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Good morning, Welcome to the Money Matter Show. This is
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Dave Surewood. I'm here with Todd click Junior. I'm here
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with Dylan Greenberg. I'm here with Sebastian Borsini. Dean is
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out of the office. It's June fifteenth, it's Father's Day.
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This is the Father's Day edition of The Money Matter Show.
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And since I'm the only one in the studio with
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a that's a father, I expect some respect during the show.
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Oh absolutely, We'll let you do your weather station without
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any there.
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You start with this respect right there. Happy, wait for
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the girls you got.
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I learned so much.
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You guys are so special. I am responsible for a
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lot of EV sales around town. I can tell you
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that right now.
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But no, like you know, like one of the Father's
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Day traditions, Well no, I guess not Father's Day, Trisian,
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but Tristan a father and like a son or a
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daughter that teach you how to make cars. You don't
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have to do that with your tesla. I mean, everything's
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just it's there, it's done.
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You're talking about change oil and happy to help you
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make cars? Are you talking about work work?
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I should have said maintain cars. What I should have said, right, okay,
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you know what I mean.
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Way, Happy Father's Day to everybody out there. You know
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the headlines this week where there was a plethora we
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were talking about the Wildcats getting into the World Series, which.
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Was yeah, the u c l A.
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Bruins did too.
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For the nineteenth were.
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Two sunners on who cares about the UCLA?
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Don't care about them? We got.
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That's like, yeah, something to do with the West, the u.
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C l A bear down.
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Either's u c l A DoD That's what there's anybody
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right right right? So you had you had that the wildcast,
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go Cats, uh trade deal, attentative trade deal with China,
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and then it all went in the toilet on Friday
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because on Thursday evening there's a.
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Lot to unpack this week. It's kind of where do
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you want to start. Do you want to start at
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the beginning of the week or do you start with
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what everyone's thinking about and then work backwards.
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Yeah, you know, if if you go through the first
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four days of the week, the market is moving towards
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all time highs. Economy strong M and A and mergers
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and acquisitions I p O S strong reading, lower cp
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I on an lowre.
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PPI higher consumer sentiment.
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Excellent consumer centem off the charge. Yeah, but you know
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it all got thrown in the in the dumpster on
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a Thursday afternoon when I went on Israel said, Okay,
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for twenty years we've been trying to figure out how
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to stop Iran's nuclear program. I think we figured out
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a way and did it the Israeally way, and that's
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that's added a whole new level of uncertainty to the market. Yeah,
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how long it goes on? Right?
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Well, and we're recording this Friday afternoon, so all we
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know is what happened Thursday night and Friday morning with
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the first retaliation. I'm sure by now when this there's
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live Sunday morning, there's gonna be more stuff that goes
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on Saturday Friday night. So it's all just gonna be unraveled,
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and it's gonna be a lot of uncertainty. And I
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mean that's a big reason I think the market's dropped
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off on Friday too, because they just people don't want
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to hold securities over the weekend exactly. They'll say the
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uncertainty screwt. I'm just gonna raise cash, wait for Monday
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and go from there because you don't know what's gonna
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happen over the weekend.
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I fight the big sell off on Friday. The SMP
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finished the week down four ten so to one percent,
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still only two point eight percent off of the all
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time high, twenty three percent off of that alt we
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hit with the Trump taroffs when they started, so it
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really wasn't We took about an eight hundred point drop
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on Friday, the Dow did about a little over a percent.
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Market a side. I mean Friday afternoon, we were watching CNBC.
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They had tele Aviva on there, and it's watching those
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missiles get you know, flown toward the city. Was just unnerving.
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It was horrible.
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It's not a good situation.
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But like Dave says, it's been twenty years worth of
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it of Ron talking about just dismantling Israel. Israel had
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enough of it. They got intel that there was they
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were enriching Urani into weapons grade. They had roughly nine
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nukes and according to their intelligence, and Israel decided to
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take care of themselves as a preempty measure. But that
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also at the same time I ran and the US
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were supposed to have talks on this coming Sunday today,
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and I ran canceled that on Friday, so who knows
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what's going on the rest of the weekend after this recording.
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Obviously heard this story before. You ever remember the weapons
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of mass destruction, and that's that's the only caveat you
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could throw in there, right, are they Is the intelligence
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actually being correct right, because they're saying that they're super close.
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But we also know that Nett not whose whole regime
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got elected. They passed the vote for this week, so
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they obviously at that time had the political strength to
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be able to do these attacks. They wouldn't have done
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it last week. They did it specifically this week.
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There's also been I mean with the enrichment. Iran has
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been doing it more and more ever since twenty eighteenhen
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the US got out of that deal, and when we
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were trying to get back in, we say stop funding
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terrorist groups. They didn't want to in a sense, so
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the deal with it died. And then from there they've
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been enriching uranium more and more throughout the years, and
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they were getting the sixty percent even ninety percent for
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this isn't like out of nowhere that they got to
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this level well.
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And they had been for a long time trying to
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do this Iran, and in twenty ten the US and
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Israeli intelligence used a project called Stuck's Net and actually
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pretty much blew up their center futures that were enriching
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this uranium and set them back almost a decade. Well
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that decade is now here, right, So it's certainly there
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has been other ways to prevent them from getting to
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where they want to go. This seems like Israel's opinion,
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it's the only option at this time. Seems like US
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might have had a couple other options up their sleeve,
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but at this time we are in where we are
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at now. Maybe they just got Iran has said they
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are going to retaliate and they're not going to have
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any talks with the US on Sunday like they had
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planned originally.
