July 23, 2023
Mitigating Risk - How to Protect Yourself While Markets are High
The whole crew is here to talk about all things that had the markets moving. A special rebalancing of the Nasdaq 100 is taking place, will markets be impacted? As we move through earnings season tune in to get updates on how companies are doing. Stay...
The whole crew is here to talk about all things that had the markets moving. A special rebalancing of the Nasdaq 100 is taking place, will markets be impacted? As we move through earnings season tune in to get updates on how companies are doing. Stay informed and stay prepared!If you would like to contact us to learn more about our firm and our process call us at 520.544.4909 or go to our website at www.Greenbergfinancial.com or email us at Contact@Greenbergfinancial.com
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Good morning everybody. It's that time
again, Sunday morning, eight o'clock right
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here in seven ninety k ands T. This is Dean Greenberg and we will
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be bringing you the Money Matter Show. It's a two hour talk show.
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We talk about everything, what's affecting
the markets, what's affecting our world,
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what's affecting how we live, all
that stuff right on here on this show.
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Remember we have the three shows on
Saturday, though a little bit more
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educational. We do the TV show
after the News on Sunday night at ten
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thirty. And it's just so all
about trying to get out to you all
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how we feel about the markets,
what do we feel that's going on,
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how we're investing, and you know, and obviously just basically try to help
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you. That's what we try to
do here at Greenberg Financial Group. This
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is the Money Amount a show and
it is sponsored by Greenberg Financial Group,
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which is both the registered investment advisory
and a broken dealer registered with the SEC,
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Members of Finery, members of CYPRIC. On the show, we talk
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about a lot of stuff, products, strategies, ideas, our opinions.
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It doesn't matter what it is,
it's always got some type of risk,
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and we highly suggest you understand those
risks prior to investing. If you don't
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understand risk, then you don't understand
how to invest. You have to understand
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your own risks. You have a
risk tolerance. And what that is,
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It's real simple. When the markets
are going up, your risk tolerance goes
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high. You want to buy in, you want to buy more, you
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want to be aggressive. You want
to be buying stocks that are a hundred
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points higher than they were when you
didn't want them. That's not risk tolerance,
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that's greed. Ris tolerance is when
things are just going around and they're
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boring, what do you want?
How much can you handle on the downside
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before you start panicking, stressing out
and wanting to sell everything you have?
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How much can you go ahead?
And the only way you get to that
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is when the markets are rallying like
they have been. You got to go
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ahead and say, okay, should
I take some money off the table?
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Should I have a nice cash position? All those things are very important,
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and what we call that is mitigating
risk. Mitigating risk means when when we
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think the risk is higher like we
do right now, than the reward,
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then we do investment strategies that will
slow down the growth but will certainly protect
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us. If the markets come down
a bit. That means we still lose,
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but we won't lose as much,
but we won't gain as much.
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Remember this is a long term game. You want to drive. You want
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to get away from getting the markets
killed. Because what happens is when the
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markets go down, everybody decides that's
when they want to sell. But when
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the markets are up, that's when
everybody wants to buy. It's the absolute
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wrong thing to do. So understanding
how to mitigate risk is very important.
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It's one of the things that I
think separates us also is that we know
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how to do that. Whether we're
buying puts, whether we're do it buying
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inverse funds, whether're selling calls,
whether we're raising cash, reducing positions,
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stay into allocation. But what I
call it as discipline. Do we stay
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disciplined? And we do. Most
people don't understand what that means. It
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means if it's going up and we
have allocations, we'll take some money off
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the table when least a high,
raise some cash when it's down. We're
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not afraid to buy then because if
we got out of a part of a
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stock higher and it's coming back down, and we see opportunity, we'll buy.
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Even though if it goes lower,
we still saved a whole bunch of
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it. Coming back down. It
doesn't mean it comes back down. It
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could keep going higher. I've been
thinking that forty three hundred would have been
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the top of this market, but
we're now at forty five and change.
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We're really extended. In my opinion, I'm very cautious on the market,
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but yet we're still being able to
make some money. As it rises,
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we'll give some of that back.
But the beauty of it is we got
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a nice cash position. If it
comes down, you can't tell me nineteen
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point five forward earnings forward, not
even current forward. Current is higher earnings,
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it's high. The norm is fourteen
fifteen, maybe sixteen. That means
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it should be around thirty five hundred
on the SMP. I know right now
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what's happened. It's simple when you
look at it from a psychological point.
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We were breaking out, and hedge
funds get invested, they start buying,
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and which means the other people that
have money in the modern markets started saying,
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I got to get more aggressive,
and I gotta get back in the
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question is we were everyone was so
bearish and including us that you know,
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the figure we can go lower that
when we got to up here, it
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kept going. People started going and
now they're turning a little bit bullish now
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that that whole thing. And I
could see it in the putting calls ratios.
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You can the puts are cheaper than
the calls, which means everybody speculating
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and the market will go higher,
and that usually means it won't. There's
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so much out there. Valuations means
something. You know, take away the
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magnificent in seven and you have a
scenario that the markets aren't rising as much
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as you see those indexes. The
dall's only up six percent, the s
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and P five hundred, the equal
rated weighted one is only up nine percent,
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while the natzacs up thirty four and
the SMP's up eighteen. But the
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seven stocks, and you know what
they are, Microsoft, Google, Apple,
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Amazon, that flicks Microsoft and the
video. There are a lot of
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those stocks that have rallied, rallied, rallied. I still think some of
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them can rally. I still think
the Video on a ten percent fifteen percent
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pullback is still a buy. I
still think you can go to five hundred,
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five fifty possibly both. Do I
want to buy it at four fifty
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four to sixty now, I'd rather
see it come back down. If it
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gets unto four hundred, I'll be
very attracted to it again. But remember
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that stock started all the way down
where under one fifty, under one twenty
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five, nobody wanted to buy it. It got low, and then it
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started rallying and rallying. Why because
they have the AI chip that does something
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that nobody else does, and it
costs ten thousand dollars per chip, and
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they can't even make enough for them. But eventually other people will get in
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and eventually that will cut into their
pricing, and eventually that will make the
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stock weigh over value like it is
right now if it doesn't catch up with
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earnings. But I think for the
next I don't know, you know,
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maybe year, year and a half, their earnings will be very very good.
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The difference is will it be able
to match a five hundred and six
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hundred dollar stock price. We'll see, okay, But it's all about allocations.
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It's all about income. At least
now, when you're sitting and waiting,
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you can get four four and a
half fives maybe five and a half
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percent money markets and government bonds.
That's not a bad place to have some
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money right now, okay, while
you're waiting before the money markets and everything
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else will under one percent. So
it was very difficult to just sit there
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because you aren't making anything. But
as we rally, think about it,
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like a rubber band and its stretches, stretches, stretcher, stretches and stretches.
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The eventually that rubber band snouts and
when it snouts back, it snaps
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back fast, it snaps back hard, and then all of a sudden it
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goes the other way. Can we
see a forty five to seven percent pullback?
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Of course we could. Will I
wait that long to go back in
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a little bit, No, I'll
stop positioning probably before that if we hit
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some support levels, unless it's a
reason, then we're coming down. But
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the one thing I can tell you
right now, selling a little bit in
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here, making sure you have a
cash position is extremely smart. August September
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the worst two months of the year. Worst two months. September is the
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only down month on the average year
over year. Does that mean it has
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to go down? Heck no,
I've seen August September is up, but
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on the whole, and it's all
about percentages. The odds are the market
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will not do well in August and
September, So why do we want to
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be hanging around waiting for that to
happen. Raise cash opportunities arise all the
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time, all the time, and
when they do, if you don't have
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money, you can't buy. We're
not institutions, insurance companies, pension plans
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that constantly have money flowing into us
that we can buy in and keep averaging
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down and doing things like that.
We don't have that scenario. We usually
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get some money in, we get
some more money. We look at whatever
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that lump sum is. We have
to manage it, and we manage it
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through the planning process. We plan, plan, plan, and then we
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do the job at the end,
which is the money management. We don't
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ship it off to other people and
then let them go ahead and decide how
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to invest it. The biggest thing
that I have found is people are coming
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in here and talking to me and
my crew is what they like about us
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is that we're flexible that if for
some reason they feel like the market's going
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down, we're still able to work
with them. We're not going to sit
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there and say, okay, let's
just go ahead and hold because it goes
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down and goes up. We have
a plan. But what we do show
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is, hey, we've mitigated risk. We have all this cash on the
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sidelines, and this is what we're
going to do. These are the levels
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we're looking for. These are the
stocks we're looking for, These are the
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ets we're looking for. We reallocate, we redistribute. We come out of
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stocks that are not good, we
go into the stocks that are good.
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We have a nice bond ladder position. We've been doing lots and lots and
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lots of bonbladders. We're treasuries.
We have a little kicker that we put
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at the end there because if rates
come down, we want to participate in
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that. So we'll go one,
two, three, even maybe up to
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five years of treasury bonds and then
we'll put a little something in at the
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end. So if interest rates go
down, that can go up. It's
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dropped almost forty fifty percent. It
can go back up at some time if
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rates come down. But what we're
doing is hedging against rates coming down while
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still making income and still making the
things we want to do. In a
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very conservative way. These are strategies
that our experience have told us. These
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are the way things can work.
That doesn't mean everything we do works,
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because I could tell you we know
it doesn't. But what we do know
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is that we don't quit. We
keep looking, We keep looking for opportunities,
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and we keep moving forward, so
as the markets keep rallying and the
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Dow is the one. You remember, I said a few year weeks ago,
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stop buying into the SMP and stop
buying into the DOO, because the
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Dow was lagging everything. And like, the Dow was up two percent this
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week, and the SMP was only
up point seven Now that's that was actually
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down a half a percent, and
the SMP five hundred equal weighted was up
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one point three percent. All right, So if there's a shift, you
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can see the shift. I also
see the nervousness in the markets. And
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in any time, the markets can
get hit for three to five percent,
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very very quickly, because all of
a sudden, the buyers will walk away,
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the sellers will come in, and
computers will kick in with sell programs,
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and the next thing you know,
we're down five hundred to a thousand
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points and we're back down to you
know, possibly forty three fifty or so
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is if you if you think about
it as forty three hundred. I think
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there's some support in that area as
we stop. Moving forward. Next week,
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the Fed's gonna raise rates again.
Everybody knows they're gonna raise rates again.
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That's a good thing. Well,
we don't know, is what he's
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gonna say afterwards, because well,
I'm a little confused, because why don't
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we sit and wait to see what
the actions that they've taken we'll do for
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us. We see, we see
the PPI and CPI numbers coming down.
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Yeah, I know they're not where
they are, but it's going to take
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some time. If they continue to
raise interest rates, we can go off
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the cliff. I know out there
now you're listening them to these news probably
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you're reading things, Oh, it's
probably gonna be a off landing, and
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the markets like the fact that they
think it's gonna be everything's gonna be great.
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I don't know, they don't know. I don't think that's the case.
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The only reason they're saying that is
because of jobs, that the unemployment
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is not going up, But unemployment
is going up because we are not going
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up because we do not have enough
qualified people to take the jobs. So
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whenever someone gets qualified, there's a
job for them to take. They were
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they were concerned because of jobless numbers. Were surprised this week they were reduced.
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Not as many people looking for jobs. That's because we have so many
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jobs but not enough qualified people.
Why I scratched my head on that and
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say, why don't we start getting
people qualified instead of handing them checks and
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money and promises and and get out
of their school loans. If they went
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to college and they got a student
loan, they and pass the stuff.
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So they have to have some type
of intelligence if they're not in work,
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Stop paying them, stop giving them
a break, start giving them the opportunity
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to learn what these companies want.
Get these you had, you know on
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Friday, they had all these corporations
coming to talk about AI. Why don't
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they have a collaboration with them also
about how to getting people back into the
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workforce that they need technologiy. These
companies that constantly higher and then they lay
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off, then they hire, then
they lay off, and then they hire.
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Let's find a way that they can
get start paying and helping get back.
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But it all give them tax breaks. You know they all worry about.
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We're gonna go ahead and we're gonna
tax tax the corporation. We're gonna
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put this minimum tax on. We're
gonna be the only one in the world
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that does it. So where they're
gonna do, they're gonna stop going overseas
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again like they did before. They're
gonna avoid them, avoid taxes. You
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want to change and change the whole
tax code. Change it. You hear
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me talking about flat tax all the
time, every time that word comes out
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of paying your fair share from Joseph
Biden, I go, then do a
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flat tax, you more on.
It's that simple fair share ten percent across
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the board, everyone pays. If
you only make it three thirty grand,
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you're paying three grand. If you
make it a million, you're paying you're
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paying ten thousand, one hundred thousand, I mean one hundred thousand, Okay.
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In their mind, fair share means
if you're making more, you got
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to pay a higher percentage. To
me. Fair share its percentages. It's
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not dollar amounts. So somebody doesn't
pay taxes and other people are paying on
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the average thirty thirty five percent.
Then you add in the city and the
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local and the state taxes and they're
upwards the fifth somewhat percent in these states.
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And what do they take them and
do with the money. They talk
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about reparations, giving money to people, use the money and clean up the
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cities, help the homeless, get
some place to live, a good homeless,
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a job. Immigration. I laugh
at this. I laugh at this.
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The White House started being so happy
because they've seen a reduction from year
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to year of immigrants coming in,
reduce I don't know, eighty ninety thousand
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from last June to this June.
It's still one hundred and forty four thousand
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people. I think that came in
according to their records, and that's what
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they know about whether in two twenty
it was like, who knows thirty thousand,
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I think. But nobody will fix
that system because it's too political.
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They want to use it as a
divide between everybody. But when you speak
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to people not only here but around
the world, everybody agrees legal immigration is
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fine. Let's figure out how we
can do it. Obviously, the same
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immigration that we've used for the last
fifty years is not good when you have
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millions of people coming across the border. When they used to come on ships
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into Ellis Island. You might have
had a few hundred, big difference between
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millions and hundreds, but we had
the same archaic system. Don't put the
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money into irs agents trying to go
ahead and catch people. Change the tax
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laws. Make it simple. Use
that money to work on the border.
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Hire these people to assimilate the people
coming across the border, get them educated,
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get them speaking English. The corporations
help the schooling these children and and
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adults in areas that they can go
get jobs, so they can pay taxes,
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so they can go ahead and pay
for healthcare. We are paying everything.
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Can you imagine going to another country
and getting healthcare, food, lodging,
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everything for free, education for your
kids free. Because if we don't,
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we're not being humanity. But yep, you look around our country,
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you look around our cities. You
see homeless everywhere you see you see you
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see gangs shooting each other. You
see people punching people all over New York
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subways killing And who do they go
after in the subways. They go after
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the marine who is helping everybody out
on the subway, not the crazy guy
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that is in jail for whatever.
You know, I had a rest and
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jail and hurt people just a week
before. Na, Nah, not him.
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Yes. Is it a shame he
died without getting help? Yeah,
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blame yourself for not getting help.
I haven't blamed the city for not getting
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help for him. You can't go
to courts and be that crazy and not
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think and keep releasing him and I
think something's gonna happen. But if you
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think about it, was it better
that something happened to him or to the
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mother and children that he kept going
after. There's so much messed up stuff
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in our country and the world right
now, but the people understanding not not
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doing anything because the government's refuse to
look at things from a different advantage.
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All they want to do in this
government right now is looking at the stuff
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from climate control, climate control,
greenness, green that unions. I'm appalled
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that he that our president. I'm
the best president since ever about unions.
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I love unions. Unions have their
place, but unions are not what they
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used to be in the twenties,
thirties, forties and fifties when they were
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protecting them from bad environments, wages, all that stuff. Very few people
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get help with wages with unions.
The Teachers Union has another agenda and when
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they go out. Who benefits.
Parents don't benefit, the kids don't benefit,
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the teachers don't benefit, the schools
don't benefit, the unions benefit.
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And then they have to compromise and
maybe they get a little bit more pay.
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Do I think teachers should get more
pay, Absolutely, but the should
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teachers be treated just like every other
employee on merit. You get based on
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merit. Absolutely. We were a
merit based society. We earned what we
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have to do, and it's starting
to change back to that. It's a
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fight Supreme Court. We're in control
the Supreme Court now and it is driving
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the liberals crazy. They don't even
want to listen to the law. When
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they come down with decisions, they
don't care they go against it. Those
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judges and the people that go against
the law need to be arrested themselves.
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We have a two tier system here
and it's always against those on the right.
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If somebody on the right decided that
they weren't going to abide by the
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law, they would get crucified.
