June 18, 2023
JUNE 18 Father's Day Podcast
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Good morning, everybody. This is
the Money Matters Show. I'm Dylan Greenberg.
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I'm here with Dave Sherwood. Dean
is over in Europe and tossed down
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to Mexico. Is out of the
country except us. Is Dylan, Hugh
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and me in two empty chairs.
Is indeed we have a couple of people
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on though throughout the show is gonna
Melissa from All American Lending, and we
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have John Sibilia from Edward law Yay
Py and Sunday morning, the eighteenth of
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June, and it is Father's Day. Is indeed the Father's Day edition of
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The Money Matters Show. I want
to say Happy Father's Day all the guys
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out there who are lucky enough who
have gotten that job. When my daughter
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wishes me happy Father's Date, my
response is best job in the world and
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in parentses thanks to your mom because
I got to have all the fun stuff
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and when it went south, I
turned her over to mom. Yeah it's
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funny. So yeah, I mean, I'll say Happy Father's Day to my
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dad, even though probably won't hear
this over there about an eight hour difference,
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but he's struggling over there. He
got it. He's struggling because he
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likes to dance, but he's older
now, and he turned sixty six four
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days before he left, and now
he can't dance as well. And he
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got caught up and he twisted his
knee. Now they think they don't know
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for sure, but it might be
an acl tear because he likes to dance
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too much. Now, the story
I got was that he had rubber soul
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shoes on, yeah, and tried
to make one of his dance moves,
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and the rubber soul shoe got stuck
and over he went and into the stage
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and his foot didn't move, and
he kept moving and there went the knee.
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So he's gonna be in Europe for
another three weeks, walking on crutches,
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yep, checking out all the museum
in history there on crutches. It's
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a typical Dean because I was talking
to him yesterday and he was kind of
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funny. You know that initially when
something like that happens, and then the
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next day it starts to set in
that things are not going to be right,
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and so his whole thing and this
is so Dean. He said,
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I just need to have an attitude
adjustment and we'll be just fine. And
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that's so, Dean, I mean, it is what it is. Right,
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Life comes at you and you just
you you adjusted. He's in the
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adjustment process right now. Once he
gets adjusted and his crutches and your mom
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is a trooper and in a way
they go, yeah, he seems like
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he's a good spirits But yeah,
like you said, it is what it
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is. Like, what are you
gonna do? You have to deal with
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what happened? But a lot of
people would would cancel the trip, you
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know, any number of things.
And it's just his His whole attitude about
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adversity is so refreshing. Yeah,
I definitely think I got that from him.
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Yeah, I think show going to
read the disclaimer to get there.
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Yeah. So we've been doing the
show for thirty three years now. This
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show is sponsored by the Greenberg Financial
Group. You can listen on this channel
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seven ninety Cannasty or iHeartRadio. We
also have the podcast on Spotify, Apple
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Music, any of the big streaming
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discusses different investment types, different products
and strategies. Every product and strategy have
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some type of inherent risks, and
we struggly encourage our listeners to properly understand
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the risk to determine whether to buy, sell, or hold. The Greenberg
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You can visit our website at Greenberg
Financial dot com for more information or
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give us a call at five to
zero five four four four nine zero nine.
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Fantastic and what a week it was
in the market. You go back
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to May twenty fourth. May twenty
fourth, the SMP five hundred got up
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to that August high, that forty
three twenty five, where we frankly thought
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it would fail didn't. We didn't
think it would have enough energy to get
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through that. It busted through that
like a hot knife through butter. And
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we've been off to the races ever
since. Broke above forty four hundred on
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Friday, up two point six percent
for the week to a fourteen month high.
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And I don't think not only did
we really not see this coming,
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I don't think a lot of other
people saw it coming either, Which is
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why you see that dramatic, parabolic
type of move is you have a lot
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of people who are are hedged,
are short YEA and the performance is coming
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to the end of June. You
get paid on your performance, and there's
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a lot of people scrambling to do
something for performance. But again Daling,
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it was still the magnificent seven.
It is. But what I was looking
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at right now is interesting that the
RSP, the equal weight at SMP five
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hundred, yes, was up just
about the same as the SMP five hundred
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this past week, and for the
month it's up over a percent more than
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the SMP five hundred. That's a
good point. So that's interesting the fact
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that we think it's the magnificent seven, but the other four hundred ninety three
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stocks are now kind of waking up
a little bit, kind of holding their
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own helping out. Now. I
did look at the value exchange traded funds
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on Friday, which are the blue
chip diving in payers where most conservative investors
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have and they're still down for the
year, still slightly down for the year.
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Oh it's tech TEX running this Tex
for sure. The magnificent seven is
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Kramer calls them, Yeah, running
the show. And Nvidia new all time
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high, multiple new all time highs. Last year. You got Meta a
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two hundred and eighty dollars a share. Again, you have Tesla, which,
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like I mean, you're going to
talk about it no, I know
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for a fact, to talk about
him more because he's been I'm gonna talk
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a lot about Tesla the second hour, Ron Land's last Week, our guy
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with Solar and our EV guy.
Yeah, he and I after the show,
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he and I were going back and
forth, kind of arguing a little
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bit about the whole thing. And
and it's it ignited, Uh, the
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curiosity in me. And I've been
doing a lot of research and I've got
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some some really interesting things. Uh. The the EV market is is growing
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exponentially. Um, and I've got
some some facts about that. I think
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I think we'll find. By the
way, Uh, we're going to celebrate
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Father's Day by taking Tomorrow off and
and people will say, what do you
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mean taking him out? What?
What's what? Holidays on Monday, juneteenth,
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June. This is the second year
it is the federal holiday. So
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that all the markets are closed.
Our office will be closed. Mail mail's
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clanks, yep, anybody anybody that
can be pretty much anybody they can be
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closed is closed. And Dylan said, Uh, in the disclaimer there on
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our website or the iHeart app,
you can you can look at fast shows
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if you're If this is the first
time you're tuning in and said, what
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are these guys all about you?
There's dozens of shows available for you to
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look at on iHeart Radio, the
iHeart website, the ihard app or our
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own Greenberg Financial. Yeah, and
if you look up the podcast that you
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got to look up Greenberg or Money
Matters with Dean Greenberg, because there's a
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ton of Money Matters out there,
but it'll show up if you put with
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Dan Greenberg. Yeah, sorry to
him. I was sitting with a guy
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last week and he was trying to
get on his phone and we did have
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to go with Dean Greenberg. Yeah, just to narrow it down exactly,
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and I think you enjoy it.
Past shows are are are fun if you
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if you miss Dean's voice, and
this is the second week he's gone,
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I think he's gone three more,
so it'll be a while before you hear
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Dean's voice again. If you miss
him, you can go back and listen
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to his monologue, his wonderful monologues
on any of those stations. Headlines this
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week, dealing a couple of big
headlines. Big one was the fed first
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Rate pause since they've been hiking it
for the last fifteen months. But they're
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saying there's about a sixty to sixty
five percent chance that they're gonna hike at
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another twenty five basis points in July, and they're not done increasing them.
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This is where you I've said before
on the show that the market will from
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time to time getting a situation or
getting into a place where all news is
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good news or all news is bad
news. It just matters how you frame
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it. And what you just said
is exactly what I'm talking about. The
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Fed did not raise interest rates.
That was widely expected. There was like
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an eighty five percent expectation that that's
what would happen. Now. Many market
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pundits, in fact, a majority
of market pundits, believed that there would
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be at least one interest rate cut
before year end, maybe two interest rate
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cuts before year We've not been on
that team, you know, we don't
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believe that's the case. But the
Fed comes out not only did they not
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suggest there were dividend cuts coming,
but they suggested there might be two more
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increases. Now that would have sent
the market in a world where all news
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is bad news, that would have
sent the market down three four, five
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hundred flights. Yeah. Instead,
the market just shrugged it off. The
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market shrugged it off, because here's
how the market took it. When all
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news is good news, you frame
that, oh, well they're almost done,
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yep, exactly, and that's how
they framed it. Yeah, I
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mean it did. And yet we
have not been in the business of thinking
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that they're going to cut rates anytime
soon, because they still won't waiver from
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the two percent inflation target that they
have. And I mean inflation came in
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with four and a half percent year
over year, four annualized came out of
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four, so got to cut it
in a half still. Yeah, So
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it's it was the biggest drop since
they've started. And we've talked about this
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on the show too. Once the
Fed funds rate, which is currently five,
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gets above the rate of inflation,
inflation typically drops very quickly. And
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what we saw in May was the
largest month over month drop since they start
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a raising rate. Yeah, from
essentially from five to four. So it's
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on the right track. And that's
why people were happy as well, because
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I mean, dropping that much and
you're really only two percent off in the
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grand scheme of things, but you
still have to cut that in half and
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it still has to work. So
now what we're waiting to see is did
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this rate pause? Is it gonna
be helpful or are they going to think
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that they got to raise a fifty
basis points next July or in July.
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But I don't think that's gonna happen. I'm just saying, kind of playing
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what could happen data dependent exactly.
A couple of other big headlines last week
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the Denver Nuggets Denver Nuggets forty seven
years as a franchise, and they finally
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won, finally won the NBA championship
after forty seven years, first time ever.
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Also, this weekend starts the college
baseball worlds here with your Kentucky Wildcats
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almost there, I know, and
my TCU horn Frogs are in the shell.
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You guys have had a good year. Football obviously was good, and
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then now baseball is good. Yeah, So it's it's it's been a good
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year for TCU and we for school
with ten thousand kids exactly. It's it's
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kind of kind of fun to see
the little guy win from time to time.
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But you know, the Fed did
talk about did signal a couple more
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radio increases this year. I gotta
believe that's overkill. Yeah, I just
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think that I don't see the necessity. Well, the thing is that the
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data is good. For the next
month, you could see them change their
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tone. Yeah, so we'll see
producer prices were actually down from April to
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May. They actually declined by three
tenths of a percent producer prices. That's
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the wholesale price level, which is
good. That's a good thing. So
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we're on the right track. But
what the market is seen right now that
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again, we talked about the technical
breakout. A lot of by technical,
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we're talking about charts, and there
are a lot of trade and money managers
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that use the charts. And when
you have a chart where forty three twenty
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five is the high, and you
went up to that and then you fell
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back, and you went up to
that again and fell back, you would
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expect the third time up you're going
to fall back. Well, when that
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doesn't happen, when it breaks through
that, then that tells you that we
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better beginning long in a hurry.
And the next seventy five points, actually
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the next almost hundred points happened in
about five minutes. It seems like it
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was a day at day and a
half. Yeah, I mean, once
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it starts running, it just runs
because then everybody has the fear of missing
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out, so they just jump in, whether it's the ETS or they try
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and get into these tech stocks which
are still running running the show. Because
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the NASDAC was up the most for
the week at three point two percent,
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and for the year it's up thirty
one percent, which is almost wiping out
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all of last year's losses. In
christ year lost thirty three percent, not
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even six months in, not even
halfway through the year, and has almost
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come back that way. And that's
that is in due part to the Magnificent
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seven. This is the best first
half for the semiconductor sector ever in history.
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It's the strongest rally overall since November
of twenty one, and it's based
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on the belief that we've got this
Goldilocks scenario going right now. And I'm
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not disparaging that are criticizing that,
but that's what we have. We have
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a Goldilocks scenario where there are going
to be no more rate increases. Yep,
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We've avoided the recession. We are
going to have a soft landing,
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and artificial intelligence is going to drive
corporate darning still levels unseen. Yeah,
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I mean, I feel like that's
really what's running the two is the AI
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because semiconductors are doing but they're the
ones that run AI, just like in
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video, keeps sitting new highs because
they are the leader in the chips that
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AI needs. And there's just sold
out still yeah, they still you can't
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get any I think one question I
get asked by our visors as well as
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our clients, what do we do
now? I mean, the market is
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twenty six percent off of the October
low. Yeah, twenty six percent.
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Technically we're in a bull market now, absolutely, And there was a it
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was a big discussion. Remember when
the SMP thirty four ninety one back in
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October and then it came off of
that level. There was an awfully lot
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of people believing that we would have
to either retest that or maybe go below
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that. Yeah, now, I
said no, I said thirty four ninety
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one was going to be the bottom. That was it? Right? And
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every now and then you get one, right, like a buying hog finds
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an acorn from time to time.
Yeah, as we say in South Dakota.
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But thirty four ninety one looks like
it's now in the rearview mirror,
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and I can't imagine that there's anyone
now that believes that we're going to revisit
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that level. So what do you
do now? I think probably the thing
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you don't do is aggressively buy.
Yeah, I agree with that. You
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don't want to aggressively buy when these
stocks have run up to fifty two week
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highs so quickly, and they just
keep doing it like at one point there's
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gonna be profit taking there will it
will come. And then what I see
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happening with that, especially with these
tech stocks, is you got the big
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investors, institutions and all will start
taking profits or whatever happens. Maybe you
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can see it after June thirtieth,
because, like you said, that's the
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end of the quarter. Money managers
usually try and get their institutions, try
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and get as much out of it
as they can towards the end of the
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quarter. Once that happens, they
might take some profits at the next quarter.
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And then it's the retail investors,
the individual investors on robin Hood and
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all that tend to get scared once
they see and video all of a sudden
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drop ten percent, they'll sell,
just take their profit because they're done.
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They don't want to be part of
it anymore. They're kind of nervous.
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They lost ten percent, and that's
how you can see a slide happen real
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quick, because tech stocks do run
quick. Both ways, we've been trimming
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for lack of a better word here. And if you're a home gamer and
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you have end video that you bought
it a hundred, four hundred and twenty
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five, four hundred and thirty whatever, you've got to take some off the
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table. You've got to trim that
back. That doesn't mean it doesn't go
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to five hundred or six hundred or
seven hundred, but it could easily be
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three hundred. Well's the idea.
That's why you need a plan of what
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you wanted, a plan of action, and what you want to do.
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If you want to have a video
be three percent of your portfolio and now
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it's run up, Like you bought
it at one hundred dollars for three percent
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of your portfolio, and now it's
that for undred and thirty five dollars to
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share. What you're probably about was
say eight ten percent of your portfolio.
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Now take the seven percent gain and
just go back to three percent. Now
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you take all your profit and you're
still in an video in case it does
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run to five hundred dollars, six
hundred dollars. You don't know, but
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at least it took some off the
table, and you'll be happy with that.
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You'll be able to sleep better at
night because rather than being full in
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the whole time or full out,
you don't have to go full out just
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because it's at four thirty five.
Take your profit a little bit and then
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let the other part run. Well
said, Well, I said, because
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the economy does continue to show signs
and flowing corporations are continuing to be cautious
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in their outlook. Yeah, we
saw the A lot of comment about the
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recession is now off the table.
There isn't going to be a rason.
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Well, there will be a recession, I promise you, I guarantee it.
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Actually, well, a lot of
economists are saying there's still going to
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be a recession, not like you
still have that idea going around. So,
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but the one thing that we're seeing
doing and is a widening of not
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only is the yield curve inverted,
and I'll talk a little bit more about
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that, but we're actually seeing a
widening of that inversion we talked last week
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on the show, and maybe be
a good time to look at the housekeeping.
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Remember we talked about how long can
that yield curve stay inverted? Inverted
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means that a ten year rate of
interest is below the two year radi of
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interest, something that's very unusual,
not unheard of, but unusual. An
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inverted yield curve, excuse me,
it's excuse me, it's an unusual event.
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Typically proceeds a period of economic downturn. Obviously, people think that in
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the short term rates are higher,
but in the long term rates are going
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to be lower because the economy is
going to be weaker. Federative is going
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to be cutting interest rates to prop
up the weakening economy, so rates will
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be lower down the road. The
yield curve inverted on April first of twenty
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two, and last week we ask
is this an unusually long time for the
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yield curve to be inverted? And
it is not surprisingly. Over the last
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fifty years, the typical inversion has
been under ten months. That's been the
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average, under ten months. We're
currently at fifteen months. Interestingly, recessions
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tend to start within eighteen months of
the yield curve inverting, which is kind
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of interesting since the average inversion period
is ten months. That means that most
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inversions there isn't a recession that follows
that would not be consistent with statistical norms.
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Yeah, but we're getting close.
If eighteen months is the is the
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period before from inversion to recession,
we're getting pretty down closed. Well.
