July 23, 2023

Mitigating Risk - How to Protect Yourself While Markets are High

Mitigating Risk - How to Protect Yourself While Markets are High

The whole crew is here to talk about all things that had the markets moving. A special rebalancing of the Nasdaq 100 is taking place, will markets be impacted? As we move through earnings season tune in to get updates on how companies are doing. Stay...

The whole crew is here to talk about all things that had the markets moving. A special rebalancing of the Nasdaq 100 is taking place, will markets be impacted? As we move through earnings season tune in to get updates on how companies are doing. Stay informed and stay prepared!If you would like to contact us to learn more about our firm and our process call us at 520.544.4909 or go to our website at www.Greenbergfinancial.com or email us at Contact@Greenbergfinancial.com
1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,200 Good morning everybody. It's that time again, Sunday morning, eight o'clock right 2 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:07,879 here in seven ninety k ands T. This is Dean Greenberg and we will 3 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:10,599 be bringing you the Money Matter Show. It's a two hour talk show. 4 00:00:10,599 --> 00:00:14,720 We talk about everything, what's affecting the markets, what's affecting our world, 5 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:19,480 what's affecting how we live, all that stuff right on here on this show. 6 00:00:19,519 --> 00:00:22,839 Remember we have the three shows on Saturday, though a little bit more 7 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:27,039 educational. We do the TV show after the News on Sunday night at ten 8 00:00:27,199 --> 00:00:31,719 thirty. And it's just so all about trying to get out to you all 9 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:35,640 how we feel about the markets, what do we feel that's going on, 10 00:00:36,119 --> 00:00:42,039 how we're investing, and you know, and obviously just basically try to help 11 00:00:42,039 --> 00:00:45,799 you. That's what we try to do here at Greenberg Financial Group. This 12 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:49,280 is the Money Amount a show and it is sponsored by Greenberg Financial Group, 13 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:53,520 which is both the registered investment advisory and a broken dealer registered with the SEC, 14 00:00:53,719 --> 00:00:56,960 Members of Finery, members of CYPRIC. On the show, we talk 15 00:00:57,000 --> 00:01:02,719 about a lot of stuff, products, strategies, ideas, our opinions. 16 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:04,799 It doesn't matter what it is, it's always got some type of risk, 17 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:10,439 and we highly suggest you understand those risks prior to investing. If you don't 18 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:14,319 understand risk, then you don't understand how to invest. You have to understand 19 00:01:14,359 --> 00:01:18,560 your own risks. You have a risk tolerance. And what that is, 20 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:21,239 It's real simple. When the markets are going up, your risk tolerance goes 21 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:23,079 high. You want to buy in, you want to buy more, you 22 00:01:23,079 --> 00:01:26,000 want to be aggressive. You want to be buying stocks that are a hundred 23 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:30,840 points higher than they were when you didn't want them. That's not risk tolerance, 24 00:01:30,879 --> 00:01:36,120 that's greed. Ris tolerance is when things are just going around and they're 25 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,159 boring, what do you want? How much can you handle on the downside 26 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:42,280 before you start panicking, stressing out and wanting to sell everything you have? 27 00:01:42,719 --> 00:01:46,000 How much can you go ahead? And the only way you get to that 28 00:01:46,159 --> 00:01:48,680 is when the markets are rallying like they have been. You got to go 29 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,480 ahead and say, okay, should I take some money off the table? 30 00:01:51,519 --> 00:01:55,040 Should I have a nice cash position? All those things are very important, 31 00:01:55,040 --> 00:02:00,480 and what we call that is mitigating risk. Mitigating risk means when when we 32 00:02:00,519 --> 00:02:02,439 think the risk is higher like we do right now, than the reward, 33 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:10,120 then we do investment strategies that will slow down the growth but will certainly protect 34 00:02:10,159 --> 00:02:14,240 us. If the markets come down a bit. That means we still lose, 35 00:02:14,319 --> 00:02:16,080 but we won't lose as much, but we won't gain as much. 36 00:02:16,319 --> 00:02:21,280 Remember this is a long term game. You want to drive. You want 37 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:24,280 to get away from getting the markets killed. Because what happens is when the 38 00:02:24,319 --> 00:02:28,800 markets go down, everybody decides that's when they want to sell. But when 39 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:30,840 the markets are up, that's when everybody wants to buy. It's the absolute 40 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:36,360 wrong thing to do. So understanding how to mitigate risk is very important. 41 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,719 It's one of the things that I think separates us also is that we know 42 00:02:38,759 --> 00:02:42,800 how to do that. Whether we're buying puts, whether we're do it buying 43 00:02:42,879 --> 00:02:46,199 inverse funds, whether're selling calls, whether we're raising cash, reducing positions, 44 00:02:46,199 --> 00:02:51,080 stay into allocation. But what I call it as discipline. Do we stay 45 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:54,560 disciplined? And we do. Most people don't understand what that means. It 46 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:58,319 means if it's going up and we have allocations, we'll take some money off 47 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:02,879 the table when least a high, raise some cash when it's down. We're 48 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:07,280 not afraid to buy then because if we got out of a part of a 49 00:03:07,319 --> 00:03:09,919 stock higher and it's coming back down, and we see opportunity, we'll buy. 50 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:13,719 Even though if it goes lower, we still saved a whole bunch of 51 00:03:13,719 --> 00:03:15,759 it. Coming back down. It doesn't mean it comes back down. It 52 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:20,520 could keep going higher. I've been thinking that forty three hundred would have been 53 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:23,000 the top of this market, but we're now at forty five and change. 54 00:03:23,879 --> 00:03:28,960 We're really extended. In my opinion, I'm very cautious on the market, 55 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:31,319 but yet we're still being able to make some money. As it rises, 56 00:03:31,599 --> 00:03:35,879 we'll give some of that back. But the beauty of it is we got 57 00:03:35,879 --> 00:03:38,280 a nice cash position. If it comes down, you can't tell me nineteen 58 00:03:38,319 --> 00:03:44,879 point five forward earnings forward, not even current forward. Current is higher earnings, 59 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:50,439 it's high. The norm is fourteen fifteen, maybe sixteen. That means 60 00:03:50,439 --> 00:03:53,439 it should be around thirty five hundred on the SMP. I know right now 61 00:03:53,599 --> 00:03:58,439 what's happened. It's simple when you look at it from a psychological point. 62 00:03:58,759 --> 00:04:01,120 We were breaking out, and hedge funds get invested, they start buying, 63 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:04,159 and which means the other people that have money in the modern markets started saying, 64 00:04:04,159 --> 00:04:08,520 I got to get more aggressive, and I gotta get back in the 65 00:04:08,639 --> 00:04:13,719 question is we were everyone was so bearish and including us that you know, 66 00:04:13,759 --> 00:04:16,319 the figure we can go lower that when we got to up here, it 67 00:04:16,399 --> 00:04:21,000 kept going. People started going and now they're turning a little bit bullish now 68 00:04:21,079 --> 00:04:26,680 that that whole thing. And I could see it in the putting calls ratios. 69 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,920 You can the puts are cheaper than the calls, which means everybody speculating 70 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:35,120 and the market will go higher, and that usually means it won't. There's 71 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:40,639 so much out there. Valuations means something. You know, take away the 72 00:04:40,639 --> 00:04:45,160 magnificent in seven and you have a scenario that the markets aren't rising as much 73 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:49,040 as you see those indexes. The dall's only up six percent, the s 74 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:54,519 and P five hundred, the equal rated weighted one is only up nine percent, 75 00:04:55,319 --> 00:04:59,000 while the natzacs up thirty four and the SMP's up eighteen. But the 76 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:03,079 seven stocks, and you know what they are, Microsoft, Google, Apple, 77 00:05:04,399 --> 00:05:15,240 Amazon, that flicks Microsoft and the video. There are a lot of 78 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,800 those stocks that have rallied, rallied, rallied. I still think some of 79 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,920 them can rally. I still think the Video on a ten percent fifteen percent 80 00:05:21,959 --> 00:05:28,120 pullback is still a buy. I still think you can go to five hundred, 81 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:30,560 five fifty possibly both. Do I want to buy it at four fifty 82 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:34,480 four to sixty now, I'd rather see it come back down. If it 83 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:38,680 gets unto four hundred, I'll be very attracted to it again. But remember 84 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:43,879 that stock started all the way down where under one fifty, under one twenty 85 00:05:43,879 --> 00:05:48,160 five, nobody wanted to buy it. It got low, and then it 86 00:05:48,199 --> 00:05:54,120 started rallying and rallying. Why because they have the AI chip that does something 87 00:05:55,519 --> 00:05:58,680 that nobody else does, and it costs ten thousand dollars per chip, and 88 00:05:58,759 --> 00:06:03,199 they can't even make enough for them. But eventually other people will get in 89 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:08,360 and eventually that will cut into their pricing, and eventually that will make the 90 00:06:08,439 --> 00:06:11,839 stock weigh over value like it is right now if it doesn't catch up with 91 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:15,439 earnings. But I think for the next I don't know, you know, 92 00:06:15,519 --> 00:06:18,199 maybe year, year and a half, their earnings will be very very good. 93 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,800 The difference is will it be able to match a five hundred and six 94 00:06:21,879 --> 00:06:28,439 hundred dollar stock price. We'll see, okay, But it's all about allocations. 95 00:06:29,199 --> 00:06:30,800 It's all about income. At least now, when you're sitting and waiting, 96 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:34,160 you can get four four and a half fives maybe five and a half 97 00:06:34,199 --> 00:06:39,879 percent money markets and government bonds. That's not a bad place to have some 98 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,639 money right now, okay, while you're waiting before the money markets and everything 99 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:46,279 else will under one percent. So it was very difficult to just sit there 100 00:06:46,319 --> 00:06:53,600 because you aren't making anything. But as we rally, think about it, 101 00:06:53,639 --> 00:06:57,160 like a rubber band and its stretches, stretches, stretcher, stretches and stretches. 102 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,639 The eventually that rubber band snouts and when it snouts back, it snaps 103 00:07:00,639 --> 00:07:04,319 back fast, it snaps back hard, and then all of a sudden it 104 00:07:04,319 --> 00:07:11,639 goes the other way. Can we see a forty five to seven percent pullback? 105 00:07:11,639 --> 00:07:14,519 Of course we could. Will I wait that long to go back in 106 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:16,759 a little bit, No, I'll stop positioning probably before that if we hit 107 00:07:16,839 --> 00:07:20,600 some support levels, unless it's a reason, then we're coming down. But 108 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:25,040 the one thing I can tell you right now, selling a little bit in 109 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:30,800 here, making sure you have a cash position is extremely smart. August September 110 00:07:30,839 --> 00:07:33,000 the worst two months of the year. Worst two months. September is the 111 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:39,439 only down month on the average year over year. Does that mean it has 112 00:07:39,519 --> 00:07:42,680 to go down? Heck no, I've seen August September is up, but 113 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:46,639 on the whole, and it's all about percentages. The odds are the market 114 00:07:46,639 --> 00:07:49,240 will not do well in August and September, So why do we want to 115 00:07:49,279 --> 00:07:58,120 be hanging around waiting for that to happen. Raise cash opportunities arise all the 116 00:07:58,199 --> 00:08:01,920 time, all the time, and when they do, if you don't have 117 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:05,680 money, you can't buy. We're not institutions, insurance companies, pension plans 118 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:11,360 that constantly have money flowing into us that we can buy in and keep averaging 119 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:18,000 down and doing things like that. We don't have that scenario. We usually 120 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:20,319 get some money in, we get some more money. We look at whatever 121 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:24,879 that lump sum is. We have to manage it, and we manage it 122 00:08:24,879 --> 00:08:28,759 through the planning process. We plan, plan, plan, and then we 123 00:08:28,879 --> 00:08:31,920 do the job at the end, which is the money management. We don't 124 00:08:31,959 --> 00:08:35,840 ship it off to other people and then let them go ahead and decide how 125 00:08:35,879 --> 00:08:39,360 to invest it. The biggest thing that I have found is people are coming 126 00:08:39,360 --> 00:08:43,720 in here and talking to me and my crew is what they like about us 127 00:08:45,799 --> 00:08:50,879 is that we're flexible that if for some reason they feel like the market's going 128 00:08:50,879 --> 00:08:52,799 down, we're still able to work with them. We're not going to sit 129 00:08:52,879 --> 00:08:56,720 there and say, okay, let's just go ahead and hold because it goes 130 00:08:56,759 --> 00:09:00,639 down and goes up. We have a plan. But what we do show 131 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,080 is, hey, we've mitigated risk. We have all this cash on the 132 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:07,720 sidelines, and this is what we're going to do. These are the levels 133 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:09,600 we're looking for. These are the stocks we're looking for, These are the 134 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:16,639 ets we're looking for. We reallocate, we redistribute. We come out of 135 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:18,960 stocks that are not good, we go into the stocks that are good. 136 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:24,360 We have a nice bond ladder position. We've been doing lots and lots and 137 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:28,759 lots of bonbladders. We're treasuries. We have a little kicker that we put 138 00:09:28,759 --> 00:09:31,919 at the end there because if rates come down, we want to participate in 139 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:37,600 that. So we'll go one, two, three, even maybe up to 140 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:41,279 five years of treasury bonds and then we'll put a little something in at the 141 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:46,399 end. So if interest rates go down, that can go up. It's 142 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:50,120 dropped almost forty fifty percent. It can go back up at some time if 143 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:54,120 rates come down. But what we're doing is hedging against rates coming down while 144 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,440 still making income and still making the things we want to do. In a 145 00:09:56,559 --> 00:10:03,360 very conservative way. These are strategies that our experience have told us. These 146 00:10:03,399 --> 00:10:05,960 are the way things can work. That doesn't mean everything we do works, 147 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:09,879 because I could tell you we know it doesn't. But what we do know 148 00:10:11,039 --> 00:10:13,360 is that we don't quit. We keep looking, We keep looking for opportunities, 149 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:18,960 and we keep moving forward, so as the markets keep rallying and the 150 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,480 Dow is the one. You remember, I said a few year weeks ago, 151 00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:26,320 stop buying into the SMP and stop buying into the DOO, because the 152 00:10:26,399 --> 00:10:30,200 Dow was lagging everything. And like, the Dow was up two percent this 153 00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:35,039 week, and the SMP was only up point seven Now that's that was actually 154 00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:39,840 down a half a percent, and the SMP five hundred equal weighted was up 155 00:10:39,879 --> 00:10:43,879 one point three percent. All right, So if there's a shift, you 156 00:10:43,919 --> 00:10:48,639 can see the shift. I also see the nervousness in the markets. And 157 00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:52,120 in any time, the markets can get hit for three to five percent, 158 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:56,399 very very quickly, because all of a sudden, the buyers will walk away, 159 00:10:56,759 --> 00:11:01,240 the sellers will come in, and computers will kick in with sell programs, 160 00:11:01,399 --> 00:11:05,200 and the next thing you know, we're down five hundred to a thousand 161 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:09,559 points and we're back down to you know, possibly forty three fifty or so 162 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:11,960 is if you if you think about it as forty three hundred. I think 163 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:20,279 there's some support in that area as we stop. Moving forward. Next week, 164 00:11:20,639 --> 00:11:26,360 the Fed's gonna raise rates again. Everybody knows they're gonna raise rates again. 