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Good morning. It's Sunday morning, July sixth. This is the
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Independence Day version of the Money Matter Show. I'm Dave Sherwood.
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I'm here with Todd click Junior. I'm here with Sebastian Borstein.
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We hope you're all enjoying what is the long weekend
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for many, with a fourth falling on a Friday. It
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worked out perfectly and we're now firmly actually in the
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actual monsoon season, not the pseudo monsoon season, but the
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actual mon season. We're hoping for frequent and significant rainfall.
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I have been asked over the last couple of weeks
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if Dean is fine, if Dean's health is okay. Dean
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is fine, Dean is enjoying an extended period with his family,
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and Dean is just fine. He will be back on
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the radio, although I think that he comes back from
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his trip and goes on another trip, so I'm not
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sure if it's going to be much before August, but
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we're trying to fill in. I know you missed the
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first half hour monologue. We all do, and you know,
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cause you've got to get get caught up on the
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politics there on that I always call it the political
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half hour for Dean, But I think you all know
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what's going on, and the market is is powering the
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new all time highs on all kinds of excitement about
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Trumpetomism and the new trade deals and corporate earnings being good.
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The economy is still being strong. Interest rates are starting
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to move higher. However, they did move higher this week.
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That's potentially problematic. It means that Paul probably doesn't lower
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interest rates in July.
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Yeah, I don't think that we have any expectations for
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a lowering in July, but he could signal of when
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he's going to do it in July, and that largely
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is going to be dependent on those labor reports and
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the inflation numbers. He said that inflation has no idea
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where it's going to be because of tariffs, and said
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even last week that he would have already cut if
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it wasn't for the tariffs. So that was one big
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headline that he I.
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Agree and I don't, Todd. I don't think we're gonna
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hear about when he's gonna cut because he doesn't know.
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It's like you said, just said, it's going to be
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dad to dependent. So maybe we'll have one or two
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cuts later this year. Maybe we won't.
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Well, what I'm trying to say is if there is
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another inflation report that comes out lower than expectations, that's
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when he might say, all right, data is starting to
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look good. We're looking to start lowering rates, maybe in
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the next meeting or the meeting after that.
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And I'm thinking, if he's starting to lower rates, that
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means the economy is softening. So maybe we don't want
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him to lower rate.
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Yeah, but we know how the market works. Bad news
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is good news, and right now all news is good news.
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Right now, all news is good news. Very well put,
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that's exactly getting periods like that where all news is
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good news. Sometimes all news is bad news, but right
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now all news is good news. Let's go pedals to
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the medal. Get me in. I had an eighty one
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year old client call me late in the week and said,
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we got to get in, man, we got to be
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more aggressive here. And today I always say, no, you've
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spent time determining your risk tolerance, and the worst thing
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that can happen is to get more aggressive at the
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top or more conservative at the bottom, which is very natural.
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It's very natural. But I told this gentleman who's sixty
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percent invested in the market. If the market keeps going,
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you're going to do just fine. And if it doesn't,
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you'll be fine as well. So just keep your risk
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tolerance in mind. When it's like this, there's a real
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fomo out there, you know, fear missing out that's really
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run and rampant right nowadays, and you can't make a mistake.
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The market goes up every day, right just to buy anything.
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One of the bigger headlines that came out this week,
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I think, was on Wednesday, and it was that the
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US struck a trade deal with Vietnam. Huge, huge trade deal.
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Right.
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You take a look at the numbers, and there were
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United States of America is going to impose a twenty
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percent tariff on Vietnam imports, right on imports from Vietnam.
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That's inflationary to me.
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No, there's no question about it. But who then they
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have become one of our primary suppliers. He went one
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more step though, and said forty percent tariffs if things
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are around about China's trying to ship things to US through.
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Vietnam, which happens quiet.
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I'm not sure how you can monitor that, but hopefully
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there's a way.
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It was very interesting to see the price action on
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those companies that have exposure to Vietnam, such as Nike
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and Lululemon. I think initially they ramped up and then
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ended up falling off toward the end of the day.
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I'm not sure how they finished the week out. But again,
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I just don't see how this could be such a
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you know, benefits.
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Yeah, they were pushing towards the highest Apple. Apple caught
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a bid this week. iPhone shares increased in China in
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June for the for the first time in two years.
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I think the more I think Apple caught the bid
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more so because of the news that was coming around
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to the Open AI. I don't know if you heard that,
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but they're saying that they want to integrate to the
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Open AI within the series. I think that that would
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be of that would help them out.
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Yeah, that was the primary thrust. We got a couple
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of point pop on the iPhone sales news, which is huge.
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But you know we've sat on the show many times.
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They need to buy somebody, they need to find somebody creative,
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they need to come up with something new.
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And just so you know, like I have chatgy bt
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already in the Siri in the iPhone. It's for the
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new ones, and I think it's like fifteen and above.
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So why was this such a big headline for I
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don't know.
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And I've already heard that headline before. They've already made
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that partnership, So I don't know why that now is
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coming out. Because if you've been on my phone for months.
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Well you say it's been on your phone todd as
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an app or No.