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It's kind of this whole market for
the last two years has kind of proven
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why statistics and theories are kind of
just are there because we look at history
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and as money managers, you look
at history what happened and how do we
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predict it? And that's what we're
saying. If the yield inverts, then
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it has happened in the past,
that is gonna be a recession leading that,
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But it doesn't always happen. And
that's what we're seeing right now is
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how we're still waiting, waiting,
waiting, And that's why you see a
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lot of economists say that we're going
to be in a recession because that's just
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how it's happened in history following an
inversion of the yield curve. If you
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if you predict a recession, you
will absolutely be right at some point,
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at some point, like they stopped
watch being right twice a day, exactly,
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yeah, exactly, And it's the
invert. Yeah, you say recession
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is coming, Oh, it was
just two years too early. I think
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one of the things that we look
at here at Greenberg Financial before we take
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a position in something, we ask
ourselves, if it doesn't work, how
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do I explain why I did it? Here? Yeah, and right now
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with the market up twenty seven percent
off of the October low just October and
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up fifteen percent for the year,
it's hard to explain why you bought most
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things. So we have not been
buying most things. We've been trimming exactly.
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And that's what we're talking about,
because we did have gains in Nvidia
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in different stocks. If your risk
tolerance allowed for that kind of correct everybody
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can take the Nvidia's up and downs. Balanced account typically isn't going to have
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much Nvidia. They'll have it in
the ETF form. Yeah, yeah,
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exactly, but exactly. Yeah,
I can't hurt to take that. And
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then that's what we do look at
because we can't necessarily why why would you
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want to buy it at the two
week guys, it just doesn't make sense
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to us when we're trying to manage
somebody's money, especially if they're more on
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00:19:48,599 --> 00:19:52,759
the balance side just doesn't make sense. But there always is opportunities in the
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markets. You just got to find
them. Like I mean, for instance,
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take Disney. A lot of these
companies, a lot of these growth
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companies, that big companies, good
companies, Apple, Amazon, Google and
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Video Meta and all them or have
run up to fifty two week highs,
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if not all time highs, and
then he got Disney that's just down right
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now. It's in the nineties,
it's down quite a bit from it's all
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time high, but it's still Disney, and it's still a good company,
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and they're still trying to put it
into the right direction with Bob Iger taking
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back over again and trying to go
with his vision again. There's still a
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good company. So if your restaurant
allows for that, it is that's in
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the buying opportunity, right there is
how we kind of view that. But
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we're not going to go chasing the
fear of missing out trade the magnificence seven.
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Yeah, we're not in the business
of the trading or chasing that.
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We'd rather take the cash and be
patient. And it's just the hardest thing
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in the market like this, right
And one of our number one objectives is
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return of the money. Return on
the money is important. But one of
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the things that we look at his
return of the money. Yeah, in
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the perfect world, we would have
no downside, just outside Well that's not
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realistic, but we like to keep
the downside. We like to concentrate more
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on minimizing the downside than maximizing the
upside. Could you have to do one
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or the other. Yeah, I
mean that's why we've put the hedge on
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and we've had our headge on,
which is I mean it's not the whole
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account, it's just five percent,
ten percent of the account, but we've
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had the hedge on for the downside
protection in case it does happen. We're
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playing the costious side and we've been. That's been our montra for the last
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few months. I think I said
last week that I was nervous enough about
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the strength of the market that I
wish we would have taken all of the
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heade off. So that must be
a good sign. Well not yet.
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00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:37,039
Yeah, but just like economists,
you know, you predict the accession just
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two years too late. But we'd
rather be on the coustious side for part
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of the portfolio, just to have
that protection. Because also we are working
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with clients who are retirees who their
accounts or their money they're not accumulating anymore,
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so they want to be able to
sleep at nice So it's nice.
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They liked the idea of having a
hedge on in case the markets do turn
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00:21:52,839 --> 00:21:56,240
and you can't expect you don't expect
it. Yeah, and that's why you
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00:21:56,279 --> 00:21:57,880
have a little bit of growth,
you have a little bit in value in
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the dividend pain stile. We've got
a model that we put together. Yeah,
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00:22:03,279 --> 00:22:04,720
speaking of the model, that's also
why we're in the model. We
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00:22:04,759 --> 00:22:10,200
put together seventy tfs that cover the
broad markets, and we put no more
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00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:15,759
than roughly twenty five percent into an
account with our model, typical account in
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00:22:15,839 --> 00:22:18,119
the model. And the reason for
that is because we don't know if the
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00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:22,640
markets take off and run like they
are right now. You don't you can't
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00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:23,880
predict that, like we weren't predicting
it, but all of a sudden it
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00:22:25,079 --> 00:22:29,240
is taken off and running. At
least our clients portfolios are invested in the
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00:22:29,559 --> 00:22:33,319
broad market, so they are seeing
some of those were participating exactly. Our
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00:22:33,319 --> 00:22:37,839
accounts are growing nicely, and that
model we rebalance the model. We don't
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ever really take it all out and
put it all in. That model stays
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invested. That's just part of your
portfolio. Right. The oil is up
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a dollar sixty on a week to
seventy one eighty. Gold was up eight
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00:22:48,599 --> 00:22:52,599
bucks last week to nineteen seventy.
Again, that spread on the between the
348
00:22:53,519 --> 00:22:57,200
ten year and the two year widened
a little bit, which is not very
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00:22:57,200 --> 00:23:02,200
good if you're bullish. Three point
eight percent as a ten year treasury,
350
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:07,079
four point seven is a two year
treasury, and I actually personally got five
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00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:12,519
and a quarter on a one year
treasury on Thursday of last week. Nice.
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00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:17,519
Yeah, that's government guaranteed with no
state income tax. Five and a
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quarter Bitcoin down for a fourth straight
week. We saw the regional banks continue
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to rebound. A lot of that
has to do with the strength of the
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00:23:26,839 --> 00:23:29,440
market, but a lot of it
also has to do with there hasn't been
356
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:33,400
another shooter drop yelling. Yeah,
there's been nobody else. Yeah, I
357
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:38,440
mean and the and there. People
think that it's over because of the the
358
00:23:38,559 --> 00:23:42,759
FEDS or the government stepped in quick
enough with First Republic that they think it's
359
00:23:42,839 --> 00:23:45,599
they caught it and they're not going
to let another two thousand and eight happen.
360
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:49,319
And if it's all about it is
all about consumer confidence. The amount
361
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of money we have behind the account
is not enough to pay everybody, every
362
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:59,200
bank account in the country. So
it becomes a situation of consumer confidence.
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And right now the consumer confidence in
the regional banks has stabilized. I don't
364
00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:07,359
want to see it's growing, because
it's not growing, but it has stabilized.
365
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:11,160
I don't hear anybody talking about it
anymore. I'm not getting any more
366
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:15,279
calls about insurance. What's what are
my accounting shirt? I'm just not hearing
367
00:24:15,319 --> 00:24:19,680
that anywhere. Yeah, and we're
gonna have a brief break here. We'll
368
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:23,480
be back with Melissa Hand from All
American Lending talking a little bit about what's
369
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:30,920
going on in the mortgage market.
Thanks for listening, say it's all good
370
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:34,400
morning again. This is the Father's
Day edition of the Money Matters Show.
371
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:40,319
I'm Dave Sherwood. I'm here with
Dylan Greenberg and two empty chairs except one's
372
00:24:40,319 --> 00:24:42,240
full now actually, actually I only
have one empty chair. Yeah. We
373
00:24:42,319 --> 00:24:45,440
got Melissa Hand from All American Lending, and yere, how you doing,
374
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,160
Melissa. I'm doing well, thank
you. Ol. Yeah, So we
375
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:52,640
bring her on to talk about the
mortgage industry and the lending and everything that's
376
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,880
been going on in that industry.
Have you seen anything different? I know,
377
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:59,440
rates they seem to kind of he's
off last back a little bit.
378
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,359
Yeah. Um, the feens didn't
raise it this month, but you know,
379
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:07,000
we'll see they're thinking maybe they'll raise
it a couple more times because inflation
380
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:12,680
is, you know, still very
high. However, Um, they did
381
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:21,920
raise the loan limits to seven for
a conforming loan to seven twenty six,
382
00:25:22,079 --> 00:25:26,480
seven hundred and twenty six thousand,
and an FHA to four hundred and seventy
383
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:30,680
two thousand. So I explain conforming
loan. I know what it is because
384
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,720
they used to do market. Um, it's a loan where you can just
385
00:25:33,799 --> 00:25:40,640
put five percent down. And if
you go into a jumbo loan, which
386
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:45,799
is a loan amount above the six
seventy two or seven twenty six, excuse
387
00:25:45,839 --> 00:25:49,640
me, I got the numbers mixed
up. Um, you go into jumbo
388
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:55,960
pricing and those you have to put
ten percent down minimum, and their pricing
389
00:25:56,119 --> 00:26:00,799
is a lot higher. Conforming loans
are are essentially the way to gain you
390
00:26:00,799 --> 00:26:03,039
can get right. The VA loan
is by far the best you can get
391
00:26:03,079 --> 00:26:07,599
and by the way, they deserve
it absolutely so you couldn't agree more,
392
00:26:07,759 --> 00:26:11,039
um, you know, and they're
also on they have a program called home
393
00:26:11,039 --> 00:26:15,920
Ready for first time homebuyers. Anybody
who has not owned a home in the
394
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:21,920
last three years can qualify for the
program. And they're raising the income limits
395
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:26,279
on that, which is really nice
because if you fall you know right now
396
00:26:26,319 --> 00:26:30,079
that income woman is like sixty two
thousand or something like that. If you
397
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,440
make more than that, you don't
qualify for the program. So they're raising
398
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:37,720
it so more people can can buy
homes. And that's only three percent down,
399
00:26:38,079 --> 00:26:41,200
and plus the mortgage insurance is a
lot less. Now this is for
400
00:26:41,319 --> 00:26:45,920
who, yeah I heard it,
but time home buyers that have not owned
401
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:51,599
a home for the past three years. So but if you if you're a
402
00:26:51,599 --> 00:26:56,160
first time HomeBuyer, you technically never
owned a home. Well, they also
403
00:26:56,200 --> 00:27:00,559
include people who have not owned a
home within that's trying to clarify. If
404
00:27:00,599 --> 00:27:03,079
you have not owned a home,
if you've been renting for the last three
405
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:07,319
years, correct, then you qualify
for that program if your income limits or
406
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:11,640
your income there's three down three percent
down. Is there mortgage insurance, there's
407
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:15,480
there's mortgage insurance, but it's less
than conforming and there's also the rates are
408
00:27:15,559 --> 00:27:18,680
less than confu Talk a little bit
about mortgage insurance for people that don't know
409
00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:22,599
what that mortgage insurance. You're gonna
have mortgage insurance anytime you put less than
410
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:26,160
twenty percent down. That's just fanning. And that's not that's not insurance on
411
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:30,079
the house. No, that's not
homeowners insurance. It's mortgage insurance. It's
412
00:27:30,079 --> 00:27:38,920
really an insurance policy. You're paying
out of your out of your check,
413
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:45,920
you know, on your account for
that that basically pays for the lenders insurance
414
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,480
to insure your loan so that if
you ever foreclose or anything like that,
415
00:27:49,559 --> 00:27:52,839
they get the benefits of the insurance
policy. So the purpose of that of
416
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:59,240
the mortgage insurance is essentially insurance against
default. Correct, and it's an insurance
417
00:27:59,319 --> 00:28:03,599
premium of pain, and the beneficiary
is the lender. Lender cracks. But
418
00:28:03,759 --> 00:28:06,920
doesn't the mortgage insurance go towards the
twenty percent down? Like once you hit
419
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:11,079
twenty percent, you're done with mortgage
insurance. And say it's one hundred dollars
420
00:28:11,079 --> 00:28:14,480
a month, Each one hundred dollars
goes towards you gotta wait at least two
421
00:28:14,519 --> 00:28:18,359
years. And if you're you know, if your house goes up, you
422
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,720
know, twenty percent or fifteen percent
or whatever it is in two years or
423
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:26,920
less than two years, you have
to refinance the whole thing in order to
424
00:28:27,599 --> 00:28:30,079
get it taken off. It's a
good point. So you've got to pay
425
00:28:30,079 --> 00:28:33,519
that mortgage insurance for at least Isn't
it funny that we're even talking about this,
426
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:38,680
well, that prices could go up. The average appreciation in real estate
427
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,119
historically it's three percent per Yeah,
that we're talking about if it goes up
428
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:47,799
more than twenty percent in two years? Are you serious? It's been a
429
00:28:47,839 --> 00:28:51,119
crazy market the last few years.
It's a California kind of thing, right,
430
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:53,720
Yeah, I think apparently it has
been. Though, I'm just absolutely
431
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:56,279
shocked and less see you see it
more than I do. I'm absolutely shocked
432
00:28:56,279 --> 00:29:00,079
at prices that I see when how's
this cell? Well, this is the
433
00:29:00,119 --> 00:29:07,799
problem they've uh Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mack and at the HUD has UH deemed
434
00:29:08,079 --> 00:29:17,400
Arizona a declining state. So yeah, and our supply system is next to
435
00:29:17,519 --> 00:29:22,799
nothing, um, especially here in
Tucson and Phoenie, really anywhere. When
436
00:29:22,799 --> 00:29:27,119
they say a declining stagium means they
think that the house prices are declining,
437
00:29:27,839 --> 00:29:33,680
and so we get hits hits for
that. I feel like I have seen,
438
00:29:33,799 --> 00:29:36,400
like you on Zilla, you see
price cuts more often than you did
439
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:41,359
a year and a half ago.
Well, that's because they're asking stupid amounts.
440
00:29:41,599 --> 00:29:45,720
So maybe that's what they're looking at. I had one that didn't the
441
00:29:45,759 --> 00:29:51,000
price the other day, and they're
asking stupid amounts, and you know,
442
00:29:51,119 --> 00:29:56,039
unfortunately they went out and remodeled the
whole thing and put way too much money
443
00:29:56,160 --> 00:30:00,880
into this house. And just like
putting us pool in, when you put
444
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,000
a swimming pool in your house,
it costs eighty thousand dollars, it's only
445
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:07,920
going to give you a value about
fifteen to twenty thousand extra. So people
446
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,519
don't understand that. You know,
you go and remodel your whole house,
447
00:30:10,559 --> 00:30:14,119
it's not going to give you ninety
thousand that you put in remodeling it.
448
00:30:14,119 --> 00:30:17,200
It's just not I heard that.
I've heard that the best place to put
449
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:22,440
remodel money is the master bath and
the kitchen. The kitchen and the bathrooms
450
00:30:22,559 --> 00:30:27,720
are the best place to remodel.
Yeah, that is I used to in
451
00:30:27,759 --> 00:30:34,400
your opinion, does solar come close
to enhancing the value of the house anywhere
452
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:40,599
near would it cost? No?
Okay, so that and that's kind of
453
00:30:40,599 --> 00:30:42,960
because that's kind of what I've been
seeing a Dylan. You bought your house.
454
00:30:44,119 --> 00:30:45,519
I bought my house that solar on
it. All I did. You
455
00:30:45,519 --> 00:30:48,799
could have cared. It's cool.
You could have cared, though, I
456
00:30:48,799 --> 00:30:52,119
mean I was still about the house. No, but it wouldn't It didn't
457
00:30:52,119 --> 00:30:52,880
matter. You said, all,
I gotta buy that house because they got
458
00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,960
solar. Yeah, exactly. No, if it didn't have a solar,
459
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:57,400
I was still gonna buy it.
Yeah. I didn't enter your thought process.
460
00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,480
No, they were just telling me
about it. And then I mean,
461
00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:03,200
now it's cool. I see my
electric bills twenty five dollars a month.
462
00:31:03,319 --> 00:31:06,200
Yeah, well, you're young enough
for it to be able to pay
463
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:07,680
for itself. Not. Yeah,
So it's like it's a lease. Good
464
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:11,079
point, it's a least I have
like nine more years on I have to
465
00:31:11,079 --> 00:31:12,839
pay, So I have to pay
that monthly payment and then my electric bill,
466
00:31:14,279 --> 00:31:17,279
so it comes out to probably around
the same that I would have if
467
00:31:17,279 --> 00:31:21,079
I didn't have solar. It's just
electricity, probably about the same price.
468
00:31:21,279 --> 00:31:25,640
But you're again young enough for it
to be the thing. I don't know
469
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:27,720
though, is at least it's like
they come take it in nine years or
470
00:31:27,799 --> 00:31:30,400
is it just mine after nine years
after the lease is up. That's something
471
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:34,920
he probably needs to probably because a
lot of people buy them. Yeah,
472
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,599
I'm not sure if it's like least
a buyer. I gotta I think you're
473
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:41,160
paying for it. I could.
They wouldn't come and take it off and
474
00:31:41,279 --> 00:31:44,319
go away with it, would they
couldn't tell you? Yeah, I don't
475
00:31:44,319 --> 00:31:47,200
know if you guys knew, you
know, I know, because they're a
476
00:31:47,279 --> 00:31:49,519
lot of people will just buy them
out right, Okay. I didn't realize
477
00:31:49,519 --> 00:31:52,680
you could just random I mean that
doesn't make sense. Why would you do
478
00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:56,759
that when you're paying two fees,
are paying electric and you're payments. Yeah,
479
00:31:56,799 --> 00:31:59,240
because I mean, so it comes
out to about one hundred bucks a
480
00:31:59,279 --> 00:32:04,279
month for electricity and my solar monthly
payment. So that's probably what my electricity
481
00:32:04,279 --> 00:32:06,640
would be if I didn't have solar. So that I think, I think
482
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:08,640
it maybe it would make sense to
buy it like that, I'm buying it.