165 00:11:26,440 --> 00:11:30,000 That's a good thing. Well, we don't know, is what he's 166 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:35,440 gonna say afterwards, because well, I'm a little confused, because why don't 167 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:39,120 we sit and wait to see what the actions that they've taken we'll do for 168 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:43,639 us. We see, we see the PPI and CPI numbers coming down. 169 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,240 Yeah, I know they're not where they are, but it's going to take 170 00:11:48,279 --> 00:11:52,279 some time. If they continue to raise interest rates, we can go off 171 00:11:52,279 --> 00:11:56,320 the cliff. I know out there now you're listening them to these news probably 172 00:11:56,399 --> 00:12:01,080 you're reading things, Oh, it's probably gonna be a off landing, and 173 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:03,960 the markets like the fact that they think it's gonna be everything's gonna be great. 174 00:12:05,799 --> 00:12:09,879 I don't know, they don't know. I don't think that's the case. 175 00:12:09,519 --> 00:12:16,120 The only reason they're saying that is because of jobs, that the unemployment 176 00:12:16,279 --> 00:12:20,440 is not going up, But unemployment is going up because we are not going 177 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:24,480 up because we do not have enough qualified people to take the jobs. So 178 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:28,559 whenever someone gets qualified, there's a job for them to take. They were 179 00:12:28,639 --> 00:12:35,639 they were concerned because of jobless numbers. Were surprised this week they were reduced. 180 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:41,080 Not as many people looking for jobs. That's because we have so many 181 00:12:41,159 --> 00:12:45,399 jobs but not enough qualified people. Why I scratched my head on that and 182 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:48,559 say, why don't we start getting people qualified instead of handing them checks and 183 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:52,360 money and promises and and get out of their school loans. If they went 184 00:12:52,399 --> 00:12:56,120 to college and they got a student loan, they and pass the stuff. 185 00:12:56,279 --> 00:13:01,480 So they have to have some type of intelligence if they're not in work, 186 00:13:01,559 --> 00:13:07,519 Stop paying them, stop giving them a break, start giving them the opportunity 187 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:09,600 to learn what these companies want. Get these you had, you know on 188 00:13:09,639 --> 00:13:15,720 Friday, they had all these corporations coming to talk about AI. Why don't 189 00:13:15,759 --> 00:13:18,879 they have a collaboration with them also about how to getting people back into the 190 00:13:18,919 --> 00:13:26,799 workforce that they need technologiy. These companies that constantly higher and then they lay 191 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:30,200 off, then they hire, then they lay off, and then they hire. 192 00:13:30,519 --> 00:13:35,519 Let's find a way that they can get start paying and helping get back. 193 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:39,279 But it all give them tax breaks. You know they all worry about. 194 00:13:39,279 --> 00:13:43,960 We're gonna go ahead and we're gonna tax tax the corporation. We're gonna 195 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:46,600 put this minimum tax on. We're gonna be the only one in the world 196 00:13:46,639 --> 00:13:50,240 that does it. So where they're gonna do, they're gonna stop going overseas 197 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:56,039 again like they did before. They're gonna avoid them, avoid taxes. You 198 00:13:56,080 --> 00:14:01,240 want to change and change the whole tax code. Change it. You hear 199 00:14:01,279 --> 00:14:05,159 me talking about flat tax all the time, every time that word comes out 200 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:09,919 of paying your fair share from Joseph Biden, I go, then do a 201 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:18,200 flat tax, you more on. It's that simple fair share ten percent across 202 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:22,240 the board, everyone pays. If you only make it three thirty grand, 203 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:26,240 you're paying three grand. If you make it a million, you're paying you're 204 00:14:26,279 --> 00:14:33,639 paying ten thousand, one hundred thousand, I mean one hundred thousand, Okay. 205 00:14:35,399 --> 00:14:39,440 In their mind, fair share means if you're making more, you got 206 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:46,879 to pay a higher percentage. To me. Fair share its percentages. It's 207 00:14:46,919 --> 00:14:52,559 not dollar amounts. So somebody doesn't pay taxes and other people are paying on 208 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:56,360 the average thirty thirty five percent. Then you add in the city and the 209 00:14:56,480 --> 00:15:01,519 local and the state taxes and they're upwards the fifth somewhat percent in these states. 210 00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,720 And what do they take them and do with the money. They talk 211 00:15:03,759 --> 00:15:11,200 about reparations, giving money to people, use the money and clean up the 212 00:15:11,279 --> 00:15:16,919 cities, help the homeless, get some place to live, a good homeless, 213 00:15:16,919 --> 00:15:20,000 a job. Immigration. I laugh at this. I laugh at this. 214 00:15:22,879 --> 00:15:31,639 The White House started being so happy because they've seen a reduction from year 215 00:15:31,679 --> 00:15:37,639 to year of immigrants coming in, reduce I don't know, eighty ninety thousand 216 00:15:37,639 --> 00:15:41,279 from last June to this June. It's still one hundred and forty four thousand 217 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:46,240 people. I think that came in according to their records, and that's what 218 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:58,320 they know about whether in two twenty it was like, who knows thirty thousand, 219 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:04,320 I think. But nobody will fix that system because it's too political. 220 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:08,240 They want to use it as a divide between everybody. But when you speak 221 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:14,960 to people not only here but around the world, everybody agrees legal immigration is 222 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:17,919 fine. Let's figure out how we can do it. Obviously, the same 223 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:21,600 immigration that we've used for the last fifty years is not good when you have 224 00:16:21,679 --> 00:16:25,440 millions of people coming across the border. When they used to come on ships 225 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:30,639 into Ellis Island. You might have had a few hundred, big difference between 226 00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:38,039 millions and hundreds, but we had the same archaic system. Don't put the 227 00:16:38,159 --> 00:16:42,679 money into irs agents trying to go ahead and catch people. Change the tax 228 00:16:42,759 --> 00:16:49,639 laws. Make it simple. Use that money to work on the border. 229 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:57,320 Hire these people to assimilate the people coming across the border, get them educated, 230 00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:03,720 get them speaking English. The corporations help the schooling these children and and 231 00:17:03,839 --> 00:17:08,400 adults in areas that they can go get jobs, so they can pay taxes, 232 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:14,359 so they can go ahead and pay for healthcare. We are paying everything. 233 00:17:18,279 --> 00:17:22,599 Can you imagine going to another country and getting healthcare, food, lodging, 234 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:30,839 everything for free, education for your kids free. Because if we don't, 235 00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:38,240 we're not being humanity. But yep, you look around our country, 236 00:17:38,279 --> 00:17:44,599 you look around our cities. You see homeless everywhere you see you see you 237 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:49,039 see gangs shooting each other. You see people punching people all over New York 238 00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:52,799 subways killing And who do they go after in the subways. They go after 239 00:17:52,839 --> 00:17:59,519 the marine who is helping everybody out on the subway, not the crazy guy 240 00:17:59,759 --> 00:18:03,720 that is in jail for whatever. You know, I had a rest and 241 00:18:03,839 --> 00:18:07,599 jail and hurt people just a week before. Na, Nah, not him. 242 00:18:08,279 --> 00:18:11,920 Yes. Is it a shame he died without getting help? Yeah, 243 00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:15,240 blame yourself for not getting help. I haven't blamed the city for not getting 244 00:18:15,279 --> 00:18:18,279 help for him. You can't go to courts and be that crazy and not 245 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:23,119 think and keep releasing him and I think something's gonna happen. But if you 246 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:26,559 think about it, was it better that something happened to him or to the 247 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:33,559 mother and children that he kept going after. There's so much messed up stuff 248 00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:37,400 in our country and the world right now, but the people understanding not not 249 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:42,559 doing anything because the government's refuse to look at things from a different advantage. 250 00:18:42,759 --> 00:18:45,400 All they want to do in this government right now is looking at the stuff 251 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:56,880 from climate control, climate control, greenness, green that unions. I'm appalled 252 00:18:57,279 --> 00:19:03,359 that he that our president. I'm the best president since ever about unions. 253 00:19:03,799 --> 00:19:14,920 I love unions. Unions have their place, but unions are not what they 254 00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,960 used to be in the twenties, thirties, forties and fifties when they were 255 00:19:18,039 --> 00:19:25,839 protecting them from bad environments, wages, all that stuff. Very few people 256 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:33,839 get help with wages with unions. The Teachers Union has another agenda and when 257 00:19:33,839 --> 00:19:37,559 they go out. Who benefits. Parents don't benefit, the kids don't benefit, 258 00:19:38,319 --> 00:19:44,519 the teachers don't benefit, the schools don't benefit, the unions benefit. 259 00:19:44,559 --> 00:19:47,599 And then they have to compromise and maybe they get a little bit more pay. 260 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:51,680 Do I think teachers should get more pay, Absolutely, but the should 261 00:19:51,759 --> 00:19:59,039 teachers be treated just like every other employee on merit. You get based on 262 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:06,759 merit. Absolutely. We were a merit based society. We earned what we 263 00:20:06,839 --> 00:20:10,359 have to do, and it's starting to change back to that. It's a 264 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:18,960 fight Supreme Court. We're in control the Supreme Court now and it is driving 265 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:22,359 the liberals crazy. They don't even want to listen to the law. When 266 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:26,839 they come down with decisions, they don't care they go against it. Those 267 00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,880 judges and the people that go against the law need to be arrested themselves. 268 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:41,720 We have a two tier system here and it's always against those on the right. 269 00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:45,440 If somebody on the right decided that they weren't going to abide by the 270 00:20:45,519 --> 00:20:52,160 law, they would get crucified. A judge would be crucified. The Supreme 271 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:57,359 Court. For how many years they controlled it on the left and we just 272 00:20:57,519 --> 00:21:00,680 accepted it. This is the law. We don't like it. But we're 273 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:07,640 gonna deal with it the best we can. They want to abolish the Supreme 274 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:11,200 Court because they don't get their way. That reminds me of growing up with 275 00:21:11,319 --> 00:21:17,119 the little wheenies that always got upset when they didn't win, and they're gonna 276 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:21,720 take that ball and go home. Well, you know what, we don't 277 00:21:21,799 --> 00:21:25,400 let him take that ball. We want to got our own balls. We 278 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:29,839 didn't need them, and we moved on. And then they were sitting on 279 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:34,240 the sidelines watching us play and watching us have fun. And when they came 280 00:21:34,279 --> 00:21:40,000 and said today, can I come and play? We said no, until 281 00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:44,039 you realize that taking your ball and going home isn't gonna work. We don't 282 00:21:44,039 --> 00:21:48,680 want you with us. And that's back when the kids actually played outside and 283 00:21:48,839 --> 00:21:52,319 went down to the park and went down to the ball field and did things 284 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:57,200 that way. You did not MoMA and Daddy hovering over trying to tell everybody 285 00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:02,440 what to do. You grew up, You grew up in society. You 286 00:22:02,839 --> 00:22:06,599 suffered when when you when you did things that other people didn't want, and 287 00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:08,880 you get and you benefited when you were the ones that were able to lead 288 00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,839 and and and get people to do the things you wanted. To do. 289 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,079 It's life, baby, It's life, and that's what it's all about. 290 00:22:15,799 --> 00:22:22,359 And right now, I look at what's going on politically with the Biden situation, 291 00:22:22,799 --> 00:22:26,440 and if we if you don't see that, then you are blind to 292 00:22:26,799 --> 00:22:32,160 justice. If you know, if Trump is wrong and he's doing all these 293 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,680 things, and they can find legal things, which half of the stuff is 294 00:22:34,759 --> 00:22:41,519 bull right, then why isn't the Biden's getting the same treatment. How the 295 00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:48,880 hell did they get seventeen million dollars? Fifteen million dollars? And now it's 296 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:55,599 Romania, and it's Ukraine, and and and it's Russia, and it's China. 297 00:22:55,920 --> 00:23:00,559 You know what it reminds me of when people lie, when people are 298 00:23:00,599 --> 00:23:03,720 wrong, what do they do? They accuse you of what they did. 299 00:23:04,039 --> 00:23:08,519 And the reason they accuse you of what they did is because they know what 300 00:23:08,599 --> 00:23:14,279 they did and they can accuse you of it because they know how it works. 301 00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:19,359 They've already been able to see how you get the money. So let's 302 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,880 just say Trump did it, trumps him with China, trumps him with Russia. 303 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:29,160 Look at these actions, and the whole time, and the whole time 304 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:34,279 it's been the Bidens doing it. Trump wasn't wrong with Ukraine, going ahead 305 00:23:34,319 --> 00:23:38,599 and talking about bears and all this other stuff. Doesn't common sense come in? 306 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:45,240 What the hell did the Bidens do to get money? He's been a 307 00:23:45,279 --> 00:23:52,160 politician forever. What does he learned in the world other than corruption and greed 308 00:23:52,319 --> 00:23:56,599 and power? How could he give or humpt Biden give any information. The 309 00:23:56,599 --> 00:24:00,319 guy's the biggest loser in the world. Don't even care about his own child. 310 00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,279 I don't care how that child came into the world. I don't care 311 00:24:03,279 --> 00:24:08,319 if you a sec club, doing drugs, doing everything. When you do 312 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:12,279 a test to see if that child jews and the jaws and you go ahead 313 00:24:12,319 --> 00:24:17,319 and act like it's not even yours. I gotta I don't care how much 314 00:24:17,319 --> 00:24:21,119 the mother might be well. The problems you have with the family that child 315 00:24:21,519 --> 00:24:23,960 is hunt the Biden's and no matter how it got there, you deal with 316 00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:26,079 it, and you deal with the right way. We'll be right back. 317 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:29,759 We got a full show to you. This is the money mounted show. 318 00:24:29,799 --> 00:24:38,279 Thank you for listening. Welcome back, everybody. This is Dean Greenberg. 319 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,759 This is the money amount of show. We have Dave and Dylan and Todd 320 00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:45,119 all here today, and I gotta tell you this has been a busy, 321 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:52,319 busy, busy week, and I'm happy that what we're doing and is resonating 322 00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:59,279 with people, you know, and it's people enjoying to hear the mitigating risk 323 00:24:59,319 --> 00:25:03,400 part. They're enjoying hearing the financial planning point. And then when they come 324 00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:07,799 in and actually get it done, they realize how simple it really has been 325 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,720 because we make it simple at the end, because it's not really simple, 326 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:15,960 and they can see the whole process and how it can help them exactly. 