A judge would be crucified. The Supreme
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Court. For how many years they
controlled it on the left and we just
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accepted it. This is the law. We don't like it. But we're
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gonna deal with it the best we
can. They want to abolish the Supreme
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Court because they don't get their way. That reminds me of growing up with
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the little wheenies that always got upset
when they didn't win, and they're gonna
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take that ball and go home.
Well, you know what, we don't
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let him take that ball. We
want to got our own balls. We
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didn't need them, and we moved
on. And then they were sitting on
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the sidelines watching us play and watching
us have fun. And when they came
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and said today, can I come
and play? We said no, until
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you realize that taking your ball and
going home isn't gonna work. We don't
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want you with us. And that's
back when the kids actually played outside and
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went down to the park and went
down to the ball field and did things
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that way. You did not MoMA
and Daddy hovering over trying to tell everybody
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what to do. You grew up, You grew up in society. You
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suffered when when you when you did
things that other people didn't want, and
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you get and you benefited when you
were the ones that were able to lead
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and and and get people to do
the things you wanted. To do.
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It's life, baby, It's life, and that's what it's all about.
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And right now, I look at
what's going on politically with the Biden situation,
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and if we if you don't see
that, then you are blind to
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justice. If you know, if
Trump is wrong and he's doing all these
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things, and they can find legal
things, which half of the stuff is
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bull right, then why isn't the
Biden's getting the same treatment. How the
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hell did they get seventeen million dollars? Fifteen million dollars? And now it's
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Romania, and it's Ukraine, and
and and it's Russia, and it's China.
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You know what it reminds me of
when people lie, when people are
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wrong, what do they do?
They accuse you of what they did.
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And the reason they accuse you of
what they did is because they know what
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they did and they can accuse you
of it because they know how it works.
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They've already been able to see how
you get the money. So let's
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just say Trump did it, trumps
him with China, trumps him with Russia.
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Look at these actions, and the
whole time, and the whole time
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it's been the Bidens doing it.
Trump wasn't wrong with Ukraine, going ahead
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and talking about bears and all this
other stuff. Doesn't common sense come in?
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What the hell did the Bidens do
to get money? He's been a
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politician forever. What does he learned
in the world other than corruption and greed
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and power? How could he give
or humpt Biden give any information. The
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guy's the biggest loser in the world. Don't even care about his own child.
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I don't care how that child came
into the world. I don't care
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if you a sec club, doing
drugs, doing everything. When you do
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a test to see if that child
jews and the jaws and you go ahead
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and act like it's not even yours. I gotta I don't care how much
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the mother might be well. The
problems you have with the family that child
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is hunt the Biden's and no matter
how it got there, you deal with
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it, and you deal with the
right way. We'll be right back.
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We got a full show to you. This is the money mounted show.
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Thank you for listening. Welcome back, everybody. This is Dean Greenberg.
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This is the money amount of show. We have Dave and Dylan and Todd
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all here today, and I gotta
tell you this has been a busy,
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busy, busy week, and I'm
happy that what we're doing and is resonating
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with people, you know, and
it's people enjoying to hear the mitigating risk
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part. They're enjoying hearing the financial
planning point. And then when they come
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in and actually get it done,
they realize how simple it really has been
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because we make it simple at the
end, because it's not really simple,
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and they can see the whole process
and how it can help them exactly.
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I mean, through the years,
it's hard to actually imagine or plot out
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what's really going to happen, but
the financial plan and our proposal, you're
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actually able to see it all on
paper, really see a roadmap, a
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timeline of sorts, and so that
gives a lot of people peace of mind
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through the years, knowing that they
have a plan, they have being secured
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in different vehicles. It's everything's based
on your risk tolerance, so you don't
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have to worry about risk from that
standpoint. It's a very good tool to
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have in summertime, especially with temperatures
in one hundred and twelve range pretty quiet
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around here, but not this year. You guys have been just busy as
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can be and like Dean said,
is it's resonating. We had a client
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come in and they were they were
saying, you know, we heard summer's
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the best time to come in because
you're slower, and it is the best
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time, and we're not as slow
we normally are because of that, because
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we do want to help as many
people as we can during this time where
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a lot of people are freed up
from a lot of the responsibilities that will
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come in a couple of months right
with the holidays. We know it's it's
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very hard to really sit down and
give the devotion in time that's needed on
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this financial plan because it really is
important to understand your goals, your objectives
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for yourself, for your life.
Right, everyone's going to be different,
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and if you're not in the right
time and place in your own mindset,
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if you're too stressed worried about other
things, then the financial plan is really
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not going to resemble who you are
and what you really value. What's good
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about it, It lines it all
up. Okay, you start off for
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the risk tolerance, then you can
get the whole picture, and we make
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sure that the protect it too.
I mean, you got to make sure
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they have their insurance If they need
guaranteed income, we get them that guaranteed
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income all the things. If they
have tax problems, we deal with the
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tax problems. Who we decide when
they should take Social Security and not take
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so, so the optim in time
for them Medicare. Even though these are
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not all the things we know about. The help federal employees totally have a
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different one. You guys have become
pretty damn good and understanding. You've been
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doing it for years now of helping
them through. There we time and stuff
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and being able to set them up. And one of the things we found
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is their life insurance part. As
they get closer, it's nice, but
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once they switch over to not working, the premiums go through the ceiling and
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most of them don't even realize.
Yeah, and that's Fegley is what he's
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talking about, is that once you
retire, that premium just sometimes it even
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triples. And a lot of the
time the Feds that we work with,
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when they do retire, they don't
even need the life insurance anymore. They
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had it for different reasons while they
were working, and then they find out
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that that's going to triple, they
just can get rid of it. Yeah,
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maybe find a term policy. That's
been popular too if they do want
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any kind of life insurance just in
case, But very rarely does a federal
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employee that we work with keep Fegley
because of that premium increase, And people
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don't understand that the when you're with
an employer, you have a lot cheaper
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life insurance rates. They're playing abortion
of it, right. But also the
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insurance company looks at a group of
people as a better insured risk from their
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standpoint than just one individual person.
Right. They can share the risk amount
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a group of people instead of just
one person, so you get a better
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rate because of that. When you're
on your own, you finally retire and
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you have That's why Fedley jumps up
so much. Also, with federal employees,
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you have FHB, which helps with
the Medicare side of things as well.
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So understanding all those benefits is really
important. And the federal employee benefits
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are one of the best packages I've
ever seen. I mean a lot of
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those federal employees when they come in
we do the financial plan, they really
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are set well. They're the ones
with the pensions that a lot of private
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companies are going away from, but
the Feds are still not going away from
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it. They're getting their pensions,
and the pensions are guaranteed in sense as
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long as the government's still going to
pay them, and they love them,
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and that's how they get through retirement
and it helps a lot. We've see
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a lot of Feds that have worked
for the federal government for twenty thirty forty
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years. They're set in retirement from
their pensions. Even need to touch their
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retirement accounts a lot of the time. So you don't necessarily go to work
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for the government to get rich,
but they do take care of you to
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the grave. They do take care
of you. And so understanding how the
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pension works with the social security you
know, there's difference with furs and csrs.
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There's a lot of intricacies that we've
been able to really put ourselves into
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the depths of knowledge on and that's
where we're here to help. So if
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you're a federal employee and you want
some help understanding your benefits, how to
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put it into financial plan, how
it's going to look throughout the years,
397
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give us a call. You know, I don't know if you talk about
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the Dow rally during your monologue that
the Dow Jones Industrial average has been lagging
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behind the other industries. Has been
pretty much of a NAZDAC led rally.
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And this beast two weeks, the
Dow Jones Industrial Average, the thirty stock
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Dow Industrial Average has been up every
single day, Yeah, for ten consecutive
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00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,200
days now, Yes, on Friday
it was up two points. Okay,
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it still counts, right, So
ten consecutive days higher for the and that's
404
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:04,119
why last week the Dow was up
two point one percent while the NASDAC was
405
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:07,559
down. And that's like the only
the first time that they've done ten in
406
00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:11,279
a row since like twenty seventeen or
seventeen. Yeah, sixty six years since
407
00:30:11,319 --> 00:30:15,880
it's been ten up days in a
row. And bank Ernie's kicked it off
408
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:18,599
earlier in the week. They were
better than expected, with the exception of
409
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:22,000
Goldman Sachs. But in a world
where all news is good news, even
410
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:26,119
Goldman Sachs rally yeah on disappointing results, but that's what ignited the rally.
411
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:33,519
The bank sector coming into last week
was unchanged on the year in this gigantic
412
00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:38,079
rally, which tells you that the
rally has been very narrow. It's been
413
00:30:38,119 --> 00:30:42,200
those magnificent seven stocks and It's going
to be real interesting to see what happens
414
00:30:42,279 --> 00:30:47,880
next week. Late last week,
Thursday and Friday, we saw a significant
415
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:53,680
selling in the Magnificent seven because Monday
morning, before the open, the NAZDAC
416
00:30:53,839 --> 00:30:59,680
is going to rebalance that index,
the NASDAC one hundred for the first time,
417
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,240
excuse me, for the third time
in history. It has gotten so
418
00:31:03,359 --> 00:31:07,359
out of whack with those seven stocks
just dominating, being more than fifty percent
419
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:12,039
of the index, that they're gonna
gonna adjust it, and that obviously that's
420
00:31:12,079 --> 00:31:17,359
going to mean cutting back on those
seven stocks. And if you're trying to
421
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:22,359
mimic the Nasdaq one hundred, you're
going to have to sell a lot of
422
00:31:22,359 --> 00:31:25,279
those seven stocks. Yeah, and
they were saying that Microsoft in Nvidia,
423
00:31:25,519 --> 00:31:26,920
they think you're going to be the
ones that could hit it hit the hardest
424
00:31:27,039 --> 00:31:30,440
because they've been the ones that have
run up the most, have been part
425
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,440
of the reason that we're seeing this
rally. All Right, We just see
426
00:31:33,839 --> 00:31:38,960
Nvidio, which you could you could
argue it's probably the strongest company to invest
427
00:31:40,039 --> 00:31:44,519
in because they've got the most desirable
product, they have a limited supply,
428
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,519
they have unlimited demand. It just
looks like a company that is a spaceship
429
00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:53,599
drop ten percent on Thursday and Friday, and we'll see what happens. Maybe
430
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:59,440
that was Maybe that was the rebalancing
that took place. Maybe not. It's
431
00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:01,319
going to be very interesting because it's
it's unusual, Like I say, only
432
00:32:01,359 --> 00:32:06,880
the third time in history. The
first time was in nineteen ninety nine when
433
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,680
the tech bubble just burst, and
is we're not predicting that, but it
434
00:32:10,799 --> 00:32:14,880
couldn't. You could see some significant
selling. And if you were to get
435
00:32:15,799 --> 00:32:20,240
in video down another ten percent down
under four hundred, that starts to look
436
00:32:20,279 --> 00:32:24,279
really attractive. It doesn't have a
sky high PEPs around fifty right now,
437
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:28,799
which for a company growing as fast
as video is pretty modest. Well,
438
00:32:28,799 --> 00:32:31,640
the thing is, too, my
dimensions in his monologue is algorithms are going
439
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:35,559
to start selling to the programs.
Yeah, so if it hits four hundred,
440
00:32:35,559 --> 00:32:37,640
maybe they have a sell stop loss
in there right at four hundred,
441
00:32:37,759 --> 00:32:40,440
So then it could drop lower and
lower and the programs kick in at that
442
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:44,400
point. And one of the things
I've learned from doing this for forty years
443
00:32:44,519 --> 00:32:49,079
is when you expect chaos, you
get nothing. So Monday may be a
444
00:32:49,079 --> 00:32:52,640
big yawn. Yeah, but it's
going to be unusual. Yeah, it's
445
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:54,480
a good point of Dollan just brought
up, though, And I don't think
446
00:32:54,519 --> 00:33:00,519
a lot of people really understand what
what he means by algorithms, because a
447
00:33:00,519 --> 00:33:06,000
lot of traders out there are just
based off fundamental rules that are built into
448
00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,519
an algorithm, and then they'll buy
and sell based on just thresholds. So
449
00:33:08,559 --> 00:33:12,960
if it hits a certain number,
or if it rolls over it's fifty day
450
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:19,079
moving average, like there's certain indicators
where no matter what the fundamental analysis says
451
00:33:19,119 --> 00:33:22,599
about the stock, it will just
sell or buy based on those indicators coming
452
00:33:22,599 --> 00:33:25,359
about. So, I mean,
I'm sure you know all about the Black
453
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:29,039
Monday. It's kind of that's what
they put the blame on, was all
454
00:33:29,039 --> 00:33:32,039
those algorithms just hitting threshold after threshold
and just hitting cell sales sells. And
455
00:33:32,119 --> 00:33:36,079
that was nineteen eighty seven, and
it was relatively new. There weren't any
456
00:33:36,119 --> 00:33:39,519
controls on it like there are now. So away it went, yeah,
457
00:33:39,559 --> 00:33:45,839
and then the Tuesday morning the market
struggled to open. I remember that thinking
458
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,240
this might be the end. It
might be the end of my career.
459
00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:52,000
Five years in, you know,
this might be the end of the stock
460
00:33:52,039 --> 00:33:54,680
market as we know it, and
even though there are controls now, it
461
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:59,880
does still help a lot on the
momentum side of things both ways. Yeah,
462
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:02,240
and you're right, computers do most
of the trading up and down,
463
00:34:02,759 --> 00:34:07,039
and that's why we've seen this hurry
to get on board of the Magnificent seven
464
00:34:07,079 --> 00:34:09,679
because you don't want to miss it. I also heard that the NAZAC one
465
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:15,320
hundred shouldn't have too much impacts on
its pricing, but it could impact the
466
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:19,320
SMP a lot because of the Magnificent
seven being the ones that are sold,
467
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:22,119
those are the ones that are the
bigger weights in the SMP five hundred,
468
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,480
whereas the NAZDAC one hundred, those
seven that are being sold, they're just
469
00:34:24,519 --> 00:34:28,280
getting bought back on the smaller shot. And I don't understand it because the
470
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:32,159
SMP five hundred is not being rebounced. No ZAC one hundred is being rebuild,
471
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:36,039
so it shouldn't have any impact on
the smp F one hundred. Town
472
00:34:36,079 --> 00:34:39,039
I heard the same thing on Friday. That doesn't make any sense no to
473
00:34:39,119 --> 00:34:43,880
me. I thought about it.
Whereas if the Magnificence seven gets sold off
474
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,400
and that's those are the biggest waiting
in the SMP as well those bolds,
475
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,239
So it could impact the SMP that
way, I get it, okay,
476
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,199
but it seems like it would have
a more significant impact on the NASTAC one
477
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:57,239
hundred A time will tell Monday morning
before the open, So we're gonna know
478
00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:00,880
right away Monday morning when we come
in and look at the future, we're
479
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:04,239
gonna know what's going on. And
like I said, have in forty years,
480
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,559
whether it's Y two K or whatever, when there's going to be chaos,
481
00:35:07,599 --> 00:35:12,320
oft times there's not us. It
is fascinating to see the doos so
482
00:35:13,119 --> 00:35:17,199
divergent from the others. Yeah,
and interestingly, the dividend ETFs really haven't
483
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:22,119
responded. They're they're flat up one
or two percent on the year, So
484
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:27,280
people are still not interested in the
high dividend stocks. They're they're wanting to
485
00:35:27,639 --> 00:35:31,920
play the go go game. And
the economics, we saw that retail sales
486
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:35,719
were up two tenths of ever percent
in June, which was much less than
487
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:40,519
expected, and it's consistent with a
slowing economy and signs of tighter credit.
488
00:35:40,679 --> 00:35:45,599
Is what was being mentioned Dean on
that home builders they had the sentiment was
489
00:35:46,119 --> 00:35:51,199
up for what a ninth or seventh
straight month. Things were good there.
490
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:53,880
All right, we'll be right back. We all appreciate you listening. We'll
491
00:35:53,920 --> 00:36:05,360
speaking well, we'll be right back. Say it's all. Welcome back,
492
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:08,480
everybody. This is Dean Greenberg.
This is the Money Matter Show. We
493
00:36:08,559 --> 00:36:13,719
appreciate your listening. Remember, if
you miss some you want more, you
494
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,920
miss a week, it's just go
to a website. Okay. If you
495
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:20,960
go to a website and you go
to where YouTube is, we have all
496
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:23,440
our shows on there. We have
our TV shows, we have and we
497
00:36:23,519 --> 00:36:28,519
have all our radio show podcasts.