483
00:32:09,039 --> 00:32:12,279
I don't know. I have to
double check that. Yeah, sure,
484
00:32:12,559 --> 00:32:14,960
I don't know. If you I
don't know if you knew I did
485
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,519
not. We've discovered over the last
few weeks that Dylan knows precious little about
486
00:32:17,559 --> 00:32:22,519
his solar system. Well you know
what solar system. Yeah, I'm technically
487
00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:25,880
challenged, so I'm further back than
he is. Like I said, I
488
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:30,920
didn't buy the house because oh no, I'm too old. Well, you
489
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:32,720
know it never benefit me. No, you bring it up. I've got
490
00:32:32,839 --> 00:32:37,839
my next door neighbors are in the
early eighties and they're having a solar installed,
491
00:32:37,839 --> 00:32:40,240
and I'm thinking that's pretty optimistic.
Maybe they're leaving it for their kids.
492
00:32:40,799 --> 00:32:44,839
I don't know. But if it
doesn't enhance the value of your house
493
00:32:45,599 --> 00:32:49,200
and you're never gonna get your money
back, what's the point. Well,
494
00:32:49,319 --> 00:32:52,640
there's a lot of good salesman.
You're absolutely right, that is correct,
495
00:32:52,279 --> 00:32:58,279
does absolutely correct good salesman. We
had to got a listener Ron Lenzon last
496
00:32:58,279 --> 00:33:02,319
week talking about solar and we talked
about why people buy systems that are way
497
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:07,400
bigger than what they need, and
he explained that there's some very good salesman
498
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:10,240
out there. Yes, on top
of that, they can help their neighbors
499
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:15,119
as well. Their neighbors can fish
off of it, get the whole neighborhood
500
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:20,279
going off one group of panels.
So what's the conforming rate? What's the
501
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:25,160
what's if you're twenty percent down in
really good a credit? UM? Probably
502
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:31,480
six six point five. Okay.
It's interesting that that the maximum conforming loan
503
00:33:31,759 --> 00:33:37,599
level is now seven twenty six correct. I refinanced my house seven twenty six
504
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:39,799
two, I think, to be
exact, crazy, I refinanced my house
505
00:33:39,839 --> 00:33:44,960
when rates got down to nothing UM
about four or five years ago with you
506
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,640
guys, and I think the maximum
conforming loan level then, Actually no,
507
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:51,799
it was it was when I bought
the house I'm in now, which was
508
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:55,160
almost eleven years ago. The maximum
conforming loan level eleven years ago is four
509
00:33:55,279 --> 00:34:00,200
twenty Yeah. When we started in
the yearly that I needs, it was
510
00:34:00,319 --> 00:34:02,759
to twelve yeah, I think.
But I mean eleven years have gone from
511
00:34:02,759 --> 00:34:08,840
four twenty seven six, and is
that that's where that's where pricing is going
512
00:34:08,920 --> 00:34:13,960
for houses? I mean, you
know, people couldn't afford them, and
513
00:34:14,159 --> 00:34:20,519
they still can't afford them. I
mean I I just closed on a a
514
00:34:20,599 --> 00:34:29,800
double wide UM and eight five seven
one three area code or ZIP code UM
515
00:34:30,079 --> 00:34:34,760
two hundred and four thousand for a
double wide mobile home. Correct, it
516
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:40,320
wasn't a modular it was actual mobile
home home two hundred and four thousand,
517
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:44,760
and I mean, it's it's ridiculous. I mean it was an eye.
518
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:49,000
I mean that they've taken the previous
owners really taken care of it. Man.
519
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:54,559
But you know, I don't know, it's it's it's something that uh
520
00:34:54,599 --> 00:35:00,119
it opened Drysda mean, I was
looking at home down in the Sam Hughes
521
00:35:00,159 --> 00:35:05,239
area probably three or four years ago, in three fifty, four fifty another
522
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:08,480
seven and eight. Yeah, and
that's a hot area. It is a
523
00:35:08,519 --> 00:35:14,880
hot area, and my area is
hot. The house in my historical areas
524
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:19,440
and my street don't sell very quickly, you know, because there's no land
525
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:22,159
to build on anymore. Yeah,
And you know, but the thing is
526
00:35:22,159 --> 00:35:28,519
is I'll never sell ever. Yeah, with a mortgage rate you've got.
527
00:35:29,039 --> 00:35:32,679
We do have a lot of clients
that have dealt with Melissia and her husband
528
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:37,800
Dave. They own All American lending. This next doctor office. And if
529
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:42,119
you're not using All American lending and
you're paying too much, it's that simple.
530
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,800
Well, you know, we we
are the house. We don't split,
531
00:35:45,679 --> 00:35:50,960
you know, with three hundred other
employees. We love you. Thanks
532
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,519
for coming on All American Lending.
Give us a call five two zero five
533
00:35:53,599 --> 00:35:57,400
four four four nine on nine.
We'll put you in touch. Thank you
534
00:35:57,519 --> 00:36:05,320
say it's all welcome back. You're
listening to the Money Matter Show. We're
535
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:07,239
at the bottom of the hour,
and I want to thank Melissa Hand for
536
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:12,199
coming on from All American Lending.
They're great, they do great, they
537
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:15,039
get great race because like she was
saying right at the end, they they're
538
00:36:15,079 --> 00:36:17,719
the house. They can do pretty
much what they want. Yeah, when
539
00:36:19,159 --> 00:36:22,199
they out of the house meeting that
they own the company. They don't have
540
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:24,280
to answer to anybody. They're not
trying to sell the mortgage to somebody else
541
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:29,000
exactly. They are as flexible as
as you can get. And if you
542
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:32,360
are having a difficult time getting a
mortgage for one reason or another, they
543
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:37,440
are outstanding at making that happen.
They are yep, and they're located at
544
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:40,159
our building, forty five eleven North
Campbell Avenue. So if you ever want
545
00:36:40,199 --> 00:36:42,639
to give them a call, just
give us a call and we can get
546
00:36:42,639 --> 00:36:44,920
you in touch with them. For
the week. Though, like we were
547
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:47,599
talking about just during our break,
is just a great week. The Dow
548
00:36:47,679 --> 00:36:51,280
was up one point three percent.
That's and P five hundred was up two
549
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,440
point six percent, the NAZAC was
up three point two percent. Russell two
550
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:58,000
thousand, which is a small cap, kind of lagged. It was up
551
00:36:58,039 --> 00:37:00,280
five point five percent, which is
I've actually been doing a lot better than
552
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:05,159
the other ones recently. And then
the equal weighted S and P five hundred
553
00:37:05,199 --> 00:37:07,679
was up two point five percent.
So overall the market just did well.
554
00:37:08,039 --> 00:37:13,360
Yeah, they like the idea of
the FED rates pausing, and it's the
555
00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:15,440
kind of the outlook of it in
the sense that, like you're saying,
556
00:37:15,440 --> 00:37:17,840
all the news is good news,
they paused it. We're looking okay,
557
00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:22,039
maybe this is the start of something
of the cuts soon rather than later.
558
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:25,360
It's been about a year and a
half since I felt this fear of missing
559
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:30,320
out, because that's what you're feeling. Well, I've got cash. I
560
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:31,719
need to I need to put that
cash to work. I got I gotta
561
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:36,800
quit being so conservative, the types
of things that you go home at night
562
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:38,840
with calluses on your hands from pulling
in the reins. Right, yeah,
563
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:44,119
exactly, because we know this doesn't
last forever. Yep, it doesn't.
564
00:37:44,159 --> 00:37:46,280
And you know somebody that just came
into a lot of cash. Michael Jordan.
565
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:50,000
You see, he's sold the hornets, sold the hornets too. He
566
00:37:50,079 --> 00:37:52,119
sold the hornets to the guy who
owns one of the guys. There's two
567
00:37:52,159 --> 00:37:57,039
guys. One is a partner at
this big private equity firm in New York
568
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:01,199
and another guy is I forget it
for his name, but he owned Melvin
569
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:06,440
Capital, the one that got killed
on the game stopped short when they got
570
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:07,800
the short squeeze. Yeah, they
were short and they got killed. They
571
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:10,639
lost roughly fifty six percent. They
had to close. He had to get
572
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:15,320
money and fused from Ken Griffin and
Citadel Capital and all of them to stay
573
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:19,440
afloat. But he's still worth four
and a million dollars and he's buying a
574
00:38:19,519 --> 00:38:22,000
steak in the Hornets. It's amazing. What did Michael Jordan paid for them?
575
00:38:22,079 --> 00:38:25,800
He paid two hundred and seventy five
million dollars in twenty two, seventy
576
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:30,039
five million more because he had a
minority steak before then, and then he
577
00:38:30,039 --> 00:38:31,760
had to pay two hundred seventy five
more million to get the majority steak.
578
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:36,840
So what's just cost basis roughly three
hundred seventy five million, I think is
579
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,360
what they said they sold it for
I saw he sold it for three billion
580
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:44,400
dollars. But it's interesting because four
values the Hornets as a whole as one
581
00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:46,000
point seven billion dollars and he's not
the sole owner. Yeah, I don't
582
00:38:46,039 --> 00:38:51,280
think three would three seems a little
high. That's what the articles. Yeah,
583
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:53,639
it was on CNBC and they updated
the article. Well remember back when
584
00:38:53,679 --> 00:38:59,960
when the Golden State Warriors was it
we're on the market and different people were
585
00:39:00,119 --> 00:39:04,280
bidden back and forth, not Golden
Set Warriors, La Clippers, all the
586
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:07,760
Clippers. Yeah, Bamberne he got
to go one point nine billion, then
587
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:10,599
I get goes too, and he
goes two point one billion, and Steve
588
00:39:10,599 --> 00:39:15,559
Bomber, one of the founders of
Microsoft, coming in to go three yeah,
589
00:39:15,679 --> 00:39:17,440
three billion, and that was the
end of it. Yeah, well,
590
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:22,800
I mean, yeah, exactly.
You got the Hornets are their valuation
591
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:25,280
according to Fort Franks, twenty seventh
out of thirty teams in the NBA.
592
00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:29,039
Yeah, so I don't know how
they got the three billion. I wonder
593
00:39:29,079 --> 00:39:30,639
if that number will change, because
it's kind of interesting how he got almost
594
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:35,320
double what their valued at. Amazing, but he still comes into a lot
595
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,599
of money, and now he still
has a minority steak, but he doesn't
596
00:39:37,599 --> 00:39:40,280
want to be the majority anymore.
Next week's calendar kind of quiet, Dylan,
597
00:39:40,519 --> 00:39:45,159
No CPI, no FAD, no
corporate earnings. Although Wednesday is the
598
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:50,320
longest day of the year, yep. And for the people that struggle with
599
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:52,079
the summer shore, I always go, you know, starting Thursday, the
600
00:39:52,079 --> 00:39:55,239
sun's going to be moving south.
It's gonna be cool and off right.
601
00:39:55,519 --> 00:39:58,840
Well, it takes a little while
for that to happen, but mentally,
602
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:01,519
mentally, if you're thinking, well, that's the peak, Sun's moving south
603
00:40:01,559 --> 00:40:06,679
again. But isn't it ironic that
we live in a place where the longest
604
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:10,920
day of the year is often very
uncomfortable? Everything about that? No,
605
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:15,880
and uh, how the longest day
of the year is could potentially be the
606
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:17,400
hottest day of the year. Probably
right now it's gonna be the hottest par
607
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:20,079
of the sun. Did you want
the shortest day of the year to be
608
00:40:20,079 --> 00:40:23,000
the hottest day? Making the longest
day because the sun's gonna be up?
609
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:28,800
But yeah, no, we are
we finally hit summer. Yeah, we
610
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:31,800
just fent whistling through the graveyard,
haven't we May no one hundred degree days
611
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:35,559
the first half of June, just
like you know, ninety five, there
612
00:40:35,639 --> 00:40:37,719
was an eighty nine in there,
and I'm like, what's going on here?
613
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:40,519
And now we're in the and I
thought, okay, now we're back
614
00:40:40,519 --> 00:40:43,960
to the one h two, one
oh five, one oh eight. Yeah,
615
00:40:44,079 --> 00:40:46,159
okay, it's I'll be I'll be
in Illinois for the longest day of
616
00:40:46,159 --> 00:40:50,119
the year and in the Midwest,
that sun does not go down for You're
617
00:40:50,119 --> 00:40:52,559
going to Illinois next weekend, right
on Wednesday. So next weekend it's just
618
00:40:52,639 --> 00:40:55,719
me and Todd. Yep, there
will be. So it's just the one
619
00:40:55,760 --> 00:41:00,119
thing that's constant about Greenberg Financial is
me. It isn't there always you are
620
00:41:00,159 --> 00:41:05,400
always here, as it turns out, California in here. That's it.
621
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:09,719
China trying reported this is kind of
interesting, trying to report a global exports
622
00:41:10,039 --> 00:41:15,880
drop seven point five percent in May, and that's because US companies are moving
623
00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:19,159
away. They're going to Vietnam,
they're going to India, they're going to
624
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:23,400
other countries. And isn't that really
the best weapon we have against China?
625
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:27,400
Yeah, because they need they need
us way more than we need them.
626
00:41:27,639 --> 00:41:30,039
Yeah, And that's why they're trying
to get this bricks going with their own
627
00:41:30,039 --> 00:41:34,239
currency, so they can beat the
US dollar because they've figured that's the only
628
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:36,679
way they can try and take us
down. Okay, I'm gonna talk about
629
00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:39,199
that because that's not even remotely going
to happen. Yeah, I just yeah,
630
00:41:39,199 --> 00:41:43,440
that's their idea with it, and
they're getting more countries to join up
631
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:45,039
with They tried to when they tried
to get them to do the wand and
632
00:41:45,039 --> 00:41:47,840
then none of them wanted the wand
so they had to go back to what
633
00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:51,360
they did was they were doing them
in wands, and then they converted them
634
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:53,920
immediately to dollars. It's like,
wow, now they're trying to create their
635
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:57,119
own currency. I don't know where
they stand with that. But also those
636
00:41:57,159 --> 00:41:59,440
countries that are part of it,
like Brazil and all, they just want
637
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:02,280
to trade in their own currency.
So I don't think China is. It's
638
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:05,559
not working out for them like they
thought it would. Well, we can
639
00:42:05,559 --> 00:42:07,400
actually talk about that right now if
you want to have a We have a
640
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:10,599
copy of an article from Barons March
thirty first, probably one of the most
641
00:42:10,639 --> 00:42:15,519
sensible articles I've ever seen regarding that
because you hear so much talk about it,
642
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:19,400
and the reason you hear talk about
the dollar being replaced by other currencies.
643
00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:23,760
Is because the gold dealers want you
to fear the dollar and the bitcoin
644
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:30,320
dealers want you to fear the dollar. So everything that they do is promoting
645
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:34,039
the demise of the US dollar,
when in fact, the US dollar is
646
00:42:34,079 --> 00:42:37,519
not demising in any way, shape
or form. There are efforts to undermine
647
00:42:37,599 --> 00:42:42,199
the dollar. That's one of one
of China's things. But here's an interesting
648
00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:46,159
thing. China has a Belt and
Road initiative. Is the government program called
649
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:53,679
the Belt and Road initiative. China
made those loans from the Belt and Road
650
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:59,880
initiative in China, right, They
made those loans in one but recipients quickly
651
00:43:00,159 --> 00:43:07,000
swamps them into dollars. So now
China banks are financing these belt road initiatives
652
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:09,679
with US dollars. Yeah, in
China. So I mean, that's how
653
00:43:09,679 --> 00:43:15,679
well it's working out for him.
The one other thing is the dollar.
654
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:17,920
And if you like a copy of
this article, we certainly can sent it
655
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:21,800
to you. It's out of Barons
from March thirty first, if you want
656
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:24,760
to go online and google it.
Here's the I think the salient point Dylan
657
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:30,480
from this whole thing. The dollar
is on one side or the other of
658
00:43:30,679 --> 00:43:36,519
eighty eight percent of all currency trades
in the world, eighty eight percent in
659
00:43:36,639 --> 00:43:42,599
nineteen eighty nine. That was ninety
in nineteen eighty nine, So thirty four
660
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:46,559
years ago, it was roughly where
it is right now. So stop talking
661
00:43:46,599 --> 00:43:50,519
about the demise of the US dollar. Quit worrying about it. That's the
662
00:43:50,599 --> 00:43:54,320
media trying to fearmongerate. It's just
fearmongerates going on in course thirty six years.
