Jan. 7, 2025
Cautious Celebrations and Year-End Estate Planning
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This week on Money Matters, we wrapped up an incredible year in the markets. As we bask in the success of 2024, it's crucial to remain cautious and avoid greed. With the holiday-shortened week, we're experiencing low volume and liquidity, heightening...
This week on Money Matters, we wrapped up an incredible year in the markets. As we bask in the success of 2024, it's crucial to remain cautious and avoid greed. With the holiday-shortened week, we're experiencing low volume and liquidity, heightening concerns about a potential decline we haven't seen in a while.
At Greenberg Financial, we’re taking proactive measures to mitigate risk and have raised some cash reserves. We emphasize the importance of patience and strategy in finding the right opportunities, encouraging investors to wait for a sale. We also touch briefly on the concept of universal basic income and its potential impacts.
In the second hour, we introduce our new show segment with our estate planning attorney and Mel Greenberg. They discuss the crucial yearly check-up steps for trust and estate planning, ensuring your financial legacy is secure.
At Greenberg Financial, we’re taking proactive measures to mitigate risk and have raised some cash reserves. We emphasize the importance of patience and strategy in finding the right opportunities, encouraging investors to wait for a sale. We also touch briefly on the concept of universal basic income and its potential impacts.
In the second hour, we introduce our new show segment with our estate planning attorney and Mel Greenberg. They discuss the crucial yearly check-up steps for trust and estate planning, ensuring your financial legacy is secure.
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Good morning everybody, and happy happy holidays everyone, Marry Christmas,
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Hyppi honka, and a happy New Year coming up for
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everybody this week. You know, it's a pretty fun holiday.
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I hope everyone's having a good time. It seems like
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it's a two week holiday when they're on a Wednesday
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to a Wednesday, because you kind of have a Monday
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Tuesday boom holiday. Then you get a couple more days weekend,
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coverle more days holiday, cover more days weekend. So it's
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a nice for two weeks of enjoying hopefully family and
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everything else and doing the things you want to do,
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and you know, we relax it and getting ready for
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whatever next year has to come. They come quick, though,
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I'll tell you that. But the year is almost out.
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You know.
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It seemed like because the Friday the markets weren't doing
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very well, but you know what they were all up
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for the week. Not they were only up maybe half
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a percent. S and P five hundred is up point
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seven percent, nas put NAZAC was up almost one point eight.
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Even the russell was up point two. So for the
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month right now, the only thing that is up is
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NASDAC through up two and a half. The s ANDP
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is down one, the Dow's down four and a half,
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Russell two thousand and down eight. And for the year,
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they still have good, good good numbers. S and P
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up twenty five, NAZAC up thirty one, Dows up fourteen,
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and Russell's up ten and the equal weight that SMP
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is only up twelve. And that's where the divergence is.
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You know, we know it. We knew it all year long.
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The technology stocks of what drove this market. There was
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like seven eight stocks that did very, very well that
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continue to bring the markets higher and higher as we
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went into it. And that's okay if you had those.
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If you didn't, then don't expect to have those big,
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big returns, but expect to be okay and where you were.
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So we're coming into the end of the year, so
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now what you hear a lot of different things, but
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nobody really knows, you know that. Do I think we're
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getting to the point they're stretching too high? I do.
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Do I think that the markets are a little bit overvalued? No,
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I think they're very overvalued unless their earnings are going
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to come in real strong. But the big key is
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I don't think that the markets are going to accept
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the initial burst in inflation that looks like we're going
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to have. They're not going to accept the ten year
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bond getting back to five percent. They're not going to
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accept mortgage rates going back over seven percent and staying
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there a little bit. Now, obviously everyone's going to just
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start blaming Trump, and you know that, and I know that,
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and that's what's going to happen at the beginning, but
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what's going to happen six months, a year, two years
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from now. So I want you to be cautious until
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we do have that market correction because higher interest rates,
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higher inflation will cause the markets to get upset. And
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you know the media is gonna be all over that,
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and you know that what's gonna happen is we're gonna
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have to feel some pain until things turn around, and
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they will, but it's going to be a fight getting
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to Congress. The Republican Party does not do what the
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Democrats do and just get in line and accept everything
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that's shoved down their throats. They just don't do it.