Well, you just go to Money Matters
498
00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:31,440
with Dean Greenberg for the podcast,
and you'll also get it. We put
499
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:36,320
that up on Monday afternoon, right, yep, um and um you get
500
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:39,000
it all. Yeah, Actually come
to Sunday about noon. Yeah, Sunday.
501
00:36:39,599 --> 00:36:43,920
I won't count on that. But
at the end of the day,
502
00:36:44,039 --> 00:36:45,119
if you wanted to go back and
say, hey, what was he saying
503
00:36:45,159 --> 00:36:47,920
a month ago, you know,
or two months ago, you can go
504
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,280
do it. We're not always right, I'll tell you that right now,
505
00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:53,679
but we've been pretty damn good.
You're on a business where you're always right.
506
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:58,639
This isn't it? Yeah, it
did not end. We did the
507
00:36:58,639 --> 00:37:01,039
best we can every day with the
information we have on that day. Well
508
00:37:01,159 --> 00:37:05,599
and okay, so I switching subjects. As you know, we also have
509
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:10,960
an estate planner and attorney in our
office. And Jonathan, it's always good
510
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:15,039
to see you. Always a pleasure. Welcome back. Love the office.
511
00:37:15,159 --> 00:37:17,559
Yeah, very fit and well with
us by the way, Oh it's nice.
512
00:37:17,639 --> 00:37:22,559
Ye. People have been loving the
been loving Jonathan being here. There
513
00:37:22,639 --> 00:37:27,199
was one one yesterday I had a
client command doing totally unrelated to Jonathan,
514
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:30,480
and before I'm done, she's sitting
to Jonathan's office. Yeah, we had
515
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:31,840
a conversation. She's had a little
bit of an issue. So we're trying
516
00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:36,159
to get that squared away as cheap
as possible. And see how that's how
517
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:37,079
it works. They told you from
the beginning, that's how it works.
518
00:37:37,079 --> 00:37:39,320
They come here, you're here,
it's easy to bring in. You have
519
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:43,760
a conversation, and and they if
you help them, they help them,
520
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,559
and they remember absolutely and if they
and if they need stuff done, then
521
00:37:46,639 --> 00:37:50,199
remember to come back to and vice
versa. I have clients come in and
522
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,599
a lot of what I do is
going to require some money management, and
523
00:37:52,639 --> 00:37:54,760
they can you know, they got
someone right around. A long time client
524
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:58,719
told me she went to a seminar
last week because a friend of hers wanted
525
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:01,239
her to go with her, and
it was somebody trying to do trust.
526
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:05,559
She doesn't have a trust. We
had to talking about wales and trust and
527
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:07,880
so you'll be seeing her soon,
hopefully. You know. I love to
528
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:12,719
help him out. And the best
part is he has the same philosophy.
529
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:16,719
We do get a value for your
money, all right. We're not about
530
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:22,719
overcharging or thinking we're better than everybody
else. Keep the fees reasonable, keep
531
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,440
him lower it reasonable. And people
then walk away and say, Okay,
532
00:38:25,679 --> 00:38:30,000
I'm happy, And it's it's funny
you say that because the lady we're just
533
00:38:30,039 --> 00:38:34,079
talking about, she said she had
her brother in law prepare the trust.
534
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:37,599
Yes, and he gave her a
family discount in another state and another state
535
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,559
more for the trust than you would. I told her, I'll give her
536
00:38:40,559 --> 00:38:44,639
the family discount. Happy to do
it. Yeah, yeah, right,
537
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,519
your family discount. But if you
want to play my rights, you're gonna
538
00:38:47,559 --> 00:38:52,599
save money. That was unusual.
Family discount was more than what you charge.
539
00:38:52,639 --> 00:38:55,199
I couldn't believe he charged her what
he did. But you know there's
540
00:38:55,199 --> 00:38:59,480
some attorneys that'll do that, all
right. So what do we want to
541
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:00,920
talk about? You always have good
stuff for us, all right. Well
542
00:39:01,039 --> 00:39:05,320
let's talk about trustees, all right. So you know, trustees I think
543
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,760
go hand in hand with you guys, And that's something that you know,
544
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:09,599
one of the reasons why I coordinated
with you with uh, you know,
545
00:39:09,639 --> 00:39:14,559
the Greenberg Financials, because you know, picking a trustee of a trust is
546
00:39:14,599 --> 00:39:16,920
important. So it could be a
family member, it could be uh,
547
00:39:17,159 --> 00:39:21,679
you know, your CPA, it
could be anybody who you want to be
548
00:39:21,679 --> 00:39:23,679
because what they're going to be doing
is managing the assets for the for the
549
00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:29,079
beneficiaries. And sometimes you can just
pick your sister who doesn't know anything about
550
00:39:29,119 --> 00:39:32,239
finance, but her job is to
hold those assets for an indefinite time,
551
00:39:32,639 --> 00:39:37,519
indefinite time for the benefit of the
beneficiaries. And sometimes I tell them,
552
00:39:37,599 --> 00:39:39,679
just find a good financial planner,
give them the money. You know.
553
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:43,920
Let's say there's a house in there
and you have kids that are six years
554
00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:46,559
old and they're not going to be
able to take until they're twenty five.
555
00:39:46,639 --> 00:39:51,760
We'll sell the house, take that
kit those proceeds and invest it and let
556
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,360
it grow and let it grow exponentially
and find a good financial planner. And
557
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:57,760
that's why, you know, one
of the reasons why I do want to,
558
00:39:58,119 --> 00:40:00,119
you know, work with you guys, because um, I think that
559
00:40:00,159 --> 00:40:06,760
you guys are a great resource if
somebody in that under that circumstance, UH
560
00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:09,320
needs a good financial plan or at
least somebody to talk to and point them
561
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:13,960
in the right direction. So you
know, when you pick a trustee,
562
00:40:14,199 --> 00:40:16,239
you don't necessarily have to, you
know, pick the CPA. You don't
563
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:19,679
have to pick the smartest personal world. You just need to pick somebody that
564
00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:22,960
knows enough to go find a financial
planner. Or if they do want to
565
00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:25,280
run out that house, they want
to get a rental real estate, UH,
566
00:40:25,400 --> 00:40:30,039
they can define a property manager to
manage the property for the benefit of
567
00:40:30,079 --> 00:40:32,800
the beneficiaries. I was talking to
go to the client Friday afternoon, and
568
00:40:35,119 --> 00:40:38,840
he had been made by his father. He had been made trustee of his
569
00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:47,519
younger sister's estate her assets because the
father knew that that he's honest and he's
570
00:40:47,559 --> 00:40:52,119
competent, you know, the two
two things that are pretty important when you're
571
00:40:52,119 --> 00:40:54,800
picking a trustee. And that's why
he's trustee of the of the of her
572
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:59,960
state. Because the father knew that
he could trust him and that he would
573
00:41:00,119 --> 00:41:02,800
be fair with her. And he's
intelligent, knows what he's doing, and
574
00:41:04,159 --> 00:41:07,480
sometimes I don't even look at his
fair competent. And somebody is going to
575
00:41:07,559 --> 00:41:10,719
do is going to follow the rules, right because that document that we prepare
576
00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:15,000
are the rules. So probably the
most importantesty is the biggest part. You
577
00:41:15,039 --> 00:41:19,159
know, you make a good point. You don't have to be to know
578
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:22,639
the financial business. You need to
know somebody who does know the financial But
579
00:41:22,679 --> 00:41:24,920
I always say, well, if
you woke up in the morning and then
580
00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:29,400
your tooth was killing you, your
first stop wouldn't be the library, right
581
00:41:29,639 --> 00:41:34,199
right, absolutely. And trustees their
job, they're they're held to an ethical
582
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:37,400
standard where they just need to prudently
invest the assets for the benefit of the
583
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:42,119
beneficiaries. And that's really, really, really important. So if I do
584
00:41:42,199 --> 00:41:45,280
have trustees that come in and they
ask me, you know, you know,
585
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:47,239
what should I do with these assets, I'll say, well, what
586
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:51,280
are the goals, what what's the
what's the time frame and distributions? Maybe
587
00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:52,599
it is a good idea you do
speak with a financial plan or take that
588
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:57,559
cash and let it grow for their
benefit, because I, you know,
589
00:41:57,599 --> 00:42:00,440
I kind of spit ball jokingly,
but I called it the rules seventy two.
590
00:42:00,519 --> 00:42:04,960
Right, if you put in a
money into a ten ten percent interest
591
00:42:05,079 --> 00:42:07,480
bearing account, isn't supposed to double
every seven point two years? Is at
592
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:10,920
the rule? Or yeah, that's
that's actually the simple rule. It's actually
593
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:16,679
sixty nine point nine is an easier
the rule of seventy two, which is
594
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:21,119
and this is interesting because most a
lot of people don't know this. Any
595
00:42:21,199 --> 00:42:23,639
rate of return to your getting.
If you divide that rate of return into
596
00:42:23,679 --> 00:42:27,639
seventy two, that's how long it'll
take for it to double. There you
597
00:42:27,679 --> 00:42:30,719
go roughly. And I tell people
that in their ears perk up. They
598
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:31,920
said, okay, you know,
because a lot of clients I'll have,
599
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:37,760
you know, I get their finances
and they'll have one hundred thousand sitting in
600
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:40,159
a savings account and it's just collecting
dust at point zeros or one percent.
601
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:43,719
Why don't you take half of it
and invest it? You know, find
602
00:42:44,079 --> 00:42:46,280
find somebody that you trust to find
somebody that you know that has this has
603
00:42:47,000 --> 00:42:51,559
your goals at the best interest in
mind, and you know, let them
604
00:42:51,559 --> 00:42:53,159
grow that money if it's just going
to sit there. Yeah, especially nowadays
605
00:42:53,159 --> 00:42:55,599
with the Treasury is paying such a
good interest rates. We've been doing a
606
00:42:55,599 --> 00:42:59,320
lot, a lot with the treasury
ladder with people that's just have a lot
607
00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:00,639
of money in the eavings account they
don't know what to do with they're kind
608
00:43:00,639 --> 00:43:04,960
of tired of just seeing it get
point zero, zero one, maybe point
609
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:07,519
one percent of return. We talk
to them and they end up doing a
610
00:43:07,519 --> 00:43:09,639
treasury ladder and give four and a
half five percent. There you go,
611
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:14,280
that's that's that's huge. You know, it's not what it used to be
612
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:16,320
back in the eighties when he used
to get a couple percentage points. Now
613
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:20,320
it's four years ago too, is
it four years A couple of years ago,
614
00:43:20,400 --> 00:43:22,559
I mean for zero, Yeah,
when the race for zero in the
615
00:43:22,559 --> 00:43:24,440
Fed. But once the Fed started
raising the races, when the treasury started
616
00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:28,360
going up, and they went up
taking full advantage of it right now,
617
00:43:28,519 --> 00:43:31,760
and of course the long term bonds
that dropped in value by thirty five percent
618
00:43:32,119 --> 00:43:37,199
during the last twelve months. If
you had your fixed income portion of your
619
00:43:37,199 --> 00:43:40,960
portfolio and long term bonds, which
most people did, especially if you're in
620
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:45,760
a four one down twenty percent and
on the stocks and you're down thirty five
621
00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:49,760
percent on your safe money so that's
a rough year. Yeah, twenty two
622
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:52,400
was a very rough year for a
lot of people, and most of the
623
00:43:52,599 --> 00:43:57,400
damage was done in the long term
bond market. And I always look at
624
00:43:57,400 --> 00:43:59,960
liquidity. What is a liquidity and
something like that. So let's say they
625
00:44:00,039 --> 00:44:02,679
do take fifty thousand, then they
need it, right, completely liquid with
626
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:06,760
a treasury, if you do a
treasury ladder, it's completely liquid. We
627
00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:09,480
can sell that day. The only
thing is if race are still going up,
628
00:44:09,559 --> 00:44:13,639
your principle might be down. Like
if you buy fifty thousand dollars worth
629
00:44:13,679 --> 00:44:15,760
of treasuries that day, if the
race went up, they could be down
630
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:19,119
to forty five thousand dollars. So
if you need it that day, you
631
00:44:19,199 --> 00:44:21,519
might get less. But if you
hold it to maturity, you get the
632
00:44:21,559 --> 00:44:24,119
fifty thousand dollars plus the interest back. There you go. Because they're a
633
00:44:24,119 --> 00:44:28,840
short term and because they're treasuries,
and that's right. Yeah, well,
634
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:31,920
and that's why also that's a big
down. I'm just using even numbers,
635
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:36,599
but that also that's also why with
the savings, we don't suggest put all
636
00:44:36,639 --> 00:44:38,199
of your savings into it. If
you have two hundred grand and savings,
637
00:44:38,440 --> 00:44:42,760
take one hundred and fifty thousands to
still have fifty thousands completely liquid, so
638
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:45,119
this does go to maturity. We
also ladder them one year, two year,
639
00:44:45,199 --> 00:44:49,800
three year, so that way after
the one after one year, I
640
00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:52,679
mean you as you get closer,
I mean, if you know you need
641
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:54,599
money within the year, you shouldn't
invest it. But if you're not thinking
642
00:44:54,639 --> 00:44:58,159
that, but saying nine months you
need it, that one year one is
643
00:44:58,599 --> 00:45:02,599
going to be either high a lower
BikeE fraction right right, yeah, exactly
644
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:08,960
exactly. The treasure ladders have been
really helpful and very desirable to people.
645
00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:12,719
They love it. I love it. And the other one that's been good
646
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,920
for people that can look out five
years or three years or something, it's
647
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:20,880
been the Miga Yeah okay, because
that they're getting the same interest rate but
648
00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:22,559
they don't have to pay taxes.
But it's not as liquid. And what
649
00:45:22,679 --> 00:45:25,960
that is is a multi year guaranteed
annuity for five years and his pain.
650
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:30,239
Last time I looked at it was
five point two percent compounded each year,
651
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:32,679
which is guaranteed to you from the
insurance company. But it's not as liquid,
652
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:36,719
So you're right, so that is
locked up, so you wouldn't want
653
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,039
to put everything in there. Essentially
as a certificate of deposit within the conference
654
00:45:39,079 --> 00:45:42,679
company. But you've got it for
five years. Yeah, and we're looking
655
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,599
at a plus companies that will most
likely pay it. Right, if you
656
00:45:45,679 --> 00:45:49,480
try to lock in a five year
treasure, you're going to get around four
657
00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:52,400
You're gonna get around four percent.
You don't want to do migas and in
658
00:45:53,599 --> 00:45:58,440
retirement accounts, you don't have to
do them in those because you're already getting
659
00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:01,719
a tax the food. Unless that
you can't get a rate like that anywhere,
660
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:05,000
right, Unless the rate it's not
much hiant, then it doesn't matter.
661
00:46:05,079 --> 00:46:06,880
Yeah, you'd have to go.
If you're going on five years,
662
00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:10,519
you probably get a corporate that would
be in the five percent range. Honeywell,
663
00:46:12,039 --> 00:46:15,480
Bristol Meyer, proct Gamble, something
like that that would get you five
664
00:46:15,519 --> 00:46:16,960
percent. Well, if it's paying
more than everything else you can get,
665
00:46:17,079 --> 00:46:20,400
right, then it's worth It's because
it doesn't matter one way to the other.
666
00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:22,920
But it's a liquidity pot. It's
it's a high rate for sure.
667
00:46:22,199 --> 00:46:25,280
So, Jonathan, we've been bringing
people. People have been coming in and
668
00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:29,079
coming to you. You've been seen
people and they've been coming to us,
669
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:31,320
and it's been working pretty well.
Yeah, I love it's a good it's
670
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:35,519
a good relationship. It's a bear
in working out of your house with your
671
00:46:35,559 --> 00:46:37,639
two year old and your three year
old. Right well, yeah, absolutely
672
00:46:39,199 --> 00:46:43,559
know. But next time you're buying
shirts, you know, appreciate one and
673
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:46,559
a large big you know, extra
large, no large, big fee,
674
00:46:46,639 --> 00:46:52,000
big big. You have about his
logo shirts that they got his law firm
675
00:46:52,079 --> 00:46:54,800
name on him? You want some
of those two? I figured to put
676
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:59,639
Greenberg Financial Group on him. Yeah, a little sticker over top of the
677
00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:05,840
Edward Law firm and and uh put
Greenberg Financial on there. My next round,
678
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,760
I promise I'll get chief teachers for
the team. You said you said
679
00:47:09,039 --> 00:47:14,000
the first consultation is free. Correct, And we've we've had a number of
680
00:47:14,039 --> 00:47:16,480
clients that have taken you up on
that. Absolutely. Oh yeah, and
681
00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:20,840
and you really just you and I
sit side by side. You're just amazing
682
00:47:20,960 --> 00:47:24,800
how how our businesses are intertwined.