663
00:43:54,400 --> 00:43:58,400
Well, and people that demand,
people that benefit from the dollar,
664
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:02,639
of people doubting the dollar. The
dollars just recently hit a ten year high
665
00:44:04,119 --> 00:44:08,880
in value. That's not something that's
being sold. Yeah, exactly right,
666
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:14,679
So just just relax about this and
understand where when you read articles, look
667
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:17,159
and see who wrote them, and
most of the time it's from people trying
668
00:44:17,199 --> 00:44:21,079
to sell you gold, are trying
to sell you a bitcoin. Yeah,
669
00:44:21,119 --> 00:44:23,360
we see those gold commercials coming up
a lot lately, and but we have
670
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:27,960
a lot more clients asking about gold
because they're talking about fear of recession and
671
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:30,159
you got to buy gold now or
like then why are they selling gold because
672
00:44:30,199 --> 00:44:34,400
they want their commission on it.
Well, and you remember gold is priced
673
00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:40,400
in dollars. Dollars tend to decline
When interest rates decline, gold goes inversely
674
00:44:40,679 --> 00:44:46,960
to dollars. So if interest if
gold, I'm sorry, gold is priced
675
00:44:47,039 --> 00:44:50,360
in dollars, So if the dollar
goes up, gold must go down.
676
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:52,800
Right, if the dollar goes down, gold must go up. So it's
677
00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:58,960
not our great inflation heade because during
inflation you have rising interest rates, which
678
00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:05,480
makes gold go down. Yeah,
exactly. It's also I mean, someone's
679
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:07,320
got to find value in it.
If you can't. Also, you can't
680
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:10,159
go to Like people are wanting to
give gold so they can hold it like
681
00:45:10,159 --> 00:45:13,840
a bricket gold. They feel safer
with it, They feel like they have
682
00:45:14,199 --> 00:45:16,119
their value. But then if you
have no more dollars and you're using gold,
683
00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:19,000
how are you gonna go to the
grocery store? How are you going
684
00:45:19,079 --> 00:45:21,159
to go do this? How you're
gonna pay your mortgage? You can't pay
685
00:45:21,159 --> 00:45:23,480
it with gold. So that's the
issue you run into. Two people now
686
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:28,519
are just watching these commercials and getting
scared, so they're thinking they have to
687
00:45:28,519 --> 00:45:30,760
get a safe and fill it with
gold. Do you ever wonder if gold
688
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:35,760
is such a spectacular investment, why
are you selling me yours? That was
689
00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:37,360
what I was saying. Yeah,
I was kind of wondering why would you
690
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:39,360
sell any of it? Why would
you ever sell any of it? If
691
00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:43,400
it's gonna be the greatest thing ever, Why wouldn't you just keep it all?
692
00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:45,840
Wouldn't you make more money if you
held it the way you're saying it?
693
00:45:45,079 --> 00:45:49,360
Yeah, I guess maybe the commissions
are getting in the way of that.
694
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:52,400
Huh man, I would think.
So. Hey, I've got a
695
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:55,559
friend that works in immigration. We
hear about the border and people flooding across
696
00:45:55,599 --> 00:45:59,400
the border. You don't hear about
it anymore. You don't hear you kind
697
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,360
of like the rain, you know, the warning Ukraine is still going on,
698
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:07,119
but you never hear about it because
because people just got exhausted, there's
699
00:46:07,159 --> 00:46:09,679
nothing you can do about it.
It's very frustrating. All it does is
700
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:13,920
irritate the crap out of you.
It's the same with a border. There
701
00:46:13,960 --> 00:46:16,320
isn't anything we can seemingly do about
it. Nobody's in a position of power
702
00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:22,719
seems to care so and what can
we possibly do about anyway? You think
703
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:24,760
while the immigration things may be quieted
down because I'm not hearing about it.
704
00:46:25,599 --> 00:46:30,000
This buddy of mine said, here
in Tucson, we process fourteen hundred people
705
00:46:30,079 --> 00:46:36,599
a day, fourteen hundred people every
day. Wow, that's half of our
706
00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:42,880
entire city's population every year. Think
about that. That's insane. So in
707
00:46:42,920 --> 00:46:47,039
two years you've you've processed the entire
city of Tucson illegally, and you know,
708
00:46:47,159 --> 00:46:52,159
then you release them and let them
go and hope they show uppe the
709
00:46:52,199 --> 00:46:54,360
cell phone you gave them works when
you go to call them to have them
710
00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:57,760
come in for their hearing. Five
years from now, six years from now.
711
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:01,360
Ye's not a high percentage mass.
That's why mass. Anyway, it
712
00:47:01,519 --> 00:47:07,639
is still out there, it's still
going on, and it's although I will
713
00:47:07,679 --> 00:47:10,480
say that it's it's we didn't get
the surge we were expecting from the title
714
00:47:10,679 --> 00:47:14,599
forty two is it. Yeah.
You kind of saw those videos of it
715
00:47:14,679 --> 00:47:19,119
just flooding, real quiet, it
seemed like it's stabilized. We'll be back
716
00:47:19,119 --> 00:47:21,960
with the second hour of the Money
Matter Show. We have Jonathon Sabelia.
717
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:28,440
I've got some interesting things to talk
about. Last week we had Ron Lan's
718
00:47:28,559 --> 00:47:32,840
talk about electric vehicles and it really
got me to thinking about electric vehicles.
719
00:47:32,880 --> 00:47:36,679
And I've actually, over the last
week or ten days, because I'm a
720
00:47:36,679 --> 00:47:42,440
curious guy, I've become almost an
expert in the miss Tesla now in electric
721
00:47:42,519 --> 00:47:45,440
vehicles, and that's some interesting things
and one of the reasons I became an
722
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:47,679
expert. We'll talk to you right
after this break. Thanks for listening.
723
00:47:52,039 --> 00:47:53,599
Welcome back. You're listened to the
Money Matter Show. We are at the
724
00:47:53,679 --> 00:47:57,440
top of the second hour. Got
a lot going on in the markets.
725
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:00,360
A lot happened last week. He
was a good week in the mark markets.
726
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:01,920
With the Fed pausing the rates.
It seem like investors like that.
727
00:48:02,039 --> 00:48:05,679
We're also coming up on the end
of the quarter and we're just running to
728
00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:07,920
it. Markets for the week,
the dall was up one point three percent,
729
00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:12,400
the SMP five hundred was up two
point six percent, the Matz deck
730
00:48:12,519 --> 00:48:14,559
was up the most. It was
up three point two percent, and the
731
00:48:14,599 --> 00:48:16,639
Russell two thousand, the small cap
companies was up a half a percent.
732
00:48:17,119 --> 00:48:22,079
So overall, markets just across the
board were up. And like we've been
733
00:48:22,119 --> 00:48:25,760
talking about, we're kind of not
confused. We're just looking at it saying
734
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:29,800
what's going on, and the idea
of it just keeps running and we just
735
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:31,159
we know it's a handful of companies. I've really been running it for the
736
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:36,599
last few months, except this past
week most companies were up, so it's
737
00:48:36,639 --> 00:48:39,039
a whole thing. But this idea
of what we look at and what we
738
00:48:39,039 --> 00:48:42,920
were talking about in the first hour, why we stay invested with our model
739
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:45,039
because you never know if the markets
is going to run like this, But
740
00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:46,679
with it, you got to have
a plan. And if you don't have
741
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:50,159
your plan, then you're kind of
just going by the way wind and you
742
00:48:50,199 --> 00:48:52,760
don't really know what's going on and
you're just happy right now because the market's
743
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:54,320
up. But what happens if the
markets turned down? Do you have an
744
00:48:54,320 --> 00:48:58,519
idea of what's going on? Do
you have a game plan to kind of
745
00:48:58,519 --> 00:49:00,039
try and mitigate your loss if you
can't and hedge it? You are you
746
00:49:00,079 --> 00:49:04,199
doing that? If not, I
suggest you give us a call because we
747
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:07,039
have the tools to help you understand
what the hedging is, what your plan
748
00:49:07,199 --> 00:49:09,679
is, how to do it.
We have a great financial plan. We've
749
00:49:09,679 --> 00:49:14,079
been starting to use it this year. Clients are getting a lot of benefits
750
00:49:14,079 --> 00:49:16,239
from it. They're kind of peace
of mind. We use the risk tolerance
751
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:21,119
question there to get you an idea
of what your risk level is, because
752
00:49:21,159 --> 00:49:23,840
are you somebody that can invest into
these magnificent seven stocks and video? Apple
753
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:27,960
can you or are you somebody that
needs to go a little more conservative and
754
00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:30,320
maybe go the ETF way which gives
you more diversification. Can you go more
755
00:49:30,360 --> 00:49:34,400
growth? Do you need more value? Do you need income? Those are
756
00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:37,360
all questions that we can help answer
through the financial plan. It's helpful,
757
00:49:37,400 --> 00:49:40,360
it's free. We just want to
be able to help you, guys have
758
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:44,320
a peace of mind with your financial
life as you're getting ready for retirement.
759
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:46,199
If you're in retirement, we do
the free second opinions. We just look
760
00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:50,840
at everything for the idea to help
you out. You guys have been seeing
761
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:53,440
you and TI have been seeling a
lot of people and it is not just
762
00:49:53,639 --> 00:50:00,079
exclusively for new people. If you
are an existing client of Greenberg Financial and
763
00:50:00,119 --> 00:50:01,599
you listen to the radio show and
go, but I'd really like to do
764
00:50:01,639 --> 00:50:06,800
that, you are absolutely welcome to
commend and we'll do that with you absolutely
765
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:09,000
hundred percent part of your fee.
YEA, we know not everybody's done it
766
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:12,719
over the years, because this is
a pretty new program that we just switched
767
00:50:12,760 --> 00:50:15,639
over to in twenty three, But
we'd be happy to help you guys.
768
00:50:15,079 --> 00:50:19,119
Yeah, I don't want to do
a scool doing a school existing clients,
769
00:50:19,159 --> 00:50:22,000
and most existing clients are pretty comfortable
with Greenberg Financial, pretty comfortable of where
770
00:50:22,000 --> 00:50:24,960
we're going and have a pretty good
idea what the plan is. If you
771
00:50:25,039 --> 00:50:28,400
don't want, if you're uncomfortable for
any reason, give us a call.
772
00:50:28,559 --> 00:50:30,400
Yeah, we absolutely I do that. Things change over the years too.
773
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:32,840
I mean, you might have been
a client here for ten fifteen years,
774
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:36,800
and a lot can happen in ten
fifteen years, So that's what we can
775
00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:38,880
help. Kind of show too.
Was it outlook look like with the new
776
00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:43,840
developments in your life? I said
earlier in the show that Ron came on
777
00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:45,480
last week and talked a little bit
about electric vehicles, and if you have
778
00:50:45,559 --> 00:50:50,400
no interest at all in electric vehicles, would never consider one for the rest
779
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:54,159
of your life. You can take
the next ten minutes and go have a
780
00:50:54,239 --> 00:50:59,760
soda or something, because I'm going
to talk about electric vehicles. Ron perked
781
00:50:59,800 --> 00:51:02,159
my interest, piqued my interest,
if you will. I argued with him
782
00:51:02,760 --> 00:51:09,880
over the dealing, just argued with
him a little bit online, discuss a
783
00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:14,159
little thing online. Then I decided
I was going to start checking it out
784
00:51:14,159 --> 00:51:19,679
for myself. I started visited the
Tesla dealership. When looking around, really
785
00:51:19,679 --> 00:51:24,239
started doing some homework on this whole
electric vehicle thing. We've we saw electric
786
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:30,000
vehicle sales increase. They were only
four percent back in twenty twenty electric vehicle
787
00:51:30,039 --> 00:51:35,599
sales in twenty four and twenty excuse
me, two years later, they'd gone
788
00:51:35,639 --> 00:51:39,559
from four percent to fourteen percent.
They're expected to be eighteen percent this year
789
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:45,320
and by twenty twenty five expected to
be twenty five percent of all sales are
790
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,679
going to be electric vehicles. So
it's of interest to a lot of people.
791
00:51:47,679 --> 00:51:52,960
It's growing exponentially. I don't want
to be forced to buy an electric
792
00:51:52,039 --> 00:51:57,320
vehicle. I don't think we're going
to get to all electric vehicles by twenty
793
00:51:57,400 --> 00:52:00,840
thirty in any way, shape or
form. But there's some things about electric
794
00:52:00,960 --> 00:52:02,639
vehicles that you need to know.
And I think, Dylan, one of
795
00:52:02,679 --> 00:52:07,320
the most significant things that I discovered
over the last week or so in exploring
796
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:13,920
this whole area is companies have been
really good in figuring out how to build
797
00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:17,679
electric vehicles. What they have not
been any good at is figuring out how
798
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:22,199
to charge electric vehicles. They can
build them, but they haven't been able
799
00:52:22,199 --> 00:52:25,519
to figure out how to charge them. Let me explain. There's three levels
800
00:52:25,519 --> 00:52:30,360
of charging when with an electric vehicle. Level one, that's the basic level.
801
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:35,400
That's if you plug your electric vehicle
into a wall outlet, you only
802
00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:39,320
get about three to five miles of
charging for every hour that you're plugged in.
803
00:52:39,360 --> 00:52:42,800
So, in other words, you
plug it in when you get home
804
00:52:42,840 --> 00:52:45,119
from work, and when you leave
in the morning, you've bought yourself about
805
00:52:45,159 --> 00:52:49,199
fifty miles worth a charge. And
that may be enough for some people,
806
00:52:49,639 --> 00:52:52,840
it certainly is not enough for most. That's a level one. Level two
807
00:52:52,000 --> 00:52:55,920
that's your typical home charger. Level
two runs on a two hundred and twenty
808
00:52:55,920 --> 00:53:00,440
Bold outlet. It's easily installed.
Had my electrician out this fast week and
809
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:04,199
look at my house and said,
if you were to want to do that,
810
00:53:04,280 --> 00:53:07,840
could you do it? Not a
problem. Level two chargers are what
811
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:12,079
you're going to see out there.
Two of the largest companies, the largest
812
00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:16,800
company in terms of number of chargers
is charge Point and the second largest company
813
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:22,840
is ev Go. I like that
name eve Go, and what they're putting
814
00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:25,119
out there, for the most part, are level two chargers. Now,
815
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:31,559
level two chargers are going to get
you about fifty miles per hour of charging.
816
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:36,519
You get about fifty miles prose if
you're on a trip from Twosons to
817
00:53:36,559 --> 00:53:39,679
San Diego and you stop in Yuma, you're gonna be there three or four
818
00:53:39,679 --> 00:53:45,719
hours to fill up your vehicle.
That's not going to work. And almost
819
00:53:45,760 --> 00:53:52,280
all of the chargers out there are
charge point or eve Go non Tesla chargers,
820
00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:57,480
and those are just simply not gonna
work when you're on a trip.
821
00:53:57,840 --> 00:54:00,079
They're going to be effective in your
office US if you have a bank of
822
00:54:00,119 --> 00:54:04,840
them at your office, or maybe
in a hospital where people are gonna be
823
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:07,079
there a while, somewhere where you
can say, oh, I'd just like
824
00:54:07,119 --> 00:54:09,280
to top it off a little bit, you know. But if you're on
825
00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:14,639
a trip trying to get from Tucson
to San Diego or me Ala Elizabel,
826
00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:19,000
I'm not gonna want to go to
one of those charges. I'm gonna want
827
00:54:19,119 --> 00:54:23,039
level three. Level three is where
Tesla shines. This is what you want
828
00:54:23,039 --> 00:54:27,039
when you're on the road. These
guys use DC currents to the base at
829
00:54:27,079 --> 00:54:30,079
AC. They cost about ten thousand
dollars per units. They'll give you a
830
00:54:30,119 --> 00:54:37,639
full charge in about fifteen minutes.