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You're always gonna have some Republicans that are gonna say no,
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and they're gonna have to compromise with them. But you know.
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On the whole, though, I don't have too much of
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a problem with some of them not compromising on cutting spending.
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I know they got in and there was you know,
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basically a mandate on the border and immigrants, and that's
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gonna be takeing care of. But it was also on
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cutting inflation and getting jobs back. Well, if we're getting
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rid of a lot of illegal immigrants that have been
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taking jobs, I'm not talking about the ones that have
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been here for ten and twenty years, talking about the
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ones that have been here over the last one to
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five years, they're going to be open jobs. My question
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is Americans going to take those jobs. And it's a
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big question because they have become so accustomed to handouts
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to entitlements to be giving things for the last five years.
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If you just said you didn't want to do anything
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for whatever reason, oh poor me, here's a check. Ever
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since the pandemic, here's a check. We'll take care of you.
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But it didn't work. You know. They talk about cutting spending. Yes,
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it's gonna cost some money to go ahead and find
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the criminal illegal immigrants and find out the ones that
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are here illegally and deport them. But how much has
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it cost to keep them. Billions and billions of dollars
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are paid for by people in states with sanctuary cities
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that cannot afford them. Here in Tucson, we were busting
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out of the scenes. When we had to house them
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and put them places, the burden came down on us
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and that's not fair. So, yes, you're gonna see some
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pain at the beginning, and you're gonna see spending at
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the beginning, But in the end, I believe you're going
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to see something that's going to change people's minds. We're
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going to see a shutdown border. We're going to see
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immigrants coming in legally taking jobs, but they have to
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take the second step that we cannot use immigration as
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a political football anymore. We have to have policy to
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go along with shutting down the border and opening it
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up to people that legally need domicile here. We're not
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going to go away from a humanitarian country. We're here
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with democracy because we are different and we do care.
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But we need to care about ourselves and get our
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poor people to the point that they can go ahead
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and survive and do the things they need to do,
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and that will help the economy. You know, you've heard
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about basic income. Everyone have a basic income, which means
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if you're not making enough money, you get checks every month,
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whether it's a thousand, two thousand bucks a month, again
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for doing nothing. The idea that's being floated around now
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is being able to give opportunities for people to create wealth.
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I like that idea. Change the mindset. The mindset today
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is not where it's like, Okay, give me an opportunity,
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and I know how to do this and I'm going
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to make take advantage of it. Today's mindset is it's
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not my fault. I'm in this position. I need help
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and you have to help me. That's wrong. The mindset is, well,
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this is what I've done, this is what my parents done,
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This is where I'm gonna be. My kids have to
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figure it out on themselves. I can't do that. I
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can't do this. I work too hard. I don't have
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enough money. That stuff has to change. I've said this
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a million times. Wealth is it on how much money
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you have. Wealth is it on how much you spend
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of what you earn. If you don't make a lot
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of money, that doesn't mean you're not wealthy. If you
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spend more than what you make, that means you're not
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wealthy if you go ahead and spend less than what
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you make and put money away and let that grow
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for you. You have two earning sources, the one that
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you get a W nine for and you have to
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pay taxes on, and the one that you're investing in
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for your future in a retirement account that grows for you.
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One you don't have to pay taxes are it until
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later on. That's how you become wealthy. Wealth isn't saying
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I have millions of dollars. Wealth is saying I have
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enough money to pay for my family's bills, have a
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house overhead, have children, feed my children, have them to
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be able to have opportunities to do things that were
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maybe better than what I was able to do, and
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they earn it, be able to take them on vacation,
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so they have memories. But it's the values you teach them,
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the morale, the morals you teach them. Those are the
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important parts of making you a wealthy person, which means
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then we become a wealthy nation. Because if we become
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the land of opportunities and we don't give away opportunities
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and just give away handouts, we're not the country of opportunities.