327 00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,039 I mean, through the years, it's hard to actually imagine or plot out 328 00:25:18,079 --> 00:25:22,000 what's really going to happen, but the financial plan and our proposal, you're 329 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:25,720 actually able to see it all on paper, really see a roadmap, a 330 00:25:25,799 --> 00:25:27,920 timeline of sorts, and so that gives a lot of people peace of mind 331 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:32,440 through the years, knowing that they have a plan, they have being secured 332 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,720 in different vehicles. It's everything's based on your risk tolerance, so you don't 333 00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,119 have to worry about risk from that standpoint. It's a very good tool to 334 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:44,240 have in summertime, especially with temperatures in one hundred and twelve range pretty quiet 335 00:25:44,279 --> 00:25:47,920 around here, but not this year. You guys have been just busy as 336 00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:51,359 can be and like Dean said, is it's resonating. We had a client 337 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:53,920 come in and they were they were saying, you know, we heard summer's 338 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,839 the best time to come in because you're slower, and it is the best 339 00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:02,240 time, and we're not as slow we normally are because of that, because 340 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,559 we do want to help as many people as we can during this time where 341 00:26:04,559 --> 00:26:07,799 a lot of people are freed up from a lot of the responsibilities that will 342 00:26:07,839 --> 00:26:11,880 come in a couple of months right with the holidays. We know it's it's 343 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:15,599 very hard to really sit down and give the devotion in time that's needed on 344 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:22,240 this financial plan because it really is important to understand your goals, your objectives 345 00:26:22,759 --> 00:26:25,680 for yourself, for your life. Right, everyone's going to be different, 346 00:26:25,759 --> 00:26:29,279 and if you're not in the right time and place in your own mindset, 347 00:26:29,319 --> 00:26:32,519 if you're too stressed worried about other things, then the financial plan is really 348 00:26:32,519 --> 00:26:34,559 not going to resemble who you are and what you really value. What's good 349 00:26:34,599 --> 00:26:37,680 about it, It lines it all up. Okay, you start off for 350 00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:41,640 the risk tolerance, then you can get the whole picture, and we make 351 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:44,119 sure that the protect it too. I mean, you got to make sure 352 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,880 they have their insurance If they need guaranteed income, we get them that guaranteed 353 00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:51,599 income all the things. If they have tax problems, we deal with the 354 00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:53,960 tax problems. Who we decide when they should take Social Security and not take 355 00:26:55,039 --> 00:26:57,440 so, so the optim in time for them Medicare. Even though these are 356 00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:03,640 not all the things we know about. The help federal employees totally have a 357 00:27:03,759 --> 00:27:07,519 different one. You guys have become pretty damn good and understanding. You've been 358 00:27:07,519 --> 00:27:11,839 doing it for years now of helping them through. There we time and stuff 359 00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:15,680 and being able to set them up. And one of the things we found 360 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,119 is their life insurance part. As they get closer, it's nice, but 361 00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:22,640 once they switch over to not working, the premiums go through the ceiling and 362 00:27:22,319 --> 00:27:26,480 most of them don't even realize. Yeah, and that's Fegley is what he's 363 00:27:26,519 --> 00:27:30,200 talking about, is that once you retire, that premium just sometimes it even 364 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:33,200 triples. And a lot of the time the Feds that we work with, 365 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:34,720 when they do retire, they don't even need the life insurance anymore. They 366 00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,960 had it for different reasons while they were working, and then they find out 367 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:41,000 that that's going to triple, they just can get rid of it. Yeah, 368 00:27:41,039 --> 00:27:45,519 maybe find a term policy. That's been popular too if they do want 369 00:27:45,559 --> 00:27:49,559 any kind of life insurance just in case, But very rarely does a federal 370 00:27:49,559 --> 00:27:53,240 employee that we work with keep Fegley because of that premium increase, And people 371 00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:57,480 don't understand that the when you're with an employer, you have a lot cheaper 372 00:27:57,519 --> 00:28:02,559 life insurance rates. They're playing abortion of it, right. But also the 373 00:28:02,839 --> 00:28:07,400 insurance company looks at a group of people as a better insured risk from their 374 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:11,319 standpoint than just one individual person. Right. They can share the risk amount 375 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:14,559 a group of people instead of just one person, so you get a better 376 00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,720 rate because of that. When you're on your own, you finally retire and 377 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:21,759 you have That's why Fedley jumps up so much. Also, with federal employees, 378 00:28:21,759 --> 00:28:25,559 you have FHB, which helps with the Medicare side of things as well. 379 00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:30,119 So understanding all those benefits is really important. And the federal employee benefits 380 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:33,359 are one of the best packages I've ever seen. I mean a lot of 381 00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:36,559 those federal employees when they come in we do the financial plan, they really 382 00:28:36,559 --> 00:28:40,960 are set well. They're the ones with the pensions that a lot of private 383 00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:42,799 companies are going away from, but the Feds are still not going away from 384 00:28:42,839 --> 00:28:47,039 it. They're getting their pensions, and the pensions are guaranteed in sense as 385 00:28:47,079 --> 00:28:48,839 long as the government's still going to pay them, and they love them, 386 00:28:48,839 --> 00:28:52,480 and that's how they get through retirement and it helps a lot. We've see 387 00:28:52,519 --> 00:28:56,839 a lot of Feds that have worked for the federal government for twenty thirty forty 388 00:28:56,920 --> 00:29:00,960 years. They're set in retirement from their pensions. Even need to touch their 389 00:29:00,039 --> 00:29:03,480 retirement accounts a lot of the time. So you don't necessarily go to work 390 00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:06,599 for the government to get rich, but they do take care of you to 391 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,079 the grave. They do take care of you. And so understanding how the 392 00:29:08,119 --> 00:29:14,440 pension works with the social security you know, there's difference with furs and csrs. 393 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:18,880 There's a lot of intricacies that we've been able to really put ourselves into 394 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:22,480 the depths of knowledge on and that's where we're here to help. So if 395 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:26,279 you're a federal employee and you want some help understanding your benefits, how to 396 00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:27,759 put it into financial plan, how it's going to look throughout the years, 397 00:29:29,039 --> 00:29:30,920 give us a call. You know, I don't know if you talk about 398 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:37,599 the Dow rally during your monologue that the Dow Jones Industrial average has been lagging 399 00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:41,839 behind the other industries. Has been pretty much of a NAZDAC led rally. 400 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:47,920 And this beast two weeks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the thirty stock 401 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:52,559 Dow Industrial Average has been up every single day, Yeah, for ten consecutive 402 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,200 days now, Yes, on Friday it was up two points. Okay, 403 00:29:56,440 --> 00:30:00,359 it still counts, right, So ten consecutive days higher for the and that's 404 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:04,119 why last week the Dow was up two point one percent while the NASDAC was 405 00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:07,559 down. And that's like the only the first time that they've done ten in 406 00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:11,279 a row since like twenty seventeen or seventeen. Yeah, sixty six years since 407 00:30:11,319 --> 00:30:15,880 it's been ten up days in a row. And bank Ernie's kicked it off 408 00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:18,599 earlier in the week. They were better than expected, with the exception of 409 00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:22,000 Goldman Sachs. But in a world where all news is good news, even 410 00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:26,119 Goldman Sachs rally yeah on disappointing results, but that's what ignited the rally. 411 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:33,519 The bank sector coming into last week was unchanged on the year in this gigantic 412 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:38,079 rally, which tells you that the rally has been very narrow. It's been 413 00:30:38,119 --> 00:30:42,200 those magnificent seven stocks and It's going to be real interesting to see what happens 414 00:30:42,279 --> 00:30:47,880 next week. Late last week, Thursday and Friday, we saw a significant 415 00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:53,680 selling in the Magnificent seven because Monday morning, before the open, the NAZDAC 416 00:30:53,839 --> 00:30:59,680 is going to rebalance that index, the NASDAC one hundred for the first time, 417 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,240 excuse me, for the third time in history. It has gotten so 418 00:31:03,359 --> 00:31:07,359 out of whack with those seven stocks just dominating, being more than fifty percent 419 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:12,039 of the index, that they're gonna gonna adjust it, and that obviously that's 420 00:31:12,079 --> 00:31:17,359 going to mean cutting back on those seven stocks. And if you're trying to 421 00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:22,359 mimic the Nasdaq one hundred, you're going to have to sell a lot of 422 00:31:22,359 --> 00:31:25,279 those seven stocks. Yeah, and they were saying that Microsoft in Nvidia, 423 00:31:25,519 --> 00:31:26,920 they think you're going to be the ones that could hit it hit the hardest 424 00:31:27,039 --> 00:31:30,440 because they've been the ones that have run up the most, have been part 425 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,440 of the reason that we're seeing this rally. All Right, We just see 426 00:31:33,839 --> 00:31:38,960 Nvidio, which you could you could argue it's probably the strongest company to invest 427 00:31:40,039 --> 00:31:44,519 in because they've got the most desirable product, they have a limited supply, 428 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,519 they have unlimited demand. It just looks like a company that is a spaceship 429 00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:53,599 drop ten percent on Thursday and Friday, and we'll see what happens. Maybe 430 00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:59,440 that was Maybe that was the rebalancing that took place. Maybe not. It's 431 00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:01,319 going to be very interesting because it's it's unusual, Like I say, only 432 00:32:01,359 --> 00:32:06,880 the third time in history. The first time was in nineteen ninety nine when 433 00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,680 the tech bubble just burst, and is we're not predicting that, but it 434 00:32:10,799 --> 00:32:14,880 couldn't. You could see some significant selling. And if you were to get 435 00:32:15,799 --> 00:32:20,240 in video down another ten percent down under four hundred, that starts to look 436 00:32:20,279 --> 00:32:24,279 really attractive. It doesn't have a sky high PEPs around fifty right now, 437 00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:28,799 which for a company growing as fast as video is pretty modest. Well, 438 00:32:28,799 --> 00:32:31,640 the thing is, too, my dimensions in his monologue is algorithms are going 439 00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:35,559 to start selling to the programs. Yeah, so if it hits four hundred, 440 00:32:35,559 --> 00:32:37,640 maybe they have a sell stop loss in there right at four hundred, 441 00:32:37,759 --> 00:32:40,440 So then it could drop lower and lower and the programs kick in at that 442 00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:44,400 point. And one of the things I've learned from doing this for forty years 443 00:32:44,519 --> 00:32:49,079 is when you expect chaos, you get nothing. So Monday may be a 444 00:32:49,079 --> 00:32:52,640 big yawn. Yeah, but it's going to be unusual. Yeah, it's 445 00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:54,480 a good point of Dollan just brought up, though, And I don't think 446 00:32:54,519 --> 00:33:00,519 a lot of people really understand what what he means by algorithms, because a 447 00:33:00,519 --> 00:33:06,000 lot of traders out there are just based off fundamental rules that are built into 448 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,519 an algorithm, and then they'll buy and sell based on just thresholds. So 449 00:33:08,559 --> 00:33:12,960 if it hits a certain number, or if it rolls over it's fifty day 450 00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:19,079 moving average, like there's certain indicators where no matter what the fundamental analysis says 451 00:33:19,119 --> 00:33:22,599 about the stock, it will just sell or buy based on those indicators coming 452 00:33:22,599 --> 00:33:25,359 about. So, I mean, I'm sure you know all about the Black 453 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:29,039 Monday. It's kind of that's what they put the blame on, was all 454 00:33:29,039 --> 00:33:32,039 those algorithms just hitting threshold after threshold and just hitting cell sales sells. And 455 00:33:32,119 --> 00:33:36,079 that was nineteen eighty seven, and it was relatively new. There weren't any 456 00:33:36,119 --> 00:33:39,519 controls on it like there are now. So away it went, yeah, 457 00:33:39,559 --> 00:33:45,839 and then the Tuesday morning the market struggled to open. I remember that thinking 458 00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,240 this might be the end. It might be the end of my career. 459 00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:52,000 Five years in, you know, this might be the end of the stock 460 00:33:52,039 --> 00:33:54,680 market as we know it, and even though there are controls now, it 461 00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:59,880 does still help a lot on the momentum side of things both ways. Yeah, 462 00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:02,240 and you're right, computers do most of the trading up and down, 463 00:34:02,759 --> 00:34:07,039 and that's why we've seen this hurry to get on board of the Magnificent seven 464 00:34:07,079 --> 00:34:09,679 because you don't want to miss it. I also heard that the NAZAC one 465 00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:15,320 hundred shouldn't have too much impacts on its pricing, but it could impact the 466 00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:19,320 SMP a lot because of the Magnificent seven being the ones that are sold, 467 00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:22,119 those are the ones that are the bigger weights in the SMP five hundred, 468 00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,480 whereas the NAZDAC one hundred, those seven that are being sold, they're just 469 00:34:24,519 --> 00:34:28,280 getting bought back on the smaller shot. And I don't understand it because the 470 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:32,159 SMP five hundred is not being rebounced. No ZAC one hundred is being rebuild, 471 00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:36,039 so it shouldn't have any impact on the smp F one hundred. Town 472 00:34:36,079 --> 00:34:39,039 I heard the same thing on Friday. That doesn't make any sense no to 473 00:34:39,119 --> 00:34:43,880 me. I thought about it. Whereas if the Magnificence seven gets sold off 474 00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,400 and that's those are the biggest waiting in the SMP as well those bolds, 475 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,239 So it could impact the SMP that way, I get it, okay, 476 00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,199 but it seems like it would have a more significant impact on the NASTAC one 477 00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:57,239 hundred A time will tell Monday morning before the open, So we're gonna know 478 00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:00,880 right away Monday morning when we come in and look at the future, we're 479 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:04,239 gonna know what's going on. And like I said, have in forty years, 480 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,559 whether it's Y two K or whatever, when there's going to be chaos, 481 00:35:07,599 --> 00:35:12,320 oft times there's not us. It is fascinating to see the doos so 482 00:35:13,119 --> 00:35:17,199 divergent from the others. Yeah, and interestingly, the dividend ETFs really haven't 483 00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:22,119 responded. They're they're flat up one or two percent on the year, So 484 00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:27,280 people are still not interested in the high dividend stocks. They're they're wanting to 485 00:35:27,639 --> 00:35:31,920 play the go go game. And the economics, we saw that retail sales 486 00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:35,719 were up two tenths of ever percent in June, which was much less than 487 00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:40,519 expected, and it's consistent with a slowing economy and signs of tighter credit. 488 00:35:40,679 --> 00:35:45,599 Is what was being mentioned Dean on that home builders they had the sentiment was 489 00:35:46,119 --> 00:35:51,199 up for what a ninth or seventh straight month. Things were good there. 490 00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:53,880 All right, we'll be right back. We all appreciate you listening. We'll 491 00:35:53,920 --> 00:36:05,360 speaking well, we'll be right back. Say it's all. Welcome back, 492 00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:08,480 everybody. This is Dean Greenberg. This is the Money Matter Show. We 493 00:36:08,559 --> 00:36:13,719 appreciate your listening. Remember, if you miss some you want more, you 494 00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,920 miss a week, it's just go to a website. Okay. If you 495 00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:20,960 go to a website and you go to where YouTube is, we have all 496 00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:23,440 our shows on there. We have our TV shows, we have and we 497 00:36:23,519 --> 00:36:28,519 have all our radio show podcasts. Well, you just go to Money Matters 498 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:31,440 with Dean Greenberg for the podcast, and you'll also get it. We put 499 00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:36,320 that up on Monday afternoon, right, yep, um and um you get 500 00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:39,000 it all. Yeah, Actually come to Sunday about noon. Yeah, Sunday. 