That's that's reasonable. Two fifty's pardon that's
831
00:54:37,679 --> 00:54:40,599
two hundred and fifty. It's actually
anywhere anywhere for twenty five kilo lots to
832
00:54:40,840 --> 00:54:46,519
three hundred and fifty kilo lots is
considered a level three, but most of
833
00:54:46,519 --> 00:54:51,719
them are one one seventy five to
one fifty. There's a two fifty here
834
00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:53,639
in town, and the rumor that
there's a three fifty coming. The three
835
00:54:53,800 --> 00:54:59,119
fifty would charge you in probably five
minutes. Yeah, so then that's competing
836
00:54:59,119 --> 00:55:00,639
with gas stations there. Oh yeah, yeah, so if they were all
837
00:55:00,679 --> 00:55:05,400
three fifties. But the point of
all of this is, as I looked
838
00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:12,039
at electric cars, if you cannot
charge your car on a Tesla charger,
839
00:55:13,679 --> 00:55:17,159
you've got yourself a problem because you're
going to have to go to a level
840
00:55:17,199 --> 00:55:22,519
two charger. Yeah. And I
mean that's why when Must came out and
841
00:55:22,559 --> 00:55:23,920
said last week or the week before, when they were talking about it,
842
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:30,840
how they're opening their chargers to Chevrolet
and Ford right there, he said,
843
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:32,679
it's the moral thing to do because
he, I mean, he obviously knows
844
00:55:32,679 --> 00:55:37,480
his charger is just better and they're
quicker, and they just he needs to
845
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:39,239
open it up to everybody. And
he said that's what they just have to
846
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:44,480
do morally. After Tesla announced,
Tesla announced that they were going to allow
847
00:55:44,639 --> 00:55:50,800
Ford and GM to use their chargers. The stock just took off like a
848
00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:53,039
spaceship Tesla stock, which is one
of the things that got me look at
849
00:55:53,079 --> 00:55:55,320
them. Wait, wait, why
is that a big deal? This seems
850
00:55:55,360 --> 00:56:00,639
like it's a negative for Tesla customers, which it is ultimately, And and
851
00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:06,400
I one of the electric vehicles I
looked at last week in my learning process
852
00:56:06,440 --> 00:56:10,679
here was the Ford Makie, which
is a cool look and suv. Here's
853
00:56:10,679 --> 00:56:15,039
the problem. They're not going to
have access to those Tesla chargers for twelve
854
00:56:15,320 --> 00:56:20,719
for twelve months. Interesting, they
ain't the deal, but they have to
855
00:56:20,760 --> 00:56:23,760
manufacture the adapter and all that,
and so that that's going to take a
856
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:29,440
well, So Tesla stock took off
because people like me. It was up
857
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:31,679
thirteen days in a row, fourteen
days, it was up today, fourteen
858
00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:37,599
days in a row Friday after announcing
that deal. And again, if you're
859
00:56:37,679 --> 00:56:42,760
if you're going to be trying to
take a Tesla out on the highway,
860
00:56:43,280 --> 00:56:45,679
excuse me, let me rephrase.
If you're going to be trying to take
861
00:56:45,679 --> 00:56:50,159
an electric vehicle out on the highway, you better have access to Tesla chargers
862
00:56:50,360 --> 00:56:52,360
or it's going to be a miserable
experience. Not funny. You're gonna be
863
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:57,760
waiting forever. So so bottom line, what you have right now is you
864
00:56:57,760 --> 00:57:01,480
have Tesla and you have everybody else. And it isn't because of the technology.
865
00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:06,159
It isn't because of the look of
the car. It's because of the
866
00:57:06,239 --> 00:57:12,440
darned chargers. Yea. And that
never crossed my mind that that you would
867
00:57:12,480 --> 00:57:19,639
have vehicles being produced that couldn't be
charged out on the road in any expeditious
868
00:57:19,639 --> 00:57:22,679
manner, because you're thinking it's like
gas stations where you could star. Sure,
869
00:57:22,960 --> 00:57:24,280
I mean, come on, who
didn't think of this? Wow,
870
00:57:24,719 --> 00:57:28,679
I'm glad. I'm glad anyway that
there you go. I'm done with my
871
00:57:28,679 --> 00:57:34,400
my eving moment. John Sabilia our
attorney here, and John hasn't is an
872
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:37,400
independent attorney, but he has offices
here. He has been seeing clients of
873
00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:42,920
ours, We have been seeing clients
of his. It's a wonderful relationship.
874
00:57:42,960 --> 00:57:45,719
If you need a will of trust, any kind of thing of that nature,
875
00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:50,519
Jonathan is here in our office and
more than willing to do it.
876
00:57:50,800 --> 00:57:52,920
Jonathan. Welcome, thank you,
Welcome to the Money Matter Show. It's
877
00:57:53,639 --> 00:57:57,960
you make it every week. We
missed last week and that was. That
878
00:57:58,000 --> 00:58:00,519
was my bad, but welcome back. Thank you very much. I appreciate
879
00:58:00,840 --> 00:58:05,280
well. I think one of the
one of the more interesting things that in
880
00:58:05,280 --> 00:58:08,159
in why you have an office right
next to mine, so I hear a
881
00:58:08,159 --> 00:58:12,079
lot of the things that go on
in your office even though I'm deaf.
882
00:58:12,519 --> 00:58:16,440
Um, the are the variety of
things, the variety of questions, and
883
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:20,800
I guess if it wasn't a little
bit complex, you wouldn't come to an
884
00:58:20,800 --> 00:58:22,920
attorney, You would just deal with
it. A lot of times there's,
885
00:58:23,039 --> 00:58:28,519
uh, there's a lot of d
I Y do it yourself issues that can
886
00:58:28,639 --> 00:58:30,440
be taken care of cheaply. You
can give me a call and if it
887
00:58:30,559 --> 00:58:32,920
is a d I want d I
Y issue, Uh, you know,
888
00:58:32,960 --> 00:58:37,079
I'm happy to you know, kind
of without giving you too much legal advice
889
00:58:37,079 --> 00:58:40,559
where I'm on the hook, try
to assist you in any way I can.
890
00:58:42,119 --> 00:58:46,239
Um, there's lots of issues that
do come up, but the ones
891
00:58:46,239 --> 00:58:50,239
that I do handle tend to be
the more complex, all right, the
892
00:58:50,280 --> 00:58:55,920
ones that I don't recommend, uh
that a client or some some someone who
893
00:58:55,960 --> 00:59:00,519
doesn't know the legal framework of the
situation and to do it themselves, because
894
00:59:00,519 --> 00:59:04,320
if they do, getting over their
head. It might cost more money than
895
00:59:04,320 --> 00:59:07,800
just I was gonna say, how
many times have you been paid to unwind
896
00:59:07,920 --> 00:59:10,639
something that got all wound up by
somebody trying to do it themselves. You
897
00:59:10,639 --> 00:59:14,800
know, I hate to say it
sometimes, but I tell clients, especially
898
00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:17,360
when they do their own LLC as
you know, you may be able to
899
00:59:17,400 --> 00:59:21,039
do it for X amount of dollars. I'm telling you how much I would
900
00:59:21,119 --> 00:59:22,559
charge you to do it, But
if you do it, make a mistake,
901
00:59:22,599 --> 00:59:27,440
I'm going to charge them more to
fix your problems. Very well played,
902
00:59:27,960 --> 00:59:30,599
very well play. They go the
cost more to fix the problem that
903
00:59:30,679 --> 00:59:31,519
it would for me to do it
in the first place. And there's a
904
00:59:31,519 --> 00:59:35,840
lot more legal liability there when you
when I'm when I'm cleaning up a mess.
905
00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:40,079
Oh absolutely absolutely. Um, you
see so many different things. So
906
00:59:40,119 --> 00:59:43,800
you had one this week you were
talking we were talking about earlier. Well,
907
00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:47,079
let me first start by saying that
I kinda sat in on a meeting
908
00:59:47,079 --> 00:59:50,920
with one of actually Todd. I
wish I could you could be here.
909
00:59:50,920 --> 00:59:52,840
Why I praise him? Um,
you know, what are the big things
910
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:57,400
about, you know, dealing with
a financial planners? Um, I grew
911
00:59:57,480 --> 01:00:00,840
up during the mate off situation,
and I actually went to UH and I
912
01:00:00,880 --> 01:00:04,840
was telling you about this. I
sat next to a kid in home room
913
01:00:04,880 --> 01:00:07,639
who you know, ran off with
a bunch of money, and he was
914
01:00:07,679 --> 01:00:12,599
a financial planner, and I asked
you, you know, how do you
915
01:00:13,039 --> 01:00:15,559
make me feel better about that?
When I was sitting there with Todd and
916
01:00:15,599 --> 01:00:22,440
we were talking with a client the
way you guys have safeguards, it would
917
01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:25,239
it makes me feel comfortable referring people
to you. And in fact, we
918
01:00:25,280 --> 01:00:28,800
had a client that was kind of
asking those questions. It made me feel
919
01:00:28,800 --> 01:00:30,800
better about how the way he answered
them. But it was also a client
920
01:00:31,039 --> 01:00:39,599
that didn't necessarily need a financial planner
because their their disposable cash wasn't there yet.
921
01:00:39,679 --> 01:00:44,440
He said, you know what,
as your friend, as a fiduciary,
922
01:00:44,559 --> 01:00:46,960
I don't recommend you start investing because
you need X amount of dollars before
923
01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:49,960
you invest with you guys. And
it kind of made me feel good that
924
01:00:50,000 --> 01:00:52,440
you guys aren't just taking you know, you're just taking everybody's money. You're
925
01:00:52,440 --> 01:00:57,159
actually helping them out and letting them
know what's right and what's wrong. You
926
01:00:57,159 --> 01:01:00,599
know, you're not just uh,
you're just not taking in as much money
927
01:01:00,599 --> 01:01:04,079
as you can. So it made
me feel good and I really appreciate that
928
01:01:04,119 --> 01:01:07,920
and thank you for having me here. And on that, I did have
929
01:01:07,960 --> 01:01:13,480
a few clients, uh that called
in, that were referred in and I
930
01:01:13,559 --> 01:01:17,719
kind of wanted to talk. I
promised I would talk about some of the
931
01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:23,920
things that we uncovered during our meetings. Particular client asked this particular client exactly.
932
01:01:23,960 --> 01:01:29,480
So one in particular was duan Celle
clause. All right. So a
933
01:01:29,559 --> 01:01:35,519
duan Celle clause to basically U to
put in layman's terms, is it's in
934
01:01:35,519 --> 01:01:43,199
the mortgage and a bank has the
right to enforce h an immediate payment on
935
01:01:43,239 --> 01:01:46,320
that mortgage if you fall into a
certain category. You know, if you
936
01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:50,679
owe three hundred thousand dollars, that
duan Celle clause, if it's triggered,
937
01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:52,840
the bank can make you paid to
three hundred thousand dollars or will force a
938
01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:57,519
cell of the home. All right. So, um, there was a
939
01:01:57,599 --> 01:02:02,519
law that was passed called the German
the Garn Saint Germain Act back in eighty
940
01:02:02,519 --> 01:02:06,440
two. All right, Garn and
Saint Germain. I think it was a
941
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:08,840
Republican and Democrat. It was a
deregulation, believe it or not. A
942
01:02:08,840 --> 01:02:14,960
Democrat was looking for deregulation of the
banking system. But what it did is
943
01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:22,039
that, yes, it was passed
basically making bank allowing banks to enforce a
944
01:02:22,159 --> 01:02:27,280
due on sale clause unless you fall
into one unless you fall under one of
945
01:02:27,360 --> 01:02:30,360
nine categories, all right, and
a bunch of those categories not but might
946
01:02:30,400 --> 01:02:34,880
not be relevant. But one of
those categories if you take your home and
947
01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:38,400
transfer into a vocable trust, all
right. If you if you transfer the
948
01:02:38,440 --> 01:02:45,239
home into a vocable trust, the
bank cannot enforce the duan Celle clause.
949
01:02:45,519 --> 01:02:47,920
You may get a snot nose mortgage
guy who's probably been into business for a
950
01:02:49,000 --> 01:02:52,000
year and tell you you can't transfer
to a revocable trust. That's untrue.
951
01:02:52,039 --> 01:02:54,679
You have a federal protection that says
that you can transfer it. Also,
952
01:02:55,079 --> 01:02:59,400
if you pass away with the home
and it goes to a relative, Now
953
01:03:00,119 --> 01:03:02,840
law did not define what relative means, but if you pass away and your
954
01:03:02,840 --> 01:03:07,840
house goes to a relative, the
bank cannot enforce to do on sale clause.
955
01:03:07,880 --> 01:03:15,519
So basically, whoever your beneficiary is
of that trust, that that relative,
956
01:03:15,679 --> 01:03:20,559
they can keep on making those mortgage
payments without without the bank, you
957
01:03:20,599 --> 01:03:22,840
know, putting up a fight.
Well, I did not know, and
958
01:03:22,880 --> 01:03:27,360
I did mortgages for ten years,
I did not know that. Yeah.
959
01:03:27,440 --> 01:03:30,199
In fact, I was talking to
my buddy who's a real estate property attorney,
960
01:03:30,199 --> 01:03:31,000
says, we don't really deal a
lot, Matt. So it's I
961
01:03:31,000 --> 01:03:37,039
guess it's exclusive to us A state
planners. So interesting if someone dies and
962
01:03:37,159 --> 01:03:40,480
they leave their house to their child, the child can continue to make the
963
01:03:40,559 --> 01:03:46,039
mortgage famous. And even though the
title to the property has changed exactly.
964
01:03:46,199 --> 01:03:50,880
And that's the big thing, is
that the title is transferred. So and
965
01:03:50,920 --> 01:03:53,719
there's the nine exceptions, but one
of the big things that one, it
966
01:03:53,800 --> 01:03:59,800
has to be a personal residence.
Okay, you can't transfer into an LLC.
967
01:04:00,400 --> 01:04:02,920
You would probably want to get that
in writing from the bank saying they
968
01:04:02,920 --> 01:04:09,639
won't trigger the Duancelle clause. It
has to be a dwelling with less than
969
01:04:09,679 --> 01:04:14,320
five and I think it's five dwellings. That's usually apartment buildings that they're trying
970
01:04:14,320 --> 01:04:17,039
to commercial properties. But it's a
it's a it's a personal residence. So
971
01:04:17,079 --> 01:04:21,280
I just want people to realize that, you know, when you are dealing
972
01:04:21,400 --> 01:04:27,079
with mortgage companies, when you're dealing
with banks sometimes and a lot of times
973
01:04:27,079 --> 01:04:30,000
people that deal mortgages. They don't
understand it, and they may tell you
974
01:04:30,039 --> 01:04:32,920
can't transfer into a revocable trust.
That's absolutely incorrect. You can as long
975
01:04:32,960 --> 01:04:36,920
as it's inter vievos and you are
the beneficiary, and a revocable trust you
976
01:04:36,960 --> 01:04:41,280
are the beneficiary. Is there any
limit to it like a million dollar house
977
01:04:41,400 --> 01:04:45,039
or no limits? Suker? Interesting? And when you refinance, the mortgage
978
01:04:45,039 --> 01:04:50,039
company frequently will require you take it
out of the trust, the property out
979
01:04:50,079 --> 01:04:55,400
of the trust, put it in
joint Tennessee, then close on your loan,
980
01:04:56,039 --> 01:04:58,880
and then they'll typically like you did
it back in correct. I've done
981
01:04:58,880 --> 01:05:01,519
that several times with the refinances over
the years and never really had a problem
982
01:05:01,519 --> 01:05:03,280
with In fact, you were telling
me the other day you had to double
983
01:05:03,360 --> 01:05:06,960
check you You're just to make sure
you actually went double checked after you said,
984
01:05:08,079 --> 01:05:10,159
I checked for you after, did
you? Yeah, you have the
985
01:05:10,159 --> 01:05:13,559
Pema County Assessor ubic information. Yeah, absolutely, that's what I went to
986
01:05:13,599 --> 01:05:16,599
the Pema County Assessor's website. I
think it was the assessor or treasure probably
987
01:05:16,639 --> 01:05:20,639
assessor. Uh, it is the
assessor, Yeah, I think it was
988
01:05:20,679 --> 01:05:26,760
the assessor that so this particular client, Well, can you talk about that
989
01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:30,239
situation? That Well, we were
just kind of going through things, um,
990
01:05:30,519 --> 01:05:33,440
because you know, they're worried that
they will you know, they may
991
01:05:33,480 --> 01:05:36,760
pass away with a mortgage on the
property. Sure, they're worried that their
992
01:05:36,840 --> 01:05:41,679
children, um uh, you know, they don't want to have to refin.
993
01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:44,000
You know, you already have a
two percent right now, a two
994
01:05:44,039 --> 01:05:47,320
percent mortgage. If they have to
refinance at what six percent? Seven,
995
01:05:47,679 --> 01:05:51,599
that's kind that's kind of the catalyst
for this exactly. People are coveting the
996
01:05:51,679 --> 01:05:56,960
mortgages, and that's one of the
things that kept the housing market from falling
997
01:05:56,960 --> 01:06:00,440
apart, is people are just coveting
these mortgages and not wanting to sell even
998
01:06:00,440 --> 01:06:04,679
though their property value is clearly going
down, not dramatically, but I think
999
01:06:04,679 --> 01:06:09,960
mine's down about ten percent from the
peak, and I think that's pretty typical.
1000
01:06:10,119 --> 01:06:13,199
Yeah, I definitely say so.