Yeah, yeah, Anathan, thanks again,
683
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:28,840
buddy. All right, we'll see
you soon. Get your name out
684
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:30,320
there. They know how to get
in touch with you. We'll keep going
685
00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:35,880
forward. It's listening. I remember
if it's not here, to go to
686
00:47:35,880 --> 00:47:40,559
a website you can get all the
others information. Uh, Podcasts and on
687
00:47:40,679 --> 00:47:46,199
TV shows all on the Thanks We'll
be back right after the short break.
688
00:47:47,440 --> 00:47:57,639
Say it's all welcome back everybody.
This is Dan Greenberg. This is the
689
00:47:57,679 --> 00:48:01,159
Money Mounted Show. We got Dave, Dylan, Todd and Myselfia to give
690
00:48:01,159 --> 00:48:06,880
you all the information that you need
to be able to go through the ups
691
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,960
and downs and the volatility of these
markets and had a plan for your future.
692
00:48:12,199 --> 00:48:14,599
Give us a summary with so coming
into the second hour for those of
693
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,000
you just tuning in, we got
a pretty good week. The Doubt led
694
00:48:17,039 --> 00:48:21,760
everything with it was up two percent, The SMP five hundred was up point
695
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:24,639
seven percent, the NASDAC was down
a half a percent, and then or
696
00:48:24,639 --> 00:48:28,000
the Russell two thousand was up a
percent and a half, which is a
697
00:48:28,039 --> 00:48:30,679
small cap, and then the equal
weighted SMP five hundred was up one point
698
00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:34,840
three percent. So overall the market
did a little better. In the SP
699
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:38,000
five hundred than the concentrated seven that
we've been talking about for the last three
700
00:48:38,039 --> 00:48:42,800
weeks. We saw rotation out of
those on Thursday and Friday, as there's
701
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:46,039
a lot of concern about what's going
to happen Monday morning when they do the
702
00:48:46,079 --> 00:48:50,880
rebalancing of the Nasdaq one hundred.
Yeah, and that's why XLP, the
703
00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:55,119
consumer staples ETF did well. On
Friday, A DVY actually rallied, VYM
704
00:48:55,159 --> 00:49:01,400
actually rallied. Yeah, they actually
rallied the DAL. Interestingly, despite that
705
00:49:02,360 --> 00:49:06,960
ten day winning streak, the DAL
up ten days in row for the first
706
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:12,280
time since twenty seventeen. It's now
up six percent on the year six and
707
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,599
then attacks up thirty four. So
it has really been a one sided market
708
00:49:15,639 --> 00:49:19,840
and it's something that that they're going
to try to get ahold of next weekend.
709
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:23,000
We'll see what happens. Um China
continues to slow. They reported a
710
00:49:23,079 --> 00:49:28,639
six point seven percent increase in GDP. I don't know how the heck that
711
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:31,519
happened. That bears no resemblance to
any other number that we've been seen.
712
00:49:32,119 --> 00:49:36,960
China's government they can pretty much just
put out whatever they want. I don't
713
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:39,159
I just don't believe the number.
They've got high unemployment, they've got COVID
714
00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:45,719
related closures, they've got a real
estate bubble, they related closures still and
715
00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:50,280
may not hear that absolutely, and
they still got plunging exports, and they've
716
00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:54,679
got a youth unemployment above twenty percent, and companies continue to leave their their
717
00:49:54,679 --> 00:49:59,440
factories. They continue to move them
to Indonesia, Vietnam, India, Yes,
718
00:49:59,559 --> 00:50:00,920
and move an amount of China.
Yeah, sick of them, and
719
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:05,159
it's it's you can they're feeling it. And on China's point, I saw
720
00:50:05,199 --> 00:50:08,280
an article talking about gig ping saying
that China's going to decide its own path
721
00:50:08,400 --> 00:50:13,360
to reduce carbon emissions. We had
one of our representations, no path,
722
00:50:13,559 --> 00:50:15,800
Well exactly, we had one of
our representations over there China try to make
723
00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:21,559
a deal about climate change or whatever, and nothing happened about it, and
724
00:50:22,079 --> 00:50:25,480
g went on there you know,
CCTV and says, our path, our
725
00:50:25,519 --> 00:50:31,000
method, pace and intensity to achieve
our carbon neutral goal will be determined by
726
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:35,000
ourselves and will never be influenced by
others. Well, there you go,
727
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:38,199
right, that Paris accord working and
what they're one eighth of the entire world.
728
00:50:38,360 --> 00:50:40,800
Yeah, and then you got India
on the other hand, and nobody
729
00:50:42,119 --> 00:50:45,400
any attention to at all. And
we're the ones that's supposed to make the
730
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:49,719
dent in things. We're supposed to
We're supposed to live our clean lives and
731
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:53,159
get everything exactly spotless and make very
little, if any difference in the global
732
00:50:53,559 --> 00:50:59,559
a global climate, right, well, because we're only a small portion of
733
00:50:59,559 --> 00:51:01,239
it. You know, it's all
China's fault that we have all this hot
734
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:06,320
summer right here in Tucson and Phoenix. Right. That's crazy, isn't it.
735
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:09,320
I mean I was up in Phoenix
Sunday and Monday of this past week.
736
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:15,360
I had a nephew from San Diego
whose sun plays baseball and he's sixteen
737
00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:17,599
at a high school baseball tournament with
thirty teams in it, but kind of
738
00:51:17,599 --> 00:51:22,119
a big deal. There aren't many
places in the country where you can get
739
00:51:22,159 --> 00:51:25,519
that many baseball fields in a small
geographic area, and that, of course
740
00:51:25,519 --> 00:51:30,519
it's because of spring training. And
I was Sunday morning at eight am,
741
00:51:30,599 --> 00:51:34,800
I was sitting at a one hundred
and two degrees a day that actually got
742
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:38,320
to one eighteen. Fortunately we were
out of there by ten and because of
743
00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:42,679
the heat, they started the game
on Monday at seven am, and it
744
00:51:42,760 --> 00:51:46,519
was still one hundred degrees at seven
am. It was just miserable, and
745
00:51:46,599 --> 00:51:53,119
I think that God can send us
either to heaven or to Phoenix. Boy,
746
00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:55,199
it really I feel bad for him. I mean, it is just
747
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:59,960
beastly right now. Sunday night,
I had parked a car and walking towards
748
00:52:00,199 --> 00:52:02,719
the hotel and there was a breeze. My goodness, wasn't even refreshing.
749
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:07,039
No, I just brutal blow dryer. Yeah, the sun was down.
750
00:52:07,079 --> 00:52:08,440
It was about ten o'clock at night
and the wind was blown. It was
751
00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:14,519
still one hundred degrees and wow,
this is I've lived in Arizona for fifty
752
00:52:14,599 --> 00:52:16,480
years and this is this is as
bad as I've seen it. I think
753
00:52:16,559 --> 00:52:22,480
this is probably a record July for
Tucson. You know, our normal temperature
754
00:52:22,480 --> 00:52:24,360
in July is one hundred and one
and it hasn't been one hundred and one
755
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:28,199
for a month. Yeah, I
mean Arizona. The state broke its record
756
00:52:28,239 --> 00:52:31,960
for most days above one ten in
a row of phoenix well phoenixes and as
757
00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:37,280
not the state phoxes in Arizona.
Disgusting talent. Where you went to call
758
00:52:37,360 --> 00:52:39,639
it phoenix is in Arizona day.
I know you, I know you don't
759
00:52:39,679 --> 00:52:43,800
got ASU education, so you don't
understand the phoenix is in Arizona. But
760
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:49,480
it is. Yeah. They Monday
of this past week it tied the record
761
00:52:49,559 --> 00:52:52,880
for most consecutive hundred and ten degree
days, and every day since it's been
762
00:52:52,920 --> 00:52:55,480
above one hundred and ten, So
I look on their think on their weather
763
00:52:55,559 --> 00:53:00,079
too. It doesn't get below one
hundred and ten until next Sunday, and
764
00:53:00,119 --> 00:53:04,360
that high as one hundred and nine. It's it's it's getting national hid here
765
00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:07,559
because it's five ten degrees cooler,
is a lot better. It's getting national
766
00:53:07,599 --> 00:53:09,840
headlines because I'm hearing about it from
people from all over the country. Get
767
00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:13,679
front from the East coast asking me
if we're living back down here, Yeah,
768
00:53:13,800 --> 00:53:15,480
how's life? Yeah, it really
is something. Oil was up a
769
00:53:15,519 --> 00:53:20,920
dollar seventy this week to seventy seven
dollars. That's a three month high.
770
00:53:21,039 --> 00:53:23,840
Gold was up four bucks to nineteen
sixty four. Todd that ten year two
771
00:53:23,920 --> 00:53:28,480
year spread as back to one percent. Yeah, I saw that it had
772
00:53:28,480 --> 00:53:31,760
gotten a little smaller than that,
but last week we saw declining. The
773
00:53:31,760 --> 00:53:38,239
widening of that spread again is indicative
of a bond market that believes the economy
774
00:53:38,320 --> 00:53:43,519
is going to go into a slowdown. And the bond market is a reminders
775
00:53:43,599 --> 00:53:45,880
three times as big as the stock
market. Yeah. I think it's really
776
00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:50,360
hard for people to picture a slowing
of the economy because what people normally do
777
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:52,840
is they just look at the SMP
five hundred, and that's their gauge on
778
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:58,039
an economy everything's going great right where
when you really look at the economic numbers,
779
00:53:58,519 --> 00:54:01,519
not everything's going great. It's fine, right, nothing's really bad right
780
00:54:01,599 --> 00:54:07,360
now, but we are still seeing
inflation come down, which means growth is
781
00:54:07,440 --> 00:54:10,440
stopping. Right. I think it's
that Goldie Locks scenario, which is which
782
00:54:10,519 --> 00:54:15,000
is the Fed has done raising interest
rates, which I don't think is true,
783
00:54:15,119 --> 00:54:20,159
and we're going to avoid recession.
Bond market says no or not.
784
00:54:20,639 --> 00:54:22,400
I don't know who would think the
Fed's done raising interest rates either. They
785
00:54:22,480 --> 00:54:25,760
keep saying they're gonna do it at
least twice. They've been very transparent,
786
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:30,079
haven't they, And even when said
they paused it, but they're not gonna
787
00:54:30,079 --> 00:54:34,119
stop. Right the last FED meeting, the expectation was that they would drop
788
00:54:34,159 --> 00:54:37,679
interest rates a couple of times this
year, and Paul came out and said
789
00:54:37,679 --> 00:54:38,880
we're gonna raise them two more times. No. That would have sent the
790
00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:44,320
market down five hundred two thousand points
six months ago. And and then this
791
00:54:44,599 --> 00:54:46,239
in this environment where all news as
good and as they go, oh well
792
00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:51,280
they're almost done, they're almost done. You know, it's very optimistic market
793
00:54:51,400 --> 00:54:52,679
right now. It is. Yeah, it's because it's running up. It's
794
00:54:52,800 --> 00:54:55,800
not on a downtrend right now,
it turns to a downtrend, and it's
795
00:54:55,840 --> 00:54:59,800
gonna be very pessimistic. I think
what the feed is really looking for now
796
00:54:59,880 --> 00:55:04,719
is slow down in wage growth right
key, because the labor markets so strong.
797
00:55:04,880 --> 00:55:07,559
Inflation is coming down. But if
you have a strong labor market,
798
00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:10,880
you'll hit a you know, floor
where you just can't lower it anymore until
799
00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:15,920
people start losing their jobs. Yeah, and they're going to keep going and
800
00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:19,239
people are going to lose their jobs
because of this. They you get to
801
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:22,400
feeling that they're going to keep racing
race until some until they break something.
802
00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:24,840
Yeah. Or inflation is two percent, like there's a goal has been since
803
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:30,239
the beginning. Yeah, And I
think we may see because a big chunk
804
00:55:30,239 --> 00:55:35,119
of the decline in inflation in July
in June, I get the months all
805
00:55:35,159 --> 00:55:40,639
mixed up. In June was plummeting, plummeting gasoline prices, and now gasoline
806
00:55:40,639 --> 00:55:45,239
prices are on their way back up
again. So we may come in to
807
00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:52,480
August and see a July inflation number
that actually is moving up and that that
808
00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:54,559
will not be well received. Yeah, I mean right now, the markets
809
00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:58,719
kind of feels like a fairytale in
the sense that it's over forty five hundred,
810
00:55:58,719 --> 00:56:00,320
which we just didn't think you would
even get over three hundred. So
811
00:56:00,639 --> 00:56:02,719
I would say, right now is
not the time to just sit back and
812
00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:06,199
be like everything's great, because your
market looks like it's up, because it
813
00:56:06,239 --> 00:56:08,519
could turn quick, and it can
turn down fast. So it's time to
814
00:56:08,519 --> 00:56:14,679
look if you have any ifs or
buts about your retirement plan or anything like
815
00:56:14,679 --> 00:56:16,480
that, it's time to look at
it now. So if you can make
816
00:56:16,480 --> 00:56:19,559
a change, or if you want
to make a change or world be profits
817
00:56:19,559 --> 00:56:22,599
that you could probably take with the
market running up so high. But then
818
00:56:22,679 --> 00:56:25,480
you got to make sure your risk
tolerance is still in line with where it
819
00:56:25,599 --> 00:56:29,559
was last year when we were down
twenty percent, because we are one week
820
00:56:29,599 --> 00:56:34,480
away from the worst sixty day period
for the market every year. If to
821
00:56:34,519 --> 00:56:37,559
sent them in flips, it kick
flip quick, especially if this thing actually
822
00:56:37,599 --> 00:56:43,360
does hit the rebalance on Monday,
if it actually does have an issue to
823
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:45,039
the tech stocks that have been running
up, then it could turn fast.
824
00:56:45,079 --> 00:56:47,840
It could turn down fast. Also, we have meta reporting next week.
825
00:56:47,880 --> 00:56:52,119
The week following we'll have Apple,
Apple and Amazon. When you have those
826
00:56:52,159 --> 00:56:57,400
big names reporting earnings, that can
kind of lead to a catalyst where we
827
00:56:57,480 --> 00:57:00,559
can kind of start to see But
again, I mean, earnings are probably
828
00:57:00,599 --> 00:57:04,320
not going to be too bad for
those companies. Yeah right, and so
829
00:57:04,480 --> 00:57:07,800
well those are the those are the
growth companies, right Yeah. Um Bitcoin
830
00:57:08,079 --> 00:57:10,519
uh Todd, you watch it closer
than I do. But it's been drifting
831
00:57:10,559 --> 00:57:14,840
lower since that twenty five percent pop
at the end of It's truly just been
832
00:57:14,840 --> 00:57:17,559
flagging the last couple of weeks since
that pop, waiting for some news out
833
00:57:17,559 --> 00:57:22,280
of SEC that the interest rates have
flattened out too. They I noticed the
834
00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:28,400
ten year treasury rate was the same
of Friday as it was in before Memorial
835
00:57:28,519 --> 00:57:32,119
Day, So it's done absolutely nothing. Um. Schwab reported better than expected
836
00:57:32,360 --> 00:57:37,360
results that sent the stock up twelve
percent on Tuesday, and KRI, which
837
00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:43,679
is the regional bank ETF, had
its best rally in four months. That
838
00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:47,199
was followed by good earnings from Northern
Trust, one of the biggest and Schwab
839
00:57:47,320 --> 00:57:52,159
interestingly has rallied off of the off
of that low fifty percent. Swab's fifty
840
00:57:52,199 --> 00:57:57,239
percent I was kind of surprised that
they got caught up in the whole thing
841
00:57:57,679 --> 00:58:00,719
um because that banking is a part
of their operation. But certainly they're not
842
00:58:00,800 --> 00:58:05,880
a regional bank per se, so
that would have been a good a good
843
00:58:05,880 --> 00:58:08,000
bye then. And I looked at
into me. I tried to buy it
844
00:58:08,039 --> 00:58:10,360
here, and I, yeah,
but what if another bank goes under?
845
00:58:10,360 --> 00:58:15,639
And you know, we try to. When you're investing other people's money,
846
00:58:16,199 --> 00:58:20,079
you tend to be more cautious than
with your own, which is why our
847
00:58:20,119 --> 00:58:24,000
clients are doing much better than we're
doing. Right. We're very aggressive.