501 00:36:39,599 --> 00:36:43,920 I won't count on that. But at the end of the day, 502 00:36:44,039 --> 00:36:45,119 if you wanted to go back and say, hey, what was he saying 503 00:36:45,159 --> 00:36:47,920 a month ago, you know, or two months ago, you can go 504 00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,280 do it. We're not always right, I'll tell you that right now, 505 00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:53,679 but we've been pretty damn good. You're on a business where you're always right. 506 00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:58,639 This isn't it? Yeah, it did not end. We did the 507 00:36:58,639 --> 00:37:01,039 best we can every day with the information we have on that day. Well 508 00:37:01,159 --> 00:37:05,599 and okay, so I switching subjects. As you know, we also have 509 00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:10,960 an estate planner and attorney in our office. And Jonathan, it's always good 510 00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:15,039 to see you. Always a pleasure. Welcome back. Love the office. 511 00:37:15,159 --> 00:37:17,559 Yeah, very fit and well with us by the way, Oh it's nice. 512 00:37:17,639 --> 00:37:22,559 Ye. People have been loving the been loving Jonathan being here. There 513 00:37:22,639 --> 00:37:27,199 was one one yesterday I had a client command doing totally unrelated to Jonathan, 514 00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:30,480 and before I'm done, she's sitting to Jonathan's office. Yeah, we had 515 00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:31,840 a conversation. She's had a little bit of an issue. So we're trying 516 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:36,159 to get that squared away as cheap as possible. And see how that's how 517 00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:37,079 it works. They told you from the beginning, that's how it works. 518 00:37:37,079 --> 00:37:39,320 They come here, you're here, it's easy to bring in. You have 519 00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:43,760 a conversation, and and they if you help them, they help them, 520 00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,559 and they remember absolutely and if they and if they need stuff done, then 521 00:37:46,639 --> 00:37:50,199 remember to come back to and vice versa. I have clients come in and 522 00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,599 a lot of what I do is going to require some money management, and 523 00:37:52,639 --> 00:37:54,760 they can you know, they got someone right around. A long time client 524 00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:58,719 told me she went to a seminar last week because a friend of hers wanted 525 00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:01,239 her to go with her, and it was somebody trying to do trust. 526 00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:05,559 She doesn't have a trust. We had to talking about wales and trust and 527 00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:07,880 so you'll be seeing her soon, hopefully. You know. I love to 528 00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:12,719 help him out. And the best part is he has the same philosophy. 529 00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:16,719 We do get a value for your money, all right. We're not about 530 00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:22,719 overcharging or thinking we're better than everybody else. Keep the fees reasonable, keep 531 00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,440 him lower it reasonable. And people then walk away and say, Okay, 532 00:38:25,679 --> 00:38:30,000 I'm happy, And it's it's funny you say that because the lady we're just 533 00:38:30,039 --> 00:38:34,079 talking about, she said she had her brother in law prepare the trust. 534 00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:37,599 Yes, and he gave her a family discount in another state and another state 535 00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,559 more for the trust than you would. I told her, I'll give her 536 00:38:40,559 --> 00:38:44,639 the family discount. Happy to do it. Yeah, yeah, right, 537 00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,519 your family discount. But if you want to play my rights, you're gonna 538 00:38:47,559 --> 00:38:52,599 save money. That was unusual. Family discount was more than what you charge. 539 00:38:52,639 --> 00:38:55,199 I couldn't believe he charged her what he did. But you know there's 540 00:38:55,199 --> 00:38:59,480 some attorneys that'll do that, all right. So what do we want to 541 00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:00,920 talk about? You always have good stuff for us, all right. Well 542 00:39:01,039 --> 00:39:05,320 let's talk about trustees, all right. So you know, trustees I think 543 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,760 go hand in hand with you guys, And that's something that you know, 544 00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:09,599 one of the reasons why I coordinated with you with uh, you know, 545 00:39:09,639 --> 00:39:14,559 the Greenberg Financials, because you know, picking a trustee of a trust is 546 00:39:14,599 --> 00:39:16,920 important. So it could be a family member, it could be uh, 547 00:39:17,159 --> 00:39:21,679 you know, your CPA, it could be anybody who you want to be 548 00:39:21,679 --> 00:39:23,679 because what they're going to be doing is managing the assets for the for the 549 00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:29,079 beneficiaries. And sometimes you can just pick your sister who doesn't know anything about 550 00:39:29,119 --> 00:39:32,239 finance, but her job is to hold those assets for an indefinite time, 551 00:39:32,639 --> 00:39:37,519 indefinite time for the benefit of the beneficiaries. And sometimes I tell them, 552 00:39:37,599 --> 00:39:39,679 just find a good financial planner, give them the money. You know. 553 00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:43,920 Let's say there's a house in there and you have kids that are six years 554 00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:46,559 old and they're not going to be able to take until they're twenty five. 555 00:39:46,639 --> 00:39:51,760 We'll sell the house, take that kit those proceeds and invest it and let 556 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,360 it grow and let it grow exponentially and find a good financial planner. And 557 00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:57,760 that's why, you know, one of the reasons why I do want to, 558 00:39:58,119 --> 00:40:00,119 you know, work with you guys, because um, I think that 559 00:40:00,159 --> 00:40:06,760 you guys are a great resource if somebody in that under that circumstance, UH 560 00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:09,320 needs a good financial plan or at least somebody to talk to and point them 561 00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:13,960 in the right direction. So you know, when you pick a trustee, 562 00:40:14,199 --> 00:40:16,239 you don't necessarily have to, you know, pick the CPA. You don't 563 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:19,679 have to pick the smartest personal world. You just need to pick somebody that 564 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:22,960 knows enough to go find a financial planner. Or if they do want to 565 00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:25,280 run out that house, they want to get a rental real estate, UH, 566 00:40:25,400 --> 00:40:30,039 they can define a property manager to manage the property for the benefit of 567 00:40:30,079 --> 00:40:32,800 the beneficiaries. I was talking to go to the client Friday afternoon, and 568 00:40:35,119 --> 00:40:38,840 he had been made by his father. He had been made trustee of his 569 00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:47,519 younger sister's estate her assets because the father knew that that he's honest and he's 570 00:40:47,559 --> 00:40:52,119 competent, you know, the two two things that are pretty important when you're 571 00:40:52,119 --> 00:40:54,800 picking a trustee. And that's why he's trustee of the of the of her 572 00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:59,960 state. Because the father knew that he could trust him and that he would 573 00:41:00,119 --> 00:41:02,800 be fair with her. And he's intelligent, knows what he's doing, and 574 00:41:04,159 --> 00:41:07,480 sometimes I don't even look at his fair competent. And somebody is going to 575 00:41:07,559 --> 00:41:10,719 do is going to follow the rules, right because that document that we prepare 576 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:15,000 are the rules. So probably the most importantesty is the biggest part. You 577 00:41:15,039 --> 00:41:19,159 know, you make a good point. You don't have to be to know 578 00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:22,639 the financial business. You need to know somebody who does know the financial But 579 00:41:22,679 --> 00:41:24,920 I always say, well, if you woke up in the morning and then 580 00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:29,400 your tooth was killing you, your first stop wouldn't be the library, right 581 00:41:29,639 --> 00:41:34,199 right, absolutely. And trustees their job, they're they're held to an ethical 582 00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:37,400 standard where they just need to prudently invest the assets for the benefit of the 583 00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:42,119 beneficiaries. And that's really, really, really important. So if I do 584 00:41:42,199 --> 00:41:45,280 have trustees that come in and they ask me, you know, you know, 585 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:47,239 what should I do with these assets, I'll say, well, what 586 00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:51,280 are the goals, what what's the what's the time frame and distributions? Maybe 587 00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:52,599 it is a good idea you do speak with a financial plan or take that 588 00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:57,559 cash and let it grow for their benefit, because I, you know, 589 00:41:57,599 --> 00:42:00,440 I kind of spit ball jokingly, but I called it the rules seventy two. 590 00:42:00,519 --> 00:42:04,960 Right, if you put in a money into a ten ten percent interest 591 00:42:05,079 --> 00:42:07,480 bearing account, isn't supposed to double every seven point two years? Is at 592 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:10,920 the rule? Or yeah, that's that's actually the simple rule. It's actually 593 00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:16,679 sixty nine point nine is an easier the rule of seventy two, which is 594 00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:21,119 and this is interesting because most a lot of people don't know this. Any 595 00:42:21,199 --> 00:42:23,639 rate of return to your getting. If you divide that rate of return into 596 00:42:23,679 --> 00:42:27,639 seventy two, that's how long it'll take for it to double. There you 597 00:42:27,679 --> 00:42:30,719 go roughly. And I tell people that in their ears perk up. They 598 00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:31,920 said, okay, you know, because a lot of clients I'll have, 599 00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:37,760 you know, I get their finances and they'll have one hundred thousand sitting in 600 00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:40,159 a savings account and it's just collecting dust at point zeros or one percent. 601 00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:43,719 Why don't you take half of it and invest it? You know, find 602 00:42:44,079 --> 00:42:46,280 find somebody that you trust to find somebody that you know that has this has 603 00:42:47,000 --> 00:42:51,559 your goals at the best interest in mind, and you know, let them 604 00:42:51,559 --> 00:42:53,159 grow that money if it's just going to sit there. Yeah, especially nowadays 605 00:42:53,159 --> 00:42:55,599 with the Treasury is paying such a good interest rates. We've been doing a 606 00:42:55,599 --> 00:42:59,320 lot, a lot with the treasury ladder with people that's just have a lot 607 00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:00,639 of money in the eavings account they don't know what to do with they're kind 608 00:43:00,639 --> 00:43:04,960 of tired of just seeing it get point zero, zero one, maybe point 609 00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:07,519 one percent of return. We talk to them and they end up doing a 610 00:43:07,519 --> 00:43:09,639 treasury ladder and give four and a half five percent. There you go, 611 00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:14,280 that's that's that's huge. You know, it's not what it used to be 612 00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:16,320 back in the eighties when he used to get a couple percentage points. Now 613 00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:20,320 it's four years ago too, is it four years A couple of years ago, 614 00:43:20,400 --> 00:43:22,559 I mean for zero, Yeah, when the race for zero in the 615 00:43:22,559 --> 00:43:24,440 Fed. But once the Fed started raising the races, when the treasury started 616 00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:28,360 going up, and they went up taking full advantage of it right now, 617 00:43:28,519 --> 00:43:31,760 and of course the long term bonds that dropped in value by thirty five percent 618 00:43:32,119 --> 00:43:37,199 during the last twelve months. If you had your fixed income portion of your 619 00:43:37,199 --> 00:43:40,960 portfolio and long term bonds, which most people did, especially if you're in 620 00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:45,760 a four one down twenty percent and on the stocks and you're down thirty five 621 00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:49,760 percent on your safe money so that's a rough year. Yeah, twenty two 622 00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:52,400 was a very rough year for a lot of people, and most of the 623 00:43:52,599 --> 00:43:57,400 damage was done in the long term bond market. And I always look at 624 00:43:57,400 --> 00:43:59,960 liquidity. What is a liquidity and something like that. So let's say they 625 00:44:00,039 --> 00:44:02,679 do take fifty thousand, then they need it, right, completely liquid with 626 00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:06,760 a treasury, if you do a treasury ladder, it's completely liquid. We 627 00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:09,480 can sell that day. The only thing is if race are still going up, 628 00:44:09,559 --> 00:44:13,639 your principle might be down. Like if you buy fifty thousand dollars worth 629 00:44:13,679 --> 00:44:15,760 of treasuries that day, if the race went up, they could be down 630 00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:19,119 to forty five thousand dollars. So if you need it that day, you 631 00:44:19,199 --> 00:44:21,519 might get less. But if you hold it to maturity, you get the 632 00:44:21,559 --> 00:44:24,119 fifty thousand dollars plus the interest back. There you go. Because they're a 633 00:44:24,119 --> 00:44:28,840 short term and because they're treasuries, and that's right. Yeah, well, 634 00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:31,920 and that's why also that's a big down. I'm just using even numbers, 635 00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:36,599 but that also that's also why with the savings, we don't suggest put all 636 00:44:36,639 --> 00:44:38,199 of your savings into it. If you have two hundred grand and savings, 637 00:44:38,440 --> 00:44:42,760 take one hundred and fifty thousands to still have fifty thousands completely liquid, so 638 00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:45,119 this does go to maturity. We also ladder them one year, two year, 639 00:44:45,199 --> 00:44:49,800 three year, so that way after the one after one year, I 640 00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:52,679 mean you as you get closer, I mean, if you know you need 641 00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:54,599 money within the year, you shouldn't invest it. But if you're not thinking 642 00:44:54,639 --> 00:44:58,159 that, but saying nine months you need it, that one year one is 643 00:44:58,599 --> 00:45:02,599 going to be either high a lower BikeE fraction right right, yeah, exactly 644 00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:08,960 exactly. The treasure ladders have been really helpful and very desirable to people. 645 00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:12,719 They love it. I love it. And the other one that's been good 646 00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,920 for people that can look out five years or three years or something, it's 647 00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:20,880 been the Miga Yeah okay, because that they're getting the same interest rate but 648 00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:22,559 they don't have to pay taxes. But it's not as liquid. And what 649 00:45:22,679 --> 00:45:25,960 that is is a multi year guaranteed annuity for five years and his pain. 650 00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:30,239 Last time I looked at it was five point two percent compounded each year, 651 00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:32,679 which is guaranteed to you from the insurance company. But it's not as liquid, 652 00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:36,719 So you're right, so that is locked up, so you wouldn't want 653 00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,039 to put everything in there. Essentially as a certificate of deposit within the conference 654 00:45:39,079 --> 00:45:42,679 company. But you've got it for five years. Yeah, and we're looking 655 00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,599 at a plus companies that will most likely pay it. Right, if you 656 00:45:45,679 --> 00:45:49,480 try to lock in a five year treasure, you're going to get around four 657 00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:52,400 You're gonna get around four percent. You don't want to do migas and in 658 00:45:53,599 --> 00:45:58,440 retirement accounts, you don't have to do them in those because you're already getting 659 00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:01,719 a tax the food. Unless that you can't get a rate like that anywhere, 660 00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:05,000 right, Unless the rate it's not much hiant, then it doesn't matter. 661 00:46:05,079 --> 00:46:06,880 Yeah, you'd have to go. If you're going on five years, 662 00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:10,519 you probably get a corporate that would be in the five percent range. Honeywell, 663 00:46:12,039 --> 00:46:15,480 Bristol Meyer, proct Gamble, something like that that would get you five 664 00:46:15,519 --> 00:46:16,960 percent. Well, if it's paying more than everything else you can get, 665 00:46:17,079 --> 00:46:20,400 right, then it's worth It's because it doesn't matter one way to the other. 