Yeah. And that's what's keeping them
1001
01:06:13,239 --> 01:06:17,239
from selling, is is that coveting
those mortgage rates. I know I covet
1002
01:06:17,320 --> 01:06:23,599
mine, so so that was her
biggest concern is that, well, that
1003
01:06:24,480 --> 01:06:28,079
the child would not be able to
keep that mortgage rate. That's a lot
1004
01:06:28,119 --> 01:06:31,639
of people's concern is that, what's
my child going to do if they have
1005
01:06:31,719 --> 01:06:34,400
to refly. We want to keep
the house in the family. We don't
1006
01:06:34,440 --> 01:06:38,000
worry, you know, just you
know, and if if there is an
1007
01:06:38,000 --> 01:06:40,840
issue, if the bank does give
us, think you know, call an
1008
01:06:40,880 --> 01:06:44,400
attorney, have them chat, you
know, show them the show them a
1009
01:06:44,480 --> 01:06:47,079
law to say, hey, you
this, we are federally protected. You
1010
01:06:47,119 --> 01:06:51,800
cannot accelerate the mortgage. I had
no idea, and I can, but
1011
01:06:53,039 --> 01:06:56,480
I can see the catalyst for that
is that rate? Oh yeah, without
1012
01:06:56,519 --> 01:07:01,519
a doubting on this week. It's
interesting. Uh there's golf. Uh no,
1013
01:07:01,840 --> 01:07:08,840
it's another I actually had a phone
call with another listener and uh,
1014
01:07:08,960 --> 01:07:11,519
something I did want to bring up
because when I was I worked for a
1015
01:07:11,519 --> 01:07:15,119
pretty big firm in Phoenix, and
the last client I worked on it was
1016
01:07:15,119 --> 01:07:19,719
a business and they merge with another
another company, and it was their job
1017
01:07:19,880 --> 01:07:26,440
to reach out to former employees and
pay out stale. I believe it was
1018
01:07:26,960 --> 01:07:32,000
part retirement some stock options. Okay, I would say a hundred of the
1019
01:07:32,079 --> 01:07:36,119
country. There was about one hundred
former employees we could not locate, so
1020
01:07:36,320 --> 01:07:43,079
we had to basically in seven or
eight different states. We had to submit
1021
01:07:43,159 --> 01:07:48,599
those stock options to unclaimed personal property. A lot of people don't realize that
1022
01:07:48,639 --> 01:07:55,239
you can go on your states Unclaimed
personal Property and look up look to see
1023
01:07:55,519 --> 01:08:00,599
if there's any money due to you. Because there's a listener at least last
1024
01:08:00,639 --> 01:08:05,480
week or the week before that had
unclaimed personal property from a diseased spouse that
1025
01:08:05,519 --> 01:08:10,079
they had no idea about and where
attempting to go get that from the state.
1026
01:08:10,519 --> 01:08:12,679
Yeah. I think we've talked about
that on the show a couple of
1027
01:08:12,719 --> 01:08:15,920
times that you go do it.
I can't remember the website. Did you
1028
01:08:16,039 --> 01:08:18,720
do it this week or do you
I haven't gone on, But you can
1029
01:08:18,760 --> 01:08:24,520
just google Arizona personal personal Property.
You can do that for California. UM.
1030
01:08:24,920 --> 01:08:27,960
So it's pretty simple and it is
amazing. As the older you get,
1031
01:08:28,000 --> 01:08:30,720
as life goes on, there's a
lot of things that have happened in
1032
01:08:30,760 --> 01:08:32,800
your life. And like you this
this pension thing that you talked about,
1033
01:08:33,079 --> 01:08:36,880
I mean, who would ever know. Maybe maybe someone that worked for that
1034
01:08:36,920 --> 01:08:41,600
company didn't even know there was a
pension that they're due. Well, a
1035
01:08:41,640 --> 01:08:45,319
lot of times it's not the person
who's who it's due. They passed away,
1036
01:08:45,000 --> 01:08:48,680
the spouse moved and they didn't realize
and they've been trying to contact them,
1037
01:08:48,720 --> 01:08:53,079
sending it to the last last place
of residence. And that's all they're
1038
01:08:53,079 --> 01:08:55,600
really really required to do is send
it to the last place of residence.
1039
01:08:55,600 --> 01:08:59,319
And if they don't, if they
don't receive the mail, if they don't
1040
01:08:59,399 --> 01:09:02,039
contact them, then they kind of
wash their hands and say, Okay,
1041
01:09:02,039 --> 01:09:05,800
Arizona here take to take the property. If they look for it, good
1042
01:09:05,800 --> 01:09:10,000
for them. If they don't.
If they don't, you know, and
1043
01:09:10,079 --> 01:09:14,239
then the State of Arizona holds it
in perpetuity. I guess right. You
1044
01:09:14,239 --> 01:09:15,640
know, I don't know the rules
to that either. I would have to
1045
01:09:15,680 --> 01:09:18,439
look at look into that. That
would be something for next week. We'll
1046
01:09:18,439 --> 01:09:21,520
try to find out what the rule
is on that. But I've often wondered
1047
01:09:21,560 --> 01:09:26,199
that in the unclaimed property, how
long does the state have to hold that?
1048
01:09:26,760 --> 01:09:31,720
And there would seems like there would
be a fairly good size storage facility
1049
01:09:33,079 --> 01:09:38,399
or staff to manage all of this, because there has to be a ton
1050
01:09:38,439 --> 01:09:43,359
of it. Well, what they
do, and from my experience of actually
1051
01:09:43,359 --> 01:09:45,880
being part of the business that had
to submit the claims to the state,
1052
01:09:46,359 --> 01:09:48,880
they just basically cut a check to
the state and they hold it. So
1053
01:09:48,920 --> 01:09:54,319
I'm sure it's probably sitting in some
account generating some sort of interest or sure
1054
01:09:54,359 --> 01:09:58,119
they're investing it or whatever they do. I don't know the administration side on
1055
01:09:58,159 --> 01:10:01,119
their end, but they're holding onto
the CA until somebody comes and claims it.
1056
01:10:01,640 --> 01:10:08,279
But unclaimed property is not uncommon,
and we've had clients and we've had
1057
01:10:08,439 --> 01:10:13,399
co workers here that went to the
unclaimed property in Arizona and actually found.
1058
01:10:14,079 --> 01:10:18,000
Yeah, unclaimed property. It's surprising. You don't expect it. And like
1059
01:10:18,079 --> 01:10:21,000
I say, the older you are, the better the chance that something happened
1060
01:10:21,000 --> 01:10:26,079
to kind of wiggle its way in
there. I know I have a pension
1061
01:10:26,159 --> 01:10:29,560
from when I worked for Merrilllynch one
hundred years ago. I get thirty five
1062
01:10:29,600 --> 01:10:32,039
dollars a month from Marylynch. Well, I just found out I had a
1063
01:10:32,119 --> 01:10:40,359
Charles Schwab account that I just liquidated
that I had no idea a fun fact.
1064
01:10:41,159 --> 01:10:45,119
I was on the IRS. I
looked at my IRS transcript and I
1065
01:10:45,159 --> 01:10:48,560
saw that I had a fair market
value in a Charles Schwab account from ten
1066
01:10:48,640 --> 01:10:53,319
years ago for CPA firm I worked
for. So I called up Charles Schwab.
1067
01:10:53,319 --> 01:10:55,520
They're like, yeah, you know, we've been trying to contact you.
1068
01:10:55,720 --> 01:10:59,479
We have the we're holding a couple
thousand dollars in your name in and
1069
01:10:59,600 --> 01:11:02,279
I in a wroth and a traditional
I said, okay, let's clean it
1070
01:11:02,279 --> 01:11:06,880
out. I bought myself into a
computer. There you go. It does
1071
01:11:06,920 --> 01:11:11,119
happened. I with a Merrilynch.
You know, imagine getting thirty dollars a
1072
01:11:11,159 --> 01:11:13,960
month, even direct deposit, it's
annoying. At the end of the year
1073
01:11:14,000 --> 01:11:15,880
you get a ten ninety nine for
three hundred and sixty dollars. It's just
1074
01:11:15,880 --> 01:11:18,920
just dis annoying. I've tried to
tell them, you know, pay me,
1075
01:11:19,479 --> 01:11:23,680
you know, thousand dollars and I'll
sign off on you can go away,
1076
01:11:23,840 --> 01:11:28,319
but they won't do it. No, I'm stuck with my big Merrilynch
1077
01:11:28,359 --> 01:11:30,279
pension for thirty dollars a month for
the rest of my life. So I
1078
01:11:30,279 --> 01:11:34,520
imagine there are other people out there
that had similar situations and their employer,
1079
01:11:34,880 --> 01:11:39,159
like Merrilynch, couldn't find them,
and so this thirty dollars a month goes
1080
01:11:39,199 --> 01:11:44,560
into a pool somewhere in their name
and gets unclaimed. Jonathan, as always,
1081
01:11:44,600 --> 01:11:47,640
we appreciate your taking time to be
with us. Always always interesting stuff,
1082
01:11:47,640 --> 01:11:50,680
and what we try to do is
we try to talk about things that
1083
01:11:51,239 --> 01:11:58,640
you've You've actually been dealing with real
life things that other people may be dealing
1084
01:11:58,640 --> 01:12:01,399
with as well, but just haven't
thought to ask someone about it. Well,
1085
01:12:01,399 --> 01:12:04,640
now that I'm getting to know your
listeners, I know exactly what questions
1086
01:12:04,640 --> 01:12:09,359
to ask and what to talk about
every week. We love having you here.
1087
01:12:09,399 --> 01:12:11,960
We appreciate the work, and please
give us a call if you want
1088
01:12:11,960 --> 01:12:15,800
to talk to Jonathan. First consultation
is free. I'll talk to you right
1089
01:12:15,800 --> 01:12:25,359
after the present. Say it's all
good morning. Once again, it's the
1090
01:12:25,439 --> 01:12:29,319
Father's Day edition of the Money Matters
Show. Happy Father's Day to all of
1091
01:12:29,319 --> 01:12:31,720
you dads out there, Happy Father's
Day Day. Best job in the world,
1092
01:12:31,840 --> 01:12:34,840
Thank you, buddy, best job
of best job someone can get.
1093
01:12:35,640 --> 01:12:42,119
We appreciate your listening. We Dylan
and Dave. We're here without Todd.
1094
01:12:42,199 --> 01:12:47,840
Todd's in Mexico and Dean Is went
to Europe for a meeting with our clearing
1095
01:12:47,880 --> 01:12:51,119
firm. I think it's more of
a reward trip than a meeting, but
1096
01:12:51,119 --> 01:12:58,920
they do have some meetings, and
his relationship with the our clearing firm helps
1097
01:12:59,079 --> 01:13:01,199
make our firm run so much better. And if we need something, he
1098
01:13:01,680 --> 01:13:05,840
knows firsthand who to talk to it
and they're fond of him. And he
1099
01:13:05,920 --> 01:13:10,880
went out dancing and with rubber soul
shoes, which you're not supposed to wear
1100
01:13:10,960 --> 01:13:15,000
dancing, like tennis shoes things,
and they got his foot caught and ended
1101
01:13:15,119 --> 01:13:21,439
up tearing his ACL. And he's
in Europe on crutches. It's not for
1102
01:13:21,479 --> 01:13:24,800
sure as ACL. They just think
it he's not going to get an MRI
1103
01:13:25,000 --> 01:13:28,760
until he gets back to the States. But after spending a night in there
1104
01:13:28,800 --> 01:13:32,279
in a Dublin hospital, Dublin hospital
yet called me. He's like, where
1105
01:13:32,319 --> 01:13:34,479
do you think I am right now? And it was midnight his time,
1106
01:13:34,520 --> 01:13:36,960
so I was at a bar.
He's like, I'm in the hospital.
1107
01:13:38,000 --> 01:13:41,399
I never would have guessed it.
Yeah, he called me in and said
1108
01:13:42,079 --> 01:13:44,159
the same thing. You'll never guess
where I am. And I said,
1109
01:13:44,840 --> 01:13:46,199
well, I think you're still in
Ireland right He goes, I'm in the
1110
01:13:46,239 --> 01:13:51,840
hospital calling everybody had nothing else to
do anyway. It was a great week
1111
01:13:51,880 --> 01:13:56,479
for the market and um I looked
at the Target dropped to a new three
1112
01:13:56,560 --> 01:14:00,279
year low last week. Dylan,
after picking up a couple more down grades,
1113
01:14:00,439 --> 01:14:05,000
is that LGBTQ boycott is joined by
concerns get this, Concerns that the
1114
01:14:05,119 --> 01:14:11,840
resumption of student loan debt in September, which is part of that. But
1115
01:14:12,920 --> 01:14:16,840
death ceiling deal. Yeah, the
student loan debt payments I have to resume
1116
01:14:16,880 --> 01:14:21,520
in September. That that's gonna negatively
impact Target. That's one of the reasons
1117
01:14:21,520 --> 01:14:25,600
they gave for the stock being death. That's a good reasoning too, because
1118
01:14:25,840 --> 01:14:28,800
what you're gonna spend now once they
resumed, we're gonn probably have two hundred
1119
01:14:28,800 --> 01:14:31,319
fifty dollars plus a month going towards
student loans. I wasn't before. Targets
1120
01:14:31,319 --> 01:14:39,239
considered premium compared to Walmart and all
Okay, but Costco his Costco hits a
1121
01:14:39,279 --> 01:14:43,199
new fifty two week high because you
can buy them both, so targets more
1122
01:14:43,239 --> 01:14:45,680
of this. Target different from that. My question is Target is different.
1123
01:14:45,680 --> 01:14:50,840
They're more like in a sense,
they're more luxurious than Walmart is how it's
1124
01:14:50,880 --> 01:14:55,439
looked at. So and then cost
they go to Target for I mean people
1125
01:14:55,439 --> 01:14:58,560
that go to Target, they go
there for two things, end up leaving
1126
01:14:58,560 --> 01:15:00,199
with foreign knowledge with the stuff.
They're not gonna go to Target now because
1127
01:15:00,199 --> 01:15:03,439
they're gonna have the student loans that
they have to pay back. They're gonna
1128
01:15:03,479 --> 01:15:05,680
go to Costco. To buy them
bulk, or they're gonna go to Walmart
1129
01:15:05,800 --> 01:15:12,199
or Fries or something, or Opersons
or something like that. You really do
1130
01:15:12,319 --> 01:15:16,079
see Target being more impacted than Walmart
or Costco. I would say, so,
1131
01:15:16,199 --> 01:15:18,239
yep, interesting because I got to
go to the discount stores if you
1132
01:15:18,239 --> 01:15:20,439
got to spend three hundred dollars on
your student loans all of a sudden,
1133
01:15:20,640 --> 01:15:24,319
very good point. I was listening
to a comedian years ago when it was
1134
01:15:24,359 --> 01:15:27,520
still Price Club. This was a
comedian. She was on the East Coast
1135
01:15:27,920 --> 01:15:30,960
and she was explaining to the people
on the East Coast what Price Club was.
1136
01:15:31,000 --> 01:15:33,640
And she goes, let me describe
it this way. You would not
1137
01:15:33,720 --> 01:15:38,359
go to Price Club to buy cheese. She goes, you would go to
1138
01:15:38,399 --> 01:15:42,920
Price Club if you were going to
build something out of the cheese. That's
1139
01:15:42,920 --> 01:15:46,960
fair pretty close. Target, price
learnings, ratio, dividen and all.
1140
01:15:47,199 --> 01:15:51,960
It looks screaming like it's a screaming
buy. And I did have a client
1141
01:15:53,760 --> 01:15:59,239
call me last week and say,
good job Greg. I think, give
1142
01:15:59,239 --> 01:16:02,279
Greg a shout out, say shouldn't
we be buying Target here? It's just
1143
01:16:02,319 --> 01:16:05,039
going straight down like a rock,
you know, it's I said, it's
1144
01:16:05,279 --> 01:16:09,279
dirt cheap, but it's yeah,
And he said, well, you're the
1145
01:16:09,279 --> 01:16:12,359
expert, and I said, well, actually, your it's your money.
1146
01:16:12,960 --> 01:16:15,520
You want to take a run of
Target, I have absolutely no problem with
1147
01:16:15,560 --> 01:16:17,880
it, he texted me back.
But I didn't get the text until the
1148
01:16:17,960 --> 01:16:23,319
next day. Have you had that
happen where? Yeah, maybe two days
1149
01:16:23,399 --> 01:16:27,079
later this text all of a sudden
comes out of nowhere. And anyway,
1150
01:16:27,119 --> 01:16:29,479
make a long story short, Stock
was one twenty eight by the time I
1151
01:16:29,520 --> 01:16:32,000
saw the text, it's one thirty
two and jumped to one thirty six.
1152
01:16:32,600 --> 01:16:35,319
And now it's going by down.
Anyway, Target looks very, very cheap.