848
00:58:24,199 --> 00:58:29,039
We are very aggressive. I got
a little electric vehicle update. Seems like
849
00:58:29,079 --> 00:58:32,840
every week I have a little something
in the electric vehicle arena because it's very
850
00:58:32,880 --> 00:58:37,280
popular right now. Last week I
told you guys that none of the electric
851
00:58:37,360 --> 00:58:42,760
vehicles have a spare tire, which
makes traveling outside of any city a little
852
00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:45,480
bit problematic. And like I said
earlier, I spent two days in Phoenix
853
00:58:45,559 --> 00:58:50,199
last week, where the temple is
one hundred and eighteen degrees. Not surprisingly,
854
00:58:50,280 --> 00:58:52,639
on my two hundred and fifty mile
trip to and from Phoenix, I
855
00:58:52,639 --> 00:59:00,159
actually was counting the number of lexuses, number of teslas I got the one
856
00:59:00,719 --> 00:59:02,880
there was one. It wasn't mine, but there was one Tesla. We
857
00:59:02,920 --> 00:59:07,760
saw one Tesla on the freeway between
Tucson and Phoenix. Between Phoenix and Tucson,
858
00:59:08,079 --> 00:59:13,639
the two hundred fifty mile round trip
one and really that's not surprising.
859
00:59:13,719 --> 00:59:16,519
We go to LA four or five
times a year. I have never seen
860
00:59:17,280 --> 00:59:22,880
a Tesla on the freeway between Phoenix
and LA never, and I do it
861
00:59:22,920 --> 00:59:27,719
four or five times a year,
been doing it for years. Imagine being
862
00:59:27,760 --> 00:59:30,480
about fourty and you want I think
I know why. Imagine being about forty
863
00:59:30,519 --> 00:59:37,079
miles west of HeLa bend one hundred
and twenty degrees outside right, and you
864
00:59:37,079 --> 00:59:42,639
have flat tire. Now what how
long would it take Tesla road side assistance
865
00:59:42,719 --> 00:59:45,840
to get to you? Now you
could sit in your air conditioned car,
866
00:59:45,119 --> 00:59:50,119
right, but then your battery would
run down. Now you've got two problems.
867
00:59:51,079 --> 00:59:55,519
So I could certainly understand why people
are reluctant to take it on the
868
00:59:55,559 --> 00:59:58,880
road. Although I do no clients
to take it to San Diego. I
869
00:59:58,880 --> 01:00:00,719
do no clients that I have taken
it to the White Mountains. One went
870
01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:07,440
to Albuquerque, another one went to
Las Vegas in their Tesla. But you'd
871
01:00:07,440 --> 01:00:09,400
have to have a lot of time
on your hands because you're gonna be giving
872
01:00:09,440 --> 01:00:14,039
the superchargers, and you're gonna be
at those superchargers forty five minutes to an
873
01:00:14,039 --> 01:00:16,440
hour minimum. It's got to be
so much more easy to have an electric
874
01:00:16,440 --> 01:00:21,960
car in the East Coast. I
would unconnected those cities. Are you know,
875
01:00:22,079 --> 01:00:27,039
there's always a city just a yeah, yeah, I think so.
876
01:00:27,719 --> 01:00:30,719
I will say though, that the
at home, if you're going to get
877
01:00:30,719 --> 01:00:34,920
an electric vehicle, the very first
thing you've got to do before you take
878
01:00:35,000 --> 01:00:37,840
delivery of the vehicle is get your
at home charging set up. Because if
879
01:00:37,880 --> 01:00:42,800
you don't have your at home charging
set up and you get the vehicle.
880
01:00:42,840 --> 01:00:45,559
What happened to me as I was
told the delivery would be July August,
881
01:00:46,000 --> 01:00:52,719
so I scheduled July nineteenth to have
my home charger put in. It came
882
01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:58,960
June twenty eighth. By July nineteenth, I hated that car. I hated
883
01:00:59,039 --> 01:01:02,880
that car with a passion. And
it's a wonderful car, but but having
884
01:01:02,880 --> 01:01:08,840
to go to the supercharger, having
to watch your charge constantly, it was
885
01:01:08,920 --> 01:01:13,119
so annoying, and I was so
tired of it. It was just it
886
01:01:13,239 --> 01:01:16,679
was just unbelievable. So get that
set up, get that set up ahead
887
01:01:16,679 --> 01:01:21,039
of time. Let's talk a little
bit about electric vehicle costs, because the
888
01:01:21,440 --> 01:01:23,639
car itself is pretty expensive, right, but there are a few other things
889
01:01:23,639 --> 01:01:28,360
that have to go into it.
In a wall charger, a wall charger
890
01:01:28,400 --> 01:01:31,480
can be five hundred bucks, which
is one of the reasons why some people
891
01:01:31,519 --> 01:01:35,679
have gone with portable chargers. They
like the portable charger better. But even
892
01:01:35,719 --> 01:01:38,320
if you have a portable charger,
you're going to pay an electrician five hundred
893
01:01:38,360 --> 01:01:42,599
to fifteen hundred bucks to come in
and give you a two hundred and forty
894
01:01:42,679 --> 01:01:45,679
volt outlet. You've got to have
a two hundred forty vote outlets for the
895
01:01:45,719 --> 01:01:49,840
electric car charger. So the first
thing you're gonna do is you're gonna spend
896
01:01:49,880 --> 01:01:52,760
five hundred hund a charger. You're
going to spend a round one thousand bucks
897
01:01:52,800 --> 01:01:57,960
to get the outlet set up.
Right, there's an entire industry springing up
898
01:01:57,960 --> 01:02:01,480
around things that Elon doesn't include.
We learned last week that he doesn't include
899
01:02:01,480 --> 01:02:06,960
spare tires. Well, for five
hundred dollars, you can buy a Tesla
900
01:02:07,079 --> 01:02:10,280
spare tire kit and this car has
two trunks, so believe me, there's
901
01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:13,920
a place to put it. Oh, you spend five hundred bucks. You
902
01:02:13,960 --> 01:02:16,800
can get a test charging chord.
You understand that Tesla has no longer come
903
01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:21,360
with a charging chord. Isn't that
interesting? Be like buying a toaster with
904
01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:24,320
no plug or an iPhone without a
charger without ant of Apple. Yeah,
905
01:02:25,079 --> 01:02:29,599
everything imparts and you gotta buy pay
fifty bucks. Since when do they not
906
01:02:30,079 --> 01:02:35,360
bring the charger in with it?
They don't bring the block anymore. Oh,
907
01:02:35,400 --> 01:02:37,119
they don't wire only they just give
you the okay, yeah, but
908
01:02:37,239 --> 01:02:40,079
then you got to buy the headphones. You gotta buy the case, you
909
01:02:40,119 --> 01:02:43,880
gotta buy the screen protector. Got
no spare tire, you got no charger,
910
01:02:43,920 --> 01:02:45,920
you got no charging chord. All
of these things are All of these
911
01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:51,039
things are extra. On the positive
side, you're gonna save about twenty five
912
01:02:51,119 --> 01:02:54,519
hundred dollars a year in gasoline.
And here's another place you're gonna save money.
913
01:02:54,599 --> 01:02:59,719
Turns out, the most technically advanced
car on the road, my model
914
01:02:59,760 --> 01:03:05,639
Way, does not have the hardware
to pick up serious satellite radio. So
915
01:03:05,760 --> 01:03:07,400
if you have a Tesla, you're
not going to be paying for serious satellite
916
01:03:07,440 --> 01:03:12,440
radio because they can't get it.
And I gonna pay for oil oil changes
917
01:03:12,519 --> 01:03:15,960
either though, So there's some savings, no transmission change. I continue to
918
01:03:15,000 --> 01:03:21,760
be enamored with the car. Is
technologically spectacular, it's fun to drive,
919
01:03:21,840 --> 01:03:27,119
it's really fast, it's it's a
very comfortable ride, and I think with
920
01:03:27,239 --> 01:03:30,880
the home charger, I've resolved the
charging issue. But there are things you
921
01:03:30,920 --> 01:03:35,039
need to know ahead of time before
you go down that road. Dylan,
922
01:03:35,559 --> 01:03:38,159
Yeah, speaking of Tesla, though, they their profit margins drop allow ten
923
01:03:38,159 --> 01:03:42,440
percent for the first time since twenty
twenty one. That's why they're stock dropping
924
01:03:42,440 --> 01:03:47,000
the Reporter Ernis last week. They're
making each car cheaper and that's cutting into
925
01:03:47,039 --> 01:03:50,320
their profits, but they have to
make them cheer. They have because of
926
01:03:50,360 --> 01:03:53,000
the competition exactly, and it's funny
because they're kind of eating each other alive.
927
01:03:53,039 --> 01:03:59,239
A four dropped the F one fifty
Lightning by ten thousand dollars. I
928
01:03:59,280 --> 01:04:02,119
mean, that's just what petition does, exactly, especially for Tesla because they
929
01:04:02,159 --> 01:04:06,559
have a lot more inventory um than
than the other ev makers because they've been
930
01:04:06,559 --> 01:04:11,119
doing it for longer. So they's
second quarter twenty two, Tesla's operating profit
931
01:04:11,119 --> 01:04:14,840
margin was fifteen percent. This year
of the second quarter was nine percent.
932
01:04:15,239 --> 01:04:17,320
Right, that just comes from them, said He'll cut prices further for he
933
01:04:17,320 --> 01:04:21,000
has to to keep his market share. But we know that what was there
934
01:04:21,039 --> 01:04:25,199
was a certain price where you don't
get the credit. Yes, yeah,
935
01:04:25,239 --> 01:04:28,440
and I'm not I'm not sure exactly
what it is, but I know they
936
01:04:28,559 --> 01:04:32,360
cut the price of a couple of
the models. Maybe it's fifty thousand below
937
01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:36,039
fifty thousand, so they didn't get
a hunt the seventy five tack credit,
938
01:04:36,199 --> 01:04:41,000
so price went back up. So
there's a there's a limit to how far
939
01:04:41,039 --> 01:04:45,920
down they It's it's it's funny to
hear Ford cutting prices because Ford's biggest problem
940
01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:50,159
is delivery. It's producing enough cars. They may be the only car company
941
01:04:50,159 --> 01:04:55,000
out there, they electric car company
out there. They can't make enough cars
942
01:04:55,599 --> 01:05:00,239
to meet demand. And the stocks
been been dropping pretty steadily over the last
943
01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:05,760
few days. Unconcerned about that.
Maybe this is their employ to get more
944
01:05:05,800 --> 01:05:11,679
market share. They already have the
demand for dropping the price. They already
945
01:05:11,679 --> 01:05:14,480
have the demand there because like you
said, they're having production issues in the
946
01:05:14,480 --> 01:05:16,199
sense of how fast they can do
it, but they're trying to up it.
947
01:05:16,199 --> 01:05:18,559
They're trying to increase it more to
get with Tesla in the market share.
948
01:05:19,039 --> 01:05:21,960
I get dollars. Yeah, but
if at the same time, I
949
01:05:21,960 --> 01:05:27,000
don't. You can get a Tesla
in two or three weeks, and the
950
01:05:27,079 --> 01:05:30,920
Ford Moki, the little most dying
order, the Lightning pick up, you're
951
01:05:30,960 --> 01:05:35,119
talking three to twelve months. Yeah, it's just if you're wanting an electric
952
01:05:35,199 --> 01:05:40,440
if you got the electric car bug, you're not gonna wait three to twelve
953
01:05:40,480 --> 01:05:43,039
months to get a car. You're
gonna say, well, wait a second,
954
01:05:43,079 --> 01:05:46,400
I can go over there and get
one of those a Tesla people that
955
01:05:46,440 --> 01:05:51,119
have been doing this for a decade. I can get one now, or
956
01:05:51,159 --> 01:05:54,880
I can wait six to twelve months
for somebody that's kind of the new kid
957
01:05:54,920 --> 01:05:58,760
on the block. Right. Oh, doesn't make sense, But again I
958
01:05:58,800 --> 01:06:02,880
really think I don't know if four
can do their their recalls online the way
959
01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:09,559
Tesla could either. The things that
Tesla can do online is amazing, incredible.
960
01:06:09,639 --> 01:06:15,679
Yeah, again, get a charging
station installed before you get the car,
961
01:06:15,719 --> 01:06:18,559
and I think you'll have a really
good experience. You know, there's
962
01:06:18,599 --> 01:06:23,480
something that came across my docket that
I um, you know, it was
963
01:06:23,480 --> 01:06:27,039
on the Secure two point zero Act
that was passed last year, and I
964
01:06:27,039 --> 01:06:32,119
didn't really fully comprehend what was going
on here. But four four one ks
965
01:06:32,119 --> 01:06:36,199
there is going to be a change
starting in twenty twenty four. Individuals know
966
01:06:36,280 --> 01:06:41,199
that when they reach age fifty,
you reached a ketchup provision, which means
967
01:06:41,199 --> 01:06:45,360
you can increase your contribution to your
four one K by seven thousand, five
968
01:06:45,440 --> 01:06:49,119
hundred dollars right on top of your
normal contribution limit. But in twenty twenty
969
01:06:49,119 --> 01:06:53,400
four, if the taxpayer has an
income of at least one hundred and forty
970
01:06:53,400 --> 01:06:58,760
five thousand per year, the ketchup
contribution can no longer be put into the
971
01:06:58,840 --> 01:07:01,159
pre tax four on one. It
will have to be treated as a ROTH
972
01:07:01,239 --> 01:07:05,159
contribution and grow after tax. Wow. The issue with that, though,
973
01:07:05,280 --> 01:07:10,239
is the company's plan has to offer
the ROTH four own k aspect. If
974
01:07:10,239 --> 01:07:13,320
they don't, then that person is
just out of luck. They can't contribute
975
01:07:13,320 --> 01:07:18,119
another seventy five hundred dollars to anything. Wow. So very interesting. And
976
01:07:18,159 --> 01:07:23,239
in twenty twenty five they couldn't even
do a broth no if the company's plans
977
01:07:23,239 --> 01:07:27,159
because some company plans still don't offer
the ROTH four own k option. If
978
01:07:27,159 --> 01:07:29,920
they don't offer that, then the
person, if they make over one forty
979
01:07:29,920 --> 01:07:33,480
five, they cannot contribute seventy five
dollars to anywhere they just get why would
980
01:07:33,519 --> 01:07:39,639
they do? That's good encouraging companies
to offer the four own k roth can
981
01:07:39,679 --> 01:07:41,559
you Well, you gotta see if
you go, Dan, I don't think
982
01:07:41,559 --> 01:07:45,039
we have it, do we?
Uh No, it's something you can you
983
01:07:45,039 --> 01:07:48,840
can normally add pretty easily. It's
it's a lot more available now in today's
984
01:07:48,920 --> 01:07:54,559
four own case popular. Um.
But yeah, so obviously I arrest is
985
01:07:54,599 --> 01:07:59,239
thinking they don't want to defer income
tax income anymore, so they would rather
986
01:07:59,599 --> 01:08:02,320
you contribute after tax instead of pre
tax on that ketchup provision. Well they
987
01:08:02,320 --> 01:08:04,639
have to do is just open up
the walth I away and say there's no
988
01:08:04,719 --> 01:08:09,639
limit to it then, which would
just be just as good. You know.
989
01:08:09,719 --> 01:08:12,360
Well then a lot of people would
be really happy if that was the
990
01:08:12,400 --> 01:08:15,920
case, for sure, because roth
IRA's a really good play with no limit.
991
01:08:15,000 --> 01:08:17,119
Yeah. I don't think I RUS
will ever increase that too much.
992
01:08:17,159 --> 01:08:20,880
Oh no, No, for the
seventy five hundred, he said no limit,
993
01:08:21,039 --> 01:08:24,800
so you can contribute to sixty five
hundred, and then on top of
994
01:08:24,840 --> 01:08:29,079
it, the seventy five What you're
saying, Yeah, what I'm saying is
995
01:08:29,720 --> 01:08:31,920
a lot you can't maybe do sixty
five hundred if you're a certain level.
996
01:08:31,960 --> 01:08:35,000
But if you if you don't have
a walthay where you're to catch up,
997
01:08:35,720 --> 01:08:38,920
you're able to put it. You
can't able to put a catch up in
998
01:08:38,960 --> 01:08:42,600
a regular walthi away. That's all
as of now, you cannot. Matter
999
01:08:42,640 --> 01:08:45,119
what how much money you make,
as of now, you cannot. They
1000
01:08:45,119 --> 01:08:47,319
said, you're out of luck if
they don't have a roth full of course,
1001
01:08:47,720 --> 01:08:51,159
but there is a new special catchup
provision that's starting in twenty twenty five.