666 00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:22,920 But it's a liquidity pot. It's it's a high rate for sure. 667 00:46:22,199 --> 00:46:25,280 So, Jonathan, we've been bringing people. People have been coming in and 668 00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:29,079 coming to you. You've been seen people and they've been coming to us, 669 00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:31,320 and it's been working pretty well. Yeah, I love it's a good it's 670 00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:35,519 a good relationship. It's a bear in working out of your house with your 671 00:46:35,559 --> 00:46:37,639 two year old and your three year old. Right well, yeah, absolutely 672 00:46:39,199 --> 00:46:43,559 know. But next time you're buying shirts, you know, appreciate one and 673 00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:46,559 a large big you know, extra large, no large, big fee, 674 00:46:46,639 --> 00:46:52,000 big big. You have about his logo shirts that they got his law firm 675 00:46:52,079 --> 00:46:54,800 name on him? You want some of those two? I figured to put 676 00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:59,639 Greenberg Financial Group on him. Yeah, a little sticker over top of the 677 00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:05,840 Edward Law firm and and uh put Greenberg Financial on there. My next round, 678 00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,760 I promise I'll get chief teachers for the team. You said you said 679 00:47:09,039 --> 00:47:14,000 the first consultation is free. Correct, And we've we've had a number of 680 00:47:14,039 --> 00:47:16,480 clients that have taken you up on that. Absolutely. Oh yeah, and 681 00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:20,840 and you really just you and I sit side by side. You're just amazing 682 00:47:20,960 --> 00:47:24,800 how how our businesses are intertwined. Yeah, yeah, Anathan, thanks again, 683 00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:28,840 buddy. All right, we'll see you soon. Get your name out 684 00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:30,320 there. They know how to get in touch with you. We'll keep going 685 00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:35,880 forward. It's listening. I remember if it's not here, to go to 686 00:47:35,880 --> 00:47:40,559 a website you can get all the others information. Uh, Podcasts and on 687 00:47:40,679 --> 00:47:46,199 TV shows all on the Thanks We'll be back right after the short break. 688 00:47:47,440 --> 00:47:57,639 Say it's all welcome back everybody. This is Dan Greenberg. This is the 689 00:47:57,679 --> 00:48:01,159 Money Mounted Show. We got Dave, Dylan, Todd and Myselfia to give 690 00:48:01,159 --> 00:48:06,880 you all the information that you need to be able to go through the ups 691 00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,960 and downs and the volatility of these markets and had a plan for your future. 692 00:48:12,199 --> 00:48:14,599 Give us a summary with so coming into the second hour for those of 693 00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,000 you just tuning in, we got a pretty good week. The Doubt led 694 00:48:17,039 --> 00:48:21,760 everything with it was up two percent, The SMP five hundred was up point 695 00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:24,639 seven percent, the NASDAC was down a half a percent, and then or 696 00:48:24,639 --> 00:48:28,000 the Russell two thousand was up a percent and a half, which is a 697 00:48:28,039 --> 00:48:30,679 small cap, and then the equal weighted SMP five hundred was up one point 698 00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:34,840 three percent. So overall the market did a little better. In the SP 699 00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:38,000 five hundred than the concentrated seven that we've been talking about for the last three 700 00:48:38,039 --> 00:48:42,800 weeks. We saw rotation out of those on Thursday and Friday, as there's 701 00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:46,039 a lot of concern about what's going to happen Monday morning when they do the 702 00:48:46,079 --> 00:48:50,880 rebalancing of the Nasdaq one hundred. Yeah, and that's why XLP, the 703 00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:55,119 consumer staples ETF did well. On Friday, A DVY actually rallied, VYM 704 00:48:55,159 --> 00:49:01,400 actually rallied. Yeah, they actually rallied the DAL. Interestingly, despite that 705 00:49:02,360 --> 00:49:06,960 ten day winning streak, the DAL up ten days in row for the first 706 00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:12,280 time since twenty seventeen. It's now up six percent on the year six and 707 00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,599 then attacks up thirty four. So it has really been a one sided market 708 00:49:15,639 --> 00:49:19,840 and it's something that that they're going to try to get ahold of next weekend. 709 00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:23,000 We'll see what happens. Um China continues to slow. They reported a 710 00:49:23,079 --> 00:49:28,639 six point seven percent increase in GDP. I don't know how the heck that 711 00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:31,519 happened. That bears no resemblance to any other number that we've been seen. 712 00:49:32,119 --> 00:49:36,960 China's government they can pretty much just put out whatever they want. I don't 713 00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:39,159 I just don't believe the number. They've got high unemployment, they've got COVID 714 00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:45,719 related closures, they've got a real estate bubble, they related closures still and 715 00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:50,280 may not hear that absolutely, and they still got plunging exports, and they've 716 00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:54,679 got a youth unemployment above twenty percent, and companies continue to leave their their 717 00:49:54,679 --> 00:49:59,440 factories. They continue to move them to Indonesia, Vietnam, India, Yes, 718 00:49:59,559 --> 00:50:00,920 and move an amount of China. Yeah, sick of them, and 719 00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:05,159 it's it's you can they're feeling it. And on China's point, I saw 720 00:50:05,199 --> 00:50:08,280 an article talking about gig ping saying that China's going to decide its own path 721 00:50:08,400 --> 00:50:13,360 to reduce carbon emissions. We had one of our representations, no path, 722 00:50:13,559 --> 00:50:15,800 Well exactly, we had one of our representations over there China try to make 723 00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:21,559 a deal about climate change or whatever, and nothing happened about it, and 724 00:50:22,079 --> 00:50:25,480 g went on there you know, CCTV and says, our path, our 725 00:50:25,519 --> 00:50:31,000 method, pace and intensity to achieve our carbon neutral goal will be determined by 726 00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:35,000 ourselves and will never be influenced by others. Well, there you go, 727 00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:38,199 right, that Paris accord working and what they're one eighth of the entire world. 728 00:50:38,360 --> 00:50:40,800 Yeah, and then you got India on the other hand, and nobody 729 00:50:42,119 --> 00:50:45,400 any attention to at all. And we're the ones that's supposed to make the 730 00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:49,719 dent in things. We're supposed to We're supposed to live our clean lives and 731 00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:53,159 get everything exactly spotless and make very little, if any difference in the global 732 00:50:53,559 --> 00:50:59,559 a global climate, right, well, because we're only a small portion of 733 00:50:59,559 --> 00:51:01,239 it. You know, it's all China's fault that we have all this hot 734 00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:06,320 summer right here in Tucson and Phoenix. Right. That's crazy, isn't it. 735 00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:09,320 I mean I was up in Phoenix Sunday and Monday of this past week. 736 00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:15,360 I had a nephew from San Diego whose sun plays baseball and he's sixteen 737 00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:17,599 at a high school baseball tournament with thirty teams in it, but kind of 738 00:51:17,599 --> 00:51:22,119 a big deal. There aren't many places in the country where you can get 739 00:51:22,159 --> 00:51:25,519 that many baseball fields in a small geographic area, and that, of course 740 00:51:25,519 --> 00:51:30,519 it's because of spring training. And I was Sunday morning at eight am, 741 00:51:30,599 --> 00:51:34,800 I was sitting at a one hundred and two degrees a day that actually got 742 00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:38,320 to one eighteen. Fortunately we were out of there by ten and because of 743 00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:42,679 the heat, they started the game on Monday at seven am, and it 744 00:51:42,760 --> 00:51:46,519 was still one hundred degrees at seven am. It was just miserable, and 745 00:51:46,599 --> 00:51:53,119 I think that God can send us either to heaven or to Phoenix. Boy, 746 00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:55,199 it really I feel bad for him. I mean, it is just 747 00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:59,960 beastly right now. Sunday night, I had parked a car and walking towards 748 00:52:00,199 --> 00:52:02,719 the hotel and there was a breeze. My goodness, wasn't even refreshing. 749 00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:07,039 No, I just brutal blow dryer. Yeah, the sun was down. 750 00:52:07,079 --> 00:52:08,440 It was about ten o'clock at night and the wind was blown. It was 751 00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:14,519 still one hundred degrees and wow, this is I've lived in Arizona for fifty 752 00:52:14,599 --> 00:52:16,480 years and this is this is as bad as I've seen it. I think 753 00:52:16,559 --> 00:52:22,480 this is probably a record July for Tucson. You know, our normal temperature 754 00:52:22,480 --> 00:52:24,360 in July is one hundred and one and it hasn't been one hundred and one 755 00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:28,199 for a month. Yeah, I mean Arizona. The state broke its record 756 00:52:28,239 --> 00:52:31,960 for most days above one ten in a row of phoenix well phoenixes and as 757 00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:37,280 not the state phoxes in Arizona. Disgusting talent. Where you went to call 758 00:52:37,360 --> 00:52:39,639 it phoenix is in Arizona day. I know you, I know you don't 759 00:52:39,679 --> 00:52:43,800 got ASU education, so you don't understand the phoenix is in Arizona. But 760 00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:49,480 it is. Yeah. They Monday of this past week it tied the record 761 00:52:49,559 --> 00:52:52,880 for most consecutive hundred and ten degree days, and every day since it's been 762 00:52:52,920 --> 00:52:55,480 above one hundred and ten, So I look on their think on their weather 763 00:52:55,559 --> 00:53:00,079 too. It doesn't get below one hundred and ten until next Sunday, and 764 00:53:00,119 --> 00:53:04,360 that high as one hundred and nine. It's it's it's getting national hid here 765 00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:07,559 because it's five ten degrees cooler, is a lot better. It's getting national 766 00:53:07,599 --> 00:53:09,840 headlines because I'm hearing about it from people from all over the country. Get 767 00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:13,679 front from the East coast asking me if we're living back down here, Yeah, 768 00:53:13,800 --> 00:53:15,480 how's life? Yeah, it really is something. Oil was up a 769 00:53:15,519 --> 00:53:20,920 dollar seventy this week to seventy seven dollars. That's a three month high. 770 00:53:21,039 --> 00:53:23,840 Gold was up four bucks to nineteen sixty four. Todd that ten year two 771 00:53:23,920 --> 00:53:28,480 year spread as back to one percent. Yeah, I saw that it had 772 00:53:28,480 --> 00:53:31,760 gotten a little smaller than that, but last week we saw declining. The 773 00:53:31,760 --> 00:53:38,239 widening of that spread again is indicative of a bond market that believes the economy 774 00:53:38,320 --> 00:53:43,519 is going to go into a slowdown. And the bond market is a reminders 775 00:53:43,599 --> 00:53:45,880 three times as big as the stock market. Yeah. I think it's really 776 00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:50,360 hard for people to picture a slowing of the economy because what people normally do 777 00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:52,840 is they just look at the SMP five hundred, and that's their gauge on 778 00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:58,039 an economy everything's going great right where when you really look at the economic numbers, 779 00:53:58,519 --> 00:54:01,519 not everything's going great. It's fine, right, nothing's really bad right 780 00:54:01,599 --> 00:54:07,360 now, but we are still seeing inflation come down, which means growth is 781 00:54:07,440 --> 00:54:10,440 stopping. Right. I think it's that Goldie Locks scenario, which is which 782 00:54:10,519 --> 00:54:15,000 is the Fed has done raising interest rates, which I don't think is true, 783 00:54:15,119 --> 00:54:20,159 and we're going to avoid recession. Bond market says no or not. 784 00:54:20,639 --> 00:54:22,400 I don't know who would think the Fed's done raising interest rates either. They 785 00:54:22,480 --> 00:54:25,760 keep saying they're gonna do it at least twice. They've been very transparent, 786 00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:30,079 haven't they, And even when said they paused it, but they're not gonna 787 00:54:30,079 --> 00:54:34,119 stop. Right the last FED meeting, the expectation was that they would drop 788 00:54:34,159 --> 00:54:37,679 interest rates a couple of times this year, and Paul came out and said 789 00:54:37,679 --> 00:54:38,880 we're gonna raise them two more times. No. That would have sent the 790 00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:44,320 market down five hundred two thousand points six months ago. And and then this 791 00:54:44,599 --> 00:54:46,239 in this environment where all news as good and as they go, oh well 792 00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:51,280 they're almost done, they're almost done. You know, it's very optimistic market 793 00:54:51,400 --> 00:54:52,679 right now. It is. Yeah, it's because it's running up. It's 794 00:54:52,800 --> 00:54:55,800 not on a downtrend right now, it turns to a downtrend, and it's 795 00:54:55,840 --> 00:54:59,800 gonna be very pessimistic. I think what the feed is really looking for now 796 00:54:59,880 --> 00:55:04,719 is slow down in wage growth right key, because the labor markets so strong. 797 00:55:04,880 --> 00:55:07,559 Inflation is coming down. But if you have a strong labor market, 798 00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:10,880 you'll hit a you know, floor where you just can't lower it anymore until 799 00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:15,920 people start losing their jobs. Yeah, and they're going to keep going and 800 00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:19,239 people are going to lose their jobs because of this. They you get to 801 00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:22,400 feeling that they're going to keep racing race until some until they break something. 802 00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:24,840 Yeah. Or inflation is two percent, like there's a goal has been since 803 00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:30,239 the beginning. Yeah, And I think we may see because a big chunk 804 00:55:30,239 --> 00:55:35,119 of the decline in inflation in July in June, I get the months all 805 00:55:35,159 --> 00:55:40,639 mixed up. In June was plummeting, plummeting gasoline prices, and now gasoline 806 00:55:40,639 --> 00:55:45,239 prices are on their way back up again. So we may come in to 807 00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:52,480 August and see a July inflation number that actually is moving up and that that 808 00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:54,559 will not be well received. Yeah, I mean right now, the markets 809 00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:58,719 kind of feels like a fairytale in the sense that it's over forty five hundred, 810 00:55:58,719 --> 00:56:00,320 which we just didn't think you would even get over three hundred. So 811 00:56:00,639 --> 00:56:02,719 I would say, right now is not the time to just sit back and 812 00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:06,199 be like everything's great, because your market looks like it's up, because it 813 00:56:06,239 --> 00:56:08,519 could turn quick, and it can turn down fast. So it's time to 814 00:56:08,519 --> 00:56:14,679 look if you have any ifs or buts about your retirement plan or anything like 815 00:56:14,679 --> 00:56:16,480 that, it's time to look at it now. So if you can make 816 00:56:16,480 --> 00:56:19,559 a change, or if you want to make a change or world be profits 817 00:56:19,559 --> 00:56:22,599 that you could probably take with the market running up so high. But then 818 00:56:22,679 --> 00:56:25,480 you got to make sure your risk tolerance is still in line with where it 819 00:56:25,599 --> 00:56:29,559 was last year when we were down twenty percent, because we are one week 820 00:56:29,599 --> 00:56:34,480 away from the worst sixty day period for the market every year. If to 821 00:56:34,519 --> 00:56:37,559 sent them in flips, it kick flip quick, especially if this thing actually 822 00:56:37,599 --> 00:56:43,360 does hit the rebalance on Monday, if it actually does have an issue to 823 00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:45,039 the tech stocks that have been running up, then it could turn fast. 824 00:56:45,079 --> 00:56:47,840 It could turn down fast. Also, we have meta reporting next week. 825 00:56:47,880 --> 00:56:52,119 The week following we'll have Apple, Apple and Amazon. When you have those 826 00:56:52,159 --> 00:56:57,400 big names reporting earnings, that can kind of lead to a catalyst where we 827 00:56:57,480 --> 00:57:00,559 can kind of start to see But again, I mean, earnings are probably 828 00:57:00,599 --> 00:57:04,320 not going to be too bad for those companies. Yeah right, and so 829 00:57:04,480 --> 00:57:07,800 well those are the those are the growth companies, right Yeah. Um Bitcoin 830 00:57:08,079 --> 00:57:10,519 uh Todd, you watch it closer than I do. But it's been drifting 831 00:57:10,559 --> 00:57:14,840 lower since that twenty five percent pop at the end of It's truly just been 832 00:57:14,840 --> 00:57:17,559 flagging the last couple of weeks since that pop, waiting for some news out 833 00:57:17,559 --> 00:57:22,280 of SEC that the interest rates have flattened out too. They I noticed the 834 00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:28,400 ten year treasury rate was the same of Friday as it was in before Memorial 835 00:57:28,519 --> 00:57:32,119 Day, So it's done absolutely nothing. Um. Schwab reported better than expected 836 00:57:32,360 --> 00:57:37,360 results that sent the stock up twelve percent on Tuesday, and KRI, which 837 00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:43,679 is the regional bank ETF, had its best rally in four months. That 838 00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:47,199 was followed by good earnings from Northern Trust, one of the biggest and Schwab 839 00:57:47,320 --> 00:57:52,159 interestingly has rallied off of the off of that low fifty percent. Swab's fifty 840 00:57:52,199 --> 00:57:57,239 percent I was kind of surprised that they got caught up in the whole thing 841 00:57:57,679 --> 00:58:00,719 um because that banking is a part of their operation. But certainly they're not 842 00:58:00,800 --> 00:58:05,880 a regional bank per se, so that would have been a good a good 843 00:58:05,880 --> 00:58:08,000 bye then. And I looked at into me. I tried to buy it 844 00:58:08,039 --> 00:58:10,360 here, and I, yeah, but what if another bank goes under? 845 00:58:10,360 --> 00:58:15,639 And you know, we try to. When you're investing other people's money, 846 00:58:16,199 --> 00:58:20,079 you tend to be more cautious than with your own, which is why our 847 00:58:20,119 --> 00:58:24,000 clients are doing much better than we're doing. Right. We're very aggressive. 