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Yeah, And I mean.
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It's also like it's just unfortunate that this situation has
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risen to this level because Israel just gets tired of it,
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probably after twenty years of saying of this country and
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this government just talking about wanting to wipe them off
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the face of the earth.
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No funding, Hans bluff funding Hamas, yeah.
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Yeah, and then through Gaza and then playing the good guy,
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this government is not a good government. They're not looking
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out for their people in the country. They just want
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to do whatever they want. They want to just take
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power over everything, wipe Israel off, and move on. In Israel,
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it's a strong country and they're very proud of their country,
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and they're going to take care of it well.
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And I think also that who's seeing a window of
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opportunity here. You have a US president who's going to
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back Israel. You have an Iranian or Iranian Iranian regime
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that's very weak, a lot of internal unrest in Iran.
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They have spent fifty percent of all the missiles they
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have shooting at Israel, accomplishing absolutely nothing. It would not
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surprise me that they maybe have three or four days
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of this and they're done. They're out. They're no match
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for Israel at all, and Israel knows that, and so
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this is an opportunity for Israel to go in and
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do it. If it stays like this, Israel and Iran,
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a war between Israel and Iran. I think it ends
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pretty quick. But the biggest negative is if if it expands,
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if Iran were to try to shoot at US bases
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or US ships, then the US gets involved. Then it
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gets really ugly. But it seems to me like the
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writing is on the wall for Iran. They just can't.
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They're not in a position to. It's like me wanting
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to beat up Dylan. That's just not gonna happen, you know.
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I mean, he's an offensive lineman and I'm a lightweight wrestler.
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You know, it's not gonna. It's just not gonna happen.
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And Iran is not in any position to fight a
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war with Israel. Other countries getting involved, China, Russia. Russia
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already reached out to both Iran and Israel and said
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that they would brokerr a peace agreement. Yeah I trust that, Yeah, yeah, Yeah,
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let's let Russia, who's been in bed with Iran, work
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on a piece deal for us. I don't think.
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So.
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It is interesting that if you think about the Russia Ukraine,
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like we're mad at Russia for defending themselves, it seems
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seems like a very similar way that Israel is to
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ending themselves. I mean, Russia got word that native troops
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were going on the border Ukraine, and that's why they
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decided to actually put up some defenses and not allow
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that to happen. So It's very interesting to me that
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you have on one side one set of opinions, and
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then when you flip to the other side of the world,
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it flips.
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I don't think there's any comparison between the two personally.
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Russia attacked an innocent country who did absolutely nothing to
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them for no reason other than Putin wanted to put
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Russia back together again before he dies, and he's in
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his seventies, so we'll be going to hurry up.
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Yeah, I disagree with that's how it went down.
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How'd that work out? You know that there's no reason
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for it. There was absolutely no reason for Putin to
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attack Ukraine. But then that's a whole nother story. But
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Iran enriching nuclear excuse me, working on nuclear weapons that
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could be used against Israel. That's a problem.
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Why we've heard that story before though, I mean, we've
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had the Pale guy say that back in two thousand
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and one that there was that in the turn out
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to be not the case. But that's also the other
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thing is that, like you said, it might just be
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an opportunistic window. They say that they have enrichment, they
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have the backing, they have everything they need to be
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able to do these strikes. Now we're in this situation.
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As we stay here on a Friday afternoon, it seems
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like a pretty good window of opportunity. They've they killed
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nine of the top ten Iranian officials that are involved
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in the nuclear program, a couple of the heads of
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their military. I mean they pretty much they're at the
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head of the sname.
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There were reports that they were moving in missiles months ago.
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I think they call Masad, which is Israel's yep CIA,
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pretty much. And yeah, they had this plan for sure,
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and they were perfect on execution, on getting the right scientists,
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the right generals. That's why the retaliation took so long.
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They've known from the past that they need to take
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out the people who are going to call the retaliation
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ballistics strikes, so it takes a while for them to
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figure out who's going to be the next up in line.
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They actually called them out.
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It's just interesting. For twenty years the world's been trying
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to figure out a way to get Iran to stop
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up making nuclear weapons. In Israel said, I think we've
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found a way.
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By the way, my worries is about this progressing into
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other country involvements.
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So I said, you have six Spans if they attack
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a US base, if Yemen gets involved. But when you
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look at what Israel has done to Hamas and what
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Israel had done to Hesbelah and now what they're doing
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to Iran, do you really want to poke the bear?
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I mean if you're Yemen or one of the anyway.
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This is a stock market show, so let's talk about
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the stock market.
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Well, I mean, it's all affecting it. I mean we
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know that Hesbela they already reported they're not going to
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get involved with the Israel Iran thing because they're so
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weakened and bad. So is that another opportunistic thing? Right?
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They've taken care of Hesbela. Now you go to the
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next side that you need to take.
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Think the market hats more than anything is uncertainty, and
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we've got it in spage right now. And like you say, Dylan,
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on Friday afternoon, you're not going to get a lot
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of buyers ahead of a weekend because you just don't
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know how this is going to play out. This is
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brand new on Friday, and so Saturday Sunday, what's going