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Jan. 17, 2024

E27: Should we prepare for a recession?

E27: Should we prepare for a recession?

This week Erik Torenberg and Noah Smith are joined by Itay Vinik, Co-Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Equi, to explore their different perspectives on the current state of the economy and the likelihood of a recession.

This week Erik Torenberg and Noah Smith are joined by Itay Vinik, Co-Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Equi, to explore their different perspectives on the current state of the economy and the likelihood of a recession. Match a donation up to $100 for your favorite charity with GiveWell by going to https://givewell.org and pick “Podcast” and enter Econ 102 at checkout.



We're hiring across the board at Turpentine and for Erik's personal team on other projects he's incubating. He's hiring a Chief of Staff, EA, Head of Special Projects, Investment Associate, and more. For a list of JDs, check out: eriktorenberg.com.

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Sponsors: GIVEWELL | NETSUITE

Have you ever wondered where your donation could have the most impact? GiveWell has now spent over 15 years researching charitable organizations and only directs funding to the highest impact opportunities they’ve found in global health and poverty alleviation. Make informed decisions about high-impact giving. If you’ve never donated through GiveWell before, you can have your donation matched up to $100 before the end of the year, or as long as matching funds last. To claim your match, go to https://givewell.org and pick “Podcast” and enter Econ 102 at checkout.


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Econ 102 is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. To learn more: www.turpentine.co


LINKS:

- Noahpinion on Substack: https://www.noahpinion.blog/


X / TWITTER:

@VinikItay (Itay)

@eriktorenberg (Erik)

@noahpinion (Noah)

@Econ102_Podcast (Econ 102)

@moz_podcast (Moment of Zen)

@TurpentineMedia


TIMESTAMPS

(00:20) Intro

(01:03) The current state of U.S. economy

(03:43) Future economic trends

(08:25) Economic indicators and predictions

(15:24) SPONSOR: GIVEWELL

(16:51) Cont. economic indicators and predictions

(19:45) Potential economic risks

(21:46) Inflation and fiscal policy

(29:29) SPONSOR: NETSUITE

(32:48) Inflation and monetary policy

(35:29) Recapitalization of the banking system

(36:34) Long-term deflationary trends

(43:23) Housing’s role in wealth effect

(48:21) Risky debt

(55:22) Conclusions on the future of the economy