1002
01:08:51,279 --> 01:08:54,800
So we'll talk about this more.
So when was the other one?
1003
01:08:55,279 --> 01:08:59,159
This is in twenty twenty four,
starting next year. Oh man, Yeah,
1004
01:08:59,199 --> 01:09:01,720
for twenty twenty five, if you're
between the ages of sixty and sixty
1005
01:09:01,760 --> 01:09:06,880
three, your contribution limit, your
catch up contribution will be equal to either
1006
01:09:06,960 --> 01:09:11,279
the greater of ten thousand dollars or
one hundred and fifty percent of the standard
1007
01:09:11,359 --> 01:09:15,439
catch up contribution limit for twenty twenty
four, and that ten thousand dollars limit
1008
01:09:15,479 --> 01:09:18,119
will be indexed for inflation. So
they're trying to help sixty to sixty three
1009
01:09:18,159 --> 01:09:21,680
year olds put more money in their
retirement. Um, if you know,
1010
01:09:21,800 --> 01:09:26,479
catching up, who comes up with
this stuff? The high rise and the
1011
01:09:26,640 --> 01:09:29,079
dates and stuff. You know what
I'm saying, Well, why is a
1012
01:09:29,159 --> 01:09:31,479
sixty five year old who's working more
not wanting to put more money away?
1013
01:09:31,520 --> 01:09:35,279
And what made them choose one hundred
forty five thousand. Well that's the that's
1014
01:09:35,319 --> 01:09:40,119
the roth limit. Yeah, but
why the previous limit. That's what I'm
1015
01:09:40,119 --> 01:09:44,319
saying. It's it's it's probably it's
probably based on you know, they know
1016
01:09:44,880 --> 01:09:49,560
the average just so they know what
taxing on the money you get then you
1017
01:09:49,680 --> 01:09:53,000
then you put then then you have
to invest it, and then you getting
1018
01:09:53,000 --> 01:09:55,159
taxed on that wo you put in
the row with you're not getting taxed on
1019
01:09:55,199 --> 01:09:59,720
it. So when they say that
not wasting taxes, that will all wasting
1020
01:09:59,760 --> 01:10:02,000
tax Oh yeah, oh yeah,
hey what that was up in When I
1021
01:10:02,039 --> 01:10:05,159
was up in Phoenix, I saw
the waymo uh you familiar with that,
1022
01:10:05,239 --> 01:10:09,920
the weaymo one. Oh yeah,
yeah, that's pretty that's pretty pretty incredible.
1023
01:10:10,039 --> 01:10:17,960
That thing is waymouh one became the
first uh autonomous driving taxicab company for
1024
01:10:18,039 --> 01:10:21,880
profit taxicab company in the world,
and they've got them all over Phoenix and
1025
01:10:21,920 --> 01:10:27,159
there are people that actually get in
those things without a driver. Yeah.
1026
01:10:27,520 --> 01:10:30,199
Well, the gizmos on those things
are just like I don't even know what
1027
01:10:30,239 --> 01:10:32,000
they are. You know, they
have all those like, yeah, turbines
1028
01:10:32,079 --> 01:10:35,560
and then all these cameras. People
one came to the one came to the
1029
01:10:35,640 --> 01:10:39,800
phone. So you're when you register
on the phone and the phone comes,
1030
01:10:39,800 --> 01:10:42,600
it's connected. Like, why didn't
you guys do that? Left you up
1031
01:10:42,600 --> 01:10:46,800
there because we're fine with ubers.
I don't have the Waymo app on my
1032
01:10:46,840 --> 01:10:48,960
phone. I don't. I don't
think I could get in the backstreet of
1033
01:10:48,960 --> 01:10:51,479
a car with no driver. Oh
I could care less about that. No,
1034
01:10:51,680 --> 01:10:55,000
this generation, I don't think we'll
care about that. Yeah, well
1035
01:10:55,079 --> 01:10:59,920
you got to lose, you know. Yeah, you know, at the
1036
01:11:00,640 --> 01:11:03,479
end of the day, what you're
not doing is worried about the Uber driver
1037
01:11:03,520 --> 01:11:06,479
that wants to kill you. Exact. Go, there's gonna be a day
1038
01:11:06,479 --> 01:11:10,000
where it's gonna be mandated that you
have to have a self driving car.
1039
01:11:10,039 --> 01:11:11,800
I mean, if you think about
twenty years, it's going to be the
1040
01:11:11,840 --> 01:11:17,000
part where humans are such bad drivers
compared to the autonomous drivers that we can't
1041
01:11:17,000 --> 01:11:21,239
allow humans to drive. You can
only drive on a racetracker. Yeah,
1042
01:11:21,279 --> 01:11:26,520
it's amazing how everything that I watched
as a kid on the Jetsons and Dick
1043
01:11:26,560 --> 01:11:30,359
Tracy all coming through. There's much
later than what they expected. I don't
1044
01:11:30,520 --> 01:11:32,239
know what to expect. I don't
think I remember watching the jets and goal
1045
01:11:32,319 --> 01:11:35,319
this is gonna happen in such and
such time, right, you know,
1046
01:11:35,439 --> 01:11:39,239
But now it's all coming through.
Remember the Jetsons. You have to watch
1047
01:11:39,279 --> 01:11:42,039
it. Of course, did you
watch the Jetsons? No, the mind's
1048
01:11:42,079 --> 01:11:44,640
back to the future. You have
to go watch the Jetsons. Okay,
1049
01:11:44,720 --> 01:11:47,600
now go find it somehow and watch
it and go, oh my god,
1050
01:11:47,720 --> 01:11:51,520
look at all these things in nineteen
sixty that they were talking about. They
1051
01:11:51,560 --> 01:11:57,359
were talking about telephones that you see
people, okay, computers that you see
1052
01:11:57,399 --> 01:12:02,119
people flying cause what else? Robots
for maids. Yeah? Um, you
1053
01:12:02,159 --> 01:12:05,920
know what's another really good book that
predicted the future? Nineteen eighty four?
1054
01:12:09,079 --> 01:12:13,720
Nineteen eighty four. Back it's the
Money Mattie Show. We got two more
1055
01:12:13,760 --> 01:12:17,800
segments left. I hope that you
I'm enjoying it. Thank you say,
1056
01:12:17,880 --> 01:12:32,520
it's all welcome back. You're listening
to The Money Matter Show. I am
1057
01:12:32,600 --> 01:12:35,920
Dylan Greenberg. I'm here with this
Sherwood, Todd Glick, and Dean Greenberg.
1058
01:12:36,479 --> 01:12:41,439
I got a fun fact what's a
fun factor of facts? And actually,
1059
01:12:41,439 --> 01:12:44,159
I've got I've got to give credit
to Judge Judy because you know,
1060
01:12:44,239 --> 01:12:46,600
if I like, one of my
favorite things that nightties to go home after
1061
01:12:46,600 --> 01:12:50,399
I've had stopper, sit down on
the couch and just there's four Judge Judy's
1062
01:12:50,720 --> 01:12:54,800
record during the day, I grab
one of them and just watch it.
1063
01:12:54,560 --> 01:12:58,760
It seems like everybody on there that
is involved in the traffic accident is because
1064
01:12:58,960 --> 01:13:03,039
they're uninsured. So it got me
to thinking, we're supposed to have insurance
1065
01:13:03,279 --> 01:13:11,159
by law. Correct, So what
states would be the states without the largest
1066
01:13:11,199 --> 01:13:15,920
amount with the largest number of uninsured
motorists. A little little research, California
1067
01:13:16,039 --> 01:13:19,520
you would think, huh but or
Mississippi. Okay, there you go,
1068
01:13:19,520 --> 01:13:24,479
good job, Todd number one.
How do you know education is the worst
1069
01:13:24,520 --> 01:13:27,600
there? No, No, I
literally guess this because they have the worst
1070
01:13:27,680 --> 01:13:30,199
education system they do. Growing up
in South Dakota, we loved in Mississippi
1071
01:13:30,199 --> 01:13:33,800
because we were forty nine and everything, and we're forty eight Arizona. So
1072
01:13:35,560 --> 01:13:40,760
No. Number one is Mississippi.
Todd twenty nine point four two louisianaan we're
1073
01:13:40,760 --> 01:13:45,920
talking about the states with the highest
number of uninsured motorists. Yeah, and
1074
01:13:45,960 --> 01:13:51,319
mississippis number one with twenty nine point
four Number two shocking Michigan twenty five percent.
1075
01:13:51,359 --> 01:13:56,880
Then Tennessee, New Mexico, and
Washington states with the fewest number of
1076
01:13:56,880 --> 01:14:00,840
insured motors. This be of places
where you want to drive New Jersey,
1077
01:14:00,640 --> 01:14:03,359
New Jersey. Now, why would
you say New York because there's not a
1078
01:14:03,359 --> 01:14:06,039
lot of drivers there. So the
people that do have it probably have insurance
1079
01:14:06,039 --> 01:14:10,000
because they drive close to each other
lots they're gonna get hit. Yeah.
1080
01:14:10,000 --> 01:14:14,640
New York is number three, and
only four percent of drivers are uninsured in
1081
01:14:14,680 --> 01:14:16,239
New York. And then any of
them are also drivers, like they drive
1082
01:14:16,279 --> 01:14:19,479
people around taxi drivers. That's interesting
because I looked at New York and act
1083
01:14:19,560 --> 01:14:24,439
they got more people than anybody have
personal drivers. There must be laws there
1084
01:14:24,439 --> 01:14:27,439
that are more strict than our laws. Anyway, Arizona is right in the
1085
01:14:27,479 --> 01:14:30,199
middle, eleven point eight percent uninsured, right in the right, in the
1086
01:14:30,239 --> 01:14:32,600
middle of the back. Yeah,
I though it was kind of interesting.
1087
01:14:32,840 --> 01:14:36,399
Oh, don't drive around Mississippi,
but do drive around New Jersey. You
1088
01:14:36,399 --> 01:14:39,520
know, there's been a lot of
talk. I've heard a lot of talk
1089
01:14:39,560 --> 01:14:44,760
about this New fed Now yep,
right. It is not a new central
1090
01:14:44,760 --> 01:14:47,159
bank digital currency. I heard a
lot of people talking about is there a
1091
01:14:47,199 --> 01:14:50,279
central bank digital currency getting passed this
week? No, it's not. It's
1092
01:14:50,319 --> 01:14:56,920
this service fed now, which basically
is a federal Zell as simply as I
1093
01:14:56,960 --> 01:15:00,760
can put that. If you've used
Zell, yeah it is. Yeah.
1094
01:15:00,800 --> 01:15:05,119
So Zell is essentially if I need
to pay Dave for you know, he
1095
01:15:05,199 --> 01:15:09,319
picked up my lunch, I need
to send him ten bucks m. Normally
1096
01:15:09,399 --> 01:15:12,359
it took two or three days for
that the process. If I wanted to
1097
01:15:12,399 --> 01:15:15,279
send that to you on a bank
with Zell and with ACHK abilities, I
1098
01:15:15,279 --> 01:15:20,039
can send that to you in a
single transaction settled this week. On Wednesday,
1099
01:15:20,079 --> 01:15:24,720
the guy came in and installed my
electric my charger from my car.
1100
01:15:25,520 --> 01:15:29,079
That afternoon, he texted me the
bill and I zelled him the money.
1101
01:15:29,079 --> 01:15:31,840
It was in his bank within minutes, right, And that helps both parties.
1102
01:15:31,960 --> 01:15:34,960
Right. When the settlement is instant, you don't have to worry about
1103
01:15:35,000 --> 01:15:40,319
liabilities or obligations for two or three
days. You can use that money instantly
1104
01:15:40,479 --> 01:15:45,039
to turn over and get new products
or buy new services. So Zell has
1105
01:15:45,079 --> 01:15:47,439
been very popular and almost all banks
have Zell now and it's you know,
1106
01:15:47,479 --> 01:15:50,880
all it is you go into your
bank app and the bank has already connected
1107
01:15:50,920 --> 01:15:54,279
to zell and you can send money
out that way. It's tied to your
1108
01:15:54,279 --> 01:15:57,119
cell phone and if you know somebody's
cell phone number, you can you can
1109
01:15:57,159 --> 01:16:00,199
stall the number. Yeah, email
address. Now, this now is trying
1110
01:16:00,199 --> 01:16:05,399
to take no I guess be a
competitor to zell Um. And Federal Reserve
1111
01:16:05,960 --> 01:16:10,359
is the one that created it.
And it's it's not just for individuals,
1112
01:16:10,399 --> 01:16:15,560
it's also for institutions. And this
should help in theory a lot of UM
1113
01:16:15,000 --> 01:16:20,000
obligations that kind of caused some issues
in two thousand and eight when instant settlement
1114
01:16:20,119 --> 01:16:26,039
wasn't really available because of the traditional
systems UM. You won't have same liquidity
1115
01:16:26,079 --> 01:16:31,760
problems theoretically if you did have this
service available to big institutions and stuff,
1116
01:16:31,760 --> 01:16:34,720
that it will be instant, right. Yeah. The one thing I didn't
1117
01:16:34,720 --> 01:16:38,920
like about FED now, which they
announced months ago when they first started talking
1118
01:16:38,920 --> 01:16:41,399
about it, was that one of
their reasons as to why it's going to
1119
01:16:41,439 --> 01:16:45,479
be good is that stimulus checks can
get to your bank faster for you what
1120
01:16:45,199 --> 01:16:47,640
stimulus checks. That was one of
their reasons. In fact, when the
1121
01:16:47,720 --> 01:16:50,920
first announce that they said stimulus checks
will get to your bank faster. Didn't
1122
01:16:50,960 --> 01:16:55,520
like that, didn't like what they
were insinuating. I hope that doesn't go
1123
01:16:55,560 --> 01:16:58,479
down that back. But thing I
thought was bad about it, Correct me
1124
01:16:58,479 --> 01:17:01,279
if I'm wrong. I have sent
in zell money via zel to all kinds
1125
01:17:01,319 --> 01:17:06,079
of people. I've never sent it
to a business. Is it possible to
1126
01:17:06,279 --> 01:17:10,960
zell a business? Well, for
example, that person that you that you
1127
01:17:11,079 --> 01:17:14,560
zelled for your electric charger, he's
technically a business, well he is,
1128
01:17:14,560 --> 01:17:16,199
but he's an electrician with it for
the cell phone. And so there I'm
1129
01:17:16,199 --> 01:17:20,199
talking about, let's say an air
conditioning company. I think a good good
1130
01:17:20,199 --> 01:17:23,600
idea is like if you had a
car payment, for example, and you
1131
01:17:23,680 --> 01:17:27,600
needed to pay your car another your
car bill and say it's it's um doe
1132
01:17:27,640 --> 01:17:30,079
the next day, or you have
a late fee and it's ten pm that
1133
01:17:30,199 --> 01:17:32,520
night. If you try to hit
you know, pay my bill, it's
1134
01:17:32,520 --> 01:17:34,560
not going to show up till the
next day, so you're still going to
1135
01:17:34,640 --> 01:17:39,039
incurre that late fee. If this
fed now service is available, you would
1136
01:17:39,079 --> 01:17:42,319
be able to settle same day,
even if it's at eleven pm at night.
1137
01:17:42,640 --> 01:17:45,840
The bank will get it before twelve
pm, they'll settle it and you'll
1138
01:17:45,880 --> 01:17:48,239
not occur a late fee, So
it enables instant settlement a lot quicker.
1139
01:17:48,319 --> 01:17:51,239
And this is what everybody started to
think of it. We're going to digital
1140
01:17:51,239 --> 01:17:55,159
currency, sate Dave. You know, this is the biggest feel on the
1141
01:17:55,199 --> 01:17:58,920
twenty ninth of July. We're going
to digital co No, this is what
1142
01:17:58,960 --> 01:18:01,640
they're talking about. Yes, it's
a digital yes, but it's no different
1143
01:18:01,680 --> 01:18:06,439
than what we've done with everything else. Eventually, will we be cashless society?
1144
01:18:06,640 --> 01:18:11,359
I think so? All right to
a point, is that good bad?
1145
01:18:11,479 --> 01:18:15,279
I don't know, because well,
these things ninety percent of everybody's transactions
1146
01:18:15,319 --> 01:18:16,960
go through there. I was in
QT the other day and you know,
1147
01:18:17,239 --> 01:18:20,119
if you've been in QT, they
take them on both sides of the register.
1148
01:18:20,600 --> 01:18:28,680
They're very efficient there. And both
of the people were paying cash in
1149
01:18:28,720 --> 01:18:30,840
front of me, and I got
up to the guy and I said,
1150
01:18:30,439 --> 01:18:33,319
boy, two people with cash?