1153
01:16:35,399 --> 01:16:43,560
My only concern is, look at
bud Look at Disney. Look at
1154
01:16:43,600 --> 01:16:48,479
how long these these boycotts, these
protests, this negative press. So Disney's
1155
01:16:48,479 --> 01:16:53,119
about a year into it now,
yeah, and they're kind of pushing away
1156
01:16:53,159 --> 01:16:56,319
from it, trying to get out
of that whole thing. They're just trying
1157
01:16:56,319 --> 01:16:59,359
to do business now. But but
yeah, but I mean Modela took over.
1158
01:16:59,680 --> 01:17:01,680
That's selling beer. Madelo is the
number one beer, number one belling
1159
01:17:01,720 --> 01:17:04,640
beer. And that is Constellation Brands, who has had a good couple of
1160
01:17:04,680 --> 01:17:08,439
weeks with the news that it might
takeover and then it did takeover. It
1161
01:17:08,600 --> 01:17:13,720
also owns fifty percent of Canopy Growth
Constellation Brands Yep, that they bought a
1162
01:17:13,800 --> 01:17:16,640
thirty nine dollars a sharing is now
sixty four cents. Yeah, how did
1163
01:17:16,680 --> 01:17:21,279
that work out? They're happy that
Madela is doing better. Yeah, when
1164
01:17:21,279 --> 01:17:25,399
you're a big company like that,
you can some of your ills. Yeah.
1165
01:17:25,439 --> 01:17:29,840
The weedstocks just been getting clobbered ever
since. The whole idea that they're
1166
01:17:29,840 --> 01:17:33,279
going to become federally legalized quick died
off. Right. People just got out.
1167
01:17:33,520 --> 01:17:38,359
They're just no way that's going to
happen. It's a saturated market too.
1168
01:17:38,960 --> 01:17:42,840
Yeah. So, and then it
turns out even in the legalize who
1169
01:17:42,880 --> 01:17:46,079
we're finding out here in the United
States is more and more states legalize it,
1170
01:17:46,560 --> 01:17:51,800
that more than fifty percent of the
sales are still illegal because you can
1171
01:17:51,800 --> 01:17:55,840
get yourselves cheaper. Yeah, and
you're gonna pay the tax on it,
1172
01:17:55,880 --> 01:17:58,560
That's what I'm saying, because that's
because of the taxes, because of the
1173
01:17:58,600 --> 01:18:02,960
taxes that are assessed to the growers, and the taxes are assessed at the
1174
01:18:03,000 --> 01:18:08,279
point of sale. You're gonna pay
quite a bit more for announce of marijuana
1175
01:18:08,600 --> 01:18:12,199
at a legal store here in Tucson. Then you're gonna pay on the street
1176
01:18:12,199 --> 01:18:15,560
corner. Yeah, that's a good
point. That was a better control.
1177
01:18:15,760 --> 01:18:18,079
Is it safer? Yes, all
that comes into play. But isn't it
1178
01:18:18,119 --> 01:18:24,319
interesting We thought if we just legalized
marijuana, all that black market stuff will
1179
01:18:24,319 --> 01:18:27,279
go away. It hasn't. It's
the old saying that you buy the rumor,
1180
01:18:27,319 --> 01:18:29,800
sell the news. Yeah, so
you bought the rumor that was going
1181
01:18:29,840 --> 01:18:32,600
to get legalized federally and then you
just selling news. But it was there
1182
01:18:32,720 --> 01:18:36,960
was a rare one last week,
Dylan. Apple actually got a downgrade from
1183
01:18:38,000 --> 01:18:41,840
really yeah from Ubs. Wow.
Ubs went from a buy to a hold
1184
01:18:42,560 --> 01:18:46,239
in This is one of the more
popular stocks in the world. And everybody
1185
01:18:46,319 --> 01:18:49,920
knows that Apple never goes down,
just goes up. And so you can
1186
01:18:49,960 --> 01:18:53,520
buy that and any kind of an
account. You buy that and your great
1187
01:18:53,520 --> 01:18:58,800
gramma's account, it's fine. Yeah, a good run up they have.
1188
01:18:58,920 --> 01:19:05,039
They said that they've continued pressure for
iPhone demand and services. Not that's interesting
1189
01:19:05,079 --> 01:19:10,159
because are we at a point now
where everybody that needs a cell phone has
1190
01:19:10,199 --> 01:19:13,199
one? I would think so.
I mean it seems like we're getting there
1191
01:19:13,199 --> 01:19:16,319
because you look at a Verizon there
is no growth now Verizon is the number
1192
01:19:16,359 --> 01:19:21,840
one provider of cell phone service in
the world. You see no growth there
1193
01:19:21,840 --> 01:19:25,079
at all. None. Yeah,
because, like you said, everybody who
1194
01:19:25,159 --> 01:19:29,479
has a cell phone has one.
All that is now is upgrades. There
1195
01:19:29,560 --> 01:19:34,720
was a gall in our building last
week and the Yellow cab called and said
1196
01:19:34,800 --> 01:19:40,520
that they would This number was given
for someone who needed a Yellow cab and
1197
01:19:40,560 --> 01:19:43,680
I thought, gosh, who could
that be and why would they call our
1198
01:19:44,079 --> 01:19:49,239
office landline for that? Turns out
there was a older gal downstairs. There's
1199
01:19:49,279 --> 01:19:55,439
a kidney doctor downstairs. There was
an old, older gal who had had
1200
01:19:55,439 --> 01:20:00,079
her kidney appointment and needed a cab
and asked one of our employees to use
1201
01:20:00,119 --> 01:20:04,960
her cell phone to call the gap, and they gave our but the scale
1202
01:20:05,000 --> 01:20:09,560
did not have a cell phone.
Interesting, and I was so surprised at
1203
01:20:09,600 --> 01:20:12,439
that. You know that. Yeah, you don't hear that very often,
1204
01:20:12,600 --> 01:20:15,920
You don't, You don't. I've
heard it more that people don't have emails
1205
01:20:15,119 --> 01:20:19,039
than cell phones. Yeah. Yeah. And the one thing I'll tell you,
1206
01:20:19,079 --> 01:20:21,000
the one thing I wouldn't want to
be long, I wouldn't want to
1207
01:20:21,039 --> 01:20:25,720
be buying you if you're investing,
is saying what's a good investment right now?
1208
01:20:26,119 --> 01:20:30,720
It's certainly not checking accounts. It's
terrible. I'm seeing fewer and fewer
1209
01:20:30,760 --> 01:20:33,319
people with checking accounts. I mean, checking accounts are a dying are a
1210
01:20:33,439 --> 01:20:38,760
dying entity. It's unbelievable. Yeah. Yeah, well there's nothing, there's
1211
01:20:38,800 --> 01:20:42,920
no money to gain in there.
You're just spending it as little as possible
1212
01:20:42,920 --> 01:20:45,039
in there, exactly. You know, so much business has gone away from
1213
01:20:45,159 --> 01:20:50,560
China. Recently, the Japan stock
market rallied to a thirty three year high.
1214
01:20:50,680 --> 01:20:57,479
Japan. Now, Japan has been
boring since I was young. Not
1215
01:20:57,600 --> 01:21:00,479
a place to put money, not
a not a good investment in place.
1216
01:21:00,439 --> 01:21:08,479
Their population is elderly, their industries
on matur but they did get a big
1217
01:21:09,199 --> 01:21:14,039
bump from the drop off in China
business. I'm from an overall excuse me,
1218
01:21:14,079 --> 01:21:20,000
an overhaul of corporate governance rules in
the country that now compel company executives
1219
01:21:20,079 --> 01:21:27,880
to improve shareholder returns. It's actually
a government mandated policy. Yeah. J
1220
01:21:28,000 --> 01:21:32,279
F Morgan analysts said last week that
the structural change is starting to take in
1221
01:21:32,359 --> 01:21:36,439
Japan and could give the current market
rally stain power. So do you think
1222
01:21:36,439 --> 01:21:40,680
Toyota is going to do really well? Yeah? I think Taryota is gonna
1223
01:21:40,680 --> 01:21:44,079
make it. Yeah you think,
I think they will. I'm saying maybe
1224
01:21:44,079 --> 01:21:45,800
they weren't even thinking of that before, and now they got the mandate for
1225
01:21:45,880 --> 01:21:48,560
it, it might do even better. You know, the Nazdak stocks here
1226
01:21:48,640 --> 01:21:54,720
on fire, but the exchange not
so much. The Nazdak exchange, down
1227
01:21:54,760 --> 01:21:59,239
five percent for the year, dropped
an another eleven percent on Monday after they
1228
01:21:59,279 --> 01:22:03,520
announced it able to buy software company
a Denza for ten point five billions.
1229
01:22:03,520 --> 01:22:08,520
So what they're trying to do is
they're trying to diversify, which is a
1230
01:22:08,600 --> 01:22:12,159
smart thing to do if you're in
business, right, Diversification is a good
1231
01:22:12,199 --> 01:22:17,199
thing. Market did not like it. It is the NAZDAC exchange is largest
1232
01:22:17,239 --> 01:22:24,439
acquisition ever and the market is saying, we're not a big fan of you
1233
01:22:24,520 --> 01:22:28,199
to diverse. Fine, we kind
of like you the stranglehold you have on
1234
01:22:28,239 --> 01:22:31,159
the NASDAC. Yeah, that's interesting. You got a tip for federal employees.
1235
01:22:31,239 --> 01:22:34,520
We deal with a lot of federal
employees here and their TSP rolling it
1236
01:22:34,600 --> 01:22:38,399
over and everything like that. And
we know a lot of federal employees do
1237
01:22:38,560 --> 01:22:43,560
retire early and considerably to fifty nine
and a half, so they roll over
1238
01:22:43,560 --> 01:22:46,720
their IRA into or their TSP into
an IRA. What I learned on Friday
1239
01:22:46,840 --> 01:22:53,039
was that if you retire the year
you turn fifty five or later and then
1240
01:22:53,159 --> 01:22:56,520
say you leave it in the TSP
up until you're before you're fifty nine and
1241
01:22:56,560 --> 01:23:00,359
a half, you will not incur
the ten percent penalty if you will dropped
1242
01:23:00,399 --> 01:23:03,920
from the TSP, but if you
retire fifty four or earlier, you will
1243
01:23:04,239 --> 01:23:08,239
have that. And if you roll
it into an IRA between that time,
1244
01:23:08,560 --> 01:23:12,199
IRA rules apply, which is,
if you take it out before fifty nine
1245
01:23:12,199 --> 01:23:14,760
and a half, you will have
a ten percent penalty, but if you
1246
01:23:15,079 --> 01:23:16,920
so, if you leave it in
your TSP, you won't have a penalty.
1247
01:23:17,119 --> 01:23:19,640
Which was interesting. I didn't know
that. I'm actually I did know
1248
01:23:19,680 --> 01:23:24,239
that. I'm actually aware of that
because I had a situation a couple of
1249
01:23:24,319 --> 01:23:29,439
years ago where we had a federal
and file a retired fifty five rolled his
1250
01:23:29,600 --> 01:23:33,840
IRA into excuse me, rolled his
TSP into an IRA because he had a
1251
01:23:33,880 --> 01:23:40,479
lot more investment choices. Yeah,
two years in he needs money, we
1252
01:23:40,479 --> 01:23:43,439
send him the money. Yeah,
then he goes to file his tax and
1253
01:23:43,439 --> 01:23:47,479
he goes, what is this ten
percent penalty? And the account explains,
1254
01:23:47,520 --> 01:23:49,359
well, because you're coming out of
an IRA. He goes, no,
1255
01:23:49,560 --> 01:23:53,600
I'm a TSP guy. No,
no, No, you rolled it into
1256
01:23:53,640 --> 01:23:56,520
an IR. Yeah. So if
you're between the ages, if you retire
1257
01:23:56,560 --> 01:23:59,439
fifty five and you think you might
need money before fifty nine and a half,
1258
01:23:59,720 --> 01:24:01,079
you might want to but you want
the more investment options, you might
1259
01:24:01,119 --> 01:24:04,000
want to leave a portion in your
TSP so you don't have that penalty.
1260
01:24:04,239 --> 01:24:09,159
Yeah. I had a new client
that was coming from a TSP and I
1261
01:24:09,159 --> 01:24:12,680
said to him exactly, I said, do you understand because you're Fitch five,
1262
01:24:12,760 --> 01:24:15,800
you understand that if you need money
before fifteen nine and a half and
1263
01:24:15,920 --> 01:24:17,680
you do roll it into an IRA, there's gonna be a penalty right here.
1264
01:24:17,800 --> 01:24:20,439
I understand I'm not gonna need the
money. He knew. Yeah.
1265
01:24:20,600 --> 01:24:25,159
More importantly, I knew, yeah
exactly because of that one situation we got
1266
01:24:25,199 --> 01:24:28,319
involved. You'll never forget it now. I'll never forget it now. Anyway,
1267
01:24:28,560 --> 01:24:31,439
we're coming to the end of the
fifth segment. Got one more to
1268
01:24:31,520 --> 01:24:35,680
go, Dylan and I enjoy bringing
the show to you. Todd will be
1269
01:24:35,960 --> 01:24:39,840
back next week, but Dylan will
be gone. So it's just it's kind
1270
01:24:39,840 --> 01:24:43,600
of like June in the desert revolving
doors. Everybody's trying to go somewhere else.
1271
01:24:44,079 --> 01:24:48,840
We'll be back right after this break. Thanks again for listening. Say
1272
01:24:47,079 --> 01:24:53,640
it's a welcome back. You're listening
to the final segment of this Father's Day
1273
01:24:53,720 --> 01:24:56,880
edition of the Money Matters Show.
It's a happy Father's Day to everybody,
1274
01:24:56,960 --> 01:25:00,039
especially my dad out in Ireland.
Hopefully he's having fun as much as you
1275
01:25:00,079 --> 01:25:06,079
can hobble around, Dave, Happy
Father's Day. Yeah, because of Linda,
1276
01:25:06,159 --> 01:25:10,800
Thanks Linda. But yeah, I
mean we've had a jam pack Shaw.
1277
01:25:10,920 --> 01:25:13,239
Is a lot of information going on, a lot of stuff going on
1278
01:25:13,279 --> 01:25:16,239
in the markets coming up to the
end of the quarter with the FED positive
1279
01:25:16,319 --> 01:25:19,000
rates, everything like that, and
it all comes down to what we talk
1280
01:25:19,039 --> 01:25:21,319
about all the time, is your
plan. Do you have a plan?
1281
01:25:23,079 --> 01:25:25,880
If you don't, give us a
call. If you do have a plan
1282
01:25:25,920 --> 01:25:28,960
but you think it might be outdated, give us a call anytime you got
1283
01:25:28,960 --> 01:25:30,560
to think about it. We are
glad to help. It's a free financial
1284
01:25:30,560 --> 01:25:34,239
plan that we offer and we just
want to help you guys feel at peace
1285
01:25:34,640 --> 01:25:38,479
with what you're doing in retirement,
getting ready for it. If you're already
1286
01:25:38,520 --> 01:25:41,920
in it, how you're going to
do the income do you need more income
1287
01:25:41,960 --> 01:25:44,840
from somewhere else? Are you going
to touch your assets or do you have
1288
01:25:44,840 --> 01:25:46,520
your good pensions going on, a
lot of Feds do have great pensions,
1289
01:25:46,520 --> 01:25:49,239
so they don't even need to touch
their TSP. They just wanted to grow
1290
01:25:49,560 --> 01:25:54,079
most likely for their kids. Stuff
like that. Social Security optimizer, we
1291
01:25:54,119 --> 01:25:56,520
can help you with that. See
when the best time is to take a
1292
01:25:56,640 --> 01:26:01,680
social Security based off numbers. Obviously
there's other factors in that happened with social
1293
01:26:01,680 --> 01:26:04,920
Security with alengevity in your family,
stuff like this, do you think you
1294
01:26:05,000 --> 01:26:08,880
might go back to work before your
full retirement days? All that, But
1295
01:26:09,319 --> 01:26:11,640
it's all part of the conversation that
we have with the financial plan. And
1296
01:26:11,640 --> 01:26:15,560
like you're saying, we've been having
a lot of current clients new clients.
1297
01:26:15,600 --> 01:26:17,239
They come in, they want to
do the financial plants. It's just great
1298
01:26:17,239 --> 01:26:20,680
thing to help people with. Yeah, if you need that peace of mind,
1299
01:26:20,720 --> 01:26:25,000
we certainly can help for that.
I gotta shout out to listener Doug
1300
01:26:25,479 --> 01:26:28,760
and he's in Carl's Bad, California. I know if you've ever been to
1301
01:26:28,840 --> 01:26:32,079
Carl's Bad, very cool, very
cool town it is. Yeah, it's
1302
01:26:32,119 --> 01:26:38,720
a kind of on the way between
San Diego, and Agau and it's a
1303
01:26:38,760 --> 01:26:44,279
cool town. And he pointed out
that Carl's Bad has the largest desalinization plant
1304
01:26:44,359 --> 01:26:49,119
in the Western Hemisphere. He said
it can protest fifty million gallons a day.
