WEBVTT
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The good morning everybody. It's that time, Sunday morning right
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here on seven ninety kNs T. It's eight o'clock and
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this is Dean Greenberg with your Money Manning Show. It's
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been another good week for the markets, and it's nice
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to feel good about the markets. Why do most of
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us just not feel that great? Bottom line is because
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we know, we know we've been around this before. When
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the markets get to where it's just a certain certain
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group of stocks like technology that keep moving higher than
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at any time something could happen to turn down. But
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in the meantime this week we still had to dial
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up one percent. SMP was up two and a half,
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the Nasdaq was up almost four, Russell up two and
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a half, and the equal weighted was up point eight.
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And that's what we look at. You see the week
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the equal weighted S and P five hundred, it was
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up only one third of what the SMB five hundred dollars.
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We've seen this before, and I'm not saying it's going
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to stop, but to pile it in at this time
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because you got fomo fia of moving out, it's probably
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not the right situation right now. I'm uncomfortably bullish right now.
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I'm uncomfortable because of the evaluations. I'm uncomfortable at where
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the prices are. I'm uncomfortable because we really haven't had
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a decent pullback. We had one day when the S
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and P went down over one hundred points, and boom,
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the next few days we rallied all the way back.
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We're not back to the old highs inch a day
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over sixty four hundred, but it's kind of getting there.
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But it goes back to what I still think is
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going to happen. We're walking into August and September, so
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at best the markets stay about neutral. I think the
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markets are hard to move down right now because they
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are believing that Trump will get the Federal Reserve to
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start loan interest rates. They start loan interest rates, it's
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usually not just a one time deal. And if they
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can keep bringing interest rates down, that's good. But here's
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the problem. There are some inflationary numbers that are out
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there right now. We're going to see the terroriffts actually
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show a little bit of inflation, that doesn't mean everything crumbles,
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but what it will mean is the markets will anticipate
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maybe not loan interest rates right away by the Fed
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and that will cause us to go down right now,
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I think the markets are anticipating them to go ahead
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and do this. Now. The terriffs in some cases are
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going to hurt a few pricing models. They will and
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others they won't. But at the end of the day,
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it's what you do with the tariff money that's going
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to make the difference. We want to bring down interest
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rates so we're not spending so much money to pay
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off the deficit. We got to work on getting down
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on debt. We got to keep growing the economy. My
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fear right now is where we have stair inflation, Well,
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we have inflation without increasing the economy. That is the
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worst situation. I don't believe that's going to be the case.
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You're gonna hear that out there because you want to
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hear all the negatives. But we're gonna happen. I think
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a couple months here of volatility again. But they do
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think that any decent market moved downs five to seven
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are going to be met with buying and I think
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the fourth quarter and next year are going to do well.
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Remember if on the tariffs, that's only a one time
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price increase, It's not over and over and over again,
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it's not like every time you're going to say they
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go up three percent. It's not like every single month
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they're gonna keep going three It's a one time price increase.
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So far with Taris, we've been able to live just
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fine with it. The big thing is is what we
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got to do is look at where things are, the
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valuations of stocks, and be careful of where we're at.
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The other side of it is people that are just
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trying to buy the low valued stocks are not making
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that much money. The stocks that are moving are the
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AI stocks. We've talked about this for six months now
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on pullbacks. If you're not in, those are the ones
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you want to get in. If you're not in at all,
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you probably want a dollar cost savage in with a
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little bit. Now the video when everybody just said once twice,
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three times, they're not going to be able to increase,
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and this wasn't too recent ago, too long time ago,
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the video was down at the one oh seven level
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on to eighty something now very short period of time.
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Do I think it's going to continue higher? I do.
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I think that that companies are starting to realize the
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benefits of the money they have spent on artificial intelligence
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and how it's helping them be more productive and intuitive
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and not be able to bring on the high cost
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of labor, which is great for people that are working
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that are smart, that are in the industries that people
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need labors, because if you're good, you're going to get
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in pay increases because it's going to be off set
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with AI being able to take over for one or
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two other extra employees. You see that right now, if
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you're good, you get rewarded. Those that are really good
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with AI are getting hundreds of millions of dollars up
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front money, basically like an athlete does contract to move
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from Apple or Google or any take any of the
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big companies, and Meta is paying out big bucks right now.
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If you know what you're doing. They are all in
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on AI. Everyone's in on AI, and it's pretty incredible
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on some of the things they can do. I saw
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the other day on AI that you know, the new
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CP what is it? Yeah, I know, coming out and
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then you just put in and say I want to
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learn French. Give it to me and it'll give you
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an app. We'll create an app for you that you
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can learn French that quickly. Those are the things that
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are positive about chat GPT. Okay, that's what's effective about
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doing things like that. Yes, we know, it's really the
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scams that are out there incredible right now, I get that.
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Be smart. If you have any doubt, just say no
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to look at until someone actually picks up the phone
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and says, hey, I've been sending you this, why haven't
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you responded? Chat GPT is changing the world. AI computers,
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the quantum computers that are down the road to changing
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the world. Drive you know, driverless cars are going to
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change the world, just like we did with the cell phones.