Who who knew that? And he goes,
1151
01:18:33,399 --> 01:18:38,760
yeah's pretty weird. So cash really
is becoming a thing of the past
1152
01:18:38,800 --> 01:18:42,680
already. There is an issue with
FED now being able to have eyes on
1153
01:18:42,680 --> 01:18:46,680
all these transactions, right, because
there is always that concern of surveillance,
1154
01:18:46,760 --> 01:18:49,800
extra surveillance, and right now,
Zel is the intermitter area on a lot
1155
01:18:49,840 --> 01:18:54,760
of these transactions, and they're private
organizations, well, Apple, Zel,
1156
01:18:55,039 --> 01:18:57,800
everybody else. If the government comes
to them they need something, they have
1157
01:18:57,840 --> 01:19:00,279
to Yeah, if they subpoena,
you have to give over these records jumped
1158
01:19:00,279 --> 01:19:01,920
through some hoops. Yeah, now
is just straight to the government, of
1159
01:19:01,920 --> 01:19:05,000
course. Yeah. The one thing
about the FED now it sounds like it's
1160
01:19:05,000 --> 01:19:10,439
taking ZELL to another level, right, Yeah, because it's going to be
1161
01:19:10,439 --> 01:19:14,239
available for banks, credit unions,
households, businesses. They have to be
1162
01:19:14,319 --> 01:19:16,319
willing to accept it. However,
well, you have to sign up for
1163
01:19:16,439 --> 01:19:19,560
see how the acceptance goes. You
said, what sixteen banks have adopted it
1164
01:19:19,680 --> 01:19:24,760
so far? Have they? Two
big banks? Have? I forgot who
1165
01:19:24,800 --> 01:19:29,039
the other one was, Chase one
of the two. Yeah, well,
1166
01:19:29,039 --> 01:19:31,640
I'm sure Chase is one of the
first ones to adopt it. I'm when
1167
01:19:31,640 --> 01:19:35,880
I go to White send money to
the electrician, for instance, when I
1168
01:19:35,920 --> 01:19:39,960
go to my Bank of America app, there's three choices of how I can
1169
01:19:39,960 --> 01:19:43,199
send it. I guess a fourth
choice will pop up now, right,
1170
01:19:43,319 --> 01:19:46,600
Yeah, Well, we won't honestly, we won't like checks anymore. Checks
1171
01:19:46,640 --> 01:19:51,439
our thing in the past, you
know. No, But but some businesses,
1172
01:19:51,520 --> 01:19:54,760
doctors and stuff, they send it
to you either can put it on
1173
01:19:54,760 --> 01:19:58,600
a credit card or you can or
you can send them a uh uh,
1174
01:19:58,840 --> 01:20:00,199
you know, a check. And
now it's and there's the thirsty gonna be
1175
01:20:00,199 --> 01:20:04,680
a third option now setting up and
setting up Ah, one of the requirements
1176
01:20:04,840 --> 01:20:09,920
is avoided check from the bank you
want set up. Getting those anymore is
1177
01:20:09,920 --> 01:20:13,039
almost impossible, Yeah, because people
just don't write checks anymore. Now you
1178
01:20:13,079 --> 01:20:15,439
have to get a direct deposit form. Well, but yeah, there's a
1179
01:20:15,439 --> 01:20:18,720
form on the web, on the
website that is designed for this because they
1180
01:20:18,800 --> 01:20:24,239
understand that people don't have checks anymore. I don't write five checks a year,
1181
01:20:24,680 --> 01:20:27,640
right, it's just the thing of
the past. Yeah, it really
1182
01:20:27,760 --> 01:20:30,239
is. And as as is change. When's the last time you had dealt
1183
01:20:30,279 --> 01:20:33,920
with change? When the last time
he gave worth a change in a bucket
1184
01:20:33,920 --> 01:20:36,199
at my house that I never Yeah? Yeah, right, when's the last
1185
01:20:36,199 --> 01:20:41,840
time you paid someone the exact right
amount? Right with pennies and knickles and
1186
01:20:41,920 --> 01:20:45,159
dimes? And yeah, checks really
worth it for Zell if you think about
1187
01:20:45,159 --> 01:20:47,319
it, right, it's just a
really slow Zell because it's not anything.
1188
01:20:47,359 --> 01:20:51,439
A check isn't worth any example,
right, All it is is a digital
1189
01:20:51,439 --> 01:20:55,960
receipt showing that this is gonna Yeah, well, I guess you can bounce.
1190
01:20:56,800 --> 01:21:00,000
I've had checks bounce fifteen twenty days
later for somehow, some way,
1191
01:21:00,039 --> 01:21:03,159
I don't know how, right,
Yeah, not mine, people sending me
1192
01:21:03,239 --> 01:21:05,560
checks. Well, that's what people
need to understand, is like we are
1193
01:21:05,600 --> 01:21:10,800
evolving in all areas, right,
and currency evolves, technology evolves, and
1194
01:21:10,840 --> 01:21:14,760
so we went from checks to now
Zell to now the Fed. Now the
1195
01:21:14,840 --> 01:21:16,800
younger generation is going to go cashless. They all that now, they don't
1196
01:21:16,840 --> 01:21:18,840
care, they don't think about all
that other stuff. But Dean, you
1197
01:21:18,880 --> 01:21:24,399
and I are pretty much cashless.
Yeah, I don't. I'm I'm seventy
1198
01:21:24,439 --> 01:21:27,319
three. I don't use You use
your Apple wallet all the time, my
1199
01:21:27,359 --> 01:21:29,640
Apple. Yeah, And I don't
even use a credit card. I use
1200
01:21:29,720 --> 01:21:32,760
my my cell phone. Well,
because you don't travel. If you traveled,
1201
01:21:32,800 --> 01:21:36,000
you would use your credit card for
points. No, I get points
1202
01:21:36,000 --> 01:21:40,159
on my on my iPhone. Yeah's
credit card is in his iPhone. All
1203
01:21:40,199 --> 01:21:43,520
he has to do is out of
my pocket. You have a credit card,
1204
01:21:43,520 --> 01:21:45,479
but you put it on your iPhone
and you just tap it on the
1205
01:21:45,760 --> 01:21:47,680
it's tied down my iPhone. I
just have a physical credit card. I
1206
01:21:47,720 --> 01:21:51,279
don't have to have the physical card
right on credit card. I've got the
1207
01:21:51,760 --> 01:21:56,720
my key that opens my teslass.
It's now a credit card. There you
1208
01:21:56,760 --> 01:21:59,279
go, where's that. Losing your
phone is the worst thing in the world,
1209
01:21:59,319 --> 01:22:01,199
Then it's worse than losing your wallet, because you could just cancel all
1210
01:22:01,199 --> 01:22:04,039
your credit cards on your wallet.
Winter Haven last year, I've told this
1211
01:22:04,119 --> 01:22:08,760
on the Shrouble Far was that winter
Haven last December. I lost my money
1212
01:22:08,760 --> 01:22:12,680
clip, two hundred dollars, my
credit card, my driver's license, and
1213
01:22:12,760 --> 01:22:15,439
I was telling the people. I
was what, I've lost my money clip,
1214
01:22:15,439 --> 01:22:16,640
and they go, well, thank
god it wasn't your cell phone.
1215
01:22:16,960 --> 01:22:19,720
Yeah, that's the world we live
in. I lost two hundred bucks my
1216
01:22:19,760 --> 01:22:23,000
driver's license to my credit card,
and they're going, thank god, it
1217
01:22:23,039 --> 01:22:25,800
wasn't yourself. If you didn't have
that cash, you wouldn't lost anything.
1218
01:22:25,800 --> 01:22:28,359
You just froze all your cards,
but you would have been out twenty five
1219
01:22:28,359 --> 01:22:30,920
bucks for new driver's license. But
my response to them was, yeah,
1220
01:22:30,920 --> 01:22:35,479
that's true. Yeah, the cell
phone is more important to us than anything.
1221
01:22:35,960 --> 01:22:39,640
And I remember when Steve Jobs stood
up in front of us twelve years
1222
01:22:39,680 --> 01:22:44,319
ago and started talking about twelve years
ago. Huh, now that's fifteen years
1223
01:22:44,359 --> 01:22:48,279
now, fifteen years sixteen years Oh
yeah, it was sixteen sixteen years now.
1224
01:22:48,279 --> 01:22:50,359
Actually I remember I'm a standing in
front of they're talking about and I'm
1225
01:22:50,399 --> 01:22:53,880
thinking, what are you an idiot? It's a phone. Yeah, I
1226
01:22:53,920 --> 01:22:57,920
saw the one of the original iPhones
is sold for a record in auction one
1227
01:22:58,000 --> 01:23:00,600
hundred ninety thousand dollars. Was that
nine. I'm sitting there watching this thing,
1228
01:23:00,640 --> 01:23:02,840
going, what are you? What
are you talking about? It's a
1229
01:23:02,960 --> 01:23:06,319
phone? Just to have the vision
that we would keep making money because we're
1230
01:23:06,319 --> 01:23:11,239
gonna keep out more and more version. We'll have twenty thirty versions eventually.
1231
01:23:11,960 --> 01:23:14,279
Yeah, well people aren't going to
do it. Why would they just say
1232
01:23:14,319 --> 01:23:15,399
with the one phone? You know, you have a phone at home,
1233
01:23:15,479 --> 01:23:18,319
at your home on the wall,
you kept it forever. Well, then
1234
01:23:18,479 --> 01:23:23,119
then you your your memory gets full
and they have to pay for more memory.
1235
01:23:23,199 --> 01:23:25,800
Right. Well, he's just so
ahead of his time, that is.
1236
01:23:25,960 --> 01:23:28,279
I mean, if you don't have
it, because we used to go
1237
01:23:28,359 --> 01:23:31,479
remember everyone's phone numbers, right,
but I mean you don't even your data,
1238
01:23:31,680 --> 01:23:33,920
you don't even know anyone's phone.
I'll get this thing, says your
1239
01:23:34,000 --> 01:23:36,640
dad is about Yeah, you got
it. For another dollar, you can
1240
01:23:36,680 --> 01:23:41,359
buy an act. Okay, fine, I have no idea what that is
1241
01:23:41,399 --> 01:23:45,159
even but we all remember the BlackBerry
dominated the market and Steve Jobs knew.
1242
01:23:45,279 --> 01:23:49,600
He said, the reason this isn't
gonna work is that the keypad. I
1243
01:23:49,680 --> 01:23:54,359
know that the system needs to be
as simple as possible. It needs to
1244
01:23:54,399 --> 01:23:57,680
be touched lest you know. And
that's it. No stylists, no extra
1245
01:23:57,680 --> 01:24:02,720
strangle hold on the shell phone market
stranglehold. There was a series that just
1246
01:24:02,720 --> 01:24:05,640
came out about Blacky greateful even.
First of all, I mean it was
1247
01:24:05,720 --> 01:24:10,159
everybody out a BlackBerry and it was
cool because I have the whole keyboard.
1248
01:24:10,239 --> 01:24:13,279
Yea, let me check with my
let me check with my BlackBerry. I'll
1249
01:24:13,319 --> 01:24:15,760
send you just something on my Blickberry. You know. It was cool.
1250
01:24:15,920 --> 01:24:19,359
Yeah, but no, it's gone. It's gone. It's accompany, a
1251
01:24:19,359 --> 01:24:23,199
little company. But they don't they're
in cybersecurity, now, aren't they?
1252
01:24:23,319 --> 01:24:26,760
Something like that. I also heard
Apples coming out with some GBT chat GBT
1253
01:24:26,880 --> 01:24:29,159
stuff, yea, their own version
of stuff, which is gonna be really
1254
01:24:29,399 --> 01:24:31,039
BlackBerry was so good as the cell
phone thing that they don't do it anymore,
1255
01:24:33,680 --> 01:24:36,239
be come out with a series about
that. Be awful to have that
1256
01:24:36,399 --> 01:24:40,439
dominance and that kind of a market
is like my space. Right, you
1257
01:24:40,560 --> 01:24:43,479
had that market and you got what
he's sold that for six hundred million dollars
1258
01:24:43,479 --> 01:24:46,359
he's lost. All right, we'll
be back. Appreciate your listening. This
1259
01:24:46,399 --> 01:24:55,000
is the Money Matter Show. It's
all welcome back to everybody. This is
1260
01:24:55,039 --> 01:24:58,399
the Money Matter Show. Dave,
Dylan, Todd, and myself Deemed.
1261
01:24:58,840 --> 01:25:00,800
I hope you enjoying it. If
you need more, miss anything, go
1262
01:25:01,520 --> 01:25:06,279
to Money Matters with Dean Greenberg.
You'll get it on the podcast. But
1263
01:25:06,359 --> 01:25:10,479
you have to say with Dean Greenberg
because there's a lot of Money Matters out
1264
01:25:10,479 --> 01:25:13,600
there, right I've seen. Also, just go to a website that you
1265
01:25:13,600 --> 01:25:15,760
don't have to worry about it because
it's all on there under YouTube at the
1266
01:25:15,800 --> 01:25:19,680
top right. Also on our Facebook
page, I do weekly market updates,
1267
01:25:19,680 --> 01:25:24,920
short videos three to five minutes,
really recapping everything. Check those out.
1268
01:25:25,359 --> 01:25:29,439
The YouTube page constantly has new updates
on it, so look out for the
1269
01:25:29,439 --> 01:25:33,119
information. If you want to list
get reading our monthly newsletter. You know
1270
01:25:33,199 --> 01:25:35,840
in about a week we'll have a
new newsletter coming out. You can sign
1271
01:25:35,960 --> 01:25:41,199
up going to our website at the
bottom of the page. Sounds good,
1272
01:25:41,239 --> 01:25:45,439
and you're still doing the financial plan
anything if anyone needs a portfolio review,
1273
01:25:46,239 --> 01:25:50,800
financial plan, talk about wills and
trust. I was telling this client of
1274
01:25:51,279 --> 01:25:55,840
a long time client of mine,
a good friend too, who went to
1275
01:25:55,880 --> 01:25:58,439
a seminar with a friend of hers, and I said, I was like,
1276
01:25:59,199 --> 01:26:01,399
why would you go? Are you
know? Because she asked me do
1277
01:26:01,399 --> 01:26:03,239
you know these people? And I
said, well, what are you doing?
1278
01:26:04,039 --> 01:26:05,960
She said no, no, I'm
just going my friends. And I
1279
01:26:06,039 --> 01:26:10,479
said, I said, there is
nothing in the financial world that you need
1280
01:26:10,479 --> 01:26:14,159
that we can't help you with.
We We've we've got it all right here.
1281
01:26:15,159 --> 01:26:19,159
You see where Todd. I know
you're watching the Taiwan semiconduct your plant
1282
01:26:19,159 --> 01:26:21,680
in Phoenix. Have you? Did
you see the article this week about how
1283
01:26:21,680 --> 01:26:26,199
they did pade not gonna open in
twenty twenty four, It's gonna open in
1284
01:26:26,199 --> 01:26:30,279
twenty twenty five because they cannot find
skilled laborers. And I'm thinking to myself,
1285
01:26:30,319 --> 01:26:35,039
well, as a country, we've
let that technology go to Taiwan without
1286
01:26:35,079 --> 01:26:40,840
any fight for decades and now all
of the trained people are in Taiwan.
1287
01:26:41,000 --> 01:26:45,319
Hello, it's the skilled workers to
finish building it. Not necessarily building a
1288
01:26:45,399 --> 01:26:47,600
chip, it's build an actual factory. They don't have the skilled workers for
1289
01:26:47,640 --> 01:26:55,279
that. To build the equipment,
yeah, I direction order, Yeah,
1290
01:26:55,359 --> 01:26:58,840
to build the equipment that builds the
ship right right, So there, So
1291
01:26:58,960 --> 01:27:03,680
they're Phoenix, it's about to be
flooded with people from Taiwan. Yeah,
1292
01:27:03,760 --> 01:27:06,159
I know how to do this.
Apparently, well, they were saying the
1293
01:27:06,199 --> 01:27:09,840
training program, the people like if
they were in Phoenix, they would have
1294
01:27:09,840 --> 01:27:12,159
to go to Taiwan for eighteen months
and train and learn it all and then
1295
01:27:12,199 --> 01:27:14,479
they can move back. And that
didn't work out that well, Noah,
1296
01:27:14,680 --> 01:27:16,159
there wasn't a lot of people wanted
to go to Taiwan for eighteen months.
