11.990
who you are and where you're from. And


00:35:12.000 --> 00:35:14.230
thanks to Hugh in the studio who


00:35:14.240 --> 00:35:15.910
couldn't be with us today because he


00:35:15.920 --> 00:35:17.829
went out on a bender last night and got


00:35:17.839 --> 00:35:21.109
inroxicated. Boom boom. And from me,


00:35:21.119 --> 00:35:23.109
from me, Andrew Dunley, thanks for your


00:35:23.119 --> 00:35:24.630
company. See you on the next episode of


00:35:24.640 --> 00:35:27.190
Space Nuts. Bye-bye. Space Nuts.


00:35:27.200 --> 00:35:29.349
>> You'll be listening to the Space Nuts


00:35:29.359 --> 00:35:31.589
podcast


00:35:31.599 --> 00:35:34.550
>> available at Apple Podcasts, Spotify,


00:35:34.560 --> 00:35:37.190
iHeart Radio, or your favorite podcast


00:35:37.200 --> 00:35:39.589
player. You can also stream on demand at


00:35:39.599 --> 00:35:42.550
byes.com. This has been another quality


00:35:42.560 --> 00:35:47.000
podcast production from byes.com.