848 00:58:24,199 --> 00:58:29,039 We are very aggressive. I got a little electric vehicle update. Seems like 849 00:58:29,079 --> 00:58:32,840 every week I have a little something in the electric vehicle arena because it's very 850 00:58:32,880 --> 00:58:37,280 popular right now. Last week I told you guys that none of the electric 851 00:58:37,360 --> 00:58:42,760 vehicles have a spare tire, which makes traveling outside of any city a little 852 00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:45,480 bit problematic. And like I said earlier, I spent two days in Phoenix 853 00:58:45,559 --> 00:58:50,199 last week, where the temple is one hundred and eighteen degrees. Not surprisingly, 854 00:58:50,280 --> 00:58:52,639 on my two hundred and fifty mile trip to and from Phoenix, I 855 00:58:52,639 --> 00:59:00,159 actually was counting the number of lexuses, number of teslas I got the one 856 00:59:00,719 --> 00:59:02,880 there was one. It wasn't mine, but there was one Tesla. We 857 00:59:02,920 --> 00:59:07,760 saw one Tesla on the freeway between Tucson and Phoenix. Between Phoenix and Tucson, 858 00:59:08,079 --> 00:59:13,639 the two hundred fifty mile round trip one and really that's not surprising. 859 00:59:13,719 --> 00:59:16,519 We go to LA four or five times a year. I have never seen 860 00:59:17,280 --> 00:59:22,880 a Tesla on the freeway between Phoenix and LA never, and I do it 861 00:59:22,920 --> 00:59:27,719 four or five times a year, been doing it for years. Imagine being 862 00:59:27,760 --> 00:59:30,480 about fourty and you want I think I know why. Imagine being about forty 863 00:59:30,519 --> 00:59:37,079 miles west of HeLa bend one hundred and twenty degrees outside right, and you 864 00:59:37,079 --> 00:59:42,639 have flat tire. Now what how long would it take Tesla road side assistance 865 00:59:42,719 --> 00:59:45,840 to get to you? Now you could sit in your air conditioned car, 866 00:59:45,119 --> 00:59:50,119 right, but then your battery would run down. Now you've got two problems. 867 00:59:51,079 --> 00:59:55,519 So I could certainly understand why people are reluctant to take it on the 868 00:59:55,559 --> 00:59:58,880 road. Although I do no clients to take it to San Diego. I 869 00:59:58,880 --> 01:00:00,719 do no clients that I have taken it to the White Mountains. One went 870 01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:07,440 to Albuquerque, another one went to Las Vegas in their Tesla. But you'd 871 01:00:07,440 --> 01:00:09,400 have to have a lot of time on your hands because you're gonna be giving 872 01:00:09,440 --> 01:00:14,039 the superchargers, and you're gonna be at those superchargers forty five minutes to an 873 01:00:14,039 --> 01:00:16,440 hour minimum. It's got to be so much more easy to have an electric 874 01:00:16,440 --> 01:00:21,960 car in the East Coast. I would unconnected those cities. Are you know, 875 01:00:22,079 --> 01:00:27,039 there's always a city just a yeah, yeah, I think so. 876 01:00:27,719 --> 01:00:30,719 I will say though, that the at home, if you're going to get 877 01:00:30,719 --> 01:00:34,920 an electric vehicle, the very first thing you've got to do before you take 878 01:00:35,000 --> 01:00:37,840 delivery of the vehicle is get your at home charging set up. Because if 879 01:00:37,880 --> 01:00:42,800 you don't have your at home charging set up and you get the vehicle. 880 01:00:42,840 --> 01:00:45,559 What happened to me as I was told the delivery would be July August, 881 01:00:46,000 --> 01:00:52,719 so I scheduled July nineteenth to have my home charger put in. It came 882 01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:58,960 June twenty eighth. By July nineteenth, I hated that car. I hated 883 01:00:59,039 --> 01:01:02,880 that car with a passion. And it's a wonderful car, but but having 884 01:01:02,880 --> 01:01:08,840 to go to the supercharger, having to watch your charge constantly, it was 885 01:01:08,920 --> 01:01:13,119 so annoying, and I was so tired of it. It was just it 886 01:01:13,239 --> 01:01:16,679 was just unbelievable. So get that set up, get that set up ahead 887 01:01:16,679 --> 01:01:21,039 of time. Let's talk a little bit about electric vehicle costs, because the 888 01:01:21,440 --> 01:01:23,639 car itself is pretty expensive, right, but there are a few other things 889 01:01:23,639 --> 01:01:28,360 that have to go into it. In a wall charger, a wall charger 890 01:01:28,400 --> 01:01:31,480 can be five hundred bucks, which is one of the reasons why some people 891 01:01:31,519 --> 01:01:35,679 have gone with portable chargers. They like the portable charger better. But even 892 01:01:35,719 --> 01:01:38,320 if you have a portable charger, you're going to pay an electrician five hundred 893 01:01:38,360 --> 01:01:42,599 to fifteen hundred bucks to come in and give you a two hundred and forty 894 01:01:42,679 --> 01:01:45,679 volt outlet. You've got to have a two hundred forty vote outlets for the 895 01:01:45,719 --> 01:01:49,840 electric car charger. So the first thing you're gonna do is you're gonna spend 896 01:01:49,880 --> 01:01:52,760 five hundred hund a charger. You're going to spend a round one thousand bucks 897 01:01:52,800 --> 01:01:57,960 to get the outlet set up. Right, there's an entire industry springing up 898 01:01:57,960 --> 01:02:01,480 around things that Elon doesn't include. We learned last week that he doesn't include 899 01:02:01,480 --> 01:02:06,960 spare tires. Well, for five hundred dollars, you can buy a Tesla 900 01:02:07,079 --> 01:02:10,280 spare tire kit and this car has two trunks, so believe me, there's 901 01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:13,920 a place to put it. Oh, you spend five hundred bucks. You 902 01:02:13,960 --> 01:02:16,800 can get a test charging chord. You understand that Tesla has no longer come 903 01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:21,360 with a charging chord. Isn't that interesting? Be like buying a toaster with 904 01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:24,320 no plug or an iPhone without a charger without ant of Apple. Yeah, 905 01:02:25,079 --> 01:02:29,599 everything imparts and you gotta buy pay fifty bucks. Since when do they not 906 01:02:30,079 --> 01:02:35,360 bring the charger in with it? They don't bring the block anymore. Oh, 907 01:02:35,400 --> 01:02:37,119 they don't wire only they just give you the okay, yeah, but 908 01:02:37,239 --> 01:02:40,079 then you got to buy the headphones. You gotta buy the case, you 909 01:02:40,119 --> 01:02:43,880 gotta buy the screen protector. Got no spare tire, you got no charger, 910 01:02:43,920 --> 01:02:45,920 you got no charging chord. All of these things are All of these 911 01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:51,039 things are extra. On the positive side, you're gonna save about twenty five 912 01:02:51,119 --> 01:02:54,519 hundred dollars a year in gasoline. And here's another place you're gonna save money. 913 01:02:54,599 --> 01:02:59,719 Turns out, the most technically advanced car on the road, my model 914 01:02:59,760 --> 01:03:05,639 Way, does not have the hardware to pick up serious satellite radio. So 915 01:03:05,760 --> 01:03:07,400 if you have a Tesla, you're not going to be paying for serious satellite 916 01:03:07,440 --> 01:03:12,440 radio because they can't get it. And I gonna pay for oil oil changes 917 01:03:12,519 --> 01:03:15,960 either though, So there's some savings, no transmission change. I continue to 918 01:03:15,000 --> 01:03:21,760 be enamored with the car. Is technologically spectacular, it's fun to drive, 919 01:03:21,840 --> 01:03:27,119 it's really fast, it's it's a very comfortable ride, and I think with 920 01:03:27,239 --> 01:03:30,880 the home charger, I've resolved the charging issue. But there are things you 921 01:03:30,920 --> 01:03:35,039 need to know ahead of time before you go down that road. Dylan, 922 01:03:35,559 --> 01:03:38,159 Yeah, speaking of Tesla, though, they their profit margins drop allow ten 923 01:03:38,159 --> 01:03:42,440 percent for the first time since twenty twenty one. That's why they're stock dropping 924 01:03:42,440 --> 01:03:47,000 the Reporter Ernis last week. They're making each car cheaper and that's cutting into 925 01:03:47,039 --> 01:03:50,320 their profits, but they have to make them cheer. They have because of 926 01:03:50,360 --> 01:03:53,000 the competition exactly, and it's funny because they're kind of eating each other alive. 927 01:03:53,039 --> 01:03:59,239 A four dropped the F one fifty Lightning by ten thousand dollars. I 928 01:03:59,280 --> 01:04:02,119 mean, that's just what petition does, exactly, especially for Tesla because they 929 01:04:02,159 --> 01:04:06,559 have a lot more inventory um than than the other ev makers because they've been 930 01:04:06,559 --> 01:04:11,119 doing it for longer. So they's second quarter twenty two, Tesla's operating profit 931 01:04:11,119 --> 01:04:14,840 margin was fifteen percent. This year of the second quarter was nine percent. 932 01:04:15,239 --> 01:04:17,320 Right, that just comes from them, said He'll cut prices further for he 933 01:04:17,320 --> 01:04:21,000 has to to keep his market share. But we know that what was there 934 01:04:21,039 --> 01:04:25,199 was a certain price where you don't get the credit. Yes, yeah, 935 01:04:25,239 --> 01:04:28,440 and I'm not I'm not sure exactly what it is, but I know they 936 01:04:28,559 --> 01:04:32,360 cut the price of a couple of the models. Maybe it's fifty thousand below 937 01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:36,039 fifty thousand, so they didn't get a hunt the seventy five tack credit, 938 01:04:36,199 --> 01:04:41,000 so price went back up. So there's a there's a limit to how far 939 01:04:41,039 --> 01:04:45,920 down they It's it's it's funny to hear Ford cutting prices because Ford's biggest problem 940 01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:50,159 is delivery. It's producing enough cars. They may be the only car company 941 01:04:50,159 --> 01:04:55,000 out there, they electric car company out there. They can't make enough cars 942 01:04:55,599 --> 01:05:00,239 to meet demand. And the stocks been been dropping pretty steadily over the last 943 01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:05,760 few days. Unconcerned about that. Maybe this is their employ to get more 944 01:05:05,800 --> 01:05:11,679 market share. They already have the demand for dropping the price. They already 945 01:05:11,679 --> 01:05:14,480 have the demand there because like you said, they're having production issues in the 946 01:05:14,480 --> 01:05:16,199 sense of how fast they can do it, but they're trying to up it. 947 01:05:16,199 --> 01:05:18,559 They're trying to increase it more to get with Tesla in the market share. 948 01:05:19,039 --> 01:05:21,960 I get dollars. Yeah, but if at the same time, I 949 01:05:21,960 --> 01:05:27,000 don't. You can get a Tesla in two or three weeks, and the 950 01:05:27,079 --> 01:05:30,920 Ford Moki, the little most dying order, the Lightning pick up, you're 951 01:05:30,960 --> 01:05:35,119 talking three to twelve months. Yeah, it's just if you're wanting an electric 952 01:05:35,199 --> 01:05:40,440 if you got the electric car bug, you're not gonna wait three to twelve 953 01:05:40,480 --> 01:05:43,039 months to get a car. You're gonna say, well, wait a second, 954 01:05:43,079 --> 01:05:46,400 I can go over there and get one of those a Tesla people that 955 01:05:46,440 --> 01:05:51,119 have been doing this for a decade. I can get one now, or 956 01:05:51,159 --> 01:05:54,880 I can wait six to twelve months for somebody that's kind of the new kid 957 01:05:54,920 --> 01:05:58,760 on the block. Right. Oh, doesn't make sense, But again I 958 01:05:58,800 --> 01:06:02,880 really think I don't know if four can do their their recalls online the way 959 01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:09,559 Tesla could either. The things that Tesla can do online is amazing, incredible. 960 01:06:09,639 --> 01:06:15,679 Yeah, again, get a charging station installed before you get the car, 961 01:06:15,719 --> 01:06:18,559 and I think you'll have a really good experience. You know, there's 962 01:06:18,599 --> 01:06:23,480 something that came across my docket that I um, you know, it was 963 01:06:23,480 --> 01:06:27,039 on the Secure two point zero Act that was passed last year, and I 964 01:06:27,039 --> 01:06:32,119 didn't really fully comprehend what was going on here. But four four one ks 965 01:06:32,119 --> 01:06:36,199 there is going to be a change starting in twenty twenty four. Individuals know 966 01:06:36,280 --> 01:06:41,199 that when they reach age fifty, you reached a ketchup provision, which means 967 01:06:41,199 --> 01:06:45,360 you can increase your contribution to your four one K by seven thousand, five 968 01:06:45,440 --> 01:06:49,119 hundred dollars right on top of your normal contribution limit. But in twenty twenty 969 01:06:49,119 --> 01:06:53,400 four, if the taxpayer has an income of at least one hundred and forty 970 01:06:53,400 --> 01:06:58,760 five thousand per year, the ketchup contribution can no longer be put into the 971 01:06:58,840 --> 01:07:01,159 pre tax four on one. It will have to be treated as a ROTH 972 01:07:01,239 --> 01:07:05,159 contribution and grow after tax. Wow. The issue with that, though, 973 01:07:05,280 --> 01:07:10,239 is the company's plan has to offer the ROTH four own k aspect. If 974 01:07:10,239 --> 01:07:13,320 they don't, then that person is just out of luck. They can't contribute 975 01:07:13,320 --> 01:07:18,119 another seventy five hundred dollars to anything. Wow. So very interesting. And 976 01:07:18,159 --> 01:07:23,239 in twenty twenty five they couldn't even do a broth no if the company's plans 977 01:07:23,239 --> 01:07:27,159 because some company plans still don't offer the ROTH four own k option. If 978 01:07:27,159 --> 01:07:29,920 they don't offer that, then the person, if they make over one forty 979 01:07:29,920 --> 01:07:33,480 five, they cannot contribute seventy five dollars to anywhere they just get why would 980 01:07:33,519 --> 01:07:39,639 they do? That's good encouraging companies to offer the four own k roth can 981 01:07:39,679 --> 01:07:41,559 you Well, you gotta see if you go, Dan, I don't think 982 01:07:41,559 --> 01:07:45,039 we have it, do we? Uh No, it's something you can you 983 01:07:45,039 --> 01:07:48,840 can normally add pretty easily. It's it's a lot more available now in today's 984 01:07:48,920 --> 01:07:54,559 four own case popular. Um. But yeah, so obviously I arrest is 985 01:07:54,599 --> 01:07:59,239 thinking they don't want to defer income tax income anymore, so they would rather 986 01:07:59,599 --> 01:08:02,320 you contribute after tax instead of pre tax on that ketchup provision. Well they 987 01:08:02,320 --> 01:08:04,639 have to do is just open up the walth I away and say there's no 988 01:08:04,719 --> 01:08:09,639 limit to it then, which would just be just as good. You know. 989 01:08:09,719 --> 01:08:12,360 Well then a lot of people would be really happy if that was the 990 01:08:12,400 --> 01:08:15,920 case, for sure, because roth IRA's a really good play with no limit. 991 01:08:15,000 --> 01:08:17,119 Yeah. I don't think I RUS will ever increase that too much. 992 01:08:17,159 --> 01:08:20,880 Oh no, No, for the seventy five hundred, he said no limit, 993 01:08:21,039 --> 01:08:24,800 so you can contribute to sixty five hundred, and then on top of 994 01:08:24,840 --> 01:08:29,079 it, the seventy five What you're saying, Yeah, what I'm saying is 995 01:08:29,720 --> 01:08:31,920 a lot you can't maybe do sixty five hundred if you're a certain level. 996 01:08:31,960 --> 01:08:35,000 But if you if you don't have a walthay where you're to catch up, 997 01:08:35,720 --> 01:08:38,920 you're able to put it. You can't able to put a catch up in 998 01:08:38,960 --> 01:08:42,600 a regular walthi away. That's all as of now, you cannot. Matter 999 01:08:42,640 --> 01:08:45,119 what how much money you make, as of now, you cannot. They 1000 01:08:45,119 --> 01:08:47,319 said, you're out of luck if they don't have a roth full of course, 1001 01:08:47,720 --> 01:08:51,159 but there is a new special catchup provision that's starting in twenty twenty five. 1002 01:08:51,279 --> 01:08:54,800 So we'll talk about this more. So when was the other one? 1003 01:08:55,279 --> 01:08:59,159 This is in twenty twenty four, starting next year. Oh man, Yeah, 1004 01:08:59,199 --> 01:09:01,720 for twenty twenty five, if you're between the ages of sixty and sixty 1005 01:09:01,760 --> 01:09:06,880 three, your contribution limit, your catch up contribution will be equal to either 1006 01:09:06,960 --> 01:09:11,279 the greater of ten thousand dollars or one hundred and fifty percent of the standard 1007 01:09:11,359 --> 01:09:15,439 catch up contribution limit for twenty twenty four, and that ten thousand dollars limit 1008 01:09:15,479 --> 01:09:18,119 will be indexed for inflation. So they're trying to help sixty to sixty three 1009 01:09:18,159 --> 01:09:21,680 year olds put more money in their retirement. Um, if you know, 1010 01:09:21,800 --> 01:09:26,479 catching up, who comes up with this stuff? The high rise and the 1011 01:09:26,640 --> 01:09:29,079 dates and stuff. You know what I'm saying, Well, why is a 1012 01:09:29,159 --> 01:09:31,479 sixty five year old who's working more not wanting to put more money away? 1013 01:09:31,520 --> 01:09:35,279 And what made them choose one hundred forty five thousand. Well that's the that's 1014 01:09:35,319 --> 01:09:40,119 the roth limit. Yeah, but why the previous limit. That's what I'm 1015 01:09:40,119 --> 01:09:44,319 saying. It's it's it's probably it's probably based on you know, they know 1016 01:09:44,880 --> 01:09:49,560 the average just so they know what taxing on the money you get then you 1017 01:09:49,680 --> 01:09:53,000 then you put then then you have to invest it, and then you getting 1018 01:09:53,000 --> 01:09:55,159 taxed on that wo you put in the row with you're not getting taxed on 1019 01:09:55,199 --> 01:09:59,720 it. So when they say that not wasting taxes, that will all wasting 1020 01:09:59,760 --> 01:10:02,000 tax Oh yeah, oh yeah, hey what that was up in When I 1021 01:10:02,039 --> 01:10:05,159 was up in Phoenix, I saw the waymo uh you familiar with that, 1022 01:10:05,239 --> 01:10:09,920 the weaymo one. Oh yeah, yeah, that's pretty that's pretty pretty incredible. 1023 01:10:10,039 --> 01:10:17,960 That thing is waymouh one became the first uh autonomous driving taxicab company for 1024 01:10:18,039 --> 01:10:21,880 profit taxicab company in the world, and they've got them all over Phoenix and 1025 01:10:21,920 --> 01:10:27,159 there are people that actually get in those things without a driver. Yeah. 1026 01:10:27,520 --> 01:10:30,199 Well, the gizmos on those things are just like I don't even know what 1027 01:10:30,239 --> 01:10:32,000 they are. You know, they have all those like, yeah, turbines 1028 01:10:32,079 --> 01:10:35,560 and then all these cameras. People one came to the one came to the 1029 01:10:35,640 --> 01:10:39,800 phone. So you're when you register on the phone and the phone comes, 1030 01:10:39,800 --> 01:10:42,600 it's connected. Like, why didn't you guys do that? Left you up 1031 01:10:42,600 --> 01:10:46,800 there because we're fine with ubers. I don't have the Waymo app on my 1032 01:10:46,840 --> 01:10:48,960 phone. I don't. I don't think I could get in the backstreet of 1033 01:10:48,960 --> 01:10:51,479 a car with no driver. Oh I could care less about that. No, 1034 01:10:51,680 --> 01:10:55,000 this generation, I don't think we'll care about that. Yeah, well 1035 01:10:55,079 --> 01:10:59,920 you got to lose, you know. Yeah, you know, at the 1036 01:11:00,640 --> 01:11:03,479 end of the day, what you're not doing is worried about the Uber driver 1037 01:11:03,520 --> 01:11:06,479 that wants to kill you. Exact. Go, there's gonna be a day 1038 01:11:06,479 --> 01:11:10,000 where it's gonna be mandated that you have to have a self driving car. 1039 01:11:10,039 --> 01:11:11,800 I mean, if you think about twenty years, it's going to be the 1040 01:11:11,840 --> 01:11:17,000 part where humans are such bad drivers compared to the autonomous drivers that we can't 1041 01:11:17,000 --> 01:11:21,239 allow humans to drive. You can only drive on a racetracker. Yeah, 1042 01:11:21,279 --> 01:11:26,520 it's amazing how everything that I watched as a kid on the Jetsons and Dick 1043 01:11:26,560 --> 01:11:30,359 Tracy all coming through. There's much later than what they expected. I don't 1044 01:11:30,520 --> 01:11:32,239 know what to expect. I don't think I remember watching the jets and goal 1045 01:11:32,319 --> 01:11:35,319 this is gonna happen in such and such time, right, you know, 1046 01:11:35,439 --> 01:11:39,239 But now it's all coming through. Remember the Jetsons. You have to watch 1047 01:11:39,279 --> 01:11:42,039 it. Of course, did you watch the Jetsons? No, the mind's 1048 01:11:42,079 --> 01:11:44,640 back to the future. You have to go watch the Jetsons. Okay, 1049 01:11:44,720 --> 01:11:47,600 now go find it somehow and watch it and go, oh my god, 1050 01:11:47,720 --> 01:11:51,520 look at all these things in nineteen sixty that they were talking about. They 1051 01:11:51,560 --> 01:11:57,359 were talking about telephones that you see people, okay, computers that you see 1052 01:11:57,399 --> 01:12:02,119 people flying cause what else? Robots for maids. Yeah? Um, you 1053 01:12:02,159 --> 01:12:05,920 know what's another really good book that predicted the future? Nineteen eighty four? 1054 01:12:09,079 --> 01:12:13,720 Nineteen eighty four. Back it's the Money Mattie Show. We got two more 1055 01:12:13,760 --> 01:12:17,800 segments left. I hope that you I'm enjoying it. Thank you say, 1056 01:12:17,880 --> 01:12:32,520 it's all welcome back. You're listening to The Money Matter Show. I am 1057 01:12:32,600 --> 01:12:35,920 Dylan Greenberg. I'm here with this Sherwood, Todd Glick, and Dean Greenberg. 