1297
01:27:17,119 --> 01:27:21,960
But Apple. Apple plans to use
that Phoenix facility for their chips for their
1298
01:27:23,000 --> 01:27:26,680
computers. Fantastic. Yeah, once
it gets up and running and the intel
1299
01:27:26,760 --> 01:27:29,520
plant is still there and it's still
cranes all over the place, yeah,
1300
01:27:30,520 --> 01:27:33,359
I can't a man. That's the
deal we have with China. Don't go
1301
01:27:33,359 --> 01:27:38,199
into Taiwan until we get all the
sudden semiconductors built in the United States.
1302
01:27:38,199 --> 01:27:43,079
You know, we talked about this
a couple weeks ago about China's claim on
1303
01:27:43,119 --> 01:27:46,199
Taiwan is just it's ridiculous. They
have no claim on Taiwan. What about
1304
01:27:46,199 --> 01:27:49,319
the claim on the all those islands
and the and the and the and what
1305
01:27:49,439 --> 01:27:54,880
is it? The black seat?
They and everything else Taiwan. For decades,
1306
01:27:55,399 --> 01:27:59,840
two parties in China fought over control
of China. The losing party was
1307
01:28:00,319 --> 01:28:05,399
banished to Taiwan. Now all of
a sudden, well, because if if
1308
01:28:05,479 --> 01:28:09,720
Russia can do it, China can
do it. Yeah they I I sat
1309
01:28:09,760 --> 01:28:13,960
on the show that China's claim to
Taiwan is about as strong as Russia's claimed
1310
01:28:13,960 --> 01:28:16,079
to Ukraine. You know it isn't
It isn't part of it? Did you?
1311
01:28:16,159 --> 01:28:19,319
Smiling? You don't. You don't
like that analogy? No, because
1312
01:28:19,880 --> 01:28:23,760
Ukraine was part of Russia at one
point, right, and so that's not
1313
01:28:23,800 --> 01:28:28,640
the same thing. Okay, Taiwan, they kick them out. Ukraine was
1314
01:28:28,680 --> 01:28:31,239
part of Russia. Yeah, yeah, that's what they are there because they
1315
01:28:31,239 --> 01:28:34,399
were kicked out of China. Yeah, and they created their own republic and
1316
01:28:34,479 --> 01:28:38,039
so that's their own world. It's
not like Ukraine was kicked out of Russia.
1317
01:28:38,119 --> 01:28:39,760
No, that's a good point.
That's a good point. So I
1318
01:28:39,800 --> 01:28:43,359
got to come up with a better
analogy, not a good one. Oh
1319
01:28:43,399 --> 01:28:46,159
you got you again. Home builders
keep hitting new highs and we know why.
1320
01:28:46,520 --> 01:28:50,479
Uh, there's no supply and so
people are being forced to buy new
1321
01:28:50,520 --> 01:28:54,680
homes. Whoever thought you'd say that, Oh, if you're gonna buy a
1322
01:28:54,680 --> 01:28:56,319
new home, you're gonna have to
If you're gonna buy a home, you
1323
01:28:56,359 --> 01:28:59,600
gotta buy a new one. Oh
damn um. You know, there is
1324
01:28:59,640 --> 01:29:02,319
no end the tory. There's just
no inventory. And Jod you've mentioned that
1325
01:29:02,840 --> 01:29:06,159
ups connections to homebuilders. There's a
lot of concessions being made, and a
1326
01:29:06,159 --> 01:29:10,600
lot of concessions and a lot of
the supply issues that have been taken care
1327
01:29:10,640 --> 01:29:15,800
of a lot and there's still so
many rentals going up into sun right now,
1328
01:29:15,880 --> 01:29:19,279
like build to rent houses right which
is a fairly new thing in the
1329
01:29:19,319 --> 01:29:24,680
industry. And so that's going to
continue to take course. And you know,
1330
01:29:24,720 --> 01:29:28,520
they continue to see that trend that
eventually new home sales are going to
1331
01:29:29,079 --> 01:29:30,880
fall off because all the homes being
built are going to be for rent.
1332
01:29:31,279 --> 01:29:35,039
Yeah, I think it was I
happened to get I'm starting to get and
1333
01:29:35,119 --> 01:29:38,920
Dan, you and I've been in
this business a long time I'm starting to
1334
01:29:38,920 --> 01:29:45,680
get text and emails from people that
are hyping penny AI stocks, the pumping
1335
01:29:45,760 --> 01:29:47,079
dump people. It just started this
week, this past week. I just
1336
01:29:47,159 --> 01:29:51,920
I got to them a phone call
and an email that we call them pumping
1337
01:29:53,000 --> 01:29:55,880
dump people because they get on the
phone and they pump the price up and
1338
01:29:55,880 --> 01:29:59,159
then they dump, they dump their
own But these are companies. This is
1339
01:29:59,239 --> 01:30:02,199
taking his back in nineteen ninety nine
were companies were coming public and they really
1340
01:30:02,239 --> 01:30:06,199
didn't even have a business and have
employees. It doesn't surprise me if you
1341
01:30:06,239 --> 01:30:11,359
look at everything that's gone on,
you get the big move and it was
1342
01:30:11,479 --> 01:30:14,079
used to be with dot Com and
then there was and then everything with dot
1343
01:30:14,079 --> 01:30:16,359
Com will go up and until it
didn't, now everything with AI. So
1344
01:30:16,439 --> 01:30:19,479
you're gonna get the guys that uh, you know, probably don't have the
1345
01:30:19,520 --> 01:30:24,880
best scooples, uh and um and
call people and do stuff and get people
1346
01:30:24,880 --> 01:30:28,399
excited for cheap less you know,
ten thousand dollars, you can you know,
1347
01:30:28,520 --> 01:30:30,880
get these you know stocks that are
going for a dollar you know if
1348
01:30:31,000 --> 01:30:33,560
that dollars. One of them was
it was an eighty nine cent stock and
1349
01:30:33,680 --> 01:30:38,439
dollars a dollar sixty and they both
had AI in their name right, and
1350
01:30:38,479 --> 01:30:40,840
then go to five six dollars.
You can make a fortune. Yeah,
1351
01:30:40,960 --> 01:30:45,000
fortune. And the one that called
me, he gave me his speel and
1352
01:30:45,039 --> 01:30:47,399
I said, do your parents know
what you do for a living? Click?
1353
01:30:49,359 --> 01:30:53,319
You know? On that note,
the SMP five hundred has had thirty
1354
01:30:53,399 --> 01:30:57,760
nine consecutive days without a one percent
drop, and it's the longest run since
1355
01:30:57,760 --> 01:31:00,479
twenty nineteen. Hasn't dropped more than
one percent since made twenty three. So
1356
01:31:00,720 --> 01:31:03,960
to see that, we know there's
going to be some type of one of
1357
01:31:04,000 --> 01:31:08,439
those big days right where there's a
catalyst, and I mean the red lights
1358
01:31:08,439 --> 01:31:12,159
are flashing all over the place,
and yet we keep going higher, and
1359
01:31:12,199 --> 01:31:16,039
well it's bullish, there's bullshit.
Well people, I just bought the pullback.
1360
01:31:16,039 --> 01:31:19,000
Well, what's going to happen is
one day the pullback they buy and
1361
01:31:19,039 --> 01:31:23,840
it keeps going on. Lower the
panic out. I've also go ahead,
1362
01:31:23,880 --> 01:31:26,439
well, I said, I also
heard that the options, that these zero
1363
01:31:26,520 --> 01:31:30,640
dated options are helping the market continue
to rally even though there's not a lot
1364
01:31:30,640 --> 01:31:35,640
of fundamental point right now in the
in the calls put options and they wanted
1365
01:31:35,680 --> 01:31:39,680
to put do Dan and I were
looking at that on Thursday, and we
1366
01:31:39,680 --> 01:31:42,520
were just shocked. Well, Dayling
pointed out on Friday to me that there's
1367
01:31:42,600 --> 01:31:46,880
estimated over two point three trillion dollars
of options that expire on Friday today,
1368
01:31:47,399 --> 01:31:50,920
one last Friday, last Friday.
There's the twenty first. It's a lot,
1369
01:31:51,840 --> 01:31:56,039
there's a lot, and it's the
market can kind of quietly close with
1370
01:31:56,159 --> 01:31:58,920
that kind of volume. Is amazing, right that a lot of them,
1371
01:31:59,039 --> 01:32:00,359
a lot of them might be out
of money. Well yeah, and a
1372
01:32:00,399 --> 01:32:02,760
lot of them had Dean. They've
changed the rules so most of it has
1373
01:32:02,800 --> 01:32:05,920
to be done as the open.
So remember how the closes. We that's
1374
01:32:05,920 --> 01:32:10,239
only on the Thursday once, but
those wild closes, we used to get
1375
01:32:10,319 --> 01:32:13,960
no on Triple Witching Day, those
wild closes. Right, But there was
1376
01:32:13,960 --> 01:32:18,880
the ones that that the SMP was
basically closed on Thursday and and gave you
1377
01:32:18,920 --> 01:32:23,640
a value on Monday on the Friday
morning, and that's as if you held
1378
01:32:23,680 --> 01:32:28,640
it that long. That's what happened. Intuitive Surgical Dean. Intuitive Surgical.
1379
01:32:28,680 --> 01:32:34,720
Their big business is bariatric surgery,
help people that tie their stomach off so
1380
01:32:34,760 --> 01:32:40,159
they can lose some weight. Their
business has gone over the cliff because of
1381
01:32:40,279 --> 01:32:44,840
these weight loss struck everybody's waiting.
Everybody's waiting. So let me ask you
1382
01:32:44,840 --> 01:32:51,279
a question. What stock would you
buy on a pullback that you're looking at?
1383
01:32:51,319 --> 01:32:55,279
What's your number one stock that you
like on a pullback? And where
1384
01:32:55,279 --> 01:32:57,079
would you want to buy it?
I think it's the same for Alls.
1385
01:32:57,199 --> 01:33:00,960
Right in video we all we all
thought in the video better Apple, Puck.
1386
01:33:01,039 --> 01:33:06,119
I think in Nvidio's probably got the
clearest runway to profitability. I mean
1387
01:33:06,159 --> 01:33:11,039
they just they just have a demand, a product that they cannot make enough
1388
01:33:11,079 --> 01:33:14,560
of, uh and demand. It
looks like it's going to continue for years
1389
01:33:14,560 --> 01:33:15,680
and year. Yeah. The reason
I say Apple is because they got the
1390
01:33:15,720 --> 01:33:19,399
VR coming, which looks just better
than the other competition, and they're getting
1391
01:33:19,399 --> 01:33:24,680
into AI with like Toto saying,
with the CHATSBT of their own and eventually
1392
01:33:24,680 --> 01:33:27,000
they're going to probably build chips with
it too. Would be my game,
1393
01:33:27,199 --> 01:33:30,560
non tech, non non tech.
Pick a stock that's not in that in
1394
01:33:30,880 --> 01:33:36,000
the top seven constellation brands. That's
an opportunity right now, an opportunity with
1395
01:33:36,000 --> 01:33:39,960
a pull after a pullback or what
or whatever. Yeah, well, on
1396
01:33:40,079 --> 01:33:41,680
a pullback, what do you look
for? Well, okay, well,
1397
01:33:41,720 --> 01:33:44,960
I mean right now would be Disney
Okay, I like that. No,
1398
01:33:45,079 --> 01:33:45,920
you don't have to wait for a
pullback. It's had it pull Yeah,
1399
01:33:45,920 --> 01:33:50,319
I think probably humanity for me.
I like Constellation brands. How are you
1400
01:33:51,239 --> 01:33:59,079
No, I I was looking at
thinking, I think Disney is bull Disney.
1401
01:33:59,439 --> 01:34:01,760
Disney to me today is what Boeing
was a couple of years ago when
1402
01:34:01,760 --> 01:34:05,119
it was down to one hundred.
Nobody wanted nobody wanted stuff. And I'm
1403
01:34:05,159 --> 01:34:08,880
not saying it's going back to one
hundred and eighty two hundred, but at
1404
01:34:08,920 --> 01:34:12,039
eighty five, I mean you can
probably down the road see Won ten one,
1405
01:34:12,199 --> 01:34:15,760
twenty one thirty Again, it wasn't
that there that the long ago will
1406
01:34:15,840 --> 01:34:18,439
change it. Yeah. The thing
is, Bob Iger got extended another two
1407
01:34:18,520 --> 01:34:21,199
years, so they're trying. He's
gonna keep trying to work at end with
1408
01:34:21,399 --> 01:34:25,079
ESPN. They're not trying to get
rid of sports anymore. They're thinking about
1409
01:34:25,119 --> 01:34:29,319
it. But now they're transitioning into
making ESPN just streaming rather than the basic
1410
01:34:29,399 --> 01:34:31,800
cable, and they're trying to team
up with NFL, NBA, and MLB.
1411
01:34:32,159 --> 01:34:34,560
They should to do a strategic partnership
with all of them. If they
1412
01:34:34,560 --> 01:34:39,119
can do that, that's gonna make
their sports entertainment side a lot better too.
1413
01:34:39,319 --> 01:34:41,560
Yeah, a year ago it was
a two hundred dollar stock. You
1414
01:34:41,600 --> 01:34:44,920
know, ESPN already kind of does
that with UFC. They have that strategic
1415
01:34:44,960 --> 01:34:47,760
partnership together, so the NBA they
have different things, but they're gonna go
1416
01:34:47,840 --> 01:34:51,600
big sports is huge money. There's
no way they can be paying the types
1417
01:34:51,640 --> 01:34:56,399
of billions of dollars they do to
college football in the FL if they weren't
1418
01:34:56,439 --> 01:35:00,600
making this much money. And ESPN
with Disney's back in, it's that but
1419
01:35:00,640 --> 01:35:03,720
you're right stream it out like everybody
else. Your plus already, which works
1420
01:35:03,760 --> 01:35:06,840
really well. They have another year
on their NBA exclusive deal, right,
1421
01:35:06,880 --> 01:35:10,920
but they're trying to do like a
whole partnership where say the NBA would buy
1422
01:35:10,960 --> 01:35:14,520
an ownership stake in ESPN is what
they're looking at. That makes me think,
1423
01:35:14,520 --> 01:35:16,720
actually, you know, Google,
when this football season rolls around,
1424
01:35:16,720 --> 01:35:19,840
because you two owns the ticket's going
to be interesting to see how Google profits
1425
01:35:19,840 --> 01:35:24,000
off their first year of owning the
ticket. It could explode. I mean,
1426
01:35:24,079 --> 01:35:29,239
who's not gonna get that exactly.
And it's a great cable product already.
1427
01:35:29,439 --> 01:35:32,000
Alternative, you know, especially everyone
that dream grew up like a like
1428
01:35:32,039 --> 01:35:34,399
say I'm a New York fan Jets
and Giants. I want to watch those
1429
01:35:34,399 --> 01:35:40,199
games. Well, you're not gonna
get them out here unless you get the
1430
01:35:40,279 --> 01:35:43,399
NFL station. I know people that
love hockey, they want to watch the
1431
01:35:43,479 --> 01:35:47,439
Rangers, Island is they always get
the NHL package basketball. That's why,
1432
01:35:47,560 --> 01:35:51,520
that's why they take off. It's
for people that you know that have that
1433
01:35:51,600 --> 01:35:55,840
have transferred out of where they lived
and grew up with those teams. Right,
1434
01:35:57,000 --> 01:35:59,920
and the red zone can get a
little tiring. Oh hell no,
1435
01:36:00,760 --> 01:36:04,880
at versus being able to watch individual
games. Yeah, I mean it depends
1436
01:36:04,880 --> 01:36:06,520
what to do. If you like
to bet on games. Red zone is
1437
01:36:06,520 --> 01:36:10,680
awesome. Yeah, get every game. No, that's I get that.
1438
01:36:10,760 --> 01:36:13,880
Yeah, I get that. I
enjoyed red Zone. All right, another
1439
01:36:14,079 --> 01:36:16,439
two out has gone quickly. Guys, good job. We'll be back next
1440
01:36:16,479 --> 01:36:21,680
week. Will money matters? You
need us, call us, come see
1441
01:36:21,760 --> 01:36:26,439
us, send an appointment. You
need a plan, We're doing it for
1442
01:36:26,520 --> 01:36:29,239
you for free. Just call us. We'll get it done. We'll be
1443
01:36:29,239 --> 01:36:32,640
back next week. And remember,
we all want to be happy, we
1444
01:36:32,680 --> 01:36:39,600
all want to be healthy, and
we all strive to be profitable. Say it's all