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We're in that type of frame right now, framework for
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the next three to five years of supergrowth and then
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the next five to seven years after that. So I
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think we got a good ten to twelve more great
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years before it becomes more of a commodity. Be even
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longer fifteen years. Look for the opportunities. If you're in
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the market trying to make money, now you don't have
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to buy individual stocks. You can buy the ETFs, you
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can buy the Nasdaq one hundred. You'll be able to
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be part of it. Your dollar cost average in If
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you're not in, you can't get over the aggressive. There's
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always risk with everything you do remember that there's always risk,
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so you have to allocate and change. So why am
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I uncomfortable the bullish Because I'm bullish in the areas
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that I think are going to grow. Not only is
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it AI and technology, but it's energy that's going to
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supply to the AI. And it's also the rare earth
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mineral stocks that have been doing great. And I think
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pipeline companies are going to start doing well again gas oil.
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Not the gas companies, not like you know, the exons
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and stuff like that, they'll do okay, I'm talking about
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the transportation company, the ones that are going to increase
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biome that get paid for everything that goes through their pipelines.
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Because if we keep going ahead and increasing our output
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of oil and gas to Europe with the deals that
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Trump has made, even if oil prices are done, you
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still have to pay the tax to get through the toll,
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which is the pipeline. It's that simple. So be smart.
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Be in the areas that you think are the best,
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and that's where you put your risk capital to that's
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how you do it. And the other more conservative areas
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you're in you're in bombs, you're in fixed income, you're
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in things that aren't doing go aren't the most volatile ones.
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Remember there's always the ETFs. The ets will always help
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you in these type markets. So on the global front,
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we see Trump's really trying to push the end wars.
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You see him with Ukraine and Putin and Russia and
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he's trying to get them to the table. I said, no,
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he's gonna meet with Putin again. Who knows how long
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that's going to take. But I like the strategy of
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getting NATO to put some pressure on getting Ukraine what
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they need, mostly because I do believe peace through strength.
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When somebody believes there could be at a weaker position,
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the more apt to open up and talk and discuss peace.
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If you're going to make it hard for Russia to
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sell their oil to our allies, Russia is going to
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be hurting for money, Their economy is going to be hurting,
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and they won't be able to keep the war going.
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First of all, there should be no war, I mean,
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if you think about it where we are, but that's
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what happens. Then on the other side, in the Middle East,
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you saw that Israel decided to clean out Gaza. This
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is what they've been thinking about the last year let's
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separate the Palestinian good people from Hamas. But if the
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Palestinian good people do not get out of the way
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of Hamas and Amasa is going to keep them there
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and kill them, they are the ones that are on
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the hook there because as long as Hamas does not
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want to make a deal, and that should be, I'll
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give you all your prison is back, dead and alive.
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We'll return everybody for a peace deal. They say that
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Israel is the one that isn't humanitarian and they're doing
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this and this. It's a mass that's doing it. It's
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her moss that's not released some prisoners. It's a moss
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that uses people, their own people, the Palestinians, as human shields.
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It's a moss that kills the Palestinians if they don't
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go ahead and do what they want. It's a moss
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that's not letting it humanitarian aid get to the people
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that need it. So, yes, I do believe we need
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to wipe out a moss. We put I Ran on
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the back burner. We've been working, We've worked with Syria.
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Let's get some peace over there, wouldn't that be nice.
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The only way you're going to do it is if
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you get to bad actors in a very weak position
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where they can't do it. The whole idea is Israel
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doesn't want to go back in and occupy that, but
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they do not want to leave it as a separate
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state to the Palestinians who are going to let Hamas
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run it. They need to get people in Egyptian into
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the Gaza strip that are friendly to Israel so you
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don't have to wake up every morning and wondering if
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you're going to get kidnapped, bombed, or killed or invaded
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for that matter, like they were before. I get it
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that people don't like net and Yahu and their government,
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no different than most of us don't like our governments
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or different governments, because the governments are there for who themselves.
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We know that, we see it. There's so much corruption.
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You're dealing with Ukraine, you're dealing with Iran, you're dealing
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with Russia, you're dealing with Israel, and you're dealing with ourselves.
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There's corruption left and right. But we got to live
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in this world of corruption to try to get the
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most peace so you and I can live our lives
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as best we can. That's why we invest. That's why
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we work. That's why we do the things we do. Now,
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let's go back to the terrort situation. I love the
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fact that Trump will continue to come up with ideas,
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whether they get fulfilled or not. At the end of
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the day, he can't just keep making executive orders. Congress
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has got to do something, and frankly, they don't do much.
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They think they do, and then they get these big
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bills and there's so much crap in them that nobody
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even knows what's going on. But you heard what he said.
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He wants to get to the point that we make
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enough money off tariffs so people that earn less than
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two hundred thousand dollars will not pay any taxes, will
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not pay any federal taxes if you make two hundred
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thousand dollars adjusted and come or less. Now, how about that?
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How about that for thinking outside that box, using the
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tariffs to offset taxes for the people that make less
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than two hundred thousand dollars. I don't know what the
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rest of the scale would be and stuff, but come
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up with the concept and then try to make it work.
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Stop saying, no, we just got to tax the rich,
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tax the billionaires. You know, We've gone through this to
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a nauseum. You don't need to keep talking about taxing
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the billionaires. They're already taxed the best they're going to do.
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You want to tax them more, you need to check
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change the tax code. We all know that, but Congress
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is too afraid to do it because where do they
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get the money from the billionaires? So they talk a
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big game but never follow through. The moreolved, more interested
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in listening to who's in the Epstein files, who's in
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those Epstein lists, and all this other stuff. Just like