1058 01:12:36,479 --> 01:12:41,439 I got a fun fact what's a fun factor of facts? And actually, 1059 01:12:41,439 --> 01:12:44,159 I've got I've got to give credit to Judge Judy because you know, 1060 01:12:44,239 --> 01:12:46,600 if I like, one of my favorite things that nightties to go home after 1061 01:12:46,600 --> 01:12:50,399 I've had stopper, sit down on the couch and just there's four Judge Judy's 1062 01:12:50,720 --> 01:12:54,800 record during the day, I grab one of them and just watch it. 1063 01:12:54,560 --> 01:12:58,760 It seems like everybody on there that is involved in the traffic accident is because 1064 01:12:58,960 --> 01:13:03,039 they're uninsured. So it got me to thinking, we're supposed to have insurance 1065 01:13:03,279 --> 01:13:11,159 by law. Correct, So what states would be the states without the largest 1066 01:13:11,199 --> 01:13:15,920 amount with the largest number of uninsured motorists. A little little research, California 1067 01:13:16,039 --> 01:13:19,520 you would think, huh but or Mississippi. Okay, there you go, 1068 01:13:19,520 --> 01:13:24,479 good job, Todd number one. How do you know education is the worst 1069 01:13:24,520 --> 01:13:27,600 there? No, No, I literally guess this because they have the worst 1070 01:13:27,680 --> 01:13:30,199 education system they do. Growing up in South Dakota, we loved in Mississippi 1071 01:13:30,199 --> 01:13:33,800 because we were forty nine and everything, and we're forty eight Arizona. So 1072 01:13:35,560 --> 01:13:40,760 No. Number one is Mississippi. Todd twenty nine point four two louisianaan we're 1073 01:13:40,760 --> 01:13:45,920 talking about the states with the highest number of uninsured motorists. Yeah, and 1074 01:13:45,960 --> 01:13:51,319 mississippis number one with twenty nine point four Number two shocking Michigan twenty five percent. 1075 01:13:51,359 --> 01:13:56,880 Then Tennessee, New Mexico, and Washington states with the fewest number of 1076 01:13:56,880 --> 01:14:00,840 insured motors. This be of places where you want to drive New Jersey, 1077 01:14:00,640 --> 01:14:03,359 New Jersey. Now, why would you say New York because there's not a 1078 01:14:03,359 --> 01:14:06,039 lot of drivers there. So the people that do have it probably have insurance 1079 01:14:06,039 --> 01:14:10,000 because they drive close to each other lots they're gonna get hit. Yeah. 1080 01:14:10,000 --> 01:14:14,640 New York is number three, and only four percent of drivers are uninsured in 1081 01:14:14,680 --> 01:14:16,239 New York. And then any of them are also drivers, like they drive 1082 01:14:16,279 --> 01:14:19,479 people around taxi drivers. That's interesting because I looked at New York and act 1083 01:14:19,560 --> 01:14:24,439 they got more people than anybody have personal drivers. There must be laws there 1084 01:14:24,439 --> 01:14:27,439 that are more strict than our laws. Anyway, Arizona is right in the 1085 01:14:27,479 --> 01:14:30,199 middle, eleven point eight percent uninsured, right in the right, in the 1086 01:14:30,239 --> 01:14:32,600 middle of the back. Yeah, I though it was kind of interesting. 1087 01:14:32,840 --> 01:14:36,399 Oh, don't drive around Mississippi, but do drive around New Jersey. You 1088 01:14:36,399 --> 01:14:39,520 know, there's been a lot of talk. I've heard a lot of talk 1089 01:14:39,560 --> 01:14:44,760 about this New fed Now yep, right. It is not a new central 1090 01:14:44,760 --> 01:14:47,159 bank digital currency. I heard a lot of people talking about is there a 1091 01:14:47,199 --> 01:14:50,279 central bank digital currency getting passed this week? No, it's not. It's 1092 01:14:50,319 --> 01:14:56,920 this service fed now, which basically is a federal Zell as simply as I 1093 01:14:56,960 --> 01:15:00,760 can put that. If you've used Zell, yeah it is. Yeah. 1094 01:15:00,800 --> 01:15:05,119 So Zell is essentially if I need to pay Dave for you know, he 1095 01:15:05,199 --> 01:15:09,319 picked up my lunch, I need to send him ten bucks m. Normally 1096 01:15:09,399 --> 01:15:12,359 it took two or three days for that the process. If I wanted to 1097 01:15:12,399 --> 01:15:15,279 send that to you on a bank with Zell and with ACHK abilities, I 1098 01:15:15,279 --> 01:15:20,039 can send that to you in a single transaction settled this week. On Wednesday, 1099 01:15:20,079 --> 01:15:24,720 the guy came in and installed my electric my charger from my car. 1100 01:15:25,520 --> 01:15:29,079 That afternoon, he texted me the bill and I zelled him the money. 1101 01:15:29,079 --> 01:15:31,840 It was in his bank within minutes, right, And that helps both parties. 1102 01:15:31,960 --> 01:15:34,960 Right. When the settlement is instant, you don't have to worry about 1103 01:15:35,000 --> 01:15:40,319 liabilities or obligations for two or three days. You can use that money instantly 1104 01:15:40,479 --> 01:15:45,039 to turn over and get new products or buy new services. So Zell has 1105 01:15:45,079 --> 01:15:47,439 been very popular and almost all banks have Zell now and it's you know, 1106 01:15:47,479 --> 01:15:50,880 all it is you go into your bank app and the bank has already connected 1107 01:15:50,920 --> 01:15:54,279 to zell and you can send money out that way. It's tied to your 1108 01:15:54,279 --> 01:15:57,119 cell phone and if you know somebody's cell phone number, you can you can 1109 01:15:57,159 --> 01:16:00,199 stall the number. Yeah, email address. Now, this now is trying 1110 01:16:00,199 --> 01:16:05,399 to take no I guess be a competitor to zell Um. And Federal Reserve 1111 01:16:05,960 --> 01:16:10,359 is the one that created it. And it's it's not just for individuals, 1112 01:16:10,399 --> 01:16:15,560 it's also for institutions. And this should help in theory a lot of UM 1113 01:16:15,000 --> 01:16:20,000 obligations that kind of caused some issues in two thousand and eight when instant settlement 1114 01:16:20,119 --> 01:16:26,039 wasn't really available because of the traditional systems UM. You won't have same liquidity 1115 01:16:26,079 --> 01:16:31,760 problems theoretically if you did have this service available to big institutions and stuff, 1116 01:16:31,760 --> 01:16:34,720 that it will be instant, right. Yeah. The one thing I didn't 1117 01:16:34,720 --> 01:16:38,920 like about FED now, which they announced months ago when they first started talking 1118 01:16:38,920 --> 01:16:41,399 about it, was that one of their reasons as to why it's going to 1119 01:16:41,439 --> 01:16:45,479 be good is that stimulus checks can get to your bank faster for you what 1120 01:16:45,199 --> 01:16:47,640 stimulus checks. That was one of their reasons. In fact, when the 1121 01:16:47,720 --> 01:16:50,920 first announce that they said stimulus checks will get to your bank faster. Didn't 1122 01:16:50,960 --> 01:16:55,520 like that, didn't like what they were insinuating. I hope that doesn't go 1123 01:16:55,560 --> 01:16:58,479 down that back. But thing I thought was bad about it, Correct me 1124 01:16:58,479 --> 01:17:01,279 if I'm wrong. I have sent in zell money via zel to all kinds 1125 01:17:01,319 --> 01:17:06,079 of people. I've never sent it to a business. Is it possible to 1126 01:17:06,279 --> 01:17:10,960 zell a business? Well, for example, that person that you that you 1127 01:17:11,079 --> 01:17:14,560 zelled for your electric charger, he's technically a business, well he is, 1128 01:17:14,560 --> 01:17:16,199 but he's an electrician with it for the cell phone. And so there I'm 1129 01:17:16,199 --> 01:17:20,199 talking about, let's say an air conditioning company. I think a good good 1130 01:17:20,199 --> 01:17:23,600 idea is like if you had a car payment, for example, and you 1131 01:17:23,680 --> 01:17:27,600 needed to pay your car another your car bill and say it's it's um doe 1132 01:17:27,640 --> 01:17:30,079 the next day, or you have a late fee and it's ten pm that 1133 01:17:30,199 --> 01:17:32,520 night. If you try to hit you know, pay my bill, it's 1134 01:17:32,520 --> 01:17:34,560 not going to show up till the next day, so you're still going to 1135 01:17:34,640 --> 01:17:39,039 incurre that late fee. If this fed now service is available, you would 1136 01:17:39,079 --> 01:17:42,319 be able to settle same day, even if it's at eleven pm at night. 1137 01:17:42,640 --> 01:17:45,840 The bank will get it before twelve pm, they'll settle it and you'll 1138 01:17:45,880 --> 01:17:48,239 not occur a late fee, So it enables instant settlement a lot quicker. 1139 01:17:48,319 --> 01:17:51,239 And this is what everybody started to think of it. We're going to digital 1140 01:17:51,239 --> 01:17:55,159 currency, sate Dave. You know, this is the biggest feel on the 1141 01:17:55,199 --> 01:17:58,920 twenty ninth of July. We're going to digital co No, this is what 1142 01:17:58,960 --> 01:18:01,640 they're talking about. Yes, it's a digital yes, but it's no different 1143 01:18:01,680 --> 01:18:06,439 than what we've done with everything else. Eventually, will we be cashless society? 1144 01:18:06,640 --> 01:18:11,359 I think so? All right to a point, is that good bad? 1145 01:18:11,479 --> 01:18:15,279 I don't know, because well, these things ninety percent of everybody's transactions 1146 01:18:15,319 --> 01:18:16,960 go through there. I was in QT the other day and you know, 1147 01:18:17,239 --> 01:18:20,119 if you've been in QT, they take them on both sides of the register. 1148 01:18:20,600 --> 01:18:28,680 They're very efficient there. And both of the people were paying cash in 1149 01:18:28,720 --> 01:18:30,840 front of me, and I got up to the guy and I said, 1150 01:18:30,439 --> 01:18:33,319 boy, two people with cash? Who who knew that? And he goes, 1151 01:18:33,399 --> 01:18:38,760 yeah's pretty weird. So cash really is becoming a thing of the past 1152 01:18:38,800 --> 01:18:42,680 already. There is an issue with FED now being able to have eyes on 1153 01:18:42,680 --> 01:18:46,680 all these transactions, right, because there is always that concern of surveillance, 1154 01:18:46,760 --> 01:18:49,800 extra surveillance, and right now, Zel is the intermitter area on a lot 1155 01:18:49,840 --> 01:18:54,760 of these transactions, and they're private organizations, well, Apple, Zel, 1156 01:18:55,039 --> 01:18:57,800 everybody else. If the government comes to them they need something, they have 1157 01:18:57,840 --> 01:19:00,279 to Yeah, if they subpoena, you have to give over these records jumped 1158 01:19:00,279 --> 01:19:01,920 through some hoops. Yeah, now is just straight to the government, of 1159 01:19:01,920 --> 01:19:05,000 course. Yeah. The one thing about the FED now it sounds like it's 1160 01:19:05,000 --> 01:19:10,439 taking ZELL to another level, right, Yeah, because it's going to be 1161 01:19:10,439 --> 01:19:14,239 available for banks, credit unions, households, businesses. They have to be 1162 01:19:14,319 --> 01:19:16,319 willing to accept it. However, well, you have to sign up for 1163 01:19:16,439 --> 01:19:19,560 see how the acceptance goes. You said, what sixteen banks have adopted it 1164 01:19:19,680 --> 01:19:24,760 so far? Have they? Two big banks? Have? I forgot who 1165 01:19:24,800 --> 01:19:29,039 the other one was, Chase one of the two. Yeah, well, 1166 01:19:29,039 --> 01:19:31,640 I'm sure Chase is one of the first ones to adopt it. I'm when 1167 01:19:31,640 --> 01:19:35,880 I go to White send money to the electrician, for instance, when I 1168 01:19:35,920 --> 01:19:39,960 go to my Bank of America app, there's three choices of how I can 1169 01:19:39,960 --> 01:19:43,199 send it. I guess a fourth choice will pop up now, right, 1170 01:19:43,319 --> 01:19:46,600 Yeah, Well, we won't honestly, we won't like checks anymore. Checks 1171 01:19:46,640 --> 01:19:51,439 our thing in the past, you know. No, But but some businesses, 1172 01:19:51,520 --> 01:19:54,760 doctors and stuff, they send it to you either can put it on 1173 01:19:54,760 --> 01:19:58,600 a credit card or you can or you can send them a uh uh, 1174 01:19:58,840 --> 01:20:00,199 you know, a check. And now it's and there's the thirsty gonna be 1175 01:20:00,199 --> 01:20:04,680 a third option now setting up and setting up Ah, one of the requirements 1176 01:20:04,840 --> 01:20:09,920 is avoided check from the bank you want set up. Getting those anymore is 1177 01:20:09,920 --> 01:20:13,039 almost impossible, Yeah, because people just don't write checks anymore. Now you 1178 01:20:13,079 --> 01:20:15,439 have to get a direct deposit form. Well, but yeah, there's a 1179 01:20:15,439 --> 01:20:18,720 form on the web, on the website that is designed for this because they 1180 01:20:18,800 --> 01:20:24,239 understand that people don't have checks anymore. I don't write five checks a year, 1181 01:20:24,680 --> 01:20:27,640 right, it's just the thing of the past. Yeah, it really 1182 01:20:27,760 --> 01:20:30,239 is. And as as is change. When's the last time you had dealt 1183 01:20:30,279 --> 01:20:33,920 with change? When the last time he gave worth a change in a bucket 1184 01:20:33,920 --> 01:20:36,199 at my house that I never Yeah? Yeah, right, when's the last 1185 01:20:36,199 --> 01:20:41,840 time you paid someone the exact right amount? Right with pennies and knickles and 1186 01:20:41,920 --> 01:20:45,159 dimes? And yeah, checks really worth it for Zell if you think about 1187 01:20:45,159 --> 01:20:47,319 it, right, it's just a really slow Zell because it's not anything. 1188 01:20:47,359 --> 01:20:51,439 A check isn't worth any example, right, All it is is a digital 1189 01:20:51,439 --> 01:20:55,960 receipt showing that this is gonna Yeah, well, I guess you can bounce. 1190 01:20:56,800 --> 01:21:00,000 I've had checks bounce fifteen twenty days later for somehow, some way, 1191 01:21:00,039 --> 01:21:03,159 I don't know how, right, Yeah, not mine, people sending me 1192 01:21:03,239 --> 01:21:05,560 checks. Well, that's what people need to understand, is like we are 1193 01:21:05,600 --> 01:21:10,800 evolving in all areas, right, and currency evolves, technology evolves, and 1194 01:21:10,840 --> 01:21:14,760 so we went from checks to now Zell to now the Fed. Now the 1195 01:21:14,840 --> 01:21:16,800 younger generation is going to go cashless. They all that now, they don't 1196 01:21:16,840 --> 01:21:18,840 care, they don't think about all that other stuff. But Dean, you 1197 01:21:18,880 --> 01:21:24,399 and I are pretty much cashless. Yeah, I don't. I'm I'm seventy 1198 01:21:24,439 --> 01:21:27,319 three. I don't use You use your Apple wallet all the time, my 1199 01:21:27,359 --> 01:21:29,640 Apple. Yeah, And I don't even use a credit card. I use 1200 01:21:29,720 --> 01:21:32,760 my my cell phone. Well, because you don't travel. If you traveled, 1201 01:21:32,800 --> 01:21:36,000 you would use your credit card for points. No, I get points 1202 01:21:36,000 --> 01:21:40,159 on my on my iPhone. Yeah's credit card is in his iPhone. All 1203 01:21:40,199 --> 01:21:43,520 he has to do is out of my pocket. You have a credit card, 1204 01:21:43,520 --> 01:21:45,479 but you put it on your iPhone and you just tap it on the 1205 01:21:45,760 --> 01:21:47,680 it's tied down my iPhone. I just have a physical credit card. I 1206 01:21:47,720 --> 01:21:51,279 don't have to have the physical card right on credit card. I've got the 1207 01:21:51,760 --> 01:21:56,720 my key that opens my teslass. It's now a credit card. There you 1208 01:21:56,760 --> 01:21:59,279 go, where's that. Losing your phone is the worst thing in the world, 1209 01:21:59,319 --> 01:22:01,199 Then it's worse than losing your wallet, because you could just cancel all 1210 01:22:01,199 --> 01:22:04,039 your credit cards on your wallet. Winter Haven last year, I've told this 1211 01:22:04,119 --> 01:22:08,760 on the Shrouble Far was that winter Haven last December. I lost my money 1212 01:22:08,760 --> 01:22:12,680 clip, two hundred dollars, my credit card, my driver's license, and 1213 01:22:12,760 --> 01:22:15,439 I was telling the people. I was what, I've lost my money clip, 1214 01:22:15,439 --> 01:22:16,640 and they go, well, thank god it wasn't your cell phone. 1215 01:22:16,960 --> 01:22:19,720 Yeah, that's the world we live in. I lost two hundred bucks my 1216 01:22:19,760 --> 01:22:23,000 driver's license to my credit card, and they're going, thank god, it 1217 01:22:23,039 --> 01:22:25,800 wasn't yourself. If you didn't have that cash, you wouldn't lost anything. 1218 01:22:25,800 --> 01:22:28,359 You just froze all your cards, but you would have been out twenty five 1219 01:22:28,359 --> 01:22:30,920 bucks for new driver's license. But my response to them was, yeah, 1220 01:22:30,920 --> 01:22:35,479 that's true. Yeah, the cell phone is more important to us than anything. 1221 01:22:35,960 --> 01:22:39,640 And I remember when Steve Jobs stood up in front of us twelve years 1222 01:22:39,680 --> 01:22:44,319 ago and started talking about twelve years ago. Huh, now that's fifteen years 1223 01:22:44,359 --> 01:22:48,279 now, fifteen years sixteen years Oh yeah, it was sixteen sixteen years now. 1224 01:22:48,279 --> 01:22:50,359 Actually I remember I'm a standing in front of they're talking about and I'm 1225 01:22:50,399 --> 01:22:53,880 thinking, what are you an idiot? It's a phone. Yeah, I 1226 01:22:53,920 --> 01:22:57,920 saw the one of the original iPhones is sold for a record in auction one 1227 01:22:58,000 --> 01:23:00,600 hundred ninety thousand dollars. Was that nine. I'm sitting there watching this thing, 1228 01:23:00,640 --> 01:23:02,840 going, what are you? What are you talking about? It's a 1229 01:23:02,960 --> 01:23:06,319 phone? Just to have the vision that we would keep making money because we're 1230 01:23:06,319 --> 01:23:11,239 gonna keep out more and more version. We'll have twenty thirty versions eventually. 1231 01:23:11,960 --> 01:23:14,279 Yeah, well people aren't going to do it. Why would they just say 1232 01:23:14,319 --> 01:23:15,399 with the one phone? You know, you have a phone at home, 1233 01:23:15,479 --> 01:23:18,319 at your home on the wall, you kept it forever. Well, then 1234 01:23:18,479 --> 01:23:23,119 then you your your memory gets full and they have to pay for more memory. 1235 01:23:23,199 --> 01:23:25,800 Right. Well, he's just so ahead of his time, that is. 1236 01:23:25,960 --> 01:23:28,279 I mean, if you don't have it, because we used to go 1237 01:23:28,359 --> 01:23:31,479 remember everyone's phone numbers, right, but I mean you don't even your data, 1238 01:23:31,680 --> 01:23:33,920 you don't even know anyone's phone. I'll get this thing, says your 1239 01:23:34,000 --> 01:23:36,640 dad is about Yeah, you got it. For another dollar, you can 1240 01:23:36,680 --> 01:23:41,359 buy an act. Okay, fine, I have no idea what that is 1241 01:23:41,399 --> 01:23:45,159 even but we all remember the BlackBerry dominated the market and Steve Jobs knew. 1242 01:23:45,279 --> 01:23:49,600 He said, the reason this isn't gonna work is that the keypad. I 1243 01:23:49,680 --> 01:23:54,359 know that the system needs to be as simple as possible. It needs to 1244 01:23:54,399 --> 01:23:57,680 be touched lest you know. And that's it. No stylists, no extra 1245 01:23:57,680 --> 01:24:02,720 strangle hold on the shell phone market stranglehold. There was a series that just 1246 01:24:02,720 --> 01:24:05,640 came out about Blacky greateful even. First of all, I mean it was 1247 01:24:05,720 --> 01:24:10,159 everybody out a BlackBerry and it was cool because I have the whole keyboard. 