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We're a welfare country of giving because that's how we
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get votes, and we saw that change. People want to
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feel good about themselves. I'm not saying if you need it,
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if you're disabled and those things that you don't get help,
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of course you do. I'm saying those that take advantage
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of the system, they need to be waned off getting
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help and start looking for opportunities at least for their
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children to be able to get off that support system.
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They'll feel better about themselves. One of the ways to
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cut down on drugs is my stopping drugs coming in
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in a way to cut down on debts. The stopping
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drugs coming in. One of the ways of of of
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of cutting down on people robbing and killing people is
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people feel feling comfortable with their opportunities and doing well
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in life. Not everybody's going to not have a life
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of crime. People have a life of crime, but then
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you need law and order. You do the crime, you
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pay for that crime. If you rebiliate, your rehabilitate yourself
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over a certain amounts of time, society should give you
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second chance. Of course, not if you're murdering people in
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cold blood, not if you're a sickle a crazy person,
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a mental health person that's just going to keep doing
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it again. Hell, no, things happen in life. People make mistakes.
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Second chances are opportunities for people people coming to our country.
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You just can't think that everything's going to be great
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by just saying, oh, here you are, here's a check,
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or do something. Opportunity are made when they learn how
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to do something for themselves. I've said this many times.
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Make this a private public co op where you got
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the public money and the private money coming together. As
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people come here legally and need to basically go to school,
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we're going to have abandoned campuses. Let's start bringing them
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the campuses, teaching them English, give them moom and board,
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teach them the skills that they want, paid by both
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public and private. Meaning, if you're a good technician, if
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you know technical work, then Microsoft and Silicon Valley can
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chip in and they can find the best people that
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are in technology and the best brains, and then this
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is a source for them to bring in help. If
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you're a dentist, end up learning about dentistry. Maybe he
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as a dental assistant, whatever it is you learn. Now
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the dentist indust industry and the and the UH and
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doctor's assistants. This is a place that they can go
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get help, agriculture, hospitality, all these big industries, how to
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work in certain factories. Everybody chips in, helps out, trains,
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allows these people to become assimilated into the American way,
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learn the American history and get jobs. Now they get jobs,
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they pay for health care, they pay for Social Security,
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they pay taxes, and they learn to go ahead and
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become in credit American citizens. And as opportunities arise for them,
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they're happy now if they're coming over here and making
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more money, because that's what it is, and sending it
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all out of here not being taxed. No, I don't
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want to see that if you come over here, because
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you can make ten times the amount and you can
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make in any country, and we allow you to do it,
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and you meet the qualifications. If you want to send
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money out, it's after taxes. There's a lot of things
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we can do to help our economy and help people
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that need to be here either asylum or want to
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be here and go through the legal process. But we
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need to start doing that, and that's going to be
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the first and foremost. You know, colleges are going to
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take a beating here soon. Been watching it happen if
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you notice more and more people getting into colleges have
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less and less the academic qualifications that were five ten
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years ago. And obviously a lot of this started with
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all the DEI inclusivety saying everybody needs an opportunity. That's
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the sheep in woolves clothing, because what they did is
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allow different people in only to go ahead and promote
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the culture that just got the Democrats fired at our
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campuses that became so liberal that people forgot why they
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went to school. And now we have an opportunity to
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actually allow people to go to school and start learning
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what they should be learning. The way schools are going
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to be if they want to stay open, there are
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going to be people with less academic qualifications getting in,
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but that doesn't mean when they're there you can't make
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sure that you keep your academic qualifications, but you're going
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to have to make sure that they learn no different
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than athletes that go there who have what they have
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tutors at their becking call. Well, maybe what you're going
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to have to do is have tutors there for the
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people going to school and allow them to have access
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to people that can help them get through their education.
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But again, the person that's going to go and spend
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that money, you're going to see a different type of
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person going. And that's okay. It'll be the people that
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maybe are the ones that can just didn't do really well.
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They're freshman or sophomore year in high school, but turned
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it around their junior senior year and realized that they
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wanted a better life for themselves. They're going to get
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chances and opportunities, and now it's going to come down
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