1305
01:26:49,560 --> 01:26:53,880
Wow. Now, all the water
needs in the Western United States,
1306
01:26:53,880 --> 01:27:00,520
in my opinion, could be solved
by these plans. But the governing authorities
1307
01:27:00,560 --> 01:27:05,560
in California are more interested in protecting
marine life than human life. Yep,
1308
01:27:06,520 --> 01:27:10,760
it sounds about right for them.
There's currently twelve plants in operation, but
1309
01:27:10,840 --> 01:27:15,199
getting more builts, like getting a
nuclear power plan approved, it is unbelievable.
1310
01:27:15,239 --> 01:27:18,439
You know what California is also passing
is that starting the thing next year,
1311
01:27:18,840 --> 01:27:24,800
they want to charge people electricity bills
based on their income. So if
1312
01:27:24,960 --> 01:27:27,720
you make one hundred and eighty thousand
dollars, you were probably gonna pay five
1313
01:27:27,800 --> 01:27:30,319
hundred more dollars a year on your
electric bill just because you pay more you
1314
01:27:30,359 --> 01:27:33,640
make more money. It's just they're
trying to do socialism over there. They're
1315
01:27:33,680 --> 01:27:36,279
giving you no incentives to work hard
and make more money. They'd rather you
1316
01:27:36,359 --> 01:27:41,920
just make less money and give it
all the government. The one interesting thing
1317
01:27:41,920 --> 01:27:45,159
I discovered on my trip over there, and I had not seen this in
1318
01:27:45,239 --> 01:27:50,000
the western United States, but it's
popping up pretty aggressively in Orange County.
1319
01:27:50,600 --> 01:27:56,359
Toll roads. Toll roads, Yeah, that's not a thing out on the
1320
01:27:56,359 --> 01:27:58,920
West. Usually that's all the East
coast. It's not a thing. I
1321
01:27:58,920 --> 01:28:01,880
actually had to go on line to
toll roads dot com or some stupid thing
1322
01:28:02,239 --> 01:28:09,319
and and register my vehicle or else
I would be assessed fines for late payment.
1323
01:28:09,560 --> 01:28:12,319
There are reasoning for that, is
saying they want to control the traffic
1324
01:28:12,319 --> 01:28:15,439
that happens like on the four or
five and all in LA area and just
1325
01:28:15,560 --> 01:28:18,039
like that, so they're gonna charge
people. Yeah, but they didn't call
1326
01:28:18,079 --> 01:28:20,399
it a toll road. They called
us something else that This is the reason
1327
01:28:20,520 --> 01:28:23,680
I was like, this is a
toll road, is what you're making it.
1328
01:28:23,680 --> 01:28:29,439
It's kind of like on you ever
watch um not General Hospital, the
1329
01:28:29,560 --> 01:28:32,399
one in Seattle, UM grazon out
of it. Yeah, thank you.
1330
01:28:32,520 --> 01:28:38,199
I've only I've only seen eighteen seasons
of it. They've got a spin off
1331
01:28:38,600 --> 01:28:41,600
from that called Station nineteen, which
is kind of good. It's kind of
1332
01:28:41,640 --> 01:28:44,640
like Chicago Fire. So it's a
it's a cute show. Um, but
1333
01:28:44,720 --> 01:28:47,399
they don't have ambulances on this show. Now, I don't know if this
1334
01:28:47,479 --> 01:28:49,960
is real life Seattle or not,
but there is no such thing as an
1335
01:28:49,960 --> 01:28:57,439
ambulance. They are aid cars,
a ID cars. Why not ambulances?
1336
01:28:57,840 --> 01:29:05,760
I have no idea that probably less
threatening, was less scary, dealing words
1337
01:29:05,800 --> 01:29:11,840
heard? Okay, big emotions,
big emotions. Yeah, home builder lenar
1338
01:29:12,000 --> 01:29:15,319
all time high and isn't that amazing? You go back nine months ago,
1339
01:29:15,960 --> 01:29:20,199
the home builders were so out of
favor because everybody knew the real estate market
1340
01:29:20,239 --> 01:29:26,399
was falling apart. Yeah, and
guess what happened? They all nobody decided
1341
01:29:26,439 --> 01:29:29,880
to sell their house. Nobody's wanting
to sell their house. Everybody is not
1342
01:29:29,960 --> 01:29:34,439
necessarily coveting their house, but coveting
their mortgage rate exactly. So if you
1343
01:29:34,479 --> 01:29:38,119
want to buy a house, you
got to buy a new house. So
1344
01:29:38,239 --> 01:29:41,960
guess what the home builders are doing? Just great, all of them hitting
1345
01:29:41,960 --> 01:29:44,720
all time highs. It's funny how
that works. Yeah, because they were
1346
01:29:44,720 --> 01:29:46,279
dead in the water for a while, dead in the water. And healthcare,
1347
01:29:46,359 --> 01:29:50,560
you know, Friday, all of
the insurers sold off United Healthcare,
1348
01:29:50,640 --> 01:29:57,479
Stagna, hemana um after after United. The CEO of United has said that
1349
01:29:57,600 --> 01:30:04,279
there has been a surge in on
urgent surgeries surge in non urgent surgeries,
1350
01:30:04,399 --> 01:30:11,039
primarily elderly people doing elective surgery that
they didn't do during the pandemic can kind
1351
01:30:11,039 --> 01:30:15,000
of put off and put off.
And one thing that I know personally is
1352
01:30:15,000 --> 01:30:17,399
is orthopedic issues are going to be
put off until you just can't take it
1353
01:30:17,439 --> 01:30:21,520
anymore. Yeah, until the pain
is Like your dad, we'll find out
1354
01:30:21,520 --> 01:30:27,479
when he gets back. But I
tore my meniscus hike in the Grand Canyon,
1355
01:30:27,800 --> 01:30:31,039
and I dealt with it for about
six months until I just couldn't take
1356
01:30:31,039 --> 01:30:40,960
it anymore. Till the pain that
I'm going to endure through surgery is less
1357
01:30:40,960 --> 01:30:44,439
than what I'm having to deal with
every day on this with this armeniscus.
1358
01:30:44,960 --> 01:30:46,720
Yeah. Yeah, I mean you
could expect that too, because a lot
1359
01:30:46,760 --> 01:30:49,840
of people, well they weren't even
allowing elective surgeries for a while there none,
1360
01:30:49,880 --> 01:30:53,800
I mean for the longest time,
through all of twenty twenty and most
1361
01:30:53,880 --> 01:30:57,159
of twenty twenty one, right,
and now twenty twenty two, you can
1362
01:30:57,199 --> 01:30:59,279
start to do it. Well,
here we are twenty twenty three, and
1363
01:30:59,279 --> 01:31:00,560
everybody's saying, well, I guess
let's go ahead and do it. Yeah,
1364
01:31:00,560 --> 01:31:02,640
exactly. I want to go back
to Tesla. Did you see they
1365
01:31:02,800 --> 01:31:05,720
you're mister Tesla. Now, did
you see in China they have a concept
1366
01:31:05,960 --> 01:31:10,279
shop area that people can go see
kind of see about the car. They
1367
01:31:10,319 --> 01:31:14,119
have an assembly line in there that
makes a Tesla Model three within forty five
1368
01:31:14,159 --> 01:31:18,159
seconds. Oh my god, seconds, Holy cow. If they can get
1369
01:31:18,159 --> 01:31:23,640
that mass produced, that's insane.
I went into the Tesla dealership on Oracle
1370
01:31:23,680 --> 01:31:28,239
and I just look around and they
have a service department. And I said
1371
01:31:28,279 --> 01:31:30,600
to the guy, said, why
would you have a service department? He
1372
01:31:30,640 --> 01:31:35,560
goes, people come in because they
need their tires rotated every ten thousand miles
1373
01:31:35,640 --> 01:31:39,760
and he said, uh, once. And some people come in for broken
1374
01:31:39,760 --> 01:31:44,760
windshields. I think, isn't that
like Safeco or some safeguard or whose Why?
1375
01:31:45,359 --> 01:31:47,159
He says, I'll tell you the
big, biggest problem with his car.
1376
01:31:47,279 --> 01:31:49,199
Now, I go, what's that? And he takes me all his
1377
01:31:49,279 --> 01:31:54,239
smarty pants. He takes me over
to this Tesla and he lifts up the
1378
01:31:54,319 --> 01:31:58,319
front which is a trunk. Yeah, it's not the engine. And there
1379
01:31:58,439 --> 01:32:01,119
is this little cap and he said, you've got to keep an eye on
1380
01:32:01,199 --> 01:32:06,000
that. It was windshell washer fluid. It's a good salesman. Yeah,
1381
01:32:06,079 --> 01:32:09,560
it's a good sale. This is
gonna be mony of big issues. You
1382
01:32:09,640 --> 01:32:13,800
gotta keep that full. Yeah.
Lastly, on Tesla, France wants on
1383
01:32:13,880 --> 01:32:17,760
the build a gigafactory there because they
want to up there ev market get a
1384
01:32:17,760 --> 01:32:20,800
boost in there in the European market. The issue is they're trying to ban
1385
01:32:20,960 --> 01:32:25,680
Twitter. Yeah, so they're like
at odds with Elon Musk right now.
1386
01:32:25,720 --> 01:32:28,399
But they want them to build a
gigafactory and then band Twitter on them.
1387
01:32:28,560 --> 01:32:30,840
Yeah. I don't. I don't
think there's any Boston, certainly none of
1388
01:32:30,880 --> 01:32:35,640
us here Greenberg Financial that think that
the electric cars are the solution to a
1389
01:32:35,680 --> 01:32:41,279
world pollution, solution to folution like
that. Um, but it's a step
1390
01:32:41,279 --> 01:32:45,199
in the right direction. That's I
think we're We're support we're certainly supportive of
1391
01:32:45,199 --> 01:32:48,560
it. We're not interested in being
mandated in any way, shape or form.
1392
01:32:48,600 --> 01:32:53,439
Yeah, I don't think any of
us are anywhere near good with mandates.
1393
01:32:53,600 --> 01:32:56,880
No, we don't want that.
It's up to you want had an
1394
01:32:56,880 --> 01:33:00,840
IPO, you know, initial public
offering and IPO things that used to be
1395
01:33:00,920 --> 01:33:05,600
very common have become a very like
a very very rare, very very rare.
1396
01:33:06,000 --> 01:33:13,279
And we actually had one this past
week, a popular fast casual Mexican
1397
01:33:13,680 --> 01:33:18,640
restaurant Mediterranean Mediterranean thank you, called
Cava, and I understand there's a couple
1398
01:33:18,680 --> 01:33:21,760
of them in Phoenix. That's what
Todd was saying. I haven't eaten there,
1399
01:33:21,760 --> 01:33:26,039
but he said it's good. It's
kind of like the Mediterranean version of
1400
01:33:26,079 --> 01:33:30,560
Chipotle. That's why I've heard a
couple of times. They came out offered
1401
01:33:30,560 --> 01:33:34,359
at twenty two dollars to share Thursday
morning, started trading about three or four
1402
01:33:34,399 --> 01:33:39,720
hours into the trading day double yep, and then it gave back about ten
1403
01:33:39,760 --> 01:33:42,319
percent of that on Friday. Yeah, it had doubled. The thing is,
1404
01:33:42,359 --> 01:33:45,479
if they run their company the same
as Chipotle, they'll be a good
1405
01:33:45,520 --> 01:33:49,399
company, because chipol Stock is killing
it. Pole Stock is unbelievable. It's
1406
01:33:49,439 --> 01:33:53,159
good management. It's it's like I
have a good business model. They have
1407
01:33:53,199 --> 01:33:56,920
good management. They retain their employees, their board, everything. I eat
1408
01:33:56,920 --> 01:33:59,079
it from time to time, but
I don't, finally, do nothing really
1409
01:33:59,079 --> 01:34:02,119
special about it. Every once in
a while, it's easiness to get it.
1410
01:34:02,319 --> 01:34:04,920
Oh, it's pretty easy, and
it's it's okay. You know,
1411
01:34:04,960 --> 01:34:08,520
I told you the other day out
like I'll eat anything that's wrapped in a
1412
01:34:08,560 --> 01:34:11,640
tortilla. Yeah, exactly. I
think I could eat Brussels sprouts if they
1413
01:34:11,680 --> 01:34:14,119
were in a Kirkia. I'm gonna
get you that for your birthday. Brussels
1414
01:34:14,399 --> 01:34:16,640
Brussels sprouse wrapped in a burrito pick
on, pick on me, huh,
1415
01:34:17,079 --> 01:34:20,640
you said it. I'm just thinking
the most absurd thing. What's what's the
1416
01:34:20,640 --> 01:34:25,640
thing I just like in a motion
in the world. Probably Brussels sprouts and
1417
01:34:25,640 --> 01:34:29,319
then maybe onions and tomatoes, so
hey, put some unions and tomatoes on
1418
01:34:29,359 --> 01:34:32,560
the brussels. Probably wrap a minute
to see if I could actually actually tolerated.
1419
01:34:32,840 --> 01:34:38,159
You know, most of us have
a Logitech equipment at some point,
1420
01:34:38,279 --> 01:34:41,119
or have it now, or have
had it in our house that they make
1421
01:34:41,159 --> 01:34:45,119
the keyboards and the mouth stuff.
That's a I don't think it's mostes.
1422
01:34:45,119 --> 01:34:49,279
I think it's a mice. Thought
of that with a computer mouse. Yeah,
1423
01:34:49,279 --> 01:34:53,279
you can kind of feeling in for
your dad there. I used to
1424
01:34:53,279 --> 01:34:57,159
teach him about his diction and he's
got to make up for it. A
1425
01:34:57,159 --> 01:35:00,800
lot of fun to have around.
Um. This other should dropped ten percent
1426
01:35:00,840 --> 01:35:03,880
on Wednesday. Their new CEO is
leaving for an outside of company and they
1427
01:35:03,960 --> 01:35:09,760
just actually got the brand new early
got in there and Charity kicking the tires
1428
01:35:09,760 --> 01:35:12,359
and going and I don't think,
what's the company he's moving to. It
1429
01:35:12,399 --> 01:35:16,199
didn't jealous. It was an out
was an outside company that prompted City Group
1430
01:35:16,239 --> 01:35:21,000
to downgrade the stock I Robot.
I robot jumped. On Friday twenty,
1431
01:35:21,279 --> 01:35:27,439
European regulators approved Amazon's attempt to acquire
that company. I Robot is the maker
1432
01:35:27,479 --> 01:35:30,439
of roomba. Yeah, the room. That was a great company during twenty
1433
01:35:30,479 --> 01:35:33,720
twenty during the pandemic. Oh yeah, they were off the charts and then
1434
01:35:33,720 --> 01:35:38,560
they pulled back a lot. But
yeah, they finally let Amazon. They
1435
01:35:38,640 --> 01:35:42,039
gave Amazon the go ahead, which
is all it needed, and they got
1436
01:35:42,039 --> 01:35:45,319
the go ahead, and there there. I guess, you know, Amazon's
1437
01:35:45,399 --> 01:35:48,399
got so much extra cash. I'm
not sure what they're thinking they're gonna do
1438
01:35:48,520 --> 01:35:53,840
with that. Make it their own. I guess on the Amazon they make
1439
01:35:53,840 --> 01:35:56,000
it cheaper and they'll sell more,
because I'll buy a room if it's cheaper.
1440
01:35:56,119 --> 01:35:59,319
I'm not paying five hundred dollars for
the roombo Thursday morning, I ordered
1441
01:35:59,399 --> 01:36:01,119
something my wife if asked me to
order on Amazon, and when we got
1442
01:36:01,119 --> 01:36:05,960
home Thursday afternoon was sitting there and
my wife. My wife goes, we're
1443
01:36:06,000 --> 01:36:10,439
gonna have to find somebody else.
These guys are really sloughing off on delivery.
1444
01:36:10,560 --> 01:36:13,800
I mean, it's just mind boggling. Anyway, we appreciate you listening
1445
01:36:13,800 --> 01:36:15,720
to us, just the two of
us, and next week it'll be just
1446
01:36:15,760 --> 01:36:18,119
the tow us, but it'll be
a different two of us, and we'll
1447
01:36:18,159 --> 01:36:21,760
probably have Jonathan on next week and
maybe have some guests. And again we
1448
01:36:21,800 --> 01:36:26,239
appreciate you taking time out of your
Father's Day Sunday morning to listen to us.
1449
01:36:26,720 --> 01:36:30,720
We'll be back next week. We
all want to be happy and we
1450
01:36:30,960 --> 01:36:33,159
all want to be healthy, but
a Greenberg financial what we're trying to be
1451
01:36:33,399 --> 01:36:38,520
is profitable next week. Say it's
all