1248 01:24:10,239 --> 01:24:13,279 Yea, let me check with my let me check with my BlackBerry. I'll 1249 01:24:13,319 --> 01:24:15,760 send you just something on my Blickberry. You know. It was cool. 1250 01:24:15,920 --> 01:24:19,359 Yeah, but no, it's gone. It's gone. It's accompany, a 1251 01:24:19,359 --> 01:24:23,199 little company. But they don't they're in cybersecurity, now, aren't they? 1252 01:24:23,319 --> 01:24:26,760 Something like that. I also heard Apples coming out with some GBT chat GBT 1253 01:24:26,880 --> 01:24:29,159 stuff, yea, their own version of stuff, which is gonna be really 1254 01:24:29,399 --> 01:24:31,039 BlackBerry was so good as the cell phone thing that they don't do it anymore, 1255 01:24:33,680 --> 01:24:36,239 be come out with a series about that. Be awful to have that 1256 01:24:36,399 --> 01:24:40,439 dominance and that kind of a market is like my space. Right, you 1257 01:24:40,560 --> 01:24:43,479 had that market and you got what he's sold that for six hundred million dollars 1258 01:24:43,479 --> 01:24:46,359 he's lost. All right, we'll be back. Appreciate your listening. This 1259 01:24:46,399 --> 01:24:55,000 is the Money Matter Show. It's all welcome back to everybody. This is 1260 01:24:55,039 --> 01:24:58,399 the Money Matter Show. Dave, Dylan, Todd, and myself Deemed. 1261 01:24:58,840 --> 01:25:00,800 I hope you enjoying it. If you need more, miss anything, go 1262 01:25:01,520 --> 01:25:06,279 to Money Matters with Dean Greenberg. You'll get it on the podcast. But 1263 01:25:06,359 --> 01:25:10,479 you have to say with Dean Greenberg because there's a lot of Money Matters out 1264 01:25:10,479 --> 01:25:13,600 there, right I've seen. Also, just go to a website that you 1265 01:25:13,600 --> 01:25:15,760 don't have to worry about it because it's all on there under YouTube at the 1266 01:25:15,800 --> 01:25:19,680 top right. Also on our Facebook page, I do weekly market updates, 1267 01:25:19,680 --> 01:25:24,920 short videos three to five minutes, really recapping everything. Check those out. 1268 01:25:25,359 --> 01:25:29,439 The YouTube page constantly has new updates on it, so look out for the 1269 01:25:29,439 --> 01:25:33,119 information. If you want to list get reading our monthly newsletter. You know 1270 01:25:33,199 --> 01:25:35,840 in about a week we'll have a new newsletter coming out. You can sign 1271 01:25:35,960 --> 01:25:41,199 up going to our website at the bottom of the page. Sounds good, 1272 01:25:41,239 --> 01:25:45,439 and you're still doing the financial plan anything if anyone needs a portfolio review, 1273 01:25:46,239 --> 01:25:50,800 financial plan, talk about wills and trust. I was telling this client of 1274 01:25:51,279 --> 01:25:55,840 a long time client of mine, a good friend too, who went to 1275 01:25:55,880 --> 01:25:58,439 a seminar with a friend of hers, and I said, I was like, 1276 01:25:59,199 --> 01:26:01,399 why would you go? Are you know? Because she asked me do 1277 01:26:01,399 --> 01:26:03,239 you know these people? And I said, well, what are you doing? 1278 01:26:04,039 --> 01:26:05,960 She said no, no, I'm just going my friends. And I 1279 01:26:06,039 --> 01:26:10,479 said, I said, there is nothing in the financial world that you need 1280 01:26:10,479 --> 01:26:14,159 that we can't help you with. We We've we've got it all right here. 1281 01:26:15,159 --> 01:26:19,159 You see where Todd. I know you're watching the Taiwan semiconduct your plant 1282 01:26:19,159 --> 01:26:21,680 in Phoenix. Have you? Did you see the article this week about how 1283 01:26:21,680 --> 01:26:26,199 they did pade not gonna open in twenty twenty four, It's gonna open in 1284 01:26:26,199 --> 01:26:30,279 twenty twenty five because they cannot find skilled laborers. And I'm thinking to myself, 1285 01:26:30,319 --> 01:26:35,039 well, as a country, we've let that technology go to Taiwan without 1286 01:26:35,079 --> 01:26:40,840 any fight for decades and now all of the trained people are in Taiwan. 1287 01:26:41,000 --> 01:26:45,319 Hello, it's the skilled workers to finish building it. Not necessarily building a 1288 01:26:45,399 --> 01:26:47,600 chip, it's build an actual factory. They don't have the skilled workers for 1289 01:26:47,640 --> 01:26:55,279 that. To build the equipment, yeah, I direction order, Yeah, 1290 01:26:55,359 --> 01:26:58,840 to build the equipment that builds the ship right right, So there, So 1291 01:26:58,960 --> 01:27:03,680 they're Phoenix, it's about to be flooded with people from Taiwan. Yeah, 1292 01:27:03,760 --> 01:27:06,159 I know how to do this. Apparently, well, they were saying the 1293 01:27:06,199 --> 01:27:09,840 training program, the people like if they were in Phoenix, they would have 1294 01:27:09,840 --> 01:27:12,159 to go to Taiwan for eighteen months and train and learn it all and then 1295 01:27:12,199 --> 01:27:14,479 they can move back. And that didn't work out that well, Noah, 1296 01:27:14,680 --> 01:27:16,159 there wasn't a lot of people wanted to go to Taiwan for eighteen months. 1297 01:27:17,119 --> 01:27:21,960 But Apple. Apple plans to use that Phoenix facility for their chips for their 1298 01:27:23,000 --> 01:27:26,680 computers. Fantastic. Yeah, once it gets up and running and the intel 1299 01:27:26,760 --> 01:27:29,520 plant is still there and it's still cranes all over the place, yeah, 1300 01:27:30,520 --> 01:27:33,359 I can't a man. That's the deal we have with China. Don't go 1301 01:27:33,359 --> 01:27:38,199 into Taiwan until we get all the sudden semiconductors built in the United States. 1302 01:27:38,199 --> 01:27:43,079 You know, we talked about this a couple weeks ago about China's claim on 1303 01:27:43,119 --> 01:27:46,199 Taiwan is just it's ridiculous. They have no claim on Taiwan. What about 1304 01:27:46,199 --> 01:27:49,319 the claim on the all those islands and the and the and the and what 1305 01:27:49,439 --> 01:27:54,880 is it? The black seat? They and everything else Taiwan. For decades, 1306 01:27:55,399 --> 01:27:59,840 two parties in China fought over control of China. The losing party was 1307 01:28:00,319 --> 01:28:05,399 banished to Taiwan. Now all of a sudden, well, because if if 1308 01:28:05,479 --> 01:28:09,720 Russia can do it, China can do it. Yeah they I I sat 1309 01:28:09,760 --> 01:28:13,960 on the show that China's claim to Taiwan is about as strong as Russia's claimed 1310 01:28:13,960 --> 01:28:16,079 to Ukraine. You know it isn't It isn't part of it? Did you? 1311 01:28:16,159 --> 01:28:19,319 Smiling? You don't. You don't like that analogy? No, because 1312 01:28:19,880 --> 01:28:23,760 Ukraine was part of Russia at one point, right, and so that's not 1313 01:28:23,800 --> 01:28:28,640 the same thing. Okay, Taiwan, they kick them out. Ukraine was 1314 01:28:28,680 --> 01:28:31,239 part of Russia. Yeah, yeah, that's what they are there because they 1315 01:28:31,239 --> 01:28:34,399 were kicked out of China. Yeah, and they created their own republic and 1316 01:28:34,479 --> 01:28:38,039 so that's their own world. It's not like Ukraine was kicked out of Russia. 1317 01:28:38,119 --> 01:28:39,760 No, that's a good point. That's a good point. So I 1318 01:28:39,800 --> 01:28:43,359 got to come up with a better analogy, not a good one. Oh 1319 01:28:43,399 --> 01:28:46,159 you got you again. Home builders keep hitting new highs and we know why. 1320 01:28:46,520 --> 01:28:50,479 Uh, there's no supply and so people are being forced to buy new 1321 01:28:50,520 --> 01:28:54,680 homes. Whoever thought you'd say that, Oh, if you're gonna buy a 1322 01:28:54,680 --> 01:28:56,319 new home, you're gonna have to If you're gonna buy a home, you 1323 01:28:56,359 --> 01:28:59,600 gotta buy a new one. Oh damn um. You know, there is 1324 01:28:59,640 --> 01:29:02,319 no end the tory. There's just no inventory. And Jod you've mentioned that 1325 01:29:02,840 --> 01:29:06,159 ups connections to homebuilders. There's a lot of concessions being made, and a 1326 01:29:06,159 --> 01:29:10,600 lot of concessions and a lot of the supply issues that have been taken care 1327 01:29:10,640 --> 01:29:15,800 of a lot and there's still so many rentals going up into sun right now, 1328 01:29:15,880 --> 01:29:19,279 like build to rent houses right which is a fairly new thing in the 1329 01:29:19,319 --> 01:29:24,680 industry. And so that's going to continue to take course. And you know, 1330 01:29:24,720 --> 01:29:28,520 they continue to see that trend that eventually new home sales are going to 1331 01:29:29,079 --> 01:29:30,880 fall off because all the homes being built are going to be for rent. 1332 01:29:31,279 --> 01:29:35,039 Yeah, I think it was I happened to get I'm starting to get and 1333 01:29:35,119 --> 01:29:38,920 Dan, you and I've been in this business a long time I'm starting to 1334 01:29:38,920 --> 01:29:45,680 get text and emails from people that are hyping penny AI stocks, the pumping 1335 01:29:45,760 --> 01:29:47,079 dump people. It just started this week, this past week. I just 1336 01:29:47,159 --> 01:29:51,920 I got to them a phone call and an email that we call them pumping 1337 01:29:53,000 --> 01:29:55,880 dump people because they get on the phone and they pump the price up and 1338 01:29:55,880 --> 01:29:59,159 then they dump, they dump their own But these are companies. This is 1339 01:29:59,239 --> 01:30:02,199 taking his back in nineteen ninety nine were companies were coming public and they really 1340 01:30:02,239 --> 01:30:06,199 didn't even have a business and have employees. It doesn't surprise me if you 1341 01:30:06,239 --> 01:30:11,359 look at everything that's gone on, you get the big move and it was 1342 01:30:11,479 --> 01:30:14,079 used to be with dot Com and then there was and then everything with dot 1343 01:30:14,079 --> 01:30:16,359 Com will go up and until it didn't, now everything with AI. So 1344 01:30:16,439 --> 01:30:19,479 you're gonna get the guys that uh, you know, probably don't have the 1345 01:30:19,520 --> 01:30:24,880 best scooples, uh and um and call people and do stuff and get people 1346 01:30:24,880 --> 01:30:28,399 excited for cheap less you know, ten thousand dollars, you can you know, 1347 01:30:28,520 --> 01:30:30,880 get these you know stocks that are going for a dollar you know if 1348 01:30:31,000 --> 01:30:33,560 that dollars. One of them was it was an eighty nine cent stock and 1349 01:30:33,680 --> 01:30:38,439 dollars a dollar sixty and they both had AI in their name right, and 1350 01:30:38,479 --> 01:30:40,840 then go to five six dollars. You can make a fortune. Yeah, 1351 01:30:40,960 --> 01:30:45,000 fortune. And the one that called me, he gave me his speel and 1352 01:30:45,039 --> 01:30:47,399 I said, do your parents know what you do for a living? Click? 1353 01:30:49,359 --> 01:30:53,319 You know? On that note, the SMP five hundred has had thirty 1354 01:30:53,399 --> 01:30:57,760 nine consecutive days without a one percent drop, and it's the longest run since 1355 01:30:57,760 --> 01:31:00,479 twenty nineteen. Hasn't dropped more than one percent since made twenty three. So 1356 01:31:00,720 --> 01:31:03,960 to see that, we know there's going to be some type of one of 1357 01:31:04,000 --> 01:31:08,439 those big days right where there's a catalyst, and I mean the red lights 1358 01:31:08,439 --> 01:31:12,159 are flashing all over the place, and yet we keep going higher, and 1359 01:31:12,199 --> 01:31:16,039 well it's bullish, there's bullshit. Well people, I just bought the pullback. 1360 01:31:16,039 --> 01:31:19,000 Well, what's going to happen is one day the pullback they buy and 1361 01:31:19,039 --> 01:31:23,840 it keeps going on. Lower the panic out. I've also go ahead, 1362 01:31:23,880 --> 01:31:26,439 well, I said, I also heard that the options, that these zero 1363 01:31:26,520 --> 01:31:30,640 dated options are helping the market continue to rally even though there's not a lot 1364 01:31:30,640 --> 01:31:35,640 of fundamental point right now in the in the calls put options and they wanted 1365 01:31:35,680 --> 01:31:39,680 to put do Dan and I were looking at that on Thursday, and we 1366 01:31:39,680 --> 01:31:42,520 were just shocked. Well, Dayling pointed out on Friday to me that there's 1367 01:31:42,600 --> 01:31:46,880 estimated over two point three trillion dollars of options that expire on Friday today, 1368 01:31:47,399 --> 01:31:50,920 one last Friday, last Friday. There's the twenty first. It's a lot, 1369 01:31:51,840 --> 01:31:56,039 there's a lot, and it's the market can kind of quietly close with 1370 01:31:56,159 --> 01:31:58,920 that kind of volume. Is amazing, right that a lot of them, 1371 01:31:59,039 --> 01:32:00,359 a lot of them might be out of money. Well yeah, and a 1372 01:32:00,399 --> 01:32:02,760 lot of them had Dean. They've changed the rules so most of it has 1373 01:32:02,800 --> 01:32:05,920 to be done as the open. So remember how the closes. We that's 1374 01:32:05,920 --> 01:32:10,239 only on the Thursday once, but those wild closes, we used to get 1375 01:32:10,319 --> 01:32:13,960 no on Triple Witching Day, those wild closes. Right, But there was 1376 01:32:13,960 --> 01:32:18,880 the ones that that the SMP was basically closed on Thursday and and gave you 1377 01:32:18,920 --> 01:32:23,640 a value on Monday on the Friday morning, and that's as if you held 1378 01:32:23,680 --> 01:32:28,640 it that long. That's what happened. Intuitive Surgical Dean. Intuitive Surgical. 1379 01:32:28,680 --> 01:32:34,720 Their big business is bariatric surgery, help people that tie their stomach off so 1380 01:32:34,760 --> 01:32:40,159 they can lose some weight. Their business has gone over the cliff because of 1381 01:32:40,279 --> 01:32:44,840 these weight loss struck everybody's waiting. Everybody's waiting. So let me ask you 1382 01:32:44,840 --> 01:32:51,279 a question. What stock would you buy on a pullback that you're looking at? 1383 01:32:51,319 --> 01:32:55,279 What's your number one stock that you like on a pullback? And where 1384 01:32:55,279 --> 01:32:57,079 would you want to buy it? I think it's the same for Alls. 1385 01:32:57,199 --> 01:33:00,960 Right in video we all we all thought in the video better Apple, Puck. 1386 01:33:01,039 --> 01:33:06,119 I think in Nvidio's probably got the clearest runway to profitability. I mean 1387 01:33:06,159 --> 01:33:11,039 they just they just have a demand, a product that they cannot make enough 1388 01:33:11,079 --> 01:33:14,560 of, uh and demand. It looks like it's going to continue for years 1389 01:33:14,560 --> 01:33:15,680 and year. Yeah. The reason I say Apple is because they got the 1390 01:33:15,720 --> 01:33:19,399 VR coming, which looks just better than the other competition, and they're getting 1391 01:33:19,399 --> 01:33:24,680 into AI with like Toto saying, with the CHATSBT of their own and eventually 1392 01:33:24,680 --> 01:33:27,000 they're going to probably build chips with it too. Would be my game, 1393 01:33:27,199 --> 01:33:30,560 non tech, non non tech. Pick a stock that's not in that in 1394 01:33:30,880 --> 01:33:36,000 the top seven constellation brands. That's an opportunity right now, an opportunity with 1395 01:33:36,000 --> 01:33:39,960 a pull after a pullback or what or whatever. Yeah, well, on 1396 01:33:40,079 --> 01:33:41,680 a pullback, what do you look for? Well, okay, well, 1397 01:33:41,720 --> 01:33:44,960 I mean right now would be Disney Okay, I like that. No, 1398 01:33:45,079 --> 01:33:45,920 you don't have to wait for a pullback. It's had it pull Yeah, 1399 01:33:45,920 --> 01:33:50,319 I think probably humanity for me. I like Constellation brands. How are you 1400 01:33:51,239 --> 01:33:59,079 No, I I was looking at thinking, I think Disney is bull Disney. 1401 01:33:59,439 --> 01:34:01,760 Disney to me today is what Boeing was a couple of years ago when 1402 01:34:01,760 --> 01:34:05,119 it was down to one hundred. Nobody wanted nobody wanted stuff. And I'm 1403 01:34:05,159 --> 01:34:08,880 not saying it's going back to one hundred and eighty two hundred, but at 1404 01:34:08,920 --> 01:34:12,039 eighty five, I mean you can probably down the road see Won ten one, 1405 01:34:12,199 --> 01:34:15,760 twenty one thirty Again, it wasn't that there that the long ago will 1406 01:34:15,840 --> 01:34:18,439 change it. Yeah. The thing is, Bob Iger got extended another two 1407 01:34:18,520 --> 01:34:21,199 years, so they're trying. He's gonna keep trying to work at end with 1408 01:34:21,399 --> 01:34:25,079 ESPN. They're not trying to get rid of sports anymore. They're thinking about 1409 01:34:25,119 --> 01:34:29,319 it. But now they're transitioning into making ESPN just streaming rather than the basic 1410 01:34:29,399 --> 01:34:31,800 cable, and they're trying to team up with NFL, NBA, and MLB. 1411 01:34:32,159 --> 01:34:34,560 They should to do a strategic partnership with all of them. If they 1412 01:34:34,560 --> 01:34:39,119 can do that, that's gonna make their sports entertainment side a lot better too. 1413 01:34:39,319 --> 01:34:41,560 Yeah, a year ago it was a two hundred dollar stock. You 1414 01:34:41,600 --> 01:34:44,920 know, ESPN already kind of does that with UFC. They have that strategic 1415 01:34:44,960 --> 01:34:47,760 partnership together, so the NBA they have different things, but they're gonna go 1416 01:34:47,840 --> 01:34:51,600 big sports is huge money. There's no way they can be paying the types 1417 01:34:51,640 --> 01:34:56,399 of billions of dollars they do to college football in the FL if they weren't 1418 01:34:56,439 --> 01:35:00,600 making this much money. And ESPN with Disney's back in, it's that but 1419 01:35:00,640 --> 01:35:03,720 you're right stream it out like everybody else. Your plus already, which works 1420 01:35:03,760 --> 01:35:06,840 really well. They have another year on their NBA exclusive deal, right, 1421 01:35:06,880 --> 01:35:10,920 but they're trying to do like a whole partnership where say the NBA would buy 1422 01:35:10,960 --> 01:35:14,520 an ownership stake in ESPN is what they're looking at. That makes me think, 1423 01:35:14,520 --> 01:35:16,720 actually, you know, Google, when this football season rolls around, 1424 01:35:16,720 --> 01:35:19,840 because you two owns the ticket's going to be interesting to see how Google profits 1425 01:35:19,840 --> 01:35:24,000 off their first year of owning the ticket. It could explode. I mean, 1426 01:35:24,079 --> 01:35:29,239 who's not gonna get that exactly. And it's a great cable product already. 1427 01:35:29,439 --> 01:35:32,000 Alternative, you know, especially everyone that dream grew up like a like 1428 01:35:32,039 --> 01:35:34,399 say I'm a New York fan Jets and Giants. I want to watch those 1429 01:35:34,399 --> 01:35:40,199 games. Well, you're not gonna get them out here unless you get the 1430 01:35:40,279 --> 01:35:43,399 NFL station. I know people that love hockey, they want to watch the 1431 01:35:43,479 --> 01:35:47,439 Rangers, Island is they always get the NHL package basketball. That's why, 1432 01:35:47,560 --> 01:35:51,520 that's why they take off. It's for people that you know that have that 1433 01:35:51,600 --> 01:35:55,840 have transferred out of where they lived and grew up with those teams. Right, 1434 01:35:57,000 --> 01:35:59,920 and the red zone can get a little tiring. Oh hell no, 1435 01:36:00,760 --> 01:36:04,880 at versus being able to watch individual games. Yeah, I mean it depends 1436 01:36:04,880 --> 01:36:06,520 what to do. If you like to bet on games. Red zone is 1437 01:36:06,520 --> 01:36:10,680 awesome. Yeah, get every game. No, that's I get that. 1438 01:36:10,760 --> 01:36:13,880 Yeah, I get that. I enjoyed red Zone. All right, another 1439 01:36:14,079 --> 01:36:16,439 two out has gone quickly. Guys, good job. We'll be back next 1440 01:36:16,479 --> 01:36:21,680 week. Will money matters? You need us, call us, come see 1441 01:36:21,760 --> 01:36:26,439 us, send an appointment. You need a plan, We're doing it for 1442 01:36:26,520 --> 01:36:29,239 you for free. Just call us. We'll get it done. We'll be 1443 01:36:29,239 --> 01:36:32,640 back next week. And remember, we all want to be happy, we 1444 01:36:32,680 --> 01:36:39,600 all want to be healthy, and we all strive to be profitable. Say it's all