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It's built in. So there's an AI mode on the
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new phones, okay, And there's like a new button that
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you would hold and then it's just like Siri, and
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it's it asks you do you want to ask this
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through Siri or chatgy bt early and then it will
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go through chaggybt if you ask it.
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I don't know about you guys, but my experience with
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my iPhone is a serious lagging behind.
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Yeah. I never absolutely never use it.
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Yeah I don't. I don't either.
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I get annoyed if I use it. I mean, I'll
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ask it to set a reminder for tomorrow, and it's like,
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do you want to set a reminder for twenty seventy four? No?
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I don't.
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Yeah, it's it's not terrible with reminders.
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But probably it is lagging.
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Yeah, in terms of information gather.
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Also, let's think about it, like, okay, fine, you integrates
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the open AI, the chat GPT into Siri. That doesn't
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just generate all this profit for Apple as a company, right,
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I mean you sure does provide some data that they
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may be able to sell to other companies, But how
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do you monetize artificial intelligence within the phones?
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Like?
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Where is it going to go? Further than just Todd
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asking Siri a basic question?
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That that is, the stock is still twenty eight times
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earnings expense, very expensive stock based upon the earnings and
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the and the lack of consistent growth.
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Yeah, before we go in it further. The show is
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spun by the Greenberg Financial Group and you can listen
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on seven ninety K and st or iHeartRadio. This show
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discusses different investment products and strategies. Every product and strategy
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have some type of an inherent risk associated with it,
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and we strongly encourage our listeners to properly understand the
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risk of determine whether to buy, sell, or hold. Show
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has been on air for over thirty years. The Greenberg
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Financial Group is registered with the SEC. Visit our website
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at Greenberg Financial dot com for some more information. We're
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doing financial plans each and every day. Give us a
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call five two zero five four four four nine four
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nine zer nine.
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And my tagline to that is, if you hear us
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doc on the show, we're not recommending that stock because
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we don't know your investment objective, we don't know your
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risk profile. We're informational only, all right, So if we
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say this doc looks attractive, it may not be for you.
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It was not certainly not pointed.
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One of those stocks that we've been talking about on
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this show that we have not been recommending, but we've
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been talking about is First.
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Soldo Credible Day, incredible week, Yes.
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Back to back days of eight percent gains on Wednesday
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and Thursday. And it was largely due to the idea
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that the new Act, the Big Beautiful Bill, they're gonna
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cut subsidies, but really only cut subsidies for the Chinese
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made solar companies, and so it allowed for Solar to
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sidestep that pain that really hurt every other solar company
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because it seems like every other solar company has some
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type of big exposure to China. So that was a
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big deal for First Solder and they caught a really
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nice bid off of that.
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Well, if you feel your competition is going to go
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going to be having trouble, that's a good thing.
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Yeah.
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Not only do you get sidestep the tariffs, but your
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competition are going to have harder pricing power to begin
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with that as well.
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We joke about it all the time, but these poor
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solar analysts, they just keep push pulling. You know, we're
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gonna do the solar credits. We're not. Just let them
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go home, guys.
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Yeah, being an analyst for a solar stocks got to
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be tough.
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Holy moly, it's every other day that they're flipping these things.
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It's amazing, especially in this environment with this administration. Yeah,
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but you know, it's a holiday weekend and if you're
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listening on the radio, you're getting a lot of replays.
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You're getting a lot of reruns, a lot of stuff
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is you know, people want to go out and enjoy
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the holiday and this first hour is live, but the
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second hour, Town, we're gonna we're gonna go the same
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route as everybody else.
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And yeah, we're gonna see you some general financial planning.
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I mean, we do our TV shows every single Sunday
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before Meet the Press, and after the Sunday ten o'clock news,
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and so you can always watch those on NBC, KVOA
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and your local usually it's Channel four, but you can
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also listen to those on a recorded We just take
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the audio and put on our Saturday shows normally, but
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we're gonna take those and put that in our half
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hour two of our half hour shows in the in
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the second hour of this show, and it has more
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general information around financial planning. So it's not gonna be
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specific to what happened this week, but it is gonna
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be specific to financial planning.
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It's gonna be helpful in other words. Yes, the UH
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for the week three and a half day week and
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the Dow was the leader as people look for what
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hasn't moved yet. This is typical of late stage rallies
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UH is the Dow starts to get a bid. You'll
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notice that the RSP, the equal weighted S and P
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five hundred was up two point four percent UH versus
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the S and P up one point seven And that's
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simply a broadening out of the rally. People again looking
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for things that haven't moved.
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And big one of that Russell two thousand. Once the
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small caps start moving. That's that's a big deal.
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Yeah, And that's that's again, that's one of the one
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of the few industry. Russell after a three point six
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percent gain last week this week was up one percent
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for the year, s and P five hundred up six
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point eight percent for the year, leading the way, NAVDAC
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up six point seven percent.
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Russell two thousands, still ten percent off off its size.
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And that's really the idea that if you have this
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fed cutting rates and the few, that's gonna help. Really
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the small caps stucks more than the large cap because
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you have a lot of priced and growth already in
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the large cap. You know, cutting rates probably isn't going
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to send them into new crazy territories. But for the
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small caps still being ten percent off the all time highs,
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they have plenty of room to go.